Eur/gbp

EUR/GBP Pair Mein Girawat ka Safar Jaari, Bullish Rebound Ki Umeed

EUR/GBP currency pair ne hal hi mein musalsal girawat ka samna kiya hai, jahan bearish sentiment market par haavi raha. Is girawat ne pair ko 2.5 saal ke lowest level tak la diya hai, lekin kuch ahem support levels ke upar qaim rehne ki wajah se yeh umeed hai ke bullish forces ab bhi moujood hain. Technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram, oversold conditions ko signal kar rahe hain, jo ke mumkin hai ke ek upward correction ka aghaaz karein.

Magar, pair ka 0.8300 support level ke neeche trade karna downside risks ko barhata hai. Agar bears prices ko mazeed neeche dhakelne mein kaamyab ho gaye, aur 0.8290-0.8300 ke support range ko tor diya, to agla ahem level 0.8250 mark aur 0.8200 ka six-year low hoga. Agar yeh level bhi break ho gaya, to prices mazeed neeche ja sakti hain, aur 2016 ka resistance level 0.8115 tak pahunch sakta hai.








Doosri taraf, agar bullish reversal ka chances dekhna ho to bulls ko strong momentum dikhana hoga aur July ka low 0.8381 ko break karna hoga. Ager yeh ho gaya, to further gains ka imkaan barh jaye ga, khaaskar agar price 20-day aur 50-day simple moving averages ke upar close kare. Magar ek sustainable rise 200-day simple moving average aur long-term descending channel ke upar hona zaroori hoga, taake bullish outlook established ho sake.

Kul mila kar, EUR/GBP pair abhi ahem support areas ke kareeb trade kar raha hai jo ke potential bullish activity ko suggest karta hai, lekin downside risks ab bhi significant hain. Traders ko technical indicators, price action, aur fundamental factors ko ghore se dekhna chahiye taake reversal ya further declines ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Lekin yeh baat bhi dekhni chahiye ke EUR/GBP pehle hi apna pehla downside target hit kar chuka hai jo August 5 ke high se bear move shuru hua tha. Yeh target 61.8% extrapolation tha August ke lower move ka jo September ke shuru mein channel banne se pehle hua. September 24 ke recovery ke baad, RSI oversold se bahir aa gaya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke ek greater correction aur upar ki taraf move abhi bhi mumkin hai.

EUR/GBP Price Forecast

Hum kuch had tak is baat se mutma’in hain ke pound jald hi ek correction ka samna kar sakta hai, kyun ke UK ke economic indicators zyada tezi se policy easing ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Lekin is haftay shayad ye reaction thora jaldi ho.

Dosray quarter ka GDP thoda revise ho kar 0.5% quarter-on-quarter ho gaya hai, magar 15 October ko aane wale jobs data tak koi bara UK release nahi hai, siwaye Bank of England ke Decision Maker Panel survey ke, jo thora ahmiyat rakhta hai.

Is baat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, eurozone ki inflation ke ECB easing ki umeedon ko mazid pukkha karne ke risk ke sath, EUR/GBP ko agle kuch dinon mein downside risk ka samna reh sakta hai. EUR/GBP ne September 24 ko low touch karne ke baad temporarily upar ki taraf correction dikhayi hai, lekin trend ab bhi bearish hai. RSI momentum ne oversold se bahar nikal kar possible reversal ka ishara diya hai, magar overall bearish trend qaim hai.







EUR/GBP ne recent dinon mein thoda pullback dikhaya hai, magar pair abhi short aur medium-term downtrend mein hai. Technical analysis ka ek principle hai ke "the trend is your friend," is liye bears ke haq mein odds mazeed barh rahe hain. Khaaskar, EUR/GBP ne ab apna pehla downside target achieve kar liya hai jo ke August 5 ke high se shuru hone wali girawat ka nateeja hai. Yeh target August ke initial move ka 61.8% extrapolation hai jo ke September ke shuru mein bana shallow channel tha. Yeh mumkin hai ke is girawat ka end point ho, lekin abhi tak is baat ki tasdeeq nahi hui hai.

