Aud/jpy

AUD/JPY Ka Tajaaza Tajziya

AUD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein kafi zyada volatility ka samna kiya hai, jo ke Australia aur Japan dono mein mukhtalif economic developments ke wajah se hui hai. Yeh pair 91.255 ke level tak gir gaya, jo ek ahm point tha jahan se yeh stable ho gaya aur phir upward trend mein chala gaya. Abhi ke trajectory yeh batati hai ke AUD/JPY ek rising channel mein hai, aur iska agla possible target 99.47 ka level hai, jahan 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) positioned hai. Yeh movement bullish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, jahan traders 100 SMA ko ek ahm resistance level ke tor par dekh rahe hain. Agar yeh pair is level ko break kar leta hai, to yeh Australian Dollar ke Japanese Yen ke muqable mein mazeed strength ko signal karega. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke Australia aur Japan dono se anay wala economic data closely monitor kiya jaye, kyun ke yeh pair ke future direction ka taayun karega.

Australia Ka Tanazur:
Australia se anay wala recent data ek mixed economic outlook ko zahir karta hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne interest rates ko steady rakha hai, jab ke inflation thodi si ease hui hai lekin ab bhi target se upar hai. Is wajah se, RBA ne eik ehtiyaat bharay approach ko apnaya hai taake economic stability ko barqarar rakha ja sake. Lekin, Australian economy China se kamzor demand ke wajah se pressure mein hai, jo ke iska sab se bara trading partner hai. China ke recent economic slowdown, jo ke weaker-than-expected trade data aur credit growth mein zahir hua hai, ne Australian exports ke liye demand ko dampen kar diya hai, khaaskar commodities sector mein, jo ke AUD ke liye crucial hai.






Japan Ka Tanazur:
Doosri taraf, Japan apni alag challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakha hai bawajood ke inflation barh rahi hai, jis ke natayaj mein yen weak ho gaya hai. Lekin, recent dinon mein yen ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, jo ke market expectations mein ek possible shift ke wajah se hai ke BoJ apni monetary policy ko tighten kar sakta hai. BoJ ke policy stance mein ye shanakht ke bawajood, yeh uncertainty ab bhi barqarar hai.

Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment AUD/JPY pair ke hawalay se in mixed economic signals ko reflect karta hai. Traders ka bearish outlook hai pair ke liye, jo ke RBA aur BoJ ki diverging monetary policies ke asar se hai. Australian dollar domestic economic concerns aur external factors, jaise ke China ka slowdown, ke wajah se pressure mein hai, jab ke yen ke movements closely BoJ ki policy stance se juri hui hain.

Short Term Mein Volatility:
AUD/JPY pair short term mein volatile rehne ka imkaan hai. Australian dollar ko domestic aur international factors se headwinds ka samna hai, jab ke yen ki strength ka taayun zyada BoJ ke future actions par hai. Traders ko yeh developments closely monitor karni chahiye kyun ke yeh AUD/JPY pair ke direction par significant asar daal sakti hain.

AUD/JPY Karansi Pair Ka Tajziya

AUD/JPY karansi pair iss waqt 96.94 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko reflect karta hai. Market dheere dheere chal rahi hai, jo is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke yeh consolidation period ya kam volatility ka asar hai. Is gradual movement ke bawajood, kuch factors aise hain jo yeh suggest karte hain ke AUD/JPY pair aane walay dinon mein significant movement dekh sakta hai.

Economic Indicators

Economic indicators currency pairs ke direction ka taayun karne mein crucial hote hain, jaise AUD/JPY ke liye hai. Australian dollar (AUD) ke liye key indicators jaise inflation, GDP growth, aur employment figures bohot ahm hain. Agar Australia ka economic data expected se zyada strong nikalta hai, khaaskar inflation ya job growth ke hawalay se, to yeh speculation ho sakti hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rates mein izafa karegi. Yeh AUD ko mazid strong kar sakta hai, jo ke Japanese yen ke muqable mein bearish trend ko reverse kar sakta hai.

Agar doosri taraf Australian economic data disappointing nikalta hai, to yeh reinforce kar sakta hai ke RBA apni current monetary policy ko maintain ya loosen karegi, jo ke AUD ko mazid kamzor kar dega. Japanese yen (JPY) aksar external factors se mutasir hota hai kyun ke Japan ke interest rates bohot kam hain aur exports par zyada reliance hai. Japan ke liye inflation, industrial production, aur trade balance jaise indicators important hain, lekin yen zyada global risk sentiment aur external economic conditions par sensitive hota hai.

Central Bank Policies

Central bank policies AUD/JPY exchange rate ko mutasir karne wale sab se significant factors mein se hain. RBA ka stance on interest rates isme bohot ahm hai. Iss waqt markets closely watch kar rahi hain ke RBA se aane wale signals kis taraf hain, chahe woh future rate hikes ho ya cuts. Agar RBA zyada hawkish stance leti hai, shayad strong economic data ki wajah se, to AUD ko mazid strength mil sakti hai, jo ke yen ke muqable mein bearish trend ko reverse kar sakti hai.

