یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

H4 time frame ko monitor karne par dekha ja sakta hai ke EURUSD market condition abhi bhi bullish direction mein hai. Pichle haftay ke trading session se lekar aaj tak price movement Simple Moving Average line period 200 ke upar rehti aayi hai. Pichle haftay mein EURUSD pair ki strong increase ne price ko bullish trend zone mein banaye rakha. H4 time frame chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke Tuesday se trading ke dauran price condition upar ki taraf ja rahi thi, 1.0871 ke height tak gai thi, lekin aaj dopahar tak price ne phir se downward correction experience kiya aur 1.0827 ke area tak gir gayi. Mere khayal se, EURUSD pair ka bullish journey aage bhi expect kiya ja sakta hai jaise ke abhi market ki latest conditions dekhne ko mil rahi hain.

H4 time frame chart par, Simple Moving Average indicator period 100 abhi bhi dominantly upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Additional indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index period 5, jahan price position consistently level 30 ke aas-paas move kar rahi hai, yeh sign hai ke market bullish direction mein ja rahi hai. Isliye yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke H4 time frame ke indicators mostly upward trend ko show kar rahe hain. Pichle kuch dino mein jo hua usse dekhte hue, EURUSD pair ke liye aaj bhi bullish direction mein journey continue karne ka acha mauka lagta hai. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke market New York Session ke shuru hone se pehle ek aur downward price correction dekh sakti hai.

**EURUSD H1**

H1 time frame ko dekhte hue, ek bara blue trend line nazar aati hai jo pehla price wave show karti hai jo R2 aur 2nd lower high ko form karta hai. Is trendline pattern ke mutabiq, price phir se correction aur kamzori ka samna kar sakti hai. Pichle haftay mein price upar ki taraf trend kar rahi thi aur pehla SSR aur MA 50 ko break kar diya. Mere khayal se EURUSD ke liye do mumkinah scenarios hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price seedha upar chale aur kal ke trend ko continue kare, Supply 1.0855 tak pohnch jaye. Doosra scenario yeh hai ke price pehle lambi correction kare taake demand zone 1.0794 mein orders pick up kiye ja sake aur phir upar chale.

Subah, EURUSD ka jor 1.0917 par reh raha hai, jo ke support samjha ja sakta hai. Yeh yahan se turnaround ki shaan hai aur phir se barhne ki umeed hai. Filhal, yeh jor lagbhag be parivartan hai, kyunki Jumme ko yeh 1.0917 par tha, isliye aaj subah yeh is support level par hai. Weekend se jo maine ummeed rakhi thi, wo aaj somwaar ko ab bhi kaam kar sakti hai.

M15 par koi wazeh signal nahi hai. Averages merge ho gaye hain aur khul nahi pa rahe. Agar yeh jor 1.0917 ke support se neeche jaata hai, toh main M15 par neeche jaane ka signal nahi samjhta, lekin yeh 1.0870 tak neeche aane mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur shayad 1.0840 tak bhi, lekin iss subah ke liye yeh pehle se kam umeed hai jo aaj market ke khulne par thi. Mere khayal se, 1.0870 ko todna mushkil hoga aur wahan se phir se barhne ki umeed hai 1.0965 aur 1.1020 tak. Agar yeh jor 1.0917 ka support todne mein nakam rahta hai, aur support se upar dekhne ka mauka milta hai, toh main 1.0965 ki resistance ki breakout ki umeed rakhta hoon aur aaj 1.1020 tak barhne ki tawaqqo karta hoon. Lekin aaj, inki 1.0965 ki resistance ke upar kaumeed se zyada kuch nahi hoga, lekin isse M15 par upar jane ka signal milne ki sambhavna hai.

Hourly chart par upar jane ka signal hai, aur purane charts par bhi, jisme daily bhi shamil hai, isliye mere khayal se barhne ki sambhavnayein zyada hain. Main M15 par upar jane ka khayal rakhta hoon, jis mein 1.0965 ka breakout honi chahiye. Lekin agar yeh 1.0870 tak neeche aate hain, toh hourly reversal ka koi khatra nahi hoga, lekin agar yeh 1.0870 ko todte hain toh 1.0840 tak aur shayad 1.0804 ke support point tak neeche ja sakte hain, jahan 4-hour ka support hai. Wahan hum hourly ke liye south ki taraf ek tod ka kaisa dekh sakte hain, aur yeh 4-hour ka khatra ban sakta hai. Isliye main 1.0870 ko todne ka sochta nahi hoon aur wahan se barhne ki umeed rakhta hoon, ya 1.0917 ke maujooda support level se barhne ki umeed rakhta hoon, 1.09645 aur 1.1020 tak agle 24 ghanton mein, kal tak, aur main aashirvaad doondta hoon ki week ke end tak 1.1149 ka support point dekhu, jahan main abhi ke liye week ka end samajhta hoon.

