یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

Foreign exchange market, khaaskar EUR/USD currency pair ke hawale se, iss waqt economic aur political factors ke complex interplay se mutasir hai. Aik bara factor jo recent shifts ko drive kar raha hai EUR/USD exchange rate mein, woh hai yeh badhtee hui anticipation ke U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) jald interest rates reduce kar sakta hai. Yeh expectation Euro ko U.S. Dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot kar rahi hai, halaanke France mein political uncertainty se Eurozone ki economic stability ko jo risks hai, woh abhi bhi wujood mein hain.

Market observers Fed ko closely watch kar rahe hain, aur yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke central bank September tak rate cuts start kar sakta hai. Is outlook mein shift ka asal sabab hai softer U.S. economic indicators, jaise ke slow job growth, kam hote inflationary pressures, aur is current economic expansion ki longevity par concerns. Investors yeh factor kar rahe hain ke Fed shayad monetary policy ko ease karein taake economic growth ko support milay aur possible recession ko avert kiya ja sake.

Lower U.S. interest rates ka prospect aam tor par U.S. Dollar ko weaken karta hai, kyun ke reduced rates dollar-denominated assets par returns ko kam kar dete hain, jo investors ke liye kam attractive hote hain. Iske natija mein, Euro ne traction gain kiya hai, jab investors higher yields ya stable alternatives ki talash mein hain. Natijatan, EUR/USD pair ne ek positive trend show kiya hai, jisme Euro ne recent trades mein Dollar ke muqablay mein appreciate kiya hai.

Lekin, Euro ki gains ko France mein barhte hue political uncertainty ne moderate kar diya hai, jo ke ek bara Eurozone economy hai. French hukumat ko kaafi challenges ka samna hai, jisme widespread protests aur strikes shamil hain, jo proposed pension reforms ke response mein hain. Yeh domestic issues France mein potential economic disruptions ke concerns ko barha rahe hain, jo Eurozone ke liye broader implications rakhte hain.



France ki political situation Euro ke outlook ko complex banati hai. Jahan Fed rate cuts ka potential support milta hai, wahin France mein political tensions ke barhne se investor confidence Euro mein erode ho sakta hai. Yeh ek delicate balance create karta hai EUR/USD pair ke liye, jahan traders Fed policy ke supportive impact aur Eurozone mein political instability se hone wale risks ke darmiyan weigh kar rahe hain

اگست 13 2024 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

جب کہ آسٹریلوی ڈالر 0.6570 کی سطح اور 50% ریٹریسمنٹ لیول سے اوپر مستحکم ہو رہا تھا، مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں چلا گیا۔



کل دوپہر، قیمت ان سطحوں سے اوپر آ گئی، اور اب 0.6640 ہدف، جو کہ 61.8% ریٹریسمنٹ لیول اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے قریب ہے، کھلا ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، کنسولیڈیشن تیزی کے موڈ میں ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اوپر کی طرف مڑ گئی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نرم ہو گیا ہے، نیوٹرل زیرو لائن پر گر رہا ہے، اور اب اوپر کی طرف مڑنے کے لیے تیار ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Pichle haftay ke aaghaz par, EurUsd market pair mein phir se buyers ka dominance dekha gaya jo price ko control mein rakhne mein kamiyab rahe. Buyers ne bearish pace ko rok kar price ko 1.0913-1.0915 ke support area mein barqarar rakha aur price ko phir se upar ki taraf move karwaya, lekin movement abhi bhi limited hai yaani ke sideways chal rahi hai.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ka jaiza lene par dekha gaya ke price ya candle Yellow MA 200 area se door chal rahi hai, jo ke 1.0830-1.0832 par hai, jahan buyers ne price ko barqarar rakha hai aur bullish candlesticks dominant hain. Aaj EurUsd market pair par trading bullish rahegi aur price ko 1.1000-1.1005 ke strong seller supply resistance area ki taraf barhane ka target hoga, jo ke abhi tak buyers ke liye ek rukawat bana hua hai.

Tuesday ko trading abhi bhi buyers ke dominance mein hai jo apne bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur price ko upar ki taraf lekar seller resistance area ko test kar rahe hain, jo ke 1.0944-1.0945 par hai. Is area ko break karke higher bullish opportunities ke liye raasta khul sakta hai, agla target 1.0990-1.0995 ke strong seller supply resistance area tak ho sakta hai. Lekin sellers ko bhi yeh mauqa mil sakta hai ke price ko niche push kar saken agar wo resistance area mein bullish buyer's pace ko rokne mein kamiyab rahe. Iska target buyer's support area 1.0915-1.0913 tak ho sakta hai.

Nateejah:

Buy trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price seller's resistance area ko break kar de. Iske liye pending buy stop order 1.0943-1.0945 par place kiya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.0990-1.0995 par set kiya ja sakta hai.