Dusri taraf, agar RBA dovish stance apnata hai, shayad economic slowdown ke concerns ki wajah se, to AUD mazid kamzor ho sakta hai, jo AUD/JPY pair ko niche le ja sakta hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) bhi crucial role ada karta hai. BoJ ne historically ultra-loose monetary policy rakhi hui hai, jisme negative interest rates bhi shamil hain, taake deflation se lara ja sake aur economy ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Agar BoJ apni policy mein shift karta hai, jaise tightening ki taraf, to yeh yen ko strong kar sakta hai, jo AUD/JPY pair ko niche le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar BoJ apni accommodative stance ko barqarar rakhta hai, to yen kamzor reh sakta hai, jo AUD/JPY pair ke downside ko limit kar sakta hai.

Global Economic Conditions

Global economic conditions ka AUD/JPY pair par bohot asar hota hai. Australian dollar aksar ek commodity currency ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo global demand par zyada mutasir hota hai, khaaskar iron ore aur coal jaise Australian exports ke liye. Agar global commodity prices ya demand mein koi badlav aata hai, khaaskar key markets jaise China se, to is ka direct asar AUD par ho sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, Japanese yen ek safe-haven currency samjhi jati hai, jo global economic uncertainty ke waqt appreciate karti hai. Maujooda global economic concerns, jaise ke potential global recession, geopolitical tensions, aur trade disruptions, dono AUD aur JPY ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Agar global economic conditions deteriorate hoti hain, to investors yen ki taraf bhaagenge safety ke liye, jo AUD/JPY pair ko niche le jaye ga. Lekin agar global economic conditions improve hoti hain, khaaskar commodity markets mein, to AUD apni position ko hold ya strengthen kar sakta hai, jo AUD/JPY pair mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Geopolitical Events

Geopolitical events bhi AUD/JPY pair mein significant movements ko trigger kar sakte hain. Trade policies mein tabdeeliyan, major economies mein political instability, ya unexpected global events forex markets mein volatility barha sakti hain. Misal ke tor par, agar geopolitical tensions escalate hoti hain, khaaskar woh jo global trade ya key Australian export markets ko affect karti hain, to yeh investors ko safe-haven currencies jaise Japanese yen ki taraf le ja sakti hain, jo AUD/JPY pair ko niche le jaye ga.

Dusri taraf, agar geopolitical tensions ease hoti hain ya koi significant global issue resolve hota hai, to Australian dollar ko faida ho sakta hai jab risk appetite wapis aayegi, jo ke AUD/JPY pair ke bearish trend ko reverse kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis

Agar technical analysis ke perspective se dekha jaye, to AUD/JPY pair iss waqt ek bearish trend mein hai, lekin kuch indications hain ke significant movement jaldi ho sakti hai. Traders aksar key support aur resistance levels dekhte hain taake potential entry aur exit points ka taayun kar sakein. 96.94 ka current level important support zones ke qareeb hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai to yeh further bearish momentum ko signal kar sakta hai.

Technical indicators jaise moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) traders ke liye essential tools hote hain. Agar RSI yeh indicate karta hai ke pair oversold hai, to yeh ek potential buying opportunity ko suggest kar sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar MACD mein bullish crossover ke signs hotay hain, to yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke bearish trend apni momentum lose kar raha hai aur reversal qareeb hai.






Market Sentiment

Market sentiment bhi ek aur critical factor hai jo AUD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Traders aur investors ke darmiyan overall sentiment pair ke direction ko heavily influence kar sakta hai. Agar sentiment Australian dollar ke liye bearish rehta hai economic data ya RBA policy concerns ki wajah se, to pair apni downward trajectory continue kar sakta hai. Lekin agar sentiment AUD ke favor mein shift hota hai, shayad stronger-than-expected economic data ya ek hawkish RBA ki wajah se, to pair bullish reversal dekh sakta hai.

Maujooda waqt mein, market sentiment cautious lagta hai, aur traders clarity ka intezar kar rahe hain economic data aur central bank policies ke hawalay se. Koi unexpected news ya data jaldi se sentiment ko shift kar sakta hai aur AUD/JPY pair mein significant movements le a sakta hai.

Conclusion

Nateejatan, jab ke AUD/JPY currency pair iss waqt ek bearish trend mein hai aur dheere se move kar raha hai, kayi factors hain jo yeh suggest karte hain ke significant movement qareeb hai. Economic indicators, central bank policies, global economic conditions, geopolitical events, technical analysis, aur market sentiment sab mil kar is pair ke future direction ka taayun karenge. Traders aur investors ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake forex market mein potential opportunities aur risks ka bar waqt jawab diya ja sake.

AUD/JPY H_1

AUD/JPY ki movement ko Fibonacci magic numbers ke zariye dekha gaya hai. Market price jo ke iss waqt 98.203 hai, yeh Fibonacci grid ke 0% (97.835) aur 50% (98.414) ke darmiyan hai. 100% level ka upper point kal ke Daily HIGH par set hua tha jo ke 98.993 ke price ke mutabiq hai. Aur lower point 0% ka Daily LOW 97.835 par set hua hai. Jab daily candle ka bottom banta hai to yeh ek bearish pattern form karta hai, jo ke 23.6% (98.108), 38.2% (98.277) aur 50% (98.414) ke levels par mazid bearish resistance ko show karta hai. In levels ko control karna zaroori hai taake market is se upar na chale jaye.

