gbp/usd

GBP/USD jodi naye haftay ko kamzor tone par shuru karta hai aur Asian session ke doran maand band mein oscillates karta hai, darmiyani 1.2700 ke kareeb. Is doraan, downside ab bhi dollar ki kamzori ke baad ek kamzor factor bani hai, jismain ab Ameriki ke inflationary pressures ke signs hain.

April ke aakhri dino mein, uparward retreat ka neeche ka hadood 1.2700 par major support ke tor par milta hai. Is context mein, 20 dinon ka aasan moving average (SMA) agla moving target dekha ja sakta hai 1.2650 pe aage 1.2630 (100 dinon ka SMA).

Upar ki taraf resistances 1.2760-1.2770 (Taza downtrend ka Fibonacci 78.6% retracement, ascending regression channel ka midway point) aur 1.2800 (nafsiyati level, static level) hain.

GBP/USD Ameriki dollar ke aspaas bechne ka dabaav se faida uthata hai. Dollar (USD) ke aspaas bechne ka dabaav se faida uthata hai aur Budh ke din positive territory mein din ko khatam karta hai. Halankeh jodi Friday ke European session mein 1.2700 ke ooper qaim rehti hai, lekin Ameriki session se pehle apne recovery ko barhaane mein kashmakash mehsoos karta hai.

Ahem inflation figures nikal aaye hain. U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne Budh ke din ghoshna ki ke pehle quarter mein saalana bruto gharelu utpad (GDP) ka 1.3% se pehle ki tasdeeq 1.6% se kam kar di gayi hai.

BEA baad mein din ke liye April ke liye personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index data release karega, Federal Reserve (Fed) ka inflation gauge. Investors monthly core PCE price index reading pe nazar rakhein ge, jo ke khana aur energy ke qeemat ke tabadlay se bacha hua hota hai aur base effects se mukhtalif nahi hota hai.

GBP/USD bhi forex market mein ek ahem currency pair hai. Yeh British Pound aur United States Dollar ke darmiyaan ka exchange rate darust karta hai. GBP/USD ka rate bhi daily basis par fluctuate karta hai, jisme market conditions, economic indicators, aur geo-political events ka bada asar hota hai.

Is pair ke trading mein Roman Urdu ka istemaal kuch traders ke liye asaanai barta hai. Roman Urdu ke istemaal se, traders jo Urdu ko angrezi mein nahi samajhte, unhe bhi forex trading ke concepts aur trends ka pata chal sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka rate normally decimal point ke 4 ya 5 digits tak hota hai, jaise ke 1.3050 ya 1.30500. Har ek decimal point ka change bhi significant impact daal sakta hai trading ke liye.

Is pair ke trading mein kai factors affect karte hain, jaise ke:

1. **Interest Rates**: Bank of England (BoE) aur United States ke Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions ka asar GBP/USD ke rate par hota hai.

2. **Economic Indicators**: GDP growth, inflation rate, unemployment rate, aur retail sales jaise economic indicators bhi is pair ke rate par asar dalte hain.

3. **Geo-Political Events**: Brexit jaise events, trade agreements, aur international relations ke changes bhi GBP/USD ke rate par impact dalte hain.

4. **Market Sentiment**: Trader sentiment, risk appetite, aur market speculation bhi is pair ke rate ko influence karte hain.

5. **Technical Analysis**: Traders technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur trend lines ka istemaal karte hain trading decisions ke liye.

GBP/USD ke trading mein trend analysis bohot ahem hai. Traders ko market trends ko samajhna aur sahi trading decisions lena zaroori hai. Trend analysis ke liye, traders chart patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur price action ka istemaal karte hain.

Is pair ke trading mein risk management bhi bohot ahem hai. Traders ko apne trades ke liye stop-loss aur take-profit levels set karna chahiye, aur over-trading se bachna chahiye.

Overall, GBP/USD trading ek challenging lekin rewarding experience ho sakti hai. Is pair ke market trends ko samajhna aur sahi trading decisions lena traders ke liye crucial hai. Traders ko market ke updates par nazar rakhna aur apne trading strategies ko continuously improve karna chahiye.

