Aud/usd

AUD/USD Ke Sath Jeetne Wale Trades

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke live pricing movements ko samajhne par markaz hai. Main hamesha kehta aaya hoon ke AUD/USD pair ka upward trend dominant hai, aur pichle dinon mein is mein acha izafa dekha gaya hai. Yeh pair bullish movement ko jari rakhta hai, jisme mazeed izafe ki sambhavna hai. Australian dollar ne notable taqat dikhai hai, jabke kal ke positive retail sales data ne US dollar ko boost diya, lekin pair ne koi aham girawat nahi dekhi.

Magar aaj Federal Reserve ke amal market movement ko drive kar sakte hain, aur hum dono taraf ja sakte hain, unke faislon par depend karte hue. Rate cut ka faisla abhi tak unclear hai, khaaskar jab expectations 0.4-point reduction ki taraf hai, is liye central bank ka rhetoric kafi ahm hai. Jabke main ab bhi bullish outlook ki taraf jhuka hoon, main 0.6669 par buying opportunities ko bhi nazarandaz nahi karunga, chahe wo foran mere entry trigger na karein.

AUD/USD ne 0.6776 level ko tor kar upward movement ki hai, jo shayad un liquidity ko clear kar raha hai jo pehle ke highs ke upar bani thi. Agar mera andaza sahi sabit hota hai, to price pehle se tay kiye gaye maximum se barh sakta hai, jahan liquidity exhaust ho sakti hai. Aise mein, is potential high ke update hone ke baad, hum niche ki taraf reversal dekh sakte hain, jo notable price drop tak le ja sakta hai. Maine is mumkinah scenario ko apne chart mein outline kiya hai.




Is projection ke mutabiq, pair pehle wale high se x-point ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar yeh price action successfully top par liquidity clear kar leta hai, to hum girawat dekh sakte hain, jo 0.6705 ke aas paas ke area ki taraf wapas ja sakta hai, jahan kaafi volume ikattha hua hai.

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**Forex Jorha AUD/USD**

Hamari guftagu ka markazi mauzu AUD/USD currency pair ke price behaviour ka jaiza hai. Yeh jorha hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, magar yeh harkat un sellers ki umeedon se kaafi kam hai jo zehmat se bechne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Hum ne ab tak kisi extreme low tak nahi pohanchay, is liye yeh kehna abhi jaldi hai ke koi bara girawat aayegi. Jumme ka trading aksar ahem indicator hota hai, jo mustaqbil ke tajziyat ka buniyad bana sakta hai. Kyunki price ne minimum se niche nahi gaya, hum sirf ek had tak girawat ka zikr kar sakte hain, jo ke ek puri correction nahi, balke ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is halat mein fit aata hai. Market jaldi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai.

**Long Positions Ki Potential**

Mujhe 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ka potential nazar aata hai. Halankeh yahan koi khaas support levels nazar nahi aa rahe, lekin kuch haftay pehle yahan ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki shiddat chhoti ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak pohanchne ke baad zigzag ka khatma kar de. Is marahil par buying positions se nikalna behtar hoga.

**Resistance Ka Jaiza**

Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se chhupa hua hai. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant rukawat ban sakta hai, jahan profit-taking aur sell-side interest ka ubal aata hai jab price yahan tak pahunche. Magar, aakhri sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum ye darust karta hai ke buyers mein itni taqat hai ke wo is resistance ko challenge kar sakte hain. Agar price isay paar kar leta hai, to yeh mazeed faida ki sambhavna khol sakta hai, jo shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target kare.

**Support Zone**

Niche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone establish ho gaya hai, jahan kai baar liquidity sweeps dekhi gayi hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi is baat ki nishani hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone tak wapas aati hai, to isay dobara buying interest ka samna karna chahiye, jo isay ek significant support level ke taur par mazid mazboot karega.

**Khulasa**

Summary yeh hai ke AUD/USD saaf bullish momentum dikhata hai jab ke key liquidity gaps ko bhara gaya aur support zones se reversal dekha gaya. 0.68000 ka level agla critical resistance hai, aur is par break hone se mazeed upside ka rukh mil sakta hai. Is ke baraks, agar koi pullbacks 0.67000 ya us se neeche hoti hain, to inka jawab buying interest se milega, jab tak market conditions favourable rahain. Jorhe ka overall structure yeh darust karta hai ke jab tak key support levels barqarar hain, bullish trend qareeb ke waqt mein jaari reh sakta hai.

