usd/cad

**USD/CAD Analysis**

Kaam ke haftay ke akhir mein, chaliye D1 period ke chart ko dekhte hain - USD/CAD currency pair. Is currency pair ki price lagbhag ek mahine se gir rahi hai. Wave structure ne kaafi der se downward order build kiya hua hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Lagta hai ke price ke abhi ke level ke aas-paas ek support zone hai, jahan price ne February aur March mein bar-bar rebound kiya tha. Yeh ek khaali jagah nahi hai, yahan ek level hai. CCI indicator ab lower overheating zone se upar aa gaya hai. Decline wave kaafi lambay samay se chal rahi hai aur bina kisi special upward correction ke elongated ho gayi hai, jo ke is baat ka indication hai ke correction hone ke chances hain. Aur lagta hai ke kal se hi upar jaane ki koshish ho rahi thi, lekin success nahi mili, price phir se neeche push ho rahi hai. Aaj kuch news items ki series thi, price ne growth develop karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir se luck nahi mili, price ko upar nahi jane diya gaya. Mujhe lagta hai yeh temporary phenomenon hai, ek trading day aur bacha hai, mahine ko close karna hai, aur sales se positions fix karne ke baad price upar ki taraf rollback kar sakti hai. Agar growth hoti hai, to maximum jahan price dekhne ki ummeed hai wo yahan 1.3589 ke main resistance level ke paas hoga.

Umeed hai ke hum hamesha achhi news mein hain aur Friday ko humne is haftay ki trading se profits nikal liye hain. Aaj subah main USD/CAD currency pair ke movement ka analysis kar raha hoon, fundamental aur technical analysis ke zariye, agle order ke liye. USD/CAD currency pair ki movement Friday raat ko 80 pips se gir gayi, price 1.35850 se 1.3505 tak gir gayi market ke band hone tak. Yeh decline Canadian dollar ke exchange rate ke mazboot hone ki wajah se thi, jo core retail sales data ke release ke baad 0.3% increase hua aur retail sales bhi pichle mahine ke muqablay mein 0.5% badh gayi, jisse USD/CAD ki movement 80 pips gir gayi. Iske ilawa, US dollar exchange rate bhi kaafi significant weakening ka shikaar hua, jab Jerome Powell ne kaha ke FED interest rate agle mahine 5.00 ya 4.50 tak kam kiya jayega, jisse investors ko asar hua.

Technical analysis of the USDCAD pair

Pichle Do Din Ki Price Movement Analysis

Pichle do din mein price ek upward wave mein move hui aur highest trading level tak pahuncha. Phir, price decline karne lagi jaise downward wave upward wave ke shuru hone ke nazdeek pahuncha.

Aaj, price white triangle ke andar trading kar rahi hai, jo ascending aur descending channels ke beech ka area hai. Yeh triangle hi agle price movement ka direction tay karega.

Asian period ke doran, price sideways direction mein narrow range mein move karti rahi aur lower triangle line par base thi, jo har koshish par break nahi ho paayi.

Expected price movement ke do possibilities hain:

1. Pehli Possibility: Price abhi ke level se rebound kar sakti hai aur upper triangle line tak barh sakti hai, jahan yeh higher break karne ki koshish karegi. Price weekly level 1.3522 ka samna karegi. Agar price is area ko break karne aur do ghante tak uske upar stabilize karne mein successful hoti hai, toh yeh price ko 1.3556 tak upward direction mein le jaa sakti hai.

2. Dusri Possibility: Price agar triangle ko downward break karne mein successful hoti hai, toh price weekly pivot level ki taraf jaayegi. Agar price is level ko break karne mein successful hoti hai, toh aaj aur kal zyada decline dekha jaa sakta hai.

Trading Levels:

1. Triangle line ke turant neeche, aap triangle ke break hone aur candle close hone ka wait kar sakte hain, aur phir weekly pivot level tak sell kar sakte hain.

2. Dusra selling level weekly pivot level ke neeche hoga, jahan aap price ke is level ke neeche stabilize hone ka wait kar sakte hain aur selling mein enter kar sakte hain.

3.Buying Level: Aaj ka buying level tab hoga jab do candles 1.3522 level aur triangle ke upar close hoti hain.

