aud/jpy

AUD/JPY traders! Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, do dilchasp mombattiyan mukhtalif rangon ki (surkhi aur hari) mausam-e-bahar ko chupate hue mangal aur jumma ko bani hain. Aam tor par, jab aisa hota hai, to market aakhri mombatti ki taraf chalne lagti hai jo bani hai, is case mein hari wali. Main ne markets mein yeh pattern hamesha dekha hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke is case mein qeemat agle haftay apna uthne ka silsila jari rakhegi. Mujhe nahi pata ke is pattern ka kya naam hai, lekin maine isay bohot baar dekha hai aur 80% cases mein market wahi karta hai. Is case mein, main samajhta hoon ke buyers ne is tug of war mein sellers ke khilaaf rung lagaya hai. Bulls jeetenge, warna main recommend


karunga ke intezar karen aur dekhen ke qeemat agle haftay somvar ko 95.695 level ko chu ti hai to kya karti hai, kyunki jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, yeh woh resistance hai jo 25 july ko qeemat ko bohot zyada reject kiya tha.
15-minute waqt frame par, hum clearly ek V-shape ban rahe hain dekh sakte hain. Yeh ek mazboot u-turn hai jo hum markets mein aksar dekhte hain. Shakhsan, maine ek trade apne demo account mein daali thhi turant jab qeemat ne 94.757 tak resistance level ko tora do mukhtalif hari mombattiyon ke sath. Main ne 95.573 ke resistance level par profit kiya, jo maine us waqt resistance level socha tha. Main ne lagbhag 60 pips ka faida kiya aur trade se bohot khush tha. Magar, jab qeemat isay upar gayi, maine ek ghalti ki aur doosri buy trade ke sath market mein phir se shamil hua. Afasos, jaise hi maine isay kholi, qeemat ne niche jaana shuru kiya aur mujhe stop loss touch hua, 25 pips haar kar. Yeh meri taraf se ek sabak hona chahiye: dhyan na jatao aur apne emotions ko apne zyada bina mat bhaa lo. Agle haftay mujhe zyada tawajjo deni hogi warna main woh pura faida jo maine pichle haftay kamaya hai kho doonga. Agle haftay, agar qeemat 95.450 ke resistance level ko tor de, to main ek sell trade ko madde nazar rakhsakta hoon kyunki main samajhta hoon ke 95.789 jo top hai woh ek neeche ki movement ka bottom top hai. Mera target 95.101 par hona chahiye. Yeh meri chhoti term trading ke liye planning hai. Shukriya bohot zyada parhne ke liye.

AUD-JPY TAUR PAR DEKHA GAYA

AUD/ JPY bazaar ki halat dobara se kal ke trading mein farokht karne wale apni keematon par qabza paaya ja raha hai. Main ne kuch hafton se dekha hai ke farokht karne wale AUD/ JPY bazaar mein barh chadh kar qaboo pa rahe hain, aur har haftay unki taqat barhti nazar aati hai. Kal ke trading mein farokht karne wale ek baar phir ne AUD/ JPY ke daam ko tabahi se neeche daba diya, aur haftawar time frame par dekha jaye to pechlay haftay ke mukable bechne ke imkan ka zahir honay lagta hai.

Maine AUD/ JPY bazaar ki surat-e-haal ko rozana ke time frame par tajziya kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke pechlay kuch hafton mein farokht ka dabao mazboot bearish trend pattern bana chuka hai. Is ke ilawa, AUD/ JPY ke daam MA100 indicator ke qareeb aa gaye hain, jo bullish trend situation ke liye ek difa ka kaam karta hai. Meri tajwez hai ke jaise hi farokht karne wale lagataar AUD/ JPY ke daamon ko neeche daba rahe hain, unke liye MA100 indicator ko guzarne ka bare imkan hai, jisse trend situation ko bullish se bearish mei tabdeel kiya jayega, jo ke MA100 indicator ke guzarne se markaz kya jayega.

Daam ne haftay ka open kam kiya, kamiyabi se 104.57 area ko guzarte hue, aur peer ke trading ke end tak, dam kamzor hota gaya, 103.92 ko choo gaya. EMA 200 dam ke harkat se ooper hai, jo ke ek bearish trend ko darust karti hai, jab ke EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 time frame par neeche latke hue hain, bearish dam ki flow ko H1 time frame par signal kar rahe hain. Mangalwar ke trading ke liye, ye kamzori jaari rahegi. Market 104.22 par subah mein open hua, aur farokht karne wale kamiyabi se huke, jiss se kamzor ta'eed 103.51 tak pohanchi. Wahan rukawat nazar aati hai.





AUD-MPY BAZAR MEIN TRADING TAJWEZAT

Yeh mashwara diya jaata hai ke bechne wale ke dam ko barhata dikha hai to uske sath chalna chahiye, jo ke AUD/ JPY ke daamon ko lagataar neeche daba rahe hain. Aaj ke trading mein, agar koi bechne wala strong nishan dekha gaya to ye bech daakhil hone ka nishan samjha jana chahiye, kyunke bechne walon ke liye ek barey imkanat hain ke bullish trend ko bearish mein palat saken aur AUD/ JPY ke daamon ko MA100 indicator ke neeche ta'eed ka ilaqa banane mein kamiyab ho saken.