Euro (EUR) aur US Dollar (USD) Market Analysis

Maujooda Trading Environment

Euro (EUR) is waqt US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein ek sideways pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke ahm support level 1.0900 ke aas paas hai. Market ke shiraakat daar European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jab woh monetary policy ka agla qadam uthane ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Eurozone mein Aqsar Masail

Eurozone ka maashi halaat kuch mushkilat ka saamna kar raha hai, jahan industrial growth aur investment ko "fragile" bayaan kiya gaya hai. Jabke inflation kuch hasrat mehsoos kar raha hai, ECB dekhbhalkar hai aur fauran interest rate ka katna nahi chahta. Central bank apne 2% inflation target ko haasil karne mein masroof hai pehle kisi easing measures par ghor karne se.

Technical Analysis: Moving Averages aur Key Price Levels

Filhal EUR/USD pair apne 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Agar ye averages se neeche gira, to 1.0793 ke support level ki taraf kuch kami aa sakti hai. Agar ye level bhi nahi tikta, to aage chal kar ye 1.0711 aur 1.0666 tak gir sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, agar pair 1.0874 ke resistance level ko tor deta hai, to ye 1.0975 ki taraf rally shuru karne ka ishara ho sakta hai.

ECB ka Interest Rates par Rukh

Haal hi mein, ECB ke policymaker Olli Rehn ne kaha hai ke agar inflation jald kam hoti hai, to central bank interest rate cuts par ghoor kar sakta hai. Unka kehna tha, "Inflation thoda thoda kam hota ja raha hai lekin is saal hum 2% target par pohnchnay mein kuch challenges ka samna kar sakte hain," Reuters ki reports ke mutabiq.

US Dollar ke Dynamics

US Dollar Index (DXY) ne haal hi mein taqat dikhayi hai, jo ke barhte huye US Treasury yields ki wajah se hai. Lekin in yields ne thodi kami aayi hai, jo dollar par neeche ki taraf dabao daal raha hai. Federal Reserve ke afsraad, jisme Kansas City Fed ke President Jeffrey Schmid bhi shamil hain, ne is baat ki taraf ishaara kiya hai ke maamooli daam ko control karne ke liye mazeed interest rate hikes ki zarurat pad sakti hai.

Nateejah

Euro ek sust Eurozone economy aur ECB ke ehtiyaatim rukh ke bawaajood mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar ko interest rate hikes ki umeed se faida ho raha hai. Qareebi doran, EUR/USD pair ke liye utar chadhav ki umeed hai kyunke investors ECB aur Fed ki aane wali monetary policy directions ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Khair, yah dekhte hue keh market ki suratehal me koi tabdili nahin aayi hai, mere tejarati mansube wahi hain. Euro/dollar ke jode ke 1.0919 ke ird-gird ek tanf sideways range me karobar karne ke sath, mai fence par baithne ko tarjih deta hun.
European currency pichle kuch waqt se istehkam ke marhale me hai, lehaza kal aur parson jari hone wale aham Americi aidad o shumar ka intezar kiye beghair qimat sideways range se bahar nikal sakti hai.
Darmiyani muddat me, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh euro/dollar ka joda ooper ki taraf karobar karega. Mukhtasar muddat me, mai 1.0835 ki satah tak kami ki peshangoi karta hun.
Americi intekhabat aur digar waqeyaat ki bat karein to, wo shayad girawat ke qarib market ko mutassir karna shuru kar deinge.
Abhi ke liye, mai trading se bachna chahunga, lekin market par nazar rakhunga. Yah wazeh taur par pareshan kun hai, lekin yah August hai aur is waqt market me is tarah ka rawaiyah aam taur par hota hai.

