Gold Market Trend

Ye achanak izafa Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke baray mein sarmaaya kaaron ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ki wajah se hai. Tawaqo se kamzor US ma'ashi data, jisme mayoos kun jobs report aur ek Fed official ke comments shamil hain jo kehte hain ke ahista hone ki guzarishat hai, ne sarmaaya kaaron ko yeh yaqeen dilaya hai ke Fed is saal kam az kam do martaba sood ki شرah kam karega. Yeh imkaan zyada hai ke mazboot dollar ke sone ki qeemat par rakhne wale riwayati dabao ko daba de. Ma'ashi data se US ma'ashiyat ki suستی ظاہر ho rahi hai. Americans ke unemployment benefits ke liye file karne ke zyada numbers aur Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ke comments kehte hain ke aflate ko qabo karne mein waqt lag sakta hai, is speculation ko fuel diya hai ke Fed narmi bartega. Kashkari ne zor diya ke "bawajood ke ahem ma'ashi growth ke, hum deflation hasil kar rahe hain," jisme dheeli monetary policy ki zarurat ko highlight kiya. Geopolitical tensions ne bhi sone ko ek safe-haven asset ke tor par mazid maqbool bana diya hai. Middle East mein barhti tensions, Israel ka Lebanon par hamlon ka khatra aur Russia ka North Korea ke sath deal ne global landscape mein uncertainty ko barhawa diya. Gold ke liye dekhne wala ahem price point $2,343 hai. Agar qeemat is level ke upar rehti hai, to yeh bullish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai jisme mazeed fayda ka potential hai. Yeh bearish "head and shoulders" chart pattern ko jo kuch analysts anticipate kar rahe the, nakara kar sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar qeemat $2,343 se neeche girti hai, to yeh pattern ko confirm kar sakta hai, jo ke mumkin nuksanat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar qeemat girti hai, to potential support levels $2,300, $2,277, aur $2,222 par mojood hain. Yeh levels girawat ko roknay mein madadgar ho sakti hain, magar agar qeemat musalsal $2,300 se neeche rehti hai, to mazeed ahem nuksan ho sakta hai. Kuch analysts ne head and shoulders pattern ka downside target $2,170 se $2,160 par revise kiya hai, jo barhati hui uncertainty ko reflect karta hai. Nihayat mein, ma'ashi data, geopolitical tensions, aur Fed ki monetary policy ke darmiyan ke khel se gold prices ke liye ek complex situation banti hai. Jahan mazboot dollar aam tor par gold par downward pressure dalta hai, wahan sood ki شرح katoti ki anticipation is waqt dominant factor hai. $2,343 ke ird gird ki price action gold ke near-term direction ka taayun k

XAU/USD assets $2,331.00 per ounce se zyada barh gayi hain, aur record highs ko choo rahi hain jabke advanced traders aur investors ye umeed kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve is saal ke akhir mein interest rates ko kam karega. Ye umeed Amreeki maeeshat ke bare mein barhte hue concerns aur Fed ke growth ko stimulate karne ke possible measures ki wajah se hai. Lower interest rates aam tor par non-yielding assets jaise ke gold ko zyada attractive banate hain. Europe mein siyasi bay yaqini ne safe-haven assets ki demand barha di hai, jisme gold bara beneficiary hai. Issues jaise ke Brexit-related uncertainties, key European economies mein possible economic slowdowns, aur geopolitical tensions investors ko stable assets talash karne par majboor kar rahe hain. Gold, jo ke traditionally ek safe haven mana jata hai, ne isi wajah se demand mein significant increase dekha hai.
June mein, US consumer sentiment decline hui, jo dikhata hai ke Amreekiyon ka economy ke bare mein confidence kam ho gaya hai. Ye drop is liye concerning hai kyun ke consumer confidence economic activity ke liye crucial hai. Iske ilawa, inflation expectations Federal Reserve ke 2% target se zyada hain, jo dikhata hai ke consumers expect karte hain ke prices barhati rahengi. Ongoing inflation concerns Fed ke decisions ko influence kar sakti hain, jisme potential interest rate cuts bhi shamil hain