AUD/JPY Tahlil Aur Tashkeel

Jab chand lafzi bharak 103.55 tak ki shakh me mumkin ho, phir uske baad izafa jari rahega. Ek tasawwur yeh hai ke choti taalik par baad mein izafay ki shuruat ho sakti hai. Keemat 105.70 ki shakh se gir gayi. 105.70 ko todna mumkin nahi hai, jo ke wahan rukawat hai. 105.70 ka jhoota door-e-ghalat ho sakti hai, uske baad girawat jari rahegi. Main na-mumkin nahi samajhta ke 104.15 ko todna mumkin ho, phir hum girawat ki shakh mein girne ka intezar kar sakte hain 104.70 ke shakh me. Us se 106.53 ka buniad banaya ja sakta hai, keemat ke girne jari rahega. Aam taur par, keemat ka girna shandaar hai, aur chuke 104.15 ko pehle hi tod chuke hain, halankeh hum abhi is se thori door par trading kar rahe hain. Jab 106.00 ki shakh ko todna mumkin ho aur uske upar rehna mukhtalif ho, to yeh ek khareedne ka paigham hoga. Lekin jodi ke liye izaafa ka intekhab ka tajwez kaam nahi aya, keemat palat gayi, neeche ki taraf barhne lagi aur dam girne wala channel mein dakhil ho gaya. Ab main yeh ummid karta hoon ke jori neeche ki taraf barhti rahegi aur hadaf ke nichle kinaray tak pohanch sakti hai, jo ke 101.21 ka level hai. Is level tak neeche pohnchte hi, palat sakta hai aur jori barhna shuru karegi. Aur pehle se ooper badhte hue, daam ooper barh sakta hai, niche ki taraf rukhne wale channel ka ooper kinaray tak pohanch sakti hai, yeh 103.66 ka level hai.

AUDJPY ki mukhya trend ab bhi mazboot bullish ki taraf ishara deti hai jo pehle ki tarah se hai. Iske ilawa, keemat ka dhancha hamsaya hai, jo aage barhi hue tezi aur peechli tezi ke sath ban raha hai. Hal hi mein keemat lagata hai ke resistance of 98.73 ko test kar rahi hai taake tezi se aage barh sake. Keemat mukammal ho rahe hain aage barhi hue tezi ke dhanchay mein lekin mudddi tezi ka koi mumkin aagebalib mukammal nahi hua hai. Agar din bhar ke candle ka ikhtitam resistance ke upar rehta hai to yeh yaqeeni hai ke daam aage barhne ka aayega. Magar iska matlab hai ke keemat ko neeche korek kiya gaya hai, agar qareeban tar reside ki keemat ke na’me hai.





Neche ki keemat 96.84 aage barhi hue tezi dhanchay ke sab se qareeb bayopar ka moqam hai jo ab ho raha hai. Misal ke tor par, agar keemat resistance 98.73 mein ijtaba pohanche to kam keemat ko test kiya jayega sa jo muddi tezi ke dhanchay ko neeche nahi kia ja sake. Iske ilawa, keemat ke harkatien resistance ke qareeb aam tor par Stochastic index ke parameters ke sath milte hain jo ke bayopar zone mein hote hain. Yeh darshata hai ke upar ke dam ki tehkiki tezi jald hi apne hadd tak pohanchegi aur iske parameters ke cross hone ke baad neeche ki sarkashi ka dor chal raha hai.
Aaqaqa frame par mabni trading karwaien ke asbab se price ke taleematain aeham hai. Khareedari positions is waqt li jaa sakti hain jab keemat ke na’me rezi97.73 ke upar ho aur sath hi bechne ki positions wahan li jaa sakti hain jab keemat ke na’me rezi 97.33 ke neeche ho. Haddafen aanhein ke muqabley ek keematemutahida ka rate of 11 use kiya ja sakta hai kyunke keemat ke harkatein machine ke qareeb mamul ko nahi dikha rahi hain.

AUD/JPY Market Analysis: Kharidari Ki Taqat Ka Dobara Barhna

Mozooda Market Ki Surat-e-Haal:

Kal ke trade mein, AUD/JPY market dobara kharidaroun ke qabu mein waapas aaya, aik numaya tor par ooper ki taraf taqatwar dhakka milti rahi. Yeh harkat AUD/JPY jodi mein bullish trend ka dobarah tabdeel honay ko tasdeeq deti hai. Izafa honay wali kharidari ka dabao qareebi rukawat elaqe mein phna hua hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ooper ki taraf mazid chalne mein mukhtalif rukawaton ke liye potentia hai.
Technical Analysis:

1. Support aur Resistance Levels:

- Fori Rukawat: Jodi ned hi ned ke resistance zone ko tor chuki hai jis ke qareebi resistance level 84.50 ke aas paas hai. Agla ahem resistance level 85.30 ke aas paas hai, jiski peechay aik mazeed mazboot rukawat hai jo 86.00 ke qasbe mein hai.
- Support Levels: Neche ki taraf, qareebi support 83.80 par hai, jahan aik mazeed ahem support zone hai 83.00 ke aas paas, jo 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ke sath milta hai.