Sell trading options tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price buyer's support area ko break kar de. Iske liye pending sell stop order 1.0915-1.0913 par place kiya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.0893-1.0890 par set kiya ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD H4


ہم اپنی گفتگو میں EUR/USD کرنسی جوڑی کی قیمت میں تبدیلیوں کا تجزیہ کریں گے۔ پاول نے ECB فورم میں تقریر کی اور ہمیشہ کی طرح، امریکی ڈالر کو "گرا دیا"، حالانکہ لگارڈ نے ان سے پہلے بولتے ہوئے یورو کی تھوڑی سی حمایت کی۔ پاول نے کچھ نیا نہیں کہا، EUR/USD نے 1.0739 کی سطح کو عبور کر لیا اور 1.0749 کی مزاحمت کے قریب پہنچ گیا۔ EMA-200 کی طرف سے نشان زد اہم مزاحمتی سطح 1.0759 پر ہے۔ یہ واضح نہیں ہے کہ مارکیٹ نے پاول کے اس طرح کے رد عمل کا مظاہرہ کیوں کیا، کیونکہ اس کے تبصرے کوئی بڑی بات نہیں تھے۔ انہوں نے ذکر کیا کہ لیبر مارکیٹ اب بھی مضبوط ہے، افراط زر 2% کے قریب نہیں ہے، اور عدم افراط زر کی علامات ہیں۔ لگارڈ نے یہ بھی تبصرہ کیا کہ اگرچہ افراط زر صحیح سمت میں جا رہا ہے، یہ نتیجہ اخذ کرنا بہت جلد ہوگا کہ یہ یکساں رہے گا۔ پاول نے اس بات پر زور دیا کہ فیڈ اپنے فیصلوں میں جلدی نہیں کر سکتا اور یہ کہ امریکہ اور یورپ میں افراط زر مختلف مسائل ہیں جن کے لیے مختلف نقطہ نظر کی ضرورت ہے۔ ان کے تبصروں کے باوجود، مارکیٹ امریکی ڈالر خریدنے کے لیے ہچکچاہٹ کا شکار ہے۔

یورپ میں سیاسی پیش رفت نے مارکیٹ کے جذبات کو نمایاں طور پر متاثر کیا ہے، خاص طور پر یورپی پارلیمانی انتخابات جنہوں نے یورو پر اعتماد کو متاثر کیا ہے۔ فرانس کے صدر ایمانوئل میکرون کی جانب سے یورپی یونین کے پارلیمنٹ کے انتخابات میں بھاری شکست کے بعد پارلیمنٹ کو تحلیل کرنے اور فوری انتخابات کرانے کے فیصلے نے مارکیٹ کی غیر یقینی صورتحال میں اضافہ کیا ہے۔ میرین لی پین، جو نیشنل ریلی کی ایک دائیں بازو کی قدامت پسند سیاست دان ہیں، کے میکرون کی جگہ لینے کے امکان نے مالیاتی منڈیوں کو ہلا کر رکھ دیا ہے۔ لی پین کے پلیٹ فارم میں ٹیکسوں میں زبردست کمی، ریٹائرمنٹ کی عمر میں کمی، اور سخت امیگریشن کنٹرول شامل ہیں، جس نے فرانس میں کافی مقبولیت حاصل کی ہے۔

لی پین کی فتح کے امکانات یورپی مالیاتی منڈیوں میں تشویش پیدا کر رہے ہیں۔ ان کی پالیسیاں اس وقت اہم مالیاتی چیلنجز پیدا کر سکتی ہیں جب یورپی اقتصادی اشاریے پہلے ہی کم کارکردگی کا مظاہرہ کر رہے ہیں۔ مزید برآں، یورپی مرکزی بینک (ECB) یورو زون کے اندر جاری افراط زر کے مسائل کی وجہ سے شرح میں کمی کے نفاذ کے قابل نہیں ہے۔

Main aapki tawajjo M15 time frame ke linear regression channel ki taraf dilwana chahta hoon, jo ke upwards slope kar raha hai, aur ye buyers ke trend ka izhar kar raha hai. Is beech bears bhi apni activity dikha rahe hain, jo price ko neeche push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Main observe kar raha hoon ke price 1.09196 se neeche break kar rahi hai, jo channel ki lower boundary 1.09228 ke bahar hai, aur ye 1.09095 tak ke possible decline ka signal de sakta hai. Lekin, ye bhi worth noting hai ke 1.09095 ke level par buyers ki taraf se sellers ko strong resistance face karna par sakta hai. Analysis suggest karta hai ke 1.09095 tak sell kiya ja sakta hai, lekin main recommend karta hoon ke is level par positions close kar den ya at least order ko breakeven par secure kar len. Jaise ke hamesha, ehtiyaat aur proper risk management successful trading ke key principles hain!

Mera strategic goal hai ke main downtrend par position hold karun aur 1.09095 ke level par barrier ko break karun. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hourly channel ke position ko bhi madde nazar rakha jaye kyunki yeh downward movement ko limit kar sakta hai. Isliye, main sabhi risks ko consider karta hoon aur necessary analysis conduct karta hoon taake losses ko protect aur minimize kiya ja sake.

