Aud/usd

European session ke doran Tuesday ko AUD/USD pair mein ek dramatic climb dekha gaya tha, jisme price 0.6800 ke six-week peak se upar chali gayi thi. Lekin, ab isne direction reverse kar li hai. Abhi investors ka focus Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data par hai jo Wednesday ko release hone wali hai, aur yeh recent rally ko stall karte hue nazar aa rahi hai. Expected hai ke inflation report annual slowdown show karegi, 3.8% se ghat kar 3.4% hone ka forecast hai. Agar inflation forecast ke mutabiq ease hui, toh market speculation yeh ho sakta hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is saal interest rates cut nahi karegi.

Doosri taraf, positive market sentiment Australian dollar ko significant drop se prevent kar raha hai. Yeh optimism is wajah se hai ke expectations hain ke Federal Reserve apne September meeting mein interest rates kam karna shuru karega. European trading hours mein, S&P 500 futures mein notable gains dekhe gaye hain, jab ke US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke US dollar ko dusri currencies ke against track karta hai, apne recent year-to-date low of 100.53 se rebound karne mein struggle kar raha hai.

Halaanke traders mein kuch uncertainty hai ke potential rate cut ka exact size kya hoga, lekin September mein Fed ka interest rate reduction likely samjha ja raha hai. CME Fed Watch tool ke mutabiq 50 basis point cut ka 28.5% probability hai, jab ke zyada data 25 basis point reduction suggest karte hain. Investors US core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data ka bhi intizar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko release hogi, takay expected rate change par further guidance mil sake. Monthly core PCE mein 0.2% increase ka projection hai, aur annual rate ke 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% hone ki umeed hai.

H1 timeframe par AUD/USD ek strong bullish trend dikhata hai, jo ke EMA 50 ki position se zahir hota hai jo EMA 100 ke upar hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi maujooda price movement mein dominant hai. Iske ilawa, ek important resistance break hua hai jo ke 0.675035 ke level par tha, jo pehle ek key resistance area tha. Yeh breakout uptrend ke jaari rehne ke liye ek positive signal deta hai, khaaskar jab support 0.66967 ke level par bana tha jise market ne test kiya hai aur woh achhe tareeqe se qaim raha hai.

Lekin, is waqt mein ek corrective movement ho rahi hai jo ke latest high 0.67969 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh correction qeemat ki fitri harkat ka hissa hai, jahan kisi significant mazbooti ke baad, market aksar retracement karta hai taake pichle support area ko dobara test kiya ja sake. Is tanazur mein, 0.675035 ka level, jo pehle resistance ka kirdar ada kar raha tha, ab support ke taur par kaam karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai.

Meri trading strategy yeh hai ke main 0.675035 ke aas-paas confirmation ka intezar karun. Main ek bullish rejection candle ki talaash karunga jo ke buy position enter karne ke liye signal ke taur par kaam karegi. Yeh rejection candle yeh dikhati hai ke chahe qeemat gir kar support level ko test kare, lekin buyers ne market mein dobara entry ki aur qeemat ko upar dhakel diya, yeh zahir karta hai ke bullish trend ko jari rakhne ke liye kafi buying power hai. Agar yeh confirmation hoti hai, toh main buy position kholne par ghur karunga, aur umeed karta hoon ke uptrend jari rahega.

