aud/jpy

AUD/JPY ka Technical Outlook: AUD/JPY 95.40 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai, jo sirf ek ahem market sentiment zone ke oopar hai. Ye pair mazboot uptrend mein trade kar raha hai, lekin abhi 200-day SMA par resistance ka saamna kar raha hai. Pair ka inability ek higher high banane mein yeh darshaata hai ke lower highs aur lower lows ka downtrend abhi bhi jari hai, jaisa ke Bollinger bands aur ADX midline ke zariye tasdeeq ho chuka hai. RSI indicator apne moving average aur overbought zone ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo ke agar indicator girna jari rakhta hai toh yeh neeche ke prices ki taqatwar ishaara hai. Agar bulls ek higher high establish karna chahte hain, toh unhe 91.85 ke 200-day SMA ko paar karne ki zaroorat hogi. Agla ahem resistance level 93.63 par hain jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement hai iss haftay ke douran.



Pura overall, lagta hai ke bulls ne apni koshishon mein ek naye high establish karne mein momentum kho diya hai. MACD aur oscillator ab ek aur short-term bearish move ka start signal dene ke qareeb hain. Agar yeh pullback hota hai, toh bears ke liye ek ahem area hoga jahan wo 50- aur 100-day SMAs aur downtrend ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ko target kar sakte hain, jo 94.31 range ke andar aata hai. Agar bears iss area ko paar kar lete hain, toh 50% Fibonacci retracement jo 92.19 par hai, ke liye rasta saaf nazar aata hai. Halanki pair ab ek ahem mor par stability rakhta hai, jahan Stochastic indicator ek naye bearish trend ka signal dene ke liye tayar hai. Traders ko aane waale dino mein pair ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye, khaas karke 94.31 support level ke neeche ek break jo ke 92.09 ke aas paas further downside correction ke darwaze ko kholsakta hai.

AUD-JPY Pair Forecast
Hello doston jo financial market mein kamiyabi chahte hain! Kal ka din shandar tha, lekin aaj ka din usse bhi behtar hona chahiye taake har lamha ka maza le sakoon. Agar aap foreign exchange market mein invest karne ka sahi waqt dhoondh rahe hain, toh 95.39 par AUDJPY kharidna ek achha option hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, market abhi growth phase mein hai, aur is area mein kharidari se munafa kamaya ja sakta hai. Stop-loss ko 95.12 par set karain taake profits ko preserve kiya ja sake. Agar position is din ke khatam hone se pehle close nahi hoti, toh automatically position close kar dein. Friday ko daily chart par achhi buying hui thi, lekin aaj pair reflect kar raha hai aur future direction ko decide nahi kar pa raha. Aaj is currency pair ki movement ko predict karne ki koshish karte hain. Technical analysis ke zariye, moving average aur technical indicators ke base par, aggressive buying ki advice hai. Mujhe lagta hai aaj buying spree dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Aaj ke din kuch important news releases ko bhi dekhte hain. Australia aur Japan se koi major news expected nahi hai. Mera yeh manna hai ke aaj pair mein zyada buying hogi, jo 95.75 ke resistance level tak pahunch sakti hai aur 95.20 ke support level tak sell ho sakti hai.

Iske ilawa, trading ke zariye channel ka opening aur further bullish impulse ke formation ko bhi note karna interesting hai. Toh, jab bulls ne corrective channel open kiya tha, tab ke technical movements complete ho chuke hain aur ab bulls ko range ke upper limit tak pahunchne mein koi rukawat nahi hai. Jab bearish retracement hota hai, toh chart ke is part ka detailed study karna ek achhi trade idea ho sakti hai jo buying ke liye worth hai.