Sona ki qeemat par mukhtalif factors ka asar hota hai, jin mein sood dar, mehngai, currency ke harekati aur raqabi waqiyat shamil hain. Ye is ka mazboot asar aur urdu pehchaan hai, jis ki wajah se sona ek nafees aur mutasir market hai, jahan qeemat aksar tabdeel hone wali dunyavi ma'ashi aur siyasi manzar ko foran tasur deti hai.
Sona market mein traders dwara technical tajziya ka wasta faraham karte hue trend, patterns aur mojooda dakhil aur nikalne ke points ka tajziya karna aam hai. Sona trading mein istemal hone wale aam technical indicators mein moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracements shamil hain.
Sona global spot market mein 24 ghanton ke doran trade hota hai, jahan sab se active trading hours aam tor par Asian aur European sessions ke doran hoti hain. Ye 24 ghanton ka market traders ko din ya raat ke kisi bhi waqt qeemat ke harkaton ka faida uthane ki ijaazat deta hai.
Sona mukhtalif mali auzar ke zariye trade kiya ja sakta hai, jin mein futures contracts, options, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), aur over-the-counter (OTC) contracts shamil hain. Ye traders ko sona market mein shirkat ka aik silsila faraham karta hai aur qeemat ke harkaton se faida hasil karne ke liye mukhtalif tareeqon faraham karta hai.

Europe mein, Thursday ki subah jaldi, gold (XAU/USD) ki keemat ek hafte ki bulandi se wapas aayi, aur critical 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resistance ko dobara hasil karne ki koshish ki. US economy slow ho rahi hai, aur inflationary pressures kam ho rahi hain, jis ki wajah se speculation hui ke Federal Reserve (Fed) is saal do dafa interest rates kam karega. Ye ek significant asar sabit hua, jo gold ki taraf flows ko push kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, Europe mein heightened political unpredictability aur global concerns bhi safe-haven precious metal ko zyada support de rahe hain. Ek single rate decrease 2024 mein ab bhi officials ki taraf se support ho rahi hai, bawajood is ke ke Fed ne pichle hafte ek zyada aggressive posture liya

Technically dekha jaye, bulls shayad naye wagers banane se ruk sakte hain jab tak ke consistent strength 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support breakpoint-turned-resistance ke upar na dekhen, jo ke ab $2,344–$2,345 range mein hai. Price mein izafa is cheez ki nishani hogi ke recent corrective downturn apne peak par hai aur gold ki keemat $2,360–2,362 range ke aage aur $2,387–2,388 intermediate barrier ki taraf push karegi, jo ke isay $2,400 tak le jayegi. Momentum all-time high ki taraf badhne laga jo May mein $2,450 range mein hit hua tha. Conversely, $2,320–2,318 area agle declines ke against guard karne wala hai pehle $2,300 threshold se pehle. Horizontal support level $2,285 se neeche thodi si follow-through selling bearish traders ke liye ek naya signal hogi aur recent decline ko continue karne ke liye lead karegi jo record high se hai. Gold ki keemat phir significant support ki taraf jaldi decline karna shuru karegi, jo ke $2,254–2,253 area ke qareeb hai, pehle ke $2,225–2,220 support aur $2,200 round number ke neeche girne se pehle

Haal hi mein, trend zyada tar niche ki taraf raha hai. Trend ko ulatne aur upar jaane ke liye, market ko pehle se toote hue levels par wapas aana hoga, jo ek bullish outlook ko zahir karta hai. Balance hasil karne ke liye, ek downward correction zaroori hai, aur 1.2151 ka level target hai. Is correction ke baad, hum gold mein ek significant bullish surge ki umeed karte hain, jo shayad autumn mein shuru ho kar agle saal tak jaari rahe. Is dauran, hum expect karte hain ke pehle USD strong hoga aur phir digital currency ki taraf move karte hue 2026 tak devalue hoga. Gold market abhi bullish trend dikha raha hai, jo buy karne ke liye ek acha waqt hai. Sellers ke paas strong momentum nahi hai, isliye current rise pehle ke breakdown levels ko revisit karne ke sath align karta hai.
Bullish trend jari hai, jahan 2311 buyers ke liye ek entry point hai. Is level ke around ek false breakout bhi buying opportunity ko zahir karta hai. Agar 2321 ko successfully cross kar liya jaye aur upar rehne ka position banaye rakha jaye, to buy signal mazid mazboot ho jata hai. Market ke 2306 se niche settle hone ke chances kam hain, jo mazid buying signals ko zahir karta hai. 2296 par ek false dip additional gains ko result kar sakta hai. Agar prices 2296 se niche rehengi, to ye selling trend ko zahir karta hai. 2341 level ko cross karna aur upar rehna buying opportunity ko indicate karta hai. 2299 ka recent deceptive drop zahir karta hai ke upward trend jari reh sakta hai. Thodi si pullback ho sakti hai pehle ke growth resume ho. 2298 level ko test karne se mazid increase ho sakti hai. Chaahe short-term decline ho, hum expect karte hain ke growth resume hogi

