US dollar index

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

US Dollar (DXY) Trump ke BRICS Tariff Threats ke Waja Strong Ho Raha hai

US Dollar Index jump karta hai jab Trump BRICS nations ko de-dollarization ke khilaf 100% tariff threats deta hai. Euro 0.65% gir kar $1.0506 par ata hai, jo French political turmoil aur French debt ke barhne wale risk premiums ki wajah se pressure mein hai. Gold ke prices $2,644 tak gir jate hain, jahan mazboot dollar aur barhte U.S. Treasury yields non-yielding asset ke liye appeal kam kar dete hain.

Geopolitical Tensions aur Fed Expectations ke Zariye U.S. Dollar Majboot Hota Hai
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 0.77% barh kar 106.714 tak pohanch gaya hai, apni safe-haven status ke zariye faida uthate huye, jab geopolitical tensions aur global economic risks ne demand barhayi. President-elect Donald Trump ke BRICS nations ke khilaf de-dollarization moves ke liye tariffs impose karne ke threats ne greenback ki dominance ko reinforce kiya, jab upcoming U.S. economic data ne traders ko Federal Reserve policy par focus rakha.

Euro 0.65% gir kar $1.0506 par aa gaya, jab France ki political uncertainty ne investors ko unnerved kar diya. Far-right National Rally (RN) party ne signal diya ke agar unke budget policies ke demands puri nahi ki gayi, to wo government ke khilaf no-confidence vote support karenge, jo instability ke dar ko barhata hai.

Is turmoil ki wajah se French debt ka risk premium barh gaya, aur French aur German 10-year bonds ke darmiyan yield spread 85 basis points tak widen ho gaya. Ye uncertainty euro ko aur kamzor banati hai, jabke dollar ne safe-haven inflows attract kiye.

Doosri bari currencies bhi dollar ke khilaf retreat karti hain, jab European political instability aur U.S. economic stability ki expectations ne greenback ko favor kiya.

Trump ke BRICS Tariff Threats Dollar Ki Appeal Ko Barhate Hain
President-elect Trump ne weekend ke doran geopolitical tensions ko barhaya, jab BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, aur South Africa) ko 100% tariffs ke warnings di agar unhone global trade ke liye U.S. dollar ke ilawa koi alternative introduce kiya. Is move ne international commerce mein dollar ki central role ko highlight kiya aur investors ke darmiyan iski appeal ko reinforce kiya.

Trump ke comments global de-dollarization ke debate ke darmiyan aaye. Is tough stance ne markets ko signal diya ke U.S. apni currency ki dominance ko preserve karna chahta hai, jo dollar mein renewed confidence ko lead karta hai.

Treasury Yields aur Fed Policy Ka Focus Mein Hona
Barhte Treasury yields ne dollar ke gains mein izafa kiya, jahan 10-year yield 4.23% aur 2-year yield 4.22% tak barh gayi. Market ka dhyan Friday ke jobs report par hai, jo 195,000 naye jobs aur unemployment mein halka izafa 4.2% tak dikhane ki umeed rakhta hai.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell ka Wednesday ka speech pivotal hoga, jab traders December mein 25-basis-point rate cut ki likelihood ko assess karenge. Markets abhi 65% chance price karte hain cut ka, aur 2025 mein aage easing ki limited expectations hain.

US Dollar Index (DXY) – Technical Analysis

US Dollar mazboot raha jab ISM Manufacturing PMI 46.5 se barh kar 47.7 tak gaya, jo improved factory activity ko signal karta hai. ISM Manufacturing Prices Index 55.2 tak barh gaya, jo inflationary pressures ko reflect karta hai. Construction spending modestly 0.2% tak grow ki, jo slight economic stability ko indicate karta hai.

Gold ko dollar ke barhne ki wajah se pressure ka samna karna para, jo kareeb $2,627 par trade kar raha hai, jahan bearish momentum dominate kar raha hai. Market participants FOMC members Waller aur Williams ke comments ka intezar kar rahe hain monetary policy cues ke liye.