AUD/USD Analysis
Hamara tajziya AUD/USD currency pair ki mojooda price behavior par mabhni hai. Yeh baat aham hai ke is waqt average prices mein uncertainty hai, jaisa ke moving averages se zahir hota hai jo ke taqriban horizontal hain. Lekin, do maheenay ka average price thoda sa saal bhar ke average se upar chala gaya hai, jo ke potential reversal ki nishani hai. Yeh imkaan mazeed barhta hai jab recent decline ke baad ek strong rebound hota hai jo ke pichlay low ke qareeb hota hai, jis ne niche tail chhod di jo ke 140 points se zyada lambi thi. Iske baad se, price aahista aahista barh rahi hai, jo is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke yeh "bearish side ki safar" ke shuruaat hai. Main hourly chart par pair ko ek ascending channel ke andar chalta dekh raha hoon. Aaj, price is channel ki upper boundary tak pohanch gayi hai, jo ke 0.6724 hai. Is point par, mujhe umeed hai ke ek reversal ho ga, jahan pair mumkin hai ke niche ki taraf jaye. Agar decline hota hai, toh price channel ki lower boundary tak gir sakti hai, jo ke takriban 0.6683 par hai. Aaj ki trading ke liye, buying abhi bhi priority hai.





Lekin, mojooda level 0.67205 par buy positions kholna itna behtar nahi hai. Main ek behtar entry point ka intezar karunga jo ke support level 0.66005 ke qareeb ho. Price ko is level tak pohanchne ke liye thoda dip hona padega. Mera profit ka target 0.67331 par hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy plan ke mutabiq unfold hogi. Agar price decline karti hai, toh yeh stagnant lag sakti hai — kisi khaas downward movement ke baghair. Lekin, price ek upward trend mein confidenti tor par surge kar sakti hai, aarakheen, levels, aur critical markers ko baghair kisi khaas muqabla ke paar karte hue. H1 chart jaisi choti rukawatein kam asar rakhti hain, jabke zyada baraehmi rukawatein, jaise ke daily time frame par, mushkil se progress ko dheema karti hain. Hali mein, H4 chart par, daily time frame ke qareeb ek benchmark 0.6699 ne upward movement mein halka sa waqfa paida kiya, lekin upper benchmark 0.6711 par zyada tawajjo nahi di gayi.

1-hour chart par dekha jaye toh abhi price ek acchi support area mein move kar rahi hai. Aaj trading ke aghaz se hi price channels ke andar chal rahi hai, jismein se ek bearish channel (red color mein) hai, jo kal ke dauran price movement ki direction ko represent karta hai. Chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke pichle hafta ke doran trading ke waqt price ne ek nayi peak ko touch kiya tha aur phir wahan se girawat aayi thi.
Dusre channel (blue color mein) ki direction upward hai, jo ke aakhri do trading dinon ke doran price movement ki direction ko represent karta hai. Pichle do trading dinon aur channels ke shape ko dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke ek upward trend tha jo niche ki taraf correct kiya gaya tha. Aur ab price phir upward trend par wapis aanay ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Is liye, yeh mumkinat hain ke price movement kis taraf jaa sakti hai. Yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke price lower blue channel line aur weekly pivot level se support le kar upar ki taraf move karegi, aur mazeed upar ja kar maujooda price peak ko tod degi aur weekly resistance level 0.6843 tak pohanch jayegi.

Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price maujooda peak ko na tod paye aur is ke upar trade na kar sake, jiski wajah se ek downward wave ban sakti hai.

In mumkinat ko dekhte hue, trading ke liye jo levels muqarrar kiye gaye hain woh kuch is tarah hain:

- Pehla level: Yeh abhi ka maujooda level hai jahan se aap buy kar sakte hain aur stop loss level ko weekly pivot level ke niche set kar sakte hain. Target level resistance level 0.6843 ke niche hona chahiye.

- Dusra level: Weekly pivot level ke niche ek selling level hai, jahan aap sell kar sakte hain lekin is ke liye zaroori hai ke price weekly pivot level ke niche do trading ghanton tak stabilize ho jaye.