USDCAD Analysis

Main 4-hour chart par dollar-Canadian dollar pair ko dekh raha hoon. Ye pair weekly chart par opposite range boundaries se bounce kar gaya hai. Sellers ka pressure 1.39116 ke resistance se kaam kar raha hai aur pair neeche chala gaya. 1.37478 ka support bhi break ho gaya hai, aur seller ne volume gain karna jari rakha. Phir mujhe laga ke girawat ka silsila neeche tak jari rahega.

Waisay bhi, main yeh tasawwur karta hoon ke girawat weekly chart par lower range boundaries tak jaari rahegi, aur bilkul mumkin hai ke pair aur neeche jaaye. Main intezar kar raha hoon ke Canadian dollar mazid mazboot ho, aur dollar sasta hona shuru ho. Dollar kuch waqt se market par dominate kar raha tha, magar mujhe lagta hai ab waqt aa gaya hai ke wo apni position ko chor de. Aur waise bhi, ab sab currencies ka devaluation hoga, sab banks apni currencies ko devalue karna shuru kar denge, aur zyadatar, ye pair girawat ka rukh jari rakhega.

H1 chart jo mere liye main chart hai, wahan descending channel nazar aa raha hai. Asal mein, M15 chart par bhi yahi situation hai, jo bears ki taqat ko sawal ke baghair sabit kar raha hai. Isi liye, jaisa maine pehle likha, main sales ko consider karunga. Is waqt ke hisaab se behtar yeh hai ke upper border of channel, 1.35555, se sales enter karoon. Girawat channel ke lower border, yani 1.34726 tak hoti rahegi.

H1 channel ke upper edge tak growth ka benchmark hoga 1.35031 ka breakthrough, jo ke agar seller taqatwar ho, to market ko neeche rebound karega. Lekin agar consolidation uske upar hota hai, to ye bullish activity ke asaar hain. Growth fade hona shuru hogi level 1.35555 par, aur uske baad downward movement restore ho jayega. Ye taqatwar downside player ki mojoodgi ko show karega, jiske saath main sell karne ke moqay dhoondhunga.

Chart par dekhay gaye instrument ki mojooda surat-e-haal red candles dikhati hai, jo ke price ki downward movement ko zahir karti hain. Market quotes ne linear channel ki upper limit (blue dotted line) ko exceed kiya, lekin peak tak pohanchne ke baad yeh retrace kar rahi hain aur ab yeh channel ki middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf waapas move kar rahi hain. RSI (14) indicator jo ke signals ko filter karta hai, sell signal ko support karta hai, kyunke is waqt yeh downward trend mein hai aur oversold level se kaafi door hai. Is liye sirf sales ko relevant samjha ja raha hai, jo ke suggest karta hai ke short trade ka time hai aur instrument ke channel ki lower boundary (red dotted line) ke level 1.33700 tak girne ka imkaan hai.

Aaj market phir se kamzor hui hai, aur is haftay ke manfi economic data ne investors ko CAD ke baray mein apni soch par ghor karne par majboor kar diya hai. Agar hum 4-hour time frame ko dekhein, toh candlestick subah ke market close tak upward correct kar rahi thi. Is haftay, USDCAD candlestick apni girawat jari rakh sakti hai kyunke pichlay bullish trend ke doran buyers 1.3948 zone se oopar price ko push karne mein nakam rahe. Agley haftay ke trading plan ke liye, Sell position ko Buy par tarjeeh di ja sakti hai, aur target price gir kar 1.3441 zone tak pohanch sakti hai. Agar price 1.3526 zone se neeche rehti hai, toh bearish trend kaafi arsay tak jari reh sakta hai, shayad chand haftay. Filhaal market price 1.3489 par hai. Pichlay haftay ke price action ne bearish candlestick pattern form kiya hai, jahan candlestick 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche gir chuki hai. Saath hi, stochastic indicator ka signal line 20 ke area mein hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke market ka downward trend stable hai. Is liye, price aaj ke closing position se aage bhi neeche ja sakti hai aur sellers ke control mein reh sakti hai.