Hourly chart par, linear regression channel bhi upwards slope kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai jo market par dominate kar rahe hain. Is case mein, H1 channel M15 se zyada significance rakhta hai. Agar channel ki lower boundary 1.09095 tak pohanchi, to yeh ek strong buyer ka izhar ho sakta hai. Filhal, M15 par linear regression ek correction suggest karta hai, jiske baad bulls zyada active ho sakte hain. Agar market 1.09095 ke level par hold karta hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jo ek accha idea ho sakta hai. Target 1.09425 ka hoga. Is target ko achieve karne ke baad, agar koi active seller 1.09425 ke level par appear hota hai to market ka direction bearish ho sakta hai. Agar price 1.09095 ke neeche break kar jata hai, to yeh selling ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

Ab hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Friday ko, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya tha planned sideways movement ke andar, jo ke 9th din se qaim hai. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se exit nahi kiya, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi continue karega. Lekin, Tuesday aur Wednesday tak, jab economic calendar active ho jayega, tab hum consolidation se break dekh sakte hain. Critical sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, lekin breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunki theoretically yeh dono taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart potential targets ko illustrate karta hai is movement ke liye. Yeh predict karna challenging hai ke EUR/USD pair ka upcoming trading week mein kis taraf break hoga, especially given ke resistance ka narrow range, jo ke 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke beech identify kiya gaya hai, iski recent decline ke darmiyan.

Lekin, agar price is range ke upar stabilize ho jati hai, to bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Main estimate karta hoon ke dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance hai, halaan ke main thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean karta hoon. Price mein lower boundary of the triangle, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke ird gird hai, tak retreat karne ka potential hai. Iske bawajood, upside breakout zyada feasible lag raha hai. Price current upper boundary ko break karne ya neeche move karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, halaan ke ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi. Isliye, main maximum ko update karne ki possibility 1.1009 tak rule out nahi kar sakta. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, weakening ke signs zahir hain. Hum index mein further decline dekh sakte hain, jo ke minimum ko 102.14 tak update kar sakta hai

Euro dheere dheere upar ki taraf barh raha hai, aur ye chal jhonk kharidar aur bechne wale dono traders ke liye nerv-wracking sabit ho rahi hai. Sellers is intezaar mein hain ke kab price giray, aur yeh price fluctuations unko lagataar pareshaan kar rahi hain. Dosri taraf, buyers is intezaar mein hain ke price unke target levels tak pohonche, aur har pullback unki position ko emotional decision-making ki taraf le jaata hai.

Ab tak, sab kuch plan ke mutabiq chal raha hai. Humein kaafi signals mil rahe hain jo ke upside ki taraf hain, aur yeh sab H4 (ya phir even daily) higher timeframe ko follow kar rahe hain. Hourly timeframe par bhi signal hai, aur M15 par bhi. Pehli chart mein, main is waqt M15 par discussion kar raha hoon aur socha tha ke yeh kal tak play out ho jata. Purple bar jo level 1.09456 tak hai, us signal ka potential dikhata hai. Is signal ke boundaries Fibonacci levels 0.0% aur 100% se marked hain. Hamare case mein, 100% target ko represent karta hai, jabke 0.0% risk level hai jo ke 1.08812 par hai. Jab tak yeh levels nahi pohonchti, signal idea valid hai. Agar Euro ne zyada pull back kiya aur target levels tak nahi pohonch saka, toh 1.09026 aur/ya 1.08964 se long positions enter karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Pehli case mein, risk-to-reward ratio 1:2 hoga, aur doosri case mein 1:3.

Filhaal, humein M15 timeframe par sell signal mila hai. Lekin, hum yahan sell enter nahi kar rahe. Yeh signal ya to play out ho sakta hai ya phir ek correction ke baad reversal mein badal sakta hai. Agar ab buys enter ki jayein, toh risk level choose karne mein mushkilat hogi. Maine fractals ko red rectangles mein mark kiya hai, lekin inki taadad zyada hai aur ye samajhna mushkil hai ke risk kahan place karein. Aakhri fractal ke peeche try kiya ja sakta hai, jo filhaal sell signal de raha hai. Agar yeh reversal mein badalta hai, toh ek short stop-loss ke sath acha potential capture karna mumkin hai. Lekin is idea mein sahi risk overall 1.08812 ke beyond hona chahiye. Isliye humein heraan nahi hona chahiye agar Euro achanak liquidity grab kare, aur levels 1.09026 aur/ya 1.08964
tak pohonch jaye

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajzia karne ja rahe hain. Jumma ke din, humne EUR/USD pair ko H1 time frame par trade kiya jo ke planned sideways movement mein tha, jo ke 9th tareekh se barqarar hai. Jaise ke umeed thi, humne weekend se pehle is sideways pattern se nikalne ki tawaqo nahi ki thi, aur Monday ko yeh range mein hi rehne ke imkaanat hain. Lekin Tuesday aur Wednesday ko, jab economic calendar active hoga, toh yeh consolidation se break dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Bunyadi sawal yeh hai ke market kis direction mein move karega, magar breakout direction ko predict karna mushkil hai kyunke yeh theoretically kisi bhi taraf ho sakta hai. Attached chart mein is movement ke potential targets ko dekha ja sakta hai.

Aane wale trading week mein EUR/USD pair kis taraf break karega, yeh bilkul predict karna mushkil hai, khaaskar jab ke recent decline ke dauran resistance ka narrow range 1.0966 aur 1.0947 ke darmiyan identify hua hai.