Metal ka key resistance levels ke upar break nahi karna uncertainty ko zahir karta hai. Investors clearly Fed se future monetary policy ke hawale se ek more definitive signal dekhna chahte hain. $2,319-2,320 ke around ek confirmed breakout sustained upward trend ke liye crucial hai. Ye level 100-day aur 200-day moving averages ke sath coincide karta hai, jo significant technical benchmarks hain. Agar gold in averages ko surpass kar le, to ye psychological level of $2,350 ko test kar sakta hai

izafa Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke baray mein sarmaaya kaaron ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ki wajah se hai. Tawaqo se kamzor US ma'ashi data, jisme mayoos kun jobs report aur ek Fed official ke comments shamil hain jo kehte hain ke ahista hone ki guzarishat hai, ne sarmaaya kaaron ko yeh yaqeen dilaya hai ke Fed is saal kam az kam do martaba sood ki شرah kam karega. Yeh imkaan zyada hai ke mazboot dollar ke sone ki qeemat par rakhne wale riwayati dabao ko daba de. Ma'ashi data se US ma'ashiyat ki suستی ظاہر ho rahi hai. Americans ke unemployment benefits ke liye file karne ke zyada numbers aur Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ke comments kehte hain ke aflate ko qabo karne mein waqt lag sakta hai, is speculation ko fuel diya hai ke Fed narmi bartega. Kashkari ne zor diya ke "bawajood ke ahem ma'ashi growth ke, hum deflation hasil kar rahe hain," jisme dheeli monetary policy ki zarurat ko highlight kiya. Geopolitical tensions ne bhi sone ko ek safe-haven asset ke tor par mazid maqbool bana diya hai. Middle East mein barhti tensions, Israel ka Lebanon par hamlon ka khatra aur Russia ka North Korea ke sath deal ne global landscape mein uncertainty ko barhawa diya. Gold ke liye dekhne wala ahem price point $2,343 hai. Agar qeemat is level ke upar rehti hai, to yeh bullish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai jisme mazeed fayda ka potential hai. Yeh bearish "head and shoulders" chart pattern ko jo kuch analysts anticipate kar rahe the, nakara kar sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar qeemat $2,343 se neeche girti hai, to yeh pattern ko confirm kar sakta hai, jo ke mumkin nuksanat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar qeemat girti hai, to potential support levels $2,300, $2,277, aur $2,222 par mojood hain. Yeh levels girawat ko roknay mein madadgar ho sakti hain, magar agar qeemat musalsal $2,300 se neeche rehti hai, to mazeed ahem nuksan ho sakta hai. Kuch analysts ne head and shoulders pattern ka downside target $2,170 se $2,160 par revise kiya hai, jo barhati hui uncertainty ko reflect karta hai. Nihayat mein, ma'ashi data, geopolitical tensions, aur Fed ki monetary policy ke darmiyan ke khel se gold prices ke liye ek complex situation banti hai. Jahan mazboot dollar aam tor par gold par downward pressure dalta hai, wahan sood ki شرح katoti ki anticipation is waqt dominant factor hai. $2,343 ke ird gird ki price action gold ke near-term direction ka taayun

Jumeerate subah Europe mein, sonay ki keemat (XAU/USD) aik haftay ki bulandi se wapas atay huay critical 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resistance ko dubara hasil karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. America ki ma'eeshat sust ho rahi hai aur afra taffree ke dabao mein kami ke asaar hain, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke is saal do martaba sood ki شرah kam karne ke tajzay ko hawalat diya hai. Ye eham asar daal raha hai, jise dheeth zard dhatu ki taraf roojan hai. Mazeed barhati hui siyasi adam itminan Europe mein aur duniya bhar ke concerns sonay ke mehfooz havan ko aur zyada support faraham kar rahe hain. 2024 mein ek martaba sood ki sharah kam karne ka ab bhi hukamati logon ka support hai, bawajood is ke ke Fed ne pichle haftay zyada aggressive rawaiya ikhtiyar kiya. Tekniki tor par, bulls abhi bhi naye wager karne se pehle 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support breakpoint-turned-resistance, jo ab $2,344–$2,345 ke range mein hai, ke oopar mustahkam quwat ka intezar karenge. Qeemat mein agla izafa is baat ki nishani hogi ke haali correctional downturn apne nuqtay par pohanch gaya hai aur sonay ki qeemat ko $2,360–2,362 ke range se aage aur $2,387–2,388 ke darmiyani rukawat tak push karega, jo isay $2,400 tak le jayega. Ye momentum may mei hit hone wale all-time high $2,450 range tak jaari reh sakti hai. Is ke bar'aks, $2,320–2,318 ka area mazeed kami ko rokne ke liye mazboot hoga pehle $2,300 threshold ke. Horizontal support level $2,285 ke niche follow-through selling ka aik thoda sa signal bearish traders ko naye bechnay ka ishara hoga aur shayad recent decline ko record high se continue karega. Phir sonay ki qeemat tezi se agle significant support, jo ke $2,254–2,253 ke qareeb hai, ki taraf gir sakti hai aur aakhir mein $2,225-2,220 support aur