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Aaj main AUD/USD ki trading ke hawalay se apne khayalat ka izhar karunga. Halaat kuch is tarah hain ke US FOMC ke member Harker ka bayan AUD/USD kaafi madadgar sabit nahi ho saka, aur isi wajah se market 0.6800 zone ke qareeb rahi. Lekin, aakhri chand ghanton main merchandisers ne market ko apne qaboo main karne ki koshish ki jab wo is zone ke border tak aa gaye.Umeed hai ke ane wale dino main US dollar kuch stability haasil kar sakta hai. Is haftay kaafi challenging raha hai, magar nayi economic data ki releases aur financial policies main tabdeeliyan US dollar ko support faraham kar sakti hain, jo ke zaroori hai taake dollar recover kar sake. Market players ko inflation, retail sales, aur consumer confidence par nazar rakhni hogi. Agar in reports main positive surprises hote hain, toh yeh US economy ke liye confidence ko barhawa denge aur dollar ko mazid boost milega.Trading ke hawalay se, main AUD/USD par buy order ko prefer karta hoon, jisme target 0.6845 ka rakha hai, khaas tor par Monday ke liye. Federal Reserve ka kirdar abhi bhi market ki direction ko shape dene main central rahega. Agar data improvement dikhata hai, toh Fed apna hawkish stance mazid barhane par majboor ho sakta hai, jo ke US dollar ko support karega. Lekin agar economic outlook uncertain rahta hai, toh dollar ko challenges ka samna karna parh sakta hai.Umeed hai ke AUD/USD market buyers ke haq main rahegi aur trend upar ki taraf hi continue karega. Guzishta hafta US dollar ke liye challenging raha hai, kyunke kai economic data releases aur policy decisions ne currency par pressure dala. Halaat main kuch behtari bhi hui, jese Philly Fed Manufacturing Index ka acha hona aur unemployment claims ka kam hona, lekin yeh kaafi nahi the broader negative sentiment ko balance karne ke liye.Agay dekhte hue, aane wale economic reports aur financial policy changes US dollar ko phir se stabilize karne main madadgar sabit ho sakte hain.

AUD/USD currency pair ki analysis se pata chalta hai ke abhi market growth phase mein hai, jiska target 0.6864 ke range ke aas-paas set kiya gaya hai. Recent downward correction khatam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke mazeed upar ki taraf movement ke potential ko signal kar rahi hai. 0.6721 level ko test karne ke baad, ummeed hai ke growth dobara shuru ho jaye gi. Choti moti correction abhi bhi ho sakti hai, lekin overall trend upar ki taraf jaari rehne ke imkaanat zyada hain. Agar price 0.6724 ko break karke upar establish ho jati hai, to yeh ek strong buy signal ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar price 0.6804 ko cross karke upar hold karne lagti hai, to ek aur buying opportunity ki nishani hogi.

Abhi tak wedge pattern poori tarah form nahi hua, aur is waqt price 0.6765 par hai. Aaj ki decline shayad mazeed growth ke liye volume ke jamah honay se ho sakti hai, jo ke reversal ke shuru hone ka bhi ishara kar sakti hai. Lekin, significant correction ki kami kuch samajh nahi aati. Mein is waqt sell position hold kar raha hoon, aur ummeed hai ke pair eventually pattern ke mutabiq niche ki taraf move karega.

Rising channel indicator jo ke moving average analysis par based hai, uss ke mutabiq current price movement upward direction ki taraf hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi sellers par haavi hain. Recent pullbacks ke bawajood, bullish momentum mazboot hai aur bulls abhi bears ko control nahi de rahe. CCI indicator bhi iss waqt long positions lene ki salah deta hai. Yeh sentiment PPI aur RSI indicators se bhi support hota hai, jo ke dono buy zone mein hain.