USD/CAD Ki Qeemat Ka Tafseeli Jaiza

Hum USD/CAD currency pair ki haali qeemat ka jaiza le rahe hain. US dollar mazid mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke USD/CAD pair ko bullish trend mein rakh raha hai. Heiken Ashi indicator ka upar ki taraf jaana yeh batata hai ke upward movement jari hai, aur yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke pair ki qeemat mein izafa hoga. Mazid is bullish momentum ki wajah se, jo ke dollar ki taizi ki wajah se hai, pair ne abhi haal hi mein local resistance level 1.3491 ko test kiya hai, aur yeh chance hai ke yeh resistance toot jaye aur qeemat 1.3527 resistance level tak barh jaye, jo ke hourly chart mein EMA 200 ke sath align karta hai. Agar yeh level break ho gaya to agle resistance levels 1.3601 aur 1.3639 tak barhne ka imkaan hai.

Technical taur pe dekha jaye to USD/CAD abhi bhi long-term bullish market mein hai, kyun ke yeh 1.3301 ke critical support level se ooper trade kar raha hai, jo weekly chart mein EMA 200 ke sath hai. Yeh level barabar buyers ko support karta aaya hai aur unka faida banaye rakhta hai. Is situation mein trading decisions lena har trader ka apna faisla hai.




Is ke baad hum USD/CAD ki qeemat mein ek significant spike ka analysis kar rahe hain jo 61.7% Fibonacci retracement ke critical support level par bana. Is level tak qeemat ka achanak girna unexpected tha, kyun ke qeemat baghair kisi wapas aane ke sharp decline hui. Is tarah ka tezi se movement chart par reversal ke imkaan ko barhata hai. Halanke pair yahan ruk gaya hai, lekin abhi tak yeh support level break nahi hua. Wapas aane ka imkaan hai, magar abhi buying risky hai. Trend ke sath trade karna zyada reliable hota hai, jab ke trend ke against jaana aksar challenging sabit hota hai. USD/CAD is waqt is level par hold kar raha hai, aur agla move abhi clear nahi hai. Ek upward move moving average tak ho sakta hai, jis ke baad dobara decline ka imkaan hai.

USD/CAD Ki Qeemat Ka Jaiza

Aaj hum USD/CAD currency pair ki haali qeemat ka tajziya karenge. US dollar ki mazbooti barh rahi hai, jis ka asar USD/CAD pair par bullish trend ki soorat mein ho raha hai. Heiken Ashi indicator ka upar ki taraf move hona yeh darsha raha hai ke upward movement jari hai, aur is se yeh umeed hai ke pair ki qeemat mazeed barhegi. Dollar ki taizi hi asal mein is bullish momentum ko chala rahi hai. Haal hi mein, pair ne 1.3491 ke local resistance level ko test kiya hai, aur yeh chance hai ke yeh resistance break ho jaye, jis se qeemat 1.3527 resistance level tak barh sakti hai, jo EMA 200 ke sath hourly chart par align karta hai. Agar yeh level break ho gaya to qeemat 1.3601 aur 1.3639 ke key resistance levels tak barh sakti hai.

Technical taur pe dekha jaye to USD/CAD abhi bhi ek long-term bullish market mein trade kar raha hai, kyun ke yeh 1.3301 ke critical support level se ooper hai, jo weekly chart par EMA 200 ke sath aligned hai. Yeh level aksar buyers ko support karta hai, jo ke unka faida barqarar rakhta hai. Trading ke faislay har trader ke apne upar hain is context mein.

Ab hum ek aur pattern ka analysis karte hain jo ke H4 time frame par ek triangle ki soorat mein ban raha hai. Yeh aksar continuation pattern hota hai jo higher time frame mein mojooda trend ko mazid agay barhata hai. Magar kuch factors yeh darsha rahe hain ke buyers price ko upar push kar rahe hain aur sellers ko overpower kar rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal tab hoti hai jab ek bullish engulfing pattern bina peechli candle ke ooper close hue nazar aata hai. Ek bari shadow ke sath, agle pin bar candle ka close peechli bullish candle ke ooper hota hai, aur aakhri candle bhi last teen candles ke highs ke ooper close hoti hai. Is se yeh wazeh hota hai ke price ko upar le jane mein strong interest hai.




Agar USD/CAD ka bullish trend jari rehta hai, to mein umeed nahi karta ke price foran 1.3617-1.3678 zone ke ooper surge karegi aur consolidate karegi. Is se pehle ek pullback ka imkaan hai ya phir pair consolidation phase mein **** reh sakta hai, jo ke support zone 1.3400-1.3317 aur resistance zone 1.3617-1.3678 ke darmiyan hoga.

