Gold Market Trend

price ki direction ka pata lagate hain. Likhte waqt XAU/USD 2314.99 par trade kar raha hai. Is waqt, XAU/USD is chart mein strength dikhata hai. XAU/USD ek strong bearish form mein nazar aa raha hai. Agar aap is time frame ko dekhein, toh aap asani se dekh sakte hain ke XAU/USD mein bearish trend hai. RSI indicator strong negative readings dikha raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price gir sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 45.6316 par hai. Isi waqt, technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh moving average convergence divergence (MACD) apna sir neeche rakhe hue hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers dominant hain. Technically, sellers abhi thode stable lag rahe hain. Moving averages bhi bearish signal dikha rahe hain. XAU/USD 20-day exponential moving average ke bilkul neeche trade kar raha hai. Saath hi, 50-day exponential moving average bhi current XAU/USD price ke upar hai jo bearish signal dikha raha hai. Poori market ki condition abhi sellers ke haq mein lagti hai. XAU/USD ke liye immediate resistance level 2338.61 hai. Agar XAU/USD upper 2338.61 resistance ko torh leta hai, jo ke pehla resistance level hai, toh XAU/USD ko aur strength mil sakti hai 2363.48 (dusra resistance level) aur phir 2386.54 (teesra resistance level) tak. Magar agar XAU/USD 2308.27 (initial level of support) ke neeche support torh deta hai toh XAU/USD phir se weak ho sakta hai aur 2287.04 (dusra support level) aur phir 2260.76 (teesra support level) ke neeche gir sakta hai. Khuda Hafiz, aur aap se meri agle live trading discussion update mein mulaqat hogi. Aap ka din kamyab ho Gold, jo ke traditionally ek safe haven mana jata hai, ne isi wajah se demand mein significant increase dekha hai.
June mein, US consumer sentiment decline hui, jo dikhata hai ke Amreekiyon ka economy ke bare mein confidence kam ho gaya hai. Ye drop is liye concerning hai kyun ke consumer confidence economic activity ke liye crucial hai. Iske ilawa, inflation expectations Federal Reserve ke 2% target se zyada hain, jo dikhata hai ke consumers expect karte hain ke prices barhati rahengi. Ongoing inflation concerns Fed ke decisions ko influence kar sakti hain, jisme potential interest rate cuts bhi shamil hain

Is haftay ka aghaz sone ki bazaar mein heran kun badlav se hua. Pichle hafte ke ikhtitam par bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bana tha, jo aam tor par neeche ke rujhan ki nishani hota hai, lekin aaj sone ki qeematein barh gayi hain. Ye badlav char-ghante ke chart par mojood technical analysis mein kharabi paida kar raha hai. Pehle, chart ne downtrend dikhaya tha. Magar aaj ki qeemat mein izafa ne is rujhan ko ulat kar diya hai, aur qeematein phir se tay ki gayi trading range ke darmiyan le aya hai. Agar sona zard moving average line se upar nikal jata hai, jo ke ek ahem technical indicator hai, to ye lambay arse ke liye upward correction ko trigger kar sakta hai. Ye correction qeematein trading range ki upper limit tak le ja sakti hai, jo ke $2,350 per ounce ke qareeb hai. Wahan par aik darmiyani resistance level $2,342 par hai jo upar jane se pehle aik rukawat ban sakta hai

Aaj ke liye economic calendar mein koi badi khabar nahi hai jo sone ki qeemat par asar daal sakti ho. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke trading activity kuch sust reh sakti hai. Magar, jari global uncertainties aur geopolitical tensions ke madde nazar, qeemat mein smoothly barhawa bhi mumkin hai. Ye zaroori hai ke kuch market analysts, meri shamilat ke sath, abhi bhi intezar mein hain. Jabke haaliya qeemat barhawa kuch positive signals de raha hai, hum mazeed wazeh aur mo'tabar movement ka intezar kar rahe hain market mein dakhil hone se pehle. Hafte ke aghaz par mazboot economic news ki kami ne market ka dhyan tabdeel kar diya hai. Bahut se participants agle Jumay ko United States mein May Consumer Expenditure Price Index (CPI) data ke release par nazar rakhe hue hain. Ye ek ahem inflation indicator hai jo is haftay market ki guftagu mein hawi rehne wala hai, aur analysts apne forecasts jari karte hue market sentiment ko asar andaz karne ki koshish karenge

Asal mein, jabke sone ke liye aik potential long-term upward correction mojood hai, mazboot news ki kami aur CPI data ke aane wali guftagu se is haftay mein trading activity kuch sust reh sakti hai. Magar, ongoing geopolitical uncertainty ke bawajood qeemat mein barhawa mumkin hai