Mera plan hai ke open order ko close kar doon jab price 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level tak pohanch jaye, jo ke lagbhag 0.68394 ke aas-paas hai. Abhi tak, koi significant news event nahi hai jo iss instrument ko affect kar raha ho, aur technical indicators bhi neutral hain. Is liye, yeh zaroori hai ke mentioned levels ko closely monitor kiya jaye aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust kiya jaye, khas taur par key breakout points aur potential reversals par focus karte hue.
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**AUD/USD Currency Pair Ki Halat Ka Jaiza**

AUD/USD pair filhal apne long-term level 0.68 ke aas paas consolidate kar raha hai. Is consolidation se nikalne ka amal agle rukh ka pata dega—ya to yeh pichle saal ke maximum ko update karega ya phir multi-month range mein wapas aa jayega. Mera khayal hai ke in dono options ka taluq incoming drivers par depend karega. Federal Reserve ka achanak 50 points ka rate cut, asal mein, pehle se hi market mein shamil ho chuka hai. Ab market doosri central banks ke amal par nazar rakhega. Bank of Australia ka faisla Tuesday ko hoga. Halankeh unse koi changes ki umeed nahi hai, lekin surprises ka khatara hamesha hota hai (jaise Fed se dekha gaya). Isliye, woh Tuesday tak ab tak ke levels par reh sakte hain, aur phir movement shuru kar sakte hain.

Saath hi, Aussie futures par positions bhi badh rahi hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke longs ko accumulate kiya ja raha hai. Is se aisa lagta hai ke Aussie ki taqat badh rahi hai. Lekin, sab kuch yeh dekhne par depend karta hai ke traders kitne determined hain. Agar fixation hoti hai, toh pair wapas ghir sakta hai. Is liye, hum apne haath dekh rahe hain. Is buniyadi soorat-e-haal par, yeh currency pair filhal consolidate ho raha hai, jiska exit agle kuch waqt ke liye rukh darshata hai.

AUD/USD pair ke liye sab kuch stable hai kyunki upward movement jaari hai. Humne 0.6825 ke aas paas ke nazdeek targets ko nikaal diya hai, lekin hum abhi tak is se uncha nahi gaye hain. Lekin, rollback ki koshishon ka koi khaas asar nahi pada hai, kyunki hum 68 figure ke upar band karne mein kaamyaab rahe hain. Aur yahan yeh bhi note karna chahiye ke upar ke targets bhi hain, jo 0.69 ke aas paas hain. Lekin, ek acha rollback abhi zaroori hai.

Aam tor par, agla hafte bhi volatility se bhara hoga, kyunki bohot si important statistics aayengi, jismein States ka GDP bhi shamil hai. Iske ilawa, Bank of Australia ki meeting ka bhi khayal rakhein. Halankeh main abhi bhi upar ki taraf dekh raha hoon, lekin correction zaroori hai. Agar hum 0.6675 ke neeche chalte hain, tabhi main kharidari karne ki koshish karunga. Sabko trading mein accha luck!

AUD/USD Market Outlook

Felicitations aur subah bakhair sab ko!

Kal, US FOMC ke member Harker ki taqreer AUD/USD ke sellers ki madad nahi kar saki. Is wajah se market 0.6800 zone tak barqarar raha. Magar aakhri ghantay sellers ke haq mein rahe jab unhon ne border ko hit kiya. Iske ilawa, umeed hai ke aane wale dinon mein US dollar kuch stability dobara hasil kar sakta hai. Yeh hafta challenging raha hai, lekin naye economic data ke releases aur financial policy mein possible tabdeeliyan US dollar ko zaroori support de sakti hain taake yeh recover kar sake.

Market participants aane wale inflation, retail sales, aur consumer confidence reports par ghore se tawajju denge. Agar in reports mein positive surprises dekhnay ko milain, toh yeh US economy par confidence ko dobara restore karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain aur US dollar ko ek zaroori boost de sakte hain. Trading ke liye, mai AUD/USD par buy order prefer karta hoon Monday ke liye, jisme short target 0.6845 ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, Federal Reserve market ke direction ko shape dene mein central role ada karta rahega. Fed ke efforts jo inflation manage karne aur labor market ko stable rakhne ke liye hain, wo aane wale dinon mein US dollar ki future direction ka taayun karenge. Agar data mein improvement ka koi ishara nazar aata hai, toh yeh Fed ko hawkish stance lene par majboor kar sakta hai, jo ke dollar ko support de sakta hai.