AUD/USD:
Chaliye baat karte hain ke AUD/USD currency pair ki price kaisa behave kar rahi hai aur is se kya analysis nikal sakta hai. Naye candlesticks ki configuration aur is currency pair ke RSI indicators se milne wale signals yeh suggest karte hain ke ek bullish reversal ke imkanaat hain. Traditional Japanese candlesticks ke muqablay mein, Heiken Ashi ek smoother, averaged price deta hai, jo ke technical analysis ko simplify karta hai aur trading accuracy ko enhance karta hai. RPV channel indicator (jo red, blue, aur yellow lines par mushtamil hai) support aur resistance lines ko twice-smoothed moving averages ke istemal se banata hai, jo ke instrument ki current movement ke boundaries ko wazeh karta hai. Heiken Ashi ke sath istamal kiye gaye RSI indicator ne iss combination mein positive results dikhaye hain. Mera plan hai ke main apni position ko 61.8% Fibonacci level at 0.68394 tak maintain karoon.

Maujooda chart par, candlesticks ne apna rang blue mein tabdeel kar liya hai, jo ke bullish momentum ki barhti hui taqat ko highlight karta hai. Price ne lower channel boundary ko cross kiya, minimum point se rebound kiya, aur ab middle line ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Issi dauran, trend oscillator bhi ek buy signal ko support kar raha hai, jiski curve upward point kar rahi hai aur overbought zone se door hai. Is liye, yeh ek behtareen mauqa hai ke favourable prices par buy purchase execute kiya jaye, market quotes ko target karte hue channel ke upper limit 0.68560 par pohanchne ke liye. Chart ko Distances ke sath analyze karte hue, main is natijay par pohancha hoon ke ab buying ke liye mauqa hai. Channel indicator price ki upward movement ko confirm karta hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke bulls ka upper hand hai bears par. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahi hai, jo buy positions par focus karne ki strategy ko reinforce karti hai. MACD aur RSI oscillators, jinhe main signals ko filter karne ke liye istamal karta hoon, buyer-friendly zone mein positioned hain.

AUD/USD Price Action

Filhal, hum AUD/USD currency pair ki live pricing ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair dheere-dheere apne trend ko reverse kar raha hai, halanke U.S. dollar ke mazboot hone ki soch hai. Expectations ke bawajood, dollar ab tak significant growth nahi dikhaya. Bohut se log ab bhi Powell ke Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein apni strategy ke beyan ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar interest rate cuts ke hawale se. Aane wale elections ke sath, lagta hai ki September 17 tak kisi clear decision ka hona mushkil hai, jab agle Fed meeting ke results aayenge. Rate cut ki uncertainty abhi bhi barqarar hai, kyunki aisa karne se inflationary surge ho sakta hai. Yeh meri raaye hai, aur market ka nazariya mukhtalif ho sakta hai. Aaj Fed minutes ke reaction dekhna dilchasp hoga. Australian dollar 0.6348 tak pohnch sakta hai.




Pair shayad barhna jari rakhe. Daily chart dikhata hai ke Monday, August 18 ko price uthi aur historical resistance level 0.6708 ke upar close hui. Agle din, August 19 ko, price 0.6735 pivot line ke upar close hui. Aaj pehle din hai chaar consecutive dinon ke growth ke baad, jahan thodi si correction nazar aa rahi hai. Lekin aaj ke Fed minutes release ke baad, further movement trigger ho sakti hai. Candlestick patterns aur MACD indicator growth ki potential ko darshate hain, jahan resistance levels 0.6749, 0.6757, 0.6771, aur 0.6794 tak pohnch sakte hain, aur historical resistance 0.6799 ko bhi test kiya ja sakta hai. Recent uptrend kaafi strong raha hai. Aaj, price correction ke sath reversal line 0.6735 ki taraf aur shayad S1, S2, ya historical support 0.6707 tak ja sakti hai. Jab tak global risk sentiment strong hai, pair apne upward trend ko continue karega. Lekin, hamesha risk appetite mein sudden shift ki possibility rehti hai.

