gbp/usd

Pair ka movement US Dollar ke khilaf 1.3200 ke ahem resistance level ke upar aik narrow range mein ho raha hai. Jumay ko naya annual high 1.3228 touch karne ke baad, pair ne notable sell-off dekha aur is wajah se pair weak ho gaya. Yeh movement forex market ki volatility aur bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan chalti rahi larayi ko highlight karta hai.

USD Index Mein Izafa; Fed Rate-Cut Aur Data Ka Intezaar

USD Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ko major currencies ke against measure karta hai, ne ab do hafton ka high touch kar liya hai. Is izafay ka sabab US Treasury bond yields mein uptick hai. Is ke ilawa, market ka softer risk tone ne safe-haven USD ki appeal ko mazeed barhaya hai. Magar, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein rate-cut ke imkaanat, Greenback ke izafay ko limit kar rahe hain. Saath hi, Bank of England (BoE) ke agle mahine ke rate cut ke imkaanat mein kami ne GBP ko kuch support di hai, khaaskar flash Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke release se pehle.

Is haftay US ke key economic data ka asar market sentiment par hoga aur currency movements ko fresh impetus faraham karega. Investors ab closely watch karenge preliminary S&P Global PMIs for July ko. Manufacturing PMI ka slightly behtar hone ka imkaan hai, jo 51.7 se barh kar 51.6 par hai, jab ke Services PMI ka ease hone ka imkaan hai jo 54.4 se ghat kar 55.3 par hai. Is ke ilawa, US ka pehla estimate second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) aur June ka Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ka data bhi future rate expectations ko shape karega.






Cable Key Levels Ko Hold Kar Raha Hai; Momentum Shift Ka Intezaar

Haal hi mein hone wale fluctuations ke bawajood, GBP ne US Dollar ke against apna resilience qaim rakha hai aur 1.3230 ke ahem resistance level ke upar trade kar raha hai. Pair ne hourly timeframe par ek rising pattern bana rakha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke har pullback ko traders buying opportunity ke tor par dekh sakte hain. Cable abhi bhi 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hold kar raha hai, jo ke 1.3156 ke qareeb hai.

Halaankeh pair abhi bhi downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai, sellers ko pichlay haftay ke established resistance level 1.3231 se break through karne mein mushkilat ka samna hai. Momentum abhi sellers ke haq mein hai, magar Commodity Channel Index (CCI) overbought territory se neeche gir raha hai aur 50-neutral line ke qareeb pohanch raha hai, jo ke momentum mein potential shift ka signal hai.

GBP-USD ki movement abhi bhi ek strong bullish pattern dikhati hai, jahan USD ki kamzori is pair ke continue rise ka ek factor hai. Fundamentals se, US dollar index pichle trading session tak girta raha aur 7-1/2 mahine ke lowest level tak pahunch gaya, Fed officials ke dovish comments ke pressure mein jo keh rahe the ke September FOMC meeting mein Fed rate cut par khula hona consider Karenge. The US dollar index gained 0.37%. San Francisco Fed President Daly ne kaha ke recent US economic data ne Fed ko “zyada confidence” diya hai ke inflation control mein hai aur ab borrowing costs adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai. Dollar ka decline uske baad bhi continue raha jab July mein leading US indicator expectations se zyada gir gaya. July ka leading US indicator -0.6% m/m gir gaya, jabki expectation -0.4% m/m thi. Yeh factors ab bhi GBP-USD ki movement ko fundamentals se drive karte hain.
Technical analysis se dekha jaye to daily timeframe pattern mein, price upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai aur high BOLLINGER BAND ko touch kar chuki hai, aur psychological level 1.3000 ke area ke nazdeek hai. Current upward pattern abhi bhi strong lag raha hai, halanki price strong resistance 1.3044 ke nazdeek aa rahi hai jo saturation pattern dikhata hai. Price abhi bhi kai important EMAs ke upar hai, isliye resistance 1.3044 tak reach karne ka potential hai pehle ki rebound se. Indicators, jaise ke stochastic aur RSI, bhi upward pattern dikhate hain, jahan stochastic abhi bhi upar move kar raha hai aur 80 area ke upar hai. RSI bhi 70 area tak pahunch gaya hai. Existing patterns dekhte hue, yeh indication hai ke price ab bhi upar move karegi aur nearest resistance par rebound karegi

