Usd/jpy

USD/JPY Analysis

Daily time frame pe, main Trend line ka use karta hoon. Pichle saal ke chart ke mutabiq, market bearish direction mein chal rahi thi. December 2024 ke aakhri dino mein, bullish movement ne Trend Line ko paar kar diya aur price bearish area se bahar nikal gayi. Ab market bullish direction mein chal rahi hai.

Is haal se lagta hai ke buyers market par bohot zyada dominancy kar rahe hain aur price ko uthane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Bullish reversal ka imkaan barh gaya hai.




Choti time frame, yani H4 pe, maine 120-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) indicator ka use kiya hai taake pichle paanch dinon ka moving average dekha ja sake. USD/JPY ab bhi apne 120 SMA ke upar move kar raha hai. Price sirf 120 SMA ke qareeb aayi hai, halankeh sellers ne price ko neeche push karne ki koshish ki. USD/JPY trend pair ko Weekly, Daily, aur H4 teen different time frames pe compare karne se yeh nikalta hai ke USD/JPY trend pair ab bhi bullish direction mein hai. Is wajah se price movement 150 SMA indicator ke upar hai, halankeh sellers ne koi strong resistance nahi dikhaya hai.

H4 time frame pe dheyan se dekhne par yeh nazar aata hai ke pehla trend bullish tha lekin ab bearish ho gaya hai. Yeh seller sentiment ke significant pressure ki wajah se hai, jisne price ko pehle ke lowest price 146.80 ke neeche penetrate karne diya aur phir 147.80 par wapas aayi.Aapka trading day Acha rhe.

U.S. dollar ne Monday ke shuruati trading mein Japanese yen ke muqablay mein thodi si qeemat barhayi, jab investors ne phir se carry trade ka faida uthana shuru kiya. Yeh scene tab hua jab Bank of Japan ne ek high-profile bailout announce kiya aur apni recent hawkish stance ko narm karna pada, kyunke tight monetary policy ki wajah se Japanese stock market hil gaya tha. Carry trading ke tez raftaar ne kai markets ko disrupt kiya aur significant volatility ko janm diya.
Ab sabse bara sawal yeh hai ke Bank of Japan yen ko stabilize karne par dhyan degi ya usay preserve karne ki koshish karegi. Bank of Japan ki tight monetary policy yen ko madad de sakti hai, lekin Japan aur doosre bade deshon ke darmiyan interest rate ka farq ab bhi bara hai, aur agla move Federal Reserve par depend karega. Agar Fed rates ko kam karne mein dheere chale ya cautious approach apnaye, to fiscal season mein dollar ki additional gains dekhi ja sakti hain.

Lambe arse ke liye, U.S. achi position mein nazar aa raha hai. Dollar yen ke muqablay mein strong rahega, lekin aage ka raasta mushkil ho sakta hai. Short term mein, marketers ko zyada changes ke liye tayyar rehna padega. Agar dollar 148.50 yen ke upar break karta hai, to yeh dollar ke liye strong gain ka indication ho sakta hai, lekin filhal market mostly holding pattern mein hai, clear direction ka intezar kar raha hai aur bottom find karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Overall, jabke in dono currencies ke liye long-term outlook positive hai, foran ka mustaqbil abhi bhi uncertain hai aur traders ko caution ke sath chalna chahiye. Central bank policies mein changes ke liye alert rehna zaroori hai jo market ko affect kar sakti hain.

