usd/cad

Technical Analysis of USD/CAD
Guftagu humare is waqt USD/CAD currency pair ki takhliqi tajziyah par mabni hai. Pichle haftay ke trading mein, Canadian dollar apni pichli range ke andar trading jaari rakha. Haftay ke ibteda mein, keemat 1.3735 ke ooperi hadd par thi, jahan se is ne ek tez giraawat shuru ki aur 1.3616 ke neechey ki taraf taez girne ki shuruat ki, signal zone se bahar nikal kar reversal level mein dakhil hua. Yahan, raasta ruk gaya aur dheere-dheere ooper mudne ka aghaaz hua. Is tarah, muntazir taraqqi currency pair ki waaqai nahi huwi. Is ke saath hi, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jo bechnay ki dabao ko darshaata hai.

Ek technical nazariya se aaj, 4-H chart par dekhte hain, hum index ko waqti tor par 1.3720 ke resistance ke ooper move karte hue dekh rahe hain, jahan hum simple moving average ko musbat shadeed karne wale 14-dinon ke ooper ko dekh rahe hain. Impulse musbat indicator signals se majboot hota hai. Isi tarah, hum pehle se tootey huye 1.3830 ke resistance level ke ooper day trading ke baare mein musbat lekin ihtiyati rakh rahe hain, aur is ko support mein badalne ke liye neeche 1.3790 ke tootne ki zaroorat hai ke pehla nishana 1.3778 mein faida le. Hum aapko yad dilate hain ke 1.3753 ke neeche minimum ghante ki mombati band hone se manzoor shuda uptrend ke amliyat ko mansookh kar dega aur index price par taqatwar manfi dabao 1.3940 aur 1.3910 ke nishano ke saath daalega. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhen:




Isi waqt, mukhtalif support area tez dabao ke neeche hai lekin abhi tak keemat ko bahar nikalne ki ijazat nahi deta, jis se pichli ooperi vector maqbool rahe. Is ko 1.3664 ke level ke ooper price breakthrough se tasdeeq kiya jayega aur is mein taqat mazboot hone ki mumkinat hai, jahan mukhtalif support area ke aas paas mehsoos hoti hai. Dobara testing aur baad mein rebound naye ooperi harkat ke liye aik moqa pesh karegi, jis ka nishana 1.3793 aur 1.3862 ke ilaqe mein hoga.

Agar keemat aakhir kar 1.3616 ke reversal level ko toor deti hai, to is current scenario ko mansookh karne ka signal mil jayega.

Interpreting USD/CAD Price Action
Humari guftagu ka mazmoon hai USD/CAD currency pair ki price behavior ki mojudah tashrih. USD/CAD currency pair abhi bhi bullish correction ke andar hai, jo ke 2/8 Murray reversal level par 1.3610 ki imtehanat se shuru hui hai. Halankay ab is waqt chaar ghanton ke chart par Murray regression channel ke nichley hisse mein trade ho raha hai, jahan 1.3640 ke qareeb hai. 1st July se, Canadian dollar US dollar ke khilaaf mazboot ho raha hai, jis se is currency pair mein is current correction ke khatam hone ke baad mazeed girawat ki tawakkal hai. Chaar ghanton ke stochastic indicator mein izafa ho raha hai, jo ke bulls ke liye faidaymand hai, lekin yeh ab upper limit ke qareeb hai, jo ke ek mumkin downward reversal ka ishara deta hai. USD/CAD pair apne halqi mein wapas a sakta hai, 1.3610 ke qareeb Murray reversal level par. Agar yeh level tor diya jaye, to yeh 1.3579 Murray level tak mazeed gir sakta hai.




Yooropean session ke dauran, USD/CAD currency pair ne kam tabdeeliyan dikhai aur halki uthal-puthal ke saath ooper ki taraf movement ki koshish ki, jab ke US dollar ko mazboot karne ki koshishen ki gayi. Is pair ne bhi pichle haftay ke bareek girawat ke baad correction phase mein dakhil kiya. Canadian dollar taqatwar rehta hai, buland energy prices aur kamzor US dollar ke sath sath. Ab investors Jerome Powell ke taqreer par tawajjo hai, jahan unki tajarbat future monetary policy ke hawale se hints ka intezaar hai. Is pair ke liye short-term upward correction mumkin hai, lekin overall downtrend jari rahega. Pivot point 1.3694 par hai; main is mark ke neeche bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon, nishana 1.3584 aur 1.3534 ke taraf. Agar pair 1.3694 ke ooper uth kar stabil ho jaye, to yeh 1.3734 aur 1.3744 tak pahunch sakta hai, jahan mujhe dobara bechnay ka sochna hoga.

