usd/jpy

Agar USD/JPY ki qeemat 156.88 se ooper chali jati hai, to iska matlab hai ke kharidaar ek naye uptrend ki taraf ja rahe hain jo ke critical 157.23 resistance level ko chhoo raha hai. Ye level bohot ahem hai kyunke ye mazeed qeemat ke barhne mein rukawat paida karta hai. Agar qeemat is level ko paar kar leti hai, to ye strong bullish momentum ka ishara hai, jo dikhata hai ke kharidaar control mein hain aur kharidari jaari rakhne ka irada rakhte hain. Isse qeemat mein mazeed izafa hoga. Jab qeemat in resistance levels ko paar karti hai, to ye market ka confidence dikhata hai ke upward movement ho rahi hai. Traders is progression ko ek positive sign ke tor par dekhte hain, jo dikhata hai ke kharidaar zyada taqatwar ho rahe hain aur apni qeemat ko mazeed ooper push karne ka hausla rakhte hain. 157.30 level par, kharidaar khaas tor par mazboot hain, aur unki mojoodgi bullish sentiment ko reinforce karti hai.

156.88 level ko paar karna USD/JPY pair ke liye naye upward trend ki shuruaat ko zahir karta hai. Traders is movement ko ghaur se dekhte hain jab ye 157.23 resistance level ke kareeb pohonchti hai. Agar ye level paar ho jata hai, to ye strong bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai aur market mein kharidaaron ke confidence ko mazboot banata hai. In resistance levels ke paar hone ki progression kharidaaron ki barhati hui taqat ko dikhata hai, khaas tor par unki mojoodgi 157.30 level par.

156.83 resistance level par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hai, chahe jo bhi scenario samnay aaye. Ye level potential upward movement ke liye aik key indicator ka kaam karega. Agar qeemat is level ko successfully break karke iske ooper consolidate kar leti hai, to ye upward trend ki taqat ko confirm karega aur higher resistance levels ki taraf continuation ko zahir karega. Maujooda resistance level ke kareeb do potential scenarios hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke qeemat 156.83 resistance level ko break karke barh jaye. Is surat mein, meri primary focus qeemat ke agle resistance level 156.90-157.40 ki taraf movement par hogi. Main is level par nazar rakhunga ke qeemat apni upward trajectory ko maintain karke iske ooper consolidate kar sakti hai ya nahi.

Maujooda market manzar mein, USD/JPY pair 153.34 ke resistance zone ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, jo ek mumkinah muroor ka nishan hai. Haal hi mein ek niche dikhayi gayi dar se bawajood, kharidaron mein isteqamat ka mehsoos hai, jo aane wale trading sessions mein bullish bias ka jari rahne ka zahir kar raha hai. Is nazar se, maqbul nazar se, 25 se 35 pips tak ka mamooli take-profit target set karna wise ho sakta hai. Lekin, woh log jo apne nafa ko ziada karna chahte hain, unhe news-driven trades mein shamil hona chahiye ek behtar trading plan ke saath jo mukammal ho. USD/JPY ke daily chart ki tafseelati tehqiqat mein, ek bullish pattern ke ishaarat hain jo jald hi unfold ho sakta hai, kharidaron ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka moqa faraham karta hai. Kharidaron ke expectations ke mutabiq ke resistance levels jald hi tor denge, isliye trading strategies ko mutabiqan adjust kiya jana chahiye. Yeh munasib hai ke kharidaron ki positions ko barqarar rakha jaye jabke effective risk management practices jaise stop-loss orders ko istemal kiya jaye, khaaskar mahinon mein jab significant news events volatility ko layeinge.

Mukhtalif news data ko gehrai se ghoorna aur agle aane wale news events ko hisaab se tayyar trading plan ko shamil karna, US trading session ki taraf nazar rakhna lazmi hai. News data ko qareebi tor par monitor karte hue aur bazaar ki dynamics ke sath tabdiliyon ke mutabiq apne aap ko adjust karte hue, traders apne trading performance ko behtar bana sakte hain aur aane wale moqaat ko faida utha sakte hain.

Market sentiment ka zyada durust samajhne ke liye, aaj ke US trading session ke khulne ka intezar karna behtareen hai. Yeh valuable insights faraham karega jo bazaar ki raah ka sahi faisla karne mein ghaltiyon se bacha sakta hai. Sabr aur bazaar ke aghazat ke mutabiq reh kar, traders ghair musaraf faislon ko le kar mukammal karte hue, apne trading performance ko behtar bana sakte hain aur forex landscape mein aane wale moqaat ka faida utha sakte hain.

Mukhtasir taur par, USD/JPY market kharidaron ke liye maqbul shiraa'it ko pesh karti hai, ek bullish trend continuation ke ishaarat ke sath. News-driven trades mein tajwezati shirkat, mukammal risk management practices ke saath, trading outcomes ko optimize kar sakti hai. Bazaar ke dynamics ke mutabiq jaanibdar reh kar aur volatile mahaul mein navigational karte hue, traders taraqqi kar sakte hain aur forex landscape mein munasib moqaat ko hasil kar sakte hain.

