eurusd

EURUSD
EURUSD ka jo jo جوڑا hai uski price abhi bhi higher high - higher low structure mein hai, iska matlab hai ke price movement ka direction barhne ki taraf hai. Jo ongoing decline hai, wo sirf correction phase tak limited hai jo ke higher low banane mein madad kar raha hai.

Niche ke correction phase ke ilawa, price 1.0778 ke low prices par invalidation level ko paar kar sakti hai, jo price pattern structure ko lower low - lower high mein tabdeel karne ke liye initial trigger ho sakta hai. Filhal, price dono Moving Average lines ke upar hai aur EMA 50 ya SMA 200 ko nahi chhuya hai.

Agar price down correction hoti hai, to EMA 50 ya 1.0949 ke RBS area ke aas-paas hone ki ummeed hai. RSI indicator parameter (14) jo overbought zone se nikal chuka hai level 80 - 70 par, yeh indicate karta hai ke price downward correction phase mein hai. Agar yeh parameter abhi level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai aur reject hota hai, to price upar move karne ka chance ho sakta hai.




Agar parameter level 50 ko successfully paar kar leta hai aur oversold zone level 30 - 20 ki taraf badhta hai, to downward correction phase continue hone ki indication hai.

Chhoti muddat ke plan ke liye, SELL entry position lene ki koshish ki ja sakti hai jab price 1.1027 ke nearest low prices ko successfully paar kar leti hai. Do hafton se zyada ke impulsive rally ke sath, aik downward correction phase hona chahiye ek kaafi strong bullish trend direction ke beech.

Confirmation yeh ensure karta hai ke RSI indicator parameter (14) level 50 ko successfully paar kar le. Take profit ka target 1.0949 ke RBS area mein rakha gaya hai aur stop loss 1.1152 ke high prices par set kiya gaya hai.

EUR/USD
EUR/USD pair ne central bank actions aur mixed U.S. fundamental data ke chalte notable fluctuations dekhi hain. Shuru mein, pair 1.1100 ke mark se upar chala gaya, aur 1.1120 tak pohnch gaya. Lekin, Federal Reserve rate cut par mazboot bets ke bawajood, price in gains ko capitalize nahi kar payi aur 1.1075 par wapas aa gayi. Yeh volatility mainly U.S. ke mixed economic indicators ke wajah se thi, jisne traders mein uncertainty paida ki. Jabke market ab bhi Fed rate cut ko price in kar rahi hai, traders agle U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Friday ko release hone wali hai. Yeh report U.S. Dollar ke liye major catalyst ban sakti hai, kyunke agar expectations se significant deviation hoti hai to yeh Fed rate cut ke case ko ya to solidify kar sakti hai ya kamzor kar sakti hai.





Europe mein, European Central Bank (ECB) ke is mahine interest rates cut karne ke almost certain hone se EUR/USD ka outlook aur bhi complicated ho gaya hai. Dono central banks jo dovish policies ki taraf ja rahe hain, ne pair ko tug of war mein rakh diya hai. Euro, jo ke potential Fed cuts se faida utha raha hai, ECB ke rate decision ke wajah se pressure mein hai. Market ki complexity ko badhate hue, U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) ne New York session ke doran EUR/USD aur gold prices par pressure dala. Gold ne initially momentum gain kiya, lekin baad mein strengthening U.S. Dollar ke saath neeche push kar diya gaya. Jab market NFP report aur ECB se clear signals ka intezar kar rahi hai, EUR/USD mein volatility barqarar rehne ki ummeed hai, aur agar data mixed raha to further pullbacks ka bhi potential hai.

EUR/USD
EUR/USD pair ne haftay ke aakhri mein apni upward momentum mein ek rukawat mehsoos ki, aur Wednesday ko jo pehla high tha us tak nahi pohnch saki. Halankeh US dollar (USD) mein recent sell-off ke bawajood, spot price 1.1125 level ke upar hi hai. Euro ko support dene wala ek aham factor US labor market ka kamzor hona hai. Wednesday ko release hui data ke mutabiq, March mein US employment growth kaafi kam raha jo ke pehle estimate se bohot zyada kam tha. Iske ilawa, unemployed logon ki taadaad ka barhna bhi ek cooling labor market ki nishani hai, jo economic slowdown ke concerns ko badhawa de raha hai. Is wajah se Federal Reserve (Fed) se September mein interest rate cut hone ki ummeed barh gayi hai, jo euro ke liye supportive raha hai. Jabke kamzor US dollar ne EUR/USD ko kuch support diya hai, mixed Eurozone Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ne bullish sentiment ko thanda kar diya. Preliminary Eurozone PMI expectations se kam aaya, lekin 50 level se upar tha, jo expansion ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, Germany, jo ke eurozone ki sabse badi economy hai, ne dusre consecutive month ke contraction ka samna kiya. Eurozone mein slow wage growth bhi EUR/USD pair ki significant appreciation ko limit kar sakta hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ka July ka policy meeting bearish forces ke dominance ki taraf ishaara kar rahi thi, aur bulls se koi khaas resistance nahi dikh raha, jo short positions ko faida mand banata hai.