2. Moving Averages:
- 50-day SMA tezi se trend mein hai, bullish outlook ko mazboot kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, 100-day SMA bhi ooper ki taraf ja raha hai, jari kharidari ke interest ko tasdiq karta hai aur darmiyan mudda bullish trend ko dawn.

3. Trendlines aur Patterns:
- Yaksar patli rekhao ne hilte rehte hue tezi trend ko support diya hai. Price action ne is trendline ko bar bar izzat di hai, ta’ke bulki investor ke interest ko dips mein mazbooti se batata hai.
- Bullish candlestick patterns, jese ke bullish engulfing aur morning stars, ne haal hi ki keemat mein dekhne ko milte hain, jo ooper ki leh ko tasdeeq dete hain.

Buniyadi Factors:

1. Aamaqi Dalilat:
-Australia: Australia se musbat aamaqi data, jese ke mazboot rozgar ke shumaraat, barh rahi commodity prices (khas kar iron ore), aur hoslaafzai business confidence, ne AUD ki taqat ko barhaya hai.
- Japan: Dosri taraf, Japan ki aamaqi dalilat ne milaap se nateeja dekha. Jabke sannati production aur export figures kafi mustaqil rahe hain, zameeni halsat ki chapri economic growth, ek kamzor JPY ko samirtha hai.






2. Markazi Bank Policies:
- Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA):RBA ka urfai policynama, jo qabiliyat hai mujawazati lekin umeed hai ke masail mazeed behtar hoti rahen, AUD ko barhawa deti hai.
- **Bank of Japan (BoJ):** BoJ ke ultra-loose monetary policy aur muzaira manfi faiz ke karqay mazbot JPY ko narm karte hain, jo ki AUD/JPY jodi ko kharidaroun ke liye zyada kashish banati hai.

3. Geopolitical Tawn-ae-Asaar:
- Musbat global risk sentiment, jo ke aasani se kam se kam ho rahe tawnaien aur umeedwar tijarati karwaiyen se chal raha hai, ne AUD ko mazboot kiya hai, jo ke aik risk-sensitive currency hai. Maweshi, JPY jo aam tor par aik safe-haven currency ke tor par dekha jata hai, behtar global risk appetite ke doran kamzor ho raha hai.

Market Sentiment:

Mozooda market sentiment AUD/JPY jodi ke liye bullish hai. Kharidaroun ne haal hi ke trade session mein ziada taqat dikhayi, keemat ko ooper ki taraf le jate hue aur bullish trend ke jari rehne ko tasdeeq di. Qareebi resistance area mein phnayi gayi taqat ne mazeed tezi aur ooper ki chalne ki mumkinat ko shahir kiya hai.

Nateeja:

AUD/JPY market ne mazboot kharidari dabao aur musbat aamaqi buniyadi ke asar se ek baar phir ek bullish trend mein wapas lota hai. Technical indicators, jese ke support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur trendlines, ooper ki chalne ko sath deta hai. Aamaqi factors jese ke adad ki maaloomat, markazi bank policies, aur global risk sentiment bhi AUD ko favor karte hain. Jab bohot saare masail ooper ki taraf barhate hain, yeh factors nigrani mein rakhna aur effective risk management traders ke liye lazmi hai. Mazeed barhne ki mumkinat qawatmand hain, agar mojuda market halaat aur musbat sentiment musbat rehne ko tasdiq dete hain.

As-salaam Alaikum. Ye volatility faida uthane ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Faida dene ke liye pehchanne ke liye hadood zaroori hain. Volatility ke buniyad par, is technique ke liye uchch hadood 89.70 hai, aur neeche ki hadood ke qeemat 89.50 hai. Main istemal scheme ko mukammal karta hoon khas ilaqon ki wazahat kar ke. AUD/JPY ke technical resistance 90.69 ke qareeb hai. Agar keemat is resistance ko tor kar ooper jaati hai aur mazid behtar hoti hai, to jodi hone udharan tak faida utha sakti hai 90.45 tak. Di-garaz, agar 91.30 par support tor di jati hai, to yeh 90.50 tak girne ka sabab ban sakti hai.
H4 waqt frame ke liye, main AUD/JPY ke liye volatility ke bunyad par 73 points ke 14 daily bars mein ek mushaba scheme istemal karta hoon. Is technique ke liye uchch hadood 91.80 hai, jabke neeche ki hadood ki qeemat 91.30 hai. Ye areas determine karte hain ke orders kahan khole jayein. Is jodi ke liye technical resistance 93.50 par hai. Agar keemat is resistance ko tor kar ooper jaati hai aur is upper resistance pe mazid meydaan pakka hota hai, to barhne ke imkan hain, jahan se faida uthata hai 92.15 tak. Agar 90.50 ke ilaqe ko tor diya jata hai, to 89.70 ke ilaqe tak girne ka imkan hai. Agli trading week mein kuch mukhya halat 90.40 ke critical ilaqe ird gird hone wale hen. Jabke samandar ki simat tang hoti hai, wo kharidaron ko behtar samjha jata hai. Resistance areas hain 93.20 aur 92.20, jabke support areas hain 89.70 aur 90.48. Technical analysis ke buniyad par, main 90.57 ke area ke ooper taweel positions ko samajhta hoon jis ke target 92.47 hai. Ek doosra scenario 90.40 ke area ke neeche dekha ja sakta hai. Aap ka din acha guzaray.