Trading Wisdom: USD/CAD Qeemat Ka Jaiza

Aaj humari guftagu ka markaz USD/CAD currency pair ki price action ka tajziya hai. USD/CAD pair is waqt din ke opening level 1.3500 aur daily pivot level 1.3494 ke ooper trade kar raha hai. Key indicators yeh darsha rahe hain ke qeemat upar ja rahi hai, kyun ke yeh MA72 trend line ke ooper hai, jahan aam tor par volume adjustments hoti hain. Agar qeemat 1.3530 se zyada ho gayi, to yeh 1.3551 ya 1.3562 tak barh sakti hai. Lekin agar qeemat 1.3530 se neeche girti hai, to umeed hai ke yeh 1.3511 ya 1.3494 tak wapas aa sakti hai.

Pair is waqt monthly pivot level 1.3626 (jo pehle 1.3752 tha) se neeche, magar weekly pivot 1.3483 aur daily pivot 1.3494 se ooper trade kar raha hai, jo ek corrective bias ki nishani hai. Agar qeemat 1.3494 se neeche chali gayi, to downward trend ka imkaan hai; jab ke is level se ooper bullish correction ki umeed hai. Halanki abhi reversal ka andaza lagana jaldi hoga, lekin agar bullish momentum barqarar raha, to qeemat 1.3611 ko break kar ke us level ke ooper establish ho sakti hai.

Technical algorithm ke mutabiq qeemat ke 1.3611 ke resistance level tak barhne ka imkaan hai. Buyers mazid bullish movement ke liye tayar hain, jo ke is scenario ko mumkin bana raha hai. Hum apni mojooda forecast ko primary expectation ke tor par barqarar rakhtay hain aur dekhengay ke buyers market ko upar le ja sakte hain ya nahi. Magar ek doosra scenario bhi hai: agar buyers apna momentum barqarar nahi rakh sakte, to sellers control hasil kar ke pair ko qareebi support level tak gira sakte hain, is se pehle ke koi mazid upward movement ho.





Aaj pair ne 1.3508 ke resistance level ko paar kar liya aur is ke ooper consolidate kiya, jo ke ek buy entry point banata hai. Pair ab 1.3548 tak barh gaya hai, lekin yeh ek naya peak bhi ho sakta hai, kyun ke bulls ne significant momentum hasil kar liya hai. Qeemat mazeed barh sakti hai, aur ho sakta hai ke 1.3611 ke resistance level ko test kare, magar abhi kayi points cover karne hain. Daily chart ek strong bullish candle dikhata hai, jo ke buyers ke zabardast interest ka signal hai.

USD/CAD Ko Is Hafte Bara Imtehan Darpaish Hai

Is hafte USD/CAD pair ke liye bara imtehan hai, kyun ke na sirf humein US se ahem data milne wala hai, balki Canada mein bhi rate ka faisla hone wala hai. Saath hi, juma ko Canada ka August ka jobs report bhi release hoga. Waisa to US non-farm payrolls report bhi isi din aur waqt par aayega. Is se umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke USD/CAD pair mein uncertainty aur volatility barh jayegi.

US Dollar aur Ahem Waqiyat

US dollar ke liye yeh hafte kuch ahem economic releases aa rahe hain, jisme sab se notable August ka jobs report hai. Kal US Labor Day ki chutti ke baad, is hafte me ahem data releases aayenge: Wednesday ko JOLTS vacancies aur Thursday ko ADP employment data, job claims aur ISM services ka data. Sab se bara event Friday ko August ka jobs report hoga.

Yeh jobs report faisla kun hoga ke dollar ka do mahine ka recent slide jari rahega ya ruk jayega. Agar employment report kamzor aayi, to dollar gir sakta hai. Magar agar Friday ka report expectations ke mutabiq aya — jisme 165,000 naye jobs aur unemployment rate ka 4.3% se 4.2% tak girne ka forecast hai — to yeh 25 basis points ka Fed rate cut ke liye case ko mazid mazboot karega aur dollar ka reaction muted ho sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar job growth 100,000 jobs ke aas paas reh gaya aur unemployment rate barh gaya, to dollar mazid weakness ka samna kar sakta hai, jo USD/CAD par pressure dal sakta hai, aur market 50 basis points ke bada rate cut expect karne lagegi.

