Sone Ki Tajziyah
XAU/USD Ki Buniyadi Soorat-e-Haal:
Yellow metal ne Tuesday ko decline experience kiya, jab Monday ko $2,288 ke significant low se mukhtasir recovery hui thi. Ye downward trend zyadatar Federal Reserve (Fed) ke recent statements se mutasir hai, jo ke interest rate cuts par apni ehtiyati rawaya ko highlight karte hain inflation concerns ki wajah se. Fed ka ye indication ke wo higher interest rates ko longer period tak maintain karenge, US dollar ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai, jo ke gold prices par downward pressure dal sakta hai.
Boston Fed President Susan Collins ne recently yeh emphasize kiya ke lower interest rate environment tak pohanchne ka rasta lamba hoga. CME Group’s FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, financial markets anticipate kar rahe hain ke pehla rate cut September se pehle nahi hoga, aur saal ke end tak do quarter-point reductions ki umeed hai. Magar, Fed Governor Christopher Waller ne additional rate hikes ki zarurat par shakk ka izhar kiya hai, aur kaha hai ke unhe any cuts ko support karne se pehle zyada convincing data chahiye.
Market sentiment ko Fed ke cautious approach se mutasir ho raha hai, jo ke gold ki performance ko impact kar raha hai. Ongoing uncertainty inflation aur economic stability ke hawale se ye zaroori hai ke upcoming economic data ko closely monitor kiya jaye, jo ke future Fed policies aur gold prices ko shape karne mein crucial role play karega.
Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:
Daily close agar June 7 low $2,286 se neeche hoti hai, to ye ek significant pullback ko trigger kar sakti hai. Aisi movement ek ‘dark cloud cover’ pattern bana sakti hai, jo ke XAU/USD mein potential further decline ko indicate karti hai pehle ke kisi substantial rally ke start hone se pehle. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke abhi bullish territory mein hai, neeche trend kar raha hai. Agar RSI 50-midline se neeche girta hai, to ye gold prices mein additional declines ko signal kar sakta hai.
Technical Analysis:
Yellow metal apne pehle resistance ka samna kar raha hai April 12 high $2,431 par, followed by all-time high $2,450. In levels ko break karna bullish trend ko indicate kar sakta hai, magar current market sentiment aur technical indicators kuch aur hi suggest kar rahe hain. Agar $2,400 se neeche retreat hota hai, to XAU/USD expose ho sakta hai May 13 low $2,331 ko, aur subsequently May 8 low $2,302 ko.
Yeh saari indicators dikhate hain ke market sentiment aur fundamentals ko closely monitor karna bohot zaroori hai, taake aap sahi trading decisions le sakain. Inflation concerns aur Fed policies ko samajhna market movements ko predict karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.
Conclusion:
Gold market ka overall trend abhi bearish nazar aa raha hai, aur significant levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Fed ke recent statements aur market sentiment gold prices par significant impact dal rahe hain, aur upcoming economic data ko closely watch karna trading decisions mein madadgar hoga. Is waqt, gold market ko cautiously trade karna aur key support aur resistance levels par focus karna important hai.
XAU/USD Ki Buniyadi Soorat-e-Haal:
Yellow metal ne Tuesday ko decline experience kiya, jab Monday ko $2,288 ke significant low se mukhtasir recovery hui thi. Ye downward trend zyadatar Federal Reserve (Fed) ke recent statements se mutasir hai, jo ke interest rate cuts par apni ehtiyati rawaya ko highlight karte hain inflation concerns ki wajah se. Fed ka ye indication ke wo higher interest rates ko longer period tak maintain karenge, US dollar ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai, jo ke gold prices par downward pressure dal sakta hai.
Boston Fed President Susan Collins ne recently yeh emphasize kiya ke lower interest rate environment tak pohanchne ka rasta lamba hoga. CME Group’s FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, financial markets anticipate kar rahe hain ke pehla rate cut September se pehle nahi hoga, aur saal ke end tak do quarter-point reductions ki umeed hai. Magar, Fed Governor Christopher Waller ne additional rate hikes ki zarurat par shakk ka izhar kiya hai, aur kaha hai ke unhe any cuts ko support karne se pehle zyada convincing data chahiye.
Market sentiment ko Fed ke cautious approach se mutasir ho raha hai, jo ke gold ki performance ko impact kar raha hai. Ongoing uncertainty inflation aur economic stability ke hawale se ye zaroori hai ke upcoming economic data ko closely monitor kiya jaye, jo ke future Fed policies aur gold prices ko shape karne mein crucial role play karega.
Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:
Daily close agar June 7 low $2,286 se neeche hoti hai, to ye ek significant pullback ko trigger kar sakti hai. Aisi movement ek ‘dark cloud cover’ pattern bana sakti hai, jo ke XAU/USD mein potential further decline ko indicate karti hai pehle ke kisi substantial rally ke start hone se pehle. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke abhi bullish territory mein hai, neeche trend kar raha hai. Agar RSI 50-midline se neeche girta hai, to ye gold prices mein additional declines ko signal kar sakta hai.
Technical Analysis:
Yellow metal apne pehle resistance ka samna kar raha hai April 12 high $2,431 par, followed by all-time high $2,450. In levels ko break karna bullish trend ko indicate kar sakta hai, magar current market sentiment aur technical indicators kuch aur hi suggest kar rahe hain. Agar $2,400 se neeche retreat hota hai, to XAU/USD expose ho sakta hai May 13 low $2,331 ko, aur subsequently May 8 low $2,302 ko.
Yeh saari indicators dikhate hain ke market sentiment aur fundamentals ko closely monitor karna bohot zaroori hai, taake aap sahi trading decisions le sakain. Inflation concerns aur Fed policies ko samajhna market movements ko predict karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.
Conclusion:
Gold market ka overall trend abhi bearish nazar aa raha hai, aur significant levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Fed ke recent statements aur market sentiment gold prices par significant impact dal rahe hain, aur upcoming economic data ko closely watch karna trading decisions mein madadgar hoga. Is waqt, gold market ko cautiously trade karna aur key support aur resistance levels par focus karna important hai.
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