GBP/USD

GBP-USD ki movement abhi bhi ek strong bullish pattern dikhati hai, jahan USD ki kamzori is pair ke continue rise ka ek factor hai. Fundamentals se, US dollar index pichle trading session tak girta raha aur 7-1/2 mahine ke lowest level tak pahunch gaya, Fed officials ke dovish comments ke pressure mein jo keh rahe the ke September FOMC meeting mein Fed rate cut par khula hona consider karenge. US dollar index 0.37% gir gaya. San Francisco Fed President Daly ne kaha ke recent US economic data ne Fed ko “zyada confidence” diya hai ke inflation control mein hai aur ab borrowing costs adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai. Dollar ka decline uske baad bhi continue raha jab July mein leading US indicator expectations se zyada gir gaya. July ka leading US indicator -0.6% m/m gir gaya, jabki expectation -0.4% m/m thi. Yeh factors ab bhi GBP-USD ki movement ko fundamentals se drive karte hain.

Technical analysis se dekha jaye to daily timeframe pattern mein, price upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai aur high BOLLINGER BAND ko touch kar chuki hai, aur psychological level 1.3000 ke area ke nazdeek hai. Current upward pattern abhi bhi strong lag raha hai, halanki price strong resistance 1.3044 ke nazdeek aa rahi hai jo saturation pattern dikhata hai. Price abhi bhi kai important EMAs ke upar hai, isliye resistance 1.3044 tak reach karne ka potential hai pehle ki rebound se. Indicators, jaise ke stochastic aur RSI, bhi upward pattern dikhate hain, jahan stochastic abhi bhi upar move kar raha hai aur 80 area ke upar hai. RSI bhi 70 area tak pahunch gaya hai. Existing patterns dekhte hue, yeh indication hai ke price ab bhi upar move karegi aur nearest resistance par rebound karegi.

GBP/USD ke currency pair ka price behavior dekhte hue, hum market quotes ki movement ko ek upward correction ke andar dekh rahe hain. Iss daur mein, buyers ne apni positions ko restore kar liya hai aur resistance level 1.2764 tak pohanch gaye hain. Agar yeh horizontal line breakout hoti hai, toh corrective growth resistance level 1.2823 tak continue ho sakti hai. 1.2856 ke resistance level tak bhi ek upward correction mumkin hai. Yeh growth, asoolan medium term mein downward trend ke scenario ko cancel nahi karti. GBP/USD ka reversal support ke four-hour 50.00% Fibonacci retracement se kaafi successful raha; price 100 points se barh gayi, aur mein umeed karta hoon ke kuch aur points ka growth dekhne ko milega. Wajah yeh hai ke price ne hourly retracement ke 23.60% resistance level ko break kar liya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke agle level tak pohanchne ka imkaan kaafi zyada hai.

Support area price 1.2733-1.2736 par hai, jahan se price ne bearish se bullish ki taraf palat liya. Bollinger bands indicator ko Daily timeframe par monitor karte hue yeh dekha gaya ke price buyers ke control mein hai, jo price ko Lower Bollinger bands area ke upar rakhnay mein kaamyab rahe hain, aur bullish candlestick ne phir se dominance hasil kar li hai. Iss wajah se yeh imkaan barh gaya hai ke buyers GBP/USD pair market ko agle hafte mein control mein rakhenge, jahan bullish target Middle Bollinger bands area 1.2845-1.2850 tak ka hoga. Agar yeh successfully penetrate ho gaya, toh price aur bhi ooper ja sakta hai, aur agla target Upper Bollinger bands area 1.3036-1.3040 par hoga.

Agle Monday ke trading mein umeed hai ke pair ke price mein pehle correction hoga, kyun ke market close ke qareeb buyers abhi tak sellers ke resistance area 1.2770-1.2768 mein rukawat mehsoos kar rahe hain, jahan bearish target buyer's support area 1.2736-1.2733 ko test karne ki koshish karega. Agar yeh area sellers se break na ho saka, toh price ooper barh jayegi, lekin agar break ho gaya, toh price agle buyer's demand support area 1.2676-1.2673 tak ja sakti hai.

Nateeja: Sell entry tab kar sakte hain agar seller najdeek ke buyer support area 1.2736-1.2733 ko torh deta hai, jahan target TP area 1.2676-1.2673 hoga. Buy entry tab kar sakte hain agar buyer najdeek ke seller resistance area 1.2770-1.2775 ke upar break kar le, jahan target TP area 1.2805-1.2810 hoga.

