nzd/usd

Kal ke trading mein, NZD/USD pair ki price mein achi khasi increase dekhi gayi, aur aaj bhi price ki bullish journey ka silsila jaari hai. 4-hour time frame ko monitor karne par, price ka bullish journey dhire dhire continue hota hua nazar aa raha hai. Buyers ne agar candlestick ko 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar le jaane mein success hasil ki, to weekly trend ki support ke saath, jo abhi bullish chal raha hai, buyers ko market control karne ka acha mauka mil raha hai, jo weekend market close hone tak chal sakta hai.
Ab lagta hai ke NZD/USD market ki latest situation buyers ke control mein chal rahi hai, aur wo price ko steadily upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Mere observation ke mutabiq, buyer control ne price ko upar uthate hue 100-period simple moving average zone ko bhi paar kar diya hai. Agar aap week ke shuruat ki trading situation ko dekhein, to sellers market ko control karne ki koshish kar rahe the taake price ko 0.5845 position tak le jaya ja sake. Lekin Tuesday se downward trend continue nahi ho paya aur price upar chali gayi. Ab tak, price bullish movement ke saath 0.6028 area tak aa gayi hai. Market mein bullish trend journey ke liye ab bhi chances hain.

4-hour time frame chart ko monitor karne par, lagta hai ke buyers ka control abhi bhi dominant hai. Candlestick ab bhi 0.6068 zone ke aas-paas uthane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Current candlestick position 100-period simple moving average zone ko paar kar chuki hai, jo market ko next bullish opportunity dene ka signal hai. Personally, mujhe ummeed hai ke market apni uptrend journey ko continue rakhegi, jisse technical analysis ke results ke mutabiq Buy option par focus kiya ja sake

NZD/USD Pair Technical Analysis

US Dollar Index (DXY ek medium aur long-term sideways trend mein hai, jo ek multi-year range mein chal raha hai. July ke aakhir se, yeh steadily ek down leg unfold kar raha hai is range mein, jahan ceiling lagbhag 105 par hai aur range floor 100 level par hai. Price action abhi bhi bearish hai aur koi strong bullish reversal patterns nahi ban rahe hain – shape ya candlestick variety se. Isse ye lagta hai ke downside ka risk zyada hai. Agar yeh trend continue hota hai, toh DXY agle support level 99.57, jo July 2023 ka low hai, tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh range ka lowest floor hai – isse neeche decisive break hone par yeh ek bahut bearish sign hoga.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator daily chart aur weekly chart dono par oversold hai (weekly chart yahan nahi dikhaya gaya). Iska matlab hai ke prices downside par overextended hain aur ek pullback ka risk zyada hai. Lekin, RSI ne abhi tak oversold zone se exit nahi kiya, jo ek buy signal ke liye zaroori hai. Jaise cheezein hain, RSI ka oversold hona bas bears ko warn karta hai ke apne short positions ko aur na badhayein, aur RSI ko puri tarah se oversold zone se nikalna padega taake reversal signal mil sake. 100 ek important level hai. Key psychological level hone ke ilawa, 100 ek major historical support level bhi hai jo 2023 se ab tak teen baar girti hui prices ko support provide kar chuka hai (neeche gol circle mein dikhaya gaya). Sawal yeh hai, kya 100 is baar bhi rescue karega?

NZD/USD market ke American session ke khulne se pehle abhi bhi daily open aur sab se qareeb support ke beech upar neeche ho raha hai. Aaj market ne 0.6242 ke price par khulne ke baad support 0.6220 par hai. Jabke qareeb ka resistance 0.6262 par mapped hai. Monday se, is jori ki price movement chhoti - chhoti hai. Kal se upward trend dobara nazar aane laga, jo ke pichle din thodi correction ke baad hai. High bhi ucha paaya gaya. Shuru mein yeh andaza lagaya gaya tha ke price correction mein rahegi, lekin Asian session se buyers ne apni dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish ki. Price ne positive move karna shuru kiya aur dheere-dheere upar gaya. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi break kar diya aur price upar chalne lagi. Buyers ke push ne price ko 0.6249 tak pohnchaya aur uske baad price limited movement dikhane lagi. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekhte hue, rally ke liye price ab bhi open hai, lekin filhaal price Thursday ke daily open ke neeche hai.