Agar price 0.8317 ke September 24 low ke neeche break kar gaya, to yeh downtrend ke continuation ka signal hoga, jiska agla target 0.8287 hai, jo August 2022 ka low hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne September 24 ke bounce ke baad oversold se bahir nikal kar ek stronger correction ka risk zahir kiya hai. Agar yeh move zyada mazboot hota hai, to 0.8372 ke September 25 high ke upar break isko confirm karega.

instrument ke liye northern variant outline ki gayi hai. Request ki movement fibo range ke beech mein hai, jisme 100- 0.83982 aur 50- 0.83761 ke darmiyan positions hain; aur abhi ki price 0.83821 hai. Pichle din ke axes ka istimaal karke Facebook network ka qaida bana sakte hain. Is tarah ki construction se 100- 0.83982 aur 50- 0.83761 ka range samajh aata hai. Aur abhi jo price 0.83821 par hai, yeh bullish corridor mein north ki taraf ishara karti hai. Entered information se, jo ke request growth se mutaliq hai, main entry points dhoondh raha hoon target situations ke liye: 50- 0.83761, 61.8- 0.83813, aur 76.4- 0.83877. In situations se aap response ya rout dono pe kaam kar sakte hain. Main apna take profit upar wale situations 123.6- 0.84087 ya 138.2- 0.84151 par lena chahta hoon, jo ke mujhe bohat khushi dega. Yeh mumkin hai ke sab kuch plan ke mutabiq na ho, aur bears interest dikhayen, jo request ko range ke neeche le jaayein, seedha 50- 0.83761 ke neeche. Is bearish situation par zyada fikar karne ki zarurat nahi, flexible rehna chahiye aur deals par concentrate karna chahiye. Fibonacci grid ko mukhtalif tareeqon se establish kiya ja sakta hai. Mera faisla yeh hai ke main isay daily candle ke sath tie karoon, jo ke installation ko asaan banata hai aur request errors se bachata hai. Mubarakbad aur profitable trading ki dua! Aaj main aapka point of view share karta hoon jisme EURGBP pair ke price growth ki umeed hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke aapke targets se thoda zyada price uth sakti hai. Envelopes ke mutabiq, meri growth target resistance hai jo ke 0.8459 par hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke EURGBP pair abhi ke marks 0.8401 se is direction mein move karna jaari rakhe gi. Aur support 0.8377 par hai, jis se neeche hourly candle ka end nahi hona chahiye, warna north ki development toot jaayegi, aur aapko iss level ke upar ki gayi purchases ko losses ke sath close karna padega.

EMA200 (Red) — abhi bhi uptrend mein barriers ki tarah kaam kar rahe hain. Buyers ko mazid strong momentum ki zarurat hogi in barriers ko cross karne ke liye. Halanki yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh momentum fail ho jaye, magar price aasani se 0.8500 tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar EMA200 successfully break ho gaya, toh 0.8550 ka raasta khul jaye ga. Dusri taraf, correction ka bhi potential hai, jo ke MA5/MA10 Low H4 demand area tak ja sakta hai. Yeh area ek achi buy entry ka mokka hosakta hai, lekin loss limit ko 0.8400 ke neeche rakhna zaruri hai, kyun ke yeh week ka lowest point lagta hai. Agar hum Bollinger Bands ke structure ko dekhein, toh unka pehle ka narrow hona aur phir wide hona yeh dikhata hai ke market mein volatility barh rahi hai, jo ke mazeed movement ki nishani hai. Agar analysis ko dekhein, toh movement uptrend ki taraf jaane ka imkaan hai. Subha price ne daily pivot ke upar khula hai (0.8431 - 0.8420 blue box), jo ek positive sign hai. Akshar price action pivot par wapas aata hai, is liye yeh ek buy position kholne ka acha mauka ho sakta hai. Interesting baat yeh hai ke price EMA200 (Red) ke bilkul upar hai, aur usne EMA200 ke upar open aur close dono kiya hai. Yeh bullish market ka ek achha signal hai aur yeh movement 0.8500 tak jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. In do analyses ko dekha jaye toh buy trading option ke liye kaafi acha synch dikh raha hai. Loss ko 0.8400 ke neeche limit karna zaruri hai, kyun ke pehle bearish trend mein price 0.8392g

Good evening doston! Daily chart par kal ke din ek northward movement nazar aayi thi. Aaj bhi is waqt pair mein acha northward movement dekha ja raha hai. Chaliye koshish karte hain ke pair ki movement ka direction maloom kiya jaye aur dekha jaye ke kya yeh northern direction jari rahegi ya doosre options bhi mumkin hain. Pair ka technical analysis dekhte hain aur aaj ke remaining trading time ke liye kya recommendations ho sakti hain. Moving averages – active buy dikhate hain, technical indicators bhi active buy hain, aur conclusion bhi active buy hai. Aisa lag raha hai ke aaj northward direction ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, lekin hum is par faisla karenge. Aaj ke din pair ke liye important news releases ko bhi dekhte hain. Eurozone mein unemployment rate neutral hai. Ek important news nikalne wali hai, jo ke EUR ke net speculative positions ke baare mein hogi, aur uska forecast bhi neutral hai. UK se jo important news aayi hai, wo positive hai. GBP ke net speculative positions ka data bhi aane wala hai, jiska forecast bhi neutral hai.