AUDJPY Technical Analysis: AUDJPY ke buyers 95.25 ke aas paas active the, jo 200-day SMA ke immediate resistance barrier ke upar tha, jo pehle pichle mahine mein support ke tor par kaam aaya tha. Wasee nazar se dekha jaye toh pair 92.25 aur 96.00 ke beech ek sideways range mein trade kar raha hai, bina kisi clear trend ke. Jabke moving averages current price ke upar hain, momentum indicators jaise RSI aur MACD is market environment mein zyada madadgar ho sakte hain. Range ke lower end par correction ka mumkin hai, aur buyers ko market mein dobara enter karna chahiye. Agar price 94.25 ke neeche girti hai, toh decline continue hoga aur buyers apni positions exit kar lenge. Yeh fluctuations market ko channel ke zariye aage badhate hain jab yeh upar ki taraf move karti hai. RSI apne 30 level se rebound kar chuki hai, aur MACD jo abhi bhi negative hai, bottom ke qareeb lagti hai. Dono indicators yeh darshaate hain ke current zone mein abhi bhi additional recovery ke liye jagah hai.



97.25 ke level par break hona, jo high inflation zone ke low points se marked hai, is nazariye ko confirm karega. Aise mein, price 98.00 ke aas paas upper end of the range tak upar ja sakti hai. Lekin, is barrier se clear break hona yeh signal hoga ke bulls full control mein hain. Traders ko momentum indicators, khaaskar RSI aur MACD par nazar rakhni chahiye. In indicators mein se kisi mein bullish crossover hone se yeh darshaayega ke bulls momentum gain kar rahe hain aur further upside breakout ho sakta hai. Conversely, bearish crossover hone se yeh darshaayega ke bears control le rahe hain aur further downside decline ho sakti hai.

AUDJPY Ko 95.50 Ke Aas-Paas Resistance Ka Samna Hai:
AUDJPY currency pair July ke end se reverse ho raha hai, aur sabse recent upward reversal daily Bollinger Band ke lower edge aur 200-day SMA se 95.20 par strong upward impulse ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ke sath coincide kar raha hai. Pair ab 94.85 level par resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Agar yeh resistance level ko break nahi kar pata, toh yeh 93.00 support level tak correction dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Agar pair 94.85 level ke neeche consolidate karta hai, toh bearish reversal bhi ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, agla resistance level 94.35 hai. Agar yeh is resistance level ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh 95.00 level ki taraf aur aage barh sakta hai.





Traders ko AUDJPY ke price action ko 94.85 resistance level par dhyan se monitor karna chahiye. Reserve Bank of Australia's monetary policy: RBA ke interest rates ko inflation se nipatne ke liye badhane ke ummeed hai, jo Australian dollar ko support kar sakta hai. Bank of Japan's monetary policy: BoJ ke ultra-loose monetary policy ko maintain karne ke expected hai, jo Japanese yen ko weight kar sakta hai. Global risk sentiment ke decrease se Australian dollar aur Japanese yen ke demand mein kami aa sakti hai. Agar pair is level ko break nahi kar pata, toh yeh correction ya bearish reversal ka samna kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair 20 aur 40-day SMA levels ko break kar leta hai, toh yeh 98.35 resistance level tak aage barh sakta hai.

AUD/JPY M-15
Sab ko acha mood! M15 chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf hai, isliye mujhe lagta hai ke buyers active hain. Main kharidne ka soch raha hoon, bas market ka correction ka intezaar kar raha hoon. Jab channel ke lower border par, jo ke 94.607 level par hai, pohanchti hai, tab main kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon. Main market ke against bechna nahi chahta aur jab channel upar ja raha hai, toh bechna zaroori nahi. Mere liye market entry tab zyada accurate hoti hai jab lower border se correction aati hai. Is tarah ki registration galat registration se losses ko kam karne mein madad karegi. Hamara focus upper limit 95.555 par kaam karne par hoga. Channel ke upar kaam karne ke baad, correction ke liye sochna zaroori hai. Correction ke reasons: Channel volatility.