NZD-USD Pair Review

NZD-USD market ke American session ke khulne se pehle abhi bhi daily open aur apne qareeb ke support ke beech upar-niche ho raha hai. Aaj market ne 0.6242 ki price se khula aur support level 0.6220 hai. Jab ke sabse qareeb resistance level 0.6262 par mapped hai. Monday se, is pair ki price movement choti-choti form kar rahi hai. Kal se upar ki taraf trend phir se nazar aane laga hai, pichle din thodi si correction ke baad. High bhi zyada bana. Shuru mein, aisa lag raha tha ke price correction ko continue karegi, lekin Asian session se lagta hai buyers apni dominance banaye rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price survive kar gayi aur dheere-dheere positive move ki taraf ja rahi hai. Weekly open 0.6217 bhi break out ho gaya aur price upar ki taraf chalne lagi. Yeh buyer's push ne price ko 0.6249 tak pohanchaya aur phir price limited movement dikhane lagi. Kal ke trading conditions ko dekhte hue, rally ka estimation abhi bhi open hai, lekin filhal price Wednesday ke daily open se niche hai.

NZDUSD H1 Trading Plan

Aaj raat ke liye maine NZDUSD pair par trading plan banaya hai, jo ke kuch is tarah hai:

Sell Plan:

• Agar price support level 0.6220 se niche girti hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ek downside crossover banate hain, to sell karein.
• Take profit levels honge 0.6187 se 0.6176 tak, jahan maximum target EMA 200 H1 line ho sakta hai.

Plan B (Sell):

• Agar 0.6324 area mein rejection hota hai, to weakening target 0.6297 se 0.6230 tak rakha jayega.

Buy Plan:

• Buy option tab prepare hai jab price resistance level 0.6262 se upar chali jaye aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 upar ki taraf point karte hain.
• Take profit levels honge 0.6295 se 0.6324 tak.

Buy Pullback:

• Agar price correction ke baad EMA 200 H1 line se reject hoti hai, to buy pullback consider karein.
• Is situation mein take profit EMA 36 H1 ke real-time line par ya sabse qareeb position 0.6194 se 0.6200 tak calculate kiya jayega.

Stoploss:

• Stoploss 15 pips ke andar order area se ya order area ke sabse qareeb support/resistance level par rakha jayega.

Trading Analysis: NZD-USD Pair (August 21)

Current Market Overview

NZD/USD pair ko daily timeframe par dekhne par yeh zahir hota hai ke current price aik significant resistance level ke qareeb aa rahi hai, jo 0.61547 se 0.62180 tak spread hai. Yeh area strong resistance zone hai, kyunki history mein jab bhi price ne is level ke qareeb ya isay touch kiya hai, market direction reverse hui hai. Dusri taraf, 0.58725 ke aas paas aik major support level hai, jo significant price movements ke liye lower limit ka kaam karta hai. Yeh level pehle bhi price declines ko rokne mein effective raha hai, jahan buying pressure aayi aur price upward rebound hui.

Filhal, price uptrend mein hai kyunki yeh lower levels se rebound karke resistance zone ke qareeb aa rahi hai. Yeh movement pattern yeh suggest karti hai ke market resistance ki strength ko test kar rahi hai. Agar price 0.62180 level ko break karne aur uske upar close karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to bullish trend continue hone ki strong likelihood hai, jo potential upward movement ko higher levels tak le ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price is resistance ko break nahi kar pati, to selling pressure wapas aa sakta hai, jo price ko support level ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Trading Strategy

Meri trading plan yeh hai ke main aik correction ka wait karunga taake buying ke liye behtar momentum mil sake. Pehla buy area jo maine identify kiya hai, wo 0.61115 se 0.61246 ke beech hai. Yeh area aik demand zone establish kar sakta hai jahan buyers wapas aa kar price ko correction ke baad upar push kar sakte hain. Agar price is area ke qareeb aati hai aur reversal ke signs dikhati hai, jaise bullish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ki confirmation, to yeh aik achi opportunity ho sakti hai buy position open karne ke liye.

Additionally, doosra buy area jo main observe kar raha hoon wo 0.60817 ke aas paas hai. Yeh level pehle aik swing high tha jo break ho gaya tha aur ab aik naye support level ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai. Agar price is level tak aur zyada correct karti hai, to buyers isay defend kar sakte hain, jo price ko phir se upward push dene mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Isliye, yeh area bhi aik achi opportunity represent karta hai agar wahan retracement hoti hai.




Summary

In identified zones aur confirmation signals ki careful observation meri trading decisions ko guide karegi NZD/USD pair ke liye near term mein.

NZDUSD Resistance aur Support Levels ka Overview

NZDUSD currency pair ko daily timeframe par analyze karte waqt, yeh zahir hota hai ke price ab aik significant resistance level ke qareeb aa rahi hai, jo 0.61547 se 0.62180 tak ke range mein hai. Yeh area aik strong resistance zone hai, kyunki price ne historically jab bhi is region ke qareeb ya isay touch kiya hai, market direction reverse hui hai.