Monday ko, USD/JPY pair ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein kafi behtari dikhayi, jiski wajah se currency pair ne apne pehle ke low 141.71 se wapas aakar 147.57 ke qareeb trade karna shuru kar diya. Market participants pair mein kisi bhi significant movement aur Japanese authorities ke intervention measures par nazar rakh rahe hain jo excessive depreciation ko rokne ke liye kiye ja sakte hain.
USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Bloomberg ki recent reports ke mutabiq, RBC BlueBay Asset Management ka kehna hai ke Bank of Japan apni bond purchases mein market ki umeed se zyada kami karne par ghour kar sakti hai. Agar iske saath ek rate hike bhi hota hai, to yeh hawkish factors ka majmooa Japanese Yen ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Swap traders forward contracts pe swap rates mein izafa dekh rahe hain, jo July ke end tak ek aur rate hike ke hone ka imkaan dikhata hai. Yeh trend 18 June ko Governor Kazuo Ueda ke comments ke baad shuru hua, jinmein unhone additional rate hike ki possibility ka izhaar kiya tha.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:




Monday tak, pair 148.00 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo daily chart analysis ke mutabiq bullish trend ko reflect karta hai. Pair ek ascending channel pattern ke upper boundary ke qareeb positioned hai. Lekin, traders ko caution barqarar rakhni chahiye, kyunke 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 ke upar hai, jo overbought conditions ko darshata hai aur correction ke chances ko suggest karta hai.

Short Term Outlook:

Short term mein, pair ko 162.11 level ke qareeb resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai, jo ascending channel ke upper boundary ko represent karta hai. Agar yeh resistance successfully break hota hai, to bullish sentiment aur barh sakta hai aur pair ko psychological resistance level 162.51 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY

Abhi main USD/JPY pair ko D1 time frame par dekh raha hoon, jahan iski price Thursday ko tezi se gir kar 144.40 tak aa gayi. Lekin, 146.50 ke neeche girne ki ummeed kam hai. Iske ilawa, US dollar index Ukraine aur Russia ki crisis ke wajah se tezi se barh gaya hai. Thursday ko, USD/JPY 145.50 ke supply zone ko paar karne ke baad recover karne ki ummeed hai, jahan long-term bulls ko faida ho sakta hai. Iska matlab hai ke USD/JPY ke barhne ki umeed hai. Agar buyers supply level 147.10 ke upar settle karte hain, to price January high 146.40 tak barh sakti hai.

USD/JPY ka uptrend channel bhi dikhata hai ke pair abhi bhi barh raha hai. Buying options profitable ho sakti hain. Stochastic indicator bhi 25 ke epic level ke upar chala gaya hai, jo USD/JPY mein optimism ko indicate karta hai.




Long-term uptrend ke wajah se, USD/JPY pair ko short jana mushkil ho raha hai. Commercial sales bhi 145.50 ke neeche girne ki koshish karti rahi hain lekin wahan zyada der nahi rukti. Geopolitical tensions bhi US dollar ko surge karwa rahi hain Ukraine aur Russia mein wars ke outbreak ke baad. Is hafte ke trade mein, mujhe lagta hai ke pair Thursday ke resistance level 147.00 par strong waves bana sakta hai.

Price aur bhi barh sakti hai 146.80 tak with higher volatility. Stochastics down hain, jo medium term mein downward correction ke mumkin hone ka ishara hai. Behtar hoga agar aap short ya medium price correction ke complete hone ka intezaar karen pehle buy karne se. Initially, hum Thursday ko resistance level 147.90 par extended target ki talash kar rahe hain. Jab price barhegi aur supply level 146.60 par acceleration trigger hoga, tab rebuy entry signal milega.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis
Aaj price ne weekly pivot level 147.40 ke upar trading shuru ki, jo ek upward trend ka indication hai. Kal ke price trend bearish tha, red channel bearish direction ko dikhata hai, jabke blue channel do din ke price movement ko represent karta hai. Dusre shabdon mein, ek upward wave ke baad downward correction aayi, aur aaj price behavior channels ke sath trend ko define karega. Lower blue channel line ne price ko support diya hai, aur red channel ne upward break kiya hai, isliye ab price upward trend par hai. Kal price ke resistance level 147.90 ke upar break karne aur uske upar stabilize karne ki ummeed hai, jo aur zyada upside ka signal dega.