اگست 12 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

ہفتہ وار چارٹ پر، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے اوپر سمٹی ہوئی ہے۔ 1.1010 کے ہدف کی سطح کے دوبارہ ٹیسٹ یا 1.1043 تک پہنچنے کا امکان تھوڑا سا بڑھ گیا ہے۔ ایک ہی وقت میں، ہم مارلن آسیلیٹر پر ایک بہت ہی توسیع شدہ پچر کی تشکیل کا مشاہدہ کرتے ہیں۔



لمبے پچر شاذ و نادر ہی مضبوط، پائیدار حرکت سے پہلے ہوتے ہیں۔ تاہم، قیمت واضح طور پر اہم تبدیلیوں کے دہانے پر ہے جو اسے 1.0636-1.1010 کی طویل رینج سے باہر لے جا سکتی ہے۔ اگر قیمت اس حد سے نیچے ٹوٹ جاتی ہے تو ہدف کی سطحیں 1.0369 اور 1.0173 ہیں۔

یومیہ چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.0905 پر سپورٹ کے ساتھ جدوجہد کرتی ہے، جس میں مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ ڈائیورجن کی مدد ملتی ہے۔ لہذا، ایک ڈوجی کی شکل میں ایک ہفتہ وار بند بھی ایک غلط سگنل ہو سکتا ہے. 1.0905 کی سطح سے نیچے یومیہ بند ہونا اہم مندی کے منظر نامے کی ترقی کی نشاندہی کرے گا۔ سب کے بعد، ایک نئی ہفتہ وار موم بتی کا افتتاح ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے واقع ہوا.



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت فی الحال بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن (ریڈ موونگ ایوریج) سے اوپر جا رہی ہے۔ اگر 1.0905 سے اوپر قیمت کا استحکام جاری رہتا ہے، تو بیلنس لائن قیمت سے اوپر ہوگی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن منفی (نزولی) علاقے میں ایک طرف بڑھ رہی ہے، جس سے اس ٹائم فریم میں قیمت کے سپورٹ سے نیچے گرنے کا امکان بڑھ جاتا ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.0877) سے نیچے جانا قیمت کے 1.0788 ہدف تک پہنچنے کے ارادے کی تصدیق کرے گا۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Salam, traders! Is analysis mein hum EUR/USD currency pair par focus kar rahe hain, khaaskar uske 4-hour chart par. Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, yeh pair abhi haal hi mein apne support level 1.0910 se bounce kar chuka hai. Is bounce ka matlab hai ke buyers ne is critical level par entry ki hai, jo ke short-term mein downward pressure ko thoda kam karne mein madad de rahi hai. Lekin, iss recent rally ke bawajood, overall trend abhi bhi bearish hi hai, aur currency pair apni downward trajectory ko follow kar raha hai.

Is rally se yeh zahir hota hai ke shayad pair ne temporary footing dhoond li hai, magar ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Aise movements aksar misleading ho sakte hain, khaaskar jab yeh broader downtrend ke andar hoti hain, jaise ke yahan ho raha hai. Traders ko yeh consider karna chahiye ke yeh rally shayad ek pullback hai, na ke downtrend ka complete reversal. Technical analysis mein is tarah ke movement ko "dead cat bounce" kaha jata hai, jahan ek brief recovery ke baad prevailing trend phir se continue hota hai.

EUR/USD ka yeh downward trajectory kai factors ki wajah se hai, jin mein fundamental economic conditions, Eurozone aur United States ke darmiyan interest rate differentials, aur broader market sentiment shaamil hain. Recent mein, Euro ko Eurozone mein economic concerns ki wajah se pressure ka samna hai, jin mein slower growth aur European Central Bank ki monetary policy ke hawalay se uncertainty shaamil hain. Doosri taraf, US Dollar relatively stronger hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rates par stance aur zyada resilient economic outlook ki wajah se supported hai.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to traders ko confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye pehle ke woh koi long positions consider karein. Agar pair key resistance levels ko break karta hai aur strong volume ke sath move karta hai, to yeh potential trend reversal ki nishani ho sakti hai. Lekin agar pair apni upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar pata aur phir se downward move karta hai, to yeh further declines ka signal ho sakta hai, jo ke pehle ke support level 1.0910 ko revisit kar sakta hai, ya shayad usko break bhi kar sakta hai.

Akhir mein, jab ke EUR/USD pair ne apne support level se short-term rally dekhi hai, overall trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Traders ko yeh pair ehtiyaat ke sath trade karna chahiye, broader market context aur potential downside ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Economic data releases aur central bank commentary ko monitor karna bhi crucial hoga pair ke future direction ko samajhne ke liye.

