یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Trading time window par Tuesday ko EurUsd market pair par buyers ka dominance tha. Buyers ne EurUsd pair ke price ko control mein le liya jab sellers jo dominate kar rahe the, woh 1.0920-1.0918 ke support area ko tod nahi paaye. Is support area ke upar buyers ne strong bullish pressure daala aur price ko kaafi strong bullish movement ke saath upar le aaye. Moving Average indicator ko Daily time window par monitor karte hue, candle dekhne ko mil rahi hai jo Yellow MA 200 area se door ja rahi hai, jo 1.0830-1.0832 par hai. Ye area buyers ke liye support bana hua hai aur bullish candlestick dominance ke saath price ko upar le jaane ki strength de raha hai. Agla target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1110-1.1115 hai jo EurUsd pair ke market movement ke liye important hoga.

Wednesday ko trading start hone ke baad sellers ka resistance dekhne ko mil raha hai jo bullish buyers ko rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price bearish correction ke liye move kar sakti hai jo 1.0970-1.0965 ke buyer support area tak pahunchegi. Agar sellers is area ko todne mein successful hote hain, toh price 1.0940-1.0938 tak weaken ho sakti hai. Lekin agar sellers is area ko nahi todte, toh buyers price ko dobara bullish banayenge aur agla target seller resistance area 1.1027-1.1030 hoga. EURUSD pair chart data se yeh pata chal raha hai ke candlestick 1.0778 ke lowest level se door ja rahi hai, jo strong bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Mujhe yakin hai ke bullish price continuation hoga, isliye BUY trading ke opportunities par focus karna chahiye. Is hafte price increase market mein turmoil create kar sakti hai aur price ko upar push kar sakti hai. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line abhi bhi level 70 par hai, jo bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Market ke this afternoon ke low activity ko dekhte hue, price sideways movement dikhane ki sambhavana hai. Lekin zyada chances hain ke price higher move kare aur bullish potential 1.1010 ke level ko break kar sakta hai.

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EUR/USD pair ne jaldi se 1.0955 resistance ko tor diya, 1.0972 tak pohanch gayi aur almost stronger resistance 1.0987 ko test karne lagi. Yeh price likely iss level ko jald challenge karegi, jis ke baad ek potential pullback ho sakta hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke kal ke inflation data ke expectations, aur aaj ke US producer price index mein girawat, speculators ko price ko upar dhakelne par majboor kar diya. Ahem sawal yeh hai ke yeh rally kitni door tak ja sakti hai. Nearest intraday levels 1.0987 aur 1.1016 ke darmiyan hain, jahan maximum target 1.1046 ho sakta hai. Lekin, kal inflation data ke release ke baad clarity aayegi, jisme forecasts unchanged rehne ki umeed hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai, toh downside targets support levels 1.0955-1.0924 aur neeche 1.0894 tak ho sakte hain, jo kal bhi play mein ho sakte hain.

Euro ka performance dollar ke muqable mein agle kuch dinon mein European aur US economic data ke trajectory, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions, aur overall market sentiment par mabni hoga. Jabke current bullish trend EUR/USD ke liye further upside potential dikhata hai, traders ko reversal ke signs ke liye hoshiyar rehna chahiye, khas taur par agar key resistance levels breach karne mein mushkil hoti hai. Hamesha ki tarah, market participants upcoming economic releases aur central bank communications ko closely monitor karenge taake currency pair ke future direction ke baare mein andaza laga sakein.

Lekin agar bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami hoti hai, toh pullback ho sakta hai. 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ek critical support level ke tor par serve karta hai, aur agar yeh threshold ke neeche dip hoti hai, toh yeh pair ke upward trajectory mein reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Aisi surat mein, EUR/USD apne recent gains ko retrace kar sakta hai, lower support levels ko test karte hue aur market ke current bullish outlook ko alter kar sakta hai.

Tuesday ki rally ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair apni recent highs se neeche hai, jahan technical indicators caution ka signal de rahe hain. Pair ka decisively 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar break na karna yeh suggest karta hai ke upward momentum ko challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Uptrend ko sustain karne ke liye, EUR/USD ko 1.0940-1.0970 resistance zone ko convincingly surpass karna hoga. Agar yeh barrier successfully breach hota hai, toh yeh psychologically significant 1.1000 level tak rally ka raasta banayega. Iske aage, further upside potential exist karta hai, jahan 1.1100 aur 1.1150 levels potential targets ho sakte hain.