AUD/JPY H-1

Hourly chart par linear regression channel bhi M15 ki direction mein hai, jo bullish interest ko badhata hai. Hum dono channels ke through purchase ko prefer karte hain. Bechne ke liye koi conditions set nahi ki gayi hain. Iske liye, aapko kam se kam M15 channel ke neeche dekhna hoga, phir aap sales mein enter kar sakte hain. Lekin jaise aap photos mein dekh sakte hain, dono channels upar ki taraf hain, jo bechne ka koi chance nahi dete. Buyers market ko drive kar rahe hain, isliye bottom of the channel border 94.153 par unke sath judna zyada accurate hoga, jo kharidne ka ek behtar entry point hai. Is point ke neeche buying aur selling ka flood hoga. Main 95.476 channel tak jane ka plan kar raha hoon. Upar se kaam karne se bull apni quota meet kar sakta hai, jo shortages ka sabab ban sakta hai. Main yahi rakhunga. Aur phir se, pullback ke sath, main uptrend par buyers ko dekhunga.

AUD-JPY Pair Analysis
Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj AUD-JPY ki movement abhi bhi niche ki taraf ja rahi hai aur 95.60 ke price level tak pohochne ki umeed hai. Pehle half of the year mein, AUDJPY ka movement double bearish engulfing candle banaya, jo ke 96.20 par AUDJPY bechne ka ek bohot strong signal tha.

Lagta hai ke AUDJPY bhi GAP se affect ho raha hai, jiski wajah se price dobara gir rahi hai. Yeh AUDJPY pair ke liye thoda noteworthy hai kyunki sideways trend mein is par dhyan dena kam interesting hota hai, lekin is strong increase ke sath, lagta hai ke price upar chalti rahegi.

Mujhe lagta hai ke price jab 94.662 support zone par nearest resistance tak correct karti hai, toh price abhi bhi upar chal sakti hai aur nearest resistance zone 97,000 tak pohoch sakti hai. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke price ne yahan bhi nearest support ko penetrate kiya hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke abhi jo high ban raha hai, woh sirf ek lower upper zone hai jahan price baad mein lower low bana sakti hai.

AUDJPY ke agle move ko predict karte hue, agar price pehle ke move ke muqablay mein downward deviation dikha rahi hai aur base zone ke andar hai, toh AUDJPY ke bearish hone ki ability abhi bhi hai. Mere forecast ke mutabiq, agle movement mein AUDJPY aur niche gir sakti hai, aur hum 93.07 support line par selling opportunities dekh sakte hain. Agar price rebound hoti hai aur 95.30 line ko break karti hai, toh be careful. Agar price upar chalti hai aur 95.30 line ko break karti hai, toh AUDJPY ke agle move ka bullish hona mumkin hai. Yehi mere prediction ke mutabiq AUDJPY ke agle move ke baare mein ho raha hai.

AUD/JPY Price Assessment
Australian yen ko higher time frame par dekhte hue mujhe attractive nahi lagti, kyunki yahan koi clear support ya resistance level nahi hai. Iski jagah humare paas support aur resistance zones hain. Pehle resistance zone ki baat karte hain, jo 93.00 aur 91.78 ke levels ke beech hai. Yeh ek bara zone hai, aur price iske kisi bhi point se bounce kar sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke humein koi specific level nahi milta jahan se buying shuru ki ja sake, aur har baar jab hum buying ka sochte hain, toh hamara stop loss bekar mein badh jata hai. Yehi situation support level ke sath bhi hai. Yahan bhi koi key support level nahi hai, lekin ek bara support zone hai jo resistance zone se bhi bada hai. Yeh 92.73 se shuru hota hai aur 97.47 tak jaata hai. Is case mein, chahe aap trend-following trader hain ya low price par buying aur high price par selling karte hain, aapka stop loss hamesha bada hoga aur profit potential chhota rahega. Isliye, main yeh recommend karunga ke price ko is bekaar ke swing period se bahar nikalne ka intezaar karein, uske baad swing trade ke entry ke baare mein sochain.