Local plan for gold kaam nahi kar saka, lekin decline ko poori tarah realize kar liya gaya aur woh bhi bahut jaldi. Yeh tab hota hai jab growth ke liye kaafi strength nahi hoti aur hum resistance ke paas hote hain, plus buyers ko apni positions close karni padti hain.
Aaj ek aur group mein local growth ka idea publish kiya gaya tha. Wahan ek acha northern impulse tha jo M15 par buy signal de raha tha. Pehle chart mein green range se buying zone ko dikhaya gaya hai. Plan yeh tha ke lows se buy karna hai aur 2370.90 tak hold karna hai. Lekin market pehle hi rise kar gaya, apne pichle maximum ko update kiya, lekin aage grow nahi kar saka aur targets tak nahi pahunch saka. Resultantly, buy limit order open ho gaya, lekin foran stop-loss status mein aa gaya. As a result, larger decline ka idea trigger ho gaya, halaan ke main chahta tha buyers pehle apne targets achieve kar lein aur phir decline ho

Dusre chart mein H4 timeframe ke sath, hum ek real long squeeze dekh sakte hain. Jaise expect kiya gaya tha, buyers us balance range se apne long positions close karna shuru kar diye. Maine us area ko blue mein mark kiya aur arrow se indicate kiya. Plus, current buyers jo rise hold kar rahe the, unhone bhi apni positions close karna shuru kar diya. Yeh ek race hai ke best price par positions close ki jaa sakein. Buyers ke liye best closing price ki struggle aise candles ke sath end hoti hai. Isko main short strike bhi kehta hoon. Hum ab quote level 2336.14 tak pahunch gaye hain, jo aaj ke analysis mein bhi mention kiya gaya tha. Quotes upper channel boundary ko test kar rahe hain. Main nahi keh sakta ke yeh neeche breakdown ho chuka hai. Zyadah chances hain ke market interest gold ko is channel line ke aas-paas move karega. Overall, descending plan implement ho gaya, lekin mera plan tha ke thoda upar se start ho jaye takay ratio kam se kam 1 to 2 ho. Is level se, stop-loss size kareeb 2000 points hota aur potential 3100 points hota, jo ke lagbhag 1 to 1.5 hota, stop gaps aur spread ko count nahi karte hue

Gold ne Thursday ko tawakku ke baraks apni qeemat mein izafa dekha, jabke US dollar mazid mazboot ho raha tha. Yeh heran kun harkat sarmayakaron ki Rai mein Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawale se tabadlon ko nasb kiya ja sakta hai. US ki kamzor ma'ashi data, jis mein aik mayoos kun jobs report aur aik Fed ahlkaar ka kehna ke ahtiyat se chalne ki zarurat hai, ne sarmayakaron ko yeh yaqeen dilaya ke Fed is saal kam az kam do martaba sood ki شرar dar ko kam karega. Yeh tasur gold ke qeemat per dollor ki mazbooti ka rawaiti dabao ko shikast deta hai. Ma'ashi data ek ahista ahista chalti hui US economy ka tasavvur deta hai. Mukabla mein jo Americiyo ka unemployment benefits ke liye filing karna zyada tha, aur Minneapolis Fed ke President Neel Kashkari ke comments ke mutabiq mehangai ko qaboo karna waqt lega, ne dovish Fed ke hawale se atkalon ko hawaa di. Kashkari ne zor diya ke "bara ma'ashi growth ke bawajood, hum deflation hasil kar rahe hain," jo loose monetary policy ki zarurat ko ujagar karta hai. Geopolitical tensions ne gold ko safe-haven asset ke tor par aur bhi maqbool banaya. Middle East mein izafa hoti tensions, jahan Israel ne Lebanon par humlay ki dhamki di, aur Russia ke North Korea ke sath taaza moahida ne global manzar nama mein gheir yaqini inject kiya

