eurusd

EUR/USD currency pair is filhal 1.0880 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, aur bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh trend euro ki qeemat mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein nichay ki janib harakat ko darshata hai. Haal hi mein market activity slow rahi hai, magar kai aise factors hain jo dikhate hain ke ane wale dinon mein EUR/USD pair mein significant movements dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

Pehle to, macroeconomic environment currency pairs ke movements mein ahm kirdar ada karta hai. Eurozone aur United States dono se ane wale economic indicators EUR/USD pair ko significantly influence karenge. Key indicators jese ke inflation rates, GDP growth, unemployment rates, aur industrial production figures bohot zaroori hain. Misal ke taur par, agar upcoming data U.S. economy mein stronger-than-expected performance dikhata hai, to yeh dollar ko mazid mazboot karega aur EUR/USD ko niche le jayega. Dosri taraf, agar Eurozone se positive economic news aati hai, to yeh euro ko zaroori support de sakti hai aur bearish trend ko ulat sakti hai.

Dusra ahm factor hai European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance. Haal hi mein, dono central banks inflationary pressures aur economic recovery trajectories post-pandemic ko dekhte hue apni policies adjust kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve ki interest rates par stance ka dollar ki strength par seedha asar padta hai. Agar Fed zyada aggressive rate hike path signal karta hai, to yeh dollar ko aur mazboot karega aur EUR/USD ko aur niche le jayega. Dosri taraf, agar ECB ek zyada hawkish stance apnata hai, to euro ki strength badh sakti hai aur bearish trend ulat sakta hai.

Geopolitical factors bhi currency movements mein significant role ada karte hain. Haal ke global events, including siyasi bay-qaraari, trade tensions, aur conflicts, forex markets mein volatility ko barhawa de sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar Ukraine conflict ya bade economies ke darmiyan trade negotiations mein significant developments hote hain, to investor sentiment par asar padega aur EUR/USD pair mein sudden movements ho sakte hain. Investors aam tor par uncertainty ke doran safe-haven currencies jese ke dollar ko pasand karte hain, jo euro ke muqablay mein dollar ki qeemat ko aur barha sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur technical factors bhi EUR/USD mein potential big movements ko contribute karte hain. Traders aur investors technical indicators jese ke support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur trend lines ko closely monitor karte hain taake informed decisions le sakein. Filhal, EUR/USD ek significant support level 1.0880 ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh support level hold karta hai, to hum pair mein rebound dekh sakte hain. Magar agar yeh level break hota hai, to selling pressure barh sakta hai aur pair ko aur niche le ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, bade market participants, including institutional investors aur hedge funds, apni bade trades se substantial movements cause kar sakte hain, khaaskar low liquidity market mein.

EUR / USD H1 Chart:


Ek general market improvement in investor mood ke bawajoo eur/usd pair ne Thursday ko phir se 1.1000 barrier ke neeche gir gaya. July mein, US retail sales 1.0% MoM tak barh kar 18-month high tak pohanch gaye, jo ke 0.3% projection se kaafi zyada tha aur purane mahine ki 0.2% decline ko bilkul overwhelm kar gaye. Behtar economic health metrics current worries ko roknay mein madad kar rahe hain ek mumkin US recession ke baare mein. Magar retail sales ke baad financial markets mein sirf kuch cheezein achhi hain. Rate markets ab sirf 25% chances price kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein 50 bps double reduction karay, jo ke CME's FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq pichle haftay ke 70% odds se kaafi kam hai. 75% probabilities ke sath kam az kam 25 basis points September 18 ke peak se neeche ki taraf hain, rate traders ne ab bhi poori tarah se ek September rate cut ko ek done deal ke tor par price kar liya hai. University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Survey Index ka tajziya yeh darshata hai ke consumer economic expectations mein izafa hone ka intezar hai, jiski level 66.4 ke eight-month low se 66.9 tak uthne ki ummeed hai. Friday ko Fibre traders ke liye US data main focus hoga.

EUR / USD H4 Chart:



Eur/usd ki haal hi mein winning run ko Friday ko 1.1000 critical level ke neeche girne se toot diya gaya. Eur / Usd H4 Chart main Bulls ka stamina khatam hone wala hai aur short-term momentum Fibre ko wapas us choppy dropping pattern mein le ja sakta hai jo 2024 se is pair ko pareshan kar raha hai. Daily candlesticks par higher lows ki barhti hui trend bidders ko technical support provide karegi. Magar, EUR/USD ko ab bhi tezi se 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.0826 ki taraf palatne ka intezar hai.