Chhote time frame par, jaise ke 15-minute time frame, agar aap is currency ko already buy kar rahe hain, toh main recommend karunga ke 95.49 par profit lein aur stop loss 95.02 par set karein. Lekin agar aap is currency mein enter karna chahte hain, jaise ke maine kaha, yahan bahut fluctuation hai aur clear levels nahi hain jin par hum rely kar sakte hain. Sirf ek cheez jo mujhe nazar aati hai, wo agla resistance level hai 95.49. Yahan se aap sell kar sakte hain aur umeed kar sakte hain ke price move karegi aur 94.59 support level ko retest karegi. Yehi mere paas is currency ke liye hai. Trading mein achha luck, aur agar aapke paas kuch add karna hai, toh is post mein mujhe quote karein aur batayein ke aapka kya khayal hai.

Hello AUD/JPY traders! Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, do dilchasp mombattiyan mukhtalif rangon ki (surkhi aur hari) mausam-e-bahar ko chupate hue mangal aur jumma ko bani hain. Aam tor par, jab aisa hota hai, to market aakhri mombatti ki taraf chalne lagti hai jo bani hai, is case mein hari wali. Main ne markets mein yeh pattern hamesha dekha hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke is case mein qeemat agle haftay apna uthne ka silsila jari rakhegi. Mujhe nahi pata ke is pattern ka kya naam hai, lekin maine isay bohot baar dekha hai aur 80% cases mein market wahi karta hai. Is case mein, main samajhta hoon ke buyers ne is tug of war mein sellers ke khilaaf rung lagaya hai. Bulls jeetenge, warna main recommend karunga ke intezar karen aur dekhen ke qeemat agle haftay somvar ko 95.695 level ko chu ti hai to kya karti hai, kyunki jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, yeh woh resistance hai jo 25 july ko qeemat ko bohot zyada reject kiya tha.

15-minute waqt frame par, hum clearly ek V-shape ban rahe hain dekh sakte hain. Yeh ek mazboot u-turn hai jo hum markets mein aksar dekhte hain. Shakhsan, maine ek trade apne demo account mein daali thhi turant jab qeemat ne 94.757 tak resistance level ko tora do mukhtalif hari mombattiyon ke sath. Main ne 95.573 ke resistance level par profit kiya, jo maine us waqt resistance level socha tha. Main ne lagbhag 60 pips ka faida kiya aur trade se bohot khush tha. Magar, jab qeemat isay upar gayi, maine ek ghalti ki aur doosri buy trade ke sath market mein phir se shamil hua. Afasos, jaise hi maine isay kholi, qeemat ne niche jaana shuru kiya aur mujhe stop loss touch hua, 25 pips haar kar. Yeh meri taraf se ek sabak hona chahiye: dhyan na jatao aur apne emotions ko apne zyada bina mat bhaa lo. Agle haftay mujhe zyada tawajjo deni hogi warna main woh pura faida jo maine pichle haftay kamaya hai kho doonga. Agle haftay, agar qeemat 95.450 ke resistance level ko tor de, to main ek sell trade ko madde nazar rakhsakta hoon kyunki main samajhta hoon ke 95.789 jo top hai woh ek neeche ki movement ka bottom top hai. Mera target 95.101 par hona chahiye. Yeh meri chhoti term trading ke liye planning hai. Shukriya bohot zyada parhne ke liye.