GBP/USD Phir Se Oopar Ki Taraf Chala Gaya

Wednesday ko, GBP/USD ne apni upward movement dobara shuru ki, jo ke ab tak ke upward trend ke saath align kar rahi hai. Trend line ye dikha rahi hai ke pound ka barhna jaari reh sakta hai. Lekin is mein hairat ki koi baat nahi hai, kyun ke pound ne kaafi mahino se illogical rise dikhaya hai. Pichlay teen quarters mein, hum apne readers ko bar-bar yeh bata chuke hain ke pound ke is barhne ki koi logical wajah nahi hai, magar phir bhi yeh barhta ja raha hai.

Market Conditions

Wednesday ko pound khareedne ka koi bunyadi sabab nahi tha, lekin market ab bhi bullish hai. UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) June mein 2.0% tak barh gaya, jo ke pichle maheenay ke muqablay mein stable raha. Is ke ilawa, Core CPI bhi 3.5% par barqarar raha, jo May ke muqablay mein mukhlis raha. Halankeh market ne inflation mein kami ki umeed ki thi. Yeh kis tarah pound mein naye long positions ka sabab ban sakta hai? Aakhir kar yeh iss baat ki taraf ishara hai ke Bank of England (hypothetically) yeh samajh sakta hai ke inflation ab apni had tak pohanch gayi hai, aur pehla rate cut delay karna zaroori hai! Market aise narratives banata hai. Haqeeqat yeh hai ke agar inflation apne target level tak pohanch gayi to, BoE shayad August tak rate cuts shuru kar sakta hai, jo ke pound ke liye ek strong bearish factor hoga.

Trading Signals

5-minute time frame par, do achi trading signals nazar aaye. Pehle, price ne 1.2980-1.2993 ke area ko cross kiya, jo ke ek buy signal generate hua. Phir, yeh 1.3043 level se rebound hua, jo ke ek sell signal banaya. Naye traders dono positions open kar sakte thay. Pehle scenario mein takreeban 20 pips ka faida hua, jab ke dosray scenario mein takreeban 25 pips ka faida mila.

Trading Tips for Thursday

Hourly chart par GBP/USD ke liye downtrend ke banne ke asar nazar aa rahe hain, lekin is se local upward trend khatam nahi hota. Pair mein bullish bias hai aur yeh ab bhi illogical movements dikhata hai. Filhal, pound sterling ne apni aakhri local high ko cross kar liya hai aur fundamental backdrop ko ignore kar raha hai. Market almost har report ka use kar raha hai British currency ko khareedne ke liye.

Thursday ko, pound sterling apni upward movement ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Naye traders ko 1.2980-1.2993 ke range mein signals dekhne chahiye. Agar price is level se rebound hoti hai, to yeh naye positive trades ka ishara hoga. Agar yeh is mark se neeche consolidate hota hai, to yeh sluggish decline ka ishara hoga.

Key Levels aur Market Reports

5M chart par key levels yeh hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, aur 1.3145. Aaj UK unemployment aur wages par reports release karega, jo ke market naye long positions ke liye use kar sakti hai. US bhi unemployment benefits applications par aik choti report publish karega. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka meeting aur ECB Head Christine Lagarde ka speech bhi trader sentiment par asar dal sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior analysis ke mutabiq, hum market quotes ki movement ko upward correction ke andar dekh rahe hain. Is background ke against, buyers ne apni positions ko resistance level 1.2764 tak restore kar liya hai. Agar yeh horizontal line breakout ho jati hai, toh corrective growth 1.2823 ke resistance level tak continue karegi. Ek upward correction 1.2856 ke resistance level tak bhi possible hai. Yeh growth, asal mein, medium term mein downward trend ke scenario ko cancel nahi karti. GBP/USD ka reversal 4-hour 50.00% Fibonacci retracement ke support se successful raha; price mein 100 points ka izafa dekhne ko mila, aur main umeed kar raha hoon ke aur bhi kuch dozen points ka growth dekhne ko milega. Wajah yeh hai ke price ne hourly retracement ke 23.60% ke resistance level ko breakout kiya, aur is ka matlab yeh hai ke aglay level tak pohanchne ka imkaan bohot zyada hai.