Filhal dollar index stable hai. September mein rate cuts ka raasta

Jackson Hole mein kuch hafton pehle apne speech ke doran, Jerome Powell ne ye ishara diya tha ke kuch aur rate cuts ka imkaan hai, aur yeh kaha ke inflation "significantly" kam hui hai aur "labor market ab overheated nahi raha." September mein rate cut ab lagbhag final hai, aur mazeed cuts ka raasta ane wale data par depend karega.

Yeh sab se zyada zor ane wale US jobs report par daal raha hai.




Canadian Dollar Ka Bhi Bara Imtehan

Jab ke ziada traders ka focus US data par hoga, hum is hafte Canada se aane wale kuch ahem macro events ka bhi intezaar kar rahe hain — jo ke economic calendar mein highlight kiye gaye hain, jo sirf US aur Canada ka data shamil karta hai.

**USD/CAD Forecast: Bearish Momentum Continues, Key Levels and Strategies**

Aaj ka tajzia yeh darshata hai ke USD/CAD currency pair ke liye bearish outlook barqarar hai, jo ke mukhtalif technical indicators aur recent price action se wazeha hai. Traders ko mashwara diya jata hai ke 1.3850 se 1.3840 ke range mein sell orders initiate karein, lekin agar price 1.3870 ko cross kar le to ehtiyaat barati jaye, kyunke yeh ek reversal ka ishara de sakta hai.

**Target aur Risk Management Strategy:**

Is anticipated bearish movement ka primary target 1.3750 level ke qareeb hai. Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke position ka aadha hissa 1.3790 ke aas paas close kar diya jaye taake kuch gains secure ho sakein, jabke baaqi position ko zyada downside potential capture karne diya jaye.

**Daily Overview:**

Kal ki trading mein USD/CAD ne 1.3845 par open kiya, 1.3857 ka high aur 1.3786 ka low achieve kiya, jo ke lagbhag 71 pips ka substantial trading range indicate karta hai. Market sentiment bearish hai, aur pair abhi daily pivot level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Aane wale sessions mein support levels S1 aur S2 ka test hone ki umeed hai.

**H4 Analysis:**

4-hour chart par, daily timeframe par kuch sideways movement hone ke bawajood, ek persistent bearish trend evident hai. Key technical indicators jo is viewpoint ko support karte hain:
- Weekly resistance ka pehle 1.3850 par test hona.
- RSI 14 bearish momentum signal kar raha hai 50 level ke neeche, pehle overbought conditions ko reach karne ke baad.
- Bearish strength ki tasdeeq bearish engulfing pattern aur subsequent bearish candlesticks se hoti hai.
- MA 30 ke neeche trading, jo ke sustained bearish pressure indicate karta hai.
- Bearish divergence, jo downward pressure ko reinforce karta hai, negative market sentiment ko mazid barhata hai.

**Hourly Insights:**

Hourly chart par bearish sentiment ki mazeed tasdeeq ye hai:
- Rising trend-line ka breakdown.
- EMA-30 ke neeche trading.
- Daily pivot level ke neeche opening.

**Conclusion:**

In technical signals aur current market conditions ko dekhte hue, aaj ki trading ke liye USD/CAD par bearish stance recommend kiya jata hai. Traders ko specified price ranges mein sell positions consider karni chahiye, aur risk ko strategic position adjustments se manage karna chahiye. Critical levels aur indicators par nazar rakhna zaroori hoga taake potential reversals ya mazeed bearish opportunities ko navigate kiya ja sake.Click image for larger version

Spot Price Aur CAD Decline: Technical Aur Economic Outlook

Spot price ne ek noticeable downturn dekha hai, jo lagbhag paanch trading dino mein pehli baar significant downside candlestick hai. Ek bullish streak ke baad, jisne US Dollar ko Canadian Dollar ke muqablay mein lagbhag do percent upar push kiya, pair 1.3480 level par wapas gir gaya hai. Yeh recent rally USD/CAD pair ko 2024 ke naye highs tak le gayi, jo ke pichle saal November ke price levels the.

CAD Decline: Crude Oil Prices Aur BoC Policy Ka Impact

Canadian Dollar ki recent decline ka main sabab crude oil prices ka girna hai, jo ek key Canadian export hai. Jaise jaise oil prices gir rahe hain, demand Canadian currency ke liye bhi kam ho rahi hai, jo commodity markets se closely linked hai. Iske ilawa, Bank of Canada ki anticipated continued easing policy, jo recent interest rate reduction ke baad aayi hai, ne bhi CAD ko aur kamzor kiya hai. Market analysts ka kehna hai ke saal ke end tak aur 25 basis point rate cut ki umeed hai, aur yeh strong likelihood hai ke yeh September meeting mein ho sakta hai.