Aud/jpy


AUD/JPY ka Technical Outlook: AUD/JPY 95.40 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai, jo sirf ek ahem market sentiment zone ke oopar hai. Ye pair mazboot uptrend mein trade kar raha hai, lekin abhi 200-day SMA par resistance ka saamna kar raha hai. Pair ka inability ek higher high banane mein yeh darshaata hai ke lower highs aur lower lows ka downtrend abhi bhi jari hai, jaisa ke Bollinger bands aur ADX midline ke zariye tasdeeq ho chuka hai. RSI indicator apne moving average aur overbought zone ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo ke agar indicator girna jari rakhta hai toh yeh neeche ke prices ki taqatwar ishaara hai. Agar bulls ek higher high establish karna chahte hain, toh unhe 91.85 ke 200-day SMA ko paar karne ki zaroorat hogi. Agla ahem resistance level 93.63 par hain jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement hai iss haftay ke douran.
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Pura overall, lagta hai ke bulls ne apni koshishon mein ek naye high establish karne mein momentum kho diya hai. MACD aur oscillator ab ek aur short-term bearish move ka start signal dene ke qareeb hain. Agar yeh pullback hota hai, toh bears ke liye ek ahem area hoga jahan wo 50- aur 100-day SMAs aur downtrend ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ko target kar sakte hain, jo 94.31 range ke andar aata hai. Agar bears iss area ko paar kar lete hain, toh 50% Fibonacci retracement jo 92.19 par hai, ke liye rasta saaf nazar aata hai. Halanki pair ab ek ahem mor par stability rakhta hai, jahan Stochastic indicator ek naye bearish trend ka signal dene ke liye tayar hai. Traders ko aane waale dino mein pair ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye, khaas karke 94.31 support level ke neeche ek break jo ke 92.09 ke aas paas further downside correction ke darwaze ko kholsakta hai.

AUD/JPY currency pair ki tajziya Sab achay mood mein hain! M15 chart par linear regression channel neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo market mein sellers ki domination ko zyada emphasize karta hai. Market 93.795 level ki taraf ja raha hai. Jab hum calculations karte hain, to humein ek upper correction ka intezar hai, jab hum is chart par channel volatility chunte hain. Main yeh recommend karta hoon ke channel ke lower border ke qareeb bechne ki bajaye upper part of channel ka intezar karein 94.386 par. Yeh unprofitability ko kam karne mein madad karega. Channel ka angle market mein sellers ki taqat ko determine karta hai; jitna zyada steep hoga, utna zyada strong movement hogi. Bech, bech mein shuru ki stages hain.
M-15 chart



On the hourly chart, linear regression channel neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai, seller ki strength dikhate hue. Hourly channel primary channel hai, aur M15 secondary channel hai. Dono images mein water channel ka direction south ki taraf hai. Behtar hai ke aap shorts ke liye search karein kyunki agar aap kharidte hain, to aap trend ke khilaf jayenge, jo ke zyada tar nuksan ke bajaye faida de sakta hai. Agar 94.386 level buyers ko rok nahi sakta, to zyada tar woh aage badheinge. Bulls top of the channel 94.416 level ki taraf move karenge, jo behtareen soch samajh ke bechne ki zaroorat ko warrant karta hai. Yeh sales is jagah bohot interesting honge dekhne ke liye jab woh ghaante ke rollback se hote hain. Uske baad, bears apni activity dikhayenge lower part of channel 93.679 ki taraf move karke. Main channel fluctuations chununga; sales ko intezar karna parega jab tak bulls part of the move waapas na le lein.
H-1 CHART

AUD/JPY

AUDJPY pair ka main trend pichle saal se strong bullish dikh raha hai. Price pattern structure ab bhi consistent hai, higher high - higher low ka formation ban raha hai. Filhal price 98.73 ke resistance ko test kar rahi hai taake upward rally ko continue kiya ja sake. Prices repeatedly higher low pattern mein correct ho rahi hain lekin ab tak koi valid higher high nahi bana. Agar daily candle ka closing resistance ke upar rahta hai, toh yeh certainty hai ke price aage bhi rise karegi. Agar closing prices resistance ke niche rahti hain, toh yeh indicate karta hai ke price ne downward correction kiya hai.

96.84 low prices abhi ke higher high structure ke liye closest invalidation level hain. Misal ke taur par, agar price resistance 98.73 par rejection experience karti hai, toh low prices test kiye jayenge taake structure lower low mein change ho sake. Iske ilawa, price movements resistance ke aas paas Stochastic indicator ke overbought zone ke parameters se milte hain. Yeh indicate karta hai ke upward price rally jaldi apni limit tak pohanchne wali hai aur uske baad downward correction phase shuru ho sakta hai.