Support area 1.2733-1.2736 ke price par hai, jo ke price ko bearish se wapas bullish banane mein madadgar sabit hua. Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ko monitor karte hue dekha ja sakta hai ke price buyers ke control mein hai, jo ke price ko Lower Bollinger bands area ke upar maintain karne mein kaamyab rahe hain, aur bullish candlestick dobara dominate kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ke chances ko barha raha hai ke woh GbpUsd pair market ko trading ke aglay hafte mein bhi control kar sakein. Agla bullish target Middle Bollinger bands area ki taraf ho sakta hai jo ke 1.2845-1.2850 ke price par hai, jo agar future mein successfully penetrate hota hai, toh pair ka price aur bhi zyada soar karega, aur agla target Upper Bollinger bands area ki taraf ho sakta hai jo ke 1.3036-1.3040 ke price par hai. Trading aglay Monday ko pehle pair ke price ko correct karne ki umeed hai, kyunke market closing ke qareeb aate hue, buyers ko abhi bhi sellers ki taraf se rokawat ka samna hai, jo resistance area 1.2770-1.2768 par guard kar rahe hain, aur bearish target buyer ke support area 1.2736-1.2733 ko test karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar yeh area seller se penetrate nahi hota, toh pair ka price barhni ki umeed hai, lekin agar yeh penetrate ho jata hai, toh price aglay buyer ke demand support area 1.2676-1.2673 par chali jayegi.

Conclusion: Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar seller nearest buyer support area 1.2736-1.2733 ko penetrate karne mein kaamyab hota hai, jiska target TP area 1.2676-1.2673 par hai. Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyer nearest seller resistance area 1.2770-1.2775 ke upar penetrate karne mein kaamyab hota hai, jiska target TP area 1.2805-1.2810 par hai.

UK Retail Deals m/m data release ke baad, GBPUSD pair ke upar ki taraf ka correction phase pe koi khaas asar nahi pada. Upar ki taraf ki rally secondary response ke tor pe bearish trend conditions ke dauran FR 61.8- 1.2898 tak pohnchi. Pehle ka price FR 50- 1.2853 tak bhi pohncha, jo ke decline karte hue FR 38.2- 1.2809 ya EMA 50 tak ruk gaya. Upar ki taraf ka correction price movement ko retracement complete kar dena chahiye aur niche ke low prices 1.2664 tak pohnchna chahiye. Lekin, agar price movement SMA 200 ke upar wapas aati hai, to correction phase FR 78.6- 1.2962 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Iska matlab hai ke bearish trend ki direction bullish trend mein tabdeel ho sakti hai.
Oscillator (AO) index ka perspective abhi uptrend dikhata hai. Magar agar aap isko detail se dekhein, to price ke upar jaane ke sath volume histogram ki harmony kam hai. Ye bearish divergence signal generate kar sakta hai jo GBPUSD pair ke price decline ko bearish trend direction ke sath support karega. Stochastic index ke parameters jo overbought zone 90-80 mein hain, ye indicate karte hain ke upar ki taraf ka price correction jaldi khatam ho sakta hai. Yeh parameters ke overbought zone ko cross karne ki possibility FR 61.8- 1.2898 ke aas-paas price increase ke sath milti hai.




Trend direction abhi bhi bearish hai, lekin kamzor ho raha hai, is liye price direction movement niche ki taraf jane ki umeed hai. Trading option ko FR 61.8- 1.2898 ke aas-paas sell entry position place karni chahiye. Stochastic index parameters ke overbought zone ko cross karne ki certainty ka intezaar karein. AO index histogram jo positive area mein hai, woh bearish divergence signal generate karta hai. FR 38.2- 1.2809 jo price ne niche jate waqt touch kiya tha, use take profit ke liye use kiya jaa sakta hai aur FR 78.6- 1.2962 ko stop loss ke liye use karein.

GBP/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast


Abhi kuch din se market bullish trend ki taraf move kar rahi hai aur lagta hai ke yeh trend abhi khatam nahi hua. GBP/USD currency pair ka trend pichle hafte ke end par upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha tha, aur previous trend se bullish rally banane ki koshish thi, jo ke 1.2913 tak pohnchi. Pichle mahine ke akhir mein market mein wide range ka decline dekha gaya. Aaj subah se le kar dopahar tak, price ko upar move karte hue dekha gaya. Halankeh sellers ne bechne ki koshish ki, magar buyers ke strong push ki wajah se market mein dominance unka tha. In halaton ko dekhte hue, aane wale waqt mein USD/JPY currency pair, jo is hafte increasing phase mein tha, ke bullish trend ko continue karne ki umeed hai aur yeh 1.2950 ke price level ko target kar sakta hai.