Dusri taraf, 0.58725 ke aas paas aik prominent support level hai, jo significant price movements ke liye lower boundary ka kaam karta hai. Yeh level pehle bhi price declines ko roknay mein effective raha hai, jahan buying pressure ne emerge kiya aur price ne upwards reverse kiya.

Current Price Movement

Filhal, price lower levels se rebound hoti hui uptrend mein hai aur resistance zone ke qareeb aa rahi hai. Yeh movement pattern yeh indicate karta hai ke market resistance ki strength ko test kar rahi hai. Agar price 0.62180 level ko break karne aur uske upar close karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to bullish trend continue hone ke strong chances hain, jo further upward movement ke liye raasta khol sakta hai.

Lekin agar price is resistance ko break nahi kar pati, to selling pressure emerge ho sakta hai, jo price ko support level ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Trading Plan

Meri trading plan yeh hai ke mai potential corrections ka wait karunga taake behtar buying momentum capture kar sakoon. Pehla buy area jo maine identify kiya hai wo 0.61115 se 0.61246 ke base ke aas paas hai. Yeh area aik demand zone ban sakta hai jahan buyers wapas aa kar price ko correction ke baad upar push kar sakte hain.

Agar price is area tak pohnchti hai aur reversal ke signs dikhati hai, jaise bullish candlestick patterns ya doosre technical indicators ki confirmation, to yeh aik achi opportunity ho sakti hai buy position open karne ke liye.

Additionaly, doosra buy area jo main monitor kar raha hoon wo 0.60817 ke level ke aas paas hai. Yeh level pehle aik swing high tha jo ab break ho gaya hai, aur yeh naye support level ban sakta hai. Agar price is level tak zyada retrace karti hai, to buyers isay defend kar sakte hain aur price ko phir se upar push kar sakte hain. Isliye, yeh area bhi retracement ke waqt achi buying opportunity ka kaam kar sakta hai.




Summary

In summary, NZDUSD pair bullish movements dikhata hai jab ke strong resistance levels ka samna kar raha hai. Support zones aur reversal signs par focus karte hue careful approach adopt karna successful buy trades execute karne ke liye zaroori hai.

NZD/USD
Us Dollar Monday ko thora stable raha, pichlay hafta 1.76% ki bari girawat kay baad, jo aik saal say ziada ka sab se bura girawat tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest rate cut ka wada kiya hai.

US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai, aur is haftay US ka data aanay wala hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko flat trade kar raha tha jab ke us ne June 2023 ke baad say apni aik sab se bura weekly performance di hai. US Dollar Index, jo USD ki qeemat ka muqabla dosray currencies kay against karta hai, pichlay hafta 1.75% tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat zyada tar Powell ke Jackson Hole ke alfaz ki wajah se thi. Ab jab ke Powell ne September mein rate cut ka wada kar liya hai, markets ab speculate karna shuru kar sakti hain ke iska November mein Fed meeting aur agay kay liye kya matlab hoga.

Concerns Monday ko pick up kar sakti hain jab ke economic calendar mein Durable Goods Orders ke numbers shamil hain, jo aksar markets ko hila detay hain. Agar US ka overall data resilient ya phir tez ho gaya, toh iska Fed ke September ke rate cut commitment par kya asar hoga? Strong data yeh scenario create kar sakta hai ke ek dafa ka rate cut ho, jo markets ke liye aik acha shock ban sakta hai.

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NZD/USD apni range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur aage barhnay ke liye tayar hai. Agar August 20 ka high cross kar gaya, toh yeh shayad bullish breakout ko confirm kare ga. Is tarah ka move pair ko 0.6400s tak le ja sakta hai.

NZD/USD ab apni sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. August 20 ka high cross karna shayad upside breakout ko confirm kare ga, jo kay aglay dino mein bari gains le kar aayega. Pair ne August 20 ko apni range ka ceiling temporarily breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 tak gaya, lekin phir wapis gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana di. Phir is ke baad thora weakness dekha gaya jo ke 0.6109 August 22 ka swing low tha, lekin pair recover kar gaya aur August 23 ko wapis range se bahar nikal gaya.

Tab se NZD/USD thora pull back karta hua 0.6248 ke August 20 highs par aagaya hai. Agar yeh high cross ho gaya, toh yeh ek decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisa breakout 0.618 ratio ke hisaab se upside target ko activate karega, jo ke 0.6448 tak ja sakta hai (bold rectangle). Aik aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) pe hai.

Is tarah ka move shayad short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega.