U.S. Dollar (USD) aik maqool kamzori ka rujhan dikha raha hai, jo ke mukhtalif bade currency pairs mein dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh rujhan forex markets mein ek broader sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jahan dollar kuch aham currencies ke muqable mein apni qeemat kho raha hai. Magar, EUR/USD pair mein yeh girawat dosray bade currencies, jaise ke British Pound (GBP) ya Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqable mein kam hai

EUR/USD pair ke case mein, euro ne dollar ke muqable mein itni qeemat nahi badhai jitni pound ya yen ne ki hai. Iski wajah kuch factors ho sakte hain, jaise ke Eurozone ke mukable mein UK ya Japan mein mukhtalif economic conditions, ya phir European Central Bank (ECB) ke monetary policy actions ke hawalay se market expectations, jo ke Bank of England (BoE) ya Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke mukable mein mukhtalif ho sakti hain. Dollar ki euro ke muqable mein nisbi behtari bhi euro ke apne challenges ko zahir kar sakti hai, jaise ke weaker-than-expected economic data ya Eurozone ke andar siyasi uncertainty

Doosri taraf, commodities market mein, sone (gold) ki qeemat is hafta kisi wazeh rujhan ke baghair trade kar rahi hai. Sone ki qeematon mein is ghair waazehat ka sabab mukhtalif conflicting factors ho sakte hain. Ek taraf, dollar ki kamzori aam tor par sone ki qeemat ko barhawa deti hai, kyun ke sone doosri currencies ke holders ke liye sasta ho jata hai. Dosri taraf, global economic uncertainty, inflation ke hawalay se fikar, aur central banks ke actions, khaaskar interest rate hikes ke hawalay se, ek balancing act create kar rahe hain, jiski wajah se sone mein range-bound trading dekhne ko mil rahi hai

Investors lagta hai ke wait-and-see mode mein hain, sone ki qeemat aik narrow band mein fluctuate kar rahi hai, jabke wo global monetary policies aur economic data releases ke agle steps ka andaza laga rahe hain. Sone mein kisi wazeh rujhan ka na hona market mein ek ihtiyat shumar rawaiya ko zahir karta hai, jahan participants mukhtalif economic indicators se mixed signals ka samna kar rahe hain

Aakhir mein, jabke U.S. Dollar ki kamzori ka rujhan hamesha ki tarah zahir hai, iska asar mukhtalif currencies par mukhtalif andaaz mein hai, aur EUR/USD pair is hawalay se kuch mazahmat kar raha hai. Sath hi, sone ki qeemat ek holding pattern mein hai, jo ke market ki uncertainty aur mukhtalif economic factors ke complex interplay ko zahir karti hai

Friday ko, spot price mein thoda sa girawat dekhi gayi, jo 0.20% thi trading session ke end tak, aur pichle do hafton mein iski losses ko lagbhag 0.12% tak extend kar diya. Jab investors Federal Reserve ke upcoming rate decision ka intezaar kar rahe hain aur European inflation par key updates ka intezaar hai, currency pair ab bhi volatility dikhata hai. Latest update ke mutabiq, EUR/USD lagbhag 1.1120 level par trade kar raha hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Pair ne thoda support paaya aur lagbhag 1.1140 tak rebound kiya, July ke mixed preliminary S&P Global PMI report ke baad. Composite PMI 55.0 tak barh gaya, jo pichle reading 54.8 se zyada hai, jo service sector ki strong growth ke wajah se hai. Service PMI unexpectedly 56.0 tak chala gaya, jo 54.4 ki expectations aur pichle 55.3 se behtar hai. Lekin, Manufacturing PMI 49.5 tak gir gaya, jo anticipated 51.7 se kam hai, jo manufacturing activities mein contraction ka signal hai.