US ki na ummeedkan economic data ne euro ko US dollar ke muqablay mein barhawa diya. Ye tabdeeli American economy ke health ke bare mein barhti hui chinta ko darshati hai aur Federal Reserve ke zariye interest rate cuts ke tajawiz ko tez karne ke mumkinahay ko uthaati hai. Key indicators ne ek chinta janak tasawwur diya hai. June mein naukri ka izafa ummeed se kam raha, ADP data ne ye bataya ke naukriyon ki kami zyada tar kam aay ke sectors jaise hospitality aur entertainment mein hui. Initial jobless claims bhi barh gayi, aur ISM ka Services PMI do saal ke sabse niche star par chala gaya. Ye data US economy ke slow hone ka nishan hai, jo dollar ki appeal ko kam karta hai. Jab US dollar ne girawat dekhi, euro ne is mauqe ko pakda aur briefly 1.0800 level ko paar kar gaya. Ye positive jazba mixed European data se barhawa mila. Pan-EU HCOB PMI for June ne ummeed se zyada izafa dikhaya, jo manufacturing activity ki growth ko darshata hai. Lekin, Eurozone mein producer prices May mein zyada contraction dekhne ko mili. Agle kuch dinon mein US Independence Day holiday aur German factory order data currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakti hai. US markets band rahengi, jo trading activity ko patla kar sakti hai. German factory orders May mein rebound hone ki ummeed hai, jo euro ke performance ko aur prabhavit kar sakta hai.

Technical hurdles aur aage ke gains ki potential. Euro ko 1.0788 level aur 200-day moving average par technical resistance ka samna hai. Is zone ke upar decisive break hone se October 2023 ke uptrend line ke 1.0955 tak ki tez chadhai ki raah khul sakti hai. In conclusion, euro kai factors ka faida utha raha hai: US dollar ki kamzori, jo ke slowing US economy aur Fed se accommodative monetary policy ke tajawiz se hai. Lekin, technical resistance levels aur dono US aur Europe mein aane wale economic releases crucial honge, ye dekhne ke liye ke euro ke gains sustain ho sakte hain ya nahi.

Eurusd
### EUR/USD Ka Jaiza aur Analysis
**Taaruf aur Ahmiyat**

EUR/USD forex market ka sab se ziada trade hone wala currency pair hai. Yeh pair Euro (EUR) aur United States Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan ke exchange rate ko represent karta hai. Eurozone aur United States, dono hi duniya ki bari economic powers hain, aur inka economic performance, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events ka asar EUR/USD par hota hai. Traders ke liye yeh pair bohot important hai kyun ke ismein liquidity aur volatility dono high hoti hain, jo trading opportunities create karti hain.

**Market Sentiment aur Economic Factors**

EUR/USD par economic data aur central bank policies ka gehra asar hota hai. Euro ki value European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policies aur Eurozone ki economic growth par depend karti hai. Jabke USD ki strength ka asar Federal Reserve ki interest rates aur US ki economic indicators par hota hai.

Agar ECB apni interest rates ko barhata hai, to Euro mazboot hota hai, aur EUR/USD ka exchange rate barh sakta hai. Waisa hi agar US Federal Reserve interest rates barhata hai, to USD ki value barhti hai, jo EUR/USD ko niche la sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi is pair mein kafi ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar investors risk-on sentiment mein hain, to Euro mazboot hota hai, aur risk-off sentiment mein USD ki demand barh jati hai.

**Technical Analysis**

EUR/USD ke technical analysis ke liye, price action, support aur resistance levels, aur indicators ka jaiza lena bohot zaroori hota hai. Moving averages jese ke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, trend ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain. Agar price in moving averages ke upar hoti hai, to uptrend ka ishara milta hai, aur agar niche hoti hai to downtrend ka.

Is waqt, major support level 1.0800 ke qareeb hai, jabke resistance level 1.1000 par dekhne ko milta hai. Agar price support level se bounce karti hai, to yeh buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Waisa hi agar price resistance level ko breach karti hai, to EUR/USD mein bullish momentum barh sakta hai.