Agar 0.6109 ka swing low break ho gaya, toh yeh sideways trend ko reconfirm karega aur yeh range ke lows, yani 0.5850s, tak gir sakta hai.

NZD/USD
US Dollar (USD) ko apne bareeq rivals ke muqablay mein wapas rebound karna mushkil ho raha hai, jab ke usne Wednesday ko kamzori dekhi thi. US economic data docket mein aaj ADP Employment Change for August, weekly Initial Jobless Claims aur August ISM Services PMI data shaamil honge. In reports ke agay anay se pehle, Eurostat July ke Retail Sales data ko publish karega.

Wednesday ko, US Bureau of Labor Statistics ne yeh report kiya ke July ke akhri business day par job openings 7.67 million par thi. Yeh reading market expectations jo ke 8.1 million thi, se kam thi, jis ke natije mein USD selling pressure ka shikar hogaya. Tuesday ko 2 hafton ke new high 101.91 ko touch karne ke baad, USD Index ne southern direction mein movement kiya aur Wednesday ko 0.5% ka loss dekhne mein aya. European morning mein, yeh index 101.00 se upar stable hai. Iske saath, benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield 3.8% se niche gir gaya aur Wall Street ke main indexes ne mixed closure dikhayi. Thursday ki subha, US stock index futures marginally lower trade kar rahe hain.

NZD/USD ko foran resistance 9-day EMA ke qareeb 0.6203 level par mil sakta hai. 14-day RSI abhi bhi 50 level se upar hai, jo ke overall bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Immediate support 14-day EMA ke qareeb 0.6180 level par milta hai, jo ke lower boundary ke saath aligned hai.



NZD/USD apni position 0.6200 ke qareeb European hours mein Thursday ko barqarar rakhta hai. Daily chart mein, yeh pair ascending channel ke lower boundary ke upar hai, jo ke bullish bias ko support karta hai. Agar yeh boundary break hoti hai toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se upar hai, jo ke overall bullish trend ko support karta hai. Iske ilawa, 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 14-day EMA ke upar positioned hai, jo ke NZD/USD pair mein short-term upward momentum ko signal karta hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke pair ka rise continue rahega.

Upar ki taraf, NZD/USD pair ko pehla resistance 9-day EMA ke qareeb 0.6203 level par mil sakta hai, jise 7-mahine ka high 0.6247 (jo ke 21 August ko record kiya gaya tha) follow karega. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair ascending channel ke upper boundary par 0.6330 ko test kar sakta hai.

Support ke lehaz se, NZD/USD pair ko pehla support 14-day EMA ke qareeb 0.6180 level par mil sakta hai, jo ke ascending channel ki lower boundary ke qareeb 0.6170 par aligned hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh bullish bias kamzor ho sakta hai aur pair psychological level 0.6100 ke aas paas move kar sakta hai.

NZD/USD D1 chart
New Zealand Dollar aur US Dollar (NZD/USD) ka jo jor hai, Friday ko Europe mein tijarat ke aghaz par apni oonchai ki taraf barhta raha, aur takreeban 0.6260 tak pohanch gaya. Ye joda mazid taqat ke sath ooper ja raha hai, aur paanchwe hafte tak musalsal ooncha band ho raha hai. Ye barhawa is liye hai ke afwahen hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) agle mahine, September mein apni monetary policy ko naram karega. Sarmaaya kaar is waqt bade shauq se US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation data ka intizar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko jari kiya jayega. Ye eham ma'ashi ashariya Fed ke rate cut ke faislon ke baray mein mazeed roshni dalega.

US Bureau of Economic Analysis ne haali mein report diya ke doosri quarter mein US economy 3.0% ke sehatmand salana rate se barhi, jo pehle 2.8% ka andaza tha us se zyada hai. Is ke ilawa, naye US jobless claims ka tadad August 24 ko khatam hone wale hafte mein 231,000 tak gir gaya, jo mazid mazboot labor market ko zahir karta hai. Jabke ye hosla afzaa US ma'ashi data kuch had tak US dollar ko support de raha hai, magar bazaar ka rujhan agle mahine Fed ke rate cut ki taraf hai. September mein 25 basis points ka rate cut hone ke imkanaat is waqt taqreeban 66% par hain, jo ke interest rate futures ke bazaar se andaza lagaya gaya hai.




Magar, mazeed rate cuts ke imkanaat thore se kam ho gaye hain, jo pehle 36.5% the ab 34% ho gaye hain jabse US GDP data aya hai. Sarmaaya kaar ghairat se US inflation data ko dekh rahe hain, ke kahi mehngai barhne ki alamaat nazar aati hain ya nahi. Agar inflation tez hoti hai to Fed ke rate cut ki umeed kam ho sakti hai, jo ke US dollar ko mazid taqat dega aur NZD/USD ke liye ooper jane ke raste ko rok sakta hai.

Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne zor diya hai ke rate cuts ka faisla karne se pehle aur ziada employment aur inflation data dekha jana zaroori hai. New Zealand Dollar ki taraf dekha jaye to, NZD ko ANZ Business Expectations Survey ke zariye himayat mili, jo ek dahe tak ka sabse behtareen level par tha. Survey ka overall business confidence index August mein 51.0 tak pohanch gaya, jabke private activity expectations 37.0 tak barh gayi, jo 7 saal ka uncha level hai.

Jis tarah se Wednesday ko din

ke pehle hissay mein US dollar ne thori si recovery dikhayi, lekin American session mein phir se neeche chala gaya aur musalsal chothay din negative territory mein band hua. Thursday ke European trading hours ke doran, Germany aur Eurozone se aane wale August ke HCOB Manufacturing aur Services PMI ka preliminary data, aur S&P Global/CIPS ke PMI numbers ko bazaar ke participants ghairat se dekhenge. Din ke baad mein, US mein weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Existing Home Sales aur S&P Global PMI data bazaar mein khas iltifaat ka markaz honge.

NZD/USD iss waqt ascending channel pattern ke upper boundary ke andar chal raha hai. 14-day RSI takreeban 70 ke level ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai, jo ke correction ke imkanaat ko zahir karta hai. 9-day EMA 0.6092 ka level pehli immediate support ka kaam kar raha hai is pair ke liye. NZD/USD apni paanchwin musalsal session ki winning streak ko barqarar rakha hua hai aur Thursday ke European hours mein takreeban 0.6160 par trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ka analysis ye batata hai ke ye joda upward boundary ke andar ooper ki taraf ja raha hai.

NZD/USD ke price action ko samajhna
Aaj ka mawad NZD/USD currency pair ke price action ke tajziye par mabni hai. NZD/USD currency pair mein aaj buying positions ke liye ek acha moqa mojood hai. Do eham entry points hain jo dekhnay laayak hain. Pehla point takreeban 0.61389 ya is se 10-15 points neeche hai, magar ye ideal choice nahi hai. Doosra, aur behtareen entry point lower support level ke qareeb 0.61206 par hai. Agar aap take-profit ko 0.61757 par set karein to aap ko khaas munafa milne ki umeed hai. Stop-loss level bhi mein ne 0.61176 par tay kiya hai, jo dono entry strategies par lagu hota hai. Agar aap higher entry point par trade karte hain, to lot size ko chhota rakhna zaroori hai, taake paison ka behtareen intizaam ho sake. Agar stop-loss hit hota hai to aaj ke liye trading khatam samjhi jayegi aur agli session tak aram ki zaroorat hogi. Lekin, girawat sirf 0.6129 tak aa sakti hai.

Aaj ka upward movement lagta hai ke 0.6187 par ruk gaya hai; agar pair is level ko test karta hai, to humein girawat ka moqa mil sakta hai, jo 0.6067 tak ja sakta hai.



Is waqt tak, yeh pair 0.6159 aur 0.6129 ke darmiyan hi utar charh raha hai. Agar 0.6187 ke upar breakout hota hai to mazid barhawa dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jabke agar neeche break hota hai to yeh 0.6067 tak gir sakta hai. Buying ka signal bhi mojood hai, magar samajhdari yeh hai ke waqt par risk lene se bachain. Pair abhi neeche ke boundary se rebound ho raha hai jo descending price channel mein hai, aur Kiwi abhi 0.6151 par trade kar raha hai. Yeh corrective growth ki teesri leh hai jo established descending channel ke andar hai. Buyers ka target upper boundary tak pohanchna hai, jahan 0.6231 ya 0.6221 ke qareeb intersection dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Dono time frames strong signals de rahe hain jo mazeed buying opportunities ko support karte hain, aur short-term aur medium-term trading strategies ke liye long positions ko mazid mazbooti milti hai.

NZD/USD Price Action ka Fun
Aaj humari guftagu NZD/USD currency pair ke price action ke tajziye ke ird gird ho gi. NZD/USD is waqt ek aham resistance level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo tareekhi tor par support aur resistance dono ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai. Agar price is level ko break kar ke consolidate karta hai, to yeh 0.6191 tak barhne ka raasta bana sakta hai. Lekin aam tor par aisa hota hai ke bulls pehli koshish mein is level ko breach nahi kar paate. Is liye, is level par selling ka option ziada behtareen lagta hai. Bulls ki taqat ko samajhna zaroori hai. Main is waqt ke levels par selling kar raha hoon, halan ke kuch indicators abhi tak apna direction nahi badla rahe. Abhi tak koi bara news event bhi is pair ko direct nahi kar raha. Magar agar bade buyers market mein aa gaye, to mujhe apne losses cut karne par sakte hain.