Aage dekhte hue, agar inflation pressures kam hoti hain jaisa ke umeed hai, to Federal Reserve rate cuts ke expectations badh sakti hain. Agar inflation stubbornly high rehti hai, to rate-cut expectations kam ho sakti hain. CME FedWatch tool ab indicate karta hai ke central bank apne September meeting mein key borrowing rates ko kam karna shuru kar sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Jab ke pair ne July-August rally ke 50% Fibonacci retracement ke upar strength dikhayi hai, caution zaroori hai. Daily chart oscillators bearish signals dikhana shuru kar rahe hain, jo currency pair ke liye potential downward trend ka hint hai. Agar pair ko mid-1.1177 ke four-month high se pullback ko reinforce karna hai, to isey 100-day Simple Moving Average ke niche break karna padega.

Agar pair aur zyada girti hai, to yeh round-number supports ko test kar sakta hai jo 1.1100 aur 1.1050 ke qareeb hain. Upar ki taraf, 1.1180 level Euro bulls ke liye ek significant barrier bana hua hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI ab 40.00-60.00 range mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bullish momentum kam ho gaya hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko kya kiya? Yeh apne upward movement ko continue kiya. Din bhar mein, sirf ek report publish hui thi Nonfarm Payrolls ki annual revision ke bare mein, jo ki forecasts se bhi worse nikli. Asal mein, agar yeh expected se better bhi hoti, toh dollar phir bhi fall karta. Monday aur Tuesday ko, dollar ko macroeconomic backdrop ki zaroorat nahi thi apne decline ko sustain karne ke liye. Toh, yeh kehna mushkil nahi hai ki U.S. labor market ke ek aur weak report ne U.S. currency ko further fall kar diya. Lekin, U.S. dollar daily fall raha hai, regardless of these reports, aur correct bhi nahi kar pa raha hai.

Nonfarm Payrolls report previously published reports ki correction nahi hai; yeh sirf annual figure ki adjustment hai. Market ne pehle weaker monthly reports ko account kiya, phir annual one ko, jo ki essentially same data ko reflect karta hai. Abhi traders ko sirf ek sawal puchna chahiye ki yeh relentless rise kab tak continue karega. Upside par trading easy, simple, aur convenient lagta hai, lekin sirf first glance par, kyunki traders likely samajhte hain ki euro almost out of the blue rise kar raha hai. Isliye, yeh movement kisi bhi moment par end ho sakta hai. Currency ko buy karna jab aapko nahi pata ki yeh kyun rise kar raha hai, yeh pleasant task nahi hai. Phir bhi, uptrend ke ending ke signs nahi hain, price continue rise kar sakti hai 1.1185 aur 1.1234 ke targets ke sath.

Wednesday ko, sirf ek trading signal forma hua - U.S. trading session mein 1.1137 level surpass hua. Din ke end par, euro sirf 15 pips rise kiya, lekin volatility currently low hai, aur movement one-sided hai. Yeh trade Thursday tak hold ki ja sakti hai 1.1185 ke target ke sath.

EUR/USD hourly time frame mein steady aur measured upward movement sustain kar raha hai. Last week, new U.S. inflation reports ne market ko dollar ko sell karne ka ek aur reason diya. Is week, market Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se dovish rhetoric expect kar raha hai. Market har available opportunity ko seize kar raha hai dollar ko sell karne ke liye. Ab humare paas do ascending trendlines hain, jo ki euro ko support kar rahe hain. General mein, koi bhi indicators currently suggest nahi kar rahe hain ki uptrend end ho raha ha

Trading time window par Tuesday ko EurUsd market pair par buyers ka dominance tha. Buyers ne EurUsd pair ke price ko control mein le liya jab sellers jo dominate kar rahe the, woh 1.0920-1.0918 ke support area ko tod nahi paaye. Is support area ke upar buyers ne strong bullish pressure daala aur price ko kaafi strong bullish movement ke saath upar le aaye. Moving Average indicator ko Daily time window par monitor karte hue, candle dekhne ko mil rahi hai jo Yellow MA 200 area se door ja rahi hai, jo 1.0830-1.0832 par hai. Ye area buyers ke liye support bana hua hai aur bullish candlestick dominance ke saath price ko upar le jaane ki strength de raha hai. Agla target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1110-1.1115 hai jo EurUsd pair ke market movement ke liye important hoga.