AUD/JPY

AUDJPY jodi ka aham trend ab tak mazboot bullish dikh raha hai is se pehle saal se. Sath hi, keemat ka pattern structure mustaqil hai, jo zyada ucha-zyada low banata hai. Maazi ke mutabiq keemat ab 98.73 ke resistance ko test kar rahi hai taake ooper ki rally jaari rahe. Keemat bar bar zyada low pattern mein durust ki jati hai lekin ab tak koi durust zyada ucha nahi bana. Agar rozana ki mombati ka band rehne wala hisaab 98.73 ke resistance ke ooper hai toh yaqeeni hai ke keemat mein izafa hota rahega. Agar band keemat resistance ke neeche ho, toh iska matlab hai ke keemat ko zyada se kam kar diya gaya hai.
96.84 ke neeche keemat yeh wahi manzil ka band saabit hoti hai jo ab tak mojood hai. Misal ke taur par, agar keemat 98.73 ke resistance par inkaar ka samna kare, toh kam keemat ka imtehan liya jayega taa ke yeh structure ko neeche wale low mein tabdeel karen. Iske ilawa, keemat ke harkaat resistance ke aas paas Stochastic indicator ke parameters ke sath milta hai jo overbought zone mein hain. Yeh darust karta hai ke upar ki keemat ke ralli jald hi apne had tak pohanchegi aur yeh ek neeche ki correction phase hai jo parameters ke cross hone ke baad run kar rahi hai.






Daily time frame par mabni trading tajwezat kal ke keemat ke taraqqi ke mohtawafron ka ontezaar karna behtar hai. BUY positions lagai ja sakti hain jab keemat ke qareeb 98.73 ke resistance ke ooper ho aur SELL positions bhi lagai ja sakti hain jab keemat ke qareeb resistance ke neeche ho. Maqasid ke lehaz se Risk: Reward ratio 1:1 ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai kyunke keemat ke harkaatan resistance ke aas paas darust tasdeeq nahi dikha rahi.

Kal ke trading mein AUDJPY market ki halat phir se kharidaron ke control mein aayi hai, kharidaron mein zyada taqat nazar aati hai AUDJPY ke keemat ko ooper uthane mein, isse saabit hota hai ke AUDJPY market mein trend phir se bullish trend mein chal raha hai, jo mein samajhta hoon ke AUDJPY market ki halat jab kharidaron ke pressure hota hai toh wo qareebi resistance area par pohanch kar aamad karta hai, yeh ek mauqa hai ke zyada aur mustaqil kharidari taqat ko le kar aage chal karne ke liye AUDJPY ke keemat ko ooper uthane mein madadgar banaye.

AUDJPY Chart Analysis Review:

Australian Dollar (AUD) aur Japanese Yen (JPY) ke darmiyan taaluq ke liye yeh jodi aik dilchasp jodi hai. Yeh jodi aam tor par amreeki share market ke qemat aik chotay se lekar darmiyan muddat ke liye tezi se munsalik hoti hai. Yeh jodi aam tor par aise maamlaat mein barhti hai jab leharana flows par kam khatra hota hai jabke opposite hota hai jab humein market mein 'risk-off' approach nazar aata hai. Australian dollar ko aam taur par ek commodity currency kaha jata hai Australia ke global sonay ki production aur export ke kirdar ki wajah se. Aussie gold ke qeemat ke sath lambay arsay tak musbat rabt dikhaata hai. Jabke, Canadian dollar bhi ek commodity currency ke tor par darj kiya jata hai, aur yeh ussime taaluq petrolium products crude oil aur natural gas ke sath dikhata hai. Australian dollar pehli currency (base currency) hai aur Canadian dollar doosri currency (quote currency) hai isliye yeh pair ek cross currency pair kehlaya jata hai.

AUD/JPY pair Australian dollar aur Japanese Yen ke liye istemal hone wala abbreviated term hai, jo "Aussie Yen" ke naam se mashhoor hai. Mauqif mein ghusne se pehle, AUD/JPY rate ka matlab kiya hota hai? Exchange rate aapko bataata hai ke kitne Canadian dollars (quote currency) chahiye hotay hain ek Australian dollar (base currency) kharidne ke liye. Misal ke taur par, agar pair 0.95 par trade ho raha hai, to yeh yeh kehta hai ke 1 Australian dollar kharidne ke liye 0.95 Canadian Dollars chahiye. Mutasire talukat us waqt hotay hain jab forex pairs opposite directions mein move karte hain. Misal ke taur par, CAD/CHF aur CAD/JPY ke pairs aik negative correlation share karte hain. Yeh isliye kyunki Canadian dollar base currency hai aur ismei shumar kia gaya hai.