Magar, agar price is range ke upar stabilize hoti hai, toh bulls ko ek fresh local maximum ki taraf drive kar sakta hai. Mein dono scenarios ke liye 50% chance ka andaza laga raha hoon, halan ke mein thoda bullish outcome ki taraf lean kar raha hoon. Yeh potential hai ke price triangle ke lower boundary tak retreat kar sakti hai, jo ke minimum level 1.0449 ke qareeb hai. Iske bawajood, ek upside breakout zyada feasible lagta hai. Price shayad current upper boundary ko break karne ki koshish kare ya phir neeche move kare, halan ke abhi tak yeh lower boundary tak nahi pohnchi hai. Isliye, maximum ko update karne ka imkaan 1.1009 tak abhi bhi baqi hai. U.S. Dollar Index ko dekhte hue, kamzori ke asar zahir ho rahe hain. Hum index mein mazeed decline dekh sakte hain, jo ke minimum 102.14 ko update kar sakta hai.

Jadeed tareen market data ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ek dynamic trading environment se guzar raha hai jahan kai technical indicators ahem insights fraham kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ka mojooda price ek ahem level ke qareeb hai jahan resistance aur support wazeh tor par dikhai de rahe hain. Filhal ka resistance level 1.2200 par hai, jo kai martaba test ho chuka hai, yeh upward movement ke liye ek strong barrier ban gaya hai. Neeche ke side par, support level 1.2000 ke qareeb hai, jo ek critical threshold hai jo kai dafa test aur hold kar chuka hai, aur decline ko rok raha hai. Candlestick patterns bullish aur bearish sentiments ka mix dikhate hain, recent candles lambi wicks ke sath traders ke darmiyan indecision ko zahir kar rahi hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) filhal 55 par hai, jo neutral zone mein hai aur yeh indicate karta hai ke market na to overbought hai na oversold, is se yeh lagta hai ke market dono taraf move kar sakta hai depending on upcoming market catalysts. Dosray technical indicators ke lehaz se, 50-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) filhal 200-period EMA ke neeche hai, jo longer term mein bearish trend ko signal karta hai. Bollinger Bands relatively tight hain, jo lower volatility ko zahir karti hain, aur price filhal middle band ke qareeb hai, jo ek balanced market ka ishara hai. Zigzag indicator recent higher highs aur higher lows dikhata hai, jo yeh hint deta hai ke agar price resistance level ko break kar sakta hai to ek possible uptrend ho sakta hai. Demand Index, jo buying aur selling pressure ko measure karta hai, moderately positive hai, jo buyers ko slight edge deta hai. Stochastic Oscillator 65 par hai, overbought zone se door hota huwa lekin upper range mein, jo cautious optimism ko zahir karta hai. Aakhir mein, Average True Range (ATR), jo market volatility ko measure karta hai, 0.0020 par hai, jo relatively stable market conditions ko zahir karta hai lekin potential breakout movements ke sath. Overall, EUR/USD pair filhal ek well-defined range mein trade kar raha hai, in technical indicators ke combination se yeh suggest hota hai ke traders ko potential shifts in market dynamics ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt mazboot bullish trend dikhayi de rahi hai, jo traders aur investors ke liye forex market mein upward momentum se faida uthana ka ek acha mauka ban rahi hai. Technical analysis kuch ahem factors ko samne rakhti hai jo is positive outlook mein hissa daal rahe hain.

### Strong Bullish Rebound

Haal hi mein EUR/USD pair ne 1.1000 se neeche ke levels se ek significant rebound experience kiya hai. 1.0950 ke upar thodi der tak test karne ke baad, pair ne resilience aur strength dikhayi hai. Ye upward movement ahem hai kyunke ye pair ki taqat ko highlight karta hai ke wo recover karke upar ja sakti hai, chahe market pressures bhi ho.

### 200-Day EMA Ke Upar Break

Ek notable technical indicator pair ka 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar move karna hai, jo 1.0826 par hai. 200-day EMA ko traders aur analysts ke liye long-term bullish aur bearish trends ke darmiyan ek key dividing line maana jata hai. Is level ko cross karna ek significant bullish signal hai, jo ye suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD pair ek strong short-term upward momentum phase mein dakhil ho rahi hai. Ye 200-day EMA ke upar crossover market sentiment mein shift ko indicate karta hai, jo traders ki tawajjo ko attract karta hai jo is bullish trend se faida uthana chahte hain.