GBP/USD ke currency pair ka price behavior dekhte hue, hum market quotes ki movement ko ek upward correction ke andar dekh rahe hain. Iss daur mein, buyers ne apni positions ko restore kar liya hai aur resistance level 1.2764 tak pohanch gaye hain. Agar yeh horizontal line breakout hoti hai, toh corrective growth resistance level 1.2823 tak continue ho sakti hai. 1.2856 ke resistance level tak bhi ek upward correction mumkin hai. Yeh growth, asoolan medium term mein downward trend ke scenario ko cancel nahi karti. GBP/USD ka reversal support ke four-hour 50.00% Fibonacci retracement se kaafi successful raha; price 100 points se barh gayi, aur mein umeed karta hoon ke kuch aur points ka growth dekhne ko milega. Wajah yeh hai ke price ne hourly retracement ke 23.60% resistance level ko break kar liya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke agle level tak pohanchne ka imkaan kaafi zyada hai.
Support area price 1.2733-1.2736 par hai, jahan se price ne bearish se bullish ki taraf palat liya. Bollinger bands indicator ko Daily timeframe par monitor karte hue yeh dekha gaya ke price buyers ke control mein hai, jo price ko Lower Bollinger bands area ke upar rakhnay mein kaamyab rahe hain, aur bullish candlestick ne phir se dominance hasil kar li hai. Iss wajah se yeh imkaan barh gaya hai ke buyers GBP/USD pair market ko agle hafte mein control mein rakhenge, jahan bullish target Middle Bollinger bands area 1.2845-1.2850 tak ka hoga. Agar yeh successfully penetrate ho gaya, toh price aur bhi ooper ja sakta hai, aur agla target Upper Bollinger bands area 1.3036-1.3040 par hoga. Agle Monday ke trading mein umeed hai ke pair ke price mein pehle correction hoga, kyun ke market close ke qareeb buyers abhi tak sellers ke resistance area 1.2770-1.2768 mein rukawat mehsoos kar rahe hain, jahan bearish target buyer's support area 1.2736-1.2733 ko test karne ki koshish karega. Agar yeh area sellers se break na ho saka, toh price ooper barh jayegi, lekin agar break ho gaya, toh price agle buyer's demand support area 1.2676-1.2673 tak ja sakti hai. Nateeja: Sell entry tab kar sakte hain agar seller najdeek ke buyer support area 1.2736-1.2733 ko torh deta hai, jahan target TP area 1.2676-1.2673 hoga. Buy entry tab kar sakte hain agar buyer najdeek ke seller resistance area

GBP/USD ki price outlook ke liye current scenario ye hai ke mai 30-minute time frame use karte hue dynamic pricing behaviour assess kar raha hoon. Mai Bollinger Band indicator ke sath vertical tick volumes bhi use karta hoon. Abhi GBP/USD ka current quote 1.30348 hai. Bollinger Bands ke position ke hisaab se yeh bullish movement ka potential dikhata hai. Mai is price pe ek long position open karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jisme meri pehli take-profit target 1.30383 hogi, jo Bollinger Band ke upper boundary ke sath align karti hai. Saath hi, mai vertical volumes ke development ko bhi monitor karunga. Agar volume chart mai steady growth dikhai di, toh mai apna trade extend karne ka soch sakta hoon. Market volatility is faisle mei aik ahm factor hoga. Dusra important level 1.30250 hai, jo Bollinger envelope ka middle represent karta hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.30250 se neeche girta hai, toh mai apni long position close karke loss ke sath market ko short karne ka sochunga. Akhri H1 candle bilkul usi level pe close hui thi jo D1 opening price 1.3029 hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke upward trend market quotations ko drive karte hue continue hai. Hum dekh rahe hain ke price broken resistance 1.3008 ke upar consolidate ho raha hai, jo ab support level ban gaya hai. Buyers ka immediate target 1.3072 pe resistance hai. Hourly chart par broken resistance 1.3008 ka successful retest hua, jo ke likely bullish trend ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin agar price horizontal line 1.3008 se neeche girta hai, toh downward correction aa sakti hai. Yeh correction support level 1.2939 tak extend ho sakti hai, jahan se mai buy positions initiate karne ka sochta hoon. Is dauran, D1 candle abhi bhi form ho rahi hai, jahan bulls isay bullish candle banane ki koshish kar rahe hain, lekin filhal wo sirf price ko 1.3029 ke opening level tak push kar paye hain, aur bears isay aur upar jane se rok rahe hain.