EURUSD ke decline ke liye tayyar hona chahiye?
Monday se, EURUSD pair ne powerful tarike se upar ki taraf jump kiya aur wedge ki upper boundary ko tod diya. Yahan ek channel bhi hai, dono ke upper boundaries same hain. Ab tak, unhone retrace kiya hai aur hold nahi kar sake. Yeh kehna mushkil hai ke southern pullback hoga ya nahi. Meri matlab hai, ek deeper pullback. Agar pound girna shuru karta hai, to euro bhi neeche achha lagega.
Abhi niche dekhna possible nahi hai kuch significant reasons ki wajah se. Pehla reason hai recent impulsive rise, aur ek impulse ka usually momentum hota hai. Doosra point hai growth structure mein koi break nahi hai, previous impulse mein koi break nahi, aur even local minimums intact hain. Teesra point hai H4 timeframe par ek unfulfilled potential buy signal ki mojoodgi. Maine second chart par blue bar ke sath iska potential mark kiya hai jiska target 1.10352 par hai. Yeh signal active hai jab tak higher minimum 1.07768 nahi toota. Dosri taraf, even with a buy signal present, euro phir bhi aage pull back kar sakta hai. Magar abhi ke liye, yeh correlation ke sath align nahi hota pound ke sath. Friday se in dono mein strong divergence hai, aur inmein se koi ek doosre ko follow karega. Yeh kehna mushkil hai, kyunki yeh euro pound ko follow kar sakta hai, ya pound euro ko follow kar sakta hai.
US Dollar Index, jo Greenback ki performance ko chhe major currencies ke against measure karta hai, apne downward trend ko sattarween consecutive session tak extend kar chuka hai, aur nayi three-week low 105.00 ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai. June ke higher-than-expected employment figures—206K versus anticipated 190K—ke bawajood, Unemployment Rate 4.1% tak barh gayi, jo expectations aur pehle figure 4.0% se zyada thi. Yeh factors market anticipation of imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts ko temper kar rahe hain.
Investors ko in key levels aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake market dynamics mein potential shifts ko gauge kar sakein. Jab EUR/USD pair in pivotal points ko navigate kar rahi hai, market participants ko economic developments aur Federal Reserve policy signals ke bare mein informed rehna hoga.
Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:
Pair ek critical resistance level ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai, jo ke 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0953 par hai. Iske ilawa, ascending channel ka lower boundary, jo 1.1000 level ke aas paas hai, bhi focus mein hai. Agar pair is support ke neeche girti hai, to yeh downward pressure experience kar sakti hai, aur potentially 1.0950 level ko test kar sakti hai, jo rebound support provide kar sakta hai.

Subah ke forecast mein, maine 1.0931 ka level focus kiya aur is par trading decisions lene ka plan banaya. Chaliye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur dekhte hain kya huwa. Yahan 1.0931 ke paas upar ki taraf ek udaan hui, lekin koi false breakout nahi bana. Is wajah se maine din ke pehle hissa mein trading se bacha raha. Technical picture ko din ke doosre hise ke liye revise nahi kiya gaya.

EUR/USD par long positions kholne ke liye:

Germany se aane wale data ne takreeban koi volatility nahi di, aur jab ke dusre hise mein koi economic data nahi hai, shuruat ka hafta pichle hafte ki tarah hi guzarta nazar aata hai. Is wajah se, main bazar mein jaldi nahi karunga. Main 1.0907 ke support level par utarav ka intezar karunga, jo pichle hafte banaya gaya tha, aur false breakout ke formation ka intezar karunga, is se pehle long positions kholne ka plan hai. Mere targets hai ke upar ki taraf barhein aur 1.0931 ke resistance level ko update karein, jahan mujhe pehli baar euro sellers ki nishaniyan dikhayi dene ki umeed hai. Agar is range ka breakout hota hai aur phir se upar se retest hota hai, to is se pair ko mazid behtar karne ka mauka milega, jisse 1.0958 tak upar barhne ke chances barh jayenge. Mere furthest target 1.0985 hoga jahan main profit lene ka plan banaunga. Agar EUR/USD niche ki taraf jata hai aur 1.0907 par koi khaas activity nahi dikhata, to sellers phir se control hasil karenge aur neeche ki taraf trend banane lagengay. Is surat mein, main sirf tab entry karunga jab 1.0884 ke aas-paas false breakout banega. Main 1.0855 se turant long positions kholne ka plan banata hoon, jo din mein 30-35 points ke upward correction ka target hoga.