Mera khayal hai ke aaj hum pair ke liye khareedari (buy) ki umeed rakh sakte hain. Mera andaza hai ke price resistance level 0.8580 tak pohanch sakti hai. Agar sale ho toh support level 0.8565 tak possible hai. Yani ke aaj trading time ke baqi hissay mein mujhe northward movement ka intezaar hai. Yeh ek sample trading plan hai. Sab ko good luck!

**False breakout** 0.8607 ka pehle hi dekhne ko mila hai, aur iske baad girawat jari rahegi. Euro ka exchange rate GBP ke muqable mein girta reh sakta hai. Yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke hum 0.8590 ka range bhi break kar lein, aur agar hum iske neeche consolidate kar lein, to yeh sell ka signal hoga. Agar 0.8620 ka false breakout ho jaye, to girawat jari rahegi. Asal mein, hum pehle hi 0.8620 ka false breakout dekh chuke hain, aur ab girawat jari hai. Jab tak 0.8590 ke range mein support hai, growth ka silsila jari rahega. Ek chhoti si correction ke baad girawat dobara jari hai. Shayad 0.8610 ke range se girawat mazeed jari rahe.

Jab hum 0.8620 ka range break kar lein aur uske upar consolidate kar lein, to yeh aage growth ka signal hoga. Ek assumption hai ke American session mein hum 0.8620 ka range break kar sakein aur uske upar consolidate kar sakein, aur yeh buy ka signal hoga. Haal ki situation mein growth jari reh sakti hai, lekin ek correction bhi mumkin hai. Jab hum 0.8620 ka range break kar lein aur consolidate kar lein, to buy ka signal milta hai. Aaj ke din ka priority ab bhi sales par hi rahega. Price ne linear regression channel ke red resistance line ko cross kiya, jo 2nd LevelResLine thi, lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) 0.86426 par pohanch ke apna growth rok liya aur ab neeche girna shuru kar diya hai. Abhi ke liye instrument 0.85960 ke price level par trade kar raha hai.
Click image for larger version

Monday Ka Trading Analysis: EUR/GBP Pair Monday ko EUR/GBP market mein koi khaas movement nazar nahi aayi, is liye trading ka tajwez nahi diya gaya kyunki price mein bahut zyada fluctuations nahi thi. H1 timeframe par, Asian session ke doran price flat rahi, weekly open ke 0.8425 ke aas paas ghoomti rahi. European session se pehle, sellers ne thoda pressure dalne ki koshish ki, price ko weekly open ke neeche le jaane aur H1 EMA 200 ko cross karne ki koshish ki. Lekin, sellers ki ye koshish zyada der tak nahi chali aur price ne 0.8412 tak pohnchne ke baad rebound kiya. Price dheere-dheere upar chali aur H1 EMA 200 ko cross kiya, lekin is penetration ne koi solid trend confirm nahi kiya aur price wapas weekly open area par aa gayi. Buyers ke potential ki bhi kami lagti hai, kyunki price ne 0.8425 area tak pohnchne ke baad thodi kamzori dikhayi aur EMA 200 ke aas paas 0.8419 par close hui. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 signals bhi support nahi de rahe the kyunki crossing definitive nahi thi. Ab, dono EMAs flatten hoti nazar aa rahi hain. Aaj ke trading conditions mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi; price movements kal ki tarah hi hain. Market 0.8417 par open hui, price daily open aur upper resistance level 0.8525 ke beech move kar rahi hai. Ye area resistance zone bana hua hai, jo buyers ko prices ko upar push karne se rok raha hai. Jab price movement narrow ho rahi hai, ye agle price flow ke liye intezaar karne ka ek mauka bhi ho sakta hai taake naye direction ka pata chal sake.

Daily time frame ke graphical conditions ka analysis karte hue, price upper daily resistance level 0.8424 se upar move nahi kar saki. Ye area Friday ko bhi positive price movements ke against barrier bana tha. Bullish momentum ka rukna sellers ko pressure apply karne par majboor kar gaya, jisse negative price movement aayi aur price Friday ke low 0.8412 tak neeche chal gayi, jisse ummeed thi ke daily support level 0.8405 tak extend ho sakti hai.