Is Jumme ko, USDJPY market phir se 157.00 ke psychological resistance level ka samna karegi. Ye tay karega ke market mein agle zyada mumkin raaste ka faisla kya hoga. Agar level tor diya jata hai toh bullish logon ko agay barhane ka moqa milega. Agar nakam hojata hai, toh bears ko larai karne aur price ko neeche le jane ke liye achay wajah mil jayengi. Ye level pehle bhi bar bar bull ko rokne mein kamiyab raha hai. Mujhe hairat hai ke kya aaj phir se is ka dohrao hoga? Ya phir is level ka breakthrough hoga? Chalo, daily trading diagram mein technical tayariyon ke mutabiq, bullish movement ko support mil raha hai. Relative Strength Index 50.00 ke ooper hai, jo upar ki taraf ishara karta hai aur agar price usi tarah chalti hai, toh jald he hum 157.00 ke level ko dekh sakte hain. Agar is level ko paar kiya jata hai toh price 157.70 ke level ki taraf jaegi, phir 158.00 ke psychological level par hamla hoga. Dusri taraf, agar 157.00 ka resistance level qaim rehta hai, toh bears 156.00 ke price mark ki taraf jaenge. Is level ke neeche, bearish targets 155.300 hain. Is level ke neeche, psychological significant support level 155.00 hai. Agar ye level tor jata hai toh pair nuksan barhayega. 4 ghanton ka trading diagram ishara deta hai ke... aur price pehle se he upar ki taraf ja chuki hai. Technical indicators bullish hain aur mujhe quotes ko mutabiq upar ki taraf barhne ka intezar hai 157.00 ke level ki taraf. Magar, agar is level ke neeche kamiyabi se gir jata hai toh 156.30 ke level ko expose karega. Is level ke neeche, 156.00 aur 155.70 hain. Agar price barhta hai, toh mujhe 157.70 ke level ke upar quotes ko umeed hai. Is level ke upar, buyers ke liye dilchaspi ke points 157.00 aur 157.70 hain. Is level ke upar, bulls ko 157.90 mein dilchaspi hogi. Chalo, dekhte hain agle arse mein kya hota hai. Mazeed acha weekend guzaren, dosto!

USD/JPY H-1 Ham abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ka jayeza le rahe hain. Hamare hafta khatam hotay hue, chaliye technical analysis istemal karke corresponding chart ka jayeza karte hain. Humare paas ab bhi ek bullish two-kopeck piece chal raha hai, jo ke indicator dwara neela rang mein mark hai, aur diagonal lines as pass ke supports ka kaam kar rahe hain zahir wajahon ke liye. Kal, mukhtalif currencies ne Friday ko hone wale ahem economic events ka jawab acha diya, khaaskar "average hourly wages and changes in non-agricultural employment" statistics positive rahe, jo hamare terminal mein noticeable volatility ka sabab bana. Jaise he main baad mein daily chart ka tajziya karoonga, pehle Price Action method par focus karte hue, yaad rahe ke 6 June ko humne "bullish engulfing" candle pattern dekha tha, jo 155.11 tak correction ke baad 200 points se zyada izafa laaya.

Aksar, USD/JPY pair ne 155.89 level par mazboot support ko bhi pehchana hai. Ye support level price ko mazeed girne se rokta hai. Agar price is level se neeche gir jata hai, toh agla downside target doosra support level 155.57 hoga. Is level ko tor jana bearish pressure ko barhne ka ishara dega, aur traders mazeed girawat ka intezar kar sakte hain. Ye doosra support level bearish trend ka jari rakhne ya price ka rebound hone ka andaaza lagane mein ahem hoga. In support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan interaction traders ko potential market movements ke baray mein ahem insights faraham karta hai. Maslan, jab price kisi resistance level ke qareeb aati hai, traders breakout ya reversal ke signs dekhenge. Agar price resistance level ko paar kar jata hai, toh ye strong bullish sentiment aur mazeed izafay ki sambhavna ko darust karti hai. Lekin, agar price resistance ko torne mein nakam hoti hai, toh ye reversal aur price ke support levels ki taraf girne ka ishara ho sakta hai.




Isi tarah, jab price kisi support level ke qareeb aati hai, traders breakdown ya rebound ke signs dekhenge. Agar price support level ko tor jata hai, toh ye strong bearish sentiment aur mazeed nuqsan ko darust karta hai. Magar, agar support level qaim rehta hai, toh ye potential rebound aur buyers ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka moqa darust karta hai. Kul milake, ye support aur resistance levels trading decisions banane ke liye ahem points hote hain. In levels ke ird gird price ka behavior nazdeek se dekhte hue, traders potential entry aur exit points ka pata lagate hain, risk ko manage karte hain, aur market movements ka faida uthate hain. Toh saaransh mein, USD/JPY pair ke movement 156.49 resistance aur 155.89 support levels ke ird gird agle ahem trend ko tay karna mein pivotal sabit hoga, chahe woh bullish ho ya bearish.

USD/JPY Price Dynamics Abhi hum USD/JPY currency pair ki movement ka tajziya karne par tawajjo de rahe hain. 157.55 par ek jari rehne wale girawat ka potential hai, jo shayad mazeed neeche jaane se pehle ek false breakout ka sabab banega. Agar pair 156.63 level ko paar kar jata hai aur iske neeche qaim rehta hai, toh ye ek selling opportunity ko darust karega. Resistance 158.06 ke aas paas hai, jahan se girawat jari reh sakti hai. 156.53 ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ka samna ho sakta hai, jahan par 156.65 ke aas paas support note kiya gaya hai. Main 155.90 ki taraf girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon. 155.88 ko tor kar aur iske neeche qaim hone se selling ka signal 155.28 ki taraf hota hai. 158.10 ke aas paas resistance bhi mazeed girawat ko darust kar sakta hai. 155.26 ke neeche girne se mazeed girawat ka samna mumkin hai. Market growth ek corrective surge hai jise ek false breakout follow karta hai, jo suggest karta hai ke selling 157.44 ke breakdown hone tak mumkin hai.



H4 time frame mein, maximum ko tor kar trend line ko ek naye low par adjust kiya gaya, jo 157.96 tak jari reh sakta hai, 158.05 ki taraf barhne ke liye. H1 time frame mein USD/JPY pair ke forecast sahi sabit hua; breakdown din ke end ke qareeb hua, subah ke support ne ise 157.16 tak barhaya, baad mein 157.46 tak pohanch gaya. Jab European session shuru hua, ek tez pullback ne pehle tor diye gaye level ko test kiya, jo ek rebound ka sabab bana, aur pair ab 157.29 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. USD/JPY ka rawaiya American aur European sessions ke darmiyan qabil-e-paishadah lagta hai. Dopahar ke statistics ke baad, buyers kehte huye ke price ko 157.53 tak le jaya ja sakta hai aur transition ke end tak 157.89 ki taraf nishana banaya ja sakta hai. Magar, bullish momentum news backdrop ke zariye behtar kiya ja sakta hai, jo pair ke dynamics ko rok sakta hai. Behtareen hal ye hoga ke agla session pair ko 157.86 tak pohanchaye; agar nahi, toh ek aur buying opportunity ke liye 156.94 tak giravat ho sakti hai. Maqsad ye hai ke trend ko ulta karne se bachaya jaye, jisme buyers ab bhi market ko hold karte hain.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis
Is haftay ke trading ka daam ek upward gap ke saath shuru hua, phir ise pura karne ke liye gir gaya, phir ek baar phir se barhna shuru hua, aur abhi tak do hafton ke price movement ko reflect karne wale price channels ke andar trade jaari hai. Darmiyan channel lines ke bunyadi lines ke mutabiq, daam ab tak move hua hai, lekin ab woh haftay ka resistance level 157.10 tak pohanch chuka hai. Ye mumkin hai ke ye ek price correction ka sabab ban jaye. Magar jab daam neechay ke channel lines tak pohanchega, toh ye correction ka ikhtitam signal karega, aur jaise he woh upper channel lines tak pohanchega, ye maujooda peak ko torne ka ishara karega.




Daily chart

Ab tak, naye maheenay ke daily chart mein dono candles channel middle lines se support le rahe hain, isliye dono candles ko support milne ke zyada imkaanat hain. Pair ka daam abhi significant monthly pivot level 156.70 ke ooper trade kar raha hai. Ye darust karta hai ke is mahine ke price channels aur pivot indicator levels pair ke overall upward trend ko support kar rahe hain, jo traders ke liye unke strategies mein ghor karne ke liye ek ahem point hai. Mazeed, daam monthly pivot level tak gir sakta hai phir upper trend ko jaari rakhta hai, isliye price movement ke do mumkin outcomes hain. Pehla qadam is maqsad ko hasil karne ka ye hai ke daam ko is waqt se barhaya jaye jahan woh abhi hai. Dusra, ye monthly pivot level tak gir sakta hai aur phir usi level tak pohanch kar phir se barh sakta hai. Is haftay, pair investors ke liye behtareen mauqa pesh karta hai kyunki price monthly pivot level tak gir sakti hai aur phir usi se ooncha bounce back kar sakta hai, investors ke liye pair ko khareedne ka acha mauqa peda karta hai.

Pair ne chauthay musalsal din ke liye musbat taur par trading ki hai, Jumeraat ke early Asian session mein 156.70 ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Ye izafa badi had tak is tajassus se kiya gaya hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) mukhtalif inflation ke sabab se zyada arsey tak buland interest rates ko qaim rakh sakta hai. Magar, Japanese authorities ki foreign exchange markets mein mumkinah dakhil karwai ke lehaz se pair ke upside potential ko mehdood kar sakta hai.
Japan Mein Ma'ashi Tangi:

Japan ki ma'ashi imdaad ne pehle quarter mein contraction ka samna kiya, jo ke Cabinet Office ne Thursday ko riport kiya. Ibtidai GDP figures ne Q1 mein 0.5% quarter-on-quarter shrinkage dikhayi, Q4 2023 mein 0.1% expansion ke baad, jo ke 0.4% contraction ke muntazir se bura tha. Saalana basis par, GDP ne 2.0% ki contract ki, jise muntazir 1.5% contraction se guzar kar 0.4% expansion ko palat diya. Ye muntazir se kam GDP growth ne Japanese Yen (JPY) mein farokht ko barhawa diya.

Inflation aur Retail Sales Amerika Mein:

Amerika mein core CPI inflation, jo ke volatile food aur energy prices ko shamil nahi karta, April mein 3.8% se 3.6% year-on-year tak kam hua, jo ke US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ne Wednesday ko riport kiya. Mazeed, US Retail Sales April mein wahi rahi, March mein 0.6% izafa ke baad, jo ke market ki 0.4% growth se kam thi.



H4 Chart USD/JPY Movement aur Technical Analysis:

Thursday ko, USD/JPY pair ne tezi se izafa dekha, haftay ke unchaaiyon se 157.09 ke qareeb se 157.00 mark tak trade hua. Ye qareebi giravat ke bawajood, jo Yen ki relief rally ki wajah se hui, USD/JPY pair buland rehne ka silsila jaari hai, 154.56 se gir kar jo ke multi-decade highs se upar 160.00 ke qareeb se hue the.

Pair mazbooti se bullish territory mein hai, 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 155.98 par trade kar raha hai. Nazdeeki technical support 50-day EMA par milta hai, jo ke 156.47 par mojood hai, jise mazboot support level samjha jaa sakta hai jo pair ke upward momentum ko barqarar rakh sakta hai.

Jumeraat ke Europi session mein jodi 157.10 tak barh gayi, jo ke significant market movements ko reflect karti hai. Lekin, asset jaldi hi wapas chali gayi jab ke US Dollar teesri musalsal trading session ke doran apni girawat ki raah par raha. DXY ne 104.90 ke upar chadhna muqarrar kiya jabke investors apna ittefaq rakhte rahe ke Federal Reserve (Fed) farward mein September mein interest rates ko kam karne ka aaghaz karega.
Japan Sarkar Ka FX Market Par Harkat

Wazir-e-Khazana Shunichi Suzuki ne kaha ke Japan sarkar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke saath taawun karegi foreign exchange (FX) market ke hawale se. Unho ne stress kiya ke sarkar tamaam zaroori iqdaam uthayegi taake istiqamat bana rahe. Japani authorities ki yeh mumkin interventional koshish Japanese Yen (JPY) ko support denay mein madad kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY jodi ke upside potential ko mehdood kar sakti hai.

Fed Ke Rate Cuts Par Bahas

April mein US Producer Price Index (PPI) tawaqo se zyada hone ke bawajood, afsos hai ke Fed September mein karza lenay ke dar par mazid tafteeshain mojood hain. Investors rate cuts par pur ittefaq hain, khaaskar baad mein jab Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne mazeed policy tight karne ke mumkinat ko rad kar diya. Lekin, Powell ne ishara kiya ke mojooda interest rates ko lamba arsa tak barqarar rakha ja sakta hai.

Technical Tahlil aur Behtar Hali

Thursday ko USD/JPY ke liye aik technical behtar hali nazar aayi, jo jodi ko 156.50 ke upar le gayi. Lekin, ahem technical rukawat 152.77 ki 100-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par note ki gayi hai. Halankeh jodi haal hi mein 157.00 ke upar swing high se neeche hai, lekin yeh 153.80 ke qareeb qareeb se aik recovery trend ko darust karti hai.




Jodi mazeed bullish territory mein mazbooti se trade kar rahi hai, jo ke 155.01 par 50-day EMA ke oopar hai aur 156.35 par 20-day EMA ke kafi oopar hai. BoJ ke hali mein dakhal ki afwahon ke bawajood, jodi ne 2024 mein 10% se zyada izafa kiya hai, jo aik mazboot upri raftar ko darust karti hai.

Jodi ne Jumeraat ke early Asian session mein 157.00 ke qareeb se faiday kaat liye. Ye harkat Ameerika ke CPI inflation data ke naram-tareen hone ke natayaj mein aayi hai, jo ne US Dollar (USD) par farokht dabao daala hai. Lekin, asal currency pair mein ek mamooli behtar hali dekhi gayi hai, jo ke Japan ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures ke pehle quarter of 2024 ke naram-tareen hone ke zimmedar hai.
USD/JPY ke asool:

Naram-tareen US inflation data ne 2024 mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cut hone ki zyada sambhavna ko barha diya hai. Maaliyat ke market ab yeh tawaqo kar rahe hain ke Fed mazeed behtar inflation metrics ka saboot dekhay ga. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne haal hi mein kaha ke US inflation muntashir hone ke tawaqo se zyada mazboot reh sakta hai, jo ke Fed ko apnay 2% hadaf tak pohanchanay ke liye ziada darust interest rates barqarar rakhne par majboor kar sakta hai. CME's FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, investors ne ab September 2024 tak ke rate cut ke liye lagbhag 72% ke qareeb ke imkanat qeemat lagayi hain, jo ke US CPI data ke izhaar se pehle 65% thi.




Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Naram-tareen inflation data ke bawajood, jodi mein mazeed harkat ka imkan hai. Market mein 156.00 area ke qareeb dakhil hone wale kharid-dar apni positions ko barqarar rakhte hain, jahan kam munafa dekha gaya hai. Ye surat-e-haal trade mein thori tanaza ki surat paida karti hai, jo ke kharid-dar ko buland qeemat denay par majboor karta hai. Jabke 160.00 level par chalang lagana mushkil hai, lekin pehle 156.76 tak aur phir 158.00 tak behtar hali mumkin nazar aati hai. Ye levels dobara aik market intervention ka khatra khole sakte hain.

Neeche ki taraf, agar bearish jazbaat ghalba ho aur jodi 156.26 ke Senkou Span A ke neeche giray, to ye May 16 ke kam se kam 153.62 tak mazeed giravat ka bais ban sakta hai. Is ke neeche mazeed support levels hain, jahan agla ahem level Senkou Span B 153.26 par hai, jo ke mazeed Ichimoku Cloud ke oopar 151.96 ke qareeb slid ho sakta hai.

Is hafte ke trading ka qeemat kaar harkat ek numaya upar ki taraf ka gap ke saath shuru hua, jo bullish jazbat ke liye ek umeed afza nishan hai. Lekin, thodi der baad, ye gap band kar gaya, jazbat mein tabdeeli ka aik imkan dikhate hue. Is ibtedai rukawat ke bawajood, market phir se apni bulandi ki taraf rawana hui, halqay mein raftar ke halqay ke andar safai se ghira hua hai jo hal mein hue do hafton ke keemat ki harkaton ko samaitte hain. Ye halqay keemat ke mojooda rukh ke bare mein qeemti maloomat faraham karte hain.
Markazi halqay ki lakeeron ka jaiza lene se keemat ke safar ki had tak maloom hoti hai. Lekin, mojooda bulandi ko haftawar ki resistance level 157.10 par aik ahem rukawat ka samna hai. Ye juncture aik ahem lamha pesh karta hai, jo ke keemat ki harkat mein ek islahi marhala ko shuru kar sakta hai. Magar, aisi islahiyo ka amoman fayde mand traders ke liye aane wale bulandi mein faida uthane ka moqa faraham karte hain.

Naye mahine ke daily chart ka mazeed tajziya ummed afza nishanat ko highlight karta hai. Is time frame mein dono candles channel ke darmiyan ki lakeeron se madad hasil karte hain, jo mojooda trend mein thori istiqamat ko darust karte hain. Mazeed se, keemat ab momentous monthly pivot level 156.70 ke oopar phail gayi hai, jodi ke liye mukhtasar bullish jazbat ko talte hue. Keemat ke channels aur pivot indicators ke darmiyan is ittehad ne upar ki rukh ki taqat ko underscore kiya hai, jo traders ko unke strategies ke liye qeemti rehnumai faraham karta hai.




Mumkinah manazir ka jaiza lene mein, qareebi muddat mein keemat ki harkat ke liye do mumkinah nataij hain. Pehli baat, keemat apni mojooda position se rawana rukh ikhtiyar kar sakti hai, jo ke chal rahi bullish raftar se munsalik hai. Dosri taraf, ye mahine ka pivot level ko temporary tor par gir sakta hai phir apni upar ki rukh ko dobara shuru karega. Dono manaziron mein traders ko market mein maqami rukh ke sath chalne ya temporary giravat ka faida uthane ka moqa faraham hota hai.

Sarmaya daron ke liye behtareen waqt ka tajziya karte hue, ye hafte sarmaya dari ke liye numaya moqa samne ata hai. Mahine ke pivot level tak ek giravat ke baad ek mazeed bounce ka imkan aik kashish afza entry point faraham karta hai. Aisi keemat dynamics sarmaya daro ko ek mufeed risk-inaam tajziya faraham karte hain, jo forex market ke complexities mein sahi waqt aur strategy ke tajziya ko underline karta hai.

USD/JPY: Keemat ki Harkat Ka Kirdar
Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda keemat ki harkat ki tajziya par mabni hai. Ghanton ke chart par, keemat ek buland channel ke andar hai. Kal, jodi is channel ke ooper had tak chadh gayi, 156.90 tak pohanch gayi, phir rukh badal kar neeche ki taraf rawana hui. Hafta ke shuru mein, keemat neeche ki taraf jaari rah sakti hai, jis se woh buland channel ke nichle kinaray tak 155.35 tak gir sakta hai. Is nichle had tak pohanchne ke baad, aik rukh badal sakta hai, aur keemat dobara channel ke ooper kinaray tak barh sakti hai. Ya to, keemat is channel se bahar gir sakti hai, jis se jodi mazeed 154.57 tak gir sakta hai.




Aik ghalat breakout 157.71 par mumkin hai, jo farokht ka moqa faraham karega. Kal, 155.36 ke qareeb jaane ka imkan tha, jo ke ek giravat ka ibteda darust karta hai. Keemat girne se pehle aik ahem izafa hua, jo ke keemat ka girne ka tawajjuh deta hai, jis se kharid-dar ka mazboot dilchaspi ka izhar hota hai. Kharid-dar haar nahi rahe hain, aur izafa jari hai. 157.11 par ek aur ghalat breakout mumkin hai, jise ek musalsal giravat follow kar sakti hai. Agar halat is mojooda levels se gir jayein, to giravat mazeed tezi se barh jayegi. 157.11 par aik aur ghalat breakout bhi mumkin hai, jari giravat ko dobara shuru karta hai. 155.11 level se guzarna aur is ke neeche qadam jamana farokht ki nishani hogi. 157.11 range mein rukawat mojood hai, jahan se giravat jari ho sakti hai. 155.11 level ka tootna giravat ko mazeed lamba kar dega. 155.11 ke aas paas support hai; giravat is level ke neeche jaari reh sakti hai. Mai 154.56 tak girne ka intezar hai. Is level ko toorna aur is ke neeche qaabu hasil karna mazboot farokht ki nishani hogi jo ke ummed afza mawad faraham karega. In ahem levels ko nigrani mein rakhna potential breakouts aur reversals ko pehchanne aur strategic trading faislay ko yaqeeni banane ke liye ahem hai.

Haal Ki Market Harkat Ka Jaiza aur Fed Ke Rate Cuts Par Tafteesh:
Currency pair ne Jumeraat ke Europi session mein 157.10 tak numaya barhav ka samna kiya, jo ke mazeed market harkaton ko numaya karta hai. Lekin, asset jaldi hi apne faiday wapas le gaya jab US Dollar teesre musalsal trading session ke doran apni girawat ki raah par raha. Dollar Index (DXY) ne 104.90 ke upar chadhna muqarrar kiya jabke investors Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rates ko September mein kam karne ke imkan par apna ittefaq barkarar rakhte rahe.

Japan Sarkar Ka FX Market Mein Shamil Hona:

Wazir-e-Khazana Shunichi Suzuki ne ilan kiya ke Japan sarkar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke saath foreign exchange (FX) market ke hawale se qareebi taawun karegi. Unho ne sarkar ki istiqamat ko barqarar rakhne ke liye tamaam zaroori iqdaamat uthane ka zikar kiya. Japani authorities ki yeh mumkin interventional koshish Japanese Yen (JPY) ko support denay mein madad kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY jodi ke upside potential ko mehdood kar sakti hai.

Fed Ke Rate Cut Faislay Ke Hawale Se Tafteesh:

April mein US Producer Price Index (PPI) tawaqo se zyada hone ke bawajood, Fed ke karza lenay ke dar par tafteeshen mazboot hain jo ke September mein shuru honay ka faisla karega. Investors rate cuts ke baray mein mazeed pur ittefaq hote ja rahe hain, khaaskar baad mein jab Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne mazeed policy tight karne ke mumkinat ko rad kar diya. Lekin, Powell ne ishara kiya ke mojooda interest rates ko lamba arsa tak barqarar rakha ja sakta hai.

Technical Tahlil aur Market Ki Behtar Hali:

Thursday ko USD/JPY ke liye aik technical behtar hali dekhi gayi, jis ne jodi ko 156.50 ke upar le gayi. Lekin, ahem technical rukawat 152.77 ki 100-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par note ki gayi hai. Halankeh jodi haal hi mein 157.00 ke upar swing high se neeche hai, lekin yeh 153.80 ke qareeb qareeb se aik recovery trend ko darust karti hai.

Jodi mazbooti se bullish territory mein trade karti hai, 155.01 par 50-day EMA ke oopar aur 156.35 par 20-day EMA ke kafi oopar hai. Haal ki BoJ ki dakhal ki afwahon ke bawajood, jodi ne 2024 mein 10% se zyada izafa kiya hai, jo ke aik mazboot upri raftar ko darust karta hai.

Ikhtitami Faisla:

Aakhir mein, currency markets ko technical factors, fundamental data releases, aur central bank policies ke ird gird tafteeshon ka aik majmooa asar hota hai. Haal ki USD/JPY jodi ke harkaton mein US Dollar aur Japanese Yen ke darmiyan chalti hui dynamics ka asar numaya hai, jahan investors Fed ke potential rate cuts aur Japan sarkar aur Bank of Japan ki dakhal par nazar rakhte hain.

156.56 ke keemat ke imtehaan tab hua jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se numaya tor par upar rawana hokar jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko mehdood kiya. Is wajah se, maine kharidari nahi ki. Kyunki yeh Ameeriki session ke ikhtitam ke qareeb hua, is wakt market mein koi naye dakhilay ke mauqe nahi mile. Kal Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj Japan ki ma'ashi sargarmiyon ke indicators ne yen ko mazbooti di. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI economists ke tawaqoat ko par kiya, jo USD/JPY jodi ka halka neeche ki taraf islahi rukh paida karte hain. Lekin, abhi tak wazeh nahi hai ke yen kharid-dar kitna waqt tak mukhtalif rahenge, khaaskar ek bullish dollar market mein jab Federal Reserve ne interest rates par mazboot stand ikhtiyar kiya hai.
Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line ke nazdeek) ke aas pass milti julti point par khareedna irada karta hoon, jis ka maqsad 157.15 (graph par moti hari line ke nazdeek) tak chadhav hai. 157.15 ke aas paas, main khareedari band karne aur farokht kholne ka irada rakhta hoon, 30-35 points ke neeche ki ek harkat ka intezar karte hue us level se. Aaj, main is par pair ka taraqqi karne ka aitmaad rakhta hoon jab ke trend jari hai.

Ahem: Khareedne se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke oopar hai aur sirf is se upar rawana hone wala hai. Main USD/JPY ko bhi khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar MACD indicator oversold region mein hota hai aur 156.56 ke keemat par do mawqay ke imtehaan hote hain. Ye jodi ke neeche ke potential ko mehdood karega aur upar ki market ki rukh ko palat sakta hai. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke levels par izafa ki umeed hai. Aaj, main sirf is par pair ko bechne ka irada rakhta hoon jab yeh 156.56 ke level se neeche girta hai (graph par laal line ke nazdeek), jo jodi mein foran giravat paida karta hai. Farokht karne walon ke liye asal target 156.30 hoga, jahan par main farokht band karne aur kharid-dari ka darwaza kholne ka irada rakhta hoon, 20-25 points ke ooper ki ek harkat ka intezar karte hue us level se. Agar jodi daily high ke aas paas qaim nahi hoti to farokht ki dabao wapas aa sakti hai. Ahem: Farokht karne se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur sirf is se neeche rawana hone wala hai. Agar MACD indicator overbought area mein hota hai aur 156.80 ke keemat par do mawqay ke imtehaan hote hain, to aaj main bhi USD/JPY ko bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon. Ye jodi ke upar ke potential ko mehdood karega aur neeche ki market ki rukh ko palat sakta hai. 156.56 aur 156.30 ke levels par giravat ki umeed hai. Jab diary update ki gayi, keemat waqtan-fa-waqt 156.99 par tham gayi. Kharid-dar ka control mazboot nazar aata hai, jo ke prices ko upar aur haftawar ki kam se kam zone se door kar raha hai.

Aane wale hafte ke liye, USD/JPY jodi ka bullish trend jari rehne ka tajwez hai, jis ka irada ek buland zone ki taraf rawana hone ka hai. Umeed hai ke kharid-dar market par qabza karenge kyunki peechle haftay ke trend ko dekhte hue prices ko neeche ki taraf islahi harkat dikhayi deti hai. Is hafte ki bullish candlestick market ke liye momentum faraham kar sakti hai, jo ke aane wale hafte tak chadhav ko jari rakhne degi.

USD/JPY H-1
Hum abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki taqatwar qeemat ka amli rawayya jaari kar rahe hain. Hamari hafte khatam hoti ja rahi hai, chaliye takhleeqi tajziyah ke tor par dekhte hain aur takhleeqi analysis ke zariye mutabiq chart ko dekhte hain. Hamare paas ab bhi ek bullish do-kopeck piece mojud hai, jo ke nishandah hai neela rang istemal kar ke, jis ke diagonal lines nazdeek ki sahara deti hain wazeh wajahon ke liye. Kal, aham currency Friday ke mohtamim arzi ahem maqami waaqiyat ke jawab mein behtareen taur par jawab diya, khaaskar, "average hourly wages aur non-agricultural employment mein tabdiliyan" shumar ke statistics musbat thin, jo hamare terminal mein qabil-e ghor liye jatay hain. Halankeh main rozana ka chart baad mein tajziya karoonga, pehle Price Action method par tawajjo dena, toh ahem hai ke June 6 ko humne "bullish engulfing" candle pattern dekha, jo 155.11 tak correction ke baad 200 points se zyada izafa ki taraf le gaya.

Mukhtalif taur par, USD/JPY pair ne bhi 155.89 ke level par mazboot sahara paaya hai. Ye sahara level qeemat ko mazeed girne se rokta hai. Agar qeemat is level se neeche gir jaati hai, to agla nichey ka target doosra sahara level 155.57 hoga. Is level ko torne se bearish dabao barhne ki alaamat ho sakti hai, aur traders mazeed kami ka intezar kar sakte hain. Ye doosra sahara level ahem hoga ke bearish trend jari rahega ya qeemat phir se oopar uthay gi. In sahara aur resistance levels ke darmiyan interaction traders ko potential market movements ke bare mein ahem maloomat faraham karta hai. Misal ke taur par, jab qeemat kisi resistance level ke qareeb aati hai, traders breakout ya reversal ke nishan dekhenge. Resistance level ke oopar breakout taqatwar bullish jazbaat ki alaamat ho sakta hai aur mazeed faida hone ki sambhavna ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar qeemat resistance se guzarne mein nakami ka samna kare, to ye ek reversal aur mazeed kami ki sambhavna ko darust kar sakta hai.





Isi tarah, jab qeemat kisi sahara level ke qareeb aati hai, traders breakdown ya rebound ke nishan dekhte hain. Sahara level ke neeche breakdown taqatwar bearish jazbaat ki alaamat ho sakta hai aur mazeed nuqsanat. Lekin agar sahara level qaim rahe, to ye ek potential rebound aur buyers ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka moqa darust kar sakta hai. Aam tor par, ye sahara aur resistance levels trading faislon ke liye ahem points ke tor par kaam aate hain. In levels ke ird gird qeemat ka rawayya qareebi nazar rakh kar, traders potential dakhil aur nikalne ke points ka pata laga sakte hain, risk ko manage kar sakte hain, aur market ke harkat ka faida utha sakte hain.

Ikhtisar mein, USD/JPY pair ki harkat 156.49 resistance aur 155.89 sahara levels ke ird gird agla ahem trend ka tay karegi, chahe woh bullish ho ya bearish.

USD/JPY Tahlil
Hum USD/JPY ke farokht karne walon par US ki khabron ke manfi asar dekh sakte hain. Dabao ke bawajood, kharidari karne walon ne kal kamiyabi se 157.00 zone ko guzar diya. Ye un logon ke liye umeed afza shuruat hai jo apne nuqsan ko behtar tareeqay se wapas hasil karna chahte hain. Mera andaza ke market 157.00 zone ko guzar sakta hai woh durust sabit hua hai, jo bullish jazbat ko mazboot kar raha hai. USD/JPY ke performance ka jaeza lene par, farokht karne walon ne toh kafi pips hasil kiye, lekin haal hi mein hue US ki khabron ne kharidari walon ko mustaqil kar diya, khaaskar Jumma ko. Ye mustaqil panne ek mumkin mustaqil izafa ke liye stage tay kar chuka hai. Aakhir mein, main ek kharidari order ko tariqay se pasand karta hoon kyun ke market ek uptrend mein dakhil ho chuka hai. Haal ki harkat yeh dikhati hai ke kharidari karne walon ne control dobara hasil kiya hai, jis ne pair ko ahem resistance levels se guzar diya hai. Ek tajurbiati trading tareeqay ke liye, ek chhote arse ka 157.65 ka maqsad rakhna Monday ke liye munasib lagta hai. Ye maqsad mojooda momentum ka faida uthata hai aur kisi bhi mumkin market correction se pehle jaldi se munafa hasil karne ki izazat deta hai. Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY kharidari walon ki bardasht shanasai khabron ke dafa mein is uptrend ki taqat ko saabit karta hai. Yeh ke market na sirf khabron ke asar ka samna kiya balkay ek ahem had tak guzar gaya hai, ye taasur qowatwar kharidari or market ki itminan ko darust karta hai. Is trend ka faida uthane wale traders ko ahem levels ka nigrani karna chahiye aur jo bhi aane wale ma'ashiyati data hai us par nazar rakhna chahiye jo pair ki harkat ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Aakhir mein, USD/JPY market ne US ki khabron ka wazeh jawab diya hai, jahan kharidari walon ne sitaution ka faida uthaya hai aur pair ko 157.00 zone se guzar diya hai. Ye kamiyabi se bounce umeed afza nazar aata hai un logon ke liye jo kharidari positions mein hain. Monday ke liye, 157.65 ko nishana banane wala ek kharidari order mashwara diya jata hai, mojooda uptrend aur market dynamics ke hisab se. Market ke jazbat aur technical indicators par ghor kar ke, traders USD/JPY market ko tajurba kari se samajh sakte hain aur aane wale dinon ke liye apni trading strategies ko behtar bana sakte hain. Khush rahiye!