Price Action Magic: AUD/USD

Ham ab AUD/USD currency pair ke real-time pricing behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Main AUD/USD pair ki growth potential se optimistic hoon. Friday ko choti si girawat dekhi gayi, lekin isne ongoing trend ko zyada disrupt nahi kiya, jo ke subtle hai aur ab zahir ho raha hai. Yeh trend maximum update aur corridor boundaries se break ke sath support hota hai, lekin Monday ko bearish exit zyada strong tha, jo ke shayad ek anomaly hai, pair ke asli behavior ka reflection nahi. Filhaal, hum M.A. aur boundary ke upar band hue hain, thodi decline ke bawajood. Middle line, jo thodi lower hai, strong support ko 0.6549 ke aas-paas indicate karti hai. Isliye, is point se long trades initiate karna aur pehla target 0.6609 ke aas-paas rakhna advisable hai.




AUD/USD ne weekly volatility ka substantial experience kiya, khas taur par Black Monday ke din, jab Japanese stock market gir gayi aur doosri markets ko bhi khicha. Commodities, including the Aussie, ko sabse zyada nuksan hua. Lekin, situation dramatically reverse hui, aur haftay ke akhir mein ek sizable bullish pin bar chart par bana. Yeh pattern 0.6359 ke aas-paas se rebounding ke baad samne aayi. Isliye, agar pattern 0.6629 level ko break karta hai, to growth next week tak continue ho sakti hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to further growth inclined resistance 0.669 ke aas-paas tak pahunch sakti hai. Aane wale haftay ki course largely Wednesday ke U.S. inflation statistics par depend karegi. Pair ki recent decline ne ascending channel ke lower border ko nahi chhua, isliye pair Monday se descending continue karega, with a potential target at 0.6552. Is level tak pohnchne ke baad, decline pause ho sakta hai aur price upward push kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD: Price Movement Insights

Hamari baat cheet AUD/USD currency pair ki live pricing evaluation ke sath align karti hai. Four-hour chart se pata chalta hai ke momentum upar ki taraf hai, lekin pehli challenge 0.6746 level par hai, jiske baad 0.6753 aur 0.6797 aati hain. Neeche ki taraf, 200-month average jo ke 0.6634 ke aas-paas hai, initial support provide karta hai, aur 0.6559 agla critical level hai. AUD/USD pair ek mahine ke high 0.6739-0.6754 tak pohnchne ke baad pull back kar raha hai aur pehle half of the European session ke dauran subdued raha hai. Filhaal, spot prices 0.6729-0.6734 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hain, jo ke din ke liye 0.14% ki girawat hai, lekin US dollar ke moderate strengthening ke bawajood teen din ki gain secure kiya hai. Aage ka progress AUD/USD pair ko August ke high 0.6746 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jiske baad July ka peak 0.6797 aur December ka top 0.6870 hai.




AUD/USD currency pair me downtrend zahir hai, jo ke downward-sloping indicator channel se dikhayi deta hai, jo red me shaded hai. MACD indicator zero line ke niche hai. CPI index lagbhag 69 tak pohnch gaya hai. 200-day average 0.6602 ko surpass karne ke baad, AUD/USD ka outlook behtar ho sakta hai, jo short term me uptrend ko continue karne me madad kar sakta hai. Indicator jo red me colored hai, pink line ko blue line ke niche dikhata hai. Yeh trading indicators ka combination selling opportunities ko consider karne layak banata hai. Lekin, shayad yeh behtar hoga ke price ko TMA indicator ke average level tak retrace karne ka intezaar kiya jaye. Bulls ne 0.6773 level (Murray 7.8) ke aas-paas slowdown ke signs dikhaye. Kya yahi end hai? Zaroori nahi. Yeh resistance ko overcome kar sakte hain aur upward continue kar sakte hain, lekin main is par bet nahi laga raha, kyunki US dollar oversold hai aur iska correction aane wala hai.

Australian dollar filhal daily chart par overbought condition ka shikaar hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke niche ki taraf movement ho sakti hai. Jese market participants aaj ki FOMC meeting ki taraf dekh rahe hain, woh Federal Reserve System ke members ke discussions se insight lene ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh zyada concern nahi hai ke agle meeting me rate cut hoga ya nahi, kyunki woh outcome already priced in lagta hai, lekin future rate cuts ki extent aur frequency par zyada focus hai.