GBP/USD price action ka jaiza lete hue, hum dekhte hain ke is waqt currency pair ki price behavior ka kya haal hai. Technical analysis se yeh samajh aata hai ke GBP/USD ne halka sa uchaayi dekhi hai, 1.2991 resistance level ko test kiya hai aur 1.2989 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. RSI ab bhi sell zone mein hai aur neeche ki taraf point kar raha hai bina kisi clear direction ke. Is waqt AO buy signal dikhata hai aur pair pichle din ke range ke upar trade kar raha hai. Yeh mixed signals potential decline ko suggest karte hain aur price 1.2939 support level ko test kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, price 1.3039 resistance level ki taraf bhi barh sakti hai, lekin main pehle scenario ko zyada dekh raha hoon. Phir bhi, mujhe lagta hai ke event ke doran koi zyada significant news nahi milegi.

Aaj subah, maine mid-day correction ki umeed ki thi jo ke nahi aayi, aur GBP/USD pair apni upward momentum ko banaye rakha. Pair ne Asian session ke dauran 1.2942 mark ke upar apni position banaye rakhi. Halankeh yeh overbought hai, pair phir bhi four-hour chart par further gains dikha sakta hai. Abhi tak reversal signals clear nahi hain, isliye agar bulls price ko 1.3041 level tak le jaate hain to mujhe hairani nahi hogi. Jaise ke pehle bhi kaha, agar din ke khatam hone tak price 1.2990 ke upar close hoti hai to prolonged bullish movement shuru ho sakti hai. Lekin agar bears control le lete hain aur price 1.2942 ke niche girti hai, to main apne short positions ko badha dunga, aur expect karunga ke price 1.2879 ya 1.2828 tak pullback karegi. Near-term outlook zyada tar Federal Reserve ke comments par depend karega, kyunki bohot se market participants Fed Chair Powell ki Jackson Hole conference ke speech ka intezaar kar rahe hain.

GBP/USD ke currency pair ka price behavior dekhte hue, hum market quotes ki movement ko ek upward correction ke andar dekh rahe hain. Iss daur mein, buyers ne apni positions ko restore kar liya hai aur resistance level 1.2764 tak pohanch gaye hain. Agar yeh horizontal line breakout hoti hai, toh corrective growth resistance level 1.2823 tak continue ho sakti hai. 1.2856 ke resistance level tak bhi ek upward correction mumkin hai. Yeh growth, asoolan medium term mein downward trend ke scenario ko cancel nahi karti. GBP/USD ka reversal support ke four-hour 50.00% Fibonacci retracement se kaafi successful raha; price 100 points se barh gayi, aur mein umeed karta hoon ke kuch aur points ka growth dekhne ko milega. Wajah yeh hai ke price ne hourly retracement ke 23.60% resistance level ko break kar liya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke agle level tak pohanchne ka imkaan kaafi zyada hai. Support area price 1.2733-1.2736 par hai, jahan se price ne bearish se bullish ki taraf palat liya. Bollinger bands indicator ko Daily timeframe par monitor karte hue yeh dekha gaya ke price buyers ke control mein hai, jo price ko Lower Bollinger bands area ke upar rakhnay mein kaamyab rahe hain, aur bullish candlestick ne phir se dominance hasil kar li hai. Iss wajah se yeh imkaan barh gaya hai ke buyers GBP/USD pair market ko agle hafte mein control mein rakhenge, jahan bullish target Middle Bollinger bands area 1.2845-1.2850 tak ka hoga. Agar yeh successfully penetrate ho gaya, toh price aur bhi ooper ja sakta hai, aur agla target Upper Bollinger bands area 1.3036-1.3040 par hoga. Agle Monday ke trading mein umeed hai ke pair ke price mein pehle correction hoga, kyun ke market close ke qareeb buyers abhi tak sellers ke resistance area 1.2770-1.2768 mein rukawat mehsoos kar rahe hain, jahan bearish target buyer's support area 1.2736-1.2733 ko test karne ki koshish karega. Agar yeh area sellers se break na ho saka, toh price ooper barh jayegi, lekin agar break ho gaya, toh price agle buyer's demand support area 1.2676-1.2673 tak ja sakti hai. Nateeja: Sell entry tab kar sakte hain agar seller najdeek ke buyer support area 1.2736-1.2733 ko torh deta hai, jahan target TP area 1.2676-1.2673 hoga. Buy entry tab kar sakte hain agar buyer najdeek ke seller resistance area