H4 Time Frame:

Price ne upward price channels ko break karke weekly resistance level 146.70 ko paar kar diya hai. Is hafte, pair sideways channel ke andar open hua aur weekly pivot levels ko narrow range ke sath close kiya. Price weekly support level 146.60 tak gir gayi aur phir bounce karke resistance level ko break kiya, jo yeh dikhata hai ke pair upward trend par hai, halanki yeh level tak gir gayi thi. Agar candle 147.10 ke upar close hoti hai, to price 147.75 aur phir 147.89 tak barh sakti hai. Price weekly pivot point ke neeche trade ho rahi thi. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke price ne barhne ke baad girna shuru kiya, lekin channel ke line se support mila aur upper line ko break karke upward trend dikha diya.

USD/JPY Price Direction
Main abhi USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko analyze kar raha hoon. 30-minute chart par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karte hue, main 144.460 aur thoda neeche ke level ko short positions close karne ke liye target bana raha hoon. Current market conditions selling ko support kar rahi hain, isliye jab tak pair 145.256 ke neeche hai, short positions open karna behtar hai. Agar price 145.256 ke upar break hoti hai aur consolidation hoti hai, to long positions consider karni chahiye with a target of 146.050. Main bearish stance rakh raha hoon, aur tick volumes aur Bollinger Bands ko closely monitor kar raha hoon for actionable insights. Hourly chart par bullish buy level 145.790 ke breach hone se growth potential dikhai deta hai.




Main Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels ko target kar raha hoon: 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720. Aaj bulls ne earlier bearish trend line ko surpass kiya, jo buying volume ke increase ka indication hai. Lekin agar bearish sell level 142.901 ke niche girti hai, to yeh bearish trend shift ko signal karega. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur bearish scenario ke sath align hoti hai, to main decline ko prioritize karunga, aur Bollinger Bands ke drop ki ummeed rakhta hoon. 30-minute chart ka technical analysis dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions ko indicate kar raha hai, aur histogram uptrend shuru kar raha hai. Price, jo 141.86 ka minimum reach kar chuki hai, upar barh rahi hai. Yeh green zone ke through move kar rahi hai aur shayad red zone ko support level ke taur par use kare. Price poori tarah green zone ko navigate kar sakti hai aur apne pehle ke sideways range mein wapas aa sakti hai, jahan support 153.11 aur resistance 154.71 ke level par hai.

USD/JPY Analysis
Mangalwar ko, USD/JPY pair ne apni downward trajectory ko continue kiya, jo largely strengthening US Dollar (USD) ke asar se hai. USD/JPY pair ab 141.71 ke naye low ke paas trade kar raha hai, jo 1986 ke baad ka lowest level hai. Is trend ke bawajood, Japanese authorities ke verbal interventions yen ko kuch support de sakti hain aur iski further decline ko roknay mein madad kar sakti hain.




USD ne teen din ki losing streak ko break kiya, jo US Treasury yields ke rise ki wajah se hua. Yeh increase is wajah se hua ke Federal Reserve se 2024 mein interest rates cut hone ki ummeed barh gayi hai. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ki President Mary Daly ne kaha ke monetary policy ka asar ho raha hai, lekin abhi bhi ye uncertain hai ke kab interest rates ko lower karna appropriate hoga. Daly ne Reuters ko bataya, "Agar inflation sticky rahti hai ya dheere dheere girti hai, to rates ko lamba samay tak higher rakhna padega.” Ab market participants Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke agle speech se insights ki ummeed kar rahe hain.

Situation thodi uncertain lagti hai; lekin mujhe lagta hai ke bullish side par ek correction aa sakta hai, jo resistance zone 157.27 tak pahunch sakta hai, jo Bollinger indicator ke moving average line se define hota hai. Yeh area descending bearish channel ke upper boundary ko bhi represent karta hai agar trend reversal hota hai. Filhal, trading instrument ka market price 154.11 par hai. Aaj subah ke trading mein, instrument ne 153.63 par support paaya aur wahan se upar ki taraf chadhna shuru kiya, jo 154.25 tak gaya.