Gold ke liye ahem qeemati point $2,343 hai. Agar qeemat is level ke upar qaim rehti hai, to yeh aik bullish trend ka ishara ho sakti hai aur mazeed faida ka imkan hai. Yeh kuch analysts ke mutabiq anticipated bearish "head and shoulders" chart pattern ko rad kar sakta hai. Iske baraks, $2,343 ke neeche girne se yeh pattern tasdeek ho sakta hai, jo ke mumkin nuqsanat ko zahir kar sakta hai. Agar qeemat girti hai, to potential support levels $2,300, $2,277, aur $2,222 par mojood hain. Yeh levels girawat ko roknay ka kaam kar sakti hain, lekin agar qeemat $2,300 se neeche qaim rehti hai, to mazeed nuqsanat ho sakte hain. Kuch analysts ne apni downside target ko $2,170 se $2,160 par revise kar diya hai, jo ke barhti hui gheir yaqini ko reflect karta hai. Natija e kalam yeh ke, ma'ashi data, geopolitical tensions aur Fed ki monetary policy ke darmiyan taaluqat ne gold ke qeemat ke liye ek pechida surat e haal paida kar di hai. Jabke mazboot dollar aam tor par gold par neeche ki taraf dabao dalta, sood dar mein kami ka intezar filhal dominant factor hai. $2,343 ke ird gird price action qareebi muddat ke liye gold ke rukh ko tay karegi

Main sab ko behtareen mood ki dua deta hoon! Seller apni taraf se kafi active hai jabke Southern Linear Regression channel saamne aa raha hai. Instrument 2333.35 level ke neeche trade ho raha hai. Main soch raha hoon ke 2322.06 level tak sell karoon, jahan se correction ki umeed hai, isliye main lows par sell karna band kar deta hoon. Main intizaar karta hoon jab tak koi pullback aaye aur main sales ke baare mein sochta rahoon. 2333.35 se sales zyada interesting hoti hain, kyunke limits ko exceed karna bullish interest ko khatrey mein daal deta hai. Toh, 2333.35 se sell karke main buying aur selling ke darmiyan ka distance hasil karta hoon. Jahan aap players ka reaction dekh sakte hain, aur iske zariye aap apne trades ko adjust kar sakte hain aur apne losses ko kam kar sakte hain daily trading mein quick profit ka mauka hasil karke

Chaar ghante ke chart par surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, main notice karta hoon ke ek linear regression hai, channel neeche ki taraf ja raha hai aur dono channels ek hi direction mein hain, jo strong buyer ki ghair mojoodgi ko dikhata hai. Is case mein H4 channel ke saath trend change hone ki probability bahut kam hai. Isliye, sales ke baare mein sochna zyada interesting hai bajaye iske ke dono channels ke sales ko dikhate hue purchases mein enter karna. Upside obstacle 2333.35 level hai, jiske upar jaane se 2359.84 channel ke upper edge tak pohanchne ka khatara hai. Main 2322.06 aur 2304.92 ke target ko reach karne ki umeed mein sell karoonga. Visiting targets channel volatility ko determine karte hain, jo ek upward pullback mein contribute karega. Decline mein growth se mujhe parwaah nahi hai. Is trend ke saath kaam karna priority hai. Lekin yahan se sales ka start hoga, yeh abhi clear nahi hai, kyunke sabse qareebi powerful level already 2360 par hai, lekin yeh Americans ke liye sales ka start hai, unhone us din wahan par sell kiya tha aur leak kiya tha. Asal mein, four buyers ke counter size 2340 se start hota hai, important level 2360 hai, yeh sab mil kar sales area mein aata hai, aur sirf wahan aap sales ke switch ka intizaar kar sakte hain

Haal hi mein, jab price 2330 ke mark se upar gayi to sellers ka ek khaas breakout dekhne ko mila. Yeh breakout is liye bhi ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke isne market sentiment mein ek mumkinah tabdeeli ka ishara diya, bearish se bullish. Magar yeh excitement zyada dair tak nahi chali. Shuru mein price badhne ke bawajood, yeh 2330 ke upar qayam nahi reh saki aur jaldi se neeche wapas aa gayi, jo is baat ka ishara tha ke yeh breakout ghalat ho sakta hai.
Technical analysis mein aise harkaat bohot ahmiyat rakhti hain kyun ke yeh market ki asli taqat ya kamzori ko zahir karti hain. 2330 ke upar sustain na karne ka matlab yeh hai ke buying pressure itna mazboot nahi tha ke selling resistance ko paar kar sake. Iski waja mukhtalif factors ho sakti hain, jaise ke traders ka profit lena, follow-through buying ki kami, ya broader market conditions jo ke sustained uptrend ko support nahi kar rahi hain.

Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke is pehli rukawat ke bawajood, ek aur ahmiyat wala haadsa hua. Descending channel, jo ke price action ko kaafi arsay se contain kar raha tha, upside mein toot gaya. Descending channel aksar lower highs aur lower lows ke sath hota hai, jo ke downtrend ko zahir karta hai. Is channel ka upside mein tootna aksar bullish signal maana jata hai, jo ke is baat ka ishara karta hai ke pehla downtrend khatam ho sakta hai.

Descending channel ke upar break hone ka matlab yeh hai ke market mumkinah uptrend ke liye tayar ho rahi hai. Yeh ziada buyers ko attract kar sakta hai jo ke unche prices dekh rahe hain. Magar ehtiyat zaroori hai. False breakouts aam hain, aur traders aksar confirmation ka intezar karte hain position commit karne se pehle. Confirmation sustained price action ke roop mein aa sakti hai jo ke broken channel aur 2330 level ke upar ho, sath hi trading volume mein izafa bhi ho

Akhir mein, jab ke pehla rise above 2330 aur is level ko hold na karne ki naakaami mayusi peda kar sakti hai, descending channel ka breakout ek umeed ki kiran deta hai ek mumkinah uptrend ke liye. Traders aur investors qareebi nazar rakhenge agle kuch dinon mein price action par, taake dekh sakein ke market is momentum par build kar sakti hai aur ek nayi upward trend establish kar sakti hai

Chaliye D1 ka chart dekhte hain - trading instrument GOLD ka. Iss purane period ke wave structure abhi bhi ascend order mein hai, lekin MACD indicator pehle se nichle sell zone mein gir chuka hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. MACD indicator par ek aisi badi bearish divergence nazar aa rahi hai, jaise hi indicator zero cross kar chuka ho, jaise discharge ho gaya ho, mujhe lagta hai ki signal abhi puri tarah kaam nahi kiya hai. Yahan par ek reversal figure bhi dekha ja sakta hai - ek ascending wedge jo safaltapurvak toot gaya hai. Phir koi aur vikas nahi hua; trading ranges mein chalna shuru ho gaya. Yahan par ek accumulation aur upar jaane ka prayaas hua, phir neeche jaane ka - ek standard trap. Kal neeche se horizontal resistance level 2223 par ek test hua, buyers ne ise paar karne ki koshish ki, lekin kaam nahi aaya, kal is senior level se din bhar ke short periods mein excellent downward entries huyi. Main yeh maan raha hoon ki ab najdiki significant minimum ke neeche, yani 2277 ke neeche, May ke last ke neeche, aur sirf us niche point ke baad hum growth ko seriously consider kar sakte hain, lekin pehle nahi. Abhi ke liye meri ray mein to sirf short periods ke liye nichle direction mein kaam karna zyada promising lag raha hai jab bhi corresponding formations ban jaayein. Baqi major instruments bhi meri ray mein decline ki taraf zyada inclined hain; jaise pound aur euro bhi girne ke liye taiyar hain. Aaj ke news mein, hum 18-00 Moscow time par US Federal Reserve System ka monetary policy report note kar sakte hain. Aaj se raat aur subah se hum grow kar rahe hain, lekin meri ray mein yeh bhi achha hai ki price seedhe girne ke bajaye thoda upar jaaye. Aap M15-M5 par mirror sell level ka wait kar sakte hain, jab support resistance mein badal jaye, aur phir nichle direction mein kaam shuru kar sakte hai
Yahan, market ek 1 to 9 ka risk-reward ratio offer kar raha hai, jo ek pehle ka significant high ke qareeb hai. Bechna mushkil lag sakta hai, lekin signal to signal hai. Hourly chart par ek buy signal bhi hai, jo grey bar se mark hai aur 2345.12 ko target kar raha hai. Magar, yeh prudent hai ke agar koi pullback hota hai to uske baad hi buy karein. Market aakhir kar in scenarios mein se ek ko favour karega, isliye humein strategic choices karni hongi. Filhaal, mein selling ko opt kar raha hoon. H1 sell signal H4 par broader sell signal aur H4 time frame ke 1-2-3 pattern se feasible hai. Jabke koi guarantee nahi ke sales prevail karengi, lekin yeh current strategy hai. Hamara stop-loss 2340.25 ke niche hai, aur sales market ke opening se possible hain, provided ke koi price gap na ho. Targets likely hain