Agar market 50% level (98.414) se upar chala jata hai, to yeh market consolidation ko northern direction mein 100% level (98.993) ki taraf develop karta hai. Yeh scenario humay yeh allow karta hai ke jab market 50% Fibonacci level (98.414) par wapas aaye to hum purchase ke liye entry point dhoond sakte hain. Sales se profits lena -23.6% (97.562) aur -38.2% (97.393) ke levels par set kiya jata hai, jahan price rukta hai, market opposite direction mein jata hai, jo ke desired profit ka loss kar sakta hai. Agar hamara order is price par liya jata hai, to hum profit expect karenge. Hum apni transaction par losses ko bhi limit karte hain stop loss level par. Stop loss ko 97.49 par set karta hoon, jo order ko close karega aur hamey agay trading ka moqa dega agar yeh trigger ho jata hai. Positive result ko fix karne ke liye hum TP ko 98.29 par set karte hain. Ab hum market ko dekhte hain jab tak price stop ya profit tak nahi pohnch jata.






AUD/JPY Daily Chart

Daily chart par situation zyada clear hai aur is par zyada signals hain, lekin stops bare hain. Daily timeframe par analyzed prices: candle closing 97.94, Parabolic indicator 96.79, MA indicator 98.02. Daily scale humay ek clear trading direction nahi de raha. Isliye ya to hum agle din ka intezar karte hain ya phir trading ko yehi par chor dete hain.

Tajzia JPY M_30

Agar hum AUD/JPY chart ki current situation ka tajziya karein, to yeh currency pair mazeed barhne ki potential rakhta hai. Iss waqt price 97.700 par hai aur moving average se upar hai jo ke 97.665 par hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke iss waqt assets kharidna, bechne ke muqable mein zyada promising hai. Profit lene ke liye, aap LRMA BB indicator ke upper mark ko target bana sakte hain jo ke 98.397 ke barabar hai. Lekin, buying iss level ke upar bhi jaari reh sakti hai, depending on market ki current volatility par. Selling ke opportunities tab mil sakti hain jab price 98.397 ke upper limit ko cross kare. Sellers ke nazriye se, LRMA BB indicator ka lower level, jo ke 96.932 par hai, aik possibility ho sakti hai. Moving average ka average value 97.665 par control karna bhi iss waqt important hai, kyun ke agar yeh neeche ki taraf brake kare to yeh sales ke liye aik signal ho sakta hai. In factors ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, hum yeh nateeja nikaal sakte hain ke AUD/JPY currency pair ke barhne ke chances hain, aur iss waqt assets kharidna sabse zyada promising strategy ho sakti hai.




AUD/JPY H_1 Tajziya

AUD/JPY ki movement ko Fibonacci magic numbers ke zariye dekha gaya hai. Fibonacci grid ne market ki movements ko aik din ke andar ache tareeke se represent kiya. Fibonacci grid ko set up karne ka tareeqa simple hai. Iske liye peechlay din ke HIGH-98.868 aur LOW-97.773 ko liya jata hai. Fibonacci levels 100 aur 0 ko price extremes ke saath tie kiya jata hai. Ab market analysis ke liye sab kuch tayar hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke current price 97.460 ke darmiyan hai 0-97.773 aur -50-97.225. Agar Daily LOW ya Fibonacci level 0-97.773 ka breakthrough hota hai to mera focus selling par hoga. Main iss asset ko -76.4-96.936 ke level par sell karunga. Main apne order ka aik hissa close karunga, aur baqi ko break-even position par le jaunga. Main downward movement ko -150-96.130 ke level par rokne ki koshish karunga. Agar main iss mein kamiyab ho gaya to yeh bohat acha hoga. Agar mumkin ho, to main levels -23.6-97.515, -38.2-97.355 ko use karunga, kyun ke yeh apni accuracy mein bemisal hain. Yeh resistance ke tor par act karte hain, aur market unko bounce kar ke mujhe planned profit ki taraf le aayega.

AUD/JPY Tajziya

Good morning Investsocial ke doston, aur umeed hai ke aapka hafte ka aaghaz accha ho. Aaj ke market ki liquidity ka samna karne ke liye trading plan kaise tayar kiya gaya hai? Main dua karta hoon ke sab kuch smooth chale aur aapko mutma'in kun natayej milen. Ab mDJPY pair par apna tajziya share kar raha hoon.







Agar hum AUDJPY pair ko dekhein, to yeh kaafi clear hai ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Price pattern ka structure bhi lower low - lower high hi hai kyunki koi bhi increase ab tak higher high pattern nahi bana saka. Filhal, price movements EMA 50 ya 96.49 ke aas paas hi consolidate kar rahi hain. Agar price EMA 50 ke neeche consistently rehti hai aur apni decline continue karti hai, to price kareeb ke demand area 96.13 - 96.04 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke pehle rally base rally thi. Doosri taraf, agar price EMA 50 ke upar rehti hai, to yeh SBR 96.79 area ko retest kar sakti hai taake SMA 200 tak pohoch sake. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka momentum abhi bhi uptrend condition dikhata hai lekin volume kam ho raha hai aur level 0 ke kareeb aa raha hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameter lagta hai ke level 50 ke aas paas consolidation mein hain, jo ke overbought zone ki taraf cross karne ke chances rakhta hai.