### Favorable Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi ek ahem tool hai jo pair ke momentum ko assess karne mein madad karta hai. Abhi ke liye, RSI 60 ke aas paas hai, jo overbought territory mein nahi hai. Ye suggest karta hai ke bullish trend ke paas aur aage barhne ki gunjaish hai bina kisi immediate reversal ke risk ke. 60 ke aas paas ka reading ye dikhata hai ke buying momentum abhi bhi strong hai, jo traders ko upward trend ke continuation mein confidence deta hai
### Increased Trading Volumes
Volume analysis EUR/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko mazid mazbooti deta hai. Haal ke trading volumes ne upward movement ke dauran izafa dikhaya hai, jo market participation aur current trend ke liye support ko indicate karta hai. High trading volumes aksar significant price movements se pehle aati hain, jo ongoing bullish trend ko credibility deti hain. Ye solid market participation ka base upward momentum ki strength ko underline karta hai aur bullish signals ki reliability ko enhance karta hai
### Positive MACD Crossover
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi bullish trend ko support karta hai. Ek positive crossover hua hai, jisme MACD line signal line ke upar cross hui hai. Ye technical signal aam tor par ek bullish indicator ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo ye suggest karta hai ke recent upward momentum barqarar rehne ka imkan hai. MACD crossover overall bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai aur current trend ke liye additional confirmation provide karta hai
Click image for larger version

Trading time window par Tuesday ko EurUsd market pair par buyers ka dominance tha. Buyers ne EurUsd pair ke price ko control mein le liya jab sellers jo dominate kar rahe the, woh 1.0920-1.0918 ke support area ko tod nahi paaye. Is support area ke upar buyers ne strong bullish pressure daala aur price ko kaafi strong bullish movement ke saath upar le aaye. Moving Average indicator ko Daily time window par monitor karte hue, candle dekhne ko mil rahi hai jo Yellow MA 200 area se door ja rahi hai, jo 1.0830-1.0832 par hai. Ye area buyers ke liye support bana hua hai aur bullish candlestick dominance ke saath price ko upar le jaane ki strength de raha hai. Agla target strong seller supply resistance area 1.1110-1.1115 hai jo EurUsd pair ke market movement ke liye important hoga.

Wednesday ko trading start hone ke baad sellers ka resistance dekhne ko mil raha hai jo bullish buyers ko rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price bearish correction ke liye move kar sakti hai jo 1.0970-1.0965 ke buyer support area tak pahunchegi. Agar sellers is area ko todne mein successful hote hain, toh price 1.0940-1.0938 tak weaken ho sakti hai. Lekin agar sellers is area ko nahi todte, toh buyers price ko dobara bullish banayenge aur agla target seller resistance area 1.1027-1.1030 hoga. EURUSD pair chart data se yeh pata chal raha hai ke candlestick 1.0778 ke lowest level se door ja rahi hai, jo strong bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Mujhe yakin hai ke bullish price continuation hoga, isliye BUY trading ke opportunities par focus karna chahiye. Is hafte price increase market mein turmoil create kar sakti hai aur price ko upar push kar sakti hai. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line abhi bhi level 70 par hai, jo bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Market ke this afternoon ke low activity ko dekhte hue, price sideways movement dikhane ki sambhavana hai. Lekin zyada chances hain ke price higher move kare aur bullish potential 1.1010 ke level ko break kar sakta hai.

Price ab resistance zone mein trade kar rahi hai kyunki price upper triangle line aur weekly pivot level ka saamna kar rahi hai. Iss hafta, price ne 4-hour chart par white color mein mark kiye gaye triangle ke andar trading shuru ki, jo ke price channels ke overlap ka nateeja hai. In mein se ek bearish red color mein hai, jo ke pichle haftay ke doran price movement ke direction ko zahir karta hai, aur doosra blue color mein, jo ke pichle do hafton ke doran price movement ka upward direction zahir karta hai.

Isliye, umeed hai ke price triangle ke andar sideways direction mein move karegi pehle ke ye triangle ko break karne mein kamyab ho aur naye direction ko tay kare.

Pair par trade karne ke liye, hamare paas current level se ek achi selling opportunity hai, jahan stop loss level ko price triangle ke upar set karna hai aur target level ko lower triangle line ke upar set karna hai.

Buying opportunity ka asar tab hoga jab price triangle ko upar ki taraf break karegi aur 4 trading hours ke liye triangle ke upar stable ho jayegi.

Economic side par, Euro Dollar ka performance narrow range mein rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin neeche ki taraf ziada neutral tendency ke sath jab tak ke financial markets is hafta US inflation figures ke elan aur US Federal Reserve officials ke statements par react na karein.



US interest rate policy ke mustaqbil par... Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne kaha ke wo ab bhi inflation risks ko positive dekhti hain aur rate cuts ke hawalay se ehtiyaat pasand hain... Unho ne ye bhi kaha ke ab bhi wo inflation risks ko positive dekhti hain aur labor market mein mazid mazbooti dekh rahi hain, jo ye zahir karta hai ke wo September mein US central bankers ke milne par rate cut ko support karne ke liye tayyar nahi hain. “May aur June mein inflation kam hone mein progress ek achi baat hai, lekin inflation ab bhi committee ke 2% goal se khatarnaak tor par upar hai,” Bowman ne Colorado Springs mein Kansas Bankers Association se aik speech ke doran kaha, jahan wo Fed ke interest rate-setting committee ka hawala de rahi thin. “Main current policy stance mein adjustments karne par apne ehtiyaat pasand approach par qayam rahungi,” unho ne mazeed kaha

Kal Tuesday ko EUR/USD pair ne ek tez aur kaafi mazboot upward movement dekhi. Kal ke macroeconomic data par market ka reaction bilkul usi tarah tha jaise koi textbook chapter kehta hai ke "Market kaise trade karta hai jab wo kisi certain direction mein biased ho." Aam tor par, U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) ne is poori upward movement ko trigger kiya. Yeh indicator annual basis par forecast se 0.1% ziada kam hua aur monthly basis par bhi forecast se 0.1% kam tha. Market ne is information ko asar yeh samjha ke foran dollar bechna chahiye, kyun ke ek inflation indicator formally slow down ho gaya hai.