EUR/GBP pair apne teesray hafte mein downward trend par chal raha hai, aur ab tak koi signal nahi hai ke price upar jaane wali hai. Jo ongoing downward rally hai, usse lagta hai ke koi bhi upward correction sirf EMA 50 ke aas-paas ho sakti hai, uske baad price phir neeche gir sakti hai. Agar yeh downward rally 0.8400 ke psychological level ke neeche jaati hai, to price daily time frame par 0.8382 ke low prices ko test karegi. Is tara price ka structure lower low - lower high mein rahega, kyun ke upward movement 0.8643 ke high price ko cross karne mein fail hui, jo ke invalidation level tha. Stochastic indicator ke hisaab se bhi price neeche jaane ka support hai, kyun ke indicator ka parameter 50 level ko cross karte hue oversold zone, jo ke 20 - 10 ke aas-paas hai, mein ja raha hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke price ke neeche jaane ka abhi bhi space hai, jab tak ke selling saturation point nahi aa jata. Upward correction ka possibility sirf 0.8432 ke minor resistance tak lagta hai, uske baad price phir se neeche ja sakti hai.
Trading Plan:
Entry:
Jab price 0.8400 ke neeche break kare, to SELL position mein re-enter karein, aur yeh confirm ho ke downward trend continue ho raha hai.
Stochastic Indicator Confirmation:
Stochastic indicator ka cross level 50 ke aas-paas ya phir overbought zone 90-80 ke aas-paas aane ka intezaar karein.
Take Profit Target:
Low price 0.8382 ko daily time frame par take profit ka target set karein.
Stop Loss:
Stop loss 0.8432 ke minor resistance level par rakhain. Yeh downtrend ziyada tar ECB (European Central Bank) ke interest rate cut ki anticipation ki wajah se hai, jo ke September mein hone ka imkaan hai. ECB ne June mein jo rate cut kiya tha aur recent economic data ne yeh expectations ko mazid barhaya hai. Eurozone ki inflation kaafi reduce hui hai, jaise ke August ki Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) mein dikhaya gaya, jahan headline aur core inflation rates kam ho kar 2.2% aur 2.8% tak aa gayi hain. Germany mein recession ke khatshaat bhi rate cut ka case mazid mazboot karte hain. Carsten Brzeski, ING ke global head of macroeconomics, ne bhi yeh highlight kiya ke weak inflation aur sluggish growth ECB ke liye rate cut karne ka mauka banati hain. Iske muqable mein, British pound ne major currencies ke against relative strength dikhayi hai, jo EUR/GBP ke downward pressure ko barhati hai.

EURGBP pair ke price decline rally ko dekhte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke Pound Sterling ki currency ka outlook Euro currency se zyada mazboot hai. Price kaafi der se 0.8427 ke resistance aur EMA 50 ke ird-gird consolidate kar raha tha, aur aakhir mein lagataar girawat ka samna karte hue 0.8325 ke support (S2) tak pohanch gaya. Is dauran, price upar ki taraf correct ho raha hai jo ke support (S1) 0.8350 se upar hai. Agar yeh upward correction phase jari rahta hai, to yeh pivot point (PP) 0.8402 ki taraf barh sakta hai, jo ke qareebi SBR area hai. Price ka pattern structure ab tak nahi badla aur ab bhi lower low - lower high condition mein hai. Yeh bhi bearish trend ke direction ke mutabiq hai jo ab tak chal raha hai. Agar price girawat rally jo ke support (S2) 0.8325 tak pohanch chuki hai, nayi lower low pattern ko 0.8315 ke low prices par rok deti hai. Iska matlab hai ke upward price correction phase pivot point (PP) 0.8402 ki taraf ja sakta hai, lower high pattern banane ke liye. Mazeed, jo current invalidation level hai wo 0.8462 ke high prices par hai jo ke resistance (R2) 0.8479 se zyada door nahi hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se nazar aa raha hai ke downtrend momentum kamzor ho raha hai. Volume histogram jo ke green dikhayi de raha hai, negative area mein level 0 ke qareeb aane ki koshish kar raha hai, halankeh price volume ke barhne ke muqable mein yeh comparable nahi hai. Doosri taraf, Stochastic indicator se lagta hai ke price phir se neeche ki taraf jaane wala hai. Kyun ke parameters jo ke overbought zone mein level 90 - 80 ke darmiyan the, cross kar gaye hain. Iske ilawa, parameters overbought zone se neeche yaani level 80 se neeche aa chuke hain, jo ke signal deta hai ke buying saturation point achieve ho chuka hai. Bearish trend direction conditions aur prices jo ke naye lower low pattern bana chuki hain, unke saath trading options par focus rakhein aur SELL ka intezaar karein. Entry position point ko pivot point (PP) 0.8402 par rakhein jo ke qareebi SBR area hai. Confirmation ke liye dekhain ke agar Stochastic indicator ke parameters phir se overbought zone mein level 90 - 80 ke darmiyan hotey hain, phir crossing hoti hai. AO indicator ka histogram ab bhi level 0 yaani negative area ke neeche hai aur agar volume dobara barhta hai to downtrend momentum ko valid tasleem kiya jaye ga. Take profit ka target support (S2) 0.8325 se le kar low prices 0.8315 tak rakhein aur stop loss ko resistance (R1) 0.8427 par rakhein.