Dollar Index (DXY) $106.27 par trade kar raha hai, jo 0.47% up hai, aur strong bullish momentum ko reflect kar raha hai jab yeh apne pivot point $106.13 ke upar chala gaya hai. Immediate resistance $106.50 par hai, jabke aage ke targets $106.67 aur $106.92 hain. Neeche ki taraf support $105.87 par hai, jiske baad deeper levels $105.59 aur $105.31 hain.

50-day EMA $106.11 par bullish bias ko support karta hai, jabke 200-day EMA $106.37 par potential overhead resistance indicate karta hai.

Agar DXY apni position $106.13 ke upar maintain karta hai, to higher resistance levels ka aim kar sakta hai. Lekin agar pivot point ke neeche break karta hai, to reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, jisme sharper declines hone ki umeed hai $105.87 ya neeche tak.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

USD Rises Amid PMI, JOLTS Data

US dollar European trade mein Tuesday ko niche gir gaya, do hafton ke lows ke kareeb aa gaya, bearish remarks ke baad jo kuch Fed officials ne diye. Yeh remarks December mein 0.25% Federal Reserve interest rate cut ke chances ko barhate hain.

Ab investors ka intezar hai kuch crucial US labor data ka jo aaj aur pure hafte ke dauran aayega, taake mazeed clues mil sakein.

The Index

Dollar index aaj 0.2% niche gir ke 106.16 par hai, jab ke session-high 106.60 par raha.

Monday ko, index 0.6% barh gaya tha, do hafton ke lows 105.62 se door.

Greenback rally mein aaya jab US President-elect Donald Trump ne BRICS countries ko 100% tariffs ki dhamki di.

Fed Remarks

Federal Reserve ke member Christopher Waller ne Monday ko kaha ke jab tak inflation 2% ki taraf firmly nahi badhti, woh iss mahine ke akhir mein ek aur interest rate cut ko support karte hain.

New York Fed ke President John Williams ne kaha ke neutral policy position ki taraf dheere dheere barhna munasib ho sakta hai.

US Rates

In remarks ke baad aur Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, December rate cut ke 0.25% hone ke chances 73% tak barh gaye hain.

Ab investors US labor data ke ek batch ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo is hafte aayega, jis mein job opportunities, private sector employment, unemployment claims, aur Friday ka crucial US payrolls report shamil hain.

Kayi Fed officials bhi is hafte baat karenge, jin mein Fed Chair Jerome Powell ka Wednesday ka speech shamil hai.

US PMI and JOLTS Data

U.S. Dollar Monday ko barh gaya jab manufacturing data ne mixed picture dikhayi. ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.4 par improve hua, jo pehle 46.5 tha, aur yeh slower contraction ko signal karta hai, jab ke ISM Prices 50.3 tak gir gaye, jo easing inflation pressures ko reflect karta hai.

Wahin, Gold steady raha, kareeb $2,645 par trade karta raha, jab traders US economic data ke rate hike expectations par impact ko weigh kar rahe the. Key events mein JOLTS Job Openings (forecast: 7.51M) aur RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism data shamil hain, jo 54.1 par expected hain.

Dollar Index (DXY) – Technical Analysis

Dollar Index (DXY) $106.38 par hover kar raha hai, slightly 0.01% niche hai, lekin abhi bhi key pivot point $106.37 ke upar hai. Yeh level crucial hai—iske upar rehna buying momentum ko barqarar rakh sakta hai, immediate resistance $106.67 par hai, aur further targets $106.92 aur $107.15 par hain.



Neeche ki taraf, key support levels mein $106.13 aur $105.87 shamil hain. 50-day EMA $106.33 par near-term support provide karta hai, jab ke 200-day EMA $106.39 par is range ki importance ko underscore karta hai.

Index ek upward channel mein trade kar raha hai, jo bullish trend ke continuation ka signal de raha hai. Lekin agar $106.37 se niche girta hai, to yeh sharper selling ki taraf shift ka signal de sakta hai.

US Dollar Index
US Dollar Index (DXY) Ka Taaruf aur Ahmiyat
US Dollar Index yaani DXY ek important financial indicator hai jo US Dollar ki value ko measure karta hai against ek basket of six major currencies, jin mein Euro, Japanese Yen, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Swedish Krona, aur Swiss Franc shamil hain. Yeh index 1973 mein establish kiya gaya tha aur iska base value 100 rakha gaya tha. Agar index 100 se upar ho, toh iska matlab hai ke Dollar ki strength zyada hai, aur agar 100 se neeche ho, toh Dollar weak hai.