Crude oil prices teen consecutive dinon se pressure mein hain, Middle East mein escalating conflict ke fears kam hone ki wajah se. Iske sath, China ki weak demand, jo duniya ki largest crude importer hai, ne oil prices ko June 10 ke baad ke lowest levels tak drag kiya hai. Oil prices ke girne aur BoC ke dovish stance ke combination se, CAD ko aur undermine hone ki umeed hai aur USD/CAD pair ko support milega.

USD/CAD Pullback: Key Support Levels Aur Technical Outlook

USD/CAD pair ne Friday ke Asian trading ke dauran 1.3480 ke aas paas ek brief rally ke baad pullback dekha. Yeh decline primarily U.S. Dollar ke intraday gains ke reversal aur Canadian Dollar ke strengthen hone ke wajah se hai. Agar pair July 2 ke high 1.3751 ke neeche decisively break kar jata hai, to ise further downward pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Potential support levels 1.3700 ke round number aur July 17 ke low 1.3658 par hain.

CAD Aur USD/CAD Technical Outlook

CAD ne haal hi mein significant weakness dekhi hai, jo spot price ko late 2023 ke high ke qareeb, lagbhag 1.3900 ke aas paas le aayi hai. Jabke pair is level ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai, intraday charts par CAD-positive developments ke kuch bhi nishaan nahi hain. Iske bajaye, USD consolidate hota hua nazar aa raha hai, jo shayad ek aur push ke liye set up ho raha hai.

Current technical levels ke mutabiq, support 1.3450 par hai aur resistance 1.3550 aur 1.3700 par hai.

M15 Minutes
Sab ko achi mood ki dua! M15 chart par linear regression channel ke zariye seller ki quwwat zahir ho rahi hai, jo ke niche ki taraf incline hai. Jaise jaise angle zyada hota hai, seller ki activity bhi barhti hai. Bears ki koshish hai ke wo 1.34840 tak le jayein. Agar ye target pura hota hai, to 1.35031 tak rollback aana chahiye, jahan se aap sales ke liye enter kar sakte hain. Channel ke neeche se bechna nahi chahiye. Channel ka principle simple hai: hum channel ke neeche se kharidte hain, aur upar se bechte hain. Filhal mujhe purchases itni interesting nahi lag rahi, halanke channel south ki taraf hai, buy karna asset ki movement ke khilaf jana hai. Agar 1.35031 level par bina stops ke movement hoti hai, to ye seller ki assertiveness ko darshata hai, jo ke achi decline ki umeed de sakta hai.

H1 Hour

Main H1 chart par, jo mere liye main hai, main ek descending channel dekh raha hoon. M15 chart ki tarah, isse bears ki quwwat par koi shak nahi rehta. Isliye, jaise maine upar likha, main sales ko consider karunga. Is time frame ke hisaab se, bechne ke liye behtar entry channel ke upper border 1.35555 se hogi. Girawat channel ke lower border 1.34726 tak hogi. Agar growth upper edge of the H1 channel tak pahunchti hai, to 1.35031 level ko break karna zaroori hai, jo strong seller ke saath market ko hold karega aur niche ki taraf rebound karega, lekin iske upar consolidation bullish activity ka indication dega. Growth 1.35555 level par fade hona shuru ho jayegi aur phir se downward movement ka restoration dekhne ko milega, jo niche ke side mein strong player ki maujoodgi ko darshata hai, jiske saath main sell karne ka mauka dhoondunga.

**USD/CAD Forecast: Bearish Momentum Continues, Key Levels and Strategies**

Aaj ka tajzia yeh darshata hai ke USD/CAD currency pair ke liye bearish outlook barqarar hai, jo ke mukhtalif technical indicators aur recent price action se wazeha hai. Traders ko mashwara diya jata hai ke 1.3850 se 1.3840 ke range mein sell orders initiate karein, lekin agar price 1.3870 ko cross kar le to ehtiyaat barati jaye, kyunke yeh ek reversal ka ishara de sakta hai.