Indicators jese ke RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi EUR/USD ke analysis mein important hain. Agar RSI overbought zone mein hai, to yeh possible price reversal ka ishara de sakta hai, aur agar oversold zone mein hai, to price rebound karne ke chances barh jate hain.

**Future Forecast aur Trends**

EUR/USD ka future forecast mainly ECB aur Federal Reserve ki policies par depend karega. Agar ECB apni monetary policy ko tight karta hai aur US economy mein slowdown aata hai, to EUR/USD pair barh sakta hai. Lekin agar Fed apni hawkish stance ko barqarar rakhta hai, to USD mazid strong ho sakta hai, jo EUR/USD ko downside pressure mein rakh sakta hai.

Analysts ka maanna hai ke aglay kuch mahino mein EUR/USD mein short-term volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai, magar overall trend ka taluq central bank decisions aur economic data se hoga.

**Conclusion**

EUR/USD pair forex market mein sab se ziada trade hone wala aur important pair hai. Is pair mein trading ke liye economic factors, central bank policies, aur technical analysis par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Market sentiment aur global events ka bhi EUR/USD par direct asar hota hai. Trading ke liye risk management aur sahi waqt par decision lena bohot zaroori hai, taake volatile market mein profitable trades kiye ja saken.

US ki na ummeedkan economic data ne euro ko US dollar ke muqablay mein barhawa diya. Ye tabdeeli American economy ke health ke bare mein barhti hui chinta ko darshati hai aur Federal Reserve ke zariye interest rate cuts ke tajawiz ko tez karne ke mumkinahay ko uthaati hai. Key indicators ne ek chinta janak tasawwur diya hai. June mein naukri ka izafa ummeed se kam raha, ADP data ne ye bataya ke naukriyon ki kami zyada tar kam aay ke sectors jaise hospitality aur entertainment mein hui. Initial jobless claims bhi barh gayi, aur ISM ka Services PMI do saal ke sabse niche star par chala gaya. Ye data US economy ke slow hone ka nishan hai, jo dollar ki appeal ko kam karta hai. Jab US dollar ne girawat dekhi, euro ne is mauqe ko pakda aur briefly 1.0800 level ko paar kar gaya. Ye positive jazba mixed European data se barhawa mila. Pan-EU HCOB PMI for June ne ummeed se zyada izafa dikhaya, jo manufacturing activity ki growth ko darshata hai. Lekin, Eurozone mein producer prices May mein zyada contraction dekhne ko mili. Agle kuch dinon mein US Independence Day holiday aur German factory order data currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakti hai. US markets band rahengi, jo trading activity ko patla kar sakti hai. German factory orders may mein rebound hone ki ummeed hai, jo euro ke performance ko aur prabhavit kar sakta hai. Technical hurdles aur age ke gains ki potential. Euro ko 1.0788 level aur 200-day moving average par technical resistance ka samna hai. Is zone ke upar decisive break hone se October 2023 ke uptrend line ke 1.0955 tak ki tez chadhai ki raah khul sakti hai. In conclusion, euro kai factors ka faida utha raha hai: US dollar ki kamzori, jo ke slowing US economy aur Fed se accommodative monetary policy ke tajawiz se hai. Lekin, technical resistance levels aur dono US aur Europe mein aane wale economic releases crucial honge, ye dekhne ke liye ke euro ke gains sussustain

Euro ne Thursday ke trading session ke aghaz mein kaafi utar chadhav dekha, jo market ki direction dhoondhne ki koshish ko reflect karta hai. Lagta hai ke currency 1.11 level ki taraf wapas janay ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh yeh 1.10 mark ki taraf aur girawat dekha sakta hai. Overall, market ek aise mor par hai jahan yeh faisla karna mushkil ho raha hai ke kya yeh apni upward trajectory ko barkarar rakh sakta hai. Agar euro 1.1175 level ke upar break kar leta hai, toh yeh 1.1250 tak ke rally ka raasta khol sakta hai.

Yeh movement zyadatar Federal Reserve ke actions par depend karega, khaaskar unke rate cuts ke hawalay se. Jab ke Fed se September mein rate cut ki tawaqo hai, lekin yeh abhi tak wazeh nahi ke woh kitne aggressive honge. Market ne shayad abhi tak ek aggressive rate cut ka poora andaza nahi lagaya, jo ke global economy ke hawalay se concerns ka ishara de sakta hai. Aise halaat mein, US dollar aam tor par faida uthata hai kyun ke investors aksar economic uncertainty ke doran US Treasury bond markets ki safety talash karte hain.

