aud/usd

**AUD/USD Pair Analysis**

AUD/USD pair filhaal ek range mein trade kar raha hai aur meri analysis ke mutabiq, price 0.65209 ke support level ki taraf gir sakti hai. Yeh level historically strong base provide karta hai, isliye yeh crucial point hai take profit targets set karne ke liye. Is support ko target karna meri strategy ke saath align karta hai, jo existing downward trend ko continue karne ki ummeed karti hai. Lekin, market conditions ke badalte rehne ke baad, flexibility zaroori hai. Agar market structure unexpected shift hota hai, to stop-loss mechanisms ko activate karna zaroori hoga taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake. Forex markets ki dynamic nature ko samajhte hue, naye resistance levels ke saath adapt karna ek strong trading strategy ka part hai. Agar resistance develop hota hai, to 0.65379 level par buying ek viable alternative ban sakti hai, jo is support point se upward reversals ka faida utha sakti hai.

Recent movement jo 0.68117 resistance level ke taraf hui hai, wo bhi noteworthy hai. Yeh rise unexpected thi, khaaskar stagnant US inflation ke bawajood, jo aam tor par US dollar par downward pressure daalti hai. 0.68117 ki taraf jo surge hai, wo sellers ke stop-loss orders ko clear karne ki koshish lagti hai, jo liquidity grab ka indication hai. Aise movements aksar stop-loss orders ko clear karne ke liye hoti hain, taake bade market participants ko better entry points mil sakein subsequent trades ke liye.

Is upward movement ke bawajood, maine aage bhi 0.68117 se upar jane ki ummeed nahi ki, kyunki US mein significant inflationary pressure nahi hai. Stagnant inflation typically aggressive interest rate hikes ke prospects ko dampen karti hai, jo dollar ki attractiveness ko reduce karta hai. Isliye, 0.68117 ki taraf ka rally zyada tar temporary spike lagta hai, na ke sustained uptrend ka shuruat.

Summary ke taur par, current analysis ke mutabiq, AUD/USD pair mein 0.65938 par sell entry ka plan hai, aur 0.65379 par take profit target set karna historical support levels aur recent price movements ke base par hai. 0.68117 ki taraf unexpected rise, jo sellers ke stop-loss ko clear karne ka aim lagta hai, volatility ka indication hai aur trading decisions mein flexibility zaroori hai. Market structures ko closely monitor karte hue aur changes ke saath adapt karte hue, forex trading ki complexities ko effectively navigate kiya ja sakta hai. Chahe pair decline continue kare ya naye resistance levels ka samna kare, strategies ko accordingly adjust karna vital hai trading success ke liye forex market ki ever-evolving nature mein.

Agar hum mojooda market ka tajziya karein, toh buyers ne kaafi achi performance dikhayi hai. Is hafte kuch ahem news events US dollar aur AUD ke hawale se aane wale hain jo AUD/USD market par gehra asar dalenge. Is liye, humein apni trading preferences ko naye market conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna hoga. AUD/USD market mein sellers ka rujhan barh sakta hai, kyun ke aanewali US dollar se mutaliq news events usko mazid mazboot kar sakti hain.

General Overview
Haalan ke US dollar ne global factors ke bawajood kaafi mazbooti dikhayi hai, aur is hafte kuch bade economic reports jaise ke inflation data, employment numbers, aur interest rate updates currency ki performance par asar dalenge. Yeh reports Forex market mein volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain, aur AUD/USD pair bhi is se mutasir ho sakta hai. Ek mazboot US dollar AUD par pressure daal sakta hai, jo sellers ke liye control hasil karne ke chances paida kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Australia se aane wali news bhi AUD/USD market ki direction ko influence karegi. Agar Australian economic indicators, jaise ke trade balance data ya central bank ke announcements AUD ki mazbooti ka ishara dete hain, toh buyers apna momentum barqarar rakh sakte hain. Magar US dollar ke hawale se positive news expected hai, is liye market fluctuations ke liye tayar rehna zaroori hai.

Humein apni trading preferences ko naye market conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna hoga. Maslan, AUD/USD mein long positions ko reduce karna aur short positions par focus karna ek acha faisla ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar aanewali US dollar se mutaliq events dollar ki mazbooti barhate hain. Key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake risks ko achi tarah se manage kiya ja sake. Wasee taur par, main ye expect karta hoon ke AUD/USD market sellers ki taraf lean karegi, kyun ke aanewali US dollar se mutaliq news events usay mazid mazboot kar sakti hain. Latest economic developments se updated rehna aur unke mutabiq strategies adjust karna, aanewale dinon mein AUD/USD market ke potential shifts ko navigate karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD Short Term Nazariya

Hum is guftagu mein AUD/USD currency pair ki maujooda pricing behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Australian dollar ka US dollar ke muqablay mein lagta hua trend daily chart par dikhayi de raha hai, jo short positions ke liye favorable hai. Maine sell orders kholne ke liye kuch signals identify kiye hain. Zero level ko cross karne ke baad, AO histogram positive se hostile region mein shift ho gaya hai, jabke RSI oscillator mazboot bearish direction dikhata hai. Yeh analysis is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke price girne wala hai, khaaskar 0.6624 level ko test karne ke baad.