EURUSD Pair ki H-1 Time Frame ki Tashrih
Pichle do din se USDCAD currency pair mein halat nisbatan side-ways movement dikh raha hai. Isko support level 1.36261 aur resistance 1.36463 ke darmiyan phansay huye price range se dekha ja sakta hai. Pehle to seller pressure kaafi taqatwar tha, jis ki wajah se price ne 1.36023 tak gir kar nichlay points tak pohanch gayi. Lekin us low point tak pohanchne ke baad, aik price correction hua jo USDCAD ko wapas ooper le aya aur ek tang range mein fluctuate karne laga.

Technical indicators jaise ke EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ab bhi bearish trend dikha rahe hain. EMA 50 jo ke EMA 100 ke nichay hai, is se yeh tasdeeq hoti hai ke medium term mein selling pressure ab bhi dominant hai. Lekin sab se haal mein hui price movement mein momentum mein aik baray tabdeel hone ki mumkinat nazar aati hai. Agar price 1.36463 ke resistance level ko tor sakay, to yeh aik pehla signal ho sakta hai ke bullish trend ki taraf rukh kar raha hai. Is resistance ko tor dena is baat ki alamat hogi ke buyers market mein qaboo hasil karne mein kamiyab ho rahe hain, aur price mazeed buland honay ki salahiyat rakhti hai.

Dusray taraf, agar price gir kar 1.36261 ke support level ko tor deta hai, to yeh is baat ki dalil hogi ke seller pressure phir se barh raha hai. Is support ki tor par nikalna mojooda bearish trend ko mazboot kare ga, aur price ki sab se zyada tawakkal mukammal hone ki ummid hai 1.36023 ke pichlay low ko dobara test karne ki ya mazeed nichay tak girne ki. Dosri alfaaz mein, is support level ke neechay girna yeh tasdeeq kare ga ke bearish trend abhi tak jari hai, aur sellers ko price ko mazeed nichay dhakelne ke liye kafi taqat hai.

USD/CAD Currency Pair Ki Tafseeli Tehqiqat
USD/CAD currency pair ne peer session ki shuruaat mein temporary resistance ko 1.3700 ke qareeb mehsoos kiya. Magar investors ke mutabiq Bank of Canada (BoC) ke anay wale monetary policy meeting mein aik interest rate cut ki umeed hai, jo Loonie ko mazeed buland karne ki tawaqo ki ja rahi hai. Is umeed ke sath hi, fluctuating crude oil prices bhi is pair ki karobar par gehra asar dalenge.

Interest Rate Ki Umeedain

Aik haal hi mein May 31 se June 5 tak conduct ki gayi Reuters poll ne dikhaya ke lagbag do-tihayee economists ab September mein BoC ki taraf se interest rate cut ki umeed rakhte hain. Is ke ilawa, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September mein Fed rate cut hone ki sambhavna sirf ek haftay mein 47.5% se 70% tak izafa hua hai. Ye tajziyat market ki tawaqoat ko shakhsiat dene aur trading behavior par asar andaz hone mein madad deti hain.

Crude Oil Prices Ka Asar

Crude oil prices mein buland trend, jahan Canada United States ke sab se baray oil exporter hain, CAD ki demand ko taqwiyat dete hain. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices ab $74.30 per barrel ke qareeb trading kar rahe hain doosre musalsal session ke liye. Ye oil prices CAD ko support dete hain aur dosray economic factors ke barabar mein kaam karte hain.

Resistance Levels aur Aane Wali Upside

Mumkin hai ke USD/CAD pair psychological level 1.3600 aur throwback support 1.3591 ke aas paas key support dhoondhe. In levels ke neeche jaane se nichlay dabao ka saamna ho sakta hai, jis se psychological level 1.3500 aur descending channel ke neechay ki had tak pohanch sakta hai. Upside mein, pair descending channel ke upper boundary ko toor kar ooper ja sakta hai, jahan agla target psychological level 1.3700 aur pullback resistance 1.3741 ho sakta hai. Is resistance ko mazbooti se toornay se rasta saaf ho sakta hai levels 1.3800 ke aas paas, aur shayad April ke unche level 1.3847 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Ye levels pair ki mustaqbil ki manzil tay karne mein ahem sabit honge.