Filhal, U.S. inflation ke kisi bhi deceleration se dollar collapse ho sakta hai kyunki market ko Federal Reserve ki rate cut ka intezar hai pichle saat mahinon se. Hum itni strong reaction ki umeed nahi kar rahe the ek routine report par, lekin market ne phir se apni readiness dikha di ke kisi bhi formal wajah ko use kar sakti hai apni expectations ko justify karne ke liye ke Fed rate cut karega September mein. Phir bhi, EUR/USD pair ab bhi horizontal channel 1.0600–1.1000 ke andar hai.

Tuesday ko 5-minute time frame par kuch trading signals banay, aur movement kaafi favorable thi. Pehla sell signal 1.0940 ke level ke aas-paas tha, jo ke false nikla, lekin trade ko break-even par close kiya ja sakta tha kyunki price intended direction mein 15 pips se zyada move ki. Phir, ek buy signal banay 1.0940 ke level par, jis ne profit generate kiya. Us ke baad, price ne 10th level ko touch kiya, jahan manually profit realize kiya ja sakta tha.

Trading tips for Wednesday:

EUR/USD ne short-term downward trend ko hourly time frame mein break kiya, lekin ab tak 1.10 level se exceed nahi kiya. Hum samajhte hain ke euro ne apne sab bullish factors ko fully factor in kar liya hai, isliye hum sustained upward movement ki umeed nahi karte. 24-hour time frame mein ab bhi ek flat trend hai 1.06-1.10 range ke andar. Magar, market lagatar yeh dikhati hai ke U.S. inflation mein kisi bhi deceleration se dollar ki panic selling hoti hai. Aaj inflation report release hogi.

Wednesday ko, novice traders downward reversal ki umeed kar sakte hain kyunki price phir se horizontal channel ke upper boundary ke kareeb hai 1.0600–1.1000. Magar, aaj ka U.S. inflation report asaani se dollar mein ek nayi drop ko trigger kar sakta hai.

1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726–1.0733, 1.0797–1.0804, 1.0838–1.0856, 1.0888–1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1043, aur 1.1091. Wednesday ko, Eurozone GDP ke second quarter aur industrial production par reports release karne wala hai. Magar yeh data U.S. inflation report ke muqablay mein secondary consider kiya ja sakta hai.

Kal Tuesday ko EUR/USD pair ne ek tez aur kaafi mazboot upward movement dekhi. Kal ke macroeconomic data par market ka reaction bilkul usi tarah tha jaise koi textbook chapter kehta hai ke "Market kaise trade karta hai jab wo kisi certain direction mein biased ho." Aam tor par, U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) ne is poori upward movement ko trigger kiya. Yeh indicator annual basis par forecast se 0.1% ziada kam hua aur monthly basis par bhi forecast se 0.1% kam tha. Market ne is information ko asar yeh samjha ke foran dollar bechna chahiye, kyun ke ek inflation indicator formally slow down ho gaya hai.

Filhal, U.S. inflation ke kisi bhi deceleration se dollar collapse ho sakta hai kyunki market ko Federal Reserve ki rate cut ka intezar hai pichle saat mahinon se. Hum itni strong reaction ki umeed nahi kar rahe the ek routine report par, lekin market ne phir se apni readiness dikha di ke kisi bhi formal wajah ko use kar sakti hai apni expectations ko justify karne ke liye ke Fed rate cut karega September mein. Phir bhi, EUR/USD pair ab bhi horizontal channel 1.0600–1.1000 ke andar hai.

Tuesday ko 5-minute time frame par kuch trading signals banay, aur movement kaafi favorable thi. Pehla sell signal 1.0940 ke level ke aas-paas tha, jo ke false nikla, lekin trade ko break-even par close kiya ja sakta tha kyunki price intended direction mein 15 pips se zyada move ki. Phir, ek buy signal banay 1.0940 ke level par, jis ne profit generate kiya. Us ke baad, price ne 10th level ko touch kiya, jahan manually profit realize kiya ja sakta tha.

**Trading tips for Wednesday:**

EUR/USD ne short-term downward trend ko hourly time frame mein break kiya, lekin ab tak 1.10 level se exceed nahi kiya. Hum samajhte hain ke euro ne apne sab bullish factors ko fully factor in kar liya hai, isliye hum sustained upward movement ki umeed nahi karte. 24-hour time frame mein ab bhi ek flat trend hai 1.06-1.10 range ke andar. Magar, market lagatar yeh dikhati hai ke U.S. inflation mein kisi bhi deceleration se dollar ki panic selling hoti hai. Aaj inflation report release hogi.