Hourly time frame par focus karte hue, bears apne haq mein khinch rahe hain, halankeh downward momentum kamzor hota ja raha hai. Price filhal 1/8 angle ke upar aur 0.6646 par 50% support level se thoda upar hai, jo aksar aise hi rahega jab tak koi correction jaldi na ho. Indicators jese ke EMA(21/5) aur MACD correction phase dikhate hain, isliye mujhe kuch consolidation ke baad upward move ki umeed hai.

Is point ke upar price ko barhane ke liye kaafi momentum nahi tha. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke market momentum ikattha karne ki koshish kar rahi hai taake agle direction ka faisla kiya ja sake, jo bullish ya bearish dono ho sakta hai, aur maujooda price movement distribution phase mein hai. Yeh baat bhi dhyan dene laayak hai ke supply area, jo 0.6820 se 0.6850 ke range mein hai, chart ke beech mein light blue box se dikhayi gayi hai. Yeh region us significant selling pressure ko darshata hai jisne price ko pichli peak se ulta kar diya.

Yeh area dynamic resistance ke tor par kaam karega, jise tab tak avoid karna chahiye jab tak price phir se barhne mein kamiyab nahi hoti. Mere khayal se, sab se nazdeek ka resistance 0.6700 par hai, jo EMA 50 ke saath bhi hai, halankeh price ne comeback kiya hai. Yeh level dekhna zaroori hai kyunki yeh predict kar sakta hai ke AUD/USD apni upward correction ko dobara shuru karega ya downtrend ki taraf wapas jaayega.

AUD/USD H1 Chart Trading Analysis

AUD/USD pair ki price movement abhi tak bearish market ki wajah se downward trend mein hai. Halanke ek temporary upward spike dekha gaya hai, lekin yeh sirf ek short-term reaction hai. Price neeche 0.6661 ke low tak gayi, phir wapis 50-day moving average ke upar bounce kiya, lekin 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6712 ke aas paas ruk gayi. Umeed hai ke price apne downward trend ko jari rakhegi aur 0.6661 ke low se neeche gir sakti hai. Jab price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6685 tak pohonchi, to wapis 50% level 0.6712 tak upar chali gayi aur abhi 38.2% level 0.6700 ke qareeb phansi hui hai. Agar price 50-day moving average ya 38.2% Fibonacci level se neeche nahi giri, to yeh upward correction karte hue 61.8% level 0.6723 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke 200-day moving average support bhi hai. Price ko aam tor par 50% Fibonacci level 0.6712 ke qareeb reject kiya jaata hai kyunke yeh ek support aur resistance area ke paas hai. Iske ilawa, ek invalidation level 0.6704 par hai, jo lower low-lower high price pattern ko jari rakhne ka ishara de sakti hai.

AUD/USD pair ki price abhi tak apne rise mein limited hai, kyunke yeh 0.6762 ke high se upar nahi gayi. Yeh structure is baat ka ishara deta hai ke current trend jari rahega, aur price ka rise lower high pattern tak limited hoga. Magar yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke agar price ka upward correction SMA 200 ko cross karta hai aur 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6740 tak jaata hai. Yeh is liye bhi important hai ke agar price SMA 200 ya 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6712 se neeche wapas nahi jaati, to upward correction ka chance hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator uptrend momentum ko dikhata hai, halanke yeh abhi kamzor ho raha hai. Zero level ke upar red histogram volume apna widening kam kar raha hai, lekin phir bhi yeh upward correction ko support kar sakta hai, kyunke histogram abhi tak negative area mein ya zero level ke neeche cross nahi hua, jo ke downtrend momentum ka ishara hota. Stochastic indicator parameter oversold zone 20-10 tak nahi pohonch saka, lekin yeh upward correction ko support kar sakta hai, kyunke abhi tak EMA 50 ke upar hai. Price continue karegi badhna aur stabilise hogi jab yeh excessively bought area 90-80 ke level tak pohonchne ke baad maximum buying level par determine ho jaayegi.

Salam aur subh bakhair dosto!

Is hafte, AUD/USD market shayad 0.67800 par resistance ko paar kar le. Iske ilawa, khabrein final role ada karengi. US dollar se mutaliq kayi ahm khabron ka asar market sentiment ko badal sakta hai aur mukhtalif currency pairs aur financial markets mein tabdeeli aa sakti hai. Kuch key economic indicators aur events, jaise ke US Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Building Permits, aur Empire State Manufacturing Index, jari kiye jaane wale hain, jo US economy ki outlook ko tay karne mein ahmiyat rakhte hain. Yeh indicators job market, manufacturing sector, aur housing market ki surat-e-haal ka achha idea denge, jo US dollar ki taqat ko mutasir kar sakte hain. AUD/USD par trading ke liye, main 0.6775 ke short target ke sath buy order ko tarjeeh deta hoon.

Labour front par, US Unemployment Claims report sabse nazar rakhne wale economic indicators mein se ek hai. Yeh un logon ki tadaad show karta hai jinhon ne pichlay hafte pehli dafa unemployment insurance ke liye darkhwast di. Agar unemployment claims kam hoti hain, toh yeh job market ki taqat ka signal hai, jo US dollar ko mazid taqat de sakta hai. Lekin agar claims zyada hoti hain, toh yeh labour market mein kamzori ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo dollar ki kamzori ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is hafte ka unemployment data market sentiment ko tay karne aur Federal Reserve ke mustaqbil ke monetary policy decisions ke liye khasa ahm hai. Main aapko AUD/USD par trading mein stop loss istemal karne aur aanay wali khabron par nazar rakhne ki salahiyat deta hoon.

Khush rahiye aur pur sukoon rahiyega!