DXY Ki Calculation
US Dollar Index ko geometric weighted average se calculate kiya jata hai. Isme har currency ka alag weight hota hai, jese Euro ka weight sabse zyada hai (lagbhag 57.6%) jabke Swedish Krona aur Swiss Franc ka weight comparatively kam hai. Yeh weights is wajah se rakhe gaye hain ke international trade aur economic relations mein unka importance kaafi zyada hai.

DXY Ka Asar Market Pe
DXY ki movements global financial markets ke liye bohot significant hoti hain. Agar DXY rise kare, toh iska asar commodities jaise ke Gold aur Oil par hota hai, jo mostly inverse relation mein hoti hain Dollar ke sath. Iske ilawa, ek strong Dollar international trade ko bhi affect karta hai, kyun ke yeh exports ko mehnga aur imports ko sasta bana deta hai.

Investors Aur Traders Ke Liye
Forex traders aur investors DXY ko closely monitor karte hain kyun ke yeh unke trading decisions ke liye ek major indicator hai. Agar DXY bullish ho, toh US Dollar-based pairs jaise EUR/USD aur GBP/USD mein short positions profitable ho sakti hain. Isi tarah, agar DXY bearish ho, toh opposite strategy adopt ki jati hai.

DXY ko samajhna aur analyze karna forex market mein success ke liye zaruri hai. Yeh index na sirf Dollar ki strength batata hai, balki economic stability aur investor sentiment ka bhi reflection deta hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

U.S. Dollar ne Initial Jobless Claims mein Increasing ki Waja se Pulls Back Keya

US dollar Thursday ko European trade mein apni jagah khona laga, major rivals ke against niche gira. Yeh 3 dinon mein dusri baar loss ki taraf ja raha hai, jab ke investors ab bhi December mein Federal Reserve interest rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain.

Losses ko US ke 10-year treasury yields ke barhne se kuch rok mil rahi hai, jo Fed officials ke bullish remarks ke baad hua. Yeh remarks 2025 mein future US interest rate cuts par shak paida karte hain.

Ab investors US unemployment claims ka intezar kar rahe hain jo aaj aayenge, aur uske baad kal ka crucial payrolls report.

The Index

Dollar index aaj 0.3% niche gir ke 106.01 par hai, session-high 106.37 raha.

Wednesday ko, index 0.1% upar gaya tha, Powell ke remarks ke baad 3 dinon mein dusri baar profit record kiya.

US Yields

US 10-year treasury yields Thursday ko 0.6% se zyada barh gaye aur 6 hafton ke lows se rebound kar gaye. Is wajah se non-yielding assets par pressure barhta hai.

Bullish Remarks

Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne kaha ke US economy unke September ke expectations se zyada strong hai, jab unhone interest rates cut karne shuru kiye. Is baat se future mein rate cuts ki speed dheemi hone ka ishara milta hai.

San Francisco Fed ki President Mary Dale ne kaha ke rate cuts ke liye koi urgency nahi hai.

US Rates

Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, December mein 0.25% Federal Reserve interest rate cut hone ke chances 76% hain.

Technical Analysis

U.S. Dollar Index initial jobless claims report ke reaction mein pull back kar raha hai. Report ke mutabiq, 224,000 Americans ne ek haftay mein unemployment benefits ke liye apply kiya, jo analysts ke 215,000 ke forecast se zyada hai.

Filhal, U.S. Dollar Index 106.00 – 106.15 ke support level se neeche settle hone ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar yeh koshish kaamyaab hoti hai, to U.S. Dollar Index agle support level ki taraf badhega, jo 104.30 – 104.50 range mein hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Dollar US Inflation Data Se Pehle Mazbooti Dekhata Hai

US dollar Tuesday ko European trade me major currencies ke muqable me mazbooti dekhta raha, teesri martaba musalsal session me upar gaya, jab US 10-year treasury yields recover karte nazar aye.