AUD/JPY ek bht mazboot bullish trend ka hissa hai. Traders ko keemat 98.03 JPY ke kafi ooper rehne ke dauraan sirf long positions (khareedne ke waqt) ki trade ko ghor se shaklen. Agla resistance jo ke 98.45 JPY par hai, uska agla bullish maqsad barhna hai. Agar yeh resistance ko tod diya jaye to bullish momentum mein izafa hoga. Phir yeh bullish movement agle resistance ko poochnay ja sakti hai jo ke 99.23 JPY par mojood hai. Is resistance ke baad, buyers phir 105.04 JPY ko maqsad banasakte hain. Mojudah pattern ke sath, aapko intehai short term mein hosakne wali bullish ziadaeyan ka nigrani karna hoga jo traders ko bullish trend ke rukh mein daakhail hone ke mauqe faraham karte hain. In mumkin ziadaeyan ko istemal karne ki koshish karna behtareen maloom hota hai.

AUDJPY cross pair aksar "risk-on/risk-off" behavior ke lafzon mein istemal hota hai jahan wazi uptrend movement ko ek mustqil "risk-on-herding" behavior ke tor par shumar kiya ja sakta hai aur ulta bhi. Pichle chaar hafte mein, AUD/JPY ne apni 16 October 2023 ki kam se kam qeemat 94.14 se lekar 16 November 2023 ki 98.58 tak +445 pips ki tezi se chalang li, jo ke barra benchmark share market indices mein dekhi gayi teziyo ke mutabiq thi. Yeh risk-on behavior Ameriki Fed ki 5.25%-5.50% per terminal rate ke saath aurat Federal Reserve ke makaami interest rate hike cycle ka peak tak pohanchne ka tasawar ki bunyad par chal raha hai. Japan ki afifcial central bank jo ke financial statements jaari karnay aur interest rates mukarar karnay ka kardaar hai. Bank ne interest rates ke liye poori duniya mein tawaju hasil ki hai. Foran 2016 mein, BOJ ne mehngai ke barhne ko halka karne ke liye ek manfi interest rate introduce kia. Interest rates ki tabdeelian ki ahem ilanat aur Bank ka bond market ke sath muzammat ka tanaza dekhiye.

Wednesday ko kuch macroeconomic waaqiyat hain. Sirf UK inflation report ka zikr karenge. Yeh report British currency ke liye kaafi ahem hai. Pichle chhe mahino mein, pound ya to barh raha hai ya phir woh static hai. British currency ki demand barqi tor par buland rehti hai. Is liye, agar inflation kam hojaye, to yeh khareedne wale ke josh ko rok sakta hai, kyunki yeh Bank of England ko monetary policy par apni tabdili ke leye bunyadi wajah faraham karega. BoE ki meeting kal munaqid hai. Is liye, agar inflation 3.5% ya us se kam hojaye, to yeh pound par bohot zyada dabao dal sakta hai. Ulti taraf, thori si inflation ka girao British currency ko boost kar sakta hai.

Aaj, hum umeed karte hain ke dono instruments apni mutasirni ghirti hui movement jari rakhega, lekin sab kuch FOMC meeting ke natayej aur UK inflation report ke natayej par hoga. Hum yeh samajhte hain ke dollar darmiyani muddat mein qeemat barhni chahiye, lekin aaj, dono currency pairs bhi barh sakti hain.

Bunyadi waaqiyat ki tashkeel:
Wednesday ke liye sirf aik bunyadi waaqiyat munaqid hai. Lekin yeh kya waaqiyat hai! Sham mein, FOMC meeting ke natayej aur US central bank ke faislay ke natayej announce kiye jayenge. Magar yahan koi suspence nahi hai. Umeed hai ke rates wahi rehjayenge. Magar iske baad, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ek press conference karayenge, aur aakhir mein monetary committee ke afraad apni prediction present karenge. Agar woh zyada hawkish turn hote hain (2024 mein kam rate cuts ki alaamat dete hain), to yeh US dollar ko support karega.

AUD/JPY cross currency pair ke 4 ghantay ke chart ki analysis mein dekha jata hai ke mojooda bias ab bhi Buyers ki taqat se mukammal hai, jise yeh MA 20, 50, aur 200 se Golden Cross se dekha ja sakta hai aur Bullish 123 pattern ke inkebaad kai Bullish Ross Hooks (RH) ke formation tak pohuncha hai lekin Stochastic Oscillator indicator ki shirayat shamil hai jo Overbought level par hai aur teyar hai ke level 80 ke neeche watni hai, is se AUD/JPY ko weak hote level 98.26 tak correct hone ka potential hai, lekin correction ke doran kamzor hona level 97.66 se neeche se bahar nahi jaega AUD/JPY mein ab bhi level 99.00 tak mazeed taqwiyat ka imkaan hai.