Last Friday, Sterling ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kafi volatility dekhi. Din ka aghaz takreeban 1.3210 par hua aur 1.3231 tak peak kiya. Trading close hote waqt, GBP/USD takreeban 1.3215 ke ird gird tha. Yeh dramatic fluctuation weekend ke doran hone wale siyasi waqiaat ki wajah se tha. President Joe Biden ka achnak presidential race se hat jana aur unka Vice President Kamala Harris ki himayat karna bazaar mein uncertainty le aya. Forex markets par is ka long-term asar abhi dekhna baqi hai, lekin trading din ke akhir tak Wall Street mein recovery ke asar dekhnay ko mile.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Is haftay, saramaya kaar Amreeka se kuch aham economic indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain. July ke liye preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Durable Goods Orders, aur June ke Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) par nazar rakhi ja rahi hai. Yeh data points is baat ka andaza lagane mein madad denge ke US Federal Reserve (Fed) is saal ke akhir mein possible interest rate cuts ke waqt ka taayun kaise karega.

GBP/USD ne apne bohat se major peers ke muqable mein kamzori dikhayi hai, sirf Australian Dollar (AUD) aur New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is ka mustasna hain. Yeh girawat Bank of England (BoE) ke is andaze se hai ke woh apni key interest rates ko August meeting se kam karna shuru kar sakti hai. Is ke bar’aks, Asia-Pacific region ke currencies ne kamzor performance dikhayi hai, jo ke China ki economic performance se mazboot taur par juri hui hain. China ke kamzor-than-expected Q2 GDP growth ne in concerns ko mazeed barhawa diya hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

GBP/USD ne 30-mah ka highs se near-term decline dekha hai, aur 1.3230 ke range tak wapas aaya hai. Is recent dip ke bawajood, pair abhi bhi apni 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ke 1.2687 par hai, se kaafi upar trade kar raha hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke recent setbacks ke bawajood long-term trend abhi bhi bullish hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level se upar position mein hai, jo ke market mein bullish bias ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Is technical signal ka matlab hai ke GBP/USD mein positive momentum abhi bhi maujood hai, chahay recent fluctuations ke bawajood.

Technical indicators is waqt mixed signals de rahe hain. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ne momentum mein shift dikhaya hai, jahan MACD line ne signal line ke niche cross kiya hai. Magar MACD line abhi bhi centerline ke upar hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke bullish momentum abhi tak poori tarah se reverse nahi hua. Trend ke direction ko samajhne ke liye mazeed observation ki zaroorat hai.

GBPUSD currency pair ne kal ke trading session mein kaafi significant bullish movement dikhayi. Ek important indication is movement ka Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 50 aur EMA 100 ke darmiyan jo crossover hua, usne trend mein bearish se bullish change ko indicate kiya. Iske ilawa, pair ne 1.28123 ka important resistance level break kar liya, jo pehle price movement ki upper limit ka kaam karta tha. Yeh breakout yeh indicate karta hai ke buying pressure itna strong hai ke price ko us level ke paar push kar sake, jo ab naya support ban sakta hai. Aise significant resistance levels ka breakout aksar usi direction mein strong movements ke saath hota hai, jaise ke is case mein bullish direction.
Is waqt, GBPUSD latest high 1.287266 ke aas-paas stuck hai aur correction ke signs dikhana shuru kar raha hai. Yeh correction price movement ka ek natural hissa hai, jahan market recently broken support ya resistance levels ko retest karta hai, phir main trend ki direction mein move continue karta hai. Is context mein, correction ko market mein calculated risks ke saath entry ka ek mauqa samjha ja sakta hai. Trading strategies ke liye, yeh recommend kiya jata hai ke further correction ka wait karein aur dekhein ke important levels ke aas-paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar price correct hoti hai aur higher low form karti hai, to yeh aksar EMA 50 ya phir 1.28123 level ke aas-paas hoga.