May ke shuru se dekha jaye to trend bullish direction mein move kar raha hai. Yeh hi condition Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke Lime Line par bhi dekhi gayi hai jo ke level 70 tak pohnch gayi hai. Candlestick ka position bhi Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke upar hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market abhi bhi bullish phase mein hai, isliye main BUY trading order pe focus kar raha hoon. Halankeh sellers ki taraf se ab bhi downward attempts ho rahi hain, lekin jaisa ke humne dekha hai, market trend is hafte bhi bullish direction mein rehne ki umeed hai. Current price movement jo abhi slow hai, iska continue hona bullish direction ki taraf increase karne ke liye expected hai, jo ke price level ko target kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast



Ab tak price 1.2869 ke aas-paas barh gayi hai, kyun ke raat ko market mein rally ke sath kaafi bada increase dekha gaya. Aaj, GBP/USD market mein buyers ka control nazar aa raha hai. Candlestick ke position se yeh pata chal raha hai ke buyers ki taqat price ko upar le ja sakti hai. Agar buyers ka asar barqarar raha, to price aur upar ja sakti hai aur Uptrend ki taraf wapas aa sakti hai. Lekin agar buyers bada transaction volume ke sath wapas aate hain, to market aage bhi Uptrend ki taraf move kar sakta hai.

Price ke journey pattern ko dekhte hue, yeh mumkin hai ke price trend Uptrend ki taraf continue kar sake. Weekend ke doran market ka rukh Uptrend ki taraf rehta hai. Aakhri kuch dinon mein price increase ke sath candlestick 1.2872 ke aas-paas pohnchne ki umeed hai. Pichle mahine ke end mein, seller’s influence ne market ko control kiya aur prices ko neeche kiya, magar August ke end ke baad buyers ne phir se price ko barhaya.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, stochastic indicator 5,3,3 ab 80 zone ko touch kar gaya hai, jo buyers ke control ko dikhata hai, aur is wajah se price raat ko upar chal rahi thi. Isliye, kyun ke price ab steadily barh rahi hai, main bullish trend par focus karne ki salahiyat deta hoon, shayad yeh price ko 1.2924 ke aas-paas le jaa sake. Abhi ke liye, Buy position entry signal par zyada focus karein, kyun ke current trend direction ke mutabiq, raat ko market ka Uptrend journey volatility mein increase ho sakta hai.

Trading Recommendations: BUY (4 Hour Chart)

Position Opening Strategy:

Nateeja aur trading plan ke taur par, GBP/USD market mein price ke barhne ke moqa hai, traders Buy position open kar sakte hain agar price 1.2884 ke aas-paas barhti hai. Is area tak pohnchne se pehle position open karne mein jaldi na karein taake loss ya long-term floating loss se bacha ja sake. Agar market scenario ke mutabiq chale, to profit ka moqa zyada ho sakta hai.

Buyers ke control ke sath, candlestick ko Uptrend ki taraf le jana stable ho sakta hai. Agar end of the week tak target increase pohnch jata hai, to buyers ke paas agle haftay higher price area tak candlestick ko barhane ka moqa ho sakta hai kyun ke price movement pattern abhi bhi bullish side par hai.

Subah ke forecast mein, maine 1.2884 level par focus kiya aur market entry decisions uske basis par plan kiye. Chaliye 5-minute chart dekhte hain ke kya hua. Us level par false breakout ki formation aur rise ne short positions ke liye acha entry point provide kiya, lekin pound 15 points girne ke baad sellers ka momentum khatam ho gaya. Technical outlook din ke dusre hisse ke liye wahi raha.
GBP/USD par Long Positions ke liye:
UK retail sales ne economists ke forecasts se behtareen performance dikhayi, jo ke pair ke upward potential ko barqarar rakhti hai, magar data ne significant upward movement nahi di. Technical standpoint se, changes ki zaroorat nahi hai. Agar 1.2859 par decline aur false breakout hota hai, jahan moving averages buyers ko favor karti hain, tabhi strong statistics on building permits, housing starts, aur University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index ke uthane par expect kiya ja sakta hai. Morning resistance 1.2884 ko target kiya jayega. Agar is range ka breakout aur retest upar se hota hai, to pound ke further rise ki chances barh jayengi, jo long positions ke liye entry point provide karega, jahan 1.2910 tak move karne ki umeed hai. Final target 1.2939 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar GBP/USD 1.2859 par bullish activity ke bina girta hai, to pound aur zyada gir sakta hai. Yeh decline aur agle support 1.2832 ka retest karwa sakta hai, jo pair ke substantial fall ke chances ko barha dega. Isliye, long positions ke liye sirf false breakout formation hi suitable condition hogi. Main GBP/USD ko 1.2800 ke low se rebound par foran khareedne ka plan kar raha hoon, din ke dauran 30-35 points ke upward correction ko target karte hue.