Position Entry Setup:

Bearish trend ke direction ko follow karte hue, trading option ke liye SELL moment ka intezaar hai. Position entry point SBR 96.79 area ke aas paas hoga ya phir jab bearish candlestick EMA 50 ko cross kare. Open position ko confirm karne ke liye, Stochastic indicator ka parameter overbought zone ko cross kare aur AO indicator ka histogram level 0 se neeche ho, jo ke downtrend condition ko indicate kare. Take profit ka target kareeb ke demand area 96.13 - 96.04 tak hoga aur stop loss SMA 200 ke upar rakha jayega.

Aaj raat mein aik currency pair ka tajziya karna chahta hoon jo kafi zyada significant movement dikhata hai, aur wo hai AUDJPY currency pair. Aaj Monday ko, Asian market mein is pair ne 98.494 se lekar 99.559 tak ka izafa dekha, jo ke lagbhag 100 pips ke barabar hai. Yeh izafa Yen ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hua hai, jo ke Japanese capital spending data ke release ke baad dekha gaya. Is data mein 7.4% ka reduction aaya hai aur Japan ki unemployment rate bhi barh kar 2.7% ho gayi hai. Yeh sab wajah se AUDJPY ki value 99.559 tak chali gayi hai. Iske ilawa, Australian Dollar bhi Asian market ke baad majboot hua hai, jo ke Australian Building Permits data ke release ke baad hua, jahan yeh 2.4% se badh kar 10.4% ho gaya. ANZ JOB Advertisement bhi 0.6% se barh gaya, jo ke AUDJPY ke movement ko upar ki taraf le gaya aur Monday ko 100 pips ka izafa hua.

Meri fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, is raat AUDJPY ke movement ke liye, maine decide kiya hai ke main AUDJPY ko 100 par BUY karunga. Lekin technical analysis ke zariye agar dekha jaye, to AUDJPY ab bhi 100 ke qareeb upar jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. H1 time frame par, AUDJPY ne bullish engulfing candle bana li hai, jo ke BUY karne ka ek strong signal hai. Lekin, humein downward correction ke liye bhi tayar rehna chahiye. RSI 14 indicator ke mutabiq, AUDJPY ki price 99.559 par overbought yani ke oversupplied hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke aaj raat AUDJPY me kafi gehra correction dekha jaye aur yeh price 99.30 tak aa jaye.

SELL AUDJPY signal ko SNR (Support and Resistance) aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support milta hai. Jab AUDJPY ki price 99.559 par pohnchi, to yeh pehle se Support Become Resistance (SBR) area mein thi, isliye yeh baaz aane ke liye kaafi mumkin hai ke AUDJPY kafi gehra correction dekhe aur 10-40 pips tak neeche aaye. Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, is raat ke liye maine decide kiya hai ke main AUDJPY ko 99.30 par SELL karunga.

AUDJPY Technical Analysis Roman Urdu Mein
AUDJPY ke D1 time frame par dekha ja sakta hai ke seller ne kamyabi se price ko control kar liya, jo ke price ko Upper area se neeche le aaya. Is waqt bearish candle ka formation hua, jo kaafi strong thi aur us ne seller ki position ko AUDJPY market pair mein dominate karne mein madad di. Aaj bhi bearish pressure hone ka imkaan hai, jahan sellers ka plan yeh hai ke price ko neeche la kar nearest buyer support area 96.90-96.95 par test kiya jaye, taake Middle area tak pohonchnay ke mauqe mil saken. Jumme ke din ke trading ne dikhaya ke sellers ab bhi bearish price movement ko control karne mein kamyab rahe, jahan unhon ne bullish buyers ko rok kar dynamic resistance area 97.35-97.40 par maintain kiya. Price mazeed neeche ja sakti hai agar yeh buyer support area 96.90-97.00 ko penetrate karne mein kamyab ho jaye, jahan iska target support area aur Middle area tak pohonchna hoga.



AUDJPY pair ki price movement lagta hai ke Mid ke upar rehne ki koshish kar rahi hai, halaan ke jab yeh upar bounce karti hai to Top tak nahi pahunchti. Lekin agar aap dhyan dein, to price movements naye high prices bana rahi hain jo pehle se zyada hain. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke price movement ka direction ab bhi bullish condition mein hai, aur shayad yeh resistance 98.48 par test karne ki koshish kare. RSI indicator parameter (14) ki perspective se dekha jaye to abhi price direction ke bare mein koi surety nahi hai. Kyunki parameter sirf level 50 ke aas paas upar neeche ho raha hai, bina oversold ya overbought zone mein jane ke. Iska matlab yeh hai ke aane wale movements zyada tar consolidation mein rehne ka imkaan hai. Yeh dekhne ke liye intezar karna hoga ke price apne nearest lower ya high prices ko cross karti hai ya nahi.

AUD/JPY H1

Price ne daily open pivot 97.663 se positive move kiya, lekin ye upward movement 98.873 ke nearest resistance level par ruk gayi. Market ne is resistance point ke ird gird fluctuations dikhayi, jahan upward aur downward movements ka ek dynamic interplay samne aaya. Shuru mein jo positive momentum tha, wo 98.873 ke resistance ki waja se ek significant barrier ban gaya, jo price action ko nuanced tareeke se influence kar raha tha. Traders aur investors ne in fluctuations ko closely monitor kiya, taake potential future trends aur market dynamics ko samajh sakein. Resistance level ke ird gird price movement ka ye ebb and flow ek element of complexity introduce kar raha tha, jo market participants ke liye strategic considerations ko samne la raha tha. Resistance level par forces ka ye interplay price action ke detailed analysis mein contribute kar raha tha.