Aindah ke liye, ho sakta hai ke GBPUSD ka main focus important area 1.30 tak phir se pahunchna ho. Lekin agar itna bara movement karna hai, to USD mein dubara se weakening zaroori hai. Main shayad phir se sell karne mein zyada interested hoon, 1.290 area mein sell limit ka faida uthakar ya phir agar GBPUSD pair mid BB ke niche wapis se jaata hai to sell karoonga, halan ke price aur mid BB ke darmiyan abhi bhi distance kaafi hai. Filhal, stop loss (SL) ke liye main shayad 1.295 ka faida uthaoonga aur take profit (TP) ke liye main 1.275 area ko chase karne ki koshish karoonga, halan ke yeh iss week mein hoga ya nahi, yeh abhi kehna mushkil hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne bohot acchi performance dikhayi hai, jo ke improved risk sentiment aur UK aur US economic data ke expectations se driven hai. Kal, Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein apne gains ko extend kiya, jo ke US Retail Sales data ke positive market sentiment se hua. Ye data expectations se zyada thi, jisse US recession ke khauf ko kam kiya aur global economic stability ke liye optimistic outlook bana. Is wajah se, risk-sensitive currencies jese ke Pound ko faida hua, jab investors ka risk appetite barh gaya aur US Dollar par downward pressure aya. Pound ki strength ko UK ke July ke aane wale retail sales report ke anticipation ne aur barhawa diya hai. Analysts ko umeed hai ke ye data growth ko reflect karegi, jo currency ko aur support karega. Ye optimism UK economy ki resilience par hai, jo global challenges ke bawajood stability dikhati hai. Isliye, investors Pound ko pakad kar rakhna pasand kar rahe hain, aur umeed kar rahe hain ke strong retail figures currency ko aur boost karengi.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar mushkil mein hai kyunki market ne Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein 25 basis point rate cut ko almost fully price in kar liya hai. Fed ka dovish stance aur recent weaker-than-expected inflation aur labor market data ne ye consensus banaya hai ke central bank apni monetary policy ko shayad jaldi ease kare. Ye expectation Dollar par additional pressure daal rahi hai, jo Pound ke muqablay mein recent decline ka ek reason hai. GBP/USD pair ki recent movements complex factors ka reflection hain, jinmein improved US economic data, UK retail sales growth ki expectations, aur shifting Federal Reserve policies shamil hain. Ye dynamics aage bhi pair ke trajectory ko influence karti rahengi, aur dono taraf ke upcoming economic indicators par nazar rakhi jayegi. GBP/USD pair daily chart par strength dikhata hai, jahan British pound ne US dollar ke muqablay mein gain kiya hai. Rising wedge se breakdown ke baad, 50-day Simple Moving Average ne support provide kiya, jisne price ko rebound karne aur upward movement ko continue karne mein madad ki. Pair ab 1.3011 level ko target kar raha hai. Lekin, agar price reverse hoti hai aur immediate support ke neeche break karti hai, to ye market sentiment mein shift ka signal ho sakta hai, jo uptrend support line ko retest karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai

Aaj humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par ho gi. Ye baat ziada wazeh ho chuki hai ke guzashte saal se unke speeches aur sahafiun ke sawaalat ke jawab mein lagataar dollar kamzor hota ja raha hai. Ye rujhan November mein shuru hua aur ab tak unke lagbhag har speech mein jari hai. Mein har dafa zyada assertive stance ki umeed karta hoon, lekin wo aksar ek mezan paigham dete hain, jis se US dollar mein speculative movements hote hain, jo ke experts ke interpretations par mabni hoti hain. Ek rate cut afraat-e-zar mein izafa kar sakta hai, magar phir bhi mera rukhan ye hai ke ye qadam elections ke baad uthaya jayega. Haan, agar rate waqi mein September mein hoti hai, to ye GBP/USD ke gains ko lock karne ka ek acha moqa ho sakta hai, khas tor par jab pair 1.3206 se upar close hua, jo ke guzashte saal ke high 1.3131 ko bhi paar kar gaya.