Speculation kehta hai ke rate cuts kitne bade honge, kuch pundits to 75-basis points ki cut ki bhi baat kar rahe hain — jo zyada panic move lagta hai na ke strength ka sign. Yeh speculation market me overreaction ko janam de sakti hai, isliye traders ke FOMC findings par reaction dekhna zaroori hai.

In factors ke madde nazar, Australian dollar ka pullback hona zyada mumkin lagta hai, khaaskar jab yeh 0.6650 ke aas-paas support level ke nazdeek pohnch raha hai. Upar ki taraf, 0.6850 level major resistance point ban sakta hai aur currency ke liye ceiling ka kaam kar sakta hai. Stochastic Oscillator jo overbought zone me gehra hai, bhi reversal ki indication de raha hai, kyunki yeh niche move karne wala lagta hai.




Yeh overbought condition, aur recent gains ke baad traders ke profit lock karne ki possibility, suggest karti hai ke Aussie dollar ko short term me niche pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Market correction ke liye ripe lagti hai, khaaskar agar FOMC minutes aggressive rate cuts ki expectations ko temper karte hain. Aakhir mein, jabke Australian Dollar ne strength dikhayi hai, current market conditions aur technical indicators potential pullback ka indicate karte hain, jahan 0.6650 support ke liye aur 0.6850 resistance ke liye key levels hain.

Neeche di gayi tajziya mein, mojooda haalaat ka jaaiza liya gaya hai. Yeh istehkam phase humein mustaqbil ki mumkinat ko tajziya karne ki ijaazat deta hai, ek target range ko upar rakha gaya hai jo 0.6667-78 ke oopar hai aur ek poora range hai jo 0.6703-18 tak phailta hai. Is ke ilawa, aik maqbool pattern bana hua hai jo inverse head and shoulders ko darust karta hai, jo mere pehle se tay kiye gaye maqsood ke kareeb hai. 0.66 ke neeche girna aik shoulder ke banne mein aik mumkin khatra ko zahir karega, jo doosre retracement zone ka dobara jaanch par jaana hai, jahan hum ek reactive response ka intezar karte hain, jis se khareedne ki jazbat aur mazid taqat hasil hoti hai. Is level ke neeche koi harkat aik majbor disruption ko zahir karta hai, jo humein apni trading strategy ko mutabiq taqatwar rukh mein tabdeel karne par majboor karta hai taake yeh gehra narrow channel mein hone wale neeche ki lehar ke saath milta julta ho.
Lekin, yaad rakhna ke jab aik bullish signal zahir hota hai, to 0.6625 range ke oopar breakout ka imkan hota hai, jo istehkam ke doran ek upar ki harkat ke ibtida mein hota hai. Aise scenario mein taza jazbat mein aik naya josh shamil hota hai, jo kharidari ke dilchaspi ko naye paimane par le kar aata hai jabke chhoti sudhar ko mauqay ke tor par dekhta hai, lekin overall trend mazbooti se upar ki taraf rehta hai. Is 0.6625 range ke oopar breakout ko support karna, jo mustaqil istehkam ke zariye tasdiq kiya ja sakta hai, hamare bullish outlook ko mazid barhata hai, agle higher momentum ke liye manzil ko mazeed mazbooti se bhar deta hai. Is breakout ki tasdiq ko barhane wale kharidari faaliyat ke zariye hasil kiya ja sakta hai, jo keemat ko oopar ki taraf dhaakelte hue higher resistance levels ki taraf le jata hai. Aik manzar jo ke 0.6650 level ko mazeed mazboot karta hai, bullish narrative ko mazeed taqat deta hai, upar ki taraf ki harkat ko signal karta hai. Ye factors, ek qareebi breakout ke saath aur 0.6625 ke oopar mustaqil consolidation ke saath milakar, aik mazboot kharidne ki mauqa ko ghumraah signal sabit ho sakta hai, ek naye darje ki shuruaat ko darust karta hai.

