Aam tor par sab kuch bahut achha ja raha hai dakchhin disha mein, lekin sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke bear support zone ke zariye dakchhin jaega, jo ke price levels 1.3679–1.3616 par maujood hai. Mere khayal mein is zone ke ilaqa mein do options hain: ya to bear ise tor dega aur price dheere-dheere 1.2997 tak neeche jaega jahan tak ke mere faiday hain, ya phir bas is ilaqa mein humein ek full-scale taqatwar oopar ki taraf movement milay gi. USD/CAD pair ne puri pichli hafte neeche ki taraf idhar udhar kiya. Main ise ek flat dakchhin ki taraf kehta hoon; haftawar ki range sirf 90 points thi. Is tarah pair apni current range ko sahi tarah se bhi kaam nahi kar sakta. Mujhe nahi pata ke is pair ko hilane ke liye kaun se drivers zaroorat honge (ya phir hum unhe dekhenge bhi ya nahi). Is liye abhi tak scenario waisa hi hai: uttar uttar slope range ke andar hai. Lekin yahan se ek aur chota sa pullback uttar ki taraf zaroorat hogi, kyun ke is waqt stochastic H4 is currency pair ko oversold batayega.
Phir se tootay hue support 1.3670 test ke liye rukawat banega, jo ke agay barhne ke liye resistance ban jayega, aur mujhe ummeed hai ke is test ke baad USD/CAD ki keemat neeche ja kar agay barhne ke liye shuru ho jayegi aur fall mein mazeed tezi hasil karegi, pehle ki upward trend ko downward four-hour movement ke andar badal diya. Haan, agar USD/CAD ke quotes dakchhin shuru line 1.3678 ke neeche tod kar consolidate ho jaayen, to is kaam ko pura kiya jayega, phir se 1.3790 ke high se primary downward impulse activate ho jayega, aur Canadian dollar pehle impulse zone 1.3609 tak apne dakchhin pullback ko jaari rakh sakta hai. Yeh faisla karna mushkil hai ke yeh level bilkul accurately kaam kiya jayega, aur sellers ki correctional possibilities limited ho sakti hain last corner ke dynamic support se aur zone 1.3660–1.3640 se, jahan se USD/CAD ki keemat phir se uttar ki taraf muda sakti hai. Is waqt mein zyada inclined hoon ke loonie ne apna southern correction abhi tak mukammal nahi kiya hai, lekin din abhi shuru hua hai aur sab kuch badal sakta hai."
Hope this helps!
تبصرہ
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