Currency pair AUDJPY. Aaj, yeh pair long trading ke liye moqa dikhata hai. Do options hain jahan main zyada munafa kamana chahta hoon. Pehla option hai dakhil hojana 98.196 ya 10-15 points kam. Lekin yeh behtareen option nahi hai. Dusra option behtareen hai aur 97.998 par sab se kam support level par mabni hai. Jab faida 98.784 par set kiya jata hai, to faida numaya hona chahiye. Beshak, maine 97.968 par ruk level bhi diya hai. Yeh ruk level do options ke liye munasib hai. naturally, dakhil hone ka point jitna zyada hoga, lot size utni kam hogi. Yahan pe paisay ka nizaam lagana bohot ahem hai. Ruk loss level ka tajzia aaj ke liye is currency pair par trading ka khatma dalta hai aur agle trading din tak araam karna chahiye.




H-1 CHART.
Aaj naya din, naye mawaid aur mauqe. Umeed hai ke aap ke paas ek minute ho AUDJPY currency pair ka M5 timeframe par tajzia karnay ke liye. Main ek strategy istemal karta hoon jo maine khud parakhwaya hai (aur sirf maine nahi), jo mashhoor Relative Strange Index indicator par mabni hai default value ke sath. Jaise ke dekh sakte hain, sab kuch bohot simple hai, lekin meri experience aur istemal ke mutabiq, yeh qaabil-e-aitmaad hai. Hamare signals ke bunyad kya hai? Jab indicator zone 30 mein dakhil hota hai, yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers thak chuke hain, jo mazeed izafay ki buland imkan hai; hum daakhil ho sakte hain keemat: 98.404 Main muamla do orders ke sath karta hoon. Pehla order mumkin hai current prices se door ho, aur ek halka sarak main doosra M1 par dalta hoon, jahan hum market ke mutabiq khareedte hain. Is ke ilawa, main hamesha standard risk aur reward ko apnata hoon, jo kam az kam 1 se 2 hota hai. Jab keemat targheebati zones ke qareeb aati hai, to main koshish karta hoon ke dakhil hone ke point par rehta hoon, aur agar trade ek se zyada munafa deti hai, to main trailing stop lagata hoon. Main aakhri extreme se kam az kam pandrah points door ek ruk order lagata hoon. Ruk kaafi bada hai, jisay hamari intarday analysis ke liye hum paanch minute ki dair mein istemal karte hain. Aap sab ka bohot shukriya tawajjo ke liye. Munafa! M-5 CHART.

KBW Regional Banks Index (.KRX) din ko 1.4% kam hokar mukammal hua, jo chhe mahine ki aakhri che trading session mein 12.6% girawat ko darust kar raha hai. New York Community Bancorp (NYCB.N) ke shares 22.2% gir gaye jab bank ne aik ghair mutawaqa salana nuqsan ka izhar kiya real estate debt maaf karne ki wajah se kuch giroh ke liye, jis se uska qeemat haftay mein lagbagh 60% kam ho gaya.

Is doraan, hawaiyaat ki asami ne Dow Jones Transportation Average (.DJT) index ko 2.1% oopar le gaya, hawai safar ki talab ko numaya kartay huay. Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC.O) bazar ko khush kiya jab ke breakeven tak pohnchne ka izhar kiya.

LSEG ke mutabiq, S&P 500 mein se zyada se zyada companies ne muntazimi 81.2% dafa mehsoolat report ki hain jo tawaqo ki aksar ho. S&P 500 ke char sau sawalees mein quarter ke earnings ko mural kiya gaya hai ke wo pichle saal se 8.1% barhain.

GE HealthCare Technologies (GEHC.O) ne muntazimi tajurbaat se behtar quarterly earnings post karne ke baad 11.6% izafa kiya, jo S&P 500 Index (.SPXHC) ke healthcare sector mein record izafiyon ko taqwiyat di.

Materials sector (.SPLRCM) ne S&P 500 ke sector ke darmiyan sab se behtar performance di.

MSCI Global Index (.MIWD00000PUS), jo 49 countries ke stock ko reflec karta hai, 0.51% barha.

Chemical giant DuPont de Nemours (DD.N) ke shares 1.7% izafe se chale gaye, jab company ne quarterly munafa ke tajwezat ko shikar kiya aur ek $1 billion ke shares repurchase program aur ek dividend hike ka elaan kiya.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR.N) ne 30.8% izafa kiya ek upbeat full-year earnings forecast ki tawaqo mein.