EMA50 (Blue) ko bhi penetrate kar liya. Filhaal market ko consolidation ki zarurat hai aur ek correction bhi hosakta hai, kyun ke do dynamic resistances — EMA100 (Purple) aur EMA200 (Red) — abhi bhi uptrend mein barriers ki tarah kaam kar rahe hain. Buyers ko mazid strong momentum ki zarurat hogi in barriers ko cross karne ke liye. Halanki yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh momentum fail ho jaye, magar price aasani se 0.8500 tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar EMA200 successfully break ho gaya, toh 0.8550 ka raasta khul jaye ga. Dusri taraf, correction ka bhi potential hai, jo ke MA5/MA10 Low H4 demand area tak ja sakta hai. Yeh area ek achi buy entry ka mokka hosakta hai, lekin loss limit ko 0.8400 ke neeche rakhna zaruri hai, kyun ke yeh week ka lowest point lagta hai. Agar hum Bollinger Bands ke structure ko dekhein, toh unka pehle ka narrow hona aur phir wide hona yeh dikhata hai ke market mein volatility barh rahi hai, jo ke mazeed movement ki nishani hai. Agar analysis ko dekhein, toh movement uptrend ki taraf jaane ka imkaan hai. Subha price ne daily pivot ke upar khula hai (0.8431 - 0.8420 blue box), jo ek positive sign hai. Akshar price action pivot par wapas aata hai, is liye yeh ek buy position kholne ka acha mauka ho sakta hai. Interesting baat yeh hai ke price EMA200 (Red) ke bilkul upar hai, aur usne EMA200 ke upar open aur close dono kiya hai. Yeh bullish market ka ek achha signal hai aur yeh movement 0.8500 tak jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. In do analyses ko dekha jaye toh buy trading option ke liye kaafi acha synch dikh raha hai. Loss ko 0.8400 ke neeche limit karna zaruri hai, kyun ke pehle bearish trend mein price 0.8392 tak gir gaya tha, lekin phir wahan se ek strong reversal aaya aur price 0.8600 tak pohanch gayi.

Pound Sterling ka outlook Euro currency ke muqablay mein zyada dominant hai. Jo bearish trend conditions abhi bhi nazar aa rahi hain, woh EURGBP pair ki price ko neeche ki taraf rally karne mein madad kar rahi hain. Support level 0.8507 ko successfully break karne ke baad, price neeche ki taraf move kar gayi aur ek nayi lower support level 0.8453 ke range mein form hui. Jab hum price ke girne ko dekhte hain, toh aisa lagta hai ke isne abhi tak koi upward correction phase nahi dekha, jo ek secondary reaction hoti. Agar upward correction hota, toh yeh sabse nazdeek SBR minor area 0.8482 tak jaati, uske baad price phir se support 0.8453 ko retest karti.
Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se pata chalta hai ke downtrend momentum kamzor ho raha hai, kyunki histogram volume negative area mein level 0 ke qareeb aa raha hai. Yeh situation bullish divergence signal dene ki bhi sambhavnayein rakhti hai, kyunki histogram volume price movement ke oppositely behave kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters, jo ke overbought zone between level 20-10 ko cross kar chuke hain, upward correction ko support karte hain. Lekin, upward movement shayad EMA 50 se zyada door tak nahi jaayegi, kyunki dono Moving Average lines ke darmiyan gap abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai.

Bearish trend ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, trading options ko SELL moment ke liye wait karna chahiye, bullish divergence reversal signals ko nazar andaz karte hue. Entry point SBR minor area 0.8482 par set kiya ja sakta hai. Confirmation ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 ke qareeb cross karen, ya phir aur bhi safer hoga agar overbought zone mein levels 90-80 ke beech crossover dekhen. Iske ilawa, AO indicator ko negative area mein wider histogram volume dikhana chahiye taake downtrend momentum ko aur reinforce kiya ja sake.