USD/CAD Ki Aaj Ki Potentials Ki Raushni Mein
USD/CAD currency pair ne kal aik dilchasp din guzara. Thori si upar ki taraf gap hone ke baad, keemat ne rukh badla aur aik chhote bearish candle ke saath band hui, sab pichle din ke trading range ke andar. Is se short-term outlook mein kuch uncertainty paida ho gayi hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke kamzori par buyers mafaad uthaye aur keemat ko uttar chalein. Agar yeh ho toh, hum dekh sakte hain ke keemat 1.3754 ya 1.3792 ke resistance levels tak pohanch sakti hai. Agar keemat in resistance levels ko toor deti hai, toh yeh mazeed upside potential ki nishani ho sakti hai. Agla target 1.3847 ho sakta hai, phir 1.3899 ki taraf bhi aik move mumkin hai. Is level tak pohanchne se uptrend mein rukh phir bhi ho sakta hai, jahan traders naye signals dhoondne ke liye tayar ho sakte hain jo aglay rukh ki taraf ishara karte hain.

Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke keemat 1.3978 tak pohanch jaaye, lekin is waqt, humein naye news aur yeh dekhna hoga ke keemat door ke targets par kaise react karti hai. Ya phir, jab keemat resistance zones (1.3754 ya 1.3792) tak pohanchti hai, hum ulta rukh bhi dekh sakte hain. Is mein aik bearish candlestick pattern ki shakal bana sakti hai, jo ek naye push ki taraf ishara karta hai. Agar sellers buyers ko maat dete hain, toh keemat wapas ja sakti hai established support levels 1.3603 ya 1.3548 ki taraf. In support zones tak pohanchne par dobara bullish signals dhoondhne ka mauqa pesh karega, uptrend ke mukhtalif rukh ko samajhte hue.

Short term mein, buyers ke liye mauqa hai ke keemat ko uttar sakte hain aur maujood sideways trend ke upper boundaries ko test kar sakte hain. Magar lambi term ki raah is par depend karti hai ke keemat in key levels par kaise react karti hai aur koi bhi significant news events jo ho sakte hain un par.

USDCAD
Main ne is paigham ko bar bar parha hai aur samajh nahi pa raha keh kyun raye ek jaisi nahi hain. Haqeeqat mein, global se maqsoos rukh par sab ittefaq rakhte hain. Main USDCAD pair par long jana chahta hoon, ya'ni keh oopar ki taraf. Lekin is ke liye, aapko rozana chart ki niche utarne wali correction ka intezar karna parega. Aur ji haan, jaise keh aapne durust taur par note kiya hai, kam az kam 1.3500 level se sau points oopar jaane ke liye bhi khareedne wale ki koshishon ko dabana hoga. Aur 1.3600 ke taqatwar level par price reaction dekh kar, lagta hai keh woh market mein baithe hue hain aur is nishan se price ko kam nahi karna chahte.




Is ke ilawa, unhon ne 1.3600 - 1.3618 area se ek oopri leher bana di hai. Yeh mostly ek niche ki correction lagti hai, lekin yahan par... Aur agar correction 1.3654 - 1.3664 area mein khatam ho jaye, to yeh acha hoga, warna phir woh 1.3700 mark ko dobara test kar sakte hain. Aur yeh sab sirf ek correction hai. Isi liye, jab tak 1.3500 ya kisi aur jagah par khareedne ka waqt na aaye, aap ek sauda complete karne ke liye sau se pachas points ya zyada niche move kar sakte hain, jahan par hum ek oopri pair se milenge. Mojudah levels se oopar ki taraf barhne ke liye, aap neechay timeframes par scalp kar sakte hain jabke hamesha halat ki nazar rakhte hue. Aur aaj nahi... ya asal mein, aaj main is rukh mein thoda "badtameez" tha. Mujhe laga keh price zyada taiz wapas aayega. Lekin phir bhi maine halka munafa hasil kar ke band kar diya aur intezar mode mein hoon.

Price action theory USDCAD ke liye bullish nazar aata hai, jis se keh oopri rukh ki mumkin raftar ka ishara hai jo 1.3676 resistance level ko tor sakta hai. Is tashreef ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek khareed order ko gaur se sochna chahiye jiska nishana 1.3700 ke aas paas rakha ja sakta hai, haftawar chart ke mukhtasaran se jo oopri harkat ke liye musbat shuruaat ke surat mein dikh raha hai. Is ke ilawa, USDCAD ko mutasir karne wale anay wale khabron ke baray mein bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai, jo keh market dynamics ko gehra asar daal sakte hain. Ma'ashyati ijlasat, siyasi halat aur central bank ke elanat aise factors hain jo currency pair ke rukh aur volatility par asar andaaz ho sakte hain. Isi liye, mujhe ummeed hai keh USDCAD market apne oopri trend ko jari rakhega, jald hi 1.3732 level ki taraf nishana rakh kar.