GBP/USD par Short Positions ke liye:
Sellers ne dikhaya hai ke woh ab bhi active hain, magar har active move ke sath buyers declines ka faida utha rahe hain. Agar pair phir se weak U.S. statistics ke darmiyan barhta hai, to 1.2884 ke hold hone par bharosa mushkil hoga, isliye wahan sirf ek false breakout hi large players ke pound ke girne ke bets ko confirm karega. Yeh short positions kholne ka moqa provide karega, jiska target support 1.2859 ka retest hoga. Agar is range ka breakout aur retest niche se hota hai, khas taur se Fed representatives ke hawkish stance ke beech (aaj kuch FOMC member interviews scheduled hain), to buyers ko hard hit milega, stop orders trigger honge aur 1.2832 tak rasta khulega. Final target 1.2800 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Is level ka test pound ke bullish prospects ko severely impact karega. Agar GBP/USD barhta hai aur din ke dusre hisse mein 1.2884 par bearish activity nahi hoti, to buyers ko further pair ko push karne ka acha mauka milega. Is case mein, main bechne ko 1.2910 par false breakout hone tak delay karunga. Agar wahan downward movement nahi hoti, to main GBP/USD ko foran 1.2939 se rebound par bechunga, magar sirf din ke dauran 30-35 points ke downward correction ki umeed rakhunga.

British pound ne Friday ko New York trading session ke doran significant rally dekhi, major currencies ko outperform karte hue. Yeh surge mainly July ke retail sales ke behtar-than-expected rebound ke sabab tha, jo Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne report kiya. June ke tezi se girne ke baad, retail sales ne mazboot recovery dikhayi, monthly basis par 0.5% aur annually 1.4% barh gayi. Yeh growth department stores aur sports equipment outlets mein barhe kharch se hui, jo shayad summer sales promotions aur European football championships jaise sporting events ke jazbe ke wajah se thi. Dusri taraf, motor fuel ki demand mein kami dekhi gayi. Retail sales consumer spending ka ek aham indicator hain, jo economic growth ko drive karta hai. Isliye, is positive data ne September mein Bank of England ke interest rate cut ki umeedon ko kuch kam kar diya hai. Halankeh central bank ne August ke shuru mein rate cut implement kiya tha, magar yeh decision close tha, jo economic landscape ki complexities ko reflect karta hai. September mein Bank of England ke monetary policy meeting bhi challenging hone ki umeed hai. July mein service sector inflation ke sharp decline ke bawajood, labor market ne resilience dikhayi, unemployment rate achanak se kam hua, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke economy growth trajectory par hai.



GBP/USD currency pair ne lagbhag 1.2900 tak surge kiya, jo 1.2665 ke six-week low se shuru hui uptrend ko extend karta hai. Technical indicators is bullish momentum ko support karte hain, daily timeframe par higher lows aur positive divergence ke formation ke sath. Lekin, uptrend ki confirmation ke liye additional indicators ki zaroorat hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 level ke nazdeek se rebound hua, jo renewed buying interest ko indicate karta hai. Aage dekhte hue, psychological 1.3000 level aur yearly high 1.3044 pound ke liye significant resistance levels hain. Agar pair August 8 ke low 1.2665 ke niche girta hai, to downturn ka potential ho sakta hai, jo June 27 ke low 1.2613 ya April 29 ke high 1.2570 tak decline ka risk barha dega.