Kal, ek chhoti si dip ke baad, AUD/USD ne ulat-phir dikhayi aur ek mazboot bullish impulse ke saath tezi se badha. Ek poori northern candle bani jo aasani se resistance level 0.66799 ko tod kar upar consolidate hui. Maujooda halat ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke ek chhota pullback ke baad, phir se upward movement shuru hogi, jiska agla bullish target 0.67141 hoga. Resistance level par do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla, aur zyada likely, scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karegi aur upward movement jaari rahega. Agar aisa hota hai, toh main dekhunga ke price angle resistance level 0.68711 ki taraf move karegi. Yahan par main ek trading setup dekhunga taake future direction ka pata chal sake. Yeh bhi possible hai ke price ek door ka northern target 0.70301 tak pohnche, lekin yeh news background aur price ki reaction par depend karega. Dosra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke agar price 0.67141 par ek reversal candle form karti hai, toh southern movement dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Is case mein, main ek corrective rollback ko support levels 0.65922 ya 0.65580 tak dekhunga aur in levels ke nazdeek bullish signals dhoondhunga ek potential upward movement ke liye. Halanki, aur door ke southern targets bhi hain, lekin immediate prospects ki kami ki wajah se main unhein is waqt consider nahi kar raha. In summary, main expect karta hoon ke price northward move karegi aur nearest resistance level tak pohnchegi, uske baad main market situation ko dobara assess karunga. Sabko achhi mood! M15 chart par linear regression channel ka slope upward hai, jo market mein strong buying pressure ko indicate karta hai. Buying opportunities ka potential hai. Jab selling consider karein, toh trend ke sath align karna zaroori hai taake significant losses se bacha ja sake. Ek stop loss set karna potential losses ko limit kar sakta hai agar market trading plan ke against move karti hai. Mere case mein, main intezar karunga ke price channel ke bottom 0.66723 tak pohnche aur ek buying opportunity dekhunga jo upper target 0.67143 tak le jaaye. Selling ko channel ke upper edge se consider karna chahiye, aur purchases ke liye correction complete hone ka intezar karna chahiye.bazaar ki tawanai ke jameel hone ka ishaara samjha gaya. Isi doran, investors Aussie data report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke April mein 0.3% ke izafe ka izhaar karne ka tawaqqo kiya jata hai, peechle mahine ke 0.4% ke girne ka muqabla karte hue.Markazi Bank ke Shaoor aur Bazaar ke Rad-e-Amal:Taza Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki meeting ke minutes mein, ye zikr kiya gaya ke board ko maqool rate mein ane wale tabadlayon ko pesh-goi karna mushkil lag raha hai. Unho ne qubool kiya ke haal hi mein shuda data inflation ko 2-3% had tak barqarar rakhne ki barri shakl mein izafa karne ke imkaanat ko barha deta hai. Future rate ki harkat mein is inkisar ka behad aham kirdar ho sakta hai.US Dollar ne girawat dekhi jab University of Michigan ne May ke liye 5 saal tak ke Consumer Inflation Expectations ko jari kiya, jo ke 3.0% tak ka halka sa izafa dikhata hai, umeed se kam 3.1% tak. Halan ke Consumer Sentiment Index ko 67.4 se 69.1 mein izafa mila, lekin yeh 6 mahine ki kam-tareen darjaat par qaim raha. Ye numbers sabq par Federal Reserve ke rate cuts

AUD/USD currency pair ki analysis se pata chalta hai ke abhi market growth phase mein hai, jiska target 0.6864 ke range ke aas-paas set kiya gaya hai. Recent downward correction khatam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke mazeed upar ki taraf movement ke potential ko signal kar rahi hai. 0.6721 level ko test karne ke baad, ummeed hai ke growth dobara shuru ho jaye gi. Choti moti correction abhi bhi ho sakti hai, lekin overall trend upar ki taraf jaari rehne ke imkaanat zyada hain. Agar price 0.6724 ko break karke upar establish ho jati hai, to yeh ek strong buy signal ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, agar price 0.6804 ko cross karke upar hold karne lagti hai, to ek aur buying opportunity ki nishani hogi.