Kal humne dekha ke 0.6126 ke neeche ek false breakout hua, jis ne thora moqa diya buying ka, tight stop-loss ke sath. Iske bawajood, abhi tak koi mazboot upward momentum dekhne ko nahi mila.



Main is waqt NZD/USD pair ko 30-minute chart par analyze kar raha hoon, jo mera pasandeeda time frame hai intraday trades ke liye. Is waqt price 0.61562 par hai, jo Bollinger Bands ke upper half mein hai. Ye ek acha moqa hai buy position kholne ka. Buyers shayad price ko 0.61603 tak push karen, jo Bollinger Bands ki upper boundary hai. Agar price is point tak pohanchta hai, to main apni buy position band kar ke profits secure karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Lekin agar buying pressure barhta hai, to price 0.61603 se bhi upar ja sakta hai.

Main 0.61441 ke level par bhi nazar rakha hoon—agar sellers momentum gain kar ke is level ke neeche price ko push karte hain, to main apni position ko sell mein switch karne par ghore karunga. Agar price 0.61441 ke neeche rehti hai, to selling meri pehli strategy hogi, aur mera target Bollinger Bands ke lower boundary, yani 0.61270, par hoga.

NZD/USD Analysis: Market Dynamics aur Anay Wale Asraat
Jab ke outlook bearish lag raha hai, trading ko ek acha risk management strategy ke sath karna zaroori hai. Forex market apni fitrat mein bohat zyada volatile hoti hai, aur behtareen trends mein bhi achanak reversals aa sakte hain. Stop-loss orders set karna apke capital ko bachane ke liye nihayat ahem hota hai. Misal ke taur par, ek recent swing high ke thoda upar stop-loss rakhne se aapke potential losses ko limit kiya ja sakta hai agar market apke position ke khilaf chali jaye.

Traders ko un eham economic events par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo NZD/USD pair ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Interest rate decisions, employment data, ya commodity prices mein tabdeeli se currency pair mein achanak harakat aa sakti hai jo ke current technical setup ko invalidate kar sakti hai. Apne trading strategy ko update karte rehna aur market ke developments se ba-khabar rehna successful trading ke liye zaroori hai.

NZD/USD currency pair H4 timeframe par filhal sellers ke liye ek acha moqa de raha hai. Ongoing downward trend, jo technical indicators aur price action se tasdeeq hota hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ko is pair ke mazeed girne ka faida uthana chahiye. Agar traders retracement levels, volume, aur key technical signals ka ghor se tajziya karen, to woh is bearish trend ka faida uthane ke liye strategic positions le sakte hain. Lekin hamesha ki tarah, risk ko theek tarah se manage karna aur market dynamics ke kisi bhi unexpected development par nazar rakhna bohat ahem hai. Agar sahi approach apnayi jaye, to NZD/USD market mein filhal ke conditions profitable opportunities paish kar sakti hain un logon ke liye jo trend ke sath trade karna chahte hain



Market analysis ke natayej, jo kai indicators se zahir hue hain, yeh dikhate hain ke NZD/USD currency pair ke price mein mazeed bullish trend ki potential abhi bhi mojood hai. Agar hum H4 timeframe ko dekhen, to price abhi bhi lagta hai ke yellow Simple 60 indicator ko break karne ki potential rakhta hai, to mumkin hai ke agle dino mein candlestick ki movement upar ja sakti hai.

Maine H4 timeframe chart par price movements ko monitor kiya, aur Monday ki trading session mein market downward correction ke sath shuru hota nazar aya, lekin Tuesday ko buyers ke asar se candlestick thoda upar gaya, halan ke zyada nahi. Pichlay haftay ke trading session mein market ka trend abhi bhi bullish trend ki taraf chal raha tha, aur current market conditions ke mutabiq yeh trend EUR/GBP currency pair ke major trend ke sath ooper ki taraf hi ja raha hai.