Kal raat, maine 0.71 aur 0.786 Fibonacciretracement levels ke darmiyan ek pending buy order lagaya tha, umeed thi ke wahan se price bounce back karegi. Lekin, mera order activate nahi hua, is wajah se mujhe isay cancel karna pada. Yeh baat highlight karti hai ke trading mein strategic entry points kitnay zaroori hote hain. Aagey dekhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke price 1.3560 ke area tak upar ja sakti hai. Yeh level critical hai kyun ke yeh ek significant Order Block aur liquidity area ke sath coincide karta hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bohot se market participants ne apne stop orders is zone mein lagaye hue hain. In factors ka convergence fresh selling opportunities ko janam de sakta hai jab price is level tak pohchti hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke hum hoshiyaar rahein, kyun ke yeh area price reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Jab maine 4-hour chart analyze kiya, toh mujhe market mein prevailing bearish structure nazar aya. Agar yeh downward trajectory barqarar rehti hai, toh mera agla target level 1.3358 ke aas-paas hoga. Is level ko monitor karna bohot zaroori hai kyun ke yeh ek support point ka kaam kar sakta hai, jahan buying interest wapas aa sakta hai aur shayad trend reverse ho jaye.
Akhir mein, main USD/CAD pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon aane wale buying opportunities ke liye, lekin mujhe prevailing bearish trend aur key levels ka bhi khayal rakhna hai. Fibonacci retracement levels ka integration, liquidity zones ka samajh, aur market structure ka ghor se observation meri trading decisions ko dictate karega. Yeh approach mujhe market ke nuances ko samajhne aur potential price movements se faida uthaanay mein madad degi.

EUR/GBP pair ki price movement ne EMA 50 ke upar ek upward correction phase ko maintain karne ki koshish ki, lekin nakam rahi. Bearish trend jo chal raha hai, wo abhi bhi kaafi strong hai aur price ko neeche dhakel raha hai. Price, jo ab wapas do Moving Average lines ke neeche aa gayi hai, kehte hain ke shayad yeh 0.8320 ke support ko test kare. Agar price support tak nahi pohchti, toh yeh 0.8369 ke resistance ko test karne ka chance hai. Price pattern ka structure ab tak nahi badla aur lower low - lower high ka condition dikhata hai. Filhal, 0.8369 ka resistance ek invalidation level hai, toh jab tak price structure break nahi hota, price ab bhi lower low bana sakti hai 0.8320 ke support ke neeche.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke zariye downtrend momentum kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Volume histogram negative area mein level 0 ke qareeb aane ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price upar chalti rehti hai, toh histogram positive area mein cross kar ke momentum ko uptrend mein tabdeel kar sakta hai. Sirf Stochastic indicator abhi price ke neeche jane ko support kar raha hai. Parameters jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein dakhil hue hain, cross karne wale hain, jo yeh signal dete hain ke rally apne saturation point tak pohch gayi hai. Lekin agar parameters overbought zone mein atkay rahe, toh iska matlab rally jaari reh sakti hai.

Monday Ka Trading Analysis: EUR/GBP Pair Monday ko EUR/GBP market mein koi khaas movement nazar nahi aayi, is liye trading ka tajwez nahi diya gaya kyunki price mein bahut zyada fluctuations nahi thi. H1 timeframe par, Asian session ke doran price flat rahi, weekly open ke 0.8425 ke aas paas ghoomti rahi. European session se pehle, sellers ne thoda pressure dalne ki koshish ki, price ko weekly open ke neeche le jaane aur H1 EMA 200 ko cross karne ki koshish ki. Lekin, sellers ki ye koshish zyada der tak nahi chali aur price ne 0.8412 tak pohnchne ke baad rebound kiya. Price dheere-dheere upar chali aur H1 EMA 200 ko cross kiya, lekin is penetration ne koi solid trend confirm nahi kiya aur price wapas weekly open area par aa gayi. Buyers ke potential ki bhi kami lagti hai, kyunki price ne 0.8425 area tak pohnchne ke baad thodi kamzori dikhayi aur EMA 200 ke aas paas 0.8419 par close hui. EMA 12 aur EMA 36 signals bhi support nahi de rahe the kyunki crossing definitive nahi thi. Ab, dono EMAs flatten hoti nazar aa rahi hain. Aaj ke trading conditions mein koi khaas tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi; price movements kal ki tarah hi hain. Market 0.8417 par open hui, price daily open aur upper resistance level 0.8525 ke beech move kar rahi hai. Ye area resistance zone bana hua hai, jo buyers ko prices ko upar push karne se rok raha hai. Jab price movement narrow ho rahi hai, ye agle price flow ke liye intezaar karne ka ek mauka bhi ho sakta hai taake naye direction ka pata chal sake.
Daily time frame ke graphical conditions ka analysis karte hue, price upper daily resistance level 0.8424 se upar move nahi kar saki. Ye area Friday ko bhi positive price movements ke against barrier bana tha. Bullish momentum ka rukna sellers ko pressure apply karne par majboor kar gaya, jisse negative price movement aayi aur price Friday ke low 0.8412 tak neeche chal gayi, jisse ummeed thi ke daily support level 0.8405 tak extend ho sakti hai.