Wednesday ko, novice traders downward reversal ki umeed kar sakte hain kyunki price phir se horizontal channel ke upper boundary ke kareeb hai 1.0600–1.1000. Magar, aaj ka U.S. inflation report asaani se dollar mein ek nayi drop ko trigger kar sakta hai.

**5M time frame par key levels yeh hain:**

1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726–1.0733, 1.0797–1.0804, 1.0838–1.0856, 1.0888–1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1043, aur 1.1091. Wednesday ko, Eurozone GDP ke second quarter aur industrial production par reports release karne wala hai. Magar yeh data U.S. inflation report ke muqablay mein secondary consider kiya ja sakta hai.

Kal Tuesday ko EUR/USD pair ne ek tez aur kaafi mazboot upward movement dekhi. Kal ke macroeconomic data par market ka reaction bilkul usi tarah tha jaise koi textbook chapter kehta hai ke "Market kaise trade karta hai jab wo kisi certain direction mein biased ho." Aam tor par, U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) ne is poori upward movement ko trigger kiya. Yeh indicator annual basis par forecast se 0.1% ziada kam hua aur monthly basis par bhi forecast se 0.1% kam tha. Market ne is information ko asar yeh samjha ke foran dollar bechna chahiye, kyun ke ek inflation indicator formally slow down ho gaya hai.

Filhal, U.S. inflation ke kisi bhi deceleration se dollar collapse ho sakta hai kyunki market ko Federal Reserve ki rate cut ka intezar hai pichle saat mahinon se. Hum itni strong reaction ki umeed nahi kar rahe the ek routine report par, lekin market ne phir se apni readiness dikha di ke kisi bhi formal wajah ko use kar sakti hai apni expectations ko justify karne ke liye ke Fed rate cut karega September mein. Phir bhi, EUR/USD pair ab bhi horizontal channel 1.0600–1.1000 ke andar hai.

Tuesday ko 5-minute time frame par kuch trading signals banay, aur movement kaafi favorable thi. Pehla sell signal 1.0940 ke level ke aas-paas tha, jo ke false nikla, lekin trade ko break-even par close kiya ja sakta tha kyunki price intended direction mein 15 pips se zyada move ki. Phir, ek buy signal banay 1.0940 ke level par, jis ne profit generate kiya. Us ke baad, price ne 10th level ko touch kiya, jahan manually profit realize kiya ja sakta tha.

Trading tips for Wednesday:

EUR/USD ne short-term downward trend ko hourly time frame mein break kiya, lekin ab tak 1.10 level se exceed nahi kiya. Hum samajhte hain ke euro ne apne sab bullish factors ko fully factor in kar liya hai, isliye hum sustained upward movement ki umeed nahi karte. 24-hour time frame mein ab bhi ek flat trend hai 1.06-1.10 range ke andar. Magar, market lagatar yeh dikhati hai ke U.S. inflation mein kisi bhi deceleration se dollar ki panic selling hoti hai. Aaj inflation report release hogi.

Wednesday ko, novice traders downward reversal ki umeed kar sakte hain kyunki price phir se horizontal channel ke upper boundary ke kareeb hai 1.0600–1.1000. Magar, aaj ka U.S. inflation report asaani se dollar mein ek nayi drop ko trigger kar sakta hai.

5M time frame par key levels yeh hain:

1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726–1.0733, 1.0797–1.0804, 1.0838–1.0856, 1.0888–1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1043, aur 1.1091. Wednesday ko, Eurozone GDP ke second quarter aur industrial production par reports release karne wala hai. Magar yeh data U.S. inflation report ke muqablay mein secondary consider kiya ja sakta hai.

Tuesday ko, EUR/USD pair ne ek sharp aur relatively strong upward movement dekha. Market ka reaction kal ke macroeconomic data par is tarah tha jo ke textbook chapter ka hissa ban sakta hai, jisme "Market jab kisi specific direction mein biased hota hai toh kaise trade karta hai" discuss kiya jaye. Asal mein, U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) ne poori upward movement ko trigger kiya. Yeh indicator annual basis par forecast se 0.1% ziyada slow down hua aur monthly basis par forecast se 0.1% neechay tha. Market ne is information ko dollar sell karne ke signal ke tor par interpret kiya, kyunki inflation indicators mein se ek formally slow down hua tha. Abhi ke liye, U.S. inflation mein koi bhi slow down dollar collapse ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyunki market pichlay saat maheenon se Federal Reserve rate cut ka intezar kar raha hai. Humne is routine report par itni strong reaction expect nahi ki thi, lekin phir bhi, market ne apni readiness dikhai ke woh kisi bhi formal wajah ko Fed rate cut ki umeed ko justify karne ke liye use karne ko tayar hai. Is ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair horizontal channel 1.0600–1.1000 ke andar hi hai.

Tuesday ko, 5-minute time frame mein kaafi favorable movement ke sath kai trading signals bane. Pehla sell signal jo 1.0940 level ke qareeb bana tha, wo false tha, lekin trade break-even par close kiya ja sakta tha kyunki price intended direction mein 15 pips se zyada move hui. Phir, 1.0940 ke qareeb ek buy signal bana, jo ke profit generate kar gaya. Iske baad, price 10th level tak pohanchi, jahan profits manually realize kiye ja sakte thay.