Ye achanak izafa Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke baray mein sarmaaya kaaron ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ki wajah se hai. Tawaqo se kamzor US ma'ashi data, jisme mayoos kun jobs report aur ek Fed official ke comments shamil hain jo kehte hain ke ahista hone ki guzarishat hai, ne sarmaaya kaaron ko yeh yaqeen dilaya hai ke Fed is saal kam az kam do martaba sood ki شرah kam karega. Yeh imkaan zyada hai ke mazboot dollar ke sone ki qeemat par rakhne wale riwayati dabao ko daba de. Ma'ashi data se US ma'ashiyat ki suستی ظاہر ho rahi hai. Americans ke unemployment benefits ke liye file karne ke zyada numbers aur Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ke comments kehte hain ke aflate ko qabo karne mein waqt lag sakta hai, is speculation ko fuel diya hai ke Fed narmi bartega. Kashkari ne zor diya ke "bawajood ke ahem ma'ashi growth ke, hum deflation hasil kar rahe hain," jisme dheeli monetary policy ki zarurat ko highlight kiya. Geopolitical tensions ne bhi sone ko ek safe-haven asset ke tor par mazid maqbool bana diya hai. Middle East mein barhti tensions, Israel ka Lebanon par hamlon ka khatra aur Russia ka North Korea ke sath deal ne global landscape mein uncertainty ko barhawa diya. Gold ke liye dekhne wala ahem price point $2,343 hai. Agar qeemat is level ke upar rehti hai, to yeh bullish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai jisme mazeed fayda ka potential hai. Yeh bearish "head and shoulders" chart pattern ko jo kuch analysts anticipate kar rahe the, nakara kar sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar qeemat $2,343 se neeche girti hai, to yeh pattern ko confirm kar sakta hai, jo ke mumkin nuksanat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar qeemat girti hai, to potential support levels $2,300, $2,277, aur $2,222 par mojood hain. Yeh levels girawat ko roknay mein madadgar ho sakti hain, magar agar qeemat musalsal $2,300 se neeche rehti hai, to mazeed ahem nuksan ho sakta hai. Kuch analysts ne head and shoulders pattern ka downside target $2,170 se $2,160 par revise kiya hai, jo barhati hui uncertainty ko reflect karta hai. Nihayat mein, ma'ashi data, geopolitical tensions, aur Fed ki monetary policy ke darmiyan ke khel se gold prices ke liye ek complex situation banti hai. Jahan mazboot dollar aam tor par gold par downward pressure dalta hai, wahan sood ki شرح katoti ki anticipation is waqt dominant factor hai. $2,343 ke ird gird ki price action gold ke near-term direction ka taayun karne mein nihayat ahem hogi

Pichlay Jumay ki trading mein, gold commodity phir se pressure mein thi aur kamzor hui, aur pichlay hafte ki trading mein 2321.50 par band hui. Is dafa mein H4 time frame par jo candle bani hai usay istimaal karunga aglay hafte ke liye analysis ke liye, jaise ke trading instrument ki tasveer mein dekha gaya hai. XAUUSD TF H4 par is waqt MA 24 aur MA 200 lines ke neechay hai, aur stochastic indicator 5.3.3 abhi level 20 ki taraf ja raha hai aur ho sakta hai ke aur bhi neechay chala jaye.
Tasveer mein dekhe gaye mukhtalif indicators ko dekhte hue, aglay hafte ke Monday ke trading ke liye, gold commodity ka bearish trend continue rehne aur pichlay hafte ke closing price se bhi neeche jaane ka imkaan hai. Dosri taraf, fundamentals mein bhi USD index ki mazid mazbooti dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo ke market mein gold commodity ki movement ko bhi ghair mustaqil taur par asar andaz karegi, jis ki wajah se gold ki trading aglay hafte mein kamzor hi rehne ki umeed hai.

Aglay hafte ke Monday ke liye meri trading plan yeh hai ke mein 2321.50 par ek Sell order place karunga, profit target 2271.50 par rakhoonga aur stop loss 2351.50 par lagaunga. Lots ke liye hum choti se choti lot ka istemal kar sakte hain ya apne account ki strength ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain. Upar diye gaye analysis ke sath, hum xauusd market ke direction ka andaza laga sakte hain aglay hafte ke liye. Yeh trading journal update hai jo mein aaj subah aap tak pohcha raha hoon, umeed hai ke yeh mufeed sabit hoga aur dosray doston ko bhi forex business ko samajhne mein madad milegi. Bas yeh sab kuch meri taraf se, aur aap sab ko achha holiday weekend mubarak