Envelope ke technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke prices barh sakti hain. MACD indicator positive territory mein hai aur Stochastic indicator buyer activity ke signs dikhata hai. Yeh ummeed ki ja rahi hai ke price 157.01 ke level ki taraf barhegi. Yeh analysis key levels aur technical indicators ko highlight karta hai, aur dono upward aur downward movements ko anticipate karta hai. Strategic planning aur market developments ke updates par nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake in dynamics ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Price Action Chronicles: USD/JPY
Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko real time mein dekh rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ab medium se lekar long-term downward trend mein hai. Lekin, yeh girawat tezi se hui hai aur lagbhag bina kisi pullback ke, jo aam nahi hai. Ab ek short-term correction shuru hui hai, jahan lower time frames par ek apparent pullback ban raha hai. Price ab 142.14 ke recent low se upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. 38% Fibonacci retracement level par ek candle pattern ban raha hai jo ya to half-star ya engulfing pattern ka lag raha hai. Price ko standard technical correction ke liye upar jana chahiye, jahan targets minimum 146.7 (38% Fibonacci level) aur maximum 154.00 tak ho sakte hain, shayad pehle se broken trend line ko touch karte hue. Is waqt sales risky hain; magar lower time frames par correction phase mein enter karke 300-point ka favorable gain mil sakta hai, jo relatively low risk ke saath hai.




Aaj, price ne 145.52 par descending channel ke upper boundary se reversal liya aur pehle to girna shuru kiya. Expectation ke contrary, price rebound hui, upar ki taraf move karte hue channel se bahar nikal gayi. Ab hourly chart par ek ascending channel establish ho gaya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair aage bhi upar ki taraf ja sakta hai. Is upward movement ka target channel ka upper limit 148.14 hai. Meri strategy yeh hai ke resistance level 149.81 par short position open karun, jo strong lag raha hai. Main is level se potential decline expect karta hoon, aur sales ko tab tak hold karunga jab tak price 142.53, ek significant support level tak nahi pohnchti. Agar price 149.81 ke upar break karke wahaan stable rahti hai, toh main is level par buying consider karunga, kyunki yeh naya support ban jayega.

Trading Insights: USD/JPY Prices
Hamari discussion real-time mein USD/JPY currency pair ke price action par focused hai. Broader market trends zyada clear hain compare to shorter time frames. Jaise ke pehle kaha, bina kisi significant correction ke hum 50% support level 144.60 tak pohnch gaye hain jo maine indicate kiya tha. Market ki volatility ne aisi situation create ki jahan bulls disoriented nazar aaye aur currency pair ko effectively correct karne mein help ki zaroorat thi. 50% support level 144.60 ab upar ki taraf momentum regain karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Isliye, meri bullish outlook bani hui hai, halanke short-term reversals possible hain. USD/JPY pair ne dramatic decline experience kiya aur 141.68 ka naya local low touch kiya, phir ek corrective phase mein enter kiya. Lekin, yeh correction revise karne ki zaroorat hai. Dono buying aur selling opportunities ab unattractive lagti hain: purchases unappealing hain kyunki price significant support levels se door ho gayi hai, aur sales bhi unattractive hain kyunki price ne strong resistance zones tak nahi pohnchti.



Isliye, passive rehna behtar lagta hai, kyunki current levels par koi compelling trading prospects nahi hain. Pair daily chart par kuch din se downward move kar raha hai, lekin aaj bullish shift nazar aati hai. Dekhna hoga ke yeh movement barqarar rahegi ya humein kisi aur development ki ummeed rakhni chahiye. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, moving averages aur indicators sell bias suggest kar rahe hain. Phir bhi, buying signals abhi bhi hain. Aaj ke essential news United States se positive aaye hain, jabke aane wale U.S. data neutral hain. Japanese news bhi neutral rahi hai, aur koi significant updates nahi hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke aaj kuch sideways movement dekhne ko milegi, jahan potential sales support level 144.19 tak aur purchases resistance level 146.49 tak ho sakti hain. Isliye, short term mein pair ke liye sideways movement ka hona mumkin lagta hai.