Lekin agar economic outlook uncertain raha, toh US dollar ko challenges ka samna karna par sakta hai. Umeed hai ke AUD/USD market buyers ki madad karegi aur uptrend direction filhal barqarar rahegi. Pichla hafta US dollar ke liye kaafi challenging raha, kyun ke kai economic data releases aur policy decisions ne currency ko heavily affect kiya. Kuch positive developments zaroor nazar aayi thi, jaise ke Philly Fed Manufacturing Index aur unemployment claims mein kami, lekin yeh broader negative sentiment ko neutralize karne ke liye kaafi nahi the. Dusri currencies, jaise ke euro, British pound, aur Japanese yen, ne US dollar ki kamzori ka faida uthaya, aur un logon ke liye recovery ka mauqa paida kiya jo losses se nikalne ki koshish mein thay.

Aage ja kar, aane wale economic reports aur financial policy mein possible tabdeeliyan US dollar ko dobara stabilize karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hain.

**AUD/USD Request Outlook**

Sab ko Good Morning! Aakhri tareekh mein, US FOMC member Harker ka bayan AUD/USD ke dealers ke liye koi madadgar nahi raha. Is wajah se, request 0.6800 ke zone tak hi reh gayi. Lekin aakhri ghanton mein, dealers ke haq mein halat behtar hue jab wo border par pahunche. Iske alawa, yeh bhi socha ja raha hai ke US dollar aane wale dinon mein kuch stability haasil kar sakta hai. Yeh hafte mushkil raha, lekin naye profitable data ke ailan aur financial policy mein mumkinah tabdeelon se dollar ko madad mil sakti hai. Request ke actors in aane wale reports par nazar rakhenge, jaise inflation, retail sales, aur consumer confidence. Agar in areas mein positive surprises aate hain, to yeh US economy mein confidence ko dobaara waapas la sakte hain aur dollar ko zaroori boost de sakte hain.

Trading points ke liye, main AUD/USD par 0.6845 ka short target rakhta hoon. Lekin, Federal Reserve aage bhi request ke direction ko shape karne mein central role ada karega. Fed ki ongoing koshishen inflation ko manage karne aur labor market mein stability rakhne mein critical rahengi jo US dollar ki aane wali line tay karegi. Agar data in areas mein behtar hone ke asar dikhata hai, to yeh Fed ko hawkish position lene par majboor kar sakta hai, jo shayad dollar ko support karega. Lekin agar economic outlook ab bhi uncertain raha, to dollar ko challenges ka saamna karna par sakta hai.

Umeed hai ke AUD/USD ka request buyers ko madad dega aur uptrend direction abhi ke liye bana rahega. Aakhri hafte mein US dollar ke liye mushkil raha, kyunki ek silsila economic data releases aur policy opinions ne currency par bhari asar daala. Kuch positive developments, jaise Philly Fed Manufacturing Index aur severance claims mein kami, thi, lekin yeh broader negative sentiment ko neutralize karne ke liye kaafi nahi thi. Dusri currencies, jaise euro, British pound, aur Japanese yen, dollar ki kamzori se faida utha rahe hain, jo unhe losses recover karne ka mauka de raha hai. Aage dekhte hue, aane wale economic reports aur financial policy mein mumkinah tabdeelon se US dollar ko dobaara stabilise karne mein madad mil sakti hai.

AUD/USD
Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ki price action par markooz hogi. Jumme ko, Australian dollar ne apni chal ko wapas karne ki koshish ki. Budh tak, market mein lambay arse se upar ki taraf rujhan dekhne ko mila. Lekin, Budh ko price 1/2 margin zone se neeche band hui, jis se Thursday ko bearish rujhan dekhne ko mila. Lekin agle din, price phir se 1/2 margin zone se upar band hui, jo rujhan ke wapas honay ki nishani hai.



Agar kal price sell zone mein nahi girti, to yeh positive signal ho sakta hai. Jumme ko ek options contract ka waqt khatam ho gaya, jisme price agle Peer ke liye call levels ke upar rahi. Expiry ke doran price neeche bhi ja sakti hai taake debt expiration level ko na choo sake. Filhal, Aussie ek aise debt mein hai, jo Peer ko expiry ke waqt call levels ke upar band hui thi. Naye Peer ke option ka comfort zone ab is waqt ke zone se kaafi upar hoga, jo aage barhne ki sambhavna ko darshata hai, jabke calls resistance ceiling ka kaam karegi.