Technical nazariye se dekha jaye toh, yeh yaad rakhnay ki zaroorat hai ke Euro abhi bhi ek overbought state mein hai, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke mutabiq. Iske ilawa, RSI aur price action ke darmiyan kuch divergence bhi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke ek pullback aney wala ho sakta hai. Yeh divergence aksar warning sign hoti hai ke current trend apni taqat kho raha hai.

Mukhtasir mein, jab ke euro ne apni resilience dikhayi hai, uski mustaqbil ki direction technical factors aur Federal Reserve ke faislon par depend karegi. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, aur kisi bhi divergence ke signs par, taake potential market volatility ko navigate kiya ja sake.

Eurusd
EUR/USD currency pair is filhal 1.0880 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, aur bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh trend euro ki qeemat mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein nichay ki janib harakat ko darshata hai. Haal hi mein market activity slow rahi hai, magar kai aise factors hain jo dikhate hain ke ane wale dinon mein EUR/USD pair mein significant movements dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

Pehle to, macroeconomic environment currency pairs ke movements mein ahm kirdar ada karta hai. Eurozone aur United States dono se ane wale economic indicators EUR/USD pair ko significantly influence karenge. Key indicators jese ke inflation rates, GDP growth, unemployment rates, aur industrial production figures bohot zaroori hain. Misal ke taur par, agar upcoming data U.S. economy mein stronger-than-expected performance dikhata hai, to yeh dollar ko mazid mazboot karega aur EUR/USD ko niche le jayega. Dosri taraf, agar Eurozone se positive economic news aati hai, to yeh euro ko zaroori support de sakti hai aur bearish trend ko ulat sakti hai.

Dusra ahm factor hai European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance. Haal hi mein, dono central banks inflationary pressures aur economic recovery trajectories post-pandemic ko dekhte hue apni policies adjust kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve ki interest rates par stance ka dollar ki strength par seedha asar padta hai. Agar Fed zyada aggressive rate hike path signal karta hai, to yeh dollar ko aur mazboot karega aur EUR/USD ko aur niche le jayega. Dosri taraf, agar ECB ek zyada hawkish stance apnata hai, to euro ki strength badh sakti hai aur bearish trend ulat sakta hai.

Geopolitical factors bhi currency movements mein significant role ada karte hain. Haal ke global events, including siyasi bay-qaraari, trade tensions, aur conflicts, forex markets mein volatility ko barhawa de sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar Ukraine conflict ya bade economies ke darmiyan trade negotiations mein significant developments hote hain, to investor sentiment par asar padega aur EUR/USD pair mein sudden movements ho sakte hain. Investors aam tor par uncertainty ke doran safe-haven currencies jese ke dollar ko pasand karte hain, jo euro ke muqablay mein dollar ki qeemat ko aur barha sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur technical factors bhi EUR/USD mein potential big movements ko contribute karte hain. Traders aur investors technical indicators jese ke support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur trend lines ko closely monitor karte hain taake informed decisions le sakein. Filhal, EUR/USD ek significant support level 1.0880 ke kareeb hai. Agar yeh support level hold karta hai, to hum pair mein rebound dekh sakte hain. Magar agar yeh level break hota hai, to selling pressure barh sakta hai aur pair ko aur niche le ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, bade market participants, including institutional investors aur hedge funds, apni bade trades se substantial movements cause kar sakte hain, khaaskar low liquidity market mein.

EUR/USD currency pair is filhal 1.0880 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, aur bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Yeh trend euro ki qeemat mein US dollar ke muqablay mein nichay ki janib harakat ko darshata hai. Haal hi mein market activity slow rahi hai, magar kai aise factors hain jo dikhate hain ke ane wale dinon mein EUR/USD pair mein significant movements dekhne ko mil sakti hain.
Pehle to, macroeconomic environment currency pairs ke movements mein ahm kirdar ada karta hai. Eurozone aur United States dono se ane wale economic indicators EUR/USD pair ko significantly influence karenge. Key indicators are inflation rates, GDP growth, unemployment rates, aur industrial production figures bohot zaroori hain. Misal ke taur par, agar upcoming data US economy mein stronger-than-expected performance dikhata hai, to yeh dollar ko mazid mazboot karega aur EUR/USD ko niche le jayega. Dosri taraf, agar Eurozone se positive economic news aati hai, to yeh euro ko zaroori support de sakti hai aur bearish trend ko ulat sakti hai.