Is dauraan, Eli Lilly (LLY.N) ke shares 0.2% gir gaye hote hain bawajood 2024 ke earnings forecast ke liye jo tawaqo se ooper hai.
Agar hum AUD/JPY cross currency pair ka daily chart dekhen, to hum ek Bullish 123 pattern dekhen ge jo aik Ross Hook (RH) ke baad aata hai jise ek hidden deviations ke safar ke baad kamzor hone ki wajah se chhupa dekha gaya, jo ke daily chart par Gold price movement aur Stochastic Oscillator indicator ke darmian hua hai jo ke waqtan hal Gold se phansa hua hai. Support Area level ke paas bandh hai jo bullish fair value gap se bana hai, to in haqaiq ke mutabiq AUD/JPY ko izafa ka potential hai upar 97.40 ke level tak jo ke asli target hai, aur agar momentum aur shiddat kafi hai isko barqarar rakhne ke liye to yeh na-insafi nahi ke 98.49 level agla target ho, lekin agar AUD/JPY, apne izafa ke raste mein taqat hasil karne ke doraan, achanak ek neeche aane wali sudhar aur kamzori ka samna karta hai aur 94.54 level se neeche penetrate ho jata hai.

AUD/JPY 1-Ghanta Forex Swing Trading Strategy

AUD/JPY jaise currency pair ka tajziya karna tawana aur takneeki tajziya dono ko shamil karta hai. Yahan har ek ka mukhtasir jayeza hai:

Buniyadi Tajziya:
Maiyari Indicators: Australia aur Japan ke liye aham iqtisadi indicators par nazar dalen, jese ke GDP ka barhna, mahangai ke dar, rozgar ke figures, aur trade balances. Ye indicators mukhtasir iqtisadiyon ke overall sehat ke baray mein insights faraham karte hain.
Mali Siasat: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke mali policies ko samjhen. Central banks ke interest rate decisions, quantitative easing measures, aur kisi bhi aagahi ke baray mein tawajjo dein jo central banks faraham karte hain.
Siassati Mustability: Dono mulkon mein siyasi fawaid ka tawana dein, kyunke siyasi mustability currency values par asar dal sakti hai. Sath hi, market sentiment ko mutasir karne wale kisi bhi serhadat fiqa tension par nazar rakhen.
Commodity Prices: Australia aham commodities, khas tor par dhaat aur khanijon ka baraar, ka aham exporter hai, is liye commodity prices mein tabdeeliyan Australian dollar (AUD) ko mutasir kar sakti hain.
Risk Sentiment: AUD aksar ek risk-on currency ke tor par samjha jata hai, jiska matlab hota hai ke ye aksar maqami market sentiment ke dauran strong hota hai aur risk-off dauran kamzor hota hai. Is liye, global risk appetite ko mutasir karne wale factors, jese ke geopolitical events ya iqtisadi ghair yakeeni, AUD/JPY ko mutasir kar sakte hain.

Takneeki Tajziya:
Trend Analysis: AUD/JPY pair mein mojooda trend ko pehchanne ke liye tools jese moving averages, trendlines, aur chart patterns ka istemal karen. Tay karen ke pair ek uptrend mein hai, downtrend mein hai, ya consolidation phase mein hai.
Support aur Resistance Levels: Taqseem hui qeemat data ke basis par aham support aur resistance levels ko pehchanen. Ye levels trades ke liye potential entry aur exit points ke baray mein insights faraham kar sakte hain.
Indicators: Momentum, overbought/oversold conditions, aur potential trend reversals ka aml karne ke liye technical indicators jese Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), aur Stochastic Oscillator ka istemal karen.






Chart Patterns: Chart patterns jese ke head and shoulders, triangles, aur flags ko dhoondein, jo mazeed qeemat ke harkaton ke baray mein clues faraham kar sakte hain.
Volume Analysis: Trading volume ko tajziya karke trend ki taqat ko tasdeeq den ya aik uleed ke ihtemal ko jan'ne ke liye analysis karen.

Buniyadi aur takneeki tajziya ko mila kar, traders AUD/JPY par asar dalne wale factors ke comprehensive understanding mein izafa kar sakte hain aur maqool trading decisions le sakte hain. Aham hai ke aap iqtisadi releases, central bank announcements, aur market developments ka baar baar nigrani karte rahen tak ke aap apni tajziya ko mutabiq kar sakein.

AUDJPY

Sab ko acha mood ho! M15 chart par, buyers zyada active nazar aate hain jab linear regression channel upar ki taraf move karta hai. Usi waqt, bears har nahi maante aur market ko niche kheenchne mein jari rakhte hain, jo ke unke interest ko prices kam karne mein darust karta hai. Jab market lower channel ka hissa 98.239 ke neeche consolidate hota hai, to main bearish trend par tawajjo dete hue selling ka intezar karta hoon. Magar, saavdhaan rehna zaroori hai kyunke jab level 98.135 tak pohnch jata hai, to buyers active buying shuru kar sakte hain, jo ke ulta price movement ka rukh bana sakta hai. Main nishana level par munafa fix karne ki sifarish karta hoon, lekin aap H4 chart par medium-term movement mein shamil honay ke liye position bhi rakh sakte hain. Level 98.679 ka tod, jahan seller ke strong positions muntakil hain, girey hue movement par shak uthta hai nishana level 98.135 ki taraf.