Abhi tak wedge pattern poori tarah form nahi hua, aur is waqt price 0.6765 par hai. Aaj ki decline shayad mazeed growth ke liye volume ke jamah honay se ho sakti hai, jo ke reversal ke shuru hone ka bhi ishara kar sakti hai. Lekin, significant correction ki kami kuch samajh nahi aati. Mein is waqt sell position hold kar raha hoon, aur ummeed hai ke pair eventually pattern ke mutabiq niche ki taraf move karega.

Rising channel indicator jo ke moving average analysis par based hai, uss ke mutabiq current price movement upward direction ki taraf hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi sellers par haavi hain. Recent pullbacks ke bawajood, bullish momentum mazboot hai aur bulls abhi bears ko control nahi de rahe. CCI indicator bhi iss waqt long positions lene ki salah deta hai. Yeh sentiment PPI aur RSI indicators se bhi support hota hai, jo ke dono buy zone mein hain.

Mera plan hai ke open order ko close kar doon jab price 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level tak pohanch jaye, jo ke lagbhag 0.68394 ke aas-paas hai. Abhi tak, koi significant news event nahi hai jo iss instrument ko affect kar raha ho, aur technical indicators bhi neutral hain. Is liye, yeh zaroori hai ke mentioned levels ko closely monitor kiya jaye aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust kiya jaye, khas taur par key breakout points aur potential reversals par focus karte hue.

-hour chart par dekha jaye toh abhi price ek acchi support area mein move kar rahi hai. Aaj trading ke aghaz se hi price channels ke andar chal rahi hai, jismein se ek bearish channel (red color mein) hai, jo kal ke dauran price movement ki direction ko represent karta hai. Chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke pichle hafta ke doran trading ke waqt price ne ek nayi peak ko touch kiya tha aur phir wahan se girawat aayi thi. Dusre channel (blue color mein) ki direction upward hai, jo ke aakhri do trading dinon ke doran price movement ki direction ko represent karta hai. Pichle do trading dinon aur channels ke shape ko dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke ek upward trend tha jo niche ki taraf correct kiya gaya tha. Aur ab price phir upward trend par wapis aanay ki koshish kar rahi hai.

Is liye, yeh mumkinat hain ke price movement kis taraf jaa sakti hai. Yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke price lower blue channel line aur weekly pivot level se support le kar upar ki taraf move karegi, aur mazeed upar ja kar maujooda price peak ko tod degi aur weekly resistance level 0.6843 tak pohanch jayegi.

Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price maujooda peak ko na tod paye aur is ke upar trade na kar sake, jiski wajah se ek downward wave ban sakti hai.

In mumkinat ko dekhte hue, trading ke liye jo levels muqarrar kiye gaye hain woh kuch is tarah hain:

- Pehla level: Yeh abhi ka maujooda level hai jahan se aap buy kar sakte hain aur stop loss level ko weekly pivot level ke niche set kar sakte hain. Target level resistance level 0.6843 ke niche hona chahiye.

- Dusra level: Weekly pivot level ke niche ek selling level hai, jahan aap sell kar sakte hain lekin is ke liye zaroori hai ke price weekly pivot level ke niche do trading ghanton tak stabilize ho jaye.