Dusra ahm factor hai European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance. Haal hi mein, dono central banks inflationary pressures aur economic recovery trajectories post-pandemic ko dekhte hue apni policies adjust kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve ki interest rates par stance ka dollar ki strength par seedha asar padta hai. Agar Fed zyada aggressive rate hike path signal karta hai, to yeh dollar ko aur mazboot karega aur EUR/USD ko aur niche le jayega. Dosri taraf, agar ECB ek zyada hawkish stance apnata hai, to euro ki strength badh sakti hai aur bearish trend ulat sakta hai.

Geopolitical factors bhi currency movements mein significant role ada karte hain. Haal ke global events, including siyasi bay-qaraari, trade tensions, aur conflicts, forex markets mein volatility ko barhawa de sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar Ukraine conflict ya bade economies ke darmiyan trade negotiations mein significant developments hote hain, to investor sentiment par asar padega aur EUR/USD pair mein sudden movements ho sakte hain. Investors aam tor par uncertainty ke doran safe-haven currencies jese ke dollar ko pasand karte hain, jo euro ke

**EUR/USD**
Chaliye baat karte hain EUR/USD currency pair ki price ke behavior aur iski analysis ke baare mein. Producer price index ne ek girawat ka izhaar kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke aane wale waqt mein inflation kam ho sakti hai. Yeh outcome kuch had tak expected tha, magar itni tez movement ki umeed nahi thi. Hum dekh rahe hain ke price pichle high ke taraf 1.1009 ke aas-paas barh rahi hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke significant news na hone ke bawajood, pair ki bullish momentum 18:59 par shuru hui, jo speculative interest ka nishan ho sakta hai.

Abhi 1.1004 level resistance bana hua hai, aur 1.099 level se rebound dekha ja raha hai, jahan support 1.0969 par hai. Buy zone 1.0934 aur 1.0914 ke beech hai. Agar pair 10th figure mein enter karta hai aur 79-99 points gain karta hai to bearish momentum puri tarah se khatam ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, 1.1011 ko break karne ke baad ek pullback ho sakta hai.

Euro-dollar ke liye critical resistance last angle of the descending fan aur 1.0991 level par hai. Agar yeh resistance break hota hai, to pehle ke high 1.1008 ko touch karna bas waqt ki baat lagti hai. Primary support 1.0959 par hai, jahan se EUR/USD price phir se bullish ho sakti hai ya descend kar ke 1.0929/1.0922 aur bearish starting point 1.0902 tak ja sakti hai. Aaj ke growth ke bawajood, euro-dollar ka technical outlook wahi hai, aur zyada kuch kal ke fundamentals par depend karega. H1 time frame par, currency pair/instrument medium-term movement ka profit potential de raha hai. Hamari koshish hai ke higher H4 time frame trend ko accurately identify karein aur market entry ko precise banayein taake gains maximize kiye ja sakein.

**EUR/USD ka Price Behaviour Analysis**
Ham ab EUR/USD ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Abhi hum 1.1224 level par hain, jahan se rebound ek sell opportunity ka signal de sakta hai. Magar hum dhyan se dekhenge ke market kaise open hota hai, kyunki Hezbollah ke Israel par hamle ke bawajood bearish price gap ka possibility hai. Har haal mein, Monday ko 1.1134 tak decline hone ka bhi chance hai. Yeh dekhna abhi baqi hai ke kya growth 1.1224 ko surpass karegi, khaaskar yeh dekhte hue ke yeh yearly high nahi hai. Aisi growth, jo sirf anticipation par based hai aur U.S. mein positive ya Europe mein negative reflect nahi karti, speculative lagti hai. Phir bhi, yeh speculation medium-term play lagti hai. Pichle hafte, EUR/USD ne upar ki taraf surge kiya. Powell ke remarks Jackson Hole mein Friday ko annual economic symposium ke dauran kuch questionable lagte hain. Lekin Powell dono taraf appeal karne ki koshish kar raha hai, Democrats aur Republicans dono ko.