Wednesday ko trading start hone ke baad sellers ka resistance dekhne ko mil raha hai jo bullish buyers ko rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price bearish correction ke liye move kar sakti hai jo 1.0970-1.0965 ke buyer support area tak pahunchegi. Agar sellers is area ko todne mein successful hote hain, toh price 1.0940-1.0938 tak weaken ho sakti hai. Lekin agar sellers is area ko nahi todte, toh buyers price ko dobara bullish banayenge aur agla target seller resistance area 1.1027-1.1030 hoga. EURUSD pair chart data se yeh pata chal raha hai ke candlestick 1.0778 ke lowest level se door ja rahi hai, jo strong bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Mujhe yakin hai ke bullish price continuation hoga, isliye BUY trading ke opportunities par focus karna chahiye. Is hafte price increase market mein turmoil create kar sakti hai aur price ko upar push kar sakti hai. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line abhi bhi level 70 par hai, jo bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Market ke this afternoon ke low activity ko dekhte hue, price sideways movement dikhane ki sambhavana hai. Lekin zyada chances hain ke price higher move kare aur bullish potential 1.1010 ke level ko break kar sakta hai.

Euro ne Thursday ke trading session ke early hours mein significant swings dekhe, jo ki market ki direction ke liye struggle ko reflect karta hai. Currency 1.11 level ki taraf pull back karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh is level se neeche break karta hai, toh hum 1.10 mark ki taraf aur decline dekh sakte hain. Overall, market ek crossroads par hai, yeh gauge karne ki koshish kar raha hai ki kya yeh enough momentum hai apne upward trajectory ko continue karne ke liye. Agar euro 1.1175 level se upar break karta hai, toh yeh 1.1250 ki taraf rally ke liye way pave kar sakta hai. Is movement ka zyada hissa Federal Reserve ki actions par depend karta hai, especially potential rate cuts ke terms mein. While Fed September mein rate cuts karne ki widely expect ki ja rahi hai, extent of its aggressiveness uncertain hai. Market may not have fully priced in aggressive rate cut ki possibility, jo ki global economy ke concerns ko signal kar sakta hai. Aisi scenarios mein, US dollar typically benefits karta hai kyunki investors often US Treasury bond markets ki safety ko seek karte hain economic uncertainty ke during. Technical point of view se, yeh important hai ki note ki Euro abhi bhi overbought state mein hai Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke according. Additionally, RSI aur price action ke beech some divergence hai, jo ki pullback ke horizon par indicate kar sakta hai. Yeh divergence often ek warning sign hota hai ki current trend losing steam hai. Short mein, euro ne resilience dikhai hai, lekin uski future direction technical factors aur Federal Reserve decisions par depend karegi. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels aur any signs of divergence ko close eye se dekhna chahiye potential market volatility ko navigate karne ke liye
Europe aur China ke beech tensions escalate ho rahe hain, khaskar China ke recent stance ke baad European dairy products par EU-China trade conflict mein. Yeh tension already struggling European economy ko aur strain kar sakta hai. Kuch EU officials keh rahe hain ki migrants ki influx economic growth ko stimulate kar sakti hai, lekin yeh expectation Europe ki current situation mein optimistic lag raha hai.

Agar EUR/USD pair apne upward trend ko continue karta hai, toh bullish momentum ko follow karna wise ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar bearish signal chart par emerge hota hai, trading volumes ke confirmed hone par, sell karne ka opportunity ho sakta hai. Koi clear signals nahi hain ki price continue rise karega ya reverse downward, isliye market se bahar rehna best ho sakta hai jab tak reliable signal na appear ho.

Current chart patterns ke according, agar EUR/USD pair downward shift hota hai, toh yeh accumulation area 1.0952 ke around move kar sakta hai

EUR/USD currency pair ke bullish trend ki taraf price le jaane ki koshish ab bhi buyers ke taraf se ki ja rahi hai, jiska agla target level 1.1260 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Weekly candlestick ko dekhte hue, chart par movement ab bhi bullish direction mein hai, jo July se August ke transition period se lekar May tak dominant hai. Is hafte ke market trend mein ab bhi bullish movement kaafi strong hai, aur market close tak price ab bhi bullish direction mein hai, jiska matlab yeh hai ke upward trend ab bhi continue kar raha hai. Mera andaza hai ke buyers apni market mein dominance barqarar rakhne ki koshish karenge aur price ko higher bullish movement ki taraf dhakhelne ki koshish karte rahenge, taake current price level se door ja sakein.