Pichlay haftay market mein musalsal izafa dekha gaya, jo ke 2320 ka resistance level torney mein kamiyab hua. Yeh resistance pehlay aik rukawat tha, magar market ki bullish momentum itni mazboot thi ke isay paar kar liya. 2320 mark se upar close hone se, price action ne bullish bias ko tasdeeq kiya. Mere pichlay haftay ke tajziye mein mazeed izafa ki paishgoi ki gayi thi, jo ke aglay resistance level 2390 ko target kar raha tha. Market ke performance is outlook se mutabiq thi, jese ke price pehlay 2342 ke darmiyani resistance ki taraf barh gaya.
Yeh harkat 2342 ki taraf yeh darshaati hai ke market ke participants uptrend ke jaari rehne per mutmaeen thay. 2320 ke resistance level ko tor kar aur is ke upar close hone se yeh ek ahem waqia tha, jo ke mazboot buying interest aur market sentiment mein optimism ka izhar karta hai. Pehli harkat 2342 ki taraf mazeed bullish sentiment ko mazboot banati hai, jo ke market ke paas apni upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhne ki kafi momentum thi.

2320 ka resistance level, jo ke pehlay aik ceiling tha, ab support level mein tabdeel ho gaya, jo ke price ke liye ek mazboot buniyad faraham kar raha hai. Market structure mein yeh tabdeeli bohot ahem hai kyun ke yeh supply-demand dynamics mein tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai, jahan buyers ziada prices par market mein daakhil hone ko tayar hain, aur mazeed faiday ki umeed karte hain. 2390 ke resistance level ki taraf harkat ziada mumkin ho gayi hai, dekhte hue musalsal buying pressure aur overall market optimism ko

Pehla advance 2342 ki taraf 2390 resistance ko pohanchne ki rah mein aik qadam dekha ja sakta hai. Har price level jo ke raaste mein fatah hota hai, wo current trend ki strength aur sustainability ke barey mein insights faraham karta hai. Agar price naya established support 2320 ke upar barqarar reh sakta hai aur aglay resistance levels ko tor sakta hai, toh 2390 ka target ziada haasil hota nazar ata hai. Yeh scenario yeh darshaata hai ke market sentiment bullish rehta hai aur traders mazeed faiday ke liye near term mein apni position bana rahe hain

at barh gayi kyun ke RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator ne dikhaya ke yeh dhaatu support level ke qareeb oversold thi. Yeh oversold condition aksar yeh ishara deti hai ke asset ko kam qeemat par becha ja raha hai aur uski qeemat adjust hone ya badalne ka waqt aa sakta hai. Is case mein, RSI ne yeh dikhaya ke sona oversold tha, jo buyers ko sona khareedne par majboor kar raha tha aur is tarah qeemat barh gayi. RSI ek momentum oscillator hai jo keemat ki harkaton ki raftaar aur tabdeeli ko maapta hai. Yeh 0 se 100 ke darmiyan hota hai, jahan 30 se neeche ki levels aksar yeh batati hain ke asset oversold hai aur 70 se upar ki levels yeh dikhati hain ke asset overbought hai. Jab sona ka RSI 30 se neeche gira, to isne traders ko ishara diya ke selling pressure zyada ho gaya hai aur qeemat ka rebound qareeb hai.

Support level ke qareeb, RSI ke zariye highlight hui oversold condition ne un buyers ko attract kiya jo sona kam qeemat par khareedne ka mauka dekh rahe the. Is buying pressure ke in influx ne qeemat barha di. Jaise sona ki qeemat barh gayi, yeh 100 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) line tak pahunch gayi. 100 EMA ek widely used technical indicator hai jo asset ka overall trend pehchanne mein madad karta hai aur qeemat ke data ko smooth out karke recent prices ko zyada weightage deta hai, isse naye information ke liye responsive banata hai.

Is context mein, sona ka 100 EMA line tak pahunchna yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat recover ho rahi hai aur shaayad ek zyada stable ya bullish phase mein daakhil ho rahi hai. Traders aksar EMA ka istemal support aur resistance levels pehchanne ke liye karte hain. Jab qeemat EMA ke upar hoti hai, to isse generally bullish signal mana jata hai, jabke qeemat EMA ke neeche hoti hai, to bearish sentiment suggest karti hai. Sona ka 100 EMA line tak pahunchna ek positive sign tha, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke upward momentum jaari reh sakti hai.