Powell ne kaha ke market ab usse sabse zyada yeh expect kar raha hai ke ab rate cut ka waqt aa gaya hai. Powell ne sirf September mein rate cut ki hint di thi, aur Friday ko unhone kaha. Isliye, EUR/USD pair ne Powell ke speech ke dauran 1.12 level ko test kiya, aur mujhe dar hai ke yeh pair ki growth ka end nahi hai. Dollar ko aur kamzor hone se roknay ke liye ab ek aur round of tensions Middle East mein, jahan Israel aur Hezbollah ne missile strikes exchange kiye hain, zaroori hai. Yeh risk aversion ko ignite kar sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko southward correction ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Hum is baare mein European meeting ke dauran jaanenge. Halanki aaj UK mein holiday hai aur daily fluctuations kam hongi, humein overseas comrades ka intezar karna padega. Daily support 1.1165 par hai, jiska break hone par 1.11 tak further declines ho sakti hain. North ke target ke liye wahi hai - 1.1270.

### EUR/USD H4

ہم اپنی گفتگو میں EUR/USD کرنسی جوڑی کی قیمت میں تبدیلیوں کا تجزیہ کریں گے۔ پاول نے ECB فورم میں تقریر کی اور ہمیشہ کی طرح، امریکی ڈالر کو "گرا دیا"، حالانکہ لگارڈ نے ان سے پہلے بولتے ہوئے یورو کی تھوڑی سی حمایت کی۔ پاول نے کچھ نیا نہیں کہا، EUR/USD نے 1.0739 کی سطح کو عبور کر لیا اور 1.0749 کی مزاحمت کے قریب پہنچ گیا۔ EMA-200 کی طرف سے نشان زد اہم مزاحمتی سطح 1.0759 پر ہے۔ یہ واضح نہیں ہے کہ مارکیٹ نے پاول کے اس طرح کے رد عمل کا مظاہرہ کیوں کیا، کیونکہ اس کے تبصرے کوئی بڑی بات نہیں تھے۔ انہوں نے ذکر کیا کہ لیبر مارکیٹ اب بھی مضبوط ہے، افراط زر 2% کے قریب نہیں ہے، اور عدم افراط زر کی علامات ہیں۔ لگارڈ نے یہ بھی تبصرہ کیا کہ اگرچہ افراط زر صحیح سمت میں جا رہا ہے، یہ نتیجہ اخذ کرنا بہت جلد ہوگا کہ یہ یکساں رہے گا۔ پاول نے اس بات پر زور دیا کہ فیڈ اپنے فیصلوں میں جلدی نہیں کر سکتا اور یہ کہ امریکہ اور یورپ میں افراط زر مختلف مسائل ہیں جن کے لیے مختلف نقطہ نظر کی ضرورت ہے۔ ان کے تبصروں کے باوجود، مارکیٹ امریکی ڈالر خریدنے کے لیے ہچکچاہٹ کا شکار ہے۔

یورپ میں سیاسی پیش رفت نے مارکیٹ کے جذبات کو نمایاں طور پر متاثر کیا ہے، خاص طور پر یورپی پارلیمانی انتخابات جنہوں نے یورو پر اعتماد کو متاثر کیا ہے۔ فرانس کے صدر ایمانوئل میکرون کی جانب سے یورپی یونین کے پارلیمنٹ کے انتخابات میں بھاری شکست کے بعد پارلیمنٹ کو تحلیل کرنے اور فوری انتخابات کرانے کے فیصلے نے مارکیٹ کی غیر یقینی صورتحال میں اضافہ کیا ہے۔ میرین لی پین، جو نیشنل ریلی کی ایک دائیں بازو کی قدامت پسند سیاست دان ہیں، کے میکرون کی جگہ لینے کے امکان نے مالیاتی منڈیوں کو ہلا کر رکھ دیا ہے۔ لی پین کے پلیٹ فارم میں ٹیکسوں میں زبردست کمی، ریٹائرمنٹ کی عمر میں کمی، اور سخت امیگریشن کنٹرول شامل ہیں، جس نے فرانس میں کافی مقبولیت حاصل کی ہے۔