Hello doston, kaise hain aap sab? GBP/USD ne Friday ko US session mein teen hafton ki highest level 1.2900 ke aas-paas trade kiya. Wall Street par bearish onset ne risk sentiment mein negative tilt ko dikhaya aur is wajah se pair ko further bullish momentum ikattha karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Upar ki taraf, pehla resistance level 1.3000 (psychological level aur static level) ke aas-paas hai. Niche ki taraf, pehla support 1.2850-1.2840 (Fibonacci 50% retracement aur 200-period Simple Moving Average) par hai. Iske baad 1.2800 (100-period SMA aur Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) aur 1.2767 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) ko dekha jaa sakta hai.
GBP/USD ne apne bullish momentum ko barqarar rakha aur Friday ko European session mein teen hafton ki highest level 1.2900 ke thoda niche trade kiya. High-impact data releases ke bina, risk perception doosre hisse mein pair ke action ko influence kar sakti hai. Thursday ko, US data ne dikhaya ke weekly initial jobless claims 7,000 se ghat kar 227,000 ho gaye. Saath hi, retail sales July mein 1% barh gayi, jo market expectations se zyada thi (0.3% increase). Yeh upbeat data release ne USD ko boost diya aur GBP/USD ko 1.2800 ki taraf gira diya.

Jab Wall Street ke opening bell ke baad risk flow financial markets mein dominate karne laga, GBP/USD ne traction gain kiya aur din ke aakhir mein positive territory mein close hua. University of Michigan ke preliminary consumer sentiment index ke figures ke bawajood, investors in numbers ko ignore karke risk perception par focus karenge. Press time tak, US stock index futures 0.15% se 0.3% tak upar the. Wall Street ka bullish start USD ko nuksan pohcha sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko further rise de sakta hai. Yeh bhi dekhne layak hai ke weekend market ka relationship weak ho sakta hai due to profit taking aur weekend flows.

Is waqt, GBP/USD ne strong momentum dikhaya hai aur iska agla step 1.3000 ke psychological level ko challenge karna ho sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke niche ke support levels ko monitor kiya jaye, jo ke 1.2850-1.2840 aur 1.2800 par hain. Agar USD ko bullish start milta hai aur risk perception market ko influence karti hai, to GBP/USD ko further upar ki taraf move karne ka moqa mil sakta hai.

Aaj ki trading mein, market ka behavior aur risk perception GBP/USD ke future moves ko decide karegi. Investors ko weekend ke dauran profit taking aur market flows ko bhi dekhna hoga, jo trading conditions ko affect kar sakti hain. Toh, sabhi traders ko chahiye ke woh in factors ko dhyan mein rakhte hue apni trading strategies ko adjust karein aur market trends ko closely follow karein.

GBP/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast




UK Retail Sales ka naya monthly data release hua hai, lekin is ka GBP/USD pair ke upward correction phase par zyada asar nahi lagta. Upward rally jo ke bearish trend conditions ke beech secondary reaction thi, lagbhag FR 61.8 - 1.2898 tak pohanch gayi. Pehle ka price FR 50 - 1.2853 tak bhi gaya, phir decline karta raha lekin jab FR 38.2 - 1.2809 ya EMA 50 par pohanch gaya to ruk gaya. Upward corrected price movement ko retracement complete karke downward price rally ko continue karna chahiye tha taake 1.2664 ke low prices ko test kiya ja sake. Lekin, price movement jo ab SMA 200 ke upar hai, yeh indicate karta hai ke correction phase FR 78.6 - 1.2962 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to bearish trend ki direction bullish trend mein badal sakti hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka perspective ab uptrend momentum ko dikhata hai. Lekin, agar isay aur detail mein dekha jaye, to volume histogram ke sath price ka move itna harmonious nahi lagta. Yeh bearish divergence signal ko trigger kar sakta hai jo GBP/USD pair ki price decline rally ko bearish trend direction ke sath support karega. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone mein 90 - 80 par enter ho chuke hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke upward price correction jaldi buying saturation point par pohanch sakti hai. Parameters ke later overbought zone ko cross karne ka possibility FR 61.8 - 1.2898 ke aas-paas price increase se milti hai.

Setup entry position:

Trend direction ab bhi bearish hai, halanke kamzor ho raha hai, phir bhi price direction movement niche ki taraf hi lagti hai. Isliye, trading option SELL entry position FR 61.8 - 1.2898 ke aas-paas place kiya ja sakta hai. Confirmation ki zaroorat hai ke Stochastic indicator parameters overbought zone 90 - 80 ko cross karein. AO indicator histogram jo positive area mein hai, ek bearish divergence signal ko validly generate karta hai. FR 38.2 - 1.2809 jo ab purana ho chuka hai kyunke price ne niche move kiya tha, use take profit ke liye rakha jaye aur FR 78.6 - 1.2962 ko stop loss ke liye use kiya jaye.