Weekly chart par ek wazeh technical pattern nazar aa raha hai. Shuru mein, Aussie dollar ne 0.63494 level se barh kar consistent rebounds dikhaye, lekin jab yeh trend line ko chhuta, to isne apna momentum hasil kiya. Yeh rebound 0.6897 par resistance ko todne ke liye aham tha aur weekly dynamic aur monthly scale channels ke midpoint se upar chala gaya. Iske ilawa, secondary window mein oscillator histogram apne moving average se upar hai, jo bullish support darshata hai. Is sab ko dekhte hue, price ka is waqt ke level par consolidate karna aur upar ki taraf barhna mumkin hai, shayad yeh 0.71376 tak bhi pohanch sakti hai. Yahan tak ki Wednesday ko cost thoda kam hone ki sambhavna hai taake debt clear ho sake, lekin yeh itna nahi girna chahiye ke price kam se kam Peer ke put level tak nahi ja sake.

AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis
AUD/USD currency pair filhal upar ki taraf rujhan dekh raha hai, halanke interest rates waise ke waise hain. Yeh bullish movement jaari reh sakti hai, lekin agar bearish traders 0.6738 level ko todne mein kamiyab ho gaye, to price 0.6614 tak gir sakti hai. Choti time frames par thodi divergence ban rahi hai, jo aaj aage barhne mein rukawat daal sakti hai. Is liye, is waqt kharidna munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke price pehle hi kaafi barh chuki hai. Yeh behtar hoga ke market ki progression ko dekhte rahein pehle koi kadam uthane se. Filhal, Australian dollar ki zyada tawajjoh nahi hai. AUD/USD pair ki agle rujhan ka farq aaj ke resistance levels par kaise react karega, par hoga. Agar price 0.6901 level ko paar karti hai, to 0.6896 resistance support mein tabdeel ho sakti hai, jo aage girawat ke chances ko kam karega. Daily chart par, pair 0.6838 se upar chala gaya hai aur 0.6872 ki taraf ja raha hai, ek secondary scenario ke tehat. Market ab 0.6893 ke paas agle buying target ki taraf badh rahi hai, jahan resistance zone ko 0.6893 se 0.6901 ke darmiyan test karne ki umeed hai, jo niche ki taraf rebound trigger kar sakta hai.

Pichle andazay ke bawajood, Australian dollar daily chart par apne upar ki taraf ke rujhan ko jaari rakhe hue hai. Price ne haali mein resistance aur support levels ko test kiya, jis wajah se analysts range-trading strategy ko pasand kar rahe hain. Lekin, Peer ko price ne is range ko todte hue 0.6824 resistance level ko paar kar diya. Jab din ka band hona is level se upar hua, to aaj ke resistance growth par tawajjoh badh gayi jo 0.6887 ki taraf hai. Agar price is level ke paas band hoti hai, to agle resistance target 0.6949 par tawajjoh di jayegi.



AUD/USD chart yeh darshata hai ke price movements aam tor par market manipulations se asar lete hain jo aksar institutional traders karte hain. Is pattern mein volume ke zariye naye trading positions banana aur phir liquidity ko wapas lena shamil hota hai. Analyst is pattern se waqif hai aur umeed hai ke jab tak upar ka rujhan jaari rahega, aakhir mein ek aisi jagah aayegi jab price ki barhavat upar se liquidity ko clear karegi.

Jab volume indicators yeh confirm karte hain ke upar se liquidity shayad clear ho chuki hai, to ek girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jahan price 0.6658 tak gir sakti hai, jahan liquidity ka ikattha hona umeed hai. Filhal, AUD/USD pair growth ke nishan dikhata hai aur 0.6891 level ko test karne ki umeed hai. Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, 0.6896 par resistance maujood hai, jo overall outlook ko nahi badalta. Lekin, yeh 0.6896 par resistance mazboot rahne ki umeed hai, jo pair ko 0.6830 support level ki taraf wapas le ja sakta hai.

Forex Trading Strategy
Sab ko acha din guzarnay aur bohot saari paisa kamane ki dua! Filhal, meri buying aur selling ki strategy Hicken Ashi, TMA, aur RSI candlesticks se milne wale complex signals par mabni hai, jo mujhe batate hain ke Forex pair ya instrument kharidne ke liye zyada uncha ho chuka hai. Jaise ke device ke consensus warnings darshate hain, bulls ab ek activity ka lehar ban gaye hain, is liye kharidna ab ek ahmiyat rakhta hai.

Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo price levels ko define aur generalize karte hain, aam Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein, har reversal moment aur corrective rollbacks ko waqt par dekhne mein madad karte hain. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi trading mein ek behtareen resource hai, jo chart par moving averages ke zariye advanced support aur resistance marks banata hai.

Indicators ko band karne ke liye aur deal close karne ka intekhab karne ke liye RSI oscillator ka istemal hota hai, jo traded pair ke overbought aur oversold zones ko darshata hai. Is tarah se buying aur selling ki prioritization technical evaluation process ko behtar banati hai aur misleading market entries se bachne mein madad karti hai.

Is waqt ke pair ke furnished chart par aisa mauqa aaya jab Hiken Ashi candles ka rang neela ho gaya, jo batata hai ke bullish mode ab bearish mode par bhaari hai. Yeh aapko market mein long trades execute karne ka modern element provide karta hai. Prices linear channel ki lower line (red dotted line) ko cross kar gayi, lekin sab se neeche pohanchne ke baad, yeh channel ki center line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf wapas aa gayi.

Basement RSI indicator (14) buy signal ko approve karta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke ab yeh long function ko prefer kar raha hai. Yeh upside ko overbuying se door rakhta hai. Upar wale level se, mein yeh conclude karta hoon ke buy action ki sambhavna ab zyada hai, is liye extensive trade shuru karna bilkul justified hai.



Mujhe umeed hai ke income 0.69500 ke charge quote par channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) mein milegi. Jab order value zone mein enter kare, to breakeven ki taraf move karna behtar hai, kyun ke market aksar hamari umeedon par ghalat moves se asar daalti hai.

Weekly chart par ek wazeh technical pattern nazar aa raha hai. Shuru mein, Aussie dollar ne 0.63494 level se consistent rebounds dikhaye, lekin jab yeh trend line ko chhuta, to isne apne upward trajectory ko jaari rakha. Yeh rebound 0.6897 par resistance ko todne mein aham tha aur weekly dynamic aur monthly scale channels ke midpoint se upar chala gaya.

Iske ilawa, secondary window mein oscillator histogram apne moving average se upar hai, jo bullish support ko darshata hai. Is sab ko dekhte hue, price ka apne maujooda level par consolidate karna aur upar ki taraf barhna mumkin hai, shayad yeh 0.71376 tak bhi pohanch sakti hai. Yahan tak ki Wednesday ko cost thoda gir sakta hai taake debt clear ho sake, lekin yeh itna nahi girna chahiye ke price kam se kam Monday ke put level tak na ja sake.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ki Halat
Australian dollar (AUD) filhal kuch mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai, jahan AUD/USD pair 0.6850 ke key resistance level ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai. Market ki tawajjoh agle US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data release par hai, jo US economy ki halat aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke baray mein valuable insights faraham karega.

Mediya mein, Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan chal rahe conflict se global markets mein uncertainty barh gayi hai. Jahan oil prices barh rahe hain, wahan Australian dollar jese risk-on currencies par pressure aa raha hai, khas taur par oil-importing economies se foreign capital outflows ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY) abhi tak kaafi steady hai, jo geopolitical turmoil ke doran greenback ki safe-haven appeal ko darshata hai.



NFP report se umeed hai ke pichle mahine ke muqablay mein job growth thoda slow hoga, lekin economists ka kehna hai ke unemployment rate waise ka waise rahega. Market ke hissedaar average hourly earnings data par bhi nazar rakhain ge, jo wage growth aur consumer spending ka key indicator hai. Asia-Pacific region mein, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki September monetary policy meeting ke minutes AUD ke liye mazeed context faraham karenge. RBA ne interest rates ko 4.35% par barqarar rakha hai aur abhi ke liye rates barhane ka plan nahi hai.