EUR/USD par short positions kholne ke liye:

Sellers ab bhi control ko barqarar rakhtay hain. Koi khaas U.S. statistics nahi hone ki wajah se, 1.0931 ko protect karna, jaise ke last Friday ko huwa tha, aur false breakout ke sath short positions kholna ek munasib tareeqa hoga jiska target 1.0907 support hoga. Agar is range ka breakout hota hai aur niche ki taraf consolidate hota hai, saath hi niche se upar tak retest hota hai, to ye ek aur selling point faraham karega, jiska target 1.0884 hoga, jahan mujhe aur zyada active buyer involvement ki umeed hai. Mera farthest target 1.0855 level hoga, jahan main profit lunga. Is level ki testing euro buyers ke attempts ko upward trend establish karne se rok dega. Agar EUR/USD din ke doosre hise mein upar jata hai aur 1.0931 par sellers nahi dikhte, to buyers ko phir se control hasil karne ka mauka mil jayega. Aise mein, main bechne ka plan tab tak postpone karunga jab tak agla resistance 1.0958 par test nahi hota. Wahan bhi main action lunga, lekin sirf failed consolidation ke baad. Main 1.0985 se turant short positions kholne ka plan bana raha hoon, jo 30-35 points ke downward correction ka target rakhta hai.

Tuesday ke trading session mein New York mein, EUR/USD currency pair mein aik nihayat buland izafa dekha gaya, 1.1010 ke ahem resistance level ke qareeb pounch gaya. Yeh izafa Euro ki qeemat mein US Dollar ke muqable mein taqatwar izafa ko numaya karta hai. Mojudah doran mein, EUR/USD 1.0926 ke qareeb trading ho raha hai, forex market mein barqarar bullish momentum ka dikhawa kartay hue. Euro ki qadr ka is izafa ne US Dollar par barhti hui dabao ke sath aiqtadar-e-uzma aur karobar ke dataon ke zariye chal raha pressure ko milta hai.
US Economic Indicators aur Inke Asar Dollar Par

Haal hi mein aaye hue economic data United States ke Dollar par numaya asar andaz hue hain. July mein ISM Services PMI 48.8 par gira, jo April 2020 se sab se tezi se girawat thi. Yeh huliya kisi had tak umeed se kum tha jo 52.5 tha aur June ke 53.8 se gir gaya tha. Is ke ilawa, ADP Employment report ne bataya ke US private jagahon par sirf 150,000 naye jobs shamil hue July mein - jise 160,000 ka tasavvur kiya gaya tha, aur yeh paanch mahinon mein sab se choti izafa tha. Yeh data points kamzor hote hui economic conditions ka ishara dete hain aur US Dollar par pressure dalte hain.

European Market Sentiment aur Bond Yield Spread

Europe mein, market sentiment bond yields ke tabadlay se mutasir hota hai. French aur German 10 saal ke hakoomati bonds ke darmiyan yield spread haal hi mein karib 71 basis points tak ghata, jo pichle mahine ke end par 82 basis points se nichay tha. Yeh kam hone wala spread yeh zahir karta hai ke investors mein barhtay huay itminan hai ke France ke far-right RN party ko majlis-e-shura mein bari bahali hasil karna mushkil hai. Yeh sentiment mein tabdeeli ne France ke assets ko taqat di hai aur Euro ki puri shidat mein pechida hai.

EUR/USD ki Technical Analysis

Ek technical lehaz se, EUR/USD pair taqatwar bullish trends ka dikhawa kar raha hai. Yeh behad nichay 1.1000 ke levels se tezi se ubhar raha hai, chand waqton ke liye 1.0950 se oopar chala gaya hai. Pair ne 200-din EMA par 1.0826 se bhi guzar gaya hai, jo taqatwar short-term bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical tor par breakthrough yeh darust karta hai ke upri trend jari reh sakta hai, traders resistance levels aur potential breakout points ko qareeb se nigrani me rakhte hue.

