EURUSD
Euro mein aik ahem giravat ka samna hai, jo teesre din mein takreeban 2% gir gaya hai aur saal bhar ke sab se bura hafta darust kar raha hai. Ye European Central Bank (ECB) aur US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taur par mukhalif moqay par hai. ECB ka faisla ke interest rates ko 4% par rakhna, kuch andaruni support ke bawajood, tanqeed ka samna kiya gaya hai. Iske saath hi, unke ehtiyati monetary policy bayanat ne investors ko yeh maan ne par majboor kiya hai ke ek rate cut jald hi anay wala hai, shayad June mein. Ye aik tareekhi qadam hoga, ECB ko Fed ke muqablay mein agay barhata hua dikhayega. Mukablay mein, Fed apni belt kass raha hai. Mazboot US ma'ashi data, jo ke mehngaai mein izafa shamil hai, unhe peechlay monetary easing measures ka faida uthane par majboor kar raha hai. Fed ki ye sakhti ECB ke Euro ko mazeed kamzor karti hai. EUR/USD jodi is haftay apni bulandi se 1.9% gir chuki hai, paanch mahinay ki record girawat kiya hai.
Euro ki giravat ko barqarar karne ka ahem aham factor central bank policies mein ikhtilaaf hai. US inflation data aur ECB ke tajziyat ne is shadeed farq ko wazeh kiya hai. Wednesday ko jari hone wala US inflation report ne dollar ko mazboot kiya, jo ke mahino se apni lambi muddat ke average se door hai. Mazeed doosray moqay mukhtalif currency pairs par dabao daal rahe hain. Mahine ke ibtida se, US ne musbat data points dekhe hain: aik uncha manufacturing activity, mazboot naukriyon ki nashriyat aur muntashir shohrat se zyada izafa consumer prices mein. Ye data Fed ke rate cuts ki umeeden ko mazeed agay push karta hai, dollar ko Euro ke khilaf mazeed mazboot karte hue. Kal ke 0.8% ke nuksan ke baad, EURUSD 1.0700 ke gird gira aur aik paanch mahinay ki record girawat 1.0675 tak ki. Aglay support level ka aana 1.0655 se hai, keemat ne oonchi hui trend line ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo aik mumkinah manfi retracement ki taraf ishara karta hai. Mazeed bearish lambi muddat ke timeframe steeper declines se move kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.0515 bottleneck ki raah ko banata hai.
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