Daily time frame ke basis par trading recommendations ke liye behtar hoga ke kal ke price developments ka intezar kiya jaye. BUY positions tab place ki jayein jab closing prices resistance 98.73 ke upar ho aur SELL positions tab jab closing prices resistance ke niche ho. Targets ke liye 1:1 ka Risk : Reward ratio use kiya ja sakta hai kyun ke price movements resistance ke aas paas valid confirmation nahi dikhati.

AUDJPY market ki kal ki trading situation buyers ke control mein wapas aa gayi hai. Buyers zyada strength dikhate hain AUDJPY ke price ko upar push karne mein, jo ke bullish trend ko validate karta hai. Agar buyer pressure nearest resistance area ko penetrate kar sakti hai, toh yeh zyada aur constant buyer strength ko trigger kar sakta hai jo AUDJPY price ko higher resistance area ki taraf push karega.

AUD/JPY Forecast, Analysis

Monday ko, mujhe lagta hai ke rate 107.10 range se gir sakta hai. 107.90 ko todna mushkil lag raha hai, jo wahan resistance ki indication hai. Agar 107.90 ka false breakout hota hai, to girawat continue ho sakti hai. Agar 106.70 ko todna possible hota hai, to 106.70 tak girawat expect ki ja sakti hai. 107.85 level bhi test ho sakta hai, aur girawat continue ho sakti hai. General mein, girawat ka trend achha lag raha hai, aur humne 107.90 ko break kiya hai, halankeh filhal thoda niche trade ho raha hai. Agar 107.85 range ko break karna aur uspe rehna possible hota hai, to yeh growth ka signal ho sakta hai.

H4 chart par, price ascending channel ke andar hai. Kal maine expect kiya tha ke pair niche move karega aur price ascending channel ke lower border tak pohanch sakti hai. Lekin price lower border tak nahi pohnchi, isliye Monday se main expect karta hoon ke price niche move karegi aur 106.44 tak pohnch sakti hai. Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai, to decline ruk sakti hai, aur price reversal kar ke upar move shuru kar sakti hai. Growth ka target upper border of the ascending channel ho sakta hai, jo level 110.94 hai. Agar yeh level reach hota hai, to pair reversal kar sakta hai aur price upar move kar sakti hai, jo channel ka upper border ho sakta hai, yani level 110.94.



AUD/JPY H_1

Hi, yeh asset market filhal AUD/JPY Nichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar raha hai. Cloud do lines par mushtamil hota hai: Span A 96.657 aur Span B 96.048. Market pehle cloud ke neeche tha, aur yeh lines resist kar rahi thi. Abhi ke waqt mein, market price 96.850 Kumo ke upar hai, jo cloud area ko aik powerful support mein tabdeel kar deti hai, jahan se aapko buy karne ka entry point dhundhna chahiye. Ek aur signal jo bullish mode ko kamzor kar raha hai, wo hai Tenkan-Sen 96.714 aur Kijun-Sen 96.685 line ke darmiyan intersection, jo aik golden cross bana raha hai. Market cloud ke upar intersection aur positions powerful buy signals dete hain. Yeh behtreen hai ke upward purchase par ghor kiya jaye. Agar cloud ka break hota hai, toh upgrade option ineffective ho jayega. Behtar yeh hoga ke aap dead cross ka intezar karein - yani Tekan-sen line ka Kaizen-sen ke neeche jaana. Reverse signal par aap apna profit fix kar sakte hain.

Hello AUD/JPY traders! Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, do dilchasp mombattiyan mukhtalif rangon ki (surkhi aur hari) mausam-e-bahar ko chupate hue mangal aur jumma ko bani hain. Aam tor par, jab aisa hota hai, to market aakhri mombatti ki taraf chalne lagti hai jo bani hai, is case mein hari wali. Main ne markets mein yeh pattern hamesha dekha hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke is case mein qeemat agle haftay apna uthne ka silsila jari rakhegi. Mujhe nahi pata ke is pattern ka kya naam hai, lekin maine isay bohot baar dekha hai aur 80% cases mein market wahi karta hai. Is case mein, main samajhta hoon ke buyers ne is tug of war mein sellers ke khilaaf rung lagaya hai. Bulls jeetenge, warna main recommend karunga ke intezar karen aur dekhen ke qeemat agle haftay somvar ko 95.695 level ko chu ti hai to kya karti hai, kyunki jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, yeh woh resistance hai jo 25 july ko qeemat ko bohot zyada reject kiya tha.