Indicators ke development ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (14) ke Lime Line ne level 70 ke qareeb wapas upar ki taraf rise kiya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke haftay ke aghaz mein jo thora sa izafa huwa tha, woh agay barh sakta hai. MACD indicator ka histogram bar bhi abhi zero level se upar chal raha hai, halan ke uska size thoda chhota ho gaya hai Monday ke downward correction ki wajah se. Is haftay price upar barh chuki hai aur candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar chal rahi hai, jo ke bullish momentum ko mazid support karti hai.

trading mein, NZD/USD pair ki price mein achi khasi increase dekhi gayi, aur aaj bhi price ki bullish journey ka silsila jaari hai. 4-hour time frame ko monitor karne par, price ka bullish journey dhire dhire continue hota hua nazar aa raha hai. Buyers ne agar candlestick ko 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar le jaane mein success hasil ki, to weekly trend ki support ke saath, jo abhi bullish chal raha hai, buyers ko market control karne ka acha mauka mil raha hai, jo weekend market close hone tak chal sakta hai. Ab lagta hai ke NZD/USD market ki latest situation buyers ke control mein chal rahi hai, aur wo price ko steadily upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Mere observation ke mutabiq, buyer control ne price ko upar uthate hue 100-period simple moving average zone ko bhi paar kar diya hai. Agar aap week ke shuruat ki trading situation ko dekhein, to sellers market ko control karne ki koshish kar rahe the taake price ko 0.5845 position tak le jaya ja sake. Lekin Tuesday se downward trend continue nahi ho paya aur price upar chali gayi. Ab tak, price bullish movement ke saath 0.6028 area tak aa gayi hai. Market mein bullish trend journey ke liye ab bhi chances hain.

4-hour time frame chart ko monitor karne par, lagta hai ke buyers ka control abhi bhi dominant hai. Candlestick ab bhi 0.6068 zone ke aas-paas uthane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Current candlestick position 100-period simple moving average zone ko paar kar chuki hai, jo market ko next bullish opportunity dene ka signal hai. Personally, mujhe ummeed hai ke market apni uptrend journey ko continue rakhegi, jisse technical analysis ke results ke mutabiq Buy option par focus kiya ja sake

NZDUSD ke H1 chart par, kal banne wale impulsive candle ke daira mein price trade kar rahi hai. Main dekha raha hoon ke price Resistance 0.626 ki taraf squeeze ho rahi hai, jo ek ahm level hai jo market direction tay karega. Agar price is level 0.622 ke upar breakout karti hai aur confirmation milta hai, to main Long positions kholne ka soch raha hoon taake Bullish rally ko jari rakha ja sake.

Is scenario mein, potential profit targets upper extreme par 0.638 ke aas-paas ho sakte hain, aur yeh 0.649 tak bhi extend ho sakte hain. Lekin humein yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke agar price 0.619 ke neeche retrace hoti hai to yeh downtrend ka signal ho sakta hai. Is direction ki confirmation tab milegi jab price purani range ke neeche sustain move karti hai.

Agar price is tarah se behave karti hai, to yeh instrument apne Bearish channel mein wapas aajaega. Is liye, abhi humein dono scenarios ko dhyan mein rakhte hue trading decisions lene chahiye.

Resistance level 0.626 par break hone se ek naya bullish trend shuru ho sakta hai, jisse humein achi opportunities mil sakti hain. Lekin agar price neechi taraf jati hai, to yeh humein market ki weakness ka indication degi. Isliye, stop-loss aur risk management ka khayal rakhna behad zaroori hai.

Market ki volatility par bhi nazar rakhna chahiye, kyunki sudden price movements ho sakti hain. Aksar traders emotional trading karte hain, lekin humein apne analysis aur strategy par focus karna chahiye.

Agar price 0.626 ke upar sustain karti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko jari rakhne ka mauka de sakti hai, lekin agar yeh level fail hoti hai, to humein bearish sentiments par dhyan dena hoga.

Trading ke liye patience aur discipline zaroori hai, isliye hamesha market ki conditions ko samajhna chahiye. Har trade se pehle achi tarah se analysis karna aur risk ko assess karna bhi intehai zaroori hai.

Is tarah se, humein apne trading plan ko tayar karna hoga jo market ki current situation ke mutabiq ho. Is mein kisi bhi possible market reversal ko bhi shamil karna chahiye taake kisi bhi potential loss se bach sakein.

Aakhir mein, successful trading ke liye market ki dynamics ko samajhna aur unhe apni strategy mein shamil karna behad important hai.

NZD/USD
Us Dollar Monday ko thora stable raha, pichlay hafta 1.76% ki bari girawat kay baad, jo aik saal say ziada ka sab se bura girawat tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole speech mein September mein interest rate cut ka wada kiya hai.

US Dollar index 100.00 se upar trade kar raha hai, aur is haftay US ka data aanay wala hai. US Dollar (USD) Monday ko flat trade kar raha tha jab ke us ne June 2023 ke baad say apni aik sab se bura weekly performance di hai. US Dollar Index, jo USD ki qeemat ka muqabla dosray currencies kay against karta hai, pichlay hafta 1.75% tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat zyada tar Powell ke Jackson Hole ke alfaz ki wajah se thi. Ab jab ke Powell ne September mein rate cut ka wada kar liya hai, markets ab speculate karna shuru kar sakti hain ke iska November mein Fed meeting aur agay kay liye kya matlab hoga.