Abhi ke liye, dekhne wali baat ye hai ke aaj market kaise khulti hai. Agar trading 1.3206 ke neeche shuru hoti hai, to Monday tak ye 1.3131 ki taraf gir sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar pair 1.3206 ke upar consolidate karta hai, to ye 33rd figure ki taraf push kar sakta hai, halan ke mujhe yaqeen nahi ke ye growth kis wajah se ho gi. Price do hafton se lagataar chadhti aayi hai, kam se kam pullbacks ke sath, aur tezi se 1.3136 ke critical level ko paar kar gayi hai. Ab sirf thodi si doori baqi hai agle target 1.3301 tak pohnchne ke liye. Britain mein Monday ko chutti hai, isliye mujhe umeed hai ke ek pullback hoga 1.3136 tak, uske baad hum shayad 1.3301 ka test dekhein. Jald hi dekhte hain ke trading shuru hone par kya hota hai—sab ko achi qismat ki duaen, khaaskar mujhe. Zigzag indicators bhi is baat ki tayeed karte hain, aur sab further upward movement ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Halaat ke mutabiq bulls ke current strength aur activity ko dekhte hue, mein apni open position tab close karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price 61.8% Fibonacci target, 1.32794 tak pohnch jaaye.

GBP/USD, H1. Dekha jaye to ye lagataar barh rahi hai. Ek aur pattern, jo suspiciously flag se milta julta hai, aage ki growth ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Yani, Friday ke 1.3230 ke upar, qareebi target 1.3260 hai. Ek downward arrow bhi agar flag pattern play nahi hota, to phir buying point trend line se mil sakta hai, lagbhag 1.3141 ke aas paas.

GBP/USD, H4. Aur 4 ghante. Purana chart, purana Fibonacci, jahan 261.8% level ko pura kiya gaya (jo mujhe waqi mein pehle yaqeen nahi tha). Kul mila ke, growth priority lag rahi hai, magar ek trend line nazar aa rahi hai. Phir se, ya to ek tezi se breakthrough hoga ya kuch pullbacks ke saath aahista aahista upar... Magar ab aur add karna thoda dar lag raha hai. Kuch decline hona chahiye, targets calculate karna acha hoga... Sab ko achi qismat aur ziada munafa ki duaen!

Humari discussion ka topic GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya hai. Market dynamics mein significant shift aaya hai, jahan pound-dollar currency pair upward trend mein hai. Yeh zyada tar US dollar ke major global currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jismein British pound bhi shamil hai. US ke muqablay mein, Britain ka labor market mazboot hai, aur wage growth bhi tez raftar se chal rahi hai. Friday ko, GBP/USD pair 1.3219 par close hua, aur jab tak pound 1.3134-1.3139 range ke upar hai, bulls control mein rahenge, aur agla target shayad 1.3299 ho sakta hai. Jab ke hourly chart itna reliable nahi ho sakta, four-hour chart zyada certainty provide karta hai. Agar yeh formation play out hoti hai, to yeh lagbhag 149 points ka gain de sakta hai. Lekin, is waqt mai selling ko consider nahi karunga.

Pichle hafte, GBP/USD ke bulls ne bears ko decisively outpace kar diya. Friday ko, Powell ke remarks ne market ko aur bhi stir kar diya, lekin main is par zyada nahi rukh karna chahta kyunki yeh already unsettling hai, aur maine is par zyada attention di hai jitni zaroorat thi. Yeh purane logon ki tarah hai jo order banaye rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo kuch bhi karna pade. Kaam toh hai, aur woh chale bhi ja sakte hain, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke Powell shayad resign karne ke baare mein soch rahe hain. Unka focus lagta hai ke Democrats aur Trump dono ko appease karna hai. Main ummeed karta hoon ke markets weekend par reconsider karein aur Monday se bearish retrace karein, ideally 1.2999 ki taraf. Lekin, pre-market mein kuch zyada movement nahi hai (halanki pehle maine euro-dollar price ko 1.1107 par dekha, jo pichle hafte ke close se lagbhag 99 points neeche hai, jo itna zyada significant nahi hai kyunki prices Friday ke close ke aas-paas stabilize ho gayi hain). Main us expanding formation ko highlight karna chahta hoon jo maine abhi tak thoroughly analyze nahi kiya hai. Pattern ke andar 59 points hain, lekin 89 points already isse bahar move kar chuke hain.