USD/JPY: Har Cheez 31 July Ko Tabdeel Ho Gayi
31 July ko Bank of Japan ne short-term government bonds par interest rates ko 0% se 0.25% tak barhane ka faisla kiya. (Yeh March mein ek pehli baar 17 saalon ke baad ki gayi rate hike ke baad hua, jab bank ne rate ko -0.1% se barhakar 0% kiya.) Yeh seemingly chhoti si change ek aise silsile ko shuru kar diya jisne Bitcoin (BTC $55,514) aur Ethereum (ETH $2,500) ki prices ko lagbhag 18% aur 26% girane par majboor kar diya.

Traditional markets bhi badly shaken the, S&P 500 — jo US stocks ka index hai — din ke dauran 5% se zyada gir gaya.

Catalyst Japan ki rate hike nahi, balki uske baad kya hua: foreign exchange markets mein yen ki value ka surge. (Currencies aksar domestic interest rates barhne par value gain karti hain.) 31 July se, USD/JPY exchange rate 153 yen per dollar se gir kar 145 yen per dollar tak aa gaya. Achanak se, yen-denominated loans kafi mehngi ho gayi.

Chahe lenders se margin calls ki wajah se ya general caution ke chalte, traders ne billions ki positions dump karna shuru kar diya. Jump Trading ka 24 July se 4 August ke beech 370 million dollars se zyada ETH bechna ek stir create kar gaya, lekin yeh downturn ko trigger nahi kiya. Jump ne sirf us historic selloff ko amplify kiya jo pehle se hi inevitable tha.

USD/JPY pair pichle paanch hafton se gir raha hai. Marlin oscillator ab upwards move karne laga hai, lekin price ab bhi 140.27 ke target level tak pohnch sakti hai, jo last December ka low hai aur 61.8% corrective level ke kareeb hai. Daily chart par, price 480 pips girne ke baad bounce hui. Pair din ke khatam hone par 233 pips gir gaya. Aaj, price ka upper shadow target resistance 146.50 tak pohncha, isliye kal ki movement ka range complete ho gaya.

Ab, price 140.26 tak leisurely move kar sakti hai, jahan se yeh correction mein enter hogi, jo shayad 144.30-145.08 ke range tak wapas aayegi. 4-hour chart par, Marlin oscillator oversold zone se nikal chuka hai. Price 144.30-145.08 ke range mein settle ho rahi hai, uske baad yeh decline resume kar sakti hai. Hum price ke 140.27 ke target level tak pohnchne ka intezar kar rahe hain, uske baad corrective return ka, taake Marlin oscillator se mil sake.

Japanese yen ne US dollar ke muqablay mein quwwat hasil ki hai, kyunke Bank of Japan (BoJ) zyada hawkish monetary policy ki taraf barh raha hai. Central bank ne apni short-term interest rate target barhadi aur government bonds ke kharidari ko kam kiya, jis se mazeed policy tightening ki umeed barh gayi hai. Is tabdeeli ke sath sath carry trade unwindings ki raftar dheemi hone se yen ki value barh gayi hai. Is ke muqablay mein, US dollar ko Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ki barhti umeedon ki wajah se mushkil ka samna karna par raha hai. CME FedWatch tool ab yeh darshata hai ke September mein rate cut ka achha khayal hai, jo dollar ki appeal ko kam kar raha hai. USD/JPY pair filhal 145.20 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo apni recent losing streak ko tod chuka hai. Technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke 140.25 par potential support mil sakta hai aur resistance nine-day EMA ke 149.22 ke paas hai. Pair ab ek aham morh par hai, jahan yeh 200-day simple moving average ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh level tod diya, to yeh sustained downtrend ka suru hone ka ishara ho sakta hai, jahan support levels 151.90-151.54 aur 151.09 ho sakte hain.