EUR/USD ne hourly time frame mein short-term downward trend ko break kar diya hai lekin abhi tak 1.10 level se exceed nahi kiya. Hum yeh samajhte hain ke euro ne sari bullish factors ko fully factor in kar liya hai, is liye humein sustained upward movement ki umeed nahi hai. Flat trend 24-hour time frame mein 1.06-1.10 range ke andar hai. Lekin market yeh continue demonstrate kar raha hai ke U.S. inflation mein koi bhi slow down dollar ki panic selling ko trigger karta hai. Aaj inflation report release hone wali hai.Wednesday ko, novice traders downward reversal ki umeed kar sakte hain jab price phir se horizontal channel ke upper boundary 1.0600–1.1000 ke qareeb hai. Lekin, aaj ka U.S. inflation report asaani se dollar mein nayi decline ko trigger kar sakta hai.

5M time frame par Wednesday ke liye key levels:
1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726–1.0733, 1.0797–1.0804, 1.0838–1.0856, 1.0888–1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1043, aur 1.1091.Wednesday ko Eurozone ki taraf se GDP ka second quarter ka report aur industrial production release hone wale hain. Lekin, yeh data secondary samjha ja sakta hai comparison mein U.S. inflation report

EUR/USD currency pair ka price action aaj hamari analysis aur discussion ka markaz hoga. Aaj, US dollar par significant pressure hai, kyunki hal hi mein aayi US economic data, jisme July ka anticipated producer price index bhi shamil hai, expectations se kamzor raha. Is underperformance ki wajah se US currency mein weakness aayi, jisne euro ko strength dila di, jo ab resistance level 1.0989 ke qareeb hai. Lekin, four-hour stochastic yeh dikha raha hai ke pair overbought territory mein pohanch raha hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke ek correction aney wali hai, jo ke 9th figure ke middle mein ho sakti hai, jo ab ongoing uptrend ke liye ek support level ban gaya hai. Technically, jabke price four-hour chart par Bollinger Bands aur 55-period moving average ke upar trade kar rahi hai, yeh zaroori hai ke stochastic signal ko madde nazar rakha jaye. Ek downward correction jald shuru ho sakti hai.
EUR/USD pair ne jaldi se 1.0955 resistance ko tor diya, 1.0972 tak pohanch gayi aur almost stronger resistance 1.0987 ko test karne lagi. Yeh price likely iss level ko jald challenge karegi, jis ke baad ek potential pullback ho sakta hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke kal ke inflation data ke expectations, aur aaj ke US producer price index mein girawat, speculators ko price ko upar dhakelne par majboor kar diya. Ahem sawal yeh hai ke yeh rally kitni door tak ja sakti hai. Nearest intraday levels 1.0987 aur 1.1016 ke darmiyan hain, jahan maximum target 1.1046 ho sakta hai. Lekin, kal inflation data ke release ke baad clarity aayegi, jisme forecasts unchanged rehne ki umeed hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai, toh downside targets support levels 1.0955-1.0924 aur neeche 1.0894 tak ho sakte hain, jo kal bhi play mein ho sakte hain.

Euro ka performance dollar ke muqable mein agle kuch dinon mein European aur US economic data ke trajectory, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions, aur overall market sentiment par mabni hoga. Jabke current bullish trend EUR/USD ke liye further upside potential dikhata hai, traders ko reversal ke signs ke liye hoshiyar rehna chahiye, khas taur par agar key resistance levels breach karne mein mushkil hoti hai. Hamesha ki tarah, market participants upcoming economic releases aur central bank communications ko closely monitor karenge taake currency pair ke future direction ke baare mein andaza laga sakein.

Lekin agar bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami hoti hai, toh pullback ho sakta hai. 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ek critical support level ke tor par serve karta hai, aur agar yeh threshold ke neeche dip hoti hai, toh yeh pair ke upward trajectory mein reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Aisi surat mein, EUR/USD apne recent gains ko retrace kar sakta hai, lower support levels ko test karte hue aur market ke current bullish outlook ko alter kar sakta hai.

Tuesday ki rally ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair apni recent highs se neeche hai, jahan technical indicators caution ka signal de rahe hain. Pair ka decisively 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar break na karna yeh suggest karta hai ke upward momentum ko challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Uptrend ko sustain karne ke liye, EUR/USD ko 1.0940-1.0970 resistance zone ko convincingly surpass karna hoga. Agar yeh barrier successfully breach hota hai, toh yeh psychologically significant 1.1000 level tak rally ka raasta banayega. Iske aage, further upside potential exist karta hai, jahan 1.1100 aur 1.1150 levels potential targets ho sakte hain.

Jab focus US inflation data par hai, market participants pan-European GDP figures par bhi close eye rakhe hue hain. Europe ka second-quarter GDP stable rehne ka forecast hai, lekin agar is forecast se koi deviation hota hai, toh yeh euro ke trajectory par significant influence dal sakta hai. Weaker-than-expected GDP reading investor enthusiasm ko dampen kar sakta hai, jo euro mein pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Conversely, stronger result currency ke bullish momentum ko reinforce kar sakta hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko aur higher drive kar sakta hai.