Technical analysis of the GBP/USD pair

1-hour chart par, aaj price ne trading shuru ki hai white triangle ke andar, jo chart par dikhaye gaye do channels ka nateeja hai. Pichle do trading dinon ke dauran pair ka movement upar ki taraf trend tha.

Price ne kai ghanton tak upper triangle line se resistance ka saamna kiya, jo price decline ka sabab bana. Price ne triangle ko downward break kar diya hai, aur filhaal price lower blue channel line ki taraf move kar rahi hai.

Weekly pivot level channel line ke qareeb hai, aur ye price ke liye ek support area banega jo price ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin trading ka faisla lene ke liye, aapko support area ke saath price ke behavior ka intezar karna hoga. Aap tab buy kar sakte hain jab price weekly pivot level se rebound kare.

Aap sale bhi enter kar sakte hain agar weekly pivot level break hota hai.

Economic side par, GBP/USD price recently apne highest level tak pohnch gaya hai, jo pichle do saalon mein sabse high hai, jab Powell ne US interest rates cut karne ki baat ki.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha, jo ek clear indication hai ke US interest rates decline hone wale hain, "Ye policy ko adjust karne ka waqt hai."

Lekin September cut koi naya khabar nahi hai; news ye hai ke markets ko signal diya gaya hai ke Fed aane wale months mein aur cuts commit karne ke liye tayaar hai. Powell ne ye bhi kaha, "Labor market conditions mein slowdown bilkul clear hai. Ye lagta nahi ke labor market kisi bhi waqt elevated inflationary pressures ka source banega."

(GBP/USD) exchange rate 1.32 tak barh gaya – ek do saal ki highest level – jab financial markets ne additional comments test kiye jo ke “hum labor market conditions mein further slowdown nahi chahte aur na hi welcome karte hain.”

Ye ek clear signal hai ke US Federal Reserve ab growth ko defend karne ke liye tayaar hai taake US job losses aane wale quarters mein minimize ho sake. Ismein policy easing shamil hogi, jo risk-exposed assets jaise stocks aur pound ko boost kar sakti hai.

H4 timeframe ko monitor karte rehte hain. Jab se maine stochastic oscillator indicator install kiya hai, lagta hai ke current GBPUSD price ne oversold level ko reach kar liya hai, to is baat ka imkaan hai ke price wapas upar bounce kar sakti hai. Agar aaj subah ka dekha jaye, to lagta hai ke ek achi bullish candle form hona shuru ho gayi hai. Yeh is baat ki tasdeeq ho sakti hai ke price dheere dheere upar ja rahi hai, lekin kyun ke abhi yeh thoda jaldi hai, behtar hoga ke mein jaldbazi mein position enter na karun. Shayad thoda intezar karun aur agar momentum ziada bullish lagta hai, to buy option behtar choice ho sakti hai.

Agar bara timeframe dekha jaye, to lagta hai ke ek steady bullish trend hai, lekin yeh bhi note karna chahiye ke Wednesday ko GBPUSD ki price condition weak hui thi aur 80 pips tak neeche gayi thi. Yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke seller sentiment dheere dheere resist karna shuru ho gaya hai. Agar baad mein koi lower decline valid candlestick pattern ke sath aata hai, to trend bearish ho sakta hai, aur phir mein seller scenario ki tayyari karunga. Lekin agar price wapas upar jati hai, to buyer scenario phir se apply hoga, isliye mujhe position enter karne ka faisla jaldbazi mein nahi karna chahiye.

Ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke GBPUSD market mein price movements achi upward trend mein hain, aur dominant bullish trend hai, isliye entry buy opportunities dekhte rehna achha hai. Lekin agar Wednesday ka dhyan se dekha jaye, to condition mein lagbhag 80 pips ki girawat aayi thi, jiski wajah se ek bearish candlestick bani thi jiska body kaafi lamba tha. Yeh girawat shayad higher trend ke continuation se pehle ek correction phase ka hissa ho sakta hai, lekin yeh bhi dhyan rakhna zaroori hai ke agar price aur neeche jati hai, to trend bearish turn ho sakta hai.

