EUR/GBP pair apne teesray hafte mein downward trend par chal raha hai, aur ab tak koi signal nahi hai ke price upar jaane wali hai. Jo ongoing downward rally hai, usse lagta hai ke koi bhi upward correction sirf EMA 50 ke aas-paas ho sakti hai, uske baad price phir neeche gir sakti hai. Agar yeh downward rally 0.8400 ke psychological level ke neeche jaati hai, to price daily time frame par 0.8382 ke low prices ko test karegi. Is tara price ka structure lower low - lower high mein rahega, kyun ke upward movement 0.8643 ke high price ko cross karne mein fail hui, jo ke invalidation level tha. Stochastic indicator ke hisaab se bhi price neeche jaane ka support hai, kyun ke indicator ka parameter 50 level ko cross karte hue oversold zone, jo ke 20 - 10 ke aas-paas hai, mein ja raha hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke price ke neeche jaane ka abhi bhi space hai, jab tak ke selling saturation point nahi aa jata. Upward correction ka possibility sirf 0.8432 ke minor resistance tak lagta hai, uske baad price phir se neeche ja sakti hai. Trading Plan:
Entry:
Jab price 0.8400 ke neeche break kare, to SELL position mein re-enter karein, aur yeh confirm ho ke downward trend continue ho raha hai.
Stochastic Indicator Confirmation:
Stochastic indicator ka cross level 50 ke aas-paas ya phir overbought zone 90-80 ke aas-paas aane ka intezaar karein.
Take Profit Target:
Low price 0.8382 ko daily time frame par take profit ka target set karein.
Stop Loss:
Stop loss 0.8432 ke minor resistance level par rakhain. Yeh downtrend ziyada tar ECB (European Central Bank) ke interest rate cut ki anticipation ki wajah se hai, jo ke September mein hone ka imkaan hai. ECB ne June mein jo rate cut kiya tha aur recent economic data ne yeh expectations ko mazid barhaya hai. Eurozone ki inflation kaafi reduce hui hai, jaise ke August ki Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) mein dikhaya gaya, jahan headline aur core inflation rates kam ho kar 2.2% aur 2.8% tak aa gayi hain. Germany mein recession ke khatshaat bhi rate cut ka case mazid mazboot karte hain. Carsten Brzeski, ING ke global head of macroeconomics, ne bhi yeh highlight kiya ke weak inflation aur sluggish growth ECB ke liye rate cut karne ka mauka banati hain. Iske muqable mein, British pound ne major currencies ke against relative strength dikhayi hai, jo EUR/GBP ke downward pressure ko barhati hai.
Entry:
Jab price 0.8400 ke neeche break kare, to SELL position mein re-enter karein, aur yeh confirm ho ke downward trend continue ho raha hai.
Stochastic Indicator Confirmation:
Stochastic indicator ka cross level 50 ke aas-paas ya phir overbought zone 90-80 ke aas-paas aane ka intezaar karein.
Take Profit Target:
Low price 0.8382 ko daily time frame par take profit ka target set karein.
Stop Loss:
Stop loss 0.8432 ke minor resistance level par rakhain. Yeh downtrend ziyada tar ECB (European Central Bank) ke interest rate cut ki anticipation ki wajah se hai, jo ke September mein hone ka imkaan hai. ECB ne June mein jo rate cut kiya tha aur recent economic data ne yeh expectations ko mazid barhaya hai. Eurozone ki inflation kaafi reduce hui hai, jaise ke August ki Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) mein dikhaya gaya, jahan headline aur core inflation rates kam ho kar 2.2% aur 2.8% tak aa gayi hain. Germany mein recession ke khatshaat bhi rate cut ka case mazid mazboot karte hain. Carsten Brzeski, ING ke global head of macroeconomics, ne bhi yeh highlight kiya ke weak inflation aur sluggish growth ECB ke liye rate cut karne ka mauka banati hain. Iske muqable mein, British pound ne major currencies ke against relative strength dikhayi hai, jo EUR/GBP ke downward pressure ko barhati hai.
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