Agar aap Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ka dehaan karein, toh yeh ab bhi level 70 ke upar chal raha hai, jo ke yeh indication deta hai ke market trend ab bhi bullish phase mein hai. Yeh buying volatility ke barhne ka signal bhi hai, jo shayad current candlestick position se upar jaane mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Maqablai taur par, price movement ab tak Monday ko market opening level se upar ki taraf gayi hai. Mere khayal mein, market trend ab bhi yeh predict kar raha hai ke price wapas bullish trend ki taraf ja sakta hai, aur higher price level range ko target kar sakta hai.

BUY trading option is analysis ke natije mein behtar lagti hai. EUR/USD pair ek strong uptrend mein hai, aur traders ko proper risk management ke saath long positions par focus karna chahiye. RSI par divergence ke signs aur MACD par koi potential bearish signals par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Saath hi, order blocks

Euro ne August main apni doosri sabse unchi satah hasil ki hai, jise sarmaayakaro ke darmiyan aam taur par optimistic jazbaat ka asar hai. Federal Reserve ka qareebi rujhan, jo zyada supportive lagta hai, ne yeh umeed barha di hai ke interest rates mein izafa ab khatam honay wala hai. Is badalte huye rujhan ne bazaar ka risk appetite kaafi barha diya hai. Zhishang Institute ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 18 September ko rate cut ke chances qareeban teen mein se ek hain. Federal Reserve ke afsaraan ne khud bhi is baat ka izhar kiya hai ke 25 basis point tak ki rate reduction ho sakti hai. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium main Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne tasleem kiya ke central bank ab apne benchmark interest rate ko kam karne par ghor kar raha hai.

Agle hafte ke economic data mein ziada ahmiyat nahi hogi, magar European Union aur United States ke inflation data ko qareebi se dekha jaye ga. US GDP growth ka data jo ke Thursday ko anay wala hai, bazaar ke jazbaat ko hilaa sakta hai, magar traders ki tawajju Friday ko aane wale dual inflation reports par hi rahe gi.

European Union ka preliminary inflation data (HICP) agle Jumme ko expected hai. United States main personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation index ke Fed ke target level par qaim rehne ki umeed hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke inflation pressures kam ho rahe hain. Kuch challenges ke bawajood, Euro ne Friday ko naya high hasil kiya, aur 1.1300 ke area ko test kiya. Trading sentiment mein kuch ikhtilaf ke bawajood, overall price trend upward hai, jo darshata hai ke Euro mazid taqat pakar raha hai. US dollar ka recent rebound apni 200-day moving average low se Euro ko mazeed support de raha hai. Euro-to-dollar exchange rate barh rahi hai, aur agar price 1.1300 ke upar convincing break kar leti hai, to bullish sentiment mazeed barh sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko maintain karne mein nakam hoti hai, to short-term pullback ka risk ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair, jo ki Euro ko US dollar ke against represent karta hai, global forex market mein most actively traded pairs mein se ek hai. Yeh prominence Eurozone aur United States, duniya ke do largest economies, ke sheer size aur economic influence se aati hai. Result ke tor par, EUR/USD pair traders, investors, aur policymakers ke liye closely watch kiya jata hai, kyunki iski fluctuations global financial markets aur economies ke liye significant implications kar sakti hain.

Euro, 1999 mein introduce kiya gaya tha, 27 European Union countries mein se 19 ke official currency hai, jo ki collectively Eurozone ke naam se jana jata hai. US dollar, doosri taraf, United States ke official currency hai aur global reserve currency ke taur par bhi widely used hota hai.