Jab market 98.873 ke aas paas navigate kar raha tha, price chart ka behavior financial analysis mein shamil logon ke liye ek focal point ban gaya. Resistance ke qareeb hone se ek aisi scenario bani jahan market participants ne un factors ka jaiza lena shuru kiya jo price trajectory ko influence kar rahe the. Price movement ki dynamic nature ne market participants ko evolving market conditions ke response mein apni strategies adapt karne par majboor kiya. Is phase of price action ne sirf 98.873 resistance ki significance hi nahi, balkay broader market context ko samajhne ki zaroorat bhi highlight ki.





Jab daily open pivot se positive shift hui, to 98.873 resistance ke encounter ne market mein ek series of reactions ko trigger kiya. Traders ne in price dynamics ke response mein apni positions adjust ki aur potential entry ya exit points ko evaluate kiya. Resistance level ke ird gird ye continuous back-and-forth ek microcosm of market sentiment ke tor par samne aya, jo bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan ke tug-of-war ko reflect kar raha tha. Is context mein prices ka intricate dance analysts aur traders ko market dynamics ke bare mein valuable insights faraham kar raha tha, aur short-term price movements par ek nuanced perspective diya.

In conclusion, is period mein noteworthy price movement hui jo ek positive shift se shuru hui, magar momentum ko 98.873 ke closest resistance ne temper kar diya, jo is crucial level ke ird gird ek dynamic interplay of forces ko janam de raha tha. Is phase ki extended analysis ne na sirf short-term price movements ke deeper understanding di, balkay financial markets mein informed decision-making ke liye key resistance levels ko closely monitor karne ki importance ko bhi emphasize kiya.

AUD/JPY Analysis

Daily Timeframe

AUDJPY pair ke price par nazar dalte hue, jo lagataar 4 hafton se gir rahi hai, lagta hai ke Japanese Yen currency ka outlook abhi bhi mazboot hai. Ye trend Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki taraf se ek dasak se zyada arsay mein pehli martaba interest rates mein izafa karne se bhi mazid support hota hai. Halanki trend direction abhi bhi bullish hai kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ne ab tak death cross signal nahi diya, lekin philhal price dono Moving Average lines ke neeche hai. Downward rally ne pivot point (PP) 99.04 aur support (S1) 96.36 ko asani se paar kar liya hai. Ager price ki current situation dekhi jaye, to lagta hai ke price support (S2) 94.67 ki taraf jayegi kyun ke candlestick pattern se ab tak koi confirmed reversal signal nahi mila.

Ager price pattern ke structure se dekha jaye, to ye actually lower low - lower high mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Magar AUDJPY pair ki downward rally ka silsila jari hai, aur lower low pattern ke form hone ki koi surety nahi hai. Saath hi lower high pattern ke liye koi upward correction bhi nahi hui hai. Low prices 102.56 par jo structure break hua tha, usne ye ensure kar diya hai ke price dobara higher high form nahi karegi, jo ke high prices 109.31 ke upar hota. Ager koi upward correction phase hoti hai, to price resistance (R1) 100.73 ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo ke drop base drop (DBD) area aur supply area hai.






Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka volume histogram jo ke continuously width ko cross kar raha hai aur level 0 ya negative area ke neeche hai, ye indicate karta hai ke downtrend momentum kaafi strong hai. Is se ye bhi project hota hai ke AUDJPY pair ke price direction ka movement fall ki taraf zyada hai, halan ke upward correction ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke bar bar oversold zone par level 20 - 10 cross kar rahe hain, selling saturation point ka indication dete hain, lekin aisa lagta hai ke ye upward price correction ko support nahi kar pa rahe. Agar high prices 109.31 se le kar low prices 95.29 tak downward rally ka hisaab lagaya jaye, to ye 1300 pips se zyada ho chuka hai.

Setup Entry Position:

Trading options mein medium term ke liye re-entry SELL position try ki ja sakti hai, lekin pehle price ko upward correction karne ka intezar karein jab tak ke pivot point (PP) 99.04 tak na pohanch jaye, jo ke SMA 200 ke neeche hai. Confirmation tab milegi jab Stochastic indicator parameter lagbhag level 50 ke aas paas cross kare aur AO indicator histogram ye dikhaye ke downtrend momentum kaafi valid hai. Take profit ke liye target placement support (S2) 94.67 pe rakhen aur stop loss (R1) 100.73 par set karein.

AUD/JPY


AUD/JPY Price Prediction: Monthly Top ke Qareeb Consolidate Kar Raha Hai, 100.00 Confluence Bulls Ke Liye Key Hai

AUD/JPY cross Tuesday ko touch kiye gaye fresh monthly top ke neeche aik range mein oscillate kar raha hai. Mixed technical setup ke madan nazar, aagey mazeed gains ke liye position lene se pehle ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai. Agar 100 confluence ke beyond koi mazid strength dekhi jaye, to yeh bulls ke liye aik fresh trigger ke tor par samjha jayega.