Iske ilawa, sona ki qeemat ne current candle mein indicated trend line ko bhi touch kiya. Trend lines technical analysis ke essential tools hain jo trend ki direction ko pehchanne aur confirm karne ke liye istemal hote hain. Yeh significant price points, jaise ke highs aur lows ko connect karke draw ki jati hain aur traders ko trend ki trajectory visualize karne mein madad karti hain. Is case mein, trend line ne ek aur support level ka kaam kiya, RSI aur 100 EMA ke zariye diye gaye bullish signal ko reinforce kiya

Main poori tarah se maanta hoon ke chhoti si corrective pullback ke baad, utri harqat dobara shuru hogi aur price qareebi resistance level, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 2341.700 par hai, ko touch karne jayegi. Jaise ke maine pehle kai martaba kaha hai, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karay aur phir aage utri taraf chale.
Agar yeh plan kaam kar gaya, tou main intezar karunga ke price resistance level tak pohonche, jo ke 2387.785 par hai. Agar price is resistance level ke upar fix ho jati hai, tou main mazeed utri harqat ki umeed karunga, jo ke 2450.125 ke resistance level tak ho sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup banne ka intezar karunga, jo ke trading ki further direction ka taayun karne mein madadgar hoga. Yaqeenan, ek aur bhi option hai ke mazeed doori utri target par kaam kiya jaye, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 2500 par hai, lekin abhi ke liye main is option par ghor nahi kar raha hoon, kyun ke mujhe iski jaldi implementation ka koi imkaan nazar nahi aata. Alternative option yeh hai ke price 2341.700 ke resistance level ke qareeb pochne par ek turning candle banaye aur southern movement dobara shuru ho jaye

Agar yeh plan kaam kar gaya, tou main intezar karunga ke price wapas support level tak aaye, jo ke 2286.830 par hai, ya support level, jo ke 2277.345 par hai, tak aaye. Main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ki talash karunga, utri price movement ki dobara shuruat ki umeed mein. Aam taur par, mukhtasir mein, aaj main poori tarah se maanta hoon ke chhoti southern pullback ke khatam hone ke baad, utri harqat dobara shuru hogi aur price qareebi resistance level tak jayegi aur agar buyers is ke upar consolidate karne mein kaamyab ho gaye, tou woh mazeed doori utri targets par apni nazarain rakhengay

Gold ke qeemat Tuesday ko barh gayi jab ek US economic report se pata chala ke consumer spending expected se kam rahi. Yeh data point, jo ke lower retail sales figures me zahir hota hai, ne yeh speculation ko barhawa diya ke Federal Reserve 2024 me ek series of interest rate cuts shuru kar sakta hai. Abhi, gold ka price (XAU/USD) $2,327 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 0.51% ka izafa hai. Is khabar ne investors ke hopes ko barhawa diya hai ke interest rates kam honge. Fed ka pehla stance yeh tha ke current monetary policy kaafi hai, magar recent economic data suggest karta hai ke adjustments ki zaroorat hai. Industrial production me May me improvement nazar ayi compared to April jo ke downwardly revise hui thi, magar overall economic picture abhi bhi uncertain hai. Is mix me, influential Fed officials jaise New York Fed President John Williams ne public statements diye hain jo potential policy changes ka ishara dete hain. Williams ne kaha ke agar deflation continue karta hai aur Fed ka target inflation rate of 2% ke qareeb aata hai, toh gradual decline in interest rates ho sakta hai. Usne September rate cut ke baare me koi specific baat nahi ki magar current economic trajectory ke baare me optimism zahir kiya

Gold prices ke current rise ke bawajood, technical analysis potential downward trend suggest karta hai. Analysts ne ek "bearish head and shoulders" chart pattern point out kiya hai, jo ke future me price decline ka ishara hai. Is view ko support karte hue Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai, jo ke abhi sellers ke favor me hai. Agar XAU/USD price $2,300 se neeche girta hai, toh support levels $2,277 (May 3rd low) aur $2,222 (March 21st high) par hain. Magar, is bearish outlook ka ek counterpoint bhi hai. Agar gold resistance level of $2,341.41 ko break kar leta hai, toh ek rally shuru ho sakti hai jo ke pehle iss saal dekhi gayi thi, aur possibly $2,400 tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh upswing doosri currencies jaise Pound aur Franc ko bhi positively impact kar sakta hai. Overall, gold market ek fascinating scenario present kar raha hai. Jab ke technical indicators potential decline suggest karte hain, economic data aur Fed ke pronouncements lower interest rates ka possibility hint karte hain, jo ke gold prices ko buoy kar sakta hai. Investors ko closely XAU/USD price movement ko monitor karna chahiye, khaaskar uski performance relative to the support aur resistance levels mentioned. Jaise jaise economic situation unfold hogi aur Fed ka stance clearer hoga, gold prices ka future direction zahir hoga

Gold Wednesday ko ek narrow range mein trade hua, $2,335 tak upar gaya aur $2,324 tak neeche aya. Peak ne temporarily price ko potential decline limit se upar push kiya, lekin jaldi se wapas consolidation range mein aagaya aur briefly 20-day moving average ko cross kiya. Resistance ne rising trend channel line par emerge kiya. $2,342 par, pattern ka top 50-day moving average ke resistance se milta hai $2,344 par aur downside se.
Agar gold $2,335 se upar high hit kare, to yeh strength indicate karega aur gold ko aur zyada duration ke liye drive kar sakta hai. Pichle hafte ka high $2,388 significant tha; is level ke baad ek weekly breakout trigger hoga aur recent interim daily swing high ko surpass karega. April ke shuru mein, gold ne unsuccessfully rising parallel trend channel se breakout karne ki koshish ki, aur June 7 ko channel line ke neeche gir gaya aur tab se is line ke neeche trade ho raha hai, wapas substantially aane ka risk le raha hai lekin agar manage karta hai, to ek successful second breakout strength gain kar sakta hai road ke upar rehkar.

Bearish pennant pattern confirm hoga agar apne lower limit se neeche girta hai, recent small low $2,296 par ek clear signal ke sath. Upar se, $2,287 ke three-week low se neeche girna breakout confirm karega, indicating further downside.

Jab tak gold last week ke high $2,342 se upar nahi jata week ke end tak, end track par hai week ko end karne ke liye. Abhi, gold apne second consecutive low of the week post kar raha hai, indicating price mein decline ke sath generally higher volatility. Is change ki extent pennant system ke break se determine hogi. Jabke pennant ek high likelihood of a split indicate karta hai, yeh outlook change ho sakta hai agar support hold kare aur ek fortunate split hota hai

Current trading conditions gold ke liye bullish aur bearish potential present karte hain key levels par. Ek breakout $2,335 se upar higher prices ke liye raasta bana sakta hai, especially agar pichle hafte ka high $2,388 surpass ho jata hai. Dusri taraf, $2,296 se neeche girna, aur $2,287 ke sharp decline ko, downward trend confirm karega. Ek possible double pattern ek impending volatility spike ko highlight karta hai, direction current consolidation process ke break par depend karegi. Traders ko in key points par closely nazar rakhni chahiye agla move gold market mein assess karne ke liye

achanak izafa Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke baray mein sarmaaya kaaron ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ki wajah se hai. Tawaqo se kamzor US ma'ashi data, jisme mayoos kun jobs report aur ek Fed official ke comments shamil hain jo kehte hain ke ahista hone ki guzarishat hai, ne sarmaaya kaaron ko yeh yaqeen dilaya hai ke Fed is saal kam az kam do martaba sood ki شرah kam karega. Yeh imkaan zyada hai ke mazboot dollar ke sone ki qeemat par rakhne wale riwayati dabao ko daba de. Ma'ashi data se US ma'ashiyat ki suستی ظاہر ho rahi hai. Americans ke unemployment benefits ke liye file karne ke zyada numbers aur Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ke comments kehte hain ke aflate ko qabo karne mein waqt lag sakta hai, is speculation ko fuel diya hai ke Fed narmi bartega. Kashkari ne zor diya ke "bawajood ke ahem ma'ashi growth ke, hum deflation hasil kar rahe hain," jisme dheeli monetary policy ki zarurat ko highlight kiya. Geopolitical tensions ne bhi sone ko ek safe-haven asset ke tor par mazid maqbool bana diya hai. Middle East mein barhti tensions, Israel ka Lebanon par hamlon ka khatra aur Russia ka North Korea ke sath deal ne global landscape mein uncertainty ko barhawa diya. Gold ke liye dekhne wala ahem price point $2,343 hai. Agar qeemat is level ke upar rehti hai, to yeh bullish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai jisme mazeed fayda ka potential hai. Yeh bearish "head and shoulders" chart pattern ko jo kuch analysts anticipate kar rahe the, nakara kar sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar qeemat $2,343 se neeche girti hai, to yeh pattern ko confirm kar sakta hai, jo ke mumkin nuksanat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar qeemat girti hai, to potential support levels $2,300, $2,277, aur $2,222 par mojood hain. Yeh levels girawat ko roknay mein madadgar ho sakti hain, magar agar qeemat musalsal $2,300 se neeche rehti hai, to mazeed ahem nuksan ho sakta hai. Kuch analysts ne head and shoulders pattern ka downside target $2,170 se $2,160 par revise kiya hai, jo barhati hui uncertainty ko reflect karta hai. Nihayat mein, ma'ashi data, geopolitical tensions, aur Fed ki monetary policy ke darmiyan ke khel se gold prices ke liye ek complex situation banti hai. Jahan mazboot dollar aam tor par gold par downward pressure dalta hai, wahan sood ki شرح katoti ki anticipation is waqt dominant factor hai. $2,343 ke ird gird ki price action gold ke near-term direction ka taayun karne mein nihayat ahem hogi

Chaliye D1 ka chart dekhte hain - trading instrument GOLD ka. Iss purane period ke wave structure abhi bhi ascend order mein hai, lekin MACD indicator pehle se nichle sell zone mein gir chuka hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. MACD indicator par ek aisi badi bearish divergence nazar aa rahi hai, jaise hi indicator zero cross kar chuka ho, jaise discharge ho gaya ho, mujhe lagta hai ki signal abhi puri tarah kaam nahi kiya hai. Yahan par ek reversal figure bhi dekha ja sakta hai - ek ascending wedge jo safaltapurvak toot gaya hai. Phir koi aur vikas nahi hua; trading ranges mein chalna shuru ho gaya. Yahan par ek accumulation aur upar jaane ka prayaas hua, phir neeche jaane ka - ek standard trap. Kal neeche se horizontal resistance level 2223 par ek test hua, buyers ne ise paar karne ki koshish ki, lekin kaam nahi aaya, kal is senior level se din bhar ke short periods mein excellent downward entries huyi. Main yeh maan raha hoon ki ab najdiki significant minimum ke neeche, yani 2277 ke neeche, May ke last ke neeche, aur sirf us niche point ke baad hum growth ko seriously consider kar sakte hain, lekin pehle nahi. Abhi ke liye meri ray mein to sirf short periods ke liye nichle direction mein kaam karna zyada promising lag raha hai jab bhi corresponding formations ban jaayein. Baqi major instruments bhi meri ray mein decline ki taraf zyada inclined hain; jaise pound aur euro bhi girne ke liye taiyar hain. Aaj ke news mein, hum 18-00 Moscow time par US Federal Reserve System ka monetary policy report note kar sakte hain. Aaj se raat aur subah se hum grow kar rahe hain, lekin meri ray mein yeh bhi achha hai ki price seedhe girne ke bajaye thoda upar jaaye. Aap M15-M5 par mirror sell level ka wait kar sakte hain, jab support resistance mein badal jaye, aur phir nichle direction mein kaam shuru kar sakte hai

Yahan, market ek 1 to 9 ka risk-reward ratio offer kar raha hai, jo ek pehle ka significant high ke qareeb hai. Bechna mushkil lag sakta hai, lekin signal to signal hai. Hourly chart par ek buy signal bhi hai, jo grey bar se mark hai aur 2345.12 ko target kar raha hai. Magar, yeh prudent hai ke agar koi pullback hota hai to uske baad hi buy karein. Market aakhir kar in scenarios mein se ek ko favour karega, isliye humein strategic choices karni hongi. Filhaal, mein selling ko opt kar raha hoon. H1 sell signal H4 par broader sell signal aur H4 time frame ke 1-2-3 pattern se feasible hai. Jabke koi guarantee nahi ke sales prevail karengi, lekin yeh current strategy hai. Hamara stop-loss 2340.25 ke niche hai, aur sales market ke opening se possible hain, provided ke koi price gap na ho. Targets likely hain

Federal Reserve ke faisle ne interest rates ko barqarar rakhne aur mustaqbil mein cuts ki umeed ko kam karne se gold market mein lehrain daal di hain. Is wajah se US Treasury yields barh gayi hain, jo ke gold ko interest-bearing bonds ke muqablay mein kam dilchasp bana rahi hain. Natijaatan, gold ki qeemat 0.63% gir gayi, jo ke ek din ke buland nok $2,332 se gir ke $2,317 (XAU/USD) par aa gayi. Is girawat se traders pareshaan hain aur mutaqbil mein anay wali economic data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain. Retail sales, industrial production, jobless claims, aur global PMI figures ko economy ki sehat aur mustaqbil ke Fed actions ke isharaat ke liye gaor se dekha jayega. Market is waqt December tak federal funds rate mein 35 basis point reduction ki umeed kar raha hai, magar Fed ka naya mawqaf is prediction ko shak mein daal sakta hai. Gold ke liye ek aur musibat China ki khabar hai, jo ke ek bara gold kharidne wala hai, ne apni 18-mahina kharidari ka silsila rokh diya hai. Unki gold holdings 72.8 million ounces par thehr gayi hain, jo ke precious metal ki demand ko aur kam kar rahi hain

Technical analysis gold ke liye ek mumkin bleak picture pesh kar rahi hai. Head and shoulders chart pattern ab bhi kaam kar raha hai, jo ke prices ke $2,200 se neeche girne ka ishara de raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bearish territory mein aur gehra ja raha hai, jo ke sell side par badhti hui momentum aur mumkinah ziada nuqsan ko dikha raha hai. Agar XAU/USD crucial $2,300 mark ke neeche girta hai, toh support levels $2,277 (May ka low) aur $2,222 (March ka high) par aa sakti hain. Kuch analysts ne head and shoulders pattern ke downside target ko $2,160 tak revise kar diya hai. Magar ek umeed ka kirna ab bhi hai. Agar gold gravity ko challenge karte hue June 7th ke high $2,387 ke upar chala jata hai, toh yeh $2,400 resistance level ko test kar sakta hai. Mazeed, chart par ek contracting triangle pattern bhi ek possible upside breakout ka ishara de rahi hai. Triangle ke resistance $2,332 aur 100 SMA (red line on a 4-hour chart) ke upar ek bharpoor surge mumkinah taur par qeemat mein zyada izafa la sakta hai. Initial resistance hurdles $2,340 ke qareeb hongi, jo ke $2,365 ya $2,385 tak barh sakti hain. Doosri taraf, $2,310 ke neeche girawat se ziada tezi se girne ka dar hai, jahan support $2,300 aur $2,285 par aa sakti hai. Anay walay dinon mein, gold traders economic data releases, Fed ke elanat, aur technical chart signals par nigah rakhenge taake metal ki agli harkat ka pata laga sakein. Yeh dekhna baqi hai ke yeh neeche jata hai ya hairat angaiz tareeke se rally karta hai

Gold ki qeemat (XAU/USD) ne haftay ka aghaz Asiaan ki shuruaati trading mein girawat ke sath kiya, jo $2,325 ke aas paas thi. Is girawat ka sabab do barey asraat hain jo gold market ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Ek taraf, US mein high interest rates ke barqarar rehne ki umeedain gold ki qeematon par neechay ki taraf dabao daal rahi hain. Federal Reserve ke officials, jismein Loretta Mester (Cleveland Fed President) aur Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis Fed President) shamil hain, ne ek hawkish rawayya izhaar kiya, yeh dikhate hue ke is saal sirf ek interest rate cut ho sakti hai. Yeh US dollar ko mazboot banata hai, jis se gold – jo ke non-interest-bearing asset hai – kam dilchasp ban jati hai, khaaskar un kharidaroon ke liye jo currency fluctuations ka samna karte hain. Doosri taraf, Europe mein siyasi be-yaqeeni ek mumkinah counterweight ke tor par ubhar rahi hai. France ke President Emmanuel Macron ne apni party ke far-right National Rally ke haathon European Parliament elections mein shikast ke baad snap elections ka elan kiya hai, jo market mein risk aversion ko barhawa de rahi hai. Macron ne mukhalif parties ke nara-hak iqtesadi mansobon ke khilaf khul ke warn kiya, France ki nazuk iqtesadi surat-e-haal ko ujaagar karte hue. Agar ye siyasi masail barh jate hain to safe-haven investment ke tor par gold ki taraf rujhan barh sakta hai

Tekniki tor par, gold market ab bhi ek be-yakeeni ki halat mein hai. Hafte ke mubtadi dino mein musbat aghaz ke bawajood, yeh metal aham resistance level $2,319-2,320 ko paar karne mein nakam raha. Yeh be-yakeeni market ke participants ki taraf se future interest rate adjustments ke bare mein clearer signals ki talab ko zahir karti hai. Jumme ke din $2,287 ke qareeb low ke baad, gold ne higher lows aur lower highs ka silsila banaya hai, jo ke direction talash karte hue market ka tasawar deta hai. Ek qabil-e-zikar teknik pehlu recent weekly candle ka $2,300 ke upar close hona hai, jo ke early April ke baad pehli martaba hai. Yeh kuch underlying bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai. Magar foran resistance zone $2,319-2,320 barh jata hai, aur ek ahem test 100-day aur 200-day moving averages ke intersection par mumkin hai. Agar yeh level faisla-kun tor par paar ho jata hai, to current downtrend ko disrupt karke potential reversal ka signal de sakta hai. Aanewale dino mein, US Federal Reserve ki policy announcements aur Europe ki siyasi surat-e-haal ke developments ke darmiyan ka taluq gold ki qeematon ki direction ka taayun kar sakta hai. Agar Fed apna hawkish stance barqarar rakhta hai aur US dollar aur zyada mazboot hota hai, to gold ko musalsal downward pressure ka samna reh sakta hai. Magar agar Europe mein siyasi tensions barh jati hain, to gold ki safe-haven appeal dobara forefront par aa sakti hai, jisse qeematon mein izafa ho sakta hai. Market participants in evolving factors ko ghaur se monitor karenge taake apni gold positions ke bare mein munasib faislay le saken

Chaliye XAU/USD ke price ki direction ka pata lagate hain. Likhte waqt XAU/USD 2314.99 par trade kar raha hai. Is waqt, XAU/USD is chart mein strength dikhata hai. XAU/USD ek strong bearish form mein nazar aa raha hai. Agar aap is time frame ko dekhein, toh aap asani se dekh sakte hain ke XAU/USD mein bearish trend hai. RSI indicator strong negative readings dikha raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke price gir sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 45.6316 par hai. Isi waqt, technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh moving average convergence divergence (MACD) apna sir neeche rakhe hue hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers dominant hain. Technically, sellers abhi thode stable lag rahe hain. Moving averages bhi bearish signal dikha rahe hain. XAU/USD 20-day exponential moving average ke bilkul neeche trade kar raha hai. Saath hi, 50-day exponential moving average bhi current XAU/USD price ke upar hai jo bearish signal dikha raha hai. Poori market ki condition abhi sellers ke haq mein lagti hai. XAU/USD ke liye immediate resistance level 2338.61 hai. Agar XAU/USD upper 2338.61 resistance ko torh leta hai, jo ke pehla resistance level hai, toh XAU/USD ko aur strength mil sakti hai 2363.48 (dusra resistance level) aur phir 2386.54 (teesra resistance level) tak. Magar agar XAU/USD 2308.27 (initial level of support) ke neeche support torh deta hai toh XAU/USD phir se weak ho sakta hai aur 2287.04 (dusra support level) aur phir 2260.76 (teesra support level) ke neeche gir sakta hai. Khuda Hafiz, aur aap se meri agle live trading discussion update mein mulaqat hogi. Aap ka din kamyab ho
Gold, jo ke traditionally ek safe haven mana jata hai, ne isi wajah se demand mein significant increase dekha hai.
June mein, US consumer sentiment decline hui, jo dikhata hai ke Amreekiyon ka economy ke bare mein confidence kam ho gaya hai. Ye drop is liye concerning hai kyun ke consumer confidence economic activity ke liye crucial hai. Iske ilawa, inflation expectations Federal Reserve ke 2% target se zyada hain, jo dikhata hai ke consumers expect karte hain ke prices barhati rahengi. Ongoing inflation concerns Fed ke decisions ko influence kar sakti hain, jisme potential interest rate cuts

Jumeerate subah Europe mein, sonay ki keemat (XAU/USD) aik haftay ki bulandi se wapas atay huay critical 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resistance ko dubara hasil karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. America ki ma'eeshat sust ho rahi hai aur afra taffree ke dabao mein kami ke asaar hain, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ke is saal do martaba sood ki شرah kam karne ke tajzay ko hawalat diya hai. Ye eham asar daal raha hai, jise dheeth zard dhatu ki taraf roojan hai. Mazeed barhati hui siyasi adam itminan Europe mein aur duniya bhar ke concerns sonay ke mehfooz havan ko aur zyada support faraham kar rahe hain. 2024 mein ek martaba sood ki sharah kam karne ka ab bhi hukamati logon ka support hai, bawajood is ke ke Fed ne pichle haftay zyada aggressive rawaiya ikhtiyar kiya. Tekniki tor par, bulls abhi bhi naye wager karne se pehle 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support breakpoint-turned-resistance, jo ab $2,344–$2,345 ke range mein hai, ke oopar mustahkam quwat ka intezar karenge. Qeemat mein agla izafa is baat ki nishani hogi ke haali correctional downturn apne nuqtay par pohanch gaya hai aur sonay ki qeemat ko $2,360–2,362 ke range se aage aur $2,387–2,388 ke darmiyani rukawat tak push karega, jo isay $2,400 tak le jayega. Ye momentum may mei hit hone wale all-time high $2,450 range tak jaari reh sakti hai. Is ke bar'aks, $2,320–2,318 ka area mazeed kami ko rokne ke liye mazboot hoga pehle $2,300 threshold ke. Horizontal support level $2,285 ke niche follow-through selling ka aik thoda sa signal bearish traders ko naye bechnay ka ishara hoga aur shayad recent decline ko record high se continue karega. Phir sonay ki qeemat tezi se agle significant support, jo ke $2,254–2,253 ke qareeb hai, ki taraf gir sakti hai aur aakhir mein $2,225-2,220 support aur