Euro aur US dollar ke beech relationship economic data releases, interest rate differentials, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies, khaskar European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policies, se influence hota hai. EUR/USD exchange rate ke key drivers mein se ek interest rate differential hai Eurozone aur United States ke beech. Jab Federal Reserve interest rates ko raise karta hai, US dollar typically Euro ke against strengthen hota hai, kyunki higher rates zyada foreign investment ko US assets mein attract karte hain. Conversely, agar ECB rates ko increase karta hai ya agar Eurozone mein economic conditions improve hote hain, Euro US dollar ke against appreciate kar sakta hai.

Geopolitical events, jaise ki elections, trade negotiations, ya conflicts, bhi EUR/USD pair mein volatility ko cause kar sakte hain. For instance, Brexit ke around uncertainty, US aur Europe ke beech trade tensions, ya global economic policies mein shifts, exchange rate mein significant fluctuations ko lead kar sakte hain

EUR/USD Market Analysis:
Wednesday's EUR/USD trading session mein buyers ne strong dominance dikha kar market mein zyada entries ki. Unhoon ne successfully support area ko secure kiya, jo ke 1.1110-1.1113 ke price zone par tha, aur sellers ka control khatam kar ke dobara market ko apni qabza mein le liya. Yeh bullish momentum ne EUR/USD ka price higher push kiya, jise Moving Average (MA) indicator ke through Daily time frame par monitor kiya gaya. EUR/USD price abhi bhi MA 50 Red area (1.0858-1.0860) se kaafi door move kar raha hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke EUR/USD market abhi bhi ek strong bullish trend mein hai. Is trend ko support karne wale strong bullish candlesticks ne buyers ko advantage diya hai, taake wo EUR/USD pair ka price aur bhi higher le ja sakein, agla target hai strong seller supply resistance area jo ke 1.1280-1.1290 ke price par hai, agle hafte ke trading session mein.

Agle hafte Monday ke trading session mein ek initial bearish correction ho sakta hai, kyunke buyers ko sellers ki taraf se resistance ka samna ho sakta hai jo apna dynamic resistance area 1.1195-1.1199 par maintain karne ki koshish karenge. Is bearish movement ka pehla target buyer support area1.1165-1.1160 par ho sakta hai. Agar price is support area ke neeche nahi ja paata, toh phir price dubara upward bullish trend mein aa sakta hai, aur EUR/USD ka next target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1245-1.1250 tak pohnch sakta hai. Moving Average ko trend strength monitor karne ke liye use karna bohat effective strategy hai, especially jab resistance aur support levels ko identify karna ho. Pending order buy stop aur sell stop strategy bhi agle hafte ke price movements ko anticipate karne ke liye acha plan hai. Umeed hai ke aapki entry expectations ke mutabiq hogi aur maximum profit generate karegi.

Kal Tuesday ko EUR/USD pair ne ek tez aur kaafi mazboot upward movement dekhi. Kal ke macroeconomic data par market ka reaction bilkul usi tarah tha jaise koi textbook chapter kehta hai ke "Market kaise trade karta hai jab wo kisi certain direction mein biased ho." Aam tor par, U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) ne is poori upward movement ko trigger kiya. Yeh indicator annual basis par forecast se 0.1% ziada kam hua aur monthly basis par bhi forecast se 0.1% kam tha. Market ne is information ko asar yeh samjha ke foran dollar bechna chahiye, kyun ke ek inflation indicator formally slow down ho gaya hai.
Filhal, U.S. inflation ke kisi bhi deceleration se dollar collapse ho sakta hai kyunki market ko Federal Reserve ki rate cut ka intezar hai pichle saat mahinon se. Hum itni strong reaction ki umeed nahi kar rahe the ek routine report par, lekin market ne phir se apni readiness dikha di ke kisi bhi formal wajah ko use kar sakti hai apni expectations ko justify karne ke liye ke Fed rate cut karega September mein. Phir bhi, EUR/USD pair ab bhi horizontal channel 1.0600–1.1000 ke andar hai.

Tuesday ko 5-minute time frame par kuch trading signals banay, aur movement kaafi favorable thi. Pehla sell signal 1.0940 ke level ke aas-paas tha, jo ke false nikla, lekin trade ko break-even par close kiya ja sakta tha kyunki price intended direction mein 15 pips se zyada move ki. Phir, ek buy signal banay 1.0940 ke level par, jis ne profit generate kiya. Us ke baad, price ne 10th level ko touch kiya, jahan manually profit realize kiya ja sakta tha.