15-minute waqt frame par, hum clearly ek V-shape ban rahe hain dekh sakte hain. Yeh ek mazboot u-turn hai jo hum markets mein aksar dekhte hain. Shakhsan, maine ek trade apne demo account mein daali thhi turant jab qeemat ne 94.757 tak resistance level ko tora do mukhtalif hari mombattiyon ke sath. Main ne 95.573 ke resistance level par profit kiya, jo maine us waqt resistance level socha tha. Main ne lagbhag 60 pips ka faida kiya aur trade se bohot khush tha. Magar, jab qeemat isay upar gayi, maine ek ghalti ki aur doosri buy trade ke sath market mein phir se shamil hua. Afasos, jaise hi maine isay kholi, qeemat ne niche jaana shuru kiya aur mujhe stop loss touch hua, 25 pips haar kar. Yeh meri taraf se ek sabak hona chahiye: dhyan na jatao aur apne emotions ko apne zyada bina mat bhaa lo. Agle haftay mujhe zyada tawajjo deni hogi warna main woh pura faida jo maine pichle haftay kamaya hai kho doonga. Agle haftay, agar qeemat 95.450 ke resistance level ko tor de, to main ek sell trade ko madde nazar rakhsakta hoon kyunki main samajhta hoon ke 95.789 jo top hai woh ek neeche ki movement ka bottom top hai. Mera target 95.101 par hona chahiye. Yeh meri chhoti term trading ke liye planning hai. Shukriya bohot zyada parhne ke liye.


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AUD/JPYCurrent Market Situation:

Kal ke trading session mein, AUD/JPY market dobara buyers ke control mein aagaya hai, jahan ek noticeable upar ki taraf ka movement dekha gaya. Is movement ne bullish trend ke resurgence ko validate kar diya hai AUD/JPY pair mein. Barhti hui buyers ki pressure ne qareebi resistance area ko tor diya hai, jo is baat ki indication deta hai ke upward momentum higher resistance levels tak jaari reh sakta hai.



Technical Analysis:

1. Support aur Resistance Levels:
   • Immediate Resistance: Pair ne recently 84.50 ke aas-paas resistance zone ko tod diya hai. Agla significant resistance level 85.30 ke aas-paas hai, jiske baad ek aur zyada strong barrier 86.00 par hai.
   • Support Levels: Neeche ki taraf, sabse kareeb support 83.80 par hai, aur ek zyada critical support zone 83.00 par hai, jo 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ke saath coincide karta hai.
2. Moving Averages:
   • 50-day SMA upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Iske ilawa, 100-day SMA bhi upward trajectory mein hai, jo sustained buying interest ko suggest karta hai aur medium-term bullish trend ko confirm karta hai.
3. Trendlines aur Patterns:
   • Ek ascending trendline jo recent lows se draw ki gayi hai, ongoing bullish trend ko support karti hai. Price action ne consistently is trendline ko respect kiya hai, jo dips par strong buyer interest ko indicate karta hai.
   • Bullish candlestick patterns, jaise ke bullish engulfing aur morning stars, recent price action mein dekhe gaye hain, jo further upward momentum ko validate karte hain.