Technically, AUD/USD pair ne 20-month high par resistance ka samna kiya hai aur downward correction ke nishan dikhaye hain. Stochastic aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) jese technical indicators bearish trend ki sambhavna darshate hain. Agar selling pressure barhta hai, to pair ko mazeed girawat ka samna karna par sakta hai, jo 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko challenge kar sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, Australian dollar ek challenging environment ka samna kar raha hai, jahan geopolitical tensions, US economic data, aur technical factors iski volatility ko barha rahe hain. Agle NFP report AUD/USD pair ke liye ek ahm event hoga, aur traders iske market sentiment aur interest rates ke outlook par asar ko nazar se nahi guzarenge.

Australian dollar iss hafte ke doran girawat ka shikar raha, jo ziada tar Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke rate cut ke asar ki wajah se hua, jisne New Zealand dollar ko bhi neeche gira diya. Australian aur New Zealand currencies aksar ek sath move karti hain, is liye yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke yeh relationship kaise develop hota hai. Lekin, is girawat ke bawajood, market ne kuch resilience dikhayi, jab Australian dollar thoda bounce kar gaya. Halan ke weekly candlestick ab bhi negative hai, yeh girawat itni badi nahi lagti ke catastrophic ho. Traders lagta hai ke market mein dubara invest karna chahte hain aur kam az kam abhi ke liye market ko boost dene ka irada rakhte hain.

Agar Australian dollar 0.6850 ke level ke upar break kar jata hai, toh yeh 0.6950 ke level ki taraf ek potential move ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo ke recent hafton mein ek resistance point raha hai. Agar yeh line break hoti hai, toh hum mazeed upward pressure dekh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar yeh 0.6650 ke level ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh mazeed girawat ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo Australian dollar ko 0.6450 ke level tak le ja sakta hai.

Jesa ke humesha hota hai, commodity prices ka Australian dollar par bara asar hota hai. Copper, sona (gold), aur iron jese commodities ki qeemat mein izafa ho raha hai, aur yeh Aussie growth par mazeed pressure dal sakta hai, jo ke domestic factors, jaise ke interest rates, se baghair hi asar andaz ho sakta hai. Agar yeh commodity markets barhti hain, toh Australian dollar bhi in external factors ke asar se barh sakta hai, bajaye ke local economic conditions ka farq dekhne ke.

Aakhir mein, Australian dollar ka direction ziada tar commodity markets ki performance par mabni hoga, sath hi un currencies, jaise ke New Zealand dollar, ke moves bhi asar dalenge jo closely related hain. Traders ko zaroori levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake yeh andaza lagaya ja sake ke currency mazid recovery ke liye tayar hai ya phir mazeed girawat ka samna karegi.

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ki price performance ka tajziya karengay. Mera khayal hai ke US dollar mazeed mazboot ho ga, khas tor par is wajah se ke Federal Reserve apne interest rates ko achanak kam nahi karega, balke dheere dheere approach apnaye ga, bilkul ECB aur doosray central banks ki tarah. Halaanke pehle reports ne kuch tashweesh peda ki thi, lekin market ne aksar data ko nazarandaz kar diya. Agar hum technical perspective se dekhein, toh pair ka channels ke andar ka rawayya kaafi aham hai. Upward channel ko break karne ke baad aur uske breakdown ko test karne ke baad, ab yeh descending channel ko break kar ke upar ja chuka hai. Mein apne targets ko dobara evaluate karun ga jaise jaise surat-e-haal samne aati hai.

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, mein ek qareebi upward movement dekhta hoon, jo ke 0.686 ke aas paas peak karay ga. Agar market is point tak nahi pohanchti, toh bulls ka target shayad 0.6820 par settle ho jaye. Mein is scenario ko tabhi discount karunga agar trend kaafi kamzor ho jaye aur apne projected goal tak na pohanch sake. Filhaal, meri priority yeh hai ke AUD/USD 0.6820 ki taraf badhe.

Is hafte, buyers itne hi mazboot nazar aa rahe hain jitne ke sellers, agar long-term perspective dekha jaye, jo ke yeh rise possible banata hai is level tak pehle ke market phir se bearish trend ki taraf wapas aaye. Agar yeh upward momentum samne nahi aata, toh ek downward movement 0.6688 ke support level tak likely hai, jo ke ek achi buying opportunity banay ga as part of a corrective move. Market shayad is plan ko follow karay aur waves is trajectory ke saath banay. Guzishta din ka halka sa upward movement shayad weak US economic data release ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jisme Producer Price Index aur University of Michigan ke figures shaamil hain, ya phir yeh bears ke apni positions band karne ki wajah se ho sakta hai weekend se pehle.