H4 timeframe ko monitor karte rehte hain. Jab se maine stochastic oscillator indicator install kiya hai, lagta hai ke current GBPUSD price ne oversold level ko reach kar liya hai, to is baat ka imkaan hai ke price wapas upar bounce kar sakti hai. Agar aaj subah ka dekha jaye, to lagta hai ke ek achi bullish candle form hona shuru ho gayi hai. Yeh is baat ki tasdeeq ho sakti hai ke price dheere dheere upar ja rahi hai, lekin kyun ke abhi yeh thoda jaldi hai, behtar hoga ke mein jaldbazi mein position enter na karun. Shayad thoda intezar karun aur agar momentum ziada bullish lagta hai, to buy option behtar choice ho sakti hai.

Agar bara timeframe dekha jaye, to lagta hai ke ek steady bullish trend hai, lekin yeh bhi note karna chahiye ke Wednesday ko GBPUSD ki price condition weak hui thi aur 80 pips tak neeche gayi thi. Yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke seller sentiment dheere dheere resist karna shuru ho gaya hai. Agar baad mein koi lower decline valid candlestick pattern ke sath aata hai, to trend bearish ho sakta hai, aur phir mein seller scenario ki tayyari karunga. Lekin agar price wapas upar jati hai, to buyer scenario phir se apply hoga, isliye mujhe position enter karne ka faisla jaldbazi mein nahi karna chahiye.

Ab tak mujhe lagta hai ke GBPUSD market mein price movements achi upward trend mein hain, aur dominant bullish trend hai, isliye entry buy opportunities dekhte rehna achha hai. Lekin agar Wednesday ka dhyan se dekha jaye, to condition mein lagbhag 80 pips ki girawat aayi thi, jiski wajah se ek bearish candlestick bani thi jiska body kaafi lamba tha. Yeh girawat shayad higher trend ke continuation se pehle ek correction phase ka hissa ho sakta hai, lekin yeh bhi dhyan rakhna zaroori hai ke agar price aur neeche jati hai, to trend bearish turn ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ne do din tak girawat dekhi, aur 1.3200 level se neeche break kiya. Yeh ulat significant tabdeeli thi kyun ke market kuch hafton se bullish momentum me chal rahi thi. UK se aane wali economic data ki kami aur US ke strong economic indicators ne dollar ko faida diya. Ab yeh pair 1.3151 par trade kar rahi hai aur neeche ke dabbav ka samna kar rahi hai. Technical analysis yeh suggest karti hai ke recent session ka high 1.3043 (jo ke 17 July ko set hua tha) agle girawat ke liye ek potential target ho sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne 70 level se neeche dip kiya hai, jo ke bulls ke momentum me kami ko darsha raha hai. Agar bearish trend jari rakhni hai, to sellers ko 1.3100 aur 1.3050 support levels ko todna hoga. Agar yeh levels break ho jate hain, to yeh further decline ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ke 8 March ka daily high 1.2893 par target kar sakti hai.


Doosri taraf, agar buyers ne dobara control hasil kiya, to unhe 1.3200 resistance level ko todna hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh 1.3266 ke do saal ke high ki taraf ek rally ke liye rasta khol sakta hai aur yeh March 23, 2022 (1.3293) aur March 1, 2022 (1.3437) ke daily highs ko challenge kar sakta hai. Pair ki recent girawat ek temporary setback hai ek broader bearish trend ke beech mein. Halankeh bulls momentum wapas hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, magar RSI aur Stochastic ke overbought conditions yeh suggest karte hain ke downside correction ke chances zyada hain. Agar 1.3180 support level break hoti hai, to yeh further decline ko confirm kar sakti hai jo ke 1.3025-1.3085 area tak ja sakta hai. Agar August ke lows se aane wali sharp uptrend line aur psychological barrier 1.3000 par bhi breach hoti hai, to yeh significant decline ki taraf le ja sakti hai jo ke 20- aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke beech 1.2890-1.2900 tak ja sakti hai. Overall, GBP/USD pair is waqt bearish pressure ka samna kar rahi hai, aur ek continued decline ka imkaan hai jab tak buyers key resistance levels ko successfully overcome nahi karte.