**Target aur Risk Management Strategy:**

Is anticipated bearish movement ka primary target 1.3750 level ke qareeb hai. Risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke position ka aadha hissa 1.3790 ke aas paas close kar diya jaye taake kuch gains secure ho sakein, jabke baaqi position ko zyada downside potential capture karne diya jaye.

**Daily Overview:**

Kal ki trading mein USD/CAD ne 1.3845 par open kiya, 1.3857 ka high aur 1.3786 ka low achieve kiya, jo ke lagbhag 71 pips ka substantial trading range indicate karta hai. Market sentiment bearish hai, aur pair abhi daily pivot level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Aane wale sessions mein support levels S1 aur S2 ka test hone ki umeed hai.

**H4 Analysis:**

4-hour chart par, daily timeframe par kuch sideways movement hone ke bawajood, ek persistent bearish trend evident hai. Key technical indicators jo is viewpoint ko support karte hain:
- Weekly resistance ka pehle 1.3850 par test hona.
- RSI 14 bearish momentum signal kar raha hai 50 level ke neeche, pehle overbought conditions ko reach karne ke baad.
- Bearish strength ki tasdeeq bearish engulfing pattern aur subsequent bearish candlesticks se hoti hai.
- MA 30 ke neeche trading, jo ke sustained bearish pressure indicate karta hai.
- Bearish divergence, jo downward pressure ko reinforce karta hai, negative market sentiment ko mazid barhata hai.

**Hourly Insights:**

Hourly chart par bearish sentiment ki mazeed tasdeeq ye hai:
- Rising trend-line ka breakdown.
- EMA-30 ke neeche trading.
- Daily pivot level ke neeche opening.

**Conclusion:**

In technical signals aur current market conditions ko dekhte hue, aaj ki trading ke liye USD/CAD par bearish stance recommend kiya jata hai. Traders ko specified price ranges mein sell positions consider karni chahiye, aur risk ko strategic position adjustments se manage karna chahiye. Critical levels aur indicators par nazar rakhna zaroori hoga taake potential reversals ya mazeed bearish opportunities ko navigate kiya ja sake.Click image for larger version

USDCAD Analysis

Main abhi dollar aur Canadian dollar ka pair dekh raha hoon chaar ghantay ke chart par. Pair ne weekly chart ke opposite range boundaries se bounce kiya. 1.39116 ke resistance se seller's limits ne kaam kiya aur pair neeche chala gaya. 1.37478 ka support break ho gaya aur seller ne zyada volume gain kiya, jis ke baad mujhe laga ke girawat aur neeche tak jaari rahegi.

Aam tor par, main yeh andaza laga raha hoon ke girawat weekly chart ke neeche walay boundaries tak jaari rahegi aur ho sakta hai ke pair aur bhi neeche chala jaye. Main intezaar kar raha hoon ke Canadian dollar strong ho, aur mujhe umeed hai ke dollar sasta hona shuru hoga. Dollar kuch arsay se market par dominate kar raha hai, lekin ab mujhe lagta hai ke iska waqt khatam hone wala hai. Sab currencies devalue hongi, aur banks apni currencies ko devalue karna shuru karenge, jis se pair ka girna jaari rehne ke zyada chances hain.

Main H1 chart ko apna main chart samajhta hoon, aur is par mujhe descending channel nazar aata hai. M15 chart par bhi aise hi lagta hai, jo ke bears ki strength ko confirm karta hai. Is liye, jaise ke maine pehle likha tha, main sell ke options ko dekhunga. Is waqt ke hisaab se behtar hoga ke sales 1.35555 ke upper border se ki jayein. Girawat ka target 1.34726 ke lower border tak hoga.




Agar price 1.35031 ka level torh kar upar jata hai, toh yeh ek bullish sign ho sakta hai, lekin ek strong seller ke hote hue yeh level market ko neeche la sakta hai. Lekin agar consolidation is level ke upar hoti hai, toh growth shuru ho sakti hai. Growth ka pehla point 1.35555 ke level par hoga, jahan se downward movement dobara se shuru hogi, aur mujhe ek mauqa milega ke main sell karoon jab ek strong player downside par nazar aaye.