لی پین کی فتح کے امکانات یورپی مالیاتی منڈیوں میں تشویش پیدا کر رہے ہیں۔ ان کی پالیسیاں اس وقت اہم مالیاتی چیلنجز پیدا کر سکتی ہیں جب یورپی اقتصادی اشاریے پہلے ہی کم کارکردگی کا مظاہرہ کر رہے ہیں۔ مزید برآں، یورپی مرکزی بینک (ECB) یورو زون کے اندر جاری افراط زر کے مسائل کی وجہ سے شرح میں کمی کے نفاذ کے قابل نہیں ہے۔

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD
Euro ne pichle kaam karne wale hafte mein thoda sa gir gaya, pehle ke growth trend ko correct karte hue. Is waqt, price 1.0837 level se thoda niche toot gayi, jo ke ek key support tha. Is support ko todne ke baad, price ne apne losses ko wapas jeetne ki koshish ki aur 1.0837 ke upar wapas aa gayi, jahan yeh apne aap ko mazbooti se banaye rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Pichle scenario mein jo expect kiya gaya tha, target area ko nahi pohanch sakte. Waqt guzarte hue, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers hedging kar rahe hain.

Technical analysis ke nazariye se, aaj, 4-H pe ghoor se dekhte hue, negative simple moving average crossover price ko upar se suppress kar raha hai. Yahan se, downtrend ka imkaan hai, extended resistance 1.0875 aur 1.0900 ke niche day trading ke saath, kyun ke 1.0800 ke niche move hote hi aage losses ka rasta khulega towards 1.0730. Doosri taraf, 1.0900 ke upar trading stability expected bearish scenario ko rok sakti hai, jahan EUR/USD temporary recovery experience kar sakta hai, pehle 1.0970 tak barhte hue. Neeche chart dekhen:



Iss waqt, pair mukhtalif direction mein trade kar raha hai aur hafte ke aghaz ke muqable mein thoda slow move kar raha hai. Central support zone test hui aur intact rahi, rebound ka sabab banti hai, jo ke preferred upward vector ki relevance ko dikhata hai. Price ko abhi current 1.0837 price area ke qareeb consolidate karni chahiye, jo ke central support area ke qareeb hai. Is area ka retest aur subsequent bounce aur ek move higher ka mauka provide karega, target area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke beech mein.

Agar support break hoti hai aur further 1.0763 pivot level ke niche girti hai, to current situation ulat jayegi.

Jab European trading session Friday ko shuru hota hai, to currency pair mein kuch kamzori dekhi ja rahi hai, jo abhi 1.1085 ke aas-paas ghoom raha hai. Ye kami US Dollar (USD) ke halkay se uthane ke sabab se hai, jo major pair par neeche ki taraf pressure daal raha hai. Lekin, EUR/USD mein mazeed girawat ka potential shayad mehdood ho, kyun ke US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell ne September mein rate cut ka ishaara diya hai, jo pair ke trajectory ko asar daal sakta hai.
Key Economic Updates: France, US, aur ECB

Traders France ke Business Confidence data ki release ko nazar mein rakhenge, jo French economy ki sehat ka pata de sakti hai. US side par bhi Fed Chair Powell ke agle speech aur housing market data par dhyan hoga. Haal ki data ke mutabiq, US Initial Jobless Claims, jo 17 August ko khatam hui hafte ke liye 232K thi, yeh expected 230K se zyada aur pichle hafte se bhi zyada thi. Iske ilawa, S&P Global ke August PMI reports mixed nazar aaye: jabke Services PMI expectations se upar thi, Manufacturing PMI contraction mein aur gehra chala gaya, jo zyada economic slowdown ka ishaara hai.

Eurozone mein bhi Flash PMIs ne mixed results diye. ECB ke member Martins Kazaks ka statement khaas tha, jisne Bloomberg par aake September mein rate cut par guftagu karne ki openness dikhayi. Kazaks ne kaha ke koi bhi rate reduction gradual hoga aur policy ab bhi restrictive rahegi, chahe cuts hon ya na hon. Unhone ye bhi hint diya ke agar inflation stable rahti hai, to mazeed rate cuts par bhi socha ja sakta hai.




H4 Chart EUR/USD Technical Updates: Bullish Momentum vs. Bearish Signals

EUR/USD pair ne ek naye swing high 1.1203 tak pohnchne ke baad recently sideways movement dikhayi hai. Ye strengthening Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern ke breakout ke baad aayi hai weekly time frame par. Pair ko upward-sloping 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support mil raha hai jo 1.1088 ke aas-paas hai, jo additional gains ko madad de sakta hai.