Kal ki trading ke doran, price ne highs aur lows banaye 0.8430 aur 0.8412 ke beech, aur ek bearish candle banayi kyunki buyers ki daily bullish candle banane ki koshish Friday ke movement se rok di gayi thi. Aaj ki trading mein, price 0.8424 area ko test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin seller pressure dobara se samne aaya hai, jo price ko neeche push kar raha hai jaise European session mein dekha gaya. Saath hi, daily Stochastic level 80 tak pohnch gaya hai aur iska line neeche curve kar rahi hai, jo sellers ke market mein enter karne ki strength ko indicate kar raha hai.

**EUR/GBP ka Tajziya aur Forecast**

EUR/GBP pair ka tajziya kartay huay, Ichimoku indicator apni taqatwar side ko dikhata hai aur ek powerful sell signal de raha hai. Is waqt price 0.83589 cloud ke neeche hai, jo ke ek mazboot bearish signal hai. Cloud, market ke position ke mutabiq resistance ya support ka kaam karti hai, aur iss waqt resistance hai. Cloud ki do lines, Senkou Span B (0.83789) aur Senkou Span A (0.83835) mein, Senkou Span B line sab se taqatwar hai kyun ke iska period 52 hai. Iss waqt cloud resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, Tenkan-Sen line (0.83651) Kijun-Sen line (0.83722) ke neeche cross kar chuki hai, jo aur bhi taqatwar bearish signal deta hai. Ichimoku ke yeh dono signals mil kar ek powerful bearish trend ko zahir kar rahe hain, is liye main suggest karta hoon ke sale (short) entry points par ghour kiya jaye aur buy ke barey mein socha bhi na jaye.

EUR/GBP pair ka halat ab aise hai ke aap apni ankhon par bharosa nahi kar sakte. Jab chart ko dekhte hain, to aisa lagta hai ke ab hum EUR/GBP pair mein aur zyada neeche girain ge, aur yeh 0.8366 ke aas-paas se hoga. Magar agar technical analysis ke mutabiq dekha jaye, to Envelopes indicator yeh suggest karta hai ke 0.8360 level, jo trading range ka bottom hai, daily aur four-hour scales par ek hi waqt par nazar aata hai. Iss waqt jab price in levels par hoti hai, inka break hona kafi mushkil hota hai. Is liye main umeed kar raha hoon ke EUR/GBP pair 0.8366 ke current mark se barhna shuru karega, aur agar price hourly scale par 0.8378 ke resistance ke upar chali jati hai, to price ka growth accelerate hoga.

Yeh bhi dekhna zaroori hai ke EUR/GBP pair ke situation ab kafi calm hai, aur daily volatility low hai. Ab tak downward movement hi dominate kar raha hai, aur hum neeche southern direction mein pressure bana rahe hain. Ab tak hum 83rd figure se neeche nahi gaye hain, lekin agle movement mein neeche girnay ki guzarish hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke dollar ka agla trend kaisa hoga, kyun ke aaj US mein inflation ka data release ho raha hai, aur is wajeh se EUR/USD aur GBP dono hi dollar ke demand ke framework mein trade kar rahe hain. Mere liye kuch bhi nahi badla, kyun ke main aise prices par koi transactions nahi karta, lekin main yeh manta hoon ke hum 0.8310–0.83 ke neeche ja sakte hain, aur sirf wahan pohanch kar main rollback ke framework mein buy positions consider karunga.

**EUR/GBP Analysis**

EUR/GBP pair mein humne dekha ke yeh multi-month range ke bottom par aa chuki hai, jo ke 0.8380 ka level hai. Yeh downtrend pehli October 3 ke uptrend ke baad aayi thi, jab Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ke remarks ke baad price upar gayi thi. Pair ka former downtrend se reversal yeh suggest karta hai ke ek nayi short-term uptrend ka potential hai. Lekin, isko confirm karne ke liye humein 0.8434, jo ke October 3 ka high tha, isko break karna hoga.

Jaisay Einstein ne kaha tha, "In the middle of difficulty lies opportunity," isi tarah agar yeh level break hota hai, to hum 0.8450 ke resistance tak pohanch sakte hain, jo ke moving average cluster aur connection channel ke top ke qareeb hai. Iske baad, agla target 200-day simple moving average (SMA) hoga, jo ke 0.8510 par located hai. MACD momentum index bhi ab red signal line ke upar cross kar chuka hai, jo ke trend change ka ek clear indicator hai.