Ikhtisar mein, Euro ke US Dollar ke muqable mein haal ki quwwat ko kamzor US economic indicators aur European markets mein itminani sentiment ka milaap mana jata hai. Jab EUR/USD pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb pounchega, market participants qareeb aanay wale economic data aur geopolitical developments ko nigrani me rakhtay hue is currency pair ke mustaqbil ke harkaton par asar dalne wale cheezon ka tawaju se intezar karenge

EURUSD ke H4 time frame chart par, abhi ki market situation buyers ke haq mein ek notable shift ko darshati hai. Jab EURUSD pair ko pichle kuch hafton ke dauran H4 time frame par monitor kiya jata hai, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke bullish sentiment mazid barh raha hai, aur price consistently upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Yeh movement yeh suggest karti hai ke market filhal buyers ke control mein hai, jo price ko upar push karte ja rahe hain, aur uptrend ko solidify kar rahe hain. H4 time frame is trend ki strength ko identify aur confirm karne ke liye khaas taur par useful hai. Is intermediate time frame par price action ko observe kar ke, traders ongoing momentum ko samajh sakte hain aur zyada informed decisions le sakte hain. Recent weeks mein dekha gaya steady upward movement yeh darshata hai ke buyers consistently price ko support kar rahe hain, jo EURUSD pair ki gradual lekin sustained rise ka sabab ban raha hai.

EURUSD ke H1 time frame chart par, pair ek noticeable downward trajectory par hai, jo mukhtalif market forces ke complex interplay se shape hui hai. Yeh decline sirf technical patterns ka natija nahi hai, balki yeh fundamental economic conditions ki range se gehra taluq rakhti hai jo traders ke decisions ko influence kar rahi hain. EURUSD par jo persistent downward pressure hai, uski wajah kai key factors hain, jin mein Eurozone aur United States ka economic landscape, dono regions ke beech interest rate differentials, aur global financial markets mein prevailing broader sentiment shamil hain. EURUSD ka H1 time frame chart in fundamental influences ko reflect karta hai, jo ek clear downward trend dikhata hai jo broader macroeconomic context ke sath align karta hai. Traders ke liye, yeh challenges aur opportunities dono ko pesh karta hai. Jabke current bearish trend kuch logon ko long positions lene se roksa sakta hai, jo log pair ko short kar rahe hain unko dollar ki continued strength se faida uthane ke favorable conditions mil sakti hain. EURUSD ka H1 time frame chart par downward trajectory fundamental economic conditions, Eurozone aur United States ke beech interest rate differentials, aur overall market sentiment ke combination se driven hai. Yeh factors mil kar ek aisa environment create karte hain jahan U.S. dollar euro ko outperform kar raha hai, aur isse EURUSD pair par sustained downward pressure ban raha hai.

Aaj EUR/USD trading ne 1.0914 par open kiya. Aapki opening position Friday ke jaisi hi hai. Masla yeh hai ke pichle kuch dino mein EUR/USD ki movement zyada badi nahi rahi. Sirf hafte ke shuru mein movement kafi badi thi. Hum dekh sakte hain ke EUR/USD ki movement aakhri dino mein upar nahi gayi balki neeche gayi. Girawat tab shuru hui jab candle 1.0998 ke aas-paas lagi. EUR/USD ke girne ka sabab yeh tha ke candle supply area ko penetrate nahi kar saki.

H1 timeframe se agar dekha jaye to jab girawat hui, candle ne 1.0907 ke support ko break kiya. Halankeh iske baad EUR/USD phir se upar aaya. Mere khayal se, yeh penetration yeh signal hai ke EUR/USD abhi bhi gir sakta hai. Sabse important yeh hai ke 1.1007 ke price par supply area upar se break nahi hona chahiye, warna EUR/USD aur zyada badh sakta hai. Mera scenario yeh hai ke EUR/USD 1.0799 tak gir sakta hai, aur uske baad phir se upar aayega, kyunki wahan ek shoulder pattern hai jo abhi tak touch nahi hua hai aur yeh EUR/USD ke retracement ke liye suitable hai. Agar yeh pattern bhi penetrate ho jaye to EUR/USD ki girawat aur bhi gehri ho sakti hai. Plus, ek bade timeframe par bearish harami candle pattern bhi nazar aa raha hai jo market reversal ka confirmation hai.

Ichimoku indicator se analysis karte hue, jo market abhi bhi sideways hai, mushkil hai. Sirf tasveer dekh kar, kaafi intersections hain jo mujhe confuse kar rahe hain ke agla GBP/USD ka movement upar jayega ya neeche. Filhal, main GBP/USD ke analysis ke liye Ichimoku indicator ka use nahi kar raha. Main ise tab use karunga jab market busy ho aur trend clear ho.