Maine sabse nazdeek 1.11385 support level par profits ko rokne ka faisla kiya, taake future gains ko khatar mein na daalun. 1.11888 level stop loss level se thoda upar hoga. Sellers ka momentum abhi bhi barh raha hai, aur 1.11385 level break ho gaya hai, jo ke situation ko bearish dikhata hai. Filhal ke liye, mere nazariye se EUR/USD ke liye continued growth ka trend hai. Wohi purana rule apply hota hai: rumors par buy karo, facts par sell karo. September mein rate cut hone ke pura yakin hai, sawal yeh hai ke kitna? Zyada ter 25 points honge. Long-term inflation forecasts bhi 2% tak kam hone ka ijaar karti hain. Akhir mein, yaad rahe ke last week revised NFP statistics aaye the, aur saal bhar mein published data ke muqablay 800K jobs ki total reduction hui thi, jo labor market ke liye negative hai. Filhal correction ke chalte decline dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo ke bohot gradual hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke hum jald ek naye growth phase mein enter karenge aur 12th figure tak pohoch sakte hain. Main 1.1230 ke aas-paas selling try karne ke liye tayaar rahunga. EUR/USD market position apni upward trend ko maintain kar rahi hai, khaaskar jab 4-hour aur daily time frames ko analyze kiya jaye. Main weekly chart ko examine karunga taake dekh sakun ke ascending channel ka lower boundary kahaan ho sakta hai. Yeh boundary 1.0999 ke support level ke aas-paas hone ki ummeed hai, jahan ek significant bearish correction ho sakta hai, aur jo log upward movement ko capitalize karna chahte hain unke liye potential entry points provide kar sakta hai. Pair ne aggressive upward trend ko bina kisi significant corrections ke follow kiya hai.

EUR/USD
Ham EUR/USD currency pair ke mojooda price behavior ka gehra jaiza le rahe hain. Euro/dollar pair dheere-dheere gir raha hai aur 1.10 ke mark ke kareeb aa raha hai; iske ilawa, lambi girawat ka bhi imkaan hai, khaaskar aaj ke US statistics ke baad, jo manufacturing sector mein PMI ka significant decrease dikhate hain. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke US economy ke growth rate par government statistics aur manufacturing sector ki situation mein kuch imbalance hai, jo Federal Reserve ke refinancing rate ko 25 basis points se zyada kam karne ke iraade ko kamzor kar sakta hai. Yeh factor dollar quotes par positive asar daal sakta hai. Bears market ko nahi chhodenge aur EUR/USD ko niche trade karte rahenge. Euro/dollar 1.1032 par trade kar raha hai; technically, high probability hai ke poori girawat ab Asia mein ho rahi hai, aur 1.1070 ke previous levels par wapas aane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo breakdown aur continued growth ka test kar raha hai.




Chhoti muddat ke chart par situation zyadatar wahi hai; quotes bearish direction mein smoothly move kar rahi hain, aur aaj ke US statistics is girawat ko roknay mein naakam rahe. Main ab bhi 1.1000 ke round level ki ummeed kar raha hoon, jo Fibonacci grid ke 38.2% level ke barabar hai; agar quotes isse neeche break kar sakti hain, to lambi movement ki umeed hai jo Fibonacci grid ke average border ke 1.0938 ke area mein ho sakti hai. Daily chart ke upar tha, aur ab main half-hour time frame par dekhna chahta hoon. Pehle ek strong downward price channel tha, jisme euro/dollar pair kaafi der tak trade hua. Ab dekha ja raha hai ke bearish price channel ke dauran, EUR/USD pair ne 1.1065 par resistance line ko break kiya, lekin strong US economic data ke release ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair ki girawat jaari rahi.