USD/CAD Analysis

Hum USD/CAD currency pair ke price movement ka jaiza le rahe hain. Yeh pair is waqt consolidation phase mein hai aur lagta hai ke Monday tak yeh trend jaari rehne wala hai. Chart se pata chalta hai ke pair ne abhi haali mein 1.3511 ke resistance level ko test kiya hai aur ab 1.3490 par trade kar raha hai. RSI apni range ke beech mein hai aur upward trend kar raha hai, jabke AO (Awesome Oscillator) ek weak sell signal de raha hai, aur pair pichlay din ke trading range ke upar betha hua hai. Signals toh kaafi faint hain, magar yeh choti si increase ki taraf ishara karte hain. Price dobara 1.3511 ka resistance level test kar sakti hai. Baad mein, USD/CAD pair gir sakta hai, apne lows ko break kar ke naye support levels bana sakta hai. Ek significant critical level weekly time frame mein hai, jisko main closely monitor karoon ga. Reversal pattern bhi wazeh hai. Price ne chaar ghantay ke chart par ek crucial support level ko break kiya hai, jo maine weekly breakdown mein identify kiya tha, yeh dikhaata hai ke bulls ke paas aage barhnay ka mauqa hai.





Abhi direction ka tay hona thoda mushkil hai, lekin keemti waqt se retracement na honay ki wajah se, yeh lagta hai ke current trend jaari rehne ke chances barh gaye hain. Yahan yeh baat note karni zaroori hai ke Canadian dollar ke pair mein abhi tak bearish trajectory mein koi bara tabadla nahi aaya, aur niche jaane ke aur bhi chances hain. Magar, haali girawat ruk gayi hai, aur 1.351 ke upar jaane ki koshish hui thi, lekin pair is level ko barqarar nahi rakh saka. Yeh baat bhi aham hai ke U.S. dollar ko thoda support mila, halaan ke weak economic indices release hue. Sab se bara sawal yeh hai ke Monday ko trading kaise unfold hogi, jab ke U.S. aur Canada dono chhutti manayenge.

In tamaam developments ke bawajood, mera nazariya bearish hi hai. Agar pair wapas pull back karta hai aur 1.3576 ke upar chala jata hai, toh main is point par sell karne ke mauqay ko dekhun ga.

USD/CAD Analysis

Main abhi USD/CAD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka detailed analysis kar raha hoon. Apni analysis ki buniyad par, main abhi bhi USD/CAD ko sell kar raha hoon. Kal maine mention kiya tha ke price 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level par tha aur kaafi der tak wahan hi raha. Yeh level CCI indicator se bhi support ho raha tha, jo ke support area ko mazid mazboot banata hai. Is ke bawajood, price behavior se yeh lagta nahi ke buyers price ko upar le kar jaayenge. Is ke bar'aks, bohot zyada chance hai ke USD/CAD support area ko break kar ke neeche giraawat mein chala jaye. Main ne kal raat ek sell order place kiya, lekin us se zyada faida nahi hua. Aaj price thoda neeche girta dikhai diya, toh maine ek aur position enter ki.

Mera target 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai, jo ek significant bullish trend se nikala gaya hai. Price is level tak giray gi aur yahan rukne ke chances hain.

Umeed hai ke hum hamesha achi news mein rahain, aur umeed hai ke hum ne Friday ko is haftay ki trading se apne profits withdraw kiye honge. Aaj subha main ne USD/CAD currency pair ki movement ka analysis karne ki koshish ki, fundamental aur technical analysis ka istemal karte hue, taake agle orders ke liye strategy banai ja sake. Friday raat ko USD/CAD ki movement bohot surprising thi, jab price 1.35850 se gir ke 1.3505 tak chali gayi, lagbhag 80 pips ka girawat. Yeh decline Canadian dollar ki strengthening ki wajah se tha, jo ke core retail sales data release ke baad 0.3% barh gaya tha, aur retail sales bhi pichlay mahine se 0.5% barhi thi. Is ki wajah se USD/CAD 80 pips gir gaya.




Is ke ilawa, US dollar ka exchange rate bhi significant tor par weaken ho gaya, jab Jerome Powell ne kaha ke FED interest rate agle mahine 5.00 ya shayad 4.50 tak kam kiya ja sakta hai. Is wajah se investors withdraw kar rahe hain, aur USD/CAD 1.3505 tak gir gaya. Mere fundamental analysis ke mutabiq, Monday ko USD/CAD ki movement abhi bhi waisi hi lag rahi hai.