Stochastic indicator se yeh pata chalta hai ke EUR/USD ke neeche jane ke chances hain, kyunki line ka direction neeche hai. Lekin iska position highest level 80 pe nahi hai, balki center mein hai. Market agar flat hai to line asaani se 80 aur 20 levels ko touch kar sakti hai. Isliye mujhe bhi alert rehna hoga kyunki traps ho sakte hain.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke EUR/USD ke neeche jaane ke bohot zyada chances hain, kyunki candle supply area 1.1007 ko penetrate nahi kar saki. Jab tak yeh area touch nahi hota, EUR/USD ke upar jaane mein mushkil hogi. Iske ilawa, jab yeh neeche gaya, candle ne support 1.0914 ko bhi break kiya. Mere hisaab se, yeh bearish trend ki taraf ishaara hai. Isliye main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, wo buy positions pe focus karein. Aapka take profit target 1.0840 ke support par aur 1.1017 ke closest resistance par rakh sakte hain.

EUR/USD Market Analysis
12 August 2024

Jab EUR/USD market ko 4-hour timeframe par monitor kiya jata hai, toh lagta hai ke trend buyers ke control mein hai. Pichle kuch hafton se price uptrend ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Market ka safar pichle haftay ke shuru hone ke baad sellers ki taraf se halki downward correction dekhi gayi hai, jo bullish trend ko thoda delay kar raha hai. Aaj market ko monitor karne par lagta hai ke trend phir se bullish side ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Mere khayal se, agle price journey mein upar ki taraf move hone ki chances hain taake current position se door ho sake.

Pichle do hafton ke trading period mein kaafi bullish conditions dekhi gayi hain, jo price ko 1.1009 area tak le ja sakti hain, halanki market phir se correction de sakti hai. Aaj subah market ki opening par price ko increase karne ki koshish hui thi, aur candlestick abhi bhi 1.0922 zone ke aas-paas hai. Agar simple moving average 100 ko analyze kiya jaye, toh signal line upar gayi hai jo pichle hafton ke trend ko dikhati hai. Isliye, overall candlestick SMA100 zone se upar hai, jo ke bullish zone mein movement ko dikhata hai. Price ka increase 1.0946 zone se guzarne ke qareeb hai, jo yeh bhi dikhata hai ke buying interest abhi bhi dominant hai.

Mere khayal se agle market situation ke liye price ke upar jane ke chances hain, aur buyers shayad candlestick ko uptrend side ki taraf le jane mein stable rahenge. Bullish journey ke target ke taur par, main predict karta hoon ke price 1.0986 position ke aas-paas ja sakti hai, aur isse dusre buyers ko bhi price increase support karne ka mauka milega. Halanki is haftay price ke uptrend hone ke chances hain, main ek baar phir yaad dilana chahta hoon ke haftay ke shuru mein market ki aadat hoti hai ke price pehle thodi correction karti hai uske baad bullish movement continue hoti hai.

EURUSD ka forecast kuch is tarah hai. Charts ke mutabiq, trend moving average line ke upar hai aur upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Maine ek long position khol di hai aur thoda sa munafa bhi hua hai. Aaj ke din, pair mein halki si pullback dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Indicators bhi bullish trend ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Aaj Euro aur Dollar ke hawale se koi ahem news releases nahi hain. Pura din trend lagbhag flat raha hai. Mera khayal hai ke Euro mein halki si izafa hoga aur yeh 1.0930 ke level tak pahunch sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke trend south ki taraf nahi jayega.

Aaj ke liye trend sideways pattern mein hai aur upar ki taraf chal raha hai. Yeh trend ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke thodi der ke liye market flat ho sakti hai lekin dheere dheere Euro ka rate thoda barh sakta hai. Agar aapka long position hai to aapko dhyan rakhna chahiye ke kisi bhi moment pe thoda sa pullback dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin overall trend bullish hai aur indicators bhi yahi keh rahe hain ke market upar ki taraf ja sakti hai.

Is waqt market ko dekhte hue, aapko yeh zaroori hai ke apni strategy ko samjhe aur market ke changes ke mutabiq adjust kare. Agar aapka target 1.0930 hai to yeh zaroori hai ke aap market ke movements ko closely monitor karein. Aaj ke liye yeh bhi mumkin hai ke trend sideways hi rahe, lekin agar market bullish trend ko continue karti hai to aapko faida ho sakta hai.

Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke aap market ke technical indicators aur trend lines ko dekhte rahein aur apne position ko accordingly manage karein. Overall, aaj ke liye mujhe lagta hai ke trend sideways hai lekin upar ki taraf barhne ki umeed hai.

Sab ko achi mood ki dua! Bechne wala apne hisson par active hai, jo daily linear regression channel ke zariye nazar aa raha hai jo south ki taraf ja raha hai. Yeh instrument 1.09251 ke level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Main 1.09110 tak bechne ka soch raha hoon, jahan se aik correction ki ummeed hai, isliye main neeche se short selling ka sochna band kar doon ga. Main aik pullback ka intezar karunga aur phir bechne ke baare mein soch sakta hoon. Bechna zyada interesting hai 1.09251 ke level se, kyunki is level ko paar karne se bullish interest ka khatra hai. Isliye, 1.09251 se bechne par mujhe buying aur selling ka space milta hai. Wahan aap players ko react karte hue dekh sakte hain, aur isse aap apni trade ko adjust kar sakte hain, losses ko cut kar sakte hain aur day trading mein quick profit ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

Daily chart ko dekhte hue, mujhe ek downward directed linear regression channel bhi nazar aa raha hai. Dono channels ek hi direction mein ja rahe hain, jo ke strong buyer ki kami ko dikhata hai. Is case mein, D1 channel ke along trend change ki probability low hai. Isliye, main bechne ko zyada interesting samajhta hoon rather than buys against moving channels jo selling ko show kar rahe hain. Upar ki barrier 1.09251 level hai, jiska pass karna upar ke edge of channel 1.09338 tak badhne ka khatra hai. Is level se main bechne ka sochta hoon, aur 1.09110 aur 1.08993 ke targets achieve karne ki umeed rakhta hoon. Targets ka visit channel ki volatility ko determine karta hai, jo upward pullback mein madadgar hoga. Growth on pullback mere liye interesting nahi hai, aur trend par kaam karna mere liye priority hai. Kyunki EUR/USD price abhi bhi 55-period moving average line ke upar hai, aur stochastic north ki taraf ja raha hai, hum yeh maan sakte hain ke sabse nazdeek ki movement middle of the ninth figure ki taraf hai, jo ke July 17 ko resistance banayi gayi thi aur phir August 8 ko confirm hui thi, isliye bullish overcoming ka bina kisi additional drivers ke mushkil hai.

**EURUSD
12.08.2024**

Euro ke halat thode se unclear hain, magar thoda upar ki taraf jhukao hai. H4 timeframe aur M15 par buy signals hain. Abhi ke liye main dusre timeframes ko trading signals ke taur par nahi dekh raha.

Pichle trading sessions mein, euro ne ek bade triangle ki upper boundary ke roop mein resistance ka samna kiya. Upar ki taraf ka jo dhamaka tha, usse abhi south ki taraf dekhne ka mann nahi hai. Is impulse ne H4 timeframe par ek buy signal generate kiya, jiska target 1.10335 par hai. Is signal ka cancellation senior minimum ke baad hoga, jahan se ye bada impulse shuru hua (1.07769). Ab hum M15 timeframe ke signal aur iske local targets par baat kar sakte hain. Ye targets bohot tezi se achieve hote hain aur intraday trading ya agle din tak carry karne ke liye suitable hain.

Hourly timeframe ke bare mein bhi baat karna chahunga, jo H4 aur M15 ke beech aata hai. Main is par kam bharosa karta hoon, magar ye M15 se kam noisy hai. Aakhri baar, buy signal kaam nahi aaya aur risk levels par liquidate ho gaya (pehla laal rectangle buy signal hai). Ab ek doosra buy signal hai, lekin pehle ke "betrayal" ke baad is par itna bharosa nahi hai. Yahan ek sell signal bhi hai jiska potential acha hai, jisko main neela mark karta hoon tak 1.08202 level. Lekin uptrend ke against sell karna behtar nahi hai.

M15 ek zyada friendly timeframe hai. Main is par initial buy signal ko mark karta hoon, baaki signals humare liye interesting nahi hain. Potential ko main ek purple bar ke saath mark karta hoon tak 1.09456 level. Fibonacci retracement scheme ke mutabiq, euro ne favorable buying ratio par pullbacks nahi diye. Isliye jo log euro trade karte hain, wo 1.09026 (buy limit) ya 1.08964 level par pending order place kar sakte hain. Pehli case mein, hume risk-to-reward ratio 1:2 milega, aur doosre case mein 1:3 milega.