Concerns Monday ko pick up kar sakti hain jab ke economic calendar mein Durable Goods Orders ke numbers shamil hain, jo aksar markets ko hila detay hain. Agar US ka overall data resilient ya phir tez ho gaya, toh iska Fed ke September ke rate cut commitment par kya asar hoga? Strong data yeh scenario create kar sakta hai ke ek dafa ka rate cut ho, jo markets ke liye aik acha shock ban sakta hai.


NZD/USD apni range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai aur aage barhnay ke liye tayar hai. Agar August 20 ka high cross kar gaya, toh yeh shayad bullish breakout ko confirm kare ga. Is tarah ka move pair ko 0.6400s tak le ja sakta hai.

NZD/USD ab apni sideways range ke ceiling ko test kar raha hai. August 20 ka high cross karna shayad upside breakout ko confirm kare ga, jo kay aglay dino mein bari gains le kar aayega. Pair ne August 20 ko apni range ka ceiling temporarily breach kiya jab yeh 0.6248 tak gaya, lekin phir wapis gir gaya aur bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana di. Phir is ke baad thora weakness dekha gaya jo ke 0.6109 August 22 ka swing low tha, lekin pair recover kar gaya aur August 23 ko wapis range se bahar nikal gaya.

Tab se NZD/USD thora pull back karta hua 0.6248 ke August 20 highs par aagaya hai. Agar yeh high cross ho gaya, toh yeh ek decisive breakout ko signal karega. Aisa breakout 0.618 ratio ke hisaab se upside target ko activate karega, jo ke 0.6448 tak ja sakta hai (bold rectangle). Aik aur conservative target 0.6409 (December 2023 ka high) pe hai.

Is tarah ka move shayad short-term trend ko sideways se bullish mein badal dega.

NZDUSD ka exchange rate downward trend mein continue kar raha hai aur low price level 0.6101 ke qareeb hai, jo psychological level 0.6100 ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh girawat jaari rehti hai, toh yeh aur neeche support level (S1) 0.6070 tak jaa sakta hai. Uske baad upward correction ka phase shuru ho sakta hai. Magar yeh bhi mumkin hai ke current price turant ek upward correction show kare. Pehle ke price history se pata chalta hai ke jab doji candlestick bana, toh price ne aksar apne qareebi resistance level ki taraf move kiya. Yeh price bhi pivot point (PP) 0.6222 tak upar jaa sakta hai, jo do moving averages ke intersection par hai.

Ek aur important point yeh hai ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ka crossover nikalne wala hai, jo ek bearish signal de sakta hai aur trend ko downward shift kar sakta hai. Agar price 0.6107 pe rukta nahi hai, toh higher high-higher low price pattern ka breakout ho sakta hai. Invalidation level 0.6101 pe set hai, aur jab tak price yeh level break nahi karta, pattern structure intact rahega. Currency pair ke liye pehle ke peak 0.6373 se higher high establish karna mushkil ho sakta hai. Yeh upward momentum tabhi continue kar sakta hai agar price pivot point (PP) 0.6222 ya moving average lines ko cross kar le aur resistance level 0.6303 tak pahunch jaye.

Awesome Oscillator indicator ne downward trend ka signal diya hai, jo NZDUSD ke potential decline ko support karta hai. Histogram volume bhi negative region mein hai, aur zero line se neeche wide form mein hai. Agar upward correction aata hai, toh bhi histogram ka volume turant zero level ke qareeb nahi pahuchega. Stochastic indicator ab 50 level ki taraf move kar raha hai, oversold zone (20-10) ko cross karne ke baad. Yeh ek price increase ka signal de sakta hai, magar jab parameters 50 level ke qareeb cross karenge, toh rally limited ho sakti hai aur price phir neeche jaana shuru kar sakta hai.


Setup mein death cross signal ka possibility bhi hai, jo 50-day EMA aur 200-day SMA ke beech crossover se aayega. Jab price PP 0.6222 tak aaye ya moving averages cross karein, toh apni position sell karna behtar hoga. Stochastic indicator ke overbought zone (90-80) se move karne ka intezaar karein takay sale confirm ho sake. Awesome Oscillator ka histogram abhi bhi zero line se neeche downward trend mein hai. Apna take-profit target support level (S1) 0.6070 pe rakhein aur stop-loss resistance level (R1) 0.6303 pe set karein.