Ye achanak izafa Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke baray mein sarmaaya kaaron ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ki wajah se hai. Tawaqo se kamzor US ma'ashi data, jisme mayoos kun jobs report aur ek Fed official ke comments shamil hain jo kehte hain ke ahista hone ki guzarishat hai, ne sarmaaya kaaron ko yeh yaqeen dilaya hai ke Fed is saal kam az kam do martaba sood ki شرah kam karega. Yeh imkaan zyada hai ke mazboot dollar ke sone ki qeemat par rakhne wale riwayati dabao ko daba de. Ma'ashi data se US ma'ashiyat ki suستی ظاہر ho rahi hai. Americans ke unemployment benefits ke liye file karne ke zyada numbers aur Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ke comments kehte hain ke aflate ko qabo karne mein waqt lag sakta hai, is speculation ko fuel diya hai ke Fed narmi bartega. Kashkari ne zor diya ke "bawajood ke ahem ma'ashi growth ke, hum deflation hasil kar rahe hain," jisme dheeli monetary policy ki zarurat ko highlight kiya. Geopolitical tensions ne bhi sone ko ek safe-haven asset ke tor par mazid maqbool bana diya hai. Middle East mein barhti tensions, Israel ka Lebanon par hamlon ka khatra aur Russia ka North Korea ke sath deal ne global landscape mein uncertainty ko barhawa diya. Gold ke liye dekhne wala ahem price point $2,343 hai. Agar qeemat is level ke upar rehti hai, to yeh bullish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai jisme mazeed fayda ka potential hai. Yeh bearish "head and shoulders" chart pattern ko jo kuch analysts anticipate kar rahe the, nakara kar sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar qeemat $2,343 se neeche girti hai, to yeh pattern ko confirm kar sakta hai, jo ke mumkin nuksanat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar qeemat girti hai, to potential support levels $2,300, $2,277, aur $2,222 par mojood hain. Yeh levels girawat ko roknay mein madadgar ho sakti hain, magar agar qeemat musalsal $2,300 se neeche rehti hai, to mazeed ahem nuksan ho sakta hai. Kuch analysts ne head and shoulders pattern ka downside target $2,170 se $2,160 par revise kiya hai, jo barhati hui uncertainty ko reflect karta hai. Nihayat mein, ma'ashi data, geopolitical tensions, aur Fed ki monetary policy ke darmiyan ke khel se gold prices ke liye ek complex situation banti hai. Jahan mazboot dollar aam tor par gold par downward pressure dalta hai, wahan sood ki شرح katoti ki anticipation is waqt dominant factor hai. $2,343 ke ird gird ki price action gold ke near-term

It seems like you're discussing recent movements and potential future scenarios for gold prices. The analysis points out that gold faced a decline after encountering resistance near the 50-day simple moving average post-FOMC, indicating bearish sentiment in the short term. However, the price managed to hold above $2,300, suggesting some resilience.
Looking ahead, if gold breaks below the $2,285 support level convincingly, it could signal further downside towards $2,254-2,253 and potentially down to $2,225-2,220. On the upside, resistance is anticipated near $2,325, with stronger barriers around $2,345 and $2,360-2,362. A sustained move above these levels could pave the way for a retest of recent highs near $2,387-2,388 and even aim for the $2,400 mark

Ye eham asar daal raha hai, jise dheeth zard dhatu ki taraf roojan hai. Mazeed barhati hui siyasi adam itminan Europe mein aur duniya bhar ke concerns sonay ke mehfooz havan ko aur zyada support faraham kar rahe hain. 2024 mein ek martaba sood ki sharah kam karne ka ab bhi hukamati logon ka support hai, bawajood is ke ke Fed ne pichle haftay zyada aggressive rawaiya ikhtiyar kiya. Tekniki tor par, bulls abhi bhi naye wager karne se pehle 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support breakpoint-turned-resistance, jo ab $2,344–$2,345 ke range mein hai, ke oopar mustahkam quwat ka intezar karenge. Qeemat mein agla izafa is baat ki nishani hogi ke haali correctional downturn apne nuqtay par pohanch gaya hai aur sonay ki qeemat ko $2,360–2,362 ke range se aage aur $2,387–2,388 ke darmiyani rukawat tak push karega, jo isay $2,400 tak le jayega

Overall, the Fed's dovish stance on interest rates, along with market sentiment and the US dollar's strength, are crucial factors influencing gold's movements currently

"Pichle haftay mein sonay ke daam mehdood range mein rahe. Keemat pehle upper limit 2325 par test ki gayi lekin jald hi resistance se milte hi gir gayi aur phir se umeed ki gayi ghati nahi aayi. Isi doran price chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jis se maloom hota hai ke sellers control mein hain.

Technical analysis ke nazariye se, 4-hour chart par nazdeek se dekhte hain ke Gold ne pehlay technical report mein announce ki gayi major resistance level (2340) ko torne mein nakam raha, jo ke iski uptrend ko jaari rakh sakta tha. Hum dekhte hain ke simple moving average ab bhi price ke saath bandh hai. Is tarah humein lagta hai ke ek naye corrective decline ke mauqe mojood hain aur 2300 pe pehla target hai, kehte hain ke 2300 ke upar se break hone se downward correction ki intensity barhegi aur isko tezi se agey badhaya jayega. Hum aapko yad dilate hain ke jo propose scenario hai wo mainly 2340 ke main resistance level ke neeche day trading ke sustainability par depend karta hai, aur is waqt trading level pe rehne ke liye careful rehna chahiye, attempt 2340 ke upar jaa kar price ko 2360 ki taraf le jayega.

Is waqt ke liye price mukhtalif directions mein trade ho rahi hai aur har haftay neutral rehti hai. Wazeh areas of resistance test ki gayi hain jo high-value attempts ko block karti hain, jis se maloom hota hai ke preferential downward vector correlation qaim rakhna mumkin hai. Quotes ko confirm karne ke liye zaroorat hai ke 2325 ke current price area ko break kiya jaye, jahan main resistance zone shuru hota hai. Is area ka dobara test aur strong bounce is se stage set karega agle downside shock ke liye, jo ke area 2221 aur 2188 ke darmiyan target karega."

Kal ka trading session sone ke liye aik rollercoaster ride tha, jaisa ke umeed thi, American session ke doran kaafi zyada activity dekhne ko mili. Market ka key driver US consumer price indices (CPI) ka release tha, jo ke anticipated se bohot kam aayi. Is data ne US inflation mein significant slowdown ka signal diya, jo US dollar par downward pressure daal raha hai. Jaise jaise dollar kamzor hota hai, sona, jo traditionally inflation ke khilaf aik hedge mana jata hai, aam tor par strong hota hai. Yeh sona ke liye positive news ko Federal Reserve System ke head ke speech ne kuch hadd tak offset kiya. Jab ke Fed Chair ne inflation mein slowdown ko acknowledge kiya, unki comments ne interest rate cuts ke liye aik more cautious approach ko suggest kiya. Market participants ne initially is saal teen rate cuts anticipate kiye thay. Magar, Fed Chair ke remarks ne imply kiya ke sirf aik cut ho sakta hai, jo market sentiment ko shift kar gaya. In conflicting forces ke natijay mein, gold prices ne initially CPI release ke baad spike kiya, peak values ko touch kiya. Magar, Fed Chair ke speech ne enthusiasm ko temper kar diya, aur gold prices Asian trading session ke doran retreat kar gayi. Is decline ne gold quotes ko wapas $2,313 ke neechay push kar diya. Bulls (investors jo believe karte hain ke gold prices barhenge) abhi prices ko dobara $2,313 ke upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar current four-hour trading candle is level ke upar close hoti hai, to yeh upward correction ka signal de sakti hai towards a resistance level of $2,342. Yeh upward movement aaj ke trading session ke liye most likely scenario lagti hai, based on current market conditions. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke kuch traders, including myself, ne small bullish position le rakhi hai anticipating is potential rise ke liye. Overall, kal ka session gold market ki sensitivity ko economic data aur central bank policy ke hawale se highlight karta hai. Inflation data aur Fed Chair ke speech se milne wale mixed signals ne aik volatile trading environment create kar diya. Jaisay hi hum aaj ke session mein enter karte hain, bulls regain control ki koshish mein hain, with a close above $2,313 potentially sparking a rally toward $2,342