AUD/JPY cross European session ke pehle hifz mein tepid gains aur minor losses ke darmiyan dekha gaya hai, aur ab yeh mid-98.00s ke qareeb stable ho gaya hai, jo ke is Tuesday ko touch kiye gaye monthly peak se thora neeche hai.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ab bhi volatile two-way price moves ka shikaar hai, jo ke domestic political uncertainty ke sabab se ho raha hai. Yeh uncertainty Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rates ko near zero se steady lift karne ke plan mein rukawat daal sakti hai. Is wajah se AUD/JPY cross ko overnight modest gains pe build karne mein madad nahi milti, aur price action subdued range-bound rahta hai. Lekin risk-on mood ke prevalent hone se safe-haven JPY undermine ho raha hai, aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke hawkish stance ke saath mil kar yeh currency pair ke liye tailwind ka kaam karta hai.

Technical Perspective

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to AUD/JPY cross comfortably 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (July-August downfall) ke upar hold kar raha hai. Yeh situation recent strong recovery ke prospects ko support kar rahi hai jo ke 90.00 psychological mark ke qareeb se shuru hui thi. Yeh mark lowest level hai jo May 2023 ke baad pehli dafa is month touch kiya gaya. Is ke bawajood, daily chart par mixed oscillators dekhe gaye hain, jo bullish traders ke liye ehtiyat baratne ka sabab bante hain. Isi liye, agla move up shayad 100.00 confluence resistance ke qareeb hi capped rahe.

100.00 confluence handle mein aik bohot zaroori 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 50% Fibo. level shamil hain. Agar yeh decisively clear kar liya jaye, to yeh bullish traders ke liye aik fresh trigger ke tor par dekha jaye ga. AUD/JPY cross phir positive move mein tez ho sakta hai aur 101.00 mark ko target karne ke liye aim kar sakta hai, is se pehle 102.00-102.10 supply zone ya 61.8% Fibo. level ko test kare.

Dosri taraf, 97.45 area (38.2% Fibo. level) ab immediate strong support ke tor par samjha ja raha hai. Is ke baad 97.00 round figure aur 96.30-96.25 region ke qareeb support hai. Agar 96.00 mark ke neeche follow-through selling hui, to yeh 23.6% Fibo. level ke qareeb 94.65 region ko expose kar sakti hai, jisme kuch intermediate support 95.55 horizontal zone aur 95.00 psychological mark ke qareeb mil sakta hai

Wednesday ko kuch hi macroeconomic events hain, lekin hum sirf UK inflation report par focus karenge. Ye report British currency ke liye kafi important hai. Pichlay chhay mahinon mein pound ya to barhta raha hai ya phir stagnant raha hai. British currency ke liye demand consistently high hai. Agar inflation girta hai, to is se buyers ke enthusiasm mein kami aa sakti hai, kyun ke ye Bank of England (BoE) ko monetary policy par apni rhetoric ko soften karne ka mauqa dega. BoE ka meeting kal schedule hai, to agar inflation 3.5% ya is se kam hota hai, to is se pound par significant pressure aa sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar inflation mein halki si girawat hoti hai, to ye British currency ko boost de sakti hai.

Aaj hum expect karte hain ke dono instruments apne respective downward movements ko continue karein, lekin sab kuch FOMC meeting aur UK inflation report ke results par depend karega. Hum yeh believe karte hain ke medium term mein dollar appreciate hona chahiye, lekin aaj dono currency pairs mein rise bhi ho sakta hai.





Fundamental Events ka Analysis:

Wednesday ke liye sirf ek fundamental event schedule hai, lekin wo bhi kaafi important hai! Sham ko FOMC meeting ke results aur US central bank ka interest rates par faisla announce hoga. Yahan koi khas intrigue nahi hai, rates ko unchanged rehne ki umeed hai. Lekin, iske baad Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ek press conference rakhengay, aur akhir mein monetary committee ke members apne interest rates ke forecasts pesh karenge. Agar unka hawkish stance zyada hua (jo 2024 mein kam rate cuts ko indicate kare), to ye US dollar ko support karega.

AUD/JPY cross currency pair ke 4-hour chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke existing bias abhi bhi Buyers ki strength se dominate ho raha hai. Ye MA 20, 50, & 200 se Golden Cross aur Bullish 123 pattern ki formation ke sath sath kuch Bullish Ross Hooks (RH) ke banne se bhi zahir hota hai. Lekin Stochastic Oscillator indicator jo ke Overbought level par hai aur level 80 ke neeche girne ke liye ready hai, isme AUD/JPY ke weaken ho kar 98.26 level tak correction ka potential hai. Lekin is correction ke dauran ye weakening 97.66 level se neeche nahi jayegi, aur AUD/JPY ke paas 99.00 level tak wapas strengthen hone ka chance hoga.

AUD/JPY Chart Analysis Review

Australian Dollar (AUD) aur Japanese Yen (JPY) ke beech ka yeh pair kafi interesting hai, khasa tor par risk ke hawalay se. Yeh pair aksar short se medium term basis par US equities ke price action ke sath bohat zyada correlated hota hai. Yeh pair aam tor par low risk environment mein carry flows ki waja se rise karta hai, jab ke market mein 'risk-off' approach hoti hai to yeh girta hai. Australian dollar ko commodity currency ke tor par jaana jata hai kyun ke Australia global gold production aur export mein important role ada karta hai. Aussie ka gold ke value ke sath long-term positive correlation hota hai. Wahan dosri taraf, Canadian dollar bhi ek commodity currency hai, aur yeh crude oil aur natural gas jese energy products ke sath correlated hota hai. Australian dollar base currency hai aur Canadian dollar quote currency, to is pair ko cross currency pair kaha jata hai.