EUR/USD ka momentum bullish hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought conditions se neeche jane ki ishaarat de raha hai. Price action ne bhi rising wedge pattern ka shape le liya hai, jo aksar near term mein bearish reversal ka ishaara hota hai.

EUR/USD Price Studies
Filhal, hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action ka jaiza le rahe hain. Technical taur par, EUR/USD ne ek purani girawat wale channel se bahar nikal kar apni taqat dikhayi hai. US dollar ke khilaf negative jazbaat ne is breakout ko janam diya, jo ke pair ki lagbhag 50-pip ki izafa ka sabab bana. Lekin, hourly aur H4 charts par, pair abhi 1.1080 ke upar majboot resistance ka saamna kar raha hai. Is barrier level ko todna aur uske upar rahe kar ek sustainable upswing ko verify karna zaroori hai. Agar pair 1.1080 ke upar break nahi kar pata, to yeh pehle wale channel ki taraf wapas aa sakta hai. Pair ki direction aksar jald release hone wale US jobs statistics ke zariye tay hogi. Agar data unsatisfactory hota hai, to US Dollar aur gir sakta hai, jo EUR/USD ko 1.1080 ke barrier ko todne ka zyada mauka dega.




Hamari analysis ka mawad EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behaviour ka haala hai. Asian high 1.1069 tak pohnchne ke baad, EUR/USD jaldi se girna shuru ho gaya. Sellers ne pair ko niche push kiya, lekin yeh 1.1021 ke support level ke upar barqarar hai. Agar buyers euro ko is level ke upar barqarar rakhte hain, to mujhe lagta hai ke yeh uttar ki taraf move karega aur local trend line 1.1059 ki taraf pohnchne ki sambhavnayein hain, jo ke agle resistance level 1.1096 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin, agar hourly candle 1.1021 ke niche close hoti hai, to pair 1.0986 ki taraf gir sakta hai. Buyers tab tak majboot hain jab tak yeh level barqarar hai, lekin agar yeh break hota hai, to trend shift ho sakta hai. Aaj dono levels aane ki sambhavnayein hain, isliye outlook uncertain hai, lekin upward trend line abhi bhi buying ko favor karti hai. Buyers ko tab zyada strength milegi jab pair 1.1059 ko break karega, lekin abhi bhi unke paas thodi si advantage hai.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis
EUR/USD currency pair ne Thursday ko Asian trading session ke dauran thoda decline dekha, jo ke mainly US dollar ki taqat aur US Treasury bonds ke zyada returns ki wajah se tha. Lekin, dollar ne July ke Jolts job openings report ke release ke baad kamzori dikhayi, jo ke ummeed se kam aayi, aur yeh labor market mein possible slowdown ka ishara deti hai. Traders ab US Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) aur initial jobless claims ki aane wali release par focus kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, Friday ko non-farm payrolls data se Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke potential ke bare mein aur insights milenge. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta ke head, Rafael Postic, ne monetary policy par neutral view rakha, kehkar ke Fed achi position mein hai lekin restrictive policies ko lambe waqt tak nahi rakhna chahiye.




Eurozone mein, consumer price index (CPI) July mein quarterly basis par 0.8% barh gaya, jabke services PMI aur composite PMI decline hui. Yeh data suggest karti hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) September mein interest rates kam kar sakti hai, jo euro par pressure daal sakta hai. EUR/USD pair filhal 20-day simple moving average (SMA) aur 1.1050 region ke support ke qareeb hai. Technical indicators, jaise ke Stochastic Index aur relative strength index, kuch behtari dikha rahe hain. Agar 1.1050 level ke upar break hota hai, to yeh pehle ke summit 1.1200 aur shayad July 2023 ke high 1.1275 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, agar zyada decline hoti hai to 1.0870 level target ho sakta hai, uske baad 200-day moving average 1.0850. Agar price 1.1100 ke neeche close hoti hai, to 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.1000 ke aas-paas hai. Agar prices girti hain, to sab ki nazar July 2023 ke resistance trendline aur 50% Fibonacci level 1.0940 par hogi. Agar yeh nahi hota, to selling pressure barh sakta hai aur 1.0725 ki taraf move kar sakta hai.