Trading tips for Wednesday:

EUR/USD ne short-term downward trend ko hourly time frame mein break kiya, lekin ab tak 1.10 level se exceed nahi kiya. Hum samajhte hain ke euro ne apne sab bullish factors ko fully factor in kar liya hai, isliye hum sustained upward movement ki umeed nahi karte. 24-hour time frame mein ab bhi ek flat trend hai 1.06-1.10 range ke andar. Magar, market lagatar yeh dikhati hai ke U.S. inflation mein kisi bhi deceleration se dollar ki panic selling hoti hai. Aaj inflation report release hogi.

Wednesday ko, novice traders downward reversal ki umeed kar sakte hain kyunki price phir se horizontal channel ke upper boundary ke kareeb hai 1.0600–1.1000. Magar, aaj ka U.S. inflation report asaani se dollar mein ek nayi drop ko trigger kar sakta hai.

5M time frame par key levels yeh hain:

1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726–1.0733, 1.0797–1.0804, 1.0838–1.0856, 1.0888–1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1043, aur 1.1091. Wednesday ko, Eurozone GDP ke second quarter aur industrial production par reports release karne wala hai. Magar yeh data U.S. inflation report ke muqablay mein secondary consider kiya ja sakta hai.

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Takniki nuqtah nazar se, 4-ghante aur 1-ghante ke chart par kam hote trading volume ko dekhte hue, kal ka rujhan wazeh taur par mandi ka shikar tha. Aaj, market ki suratehal ghair yaqini hai. H4 stochastic indicator niche se ooper ki taraf roju kar chuka hai, jo ek mukhtasar muddati tezi se reversal ka ishara karta hai. H4 growth index apni sab se zyada tez readings par bana hua hai, jiska matlab hai keh haftawar chart par ooper ka rujhan ab bhi barqarar hai.
1-ghante ke chart se pata chalta hai keh Asian session ke aaghaz se hi markat ka jazbat mandi ka hai. Halankeh, kharidar euro ko 1.11300 ki satah se ooper ki taraf badhane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Haqiqat me, growth index aur trading volume filhal farokht ke ilaqe me hai, jabkeh stochastic indicator manfi ho chuke hain. Iska matlab yah hai keh is bat ka zyada imkan hai keh euro/dollar ki jodi niche ki taraf palat jayegi. Khas taur par, kaledi muzahmat aur support satah balatartib taur par 1.11300 aur 1.11020 hain.
Haqiqat me, istehkam is waqt yaumiyah chart ki bulandi par ho raha hai. Iske bad, imkan hai keh euro/dollar ki jodi kamzori ko dobara shuru karegi. Agar qimat 1.1102 ki support satah ko tod deti hai to, European currency ke 1.10742 ke nishan tak girne ki ummid hai. Itni aham rally ke sath, euro/dollar ki jodi niche ki taraf jane se pahle 1.11020 - 1.11645 ki range me ek din se zyada waqt tak sideways me trading kar sakti hai. Yaumiyah ascending channel ki nichli hadd, 1.10742 ki kami ke aaghaz ki nishandahi karegi.

EUR/USD D1 chart

Euro ko European Central Bank (ECB) ke pessimistic outlook ke karan headwinds ka saamna hai, jo ki Eurozone ke economic future par hai. ECB ke recent statements se suggest hota hai ki inflation decline kar sakta hai, September mein rate cut ki possibility ko wide open chor deta hai. Meanwhile, US Dollar (USD) ne strengthen kiya hai, July 11 se highest level par pahunchaya hai, rising US Treasury bond yields se boost mila hai.

Yeh boost, risk-averse market sentiment ke sath, Greenback ke safe-haven appeal ko bolster kiya hai aur EUR/USD pair par downward pressure exert kiya hai. Market sentiment ko Donald Trump ke potential victory ki anticipation ne further weigh down kiya hai, upcoming US presidential election mein November mein.

Investors Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data ke liye wait kar rahe hain, jo financial markets mein another layer of uncertainty add karega. Pair ko upper boundary of its ascending channel par significant resistance mil sakta hai, around 1.1250 level par. Break above is resistance se pair ko 1.1200 region ki taraf push kar sakta hai, jo throwback resistance level ke taur par act kar sakta hai.