Ghanton ki chart dikhata hai ke linear regression channel ek neeche ki taraf trend mein hai, jo ke sellers ka dabao zahir karta hai.
Sales volumes channel ke upper border ke paas 98.679 level par muntakil hain.
Ye prices mein aur tafreeq la sakti hai 98.135 level tak ke level par.
Bearish market ka tasdeeqi saboot M15 chart par dekha ja sakta hai, jahan lower boundary of the channel 98.239 cross kiya gaya hai.
Ye sales mein izafa ka ishara hai.
Magar, aapko saavdhaan rehna chahiye, kyunke 98.679 level ka tod sales ko radd kar sakta hai aur market ka rukh taqatwar ho sakta hai ghanton ke channel ke rukh mein tabdiliyon ke sath.
Kisi bhi waqt trend ki tabdili ke imkan ko mad e nazar rakhte huye zaroori hai; is mein news background madadgar sabit ho sakti hai, isliye trading karte waqt hamesha news ka khayal rakha jana chahiye.

AUD/JPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

Aaj ka din acha guzre. Hamara maqsad aaj future AUD/JPY cost ka tajziya karna hai. Agar ham is muddat ko dekhte hain, to khareedne wale ne keemat ko 97.53 ke darje tak pahunchaya, uske baad bechne wale ne kaam liya. Pichle kuch hafton se, AUD/JPY Australian dollar ke khilaf quwwat aur kamzori dikhane ke liye ek jagah rahi hai, jo ke darshata hai ke AUD/JPY Australian dollar ke khilaf larai kar rahi hai. Overall Strength Indicator (RSI) pointer mein ek downtrend dikhya jata hai; isliye ane wale hafton mein hamare jori ke bayan aage badhte rahenge. Mean Combination Divergence (MACD) indicator ek madad ki taraf taur dikhata hai; ye Australian currency ki kamzori ko darshata hai. Moving averages nakaratmak nazar aate hain, traders ke liye ek nakaratmak ishara. Ye darshata hai ke traders, ek bar phir, ek ahem faida utha rahe hain aur keemat ko mazeed nicha girane ka imkan hai. AUD/JPY ka minor rukawat darja 98.78 hai. Agar market keemat 98.78 rukawaton par se guzarti hai trend line par, to market keemat agle rukawat darjee ke taraf buland ho sakti hai. Rukawat ko torne ke baad keemat badi rukawat darja ki taraf badh jayegi. Is tarah, main is rukawat darjee par tawajjo dete hain, umeed hai ke market keemat chand dinon mein pehle rukawat darja ke taraf buland hogi.
Dusri taraf, nakaratmak matale ek dobara madad darja 96.27 par hai. Agla support darja 95.85 par hai, doosra support darja. Agar market is support darja ko tod deta hai, to market uske baad se hamesha ke liye neeche girne wala hai. Ab, AUD/JPY keemat 97.53 par band hai, isliye AUD/JPY bechna acha mauka ho sakta hai.

AUD/JPY

Kal kuch dino se, AUDJPY zigzag tareeqe se chal raha hai, jab ke 98,165 se 97,296 ke prices ke SBR aur RBS areas se limited bearish aur bullish candles ban rahe hain. Pichle ne RBS area ke ird gird mazboot pressure bana diya hai. Magar phir bhi yeh ek dafa phir is support ke oopar bounce hua hai SMA50 dynamic support tak.

Is liye, agar yeh do supports ko phir bhi paar nahi kar pata, to yeh mohtaji ke SMA5 dynamic resistance tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar yeh phir se is resistance ke oopar break karta hai, to yeh upar diye gaye SBR area tak jaari reh sakta hai. Jabke agar yeh dynamic resistance reject ho jata hai, to dono supports ko paar karne ka mauka hai SMA100 dynamic support tak price range mein 96,930 ke.

Is ke potential ko tasdeeq karne ke liye, agar hum ise intraday H4 time frame ke zariye se dekhte hain, to yeh dikhata hai ke price pressure abhi bhi 97,286 ke qareeb demand area ke oopar halka bounce kar raha hai. Isliye yeh keh sakta hai ke yeh apni barhawat jari rakh sakta hai price ke 98,172 tak ke qareeb supply area tak. Khaaskar agar yeh 97,609 ke price par SBR area ko paar karta hai. Magar agar reject ho jata hai, to yeh dabav jari rakh sakta hai. Isliye demand area ko paar karne ka mauka hai.





Trading options.

Sell options tayyar kiye gaye hain agar increase H4 time frame mein SMA200 dynamic resistance ko reject karta hai SBR area par 97,609 ke price par. TP RBS area ke price 96,694 ke aas paas rakha jayega. SL supply area ke 98,172 ke oopar kuch pips rakha jayega.

A buy option tayyar kiya jayega agar increase H4 time frame mein SMA5 dynamic resistance ke oopar bounce karne mein kamyab hota hai SBR area par 97,609 ke price par. TP supply area ke 98,172 ke price par rakha jayega. SL RBS area ke 97,286 ke neeche kuch pips rakha jayega.