GBP/USD currency pair kaafi factors se mutasir hota hai, jaise ke interest rate decisions, quantitative easing measures, aur forward guidance, jo market sentiment ko drive karte hain aur currency pair ki direction ko influence karte hain.
Haali mein, Bank of England ne inflationary pressures ke response mein monetary policy ke liye cautious approach apnayi. Iske muqabil, Federal Reserve ne interest rate hikes aur balance sheet reduction ke saath aggressive stance liya hai. Monetary policy mein yeh difference GBP/USD pair mein bearish trend ko barha sakta hai.

Lekin agar Bank of England inflationary pressures ke response mein zyada hawkish stance apnati hai, to current trend reverse ho sakta hai. Usi tarah, agar Fed economic growth ke concerns ke wajah se dovish ho jata hai, to US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko upward momentum de sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair external factors se bhi mutasir hota hai. Brexit se related developments, trade negotiations, aur UK ya US mein political instability volatility create kar sakti hai aur sharp price swings ka sabab ban sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar UK-EU trade relationship post-Brexit ke baare mein positive news aati hai, to pound ko support mil sakta hai, jabke negative developments se pound par pressure aa sakta hai. Usi tarah, US mein political uncertainty, jaise fiscal policy debates ya aane wale elections, US dollar ko impact kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ko influence kar sakti hai.

Traders ko geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market reactions ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair mein significant movements ko trigger kar sakti hain.

Technical analysis GBP/USD currency pair ki movements predict karne ke liye ek important tool hai. Price charts ko analyze karke, key support aur resistance levels ko identify karke, aur technical indicators jaise moving averages aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka use karke, traders market movements ke potential insights le sakte hain.

Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.2754 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend mein hai. Jabke market gradual movement kar raha hai, kuch factors aane wale dino mein significant movements ko trigger kar sakte hain. Economic indicators, central bank actions, geopolitical events, technical analysis, market sentiment, aur liquidity sab GBP/USD pair ki direction determine karne mein role play karte hain.

Traders aur investors ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur potential market-moving events ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair mein substantial movement ka sabab ban sakti hain. Ek informative aur analytical approach ke saath, traders behtar decisions le sakte hain aur aane wali market volatility ka faida utha sakte hain.

Iske ilawa, major economic releases ya unexpected geopolitical events ke dauran volatility significantly increase ho sakti hai. Traders ko aane wale dino mein increased volatility ke potential ke baare mein aware rehna chahiye, jo GBP/USD pair mein substantial movements ko lead kar sakta hai.

Achay din dosto! Pichle chaar hafton se British Pound aur US Dollar (GBP/USD) currency pair lagataar girawat ka shikaar hai, aur chaar ghante ke timeframe par ek clear bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Jab tak price is descending channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai, kisi bhi kharidari ki baat chhodni chahiye. Magar, channel ki upper line ke nazdeek bechne ke achay mauqe mil sakte hain.
Ab sab se zaroori sawaal yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair kitna neeche ja sakta hai. Latest correction ko dekhte hue, jo 1.2706 ke low se 1.2839 ke high tak hua hai, hum Fibonacci grid ko is range par stretch kar sakte hain. Is grid ke 161.8% level par 1.2630 hai. Is point par yeh maan sakte hain ke price is level ki taraf gir sakti hai, jo 1.2612 ke support level ke saath milta hai, jo ke June ke month ka low hai. Lekin, price ko 1.25 ke round support level tak girne se rokne ke liye koi significant barrier nahi hai.

Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, descending channel ke andar trading ke dauran kisi bhi kharidari ka sochna bekaar hai. Lekin agar price upper boundary ke nazdeek pohanchti hai, to selling ka achha mauqa mil sakta hai.

Fibonacci analysis ke zariye, current trend ke continuation ki umeed hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price apne agle support levels ki taraf gir sakti hai. Pehla target 1.2630 hoga, jo ek strong technical level hai. Iske neeche, 1.2612, jo June ka low hai, agla critical point hoga. Agar price in levels se neeche girti hai, to 1.25 ke psychological round number tak girne ke chances barh jaate hain.

Overall, yeh situation bearish market sentiment ko reflect karti hai, aur traders ko cautious rehna chahiye, descending channel ke andar sell positions par focus karna chahiye. Price movements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake agar price lower support levels tak pohanchti hai, to selling opportunities explore ki ja sakein. Yeh strategy market trend ke sath align karne aur profits maximize karne mein madad karegi.