Har surat mein, prevailing downtrend ab bhi barqarar hai, aur current price action ek correction lagta hai. Agar yeh correction continue karti hai, toh buyers shayad price ko resistance level 0.6773 tak push karen.

AUD/USD currency pair ki price performance ka jaiza lete hain. US dollar ki taqat barhne ki umeed hai, kyunki Federal Reserve ka kehna hai ke wo achanak se rates kam nahi karega, balki dheere dheere approach ko apnayega, jo ke ECB aur doosre central banks ki tarah hai. Halankeh kal ke pehle reports ne kuch chintayen khadi ki thi, magar market ne in data ko zyada ahmiyat nahi di. Technical nazar se dekha jaye to, ye pair channels mein kaise behave kar raha hai, ye dekhna zaroori hai.

Isne pehle upward channel ko tod kar niche aane ki koshish ki, lekin ab ye descending channel ko upar ki taraf todne mein kaamyab hua hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, mujhe aane wale waqt mein iske upar jaane ki umeed hai, jo 0.686 ke aas-paas peak kar sakta hai. Lekin agar market is point tak nahi pahunche, to bulls ka target 0.6820 par settle hone ki umeed hai. Main is scenario ko tabhi nazarandaz karunga jab trend bohot zyada kamzor ho jaye aur apne projected goal ko achieve nahi kar sake. Filhal meri priority ye hai ke AUD/USD 0.6820 ki taraf barhe.

Is hafte, buyers aur sellers dono ki taqat long-term nazar se barabar lag rahi hai, jo is level ki taraf upar uthne ko mumkin banata hai, pehle ke bearish trend mein waapas shift hone se pehle. Agar ye upward momentum nahi banta, to price ka niche girna support level 0.6688 ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo corrective move ke taur par ek buying opportunity de sakta hai. Market is plan par amal karne ki koshish karegi aur is trajectory ke along waves banayegi. Kal ki thodi si upward movement shayad US se aayi hui kamzor economic data ki wajah se hui, jaise ke Producer Price Index aur University of Michigan ke figures, ya phir ye sirf bears ke apne positions close karne ki wajah se hua.

Har surat mein, prevailing downtrend ab bhi barqarar hai, aur current price action ek correction ki tarah nazar aati hai. Agar ye correction aage badhti hai, to buyers price ko resistance level 0.6773 tak push karne mein kaamyab ho sakte hain. Is sab ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko market ke har pehlu ko dekhna hoga aur zaroorat parne par apne trading strategy ko adjust karna hoga. AUD/USD ki price movement par nazar rakhna important hai, taake traders behtar decisions le sakein.

AUD/USD Market Outlook

Salam aur Subah Bakhair dosto!
Is hafte AUD/USD market 0.67800 resistance ko cross kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, news events kaafi ahm kirdar ada karenge. US dollar se mutaliq bohot si ahm news data expect ki ja rahi hai, jo market sentiment ko badal kar mukhtalif currency pairs aur financial markets ka naya landscape tay kar sakti hai. Kuch key economic indicators aur events, jaise ke US Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Building Permits, aur Empire State Manufacturing Index release honge, jo US economy ka outlook tay karne mein bohot ahm hain. Yeh indicators humein job market, manufacturing sector, aur housing market ki halat ke bare mein zaroori maloomat denge, jo US dollar ki strength ko asar andaz kar sakti hain. Trading ke liye, main AUD/USD pe 0.6775 ka short target rakhtay hue buy order ko prefer karta hoon.

Labor front par bhi, US Unemployment Claims report bohot closely dekha jata hai. Yeh report batati hai ke pichle hafte kitne logon ne unemployment insurance ke liye pehli martaba application ki hai. Agar unemployment claims ki tadad expected se kam ho, toh yeh signal hota hai ke job market strong hai, jo US dollar ko support karta hai. Magar agar claims zyada ho, toh yeh labor market ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai, jo currency ki girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is hafte ka unemployment data market sentiment ko tay karne aur Federal Reserve ke future monetary policy decisions ke liye bohot ahm hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke AUD/USD pe trading karte waqt stop loss ka zaroor istemal karein, aur news data pe ghour se nazar rakhein.

Khush rahain aur pur sukoon rahain!