AUD/USD ke price action ka science
Yeh guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke price behaviour ke analysis par mabni hai. Is neeche jaane waali movement ko samajhne ke kai tareeqe hain. Kuch log isay aik aam pullback samajh sakte hain, lekin AUD/USD par yeh zyada waqt tak chali gayi hai, isay sirf aik simple correction kehna mushkil hai. Yeh girawat do hafton se zyada waqt se barqarar hai, jo ke aam tor par short-term trading duration se zyada hoti hai. Is liye mumkin hai ke yeh aik mukammal trend banne lage, lekin abhi bhi isay medium-term shift kehne ke liye kuch der lag sakti hai. Upar ki taraf koi taqatwar reversal ka koi wazeh ishara nahi hai, aur koi khaas bullish movement bhi samnay nahi aa rahi. Jab ke consolidation ho rahi hai, is ka matlab ho sakta hai ke mazeed girawat aaye, kyun ke neeche ke level par koi taqatwar support levels nazar nahi aa rahe. Price ke 0.6624 ke zone tak jaane ke imkaanat zyada hain, chahay thori si bounce ho kar 0.6679 tak bhi chali jaye.



Hourly chart (H1) par dekhne se yeh samajh aata hai ke downtrend slow ho raha hai aur aik flat phase mein tabdeel ho raha hai. Kal ke din mein ho sakta hai ke yeh pair is range se breakout kare aur aik trend shuru kare, lekin sawal yeh hai ke yeh trend upar ki taraf hoga ya neeche ki taraf? Bias zyada girawat ki taraf hai, lekin kal ke news events isme kuch uncertainty aur risk shamil karte hain. Technical tor par, 0.6624 ki taraf movement ke imkaanat zyada hain. AUD/USD ka daily balance qareeban 0.6668 ke ird gird hai, jahan par aham volumes ne price ka current value banaya hai. Yeh liquidity ko dono taraf se absorb karne mein madad karega, jo ke aik more decisive price distribution ke liye raasta banayega, ye dekhnay ke liye ke barey funds kahan hain. Market manipulators aksar prices ko un areas tak le jate hain jahan zyada liquidity hoti hai, jo ke bade price moves ko trigger karne mein zaroori hoti hai. Agar price 0.6684 tak chali jati hai aur phir wapas 0.6623 par aati hai, to 0.6668 ke level ko closely dekhna zaroori hoga. Agar price is level ko break nahi kar pati, to phir yeh 0.6576 ke qareebi accumulation level tak gir sakti hai, jahan zyada trading volumes hoti hain.

Trading: AUD/USD Price Action
AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis ab guftagu ka markaz hai. Daily chart par AUD/USD neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke aik wazeh downtrend ko zahir karta hai. Aaj ki movement is bearish rujhan ko jari rakhti nazar aa rahi hai, halaan ke reversal ka imkaan bhi maujood hai. Aayein is din ka technical analysis break down karte hain. Moving averages se strong sell signal milta hai, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ke saath aligned hain. Puri tasveer yehi dikha rahi hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, lekin hum kisi bhi mumkin shift par nazar rakhenge. Ab tak price is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur doosri badi currency pairs bhi kareebi waqt mein U.S. dollar ke mazid mazboot hone ki taraf ishara kar rahi hain. Pehli wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level qareeban 161.9% ke aas paas hai. Darmiyani target technical level 0.6641 par hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Haan, thodi si growth ya pullback bhi ho sakti hai, jo qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak ja sakti hai.




Hourly chart (H4) par dekhne se yeh samajh aata hai ke neeche jaane wala trend ab aur zyada taqat pakad raha hai, aur wave structure bhi achi tarah se define hai. MACD indicator ab neeche sell zone mein hai, jo apni signal line ke neeche hi reh raha hai. Is se pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence dekha gaya tha. Is ke ilawa, aik reversal pattern — ascending wedge — neeche break hua, jo bearish divergence signal ko validate karta hai. Is ke natije mein price neeche gir gayi, aur temporary support qareeb 0.6701 par thi. Aik lambi corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level 0.6756 ko hit kiya, jo ke pehle support ka kaam kar raha tha. Yeh level growth ke edge par hai aur hamesha se strong selling zone raha hai. Is girawat ko jari rakhnay mein aik aham factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai.