nzd/usd

NZD/USD Currency Pair Analysis 09 August 2024




Kal ke trading mein, NZD/USD pair ki price mein achi khasi increase dekhi gayi, aur aaj bhi price ki bullish journey ka silsila jaari hai. 4-hour time frame ko monitor karne par, price ka bullish journey dhire dhire continue hota hua nazar aa raha hai. Buyers ne agar candlestick ko 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar le jaane mein success hasil ki, to weekly trend ki support ke saath, jo abhi bullish chal raha hai, buyers ko market control karne ka acha mauka mil raha hai, jo weekend market close hone tak chal sakta hai.

Ab lagta hai ke NZD/USD market ki latest situation buyers ke control mein chal rahi hai, aur wo price ko steadily upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Mere observation ke mutabiq, buyer control ne price ko upar uthate hue 100-period simple moving average zone ko bhi paar kar diya hai. Agar aap week ke shuruat ki trading situation ko dekhein, to sellers market ko control karne ki koshish kar rahe the taake price ko 0.5845 position tak le jaya ja sake. Lekin Tuesday se downward trend continue nahi ho paya aur price upar chali gayi. Ab tak, price bullish movement ke saath 0.6028 area tak aa gayi hai. Market mein bullish trend journey ke liye ab bhi chances hain.

4-hour time frame chart ko monitor karne par, lagta hai ke buyers ka control abhi bhi dominant hai. Candlestick ab bhi 0.6068 zone ke aas-paas uthane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Current candlestick position 100-period simple moving average zone ko paar kar chuki hai, jo market ko next bullish opportunity dene ka signal hai. Personally, mujhe ummeed hai ke market apni uptrend journey ko continue rakhegi, jisse technical analysis ke results ke mutabiq Buy option par focus kiya ja sake.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) aur US Dollar (USD) ka Haal
Is hafte, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein dheere dheere taqat hasil ki hai, aur November 2023 ke lows se significant recovery ke baad trading mein aaya hai. NZD/USD pair filhal teen hafton ke high ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo New Zealand se positive economic data aur kamzor US dollar ke combination se ho raha hai. Ek aham factor jo NZD ko support kar raha hai, wo hai Wednesday ko release hui behtareen employment data. Isne Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke rate cut ke expectations ko kam kar diya aur New Zealand economy ke liye investor confidence ko barhawa diya. Is ke ilawa, China ke strong inflation figures bhi NZD ko faida pohanchane wale hain, kyunki China New Zealand ka major trading partner hai.

US dollar ko pressure ka samna karna pad raha hai, kuch factors ke combination ki wajah se. Thursday ko strong US labor market report ke bawajood, investors September mein Federal Reserve se 50 basis point interest rate cut ki ummeed rakh rahe hain. Is ummeed ne US Treasury yields ko girane mein madad ki hai, jis se dollar investors ke liye kam attractive ban gaya hai. Saath hi, positive market sentiment ne risk-on assets jaise New Zealand dollar ko safe-haven, jaise USD, ke muqablay mein fayda pohanchaya hai.




Technical Analysis:

Technical perspective se, NZD/USD pair ne positive momentum dikhaya hai, aur technical indicators peechle downtrend ke reversal ka signal de rahe hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) gir raha hai, jo downtrend ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ko paar karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo momentum ke shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo further upward movement ki possibility ko support karta hai.

NZD/USD pair aane wale hafton mein volatile rehne ki ummeed hai, jahan RBNZ ke interest rate decision aur US consumer price index data jaise key events significant price movements ko drive kar sakte hain. Agar positive momentum continue hota hai, to pair 0.6037-0.6092 resistance level ko target kar sakta hai, jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, pichle support levels, aur key moving averages ko shamil karta hai. Is resistance ko successfully break karne se, October 2019 ka low 0.6198 tak move karne ki raah khul sakti hai. Lekin, market conditions tezi se change ho sakti hain, isliye cautious rehna zaroori hai. Traders ko economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye taake NZD/USD exchange rate par hone wale potential impacts ko samjha ja sake.

Misal ke taur par, Raphael Bostic, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta ke President, ne kaha: "Ab jab ke inflation apne range mein aa gaya hai, humein mandate ke doosre pehlu ko dekhna hoga, aur wahan, humne unemployment rate ko apne lows se kaafi upar dekha hai."

"Unemployment rate April 2023 mein 3.4% ke low par tha, lekin ab ye 4.3% par hai. Lekin ye ab bhi ek bahut hi low level hai. Mere khayal se, 'considerably' ka lafz itna sahi nahi hai. Yeh baat ke kuch FOMC members ab bhi interest rates ko kam karne ke liye itch kar rahe hain, yeh ek baat darshata hai: Fed utna hawkish nahi hai jitna Fed Chair Jay Powell high inflation ke waqt dikhana pasand karte hain."

"Kam se kam unke kuch colleagues is baat se door ja rahe hain jab inflation itni high nahi hai. Jaise ke maine us waqt kaha, jab inflation itni extreme high nahi hoti, tabhi ye pata chalta hai ke central bank sach mein hawkish hai ya nahi. Agar yeh dovish Fed talk ek episode se zyada hai, to spring ke dauran jo extreme strength USD ne dikhayi, wo justify nahi hoti."

NZD/USD ne risky assets ke favor mein market sentiment ke sath 0.6030 ke nazdeek soar kiya. RBNZ ne Wednesday ko 25 bps ka interest rate cut announce kiya, jo ke surprise tha. Fed rate-cut ke prospects USD ke upside ko limit kar rahe hain.

NZD/USD pair Friday ke European session mein 0.6030 ke nazdeek surge hua. Kiwi asset mazboot hota ja raha hai kyunki risky assets ki appeal behtar hui hai. Market sentiment kaafi behtar hua hai kyunki United States (US) ke recession mein jaane ke dar kam ho gaye hain, jo ke upbeat Retail Sales for July aur lower weekly Jobless Claims (9 August ke week) se hai.

S&P 500 futures European trading hours mein achi gains dikha rahe hain, jo investors ke risk-appetite mein behtari ko darshata hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke value ko chhah major currencies ke against track karta hai, 102.80 ke nazdeek gir gaya hai.

Lekin, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ki near-term appeal abhi uncertain hai kyunki Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne Wednesday ko apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 25 basis points (bps) se 5.25% tak kam kar diya.

Is waqt, US Dollar ka agla move Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut path ke market speculation se guide hoga. Iske liye, investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke speech ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo Jackson Hole (JH) symposium mein 22-24 August ko hogi.

NZD/USD daily timeframe par Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jo sharp volatility contraction ko dikhata hai. Kiwi asset 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar 0.6000 ke aas-paas rise kar raha hai, jo ke near-term trend ko bullish darshata hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 range mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo market participants ke bechaini ko dikhata hai.

Agar asset May 3 ke high 0.6046 ko decisively break karta hai, to isse asset ko upar ki taraf le jayega, July 17 ke high ke nazdeek 0.6100 aur July 12 ke high 0.6127 tak.

Ek alternate scenario mein, agar asset April 19 ke low 0.5850 ke neeche move karta hai, to yeh asset ko round-level support 0.5800 ke taraf kheench sakta hai, jo ke 26 October 2023 ke low 0.5770 ke baad hoga.

Trading Discussion
Jumeraat ko early Asian session mein, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) kamzor hua, jo kuch ahem factors ki wajah se tha. Is girawat ka sabab mainly New Zealand ke do saal ke inflation expectations ka girna tha, jo 2.3% tak aa gaya, jo Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) par high interest rates barqarar rakhne ka pressure kam kar raha hai. Yeh dovish outlook investor sentiment ko NZD ke khilaf kar raha hai.

Is ke saath, U.S. Dollar (USD) mazid majboot hua, jo ki solid economic data ki wajah se hai jo Federal Reserve ke zariye prolonged higher interest rates ki ummeed ko barhawa de raha hai. Isne USD ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana diya, jis se NZD aur kamzor ho gaya.

China ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) data bhi market participants ke liye nazar mein hai. Haal ke reports ne dikhaya ke China ki inflation ab bhi low hai, jahan CPI sirf 0.3% saalana barhi hai, jo domestic demand ke sluggish hone ko indicate karta hai. China se kamzor inflation data NZD par downward pressure barhata hai, khas kar ke New Zealand ke China ke market ke saath significant trade exposure ke mad e nazar.

NZD ki girawat ko domestic factors, jaise ke lower inflation expectations aur stronger USD ki wajah se samjha ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, China se aayi hui kamzor inflation figures global economic growth ke concerns ko barhawa deti hain, jo commodity exports se jude currencies, jese ke NZD ko affect karti hain. Market in developments ko closely monitor karti rahegi, khaaskar central bank policies mein koi bhi changes jo currency movements ko agle hafton mein influence kar sakti hain.



Currency Pair Analysis

Currency pair bullish potential dikhata hai jab usne 0.5866 par support paaya aur 0.5907 level ko break kiya, jo successfully retest hua hai. Lower time frames pe, pair higher highs banane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo 0.6038 target ki taraf ek impulsive move ko suggest karta hai. Current slow market conditions ke mad e nazar, unusual movements ho sakte hain jab liquidity ka talash ho, isliye thoda wider stop loss use karna behtar hai taake premature exits se bacha ja sake. US Dollar Index ke recovery attempt ke saath, conservative lot size use karna aur standard trading strategies ko follow karna zaroori hai taake risk ko effectively manage kiya ja sake.

NZD/USD currency pair ka halat mere liye kaafi mushkil hai, kyunki market dynamics seedhi nahi hain. Filhal koi aise zaroori targets nazar nahi aa rahe. Daily charts dekhte hue, jo trend dikhai de raha hai woh bearish hai, matlab overall movement niche ki taraf hai. Lekin, recent developments ye suggest karti hain ke situation shayad badal rahi hai.
Monday ko, pair ne ek nayi low achieve ki, jo meri nazar mein recent downward phase ka end ho sakta hai. Is low ke baad hui tezi se buying activity ye indicate karti hai ke market participants ne isay long positions ke liye ek opportunity dekha. Iske natije mein, price recover hui hai aur filhal 0.6000 level ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Ye batata hai ke abhi bhi kuch upward momentum hai, ya kam se kam ek local bullish movement hai.

Jis tarah se pair ab 0.6000 mark ke upar trade kar raha hai, ye indicate karta hai ke bearish pressure shayad kam ho raha hai. Recent price action ye dikhata hai ke overall downward trend ke bawajood, market ne upar ki taraf push kiya hai. Ye local upward movement noteworthy hai aur ye suggest karta hai ke market consolidation ya potential reversal ke phase mein ho sakta hai.

Lekin, current market conditions abhi bhi challenging hain. Price ne recently significant support levels ko bounce kiya hai aur key figures ke upar hold kar rahi hai. Iske bawajood, main in levels par sell karne ka soch nahi raha. Market ka behavior ye suggest karta hai ke price movements ka potential dono directions mein hai, aur trading decisions lene se pehle clear signals ka intezar karna behtar hoga.

Ye zaroori hai ke jab price 0.6000 level ke upar hai, tab bhi yeh possibility hai ke yeh phir se 0.5900 mark ke neeche ja sakti hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to main apni position reconsider karne aur lower levels par buying opportunities dekhne ka sochunga. 0.5900 level ke aas paas market ka behavior next steps determine karne mein crucial hoga.

Summary mein, NZD/USD pair abhi mixed scenario dikha raha hai. Jab ke overall trend bearish raha hai, recent price movements suggest karti hain ke short-term bullish momentum ho sakta hai. Price 0.6000 level ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo upward pressure dikhata hai. Lekin, market abhi bhi complex hai, aur main in levels par selling consider nahi kar raha. 0.5900 ke neeche girne ka potential abhi bhi hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, to main us level par buying opportunities explore karunga.

Current environment mein patience aur careful observation zaroori hai. Market ke critical levels par behavior next moves par clarity provide karega. Filhal, cautious approach rakhna aur zyada definitive signals ka intezar karna zaroori hoga taake NZD/USD pair ke movements ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

NZD/USD Currency Pair Ka Jaiza: Ek Mukammal Analysis
NZD/USD currency pair filhal traders ke liye ek complex scenario pesh kar raha hai. Jab ke daily charts ek bearish trend reflect kar rahe hain, recent market activity ne kuch dilchasp dynamics introduce ki hain. Broader downtrend ke bawajood, pair ne Monday ko record kiye gaye recent low ke baad reversal ke signs dikhaye hain. Ye low lagta hai ke downtrend ka end tha, aur buying activity ke surge ke sath price 0.6000 level ke upar chali gayi hai. Ye price movement suggest karti hai ke market shayad upward momentum ya temporary bullish phase experience kar raha hai.

Lekin, situation abhi bhi complex hai. Halanki price filhal 0.6000 mark ke upar hai, broader perspective se overall bearish trend ab bhi barqarar hai. Isliye, main in levels par selling ko le kar cautious hoon. Price ke 0.5900 level ke neeche girne ka potential hai, jo lower levels par buying opportunity provide kar sakta hai.

Filhal, NZD/USD pair ek mixed scenario dikhata hai. Jab ke overarching bearish trend hai, market ne upar push kiya hai aur significant support levels ke upar hold kiya hai. Ye kuch upward pressure dikhata hai lekin market environment ki complexity ko bhi highlight karta hai. Is market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye patience aur diligent observation zaroori hai.

Technical front par, Envelopes indicator suggest karta hai ke support level 0.5977 ke aas paas hai. Current price 0.5996 hai, isliye agar price is support level par retrace karti hai to ye achi buying opportunity ban sakti hai. Stop loss ko 0.5970 ke neeche rakhna risk manage karne mein madad karega. Is upward move ka target 0.6035 ka resistance level hoga. Technical indicators se lagta hai ke continued growth ka potential hai, jo upward cycle ko highlight karta hai.

Fundamental perspective se, US Dollar ko ongoing geopolitical tensions, khas taur par Middle East mein, ke wajah se increasing pressure ka samna karna par sakta hai. Ye external factors dollar ko kamzor kar sakte hain, jo NZD/USD pair mein further upward movement ko support kar sakte hain.

Summary mein, jab ke NZD/USD pair abhi kuch bullish potential dikhata hai, lekin broader bearish trend ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai. Key support aur resistance levels ke around price action ko monitor karna informed trading decisions lene ke liye essential hai. Agar price support level 0.5977 tak retrace karti hai, to ye viable buying opportunity provide kar sakti hai agar careful risk management strategies implement ki jayein. Market trends aur technical indicators ko observe karna complex market ko effectively navigate karne mein madadgar hoga.

Greetings aur Munafa Bakhsh Trading!

NZD/USD/H1/0.6139

Hello all, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ka US Dollar (USD) ke against kafi selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai, aur NZD/USD pair apne key 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke upar rehne mein mushkil ka samna kar raha hai. Is crucial support level ko is haftay chaar martaba reject kiya gaya hai, jiski wajah se pair 0.6122 tak gir gaya hai. Recovery ki koshish ke bawajood, technical indicators bearish outlook suggest karte hain jo mazeed declines ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) market momentum ka aik key indicator hai. Filhal 49 par hai, jo ke neutral zone se zara neeche hai. RSI pehle haftay 51 par tha, jo buying power mein kamzori ka ishara hai. Abhi tak oversold nahi hai, lekin yeh downtrend market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka pata deta hai. Additionally, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) rising red bars dikha raha hai, jo selling activity mein izafa confirm karta hai.



NZD ke downward movement par asar dalne wale primary factors mein US dollar ka mazboot hona bhi shamil hai. US dollar doosri major currencies ke against gain kar raha hai, various economic factors ki wajah se. In factors mein positive economic data from the United States, jaise strong employment numbers aur robust GDP growth, jo investor confidence ko enhance karte hain, shamil hain. Additionally, Federal Reserve ke set kiye gaye higher interest rates ka anticipation investors ko better returns ki talash mein attract kar sakta hai, is tarah USD ki demand barh sakti hai.

New Zealand dollar aur US dollar ke darmiyan interplay broader market sentiments aur geopolitical developments se bhi asar le sakta hai. For instance, major economies ke darmiyan trade tensions, commodity prices mein shifts, aur global economic performance sab investor behavior aur currency valuations par impact dal sakte hain. Recent times mein, global economic recovery post-pandemic aur fluctuating commodity prices ke chalte currency markets mein cautious approach dekhi gayi hai.

Trading options agar hum trend direction ka hawala lein jo abhi bhi bearish condition mein hai, halan ke weak ho raha hai aur lower low - lower high price pattern ki structure ke sath milta hai. Aapko SELL moment ka intezar karna chahiye aur entry position SBR area 0.6104 se SMA 200 ke aas paas lagani chahiye. Confirmation jab Stochastic indicator parameters overbought zone mein cross karein. AO indicator ka uptrend momentum kam se kam red histogram volume ke level 0 ke kareeb hone se weaken ho sakta hai. Take profit ka placement support 0.6054 ke aas paas aur resistance 0.6139 par stop loss ke liye rakhein.

NZD-USD ke pair movement ke natije mein, market significant taur par drop ho gaya hai aur abhi 0.6104 level par hai. Yeh bearish trend sellers ke liye encouraging hai kyunki is se zyada profits earn kiye ja sakte hain. Lekin, temporarily, yeh market upar ja sakta hai aur ek daily high form kar sakta hai aur phir se previous level se drop ho sakta hai. Asian session aur New Zealand session ke dauran, yeh 0.6132 level ko test kar sakta hai aur phir se previous high ke neeche aa sakta hai. Isliye, initially buy position mein trade karna chahiye, phir close karke sell position mein switch karna chahiye before Washington session opens. Main expect karta hoon ke aane wale dino mein sellers aur strong ho sakte hain, jo market ko 0.6072 level tak le ja sakte hain. Presented chart pe, aap first-degree regression line (golden dotted line) dekh sakte hain, jo instrument direction aur selected time frame (H1) mein current trend state ko dikhata hai, jo upward direction mein hai aur 30% se zyada angle pe hai, jo dominant trend movement ko north side ki taraf emphasize karta hai. Nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo near future ko predict karne ke liye use hota hai, ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur upward direction show karta hai.

Price ne red resistance line of linear regression channel 2 ko cross kiya hai aur LevelResLine ko cross kiya hai, lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) of 0.61770 ko reach karne ke baad, growth stop ho gaya aur steadily decline karna shuru kar diya. Instrument abhi 0.60967 price level par trade kar raha hai. Sab kuch observe karne ke baad, main expect karta hoon ke market price quotes wapas aa sakti hain aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (0.59588) ke neeche consolidate kar sakti hain aur phir move down kar sakti hain to the golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.58487, jiska Fibo level 0% se coincide karta hai. Sell transaction mein enter karne ki expediency aur validity RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke zariye fully approved hai, kyunki abhi yeh overbought zone mein hain. NZD/USD, jo abhi 0.6196 ke kareeb hai, ek bearish trend face kar raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke New Zealand dollar (NZD) ki value United States dollar (USD) ke comparison mein weak ho rahi hai. A bearish trend generally yeh indicate karta hai ke capitalists NZD ko sell kar rahe hain aur USD ko buy kar rahe hain, jo aksar local economic performance, socioeconomic expectations, aur geopolitical conditions ki wajah se hota hai.

NZD/USD ke bearish outlook ke neeche umeed hai. Pehle, New Zealand se aane wale mixed male data mein kuch indicators weakness show kar rahe hain. Misal ke taur par, mulk ne apne export sector mein challenges face kiye hain, jo zaroori hai kyunki mulk commodities par bohot zyada depend karta hai. Agar worldwide in commodities ki demand decrease hoti hai, toh iska negative impact NZD-USD par ho sakta hai.

**New Zealand Dollar (NZD) aur US Dollar (USD) ka Analysis**

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein rebound ke signs dikhaye hain. Ek challenging period ke baad, NZD/USD pair mein thodi upward movement nazar aayi hai, jo momentum shift ka indication hai. Technical indicators mixed signals de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory se door hua hai, jo selling pressure mein kami ka indication hai, lekin abhi bhi neutral level se neeche hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) abhi bearish hai, lekin dono lines ke beech narrowing gap se nazar aata hai ke near future mein bullish crossover ho sakta hai. Price action potential bullish reversal ki taraf hint kar raha hai. Price chart par potential handle pattern ki formation aur recent upward movement, bullish reversal ki possibility ko suggest karte hain. Halaanke, is pattern ki confirmation abhi pending hai. Support aur resistance levels identify kiye gaye hain. NZD/USD pair ne support levels 0.5760, 0.5800, aur 0.5850 par establish kiye hain. Upside mein, resistance 0.5980, 0.6000, aur 0.6030 par anticipated hai.



Key resistance ko overcome karna crucial hai. 0.5965 resistance level ke upar ek decisive break sustained uptrend ko confirm karne ke liye zaroori hai. Isse 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6024 tak raasta khul jayega. Halaanke, 0.6120-0.6173 area mein substantial resistance expected hai, jo ek significant historical resistance zone hai. Downside risks barkarar hain. Recent positive price action ke bawajood, NZD/USD pair downside risks se vulnerable hai. 0.5850 support level ke neeche breakdown, deeper correction ko trigger kar sakta hai jo 2023 low 0.5772 ya phir broader 2023-2024 support range 0.5590 ke paas ja sakta hai. Conclusion mein, New Zealand Dollar US Dollar ke muqable mein recovery ke early signs dikha raha hai. Recent price action aur technical indicators potential bullish reversal ko suggest karte hain, lekin confirmation abhi tak nahi hui. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, saath hi technical indicators ki development par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye, taake informed trading decisions le sake.

NZD/USD H-4
NZDUSD pair ki price movement, jo pichlay hafte tak gir rahi thi, ab bhi lower low - lower high pattern structure dikhati hai. Lekin, aik upward rally bhi nazar aa rahi hai jo taqreeban SBR 0.6104 area ko resistance ke tor par touch karti hai. Agar price trend upar ki taraf chalti rahi, toh SBR area ko cross karte hue structure break hoga. Kyun ke 0.6105 ke high prices jo lower low - lower high pattern structure ke liye invalidation level hain, unke cross hone ke baad price pattern ya trend direction mein tabdeeli ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Halan ke is waqt trend direction bearish hai lekin kamzor hoti ja rahi hai kyun ke price EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan move kar rahi hai. Yeh bhi is baat ki nishani hai ke dono Moving Average lines cross karke golden cross signal bana sakti hain. Agar price jo upar ki taraf jane ki koshish kar rahi hai SBR 0.6104 area ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka samna karti hai, toh price wapas gir sakti hai aur EMA 50 ko cross kar sakti hai. Price support 0.6054 ko test kar sakti hai jab EMA 50 ke neeche ho kyun ke lower low - lower high pattern structure barqarar rahega
Is H4 timeframe mein, yeh kamzori kaafi valid hai jahan pichla ssr area 0.6092 par break ho chuka hai aur price mazeed kamzor hoti ja rahi hai agle support target 0.6052 par. Supply area jo ke dobara sell karne ke liye liya ja sakta hai, 0.6092 ke price area ke aas paas hai jo ke new resistance ban chuka hai jab price break ho chuki hai. Agar hum is timeframe ko mazeed reduce karein, toh humein is area mein supply milti hai, isliye yeh market mein enter karne ke liye bohot munasib area hai
Akhir mein, NZD/USD currency pair ke overall trend ka andaza lagaya jata hai ke yeh positive rahega, jahan bulls market ko control mein rakhenge. Yeh bullish sentiment continued upward momentum ko zahir karta hai, jo traders ko trend se faida uthane ke moqay deta hai. Agar traders key price levels par tawajju dein, technical analysis tools ka istamal karein, aur fundamental factors se waqif rahen, toh woh achi decision making kar sakte hain aur NZD/USD pair ki ongoing strength se potentially faida utha sakte hain

NZD/USD
**NZD/USD H-4 Ka Tajziya**
**Mukadma**
NZD/USD, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) aur US Dollar (USD) ka mashhoor currency pair hai jo forex traders mein kaafi maqbool hai. Ye pair global economic conditions aur central bank policies ke saath bohot gehra taluq rakhta hai. H-4 chart, yani 4-hour time frame, traders ko short to medium term trends ko analyze karne mein madad deta hai. Ye time frame short-term traders ke liye kaafi ahem hota hai kyunke is mein price action aur market sentiment ko behtar taur par dekhna mumkin hota hai.

**Asasi Factors**
NZD/USD ko drive karne wale asasi factors mein sab se pehle New Zealand aur US ke interest rates aate hain. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki policies is pair par bohot asar daalti hain. Agar RBNZ apni policy tight rakhta hai aur Fed dovish stance leta hai, to NZD/USD mein bullish movement dekhne ko milti hai. Is ke ilawa, global dairy prices, jo New Zealand ki economy ka ahem hissa hain, NZD/USD ki qeemat par asar dalti hain. Jab dairy prices mein izafa hota hai, to NZD ki demand barhti hai, aur NZD/USD pair mein izafa hota hai.

**Tekniki Tajziya**
Agar H-4 chart ka tajziya kiya jaye to NZD/USD ne recent trading sessions mein ek bullish trend follow kiya hai. Pair ne 0.59 ke qareeb ek strong support level ko respect kiya hai aur wahan se bounce karte hue ab 0.62 ke level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Moving averages (50 aur 200-period) ka analysis yeh batata hai ke NZD/USD abhi bhi ek uptrend mein hai. RSI indicator bhi abhi overbought zone se door hai, jo is trend ke continuation ke imkaanaat ko mazid barhata hai. Lekin 0.6250 ke qareeb ek strong resistance hai, jahan se price ne pehle bhi pullback kiya tha. Agar ye resistance break hota hai, to pair 0.63 ya is se upar tak ja sakta hai.

**Ainda Ke Imkanat**
Ainda ke liye, NZD/USD H-4 chart par kaafi kuch depend karega global risk sentiment par aur New Zealand aur US ke economic data par. Agar market mein risk-on sentiment barhta hai, to NZD/USD pair mein bullish momentum barkarar reh sakta hai. Lekin agar US economic data strong ata hai, to Fed apni tightening policies ko barqarar rakh sakta hai, jo NZD/USD par downward pressure dal sakta hai.

**Nateeja**
NZD/USD H-4 chart par short to medium term mein bullish trend dekhne ko mil raha hai, lekin ye zaroori hai ke traders is pair ko trade karte hue major support aur resistance levels ka khayal rakhein. Is waqt key resistance levels ka break hona ya un par rejection, aglay price movement ka faisla karega. Is liye, technical aur fundamental analysis dono par focus karna trader ke liye faida mand hoga. Risk management ko hamesha apni trading strategy mein shaamil rakhein, taake market ke fluctuations ka behtar tor par muqabla kiya ja sake.

Kal ke trading mein, NZD/USD pair ki price mein achi khasi increase dekhi gayi, aur aaj bhi price ki bullish journey ka silsila jaari hai. 4-hour time frame ko monitor karne par, price ka bullish journey dhire dhire continue hota hua nazar aa raha hai. Buyers ne agar candlestick ko 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar le jaane mein success hasil ki, to weekly trend ki support ke saath, jo abhi bullish chal raha hai, buyers ko market control karne ka acha mauka mil raha hai, jo weekend market close hone tak chal sakta hai.

Ab lagta hai ke NZD/USD market ki latest situation buyers ke control mein chal rahi hai, aur wo price ko steadily upar le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Mere observation ke mutabiq, buyer control ne price ko upar uthate hue 100-period simple moving average zone ko bhi paar kar diya hai. Agar aap week ke shuruat ki trading situation ko dekhein, to sellers market ko control karne ki koshish kar rahe the taake price ko 0.5845 position tak le jaya ja sake. Lekin Tuesday se downward trend continue nahi ho paya aur price upar chali gayi. Ab tak, price bullish movement ke saath 0.6028 area tak aa gayi hai. Market mein bullish trend journey ke liye ab bhi chances hain.

4-hour time frame chart ko monitor karne par, lagta hai ke buyers ka control abhi bhi dominant hai. Candlestick ab bhi 0.6068 zone ke aas-paas uthane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Current candlestick position 100-period simple moving average zone ko paar kar chuki hai, jo market ko next bullish opportunity dene ka signal hai. Personally, mujhe ummeed hai ke market apni uptrend journey ko continue rakhegi, jisse technical analysis ke results ke mutabiq Buy option par focus kiya ja sake

Daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) market momentum ka aik key indicator hai. Filhal 49 par hai, jo ke neutral zone se zara neeche hai. RSI pehle haftay 51 par tha, jo buying power mein kamzori ka ishara hai. Abhi tak oversold nahi hai, lekin yeh downtrend market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka pata deta hai. Additionally, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) rising red bars dikha raha hai, jo selling activity mein izafa confirm karta hai. NZD ke downward movement par asar dalne wale primary factors mein US dollar ka mazboot hona bhi shamil hai. US dollar doosri major currencies ke against gain kar raha hai, various economic factors ki wajah se. In factors mein positive economic data from the United States, jaise strong employment numbers aur robust GDP growth, jo investor confidence ko enhance karte hain, shamil hain. Additionally, Federal Reserve ke set kiye gaye higher interest rates ka anticipation investors ko better returns ki talash mein attract kar sakta hai, is tarah USD ki demand barh sakti hai. New Zealand dollar aur US dollar ke darmiyan interplay broader market sentiments aur geopolitical developments se bhi asar le sakta hai. For instance, major economies ke darmiyan trade tensions, commodity prices mein shifts, aur global economic performance sab investor behavior aur currency valuations par impact dal sakte hain. Recent times mein, global economic recovery post-pandemic aur fluctuating commodity prices ke chalte currency markets mein cautious approach dekhi gayi hai. Trading options agar hum trend direction ka hawala lein jo abhi bhi bearish condition mein hai, halan ke weak ho raha hai aur lower low - lower high price pattern ki structure ke sath milta hai. Aapko SELL moment ka intezar karna chahiye aur entry position SBR area 0.6104 se SMA 200 ke aas paas lagani chahiye. Confirmation jab Stochastic indicator parameters overbought zone mein cross karein. AO indicator ka uptrend momentum kam se kam red histogram volume ke level 0 ke kareeb hone se weaken ho sakta hai. Take profit ka placement support 0.6054 ke aas paas aur resistance 0.6139 par stop loss ke liye rakhein

NZD/USD H1
Salam, mohtaram forum members! Aaj main NZD/USD currency pair ka H1 chart ke base par tajziya pesh kar raha hoon. Filhal, trading instrument 0.5920 par positioned hai. Asian trading session ke doran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ko cross na kar paane ke bawajood, price ne neeche ki taraf move karna shuru kiya aur 0.5918 tak gir gayi.

Mojooda market conditions aur observed movements ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke trading instrument ki price 0.5900 level ke neeche gir sakti hai. Yeh bearish trend ke continuation ka darshata hai.

Jaise jaise situation evolve hui, NZD/USD pair ne na sirf 0.5900 level ko touch kiya, balki aur bhi neeche gir kar 0.5876 par trade kar raha hai. Ab chart par ek reversal zone bana hai, jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke beech confined hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke agar price 0.5886 ke resistance level ke upar rise kar sakti hai aur ek ghante ki candle is level ke upar close karti hai, to mojooda decline sirf ek stop collection ho sakti hai. Isse rebound aur 0.5978 ke resistance level ki taraf rise ki umeed barh jaayegi. Is scenario mein, stop-loss orders ko is level ke neeche rakhna behtar hoga.





H1 chart ke muqablay mein, Four Hourly timeframe par linear regression channel mein upward movement dekhi ja rahi hai, jo buyer activity ko darshata hai. Buyer ne 0.59421 level ko sellers ke breakthrough ke baad chhod diya hai. Yeh market mein bears ke strong interest ko dikhata hai, jo shayad H1 channel ko downward reverse karne ki koshish karenge. Isse uptrend ko khatra ho sakta hai. Jab channel neeche move karega, to sellers dominate karenge aur trend change dikhayenge. Strong bears apna target achieve karne ke liye 0.58630 level tak pohnchna chaahenge. Magar, agar 4-hour chart par market 0.59704 aur 0.59421 levels ko break karti hai, to bulls apne trend movement ko restore karenge, is baat ko trading ke waqt madde nazar rakhna chahiye.

NZD/USD H4 Chart
Aaj, main NZD/USD currency pair ka H4 chart ke base par tajziya pesh kar raha hoon. Filhal, trading instrument 0.5920 par hai. Asian trading session ke doran, pair ne 0.5956 par resistance ka samna kiya. Is level ko cross na kar paane ke baad, price neeche ki taraf move kar gayi aur 0.5918 tak gir gayi.

Mojooda market conditions aur observed movements ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke trading instrument ki price 0.5900 level ke neeche gir sakti hai. Yeh bearish trend ke continuation ka darshata hai. Jaise-jaise situation evolve hui, NZD/USD ne 0.5900 level ko touch kiya aur ab 0.5876 par trade kar raha hai. Ab chart par ek reversal zone ban gaya hai, jo 0.5859 aur 0.5886 ke beech confined hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke agar price 0.5886 ke resistance level ke upar rise kar sakti hai aur ek ghante ki candle is level ke upar close karti hai, to mojooda decline sirf ek stop collection ho sakti hai. Isse rebound aur 0.5978 ke resistance level ki taraf rise ki umeed barh jaayegi. Is scenario mein, stop-loss orders rakhna behtar hoga.




Maine ek sell position open ki hai kyunki running price white box area ko level 0.6213 par enter kar chuki hai. Agar NZD/USD is area se bearish candlestick create karta hai to price 0.6060 ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo baad mein RBS area banega aur hum isse TP1 level bana sakte hain. Agar price 0.6060 area ke neeche weak hoti rehti hai, to hum sell position ko hold kar sakte hain jab tak 0.5835 zone mein decline nahi aati, jisse hum trading next week mein TP2 level bana sakte hain. Agar white box area rejection provide nahi karta aur bullish confirmation banne lagti hai, to humein sell position close karni hogi. Phir recovery ke liye, buy position open karna hoga jiska target resistance area 0.6330 hoga. Shukriya, doston, jo mere explanation ko suna. Umeed hai ke hum next week NZD/USD ke movement par profit optimize kar sakenge.