Agar price 0.8311 se neeche girti hai, jo ke October 1 ka low hai, to bearish bets ka wapis aanay ka imkaan barh jata hai, aur phir medium-term downtrend ka re-emergence ho sakta hai. Aise case mein, hum aur neeche ja sakte hain, targeting 0.8284 (78.6 Fibonacci extrapolation) aur phir 0.8236 (100% extrapolation) tak.

Pair ab tak apni 2.5 saal ki low, 0.8316 ke upar hai, jo ek descending channel ke support line ke upar hai. Yeh recovery ka ek hopeful sign hai, lekin ehtiyaat ki zarurat hai kyun ke RSI aur Stochastics abhi tak oversold zone mein nahi aaye hain, jo yeh signal karta hai ke selling pressure abhi tak kafi strong hai.

Agar sellers price ko 0.8290-0.8300 se neeche push karte hain, to unko 0.8250 mark ke qareeb ek major test ka samna hoga, jo ke 6 saal ke low, 0.8200 ke saath hai. Uske neeche koi significant support nahi hai jab tak hum 2016 ke resistance, 0.8115 tak nahi jaate.

Agle hafte key data releases, jaise ke CPI reports, kaafi ahmiyat rakhti hain. Traders ko yeh carefully monitor karna hoga, jaise Shakespeare ne likha tha, "Better three hours too soon than a minute too late."

Mujhe aap ka price growth ka nazariya pasand aya, aur mera bhi yeh khayal hai ke EUR/GBP pair thoda aur upar ja sakti hai. Mera growth target resistance hai jo 0.8459 ke level par hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke pair current level 0.8401 se move karte hue is taraf jayegi. Support level 0.8377 ke qareeb hai, jiske neeche hourly candle close nahi honi chahiye. Agar aisa hota hai, to northward movement ka plan fail ho sakta hai, aur aapko apni buy positions ko losses ke sath close karna padega.

**EUR/GBP ka forecast:**

EUR/GBP pair par Ichimoku indicator apni mazboot tareen side dikha raha hai aur ek taqatwar sell signal de raha hai. Is waqt current price 0.83589 hai jo ke cloud ke neeche hai. Cloud resistance aur support ka kaam karta hai, market ke uski position ke mutabiq. Yeh cloud Senkou Span B 0.83789 aur Senkou Span A 0.83835 lines par mushtamil hai, jahan Senkou Span B line sabse mazboot hai kyun ke iska period lamba hota hai, yani 52. Is waqt cloud resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Is powerful signal ko mazid taqat milti hai Tenkan-Sen 0.83651 line ke neeche Kijun-sen 0.83722 line ke cross hone se. Yeh dono signals Ichimoku indicator ki taqatwar side ko define karte hain, jo ke ek bearish signal deti hain. Mai suggest karta hoon ke sell entry points ko consider kiya jaye aur buy karne ka sochna nahi chahiye.

Abhi EUR/GBP pair ki situation aisi hai ke "apni aankhon par yaqeen mat karo," kyun ke jab aap chart ko dekhte hain, toh aisa lagta hai ke hum EUR/GBP pair mein mazeed neeche girne waale hain, aur literally current mark 0.8366 se. Lekin technique ke mutabiq Envelopes ke hisaab se, mairay paas yeh level 0.8360 par bottom of the trading range hai, chaar ghante aur daily scales par. Aur mujhe yaad nahi ke aise levels kab toray gaye jab unki price is waqt match karti hai. Isliye mai intezar kar raha hoon ke EUR/GBP pair ab 0.8366 ke current mark se upar jaaye, aur price 0.8378 ke hourly scale resistance ke upar jaane se price growth ko tezi milegi.

Yeh baat bhi note karne laayak hai ke EUR/GBP pair par situation ab kaafi calm ho gayi hai kyun ke daily volatility kam hai. Aur bilkul kuch nahi badla, yani ke downward movement abhi bhi primary trend hai, jis mein ab hum neeche ja rahe hain aur southern direction mein press kar rahe hain. Aur yeh girne ki jagah bhi hai, kyun ke hum abhi tak 83rd figure ke neeche nahi gaye. Zaroori baat yeh hai ke aage dollar ka trade kaise hoga, kyun ke aaj USA mein inflation ki report hai, aur ismein EUR/USD aur pound dono dollar ke demand ke framework mein trade kar rahe hain. Mere liye toh kuch nahi badla, kyun ke mai khud aisay prices par transactions nahi consider karta. Lekin mai yeh maan raha hoon ke hum 0.8310-0.83 ke neeche ja sakte hain, aur sirf wahan mai buy ki transactions ko allow karta hoon, woh bhi rollback ke framework ke under.