AUD/JPY pair ka full naam Australian dollar aur Japanese Yen hai, jise "Aussie Yen" bhi kaha jata hai. Agar hum AUD/JPY rate ki baat karein, to yeh exchange rate batata hai ke kitne Canadian dollars (quote currency) ek Australian dollar (base currency) khareedne ke liye required hain. Misal ke tor par, agar yeh pair 0.95 par trade ho raha hai, to iska matlab yeh hai ke 1 Australian Dollar khareedne ke liye 0.95 Canadian Dollars chahiye. Negative relationship ka matlab hota hai jab forex pairs opposite direction mein move karte hain. Misal ke tor par, CAD/CHF aur CAD/JPY pairs ka negative correlation hota hai kyun ke Canadian dollar base currency hai aur numerator mein hota hai. Ek important characteristic AUD ki yeh hai ke iska gold prices ke sath high positive correlation hota hai. Iski waja yeh hai ke Australia duniya ka teesra bara gold producer hai. Jab bhi gold ke prices rise ya fall karte hain, to Aussie bhi usi direction mein move karta hai, jo ke akhir kar AUD/JPY pair ko bhi usi direction mein le jata hai.

AUD/JPY abhi kafi strong bullish trend ka hissa hai. Traders ko sirf long positions (jab khareed rahe ho) par trade karne ka sochna chahiye jab tak price 98.03 JPY se upar rahti hai. Agla resistance 98.45 JPY par hai, jo agla bullish objective hai jo achieve kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh resistance bullish break hota hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko boost karega. Bullish movement phir agle resistance 99.23 JPY ki taraf continue kar sakti hai. Is resistance ke baad, buyers ka agla target 105.04 JPY ho sakta hai. Is current pattern ke sath, aapko possible bullish excesses ko monitor karna hoga jo ke short term mein small corrections la sakte hain. Yeh possible corrections traders ko bullish trend ke direction mein position enter karne ka mauqa faraham kar sakte hain. In corrections ka faida uthana sales ke zariye risky lag sakta hai.






AUDJPY cross pair ko aksar “risk-on/risk-off” behavior ke proxy ke tor par use kiya jata hai, jahan ek clear uptrend movement ko persistent “risk-on-herding” behavior ke tor par samjha jata hai, aur vice versa. Pichlay chaar hafton mein, AUD/JPY ne +445 pips ka rally kiya hai 16 October 2023 ke low 94.14 se le kar recent 16 November 2023 ke high 98.58 tak, jo ke major benchmark stock indices mein dekhi gayi rallies ke sath inline tha. Yeh risk-on behavior US Federal Reserve ke current interest rate hike cycle ke peak tak pohanchne ke anticipation se driven tha, jahan potential terminal rate 5.25%-5.50% hai Fed funds rate par.

Japan ka official central bank, jo ke financial statements issue karne aur interest rates ko determine karne ka zimmedar hai, apni low interest rates ki waja se duniya bhar mein mashhoor hai. Misal ke tor par, 2016 mein, BOJ ne negative interest rates introduce ki taake rising consumer prices ko offset kiya ja sake. Interest rates mein tabdeelion aur Bank ke bond market mein involvement par key announcements ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai.

Aaj raat ek currency pair hai jo mujhe bohot dilchasp lag raha hai analysis ke liye, kyunke iski movement kafi significant hai apne growth mein. Yeh hai AUD/JPY currency pair, jisme yeh pair Monday ko Asian market mein price 98.494 se barh kar 99.559 tak chala gaya, lagbhag 100 pips ka rise. Yeh rise Japan ke capital spending data ke kam hone ke baad hua, jo 7.4% tak neeche gaya, aur Japan mein unemployment rate bhi 2.7% tak barh gaya, jis wajah se AUD/JPY ki movement barh kar 99.559 tak pohoch gayi. Iske ilawa, Australian Dollar bhi Asian market ke baad mazid mazboot ho gaya, Australia ke building permits data ya housing starts data ke release hone ke baad, jo sharply 10.4% tak barh gayi pichlay mahine ke 2.4% se, aur ANZ job advertisement announcement bhi 0.6% tak barh gayi. Is wajah se AUD/JPY currency pair ki movement Monday ko 100 pips tak soar kar gayi.

Meri fundamental analysis ke mutabiq aaj raat AUD/JPY ki movement par maine faisla kiya ke main AUD/JPY ko 100 par BUY karunga.

Agar main AUD/JPY currency pair ki movement ko technical analysis ke sath dekhoon, to yeh abhi bhi 100 ke price tak wapas janay ki koshish kar raha hai. Kyunke H1 time frame par AUD/JPY ke movement ne ek bullish engulfing candle form ki hai, jo ek bohot strong signal hai AUD/JPY ko 100 par future mein BUY karne ka. Lekin humein iski downward correction ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye, kyunke meri RSI 14 indicator ki observation ke mutabiq AUD/JPY ka price 99.559 par overbought declare ho chuka hai, yaani ke iss waqt ismein khareedari kaafi zyada ho gayi hai. Is wajah se aaj raat AUD/JPY mein kaafi gehri correction neeche tak, 99.30 par aasakti hai.