Fundamental Factors:

1. Economic Indicators:
   • Australia: Australia se positive economic data, jaise ke robust employment figures, rising commodity prices (khaaskar iron ore), aur upbeat business confidence, AUD ki strength mein contribute kar rahe hain.
   • Japan: Dusri taraf, Japan ke economic indicators ne mixed results show kiye hain. Jab ke industrial production aur export figures relatively stable hain, overall economic growth abhi bhi sluggish hai, jo weaker JPY ko support karta hai.
2. Central Bank Policies:
   • Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA): RBA ka monetary policy stance, jo accommodative hai lekin agar economic conditions improve karti hain toh potential tightening ki hints deta hai, AUD ko support karta hai.
   • Bank of Japan (BoJ): BoJ ki ultra-loose monetary policy aur continued negative interest rates ne JPY ko weak kiya hai, jo AUD/JPY pair ko buyers ke liye zyada attractive banata hai.
3. Geopolitical Developments:
   • Positive global risk sentiment, jo easing geopolitical tensions aur optimistic trade developments se driven hai, ne AUD ko bolster kiya hai, jo ek risk-sensitive currency hai. Conversely, JPY, jo aksar ek safe-haven currency mana jata hai, improved global risk appetite ke dauran weak ho gaya hai.

Market Sentiment:

Mojooda market sentiment AUD/JPY pair ke liye bullish hai. Buyers ne recent trading sessions mein zyada strength show ki hai, price ko higher push karte hue aur bullish trend ke continuation ko validate karte hue. Nearest resistance area ka penetration sustained buyer strength aur further upward movement ke potential ko indicate karta hai.

Conclusion:

AUD/JPY market ne bullish trend ko wapas haasil kar liya hai, jo strong buyer pressure aur positive economic fundamentals se driven hai. Technical indicators, including support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur trendlines, sab upward momentum ko support karte hain. Fundamental factors jaise ke economic data, central bank policies, aur global risk sentiment bhi AUD ke favor mein hain. Jaise hi pair higher resistance areas ki taraf push karta rahega, in factors ko monitor karna aur effective risk management ko maintain karna traders ke liye crucial hoga. Agar current market conditions aur positive sentiment barqarar rahe, toh continued gains ka potential strong hai.

Macroeconomic Events Analysis:

Wednesday ko kuch macroeconomic events hain, lekin hum sirf UK inflation report ko highlight karenge. Yeh report British currency ke liye kaafi important hai. Pichle chhah mahine se pound ya to barh raha hai ya stagnant raha hai. British currency ki demand consistently high hai. Agar inflation girti hai, to buyers ki enthusiasm kam ho sakti hai, kyunki yeh Bank of England ko monetary policy ko dheela karne ka ground dega. BoE ka meeting kal hai. Agar inflation 3.5% ya usse kam hoti hai, to pound par significant pressure pad sakta hai. Dusri taraf, thodi si girawat se British currency ko boost mil sakta hai.

Aaj hum expect karte hain ke dono instruments apne respective downward movements continue karenge, lekin sab kuch FOMC meeting aur UK inflation report ke results par depend karega. Hum believe karte hain ke dollar medium term mein appreciate hona chahiye, lekin aaj dono currency pairs bhi rise kar sakti hain.

Fundamental Events Analysis:

Wednesday ko ek hi fundamental event scheduled hai, lekin wo kaafi significant hai! Shaam ko FOMC meeting ke results aur US central bank ke interest rate decision announce honge. Lekin yahaan koi intrigue nahi hai. Rates unchanged rehne ki ummeed hai. Iske baad, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell press conference hold karenge aur phir monetary committee ke members apne interest rates ke forecasts present karenge. Agar unki stance hawkish hoti hai (kam rate cuts ki indication), to yeh US dollar ko support karega.

AUD/JPY Analysis:

AUD/JPY ke 4-hour chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke existing bias abhi bhi Buyers ki strength se dominate hai. Yeh Golden Cross (MA 20, 50, & 200) aur Bullish 123 pattern ke formation se dikha ja sakta hai jo ke kuch Bullish Ross Hooks (RH) ke sath hai. Lekin Stochastic Oscillator indicator jo Overbought level par hai aur level 80 ke niche girne ke liye tayaar hai, iske madde nazar AUD/JPY correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo level 98.26 tak gir sakti hai. Lekin is correction ke doran weakening level 97.66 se niche nahi jaayegi, aur AUD/JPY phir se strengthen ho kar level 99.00 tak pahuncha sakti hai.