Euro/USD
Trading week ke dauran Euro ne thodi si recovery dekhi aur 1.11 level tak pohnch gaya. Lekin, is movement ko noisy price action ke sath rather lackluster kehna sahi hoga. Yeh zaroori hai ke Federal Reserve ke jaldi interest rates cut karne ki umeed ke bawajood, 1.12 mark ke upar ek significant resistance level hai. Is barrier ko todna kaafi mehnat ka kaam ho sakta hai, jiska matlab hai ke euro agle waqt ke liye sideways trade kar sakta hai. Agar market 1.10 level ke neeche break karti hai, to hume 200-week EMA ka test dekhne ko mil sakta hai aur phir 1.09 ke support level ki taraf move ho sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar euro resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to 1.1240 level ke upar break karne ke liye shayad kai attempts ki zarurat padegi. Yeh area ahm hai kyunke early 2022 mein yahan badi sell-off hui thi. Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ke interest rate decisions market ki movement par kaafi asar daalenge. Federal Reserve se expected rate cuts ki taadaad abhi bhi uncertain hai, aur traders Fed ke September decision ke baad press conference, khaaskar Jerome Powell ke statement, ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain.

Filhal, euro apni trading range ke upar hai jahan yeh kuch saalon se trade kar raha hai. Maujooda technical aur fundamental factors ko dekhte hue, significant gains achieve karna mushkil lagta hai jab tak economic conditions ya policy mein major shift na aaye. Abhi ke liye, euro resistance levels aur cautious market sentiment se struggle karta reh sakta hai.Apka trading day Acha rhe.

Eurusd
EUR/USD currency pair is filhal 1.0880 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, aur bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh trend euro ki qeemat mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein nichay ki janib harakat ko darshata hai. Haal hi mein market activity slow rahi hai, magar kai aise factors hain jo dikhate hain ke ane wale dinon mein EUR/USD pair mein significant movements dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

Pehle to, macroeconomic environment currency pairs ke movements mein ahm kirdar ada karta hai. Eurozone aur United States dono se ane wale economic indicators EUR/USD pair ko significantly influence karenge. Key indicators jese ke inflation rates, GDP growth, unemployment rates, aur industrial production figures bohot zaroori hain. Misal ke taur par, agar upcoming data U.S. economy mein stronger-than-expected performance dikhata hai, to yeh dollar ko mazid mazboot karega aur EUR/USD ko niche le jayega. Dosri taraf, agar Eurozone se positive economic news aati hai, to yeh euro ko zaroori support de sakti hai aur bearish trend ko ulat sakti hai.

Dusra ahm factor hai European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance. Haal hi mein, dono central banks inflationary pressures aur economic recovery trajectories post-pandemic ko dekhte hue apni policies adjust kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve ki interest rates par stance ka dollar ki strength par seedha asar padta hai. Agar Fed zyada aggressive rate hike path signal karta hai, to yeh dollar ko aur mazboot karega aur EUR/USD ko aur niche le jayega. Dosri taraf, agar ECB ek zyada hawkish stance apnata hai, to euro ki strength badh sakti hai aur bearish trend ulat sakta hai.

Geopolitical factors bhi currency movements mein significant role ada karte hain. Haal ke global events, including siyasi bay-qaraari, trade tensions, aur conflicts, forex markets mein volatility ko barhawa de sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar Ukraine conflict ya bade economies ke darmiyan trade negotiations mein significant developments hote hain, to investor sentiment par asar padega aur EUR/USD pair mein sudden movements ho sakte hain. Investors aam tor par uncertainty ke doran safe-haven currencies jese ke dollar ko pasand karte hain, jo euro ke muqablay mein dollar ki qeemat ko aur barha sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur technical factors bhi EUR/USD mein potential big movements ko contribute karte hain. Traders aur investors technical indicators jese ke support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur trend lines ko closely monitor karte hain taake informed decisions le sakein. Filhal, EUR/USD ek significant support level 1.0880 ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh support level hold karta hai, to hum pair mein rebound dekh sakte hain. Magar agar yeh level break hota hai, to selling pressure barh sakta hai aur pair ko aur niche le ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, bade market participants, including institutional investors aur hedge funds, apni bade trades se substantial movements cause kar sakte hain, khaaskar low liquidity market mein