AUD/JPY ko SELL karne ka signal bhi SNR aur Fibonacci methods se support hota hai, kyunke jab AUD/JPY ka price 99.559 par tha to yeh SBR (Support Become Resistance) area mein aa chuka tha, is wajah se kaafi mumkin hai ke AUD/JPY aaj raat 10-40 pips tak neeche correct ho jaye. Meri technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq aaj raat AUD/JPY currency pair ki movement ka analysis karte hue maine faisla kiya ke main AUD/JPY ko 99.30 par SELL karunga.

**AUD/JPY Market Analysis**

Aaj BOJ ka Monetary Policy aur Rate Statement AUD/JPY ke market sentiment ko decide karega. Kal Australian Unemployment rate aur employment data ne AUD/USD ke buyers ke liye madadgar sabit hui. Current market direction ko dekhte hue, ek clear buying opportunity nazar aa rahi hai, jo positive sentiment ko suggest karti hai jo aage ke ghanton tak barkarar rehne ki ummeed hai. Yeh traders ke liye ek strategic moment hai ke woh buy plan banayein aur foran buy orders initiate karein. Iske ilawa, important news events ki anticipated release buyer confidence ko aur bhi barhawa de sakti hai, jo fundamental factors ke strong market impact ka faida uthayegi.

Isliye, yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke buyers trading day ke doran apni strength ko barqarar rakhenge aur short term mein key resistance zones ko bhi surpass kar sakte hain. Traders ko is prevailing market sentiment aur direction ke sath align rehna chahiye aur un positions se bacha rehna chahiye jo established trend ke khilaf ho. AUD/JPY ke case mein, mujhe buy order prefer hai aur short target point 104.54 hai.

Aaj ki financial markets ka landscape buyers ke liye promising trend dikhata hai, jo ek significant buying opportunity ka signal hai jo aane wale ghanton tak extend ho sakta hai. Yeh favorable sentiment traders ke liye ek strategic moment hai jahan buy plans formulate aur execute karna timely hoga. Anticipation barh rahi hai ke buyers pivotal news events ke release ke baad apni dominance assert karenge, jo fundamental factors ke influential impact se driven hoga.

Yeh optimistic outlook buyers ke sustained strength ke liye positive hai throughout the trading day, aur yeh unhe critical resistance zones ko bhi surpass karne mein madadgar ho sakti hai. Traders ko is prevailing market sentiment aur direction ke sath apne strategies ko align karna chahiye, aur un positions se bachna chahiye jo established trend ke khilaf ho, taake trading outcomes ko optimize kiya ja sake. Dekhte hain ke market 104.54 ke short target point tak kaise react karta hai.

AUD/JPY

AUD/JPY Price Prediction: Monthly Top ke Qareeb Consolidate Kar Raha Hai, 100.00 Confluence Bulls Ke Liye Key Hai

AUD/JPY cross Tuesday ko touch kiye gaye fresh monthly top ke neeche aik range mein oscillate kar raha hai. Mixed technical setup ke madan nazar, aagey mazeed gains ke liye position lene se pehle ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai. Agar 100 confluence ke beyond koi mazid strength dekhi jaye, to yeh bulls ke liye aik fresh trigger ke tor par samjha jayega.

AUD/JPY cross European session ke pehle hifz mein tepid gains aur minor losses ke darmiyan dekha gaya hai, aur ab yeh mid-98.00s ke qareeb stable ho gaya hai, jo ke is Tuesday ko touch kiye gaye monthly peak se thora neeche hai.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ab bhi volatile two-way price moves ka shikaar hai, jo ke domestic political uncertainty ke sabab se ho raha hai. Yeh uncertainty Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke interest rates ko near zero se steady lift karne ke plan mein rukawat daal sakti hai. Is wajah se AUD/JPY cross ko overnight modest gains pe build karne mein madad nahi milti, aur price action subdued range-bound rahta hai. Lekin risk-on mood ke prevalent hone se safe-haven JPY undermine ho raha hai, aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke hawkish stance ke saath mil kar yeh currency pair ke liye tailwind ka kaam karta hai.

Technical Perspective

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to AUD/JPY cross comfortably 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (July-August downfall) ke upar hold kar raha hai. Yeh situation recent strong recovery ke prospects ko support kar rahi hai jo ke 90.00 psychological mark ke qareeb se shuru hui thi. Yeh mark lowest level hai jo May 2023 ke baad pehli dafa is month touch kiya gaya. Is ke bawajood, daily chart par mixed oscillators dekhe gaye hain, jo bullish traders ke liye ehtiyat baratne ka sabab bante hain. Isi liye, agla move up shayad 100.00 confluence resistance ke qareeb hi capped rahe.

100.00 confluence handle mein aik bohot zaroori 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 50% Fibo. level shamil hain. Agar yeh decisively clear kar liya jaye, to yeh bullish traders ke liye aik fresh trigger ke tor par dekha jaye ga. AUD/JPY cross phir positive move mein tez ho sakta hai aur 101.00 mark ko target karne ke liye aim kar sakta hai, is se pehle 102.00-102.10 supply zone ya 61.8% Fibo. level ko test kare.

Dosri taraf, 97.45 area (38.2% Fibo. level) ab immediate strong support ke tor par samjha ja raha hai. Is ke baad 97.00 round figure aur 96.30-96.25 region ke qareeb support hai. Agar 96.00 mark ke neeche follow-through selling hui, to yeh 23.6% Fibo. level ke qareeb 94.65 region ko expose kar sakti hai, jisme kuch intermediate support 95.55 horizontal zone aur 95.00 psychological mark ke qareeb mil