Agar yeh pair nine-day EMA ko upar se todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to isay 154.50 par declining support-turned-resistance level aur 50-day EMA par 155.58 se resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai. Aage ke upside momentum se Fibonacci retracement levels test ho sakte hain aur aakhir mein 38-year high 161.94 ko challenge kar sakte hain. USD/JPY pair ka aage ka rukh largely BoJ ki monetary policy ki direction, US interest rate cuts ki raftar aur overall market sentiment par depend karega. Summary yeh hai ke BoJ ka Wednesday ka raise USD/JPY ko zyada support provide karta hai, lekin short term mein selling pressure ka shikaar hai. Lekin, agar 200-day SMA ke niche girta hai, to yeh trend reversal ka indication de sakta hai.

USDJPY Pair Ka Technical Analysis



1-hour chart ke mutabiq, USDJPY pair ko ab upar jane ka achha mauqa mil raha hai, kyunke price channels aur weekly level 143.56 se support mil raha hai. Aaj price ne descending price channels ke andar trading shuru ki, jo pichle do din ke dauran price movement ki direction ko darshati hai. Lekin aaj humne upar ki taraf direction change karne ki koshish dekhi hai, aur ab tak yeh koshish kamiyab rahi hai.

Price channels aur kal ke highest trading prices ke beech upar aur neeche hone ke bawajood, current support level price ko wapas upar le aaraha hai, jo highest trading price ko tod kar upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Is waqt trading advice yeh hai ke current level se buy kiya jaye aur weekly pivot level tak trade kiya jaye, with a stop-loss level 143.56 ke neeche set kiya jaye.

Economic side par, Japanese yen ne sharp gains dekhi hain, jo 141.70 ke level tak jump kar gayi hai, aur yeh January 2024 ke shuruat ke baad se sabse uncha level hai. Yeh bets ke Bank of Japan agle mahino mein interest rates barhaye ga, jabke US Federal Reserve shayad interest rates ko zyada aggressively cut kare. Yeh forecasts ek kamzor jobs report ke baad aaye hain, jisne United States mein recession ka dar paida kiya, aur markets ne Federal Reserve se September mein zyada 50 basis point rate cut ki umeed lagai hai.

Isi doran, Bank of Japan ne apni benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhadiya hai aur yeh signal diya hai ke agar economy strong rahi to aur bhi rates barhaye ja sakte hain. Financial markets do aur rate hikes ki ummeed laga rahe hain is fiscal year ke liye jo March 2025 ko khatam hoga, aur agla increase December mein hone ki umeed hai. Central bank ne agle do saalon mein monthly bond purchases ko adha karne ka plan bhi announce kiya hai.

Dusri taraf, data ke mutabiq Japanese authorities ne currency ko support karne ke liye July mein 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiya.

**USD/JPY Price Activity: Economic Uncertainty Mein Bullish Momentum Ka Safar**
Aaj humara focus USD/JPY currency pair ke current price movements ka tajziya karna hai, jo ke daily Pivot level ke ird gird consolidation ke bawajood upar ja raha hai. Market ke inn opportunities se faida uthane ke liye aik acha trading plan zaroori hai, lekin yeh thorough analysis aur accurate forecasting ke baghair mumkin nahi hai. Is liye, forex market mein aage rehne ke liye musalsal seekhna aur apni skills ko behtar banana bohot aham hai.

### Key Resistance Levels aur Bullish Potential

Haal hi mein, USD/JPY pair ne aik key resistance level ko 147.74 ke qareeb test kiya hai. Agar yeh level successfully break ho jaye, tou mazeed gains ke liye raasta khul sakta hai, jahan aglay potential targets 148.52 aur 151.19 ho sakte hain. Is setup ko dekhte hue, current strategy mein buying opportunities pe focus karne ka mashwara diya ja raha hai, jahan stop loss 145.35 level ke neeche rakha jaye ga taake risk ko effectively manage kiya ja sake. Yeh approach khaas tor pe relevant hai kyunki abhi yeh pair 146.98 ke ird gird trade kar raha hai, jo ke 145.40 aur 145.79 ke darmiyan support zone ka raasta dikha raha hai.

### Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation aur Potential Downside

Overall upward trend ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair consolidation mein lagta hai, jo ke short term mein selling pressure ko zaahir kar sakta hai. Yeh khaas tor pe us waqt sach ho sakta hai agar U.S. inflation data mein koi growth na ho ya phir kami aaye, jisse U.S. Dollar pe selling pressure barh sakta hai. Yeh scenario USD/JPY pair pe zyada asar dal sakta hai, khaas tor pe agar Bank of Japan apne interest rates barhane ka sochta hai Japan ke inflation ke barhane ke sabab se. Yeh Eurozone se mukhtalif hai, jahan rate adjustments dheere hain, aur U.S. Federal Reserve, jahan future rate cuts ki umeed ki ja rahi hai.

### Technical Indicators: Bullish Continuation Ke Liye Dekhna

Hourly chart pe kuch key indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke bullish correction filhaal continue reh sakti hai. Price abhi 75% support level 145.68 ke thoda upar hai aur 1/12 angle ke qareeb hai, jo ke aik crucial area hai jahan bearish forces aasakti hain. Magar agar bulls phir se control hasil karne mein kaamyab ho jate hain, tou yeh 1/7 angle ko target kar sakte hain aglay step ke tor par. Agar bullish momentum barhta raha, tou yeh pair 50% resistance level 151.11 tak push kar sakta hai, jo ke previous bearish trend se significant correction ko complete karega.

### Economic Factors: U.S. Inflation aur Market Sentiment

Aane wala U.S. inflation data bohot critical factor hoga USD/JPY pair ke aglay move ko determine karne mein. Agar data inflation ko expected se kam dikhaata hai, tou U.S. Dollar pe selling pressure barh sakta hai, jisse pair neeche ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar inflation stable rehta hai ya barhta hai, tou pair apni upward trajectory ko jaari rakh sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ke potential interest rate hikes Japan ke domestic inflation ke response mein bhi pair pe asar dal sakte hain, kyunki traders Japan aur U.S. ke contrasting monetary policies ko weigh karte hain.

### Conclusion: USD/JPY Market Ke Liye Strategy Banana

Nateejatan, USD/JPY pair aik pivotal point pe hai, jahan bullish aur bearish factors dono apna role ada kar rahe hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, key resistance aur support levels pe focus karna chahiye, aur upcoming economic data, khaas tor pe U.S. inflation figures pe nazar rakhni chahiye. Current strategy mein buying opportunities ko dekhne ka mashwara diya ja raha hai, lekin market developments ke response mein positions ko adjust karne ke liye taiyyar rehna chahiye. Informed aur adaptable reh kar, traders USD/JPY market ki complexities ko behtar navigate kar sakte hain aur aglay significant move se faida utha sakte hain

USD/JPY



Aapki technical analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY currency pair aaj ke liye kaafi zyada niche aane ki ummeed hai, aur iski price 148.60 tak ja sakti hai. H1 time frame par USDJPY ne ek bearish candle engulfing banayi hai jo sell signal ka bohot strong indicator hai. RSI 14 indicator ke mutabiq, jab USDJPY ki price 149.32 par thi, tab yeh overbought declare hui thi, yani ke buying saturation bohot zyada thi. Is wajah se aaj USDJPY ki price kaafi deeply correct ho sakti hai aur 148.60 tak aa sakti hai.

SELL USDJPY ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support hota hai, kyunki jab USDJPY ki price 149.120 par pohnchti hai, to yeh SBR area mein hoti hai. Isliye SELLERS ko is price par sell karna bohot possible hai, aur USDJPY ki price future mein 148.60 tak ja sakti hai. Aapki technical analysis ke mutabiq, aapne SELL USDJPY karne ka faisla kiya hai aur price ko 148.60 tak le jaane ka target rakha hai.

Kal USDJPY kaafi high move hua tha, market ke opening par yeh level 147.154 tha aur ab yeh 151.499 tak pohnch gaya hai. Aaj shaam ko iski correction hone ki ummeed hai aur kam se kam yeh level 148.125 tak aayegi, isliye jab price niche move kare, to uska faida uthayein. Aapka stop loss level 146.320 par plan hai aur agar price 151.50 ko exceed karti hai, to profit target level 155.345 tak pursue karein.

Gold ke movement ko bhi dekhte hue, jo ke zyada tar up hai, halanke yeh resistance area ko multiple times test kar chuka hai. Friday trading ka aakhri din enjoy karein aur umeed hai ke aapka trading smooth aur maximum profit ke sath ho.

USD-JPY H1 TIME FRAME
Aaj, 15 August 2024, USD/JPY currency pair aik certain price range mein stable movement dikha raha hai. H1 chart par dekhne par maloom hota hai ke current price kareeb 147.474 ke level par hai, pehle yeh fluctuations ke sath support aur resistance areas ke darmiyan tha. Technical analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke short-term EMA (Exponential Moving Average) (period 9) ne long-term EMA (period 21) ko cross karna shuru kiya hai, jo ke price consolidation ya sideways movement ka indication hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator abhi bullish signal de raha hai, lekin MACD histogram mein positive momentum ka decrease nazar aa raha hai, jo ke uptrend ke kamzor hone aur possible correction ka ishara ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator 59.16 ke level par hai, jo dikhata hai ke USD/JPY pair abhi overbought zone mein nahi gaya, lekin us level ke kareeb hai, to is mein mazeed increase ka potential hai lekin correction ka khatra bhi hai
Is tarah ke technical conditions ke sath, aik pending order strategy use kar ke trading opportunities ko optimize kiya ja sakta hai. Ek pending buy limit order 147.200 level par place kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke current price se thora niche hai, profit target 147.800 par aur stop loss 146.800 par rakha ja sakta hai. Yeh strategy temporary correction ke potential par rely karti hai, pehle ke price uptrend continue kare. Isi tarah, aik pending sell limit order 147.800 level par place kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke upper resistance area hai jahan se expect kiya ja raha hai ke price increase ko roka ja sake. Sell limit ka profit target 147.200 par rakha ja sakta hai aur stop loss 148.200 par, taake false breakout se bacha ja sake
Overall, USD/JPY pair abhi limited range mein movement ka potential dikha raha hai, aur pending buy limit aur sell limit strategies ke istemal se price fluctuations ka faida uthaya ja sakta hai. Technical indicators aur market sentiment ka close monitoring bohat zaroori hai taake zyada accurate trading decisions liye ja sakein. Jo USD/JPY chart mein dekh raha hoon, kuch key areas hain jin par tawajju dena zaroori hai. Pehla, aik strong resistance zone 152.065 ke level ke kareeb hai, jo ke horizontal red line aur uske around turquoise green area se mark kiya gaya hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zone aik aisa area hai jahan se prices ko penetrate karna mushkil hota hai. Har dafa jab price is level ke kareeb aata hai, to significant rejection hota hai, jo price ko reverse kar deta hai. Yeh strong selling pressure ko indicate karta hai is level ke around, jo ke agar future mein break through ki koshish ho to mujhe dekhna chahiye
Is ke ilawa, ek strong support area 141.799 ke level ke kareeb hai, jo ke horizontal red line aur chart ke neeche turquoise green area se mark kiya gaya hai. Jab se price is level tak pohoncha, wahan se kaafi sharp rebound hua, jo ke strong buying interest ko indicate karta hai is area mein. Yeh level aik key level hai meri nazar mein dekhne ke liye ke price dobara is area ko retest karega ya nahi. Agar price is level ko neeche break kar gaya, to phir further decline ka high probability hoga