Sirf very strong US statistics dollar ko Jerome Powell ke speech se pehle position regain karne mein madad karega, lekin is scenario ko bhi question kiya ja sakta hai, kyunki euro ko sell karne ke liye real reasons nahi hain. Agar euro rise karne ki koshish karta hai, main sellers ko 1.1157 resistance level par act karne ki ummeed karta hoon, jo hum first half of the day mein break nahi kar paaye. False breakout ki formation wahan, similar to earlier discussion, short positions open karne ka reason hoga, targeting decline toward 1.1129 support level.

Breakout aur consolidation is range se neeche, along with retest from bottom up, another selling opportunity provide karega, targeting 1.1102 area, jahan main more active buyer interest ki ummeed karta hoon. Ultimate target 1.1073 area hoga, jahan main profits lock karunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein rise karti hai, extending trend, aur bears 1.1157 par show nahi karte (jo ki zyada likely hai), buyers ko further significant growth ki chance milegi. Is case mein, main selling ko postpone karunga next resistance 1.1188 test hone tak. Main wahan bhi sell karunga lekin only failed consolidation ke baad. Main 1.1226 se rebound par short positions open karunga, targeting downward correction 30-35 points

Price Action Analysis: EUR/USD

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis karne ja rahe hain. Euro-dollar pair ne downward trend ko signal karna jari rakha hai, aur bearish extreme ne 1.0839 par pahunch kiya hai. Is level ki taraf move Monday ko shuru ho sakti hai. Uptrend ki upper boundary ko test karne ke baad, pullback hua hai, jo suggest karta hai ki next step lower boundary 1.0839 par test karne ka hai.

EUR/USD ne daily chart par four consecutive days se decline kiya hai, lekin yeh losses modest hain, kyunki upward trend already ho chuki hai. Main current decline ko 1.0839 area ki taraf retracement ke taur par interpret karta hoon, uske baad main rebound ki anticipation karta hoon. Agar aisa rebound hota hai, to main 1.1029-39 range mein euro ko buy karne ka plan karta hoon.

Yeh currency pair mere expectations ko exceed kar chuki hai, recently 10th figure ko touch karti hui aur 1.1008 par pahunchti hai. Bullish direction well raha hai, aur ab hum pullback dekh rahe hain jo 1.0839 ke around shuru hui, likely non-farm payroll data se influence hokar.

Buyers ne 10th figure ko achieve kiya without waiting for significant corrections, mere expectation ke against ki yeh process few days lega. Bulls ne price ko 1.089 se sharp impulse ke saath upar kiya, lekin previous week bullish traders ke liye unfavourable raha. Lekin EUR/USD pair ne decline shuru kiya, aur resistance 1.109 ne selling pressure ka onset kiya. Usne correction ki shuruwat ki, stop 1.089-1.0919 par. Buyers ne price ko 1.0949 par push karne ki koshish ki, lekin unclear hai ki growth ka surge "Black Monday" ki wajah se hua ya nahi, lekin yeh plausible lagta hai ki yeh event dollar ko impact kiya.

Week ka low 1.0879 raha, lekin continued pressure bears par rahegi. Daily timeframe mein resistance 1.0959-69 par hai, jo bulls break nahi kar sakte, leading to further consolidation
Kal ke liye, maine intraday range 1.0908–1.0931 determine kiya hai. Agar yeh level update hota hai - both from above aur below - to yeh price movement direction ko indicate karega within the day.

Zyada closely dekhne par, H1 chart par 1.0960 par, kuch obstacles buyers ke liye observe kiye jate hain. Obstacle not only price increase ko stop kar sakta hai but also cause it to fall. Sellers ke liye, system show karta hai ki path clear hai, easily walk down kar sakte hain 1.0830 tak.

Isse hum ek very simple conclusion draw karte hain: agar hum upper level 1.0931 ko update karte hain, to hum easily path ko overcome kar sakte hain 1.0960 tak. Aur agar hum lower level 1.0908 ko update karte hain, to hum walk down kar sakte hain 1.0830 tak, agar hum manage kar sakte hain, of course