Yeh is ke bawajood hai ke agle hafta 0.25% US interest rate cut ke high pricing ki umeed hai. Investors is haftay ke end tak important American inflation data ka intezar kar rahe hain taake Federal Reserve ke policy makers ke liye inflationary pressures ka saaf tasavvur mil sake.

Dollar Index

• Dollar index 0.2% barh kar 106.41 par pohanch gaya, jabke session-low 106.04 par tha.
• Monday ko dollar index 0.2% barh gaya tha, doosri martaba musalsal US yields ke recover hone par profit dekha gaya.

US Yields

• US 10-year treasury yields 0.45% barh kar Tuesday ko dusri martaba musalsal session me recovery karte dekhe gaye.
• Yields abhi tak chhe hafton ke neeche ke level 4.126% se door hain.

US Rates

• Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, December me 0.25% Fed interest rate cut ke chances 89% hain.
• Investors ab November ke US inflation data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Federal Reserve ki policymaking ke liye inflation ke pressure ko behtar samajhne me madad karega.

USD Index Technical Analysis

US Dollar Index treasury yields ke barhne par traders ka focus ban gaya hai:

• 2-year Treasuries ka yield 4.15% ke level se upar hai.
• 10-year Treasuries ka yield 4.23% ki taraf barh raha hai.

Abhi US Dollar Index 106.50 ke level ke upar settle hone ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar yeh koshish kaamyab hoti hai, to index ka agla resistance 107.10 – 107.30 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Kia 2025 mein US Dollar apne century highs tak pohanch sakta hai?

Beshumar economic imbalances ke bawajood, US dollar ab bhi mazboot hai, kyunke fiat currency alternatives ki kami hai. Agar US President-elect Donald Trump aur Elon Musk 2025 mein apne wadaat puri nahi karte, toh sirf Bitcoin aur gold alternatives ke taur par ubhar sakte hain.

2024 ka khatma mazboot note par
US dollar 2024 ko mazboot note par khatam kar raha hai, aur US Dollar Index 2023 ke highs ke kareeb hai. Agar greenback in highs ko paar kar leta hai, toh aglay bade resistance levels 2022 ka high (115) aur 2001 ka high (120) ho sakte hain.

Yeh dollar ki strength hairan kun hai, jabke twin deficits – balance of payments ka deficit jo GDP ka 3.6% hai aur public debt jo GDP ka 6.2% hai – phir se ubhar kar samne aaye hain. Trump in imbalances ko trade tariffs aur Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) ke zariye address karna chahtay hain.

Iske bawajood, market ne zyada tar dollar ki strength ko "accept" kiya hai. Greenback ke haq mein sentiment aur derivatives market mein long positioning dono barh gayi hain, jo position ke massification ka ishara deti hai.



Dollar ki optimism ke wajahat
Yeh optimism kai wajahon se ho sakta hai, jinmein shamil hain:

• “Trumpnomics” ke inflationary expectations
• Interest rate differential
• Mazboot macroeconomic momentum
• Koi fiat alternative nahi

Magar shayad sabse badi wajah dollar ki strength ki yeh hai ke uska koi alternative currency nahi hai, aur yeh duniya ki major reserve currency bani hui hai kuch wajahon se:

• Euro apni ahmiyat kho raha hai, Germany aur France jese mulkon mein political aur economic instability ki wajah se.
• China apni economy ka naya model aur debt problems solve nahi kar pa raha.
• Trump ka BRICS ko nayi currency banane ya US dollar replace karne par sanctions ka dhamki dena.

2025: Dollar ka saal ya gold ka?
Dollar ki 2025 mein apna uptrend sustain karne ki salahiyat aur naye highs tak pohanchne ki ahmiyat in factors par mabni hai:

• DOGE ki public spending control policies par market ka bharosa.
• Trump administration ki tax cuts aur tariffs ki wajah se hone wali inflation.
• Inflation spikes par Fed ka response.
• Doosri economies ki strength.

Abhi tak market mein confidence hai. Agar Trump ke economic policies waqt par aur effective sabit hoti hain, toh dollar ki strength barqarar reh sakti hai. Lekin agar shak paida hota hai aur deficits aur imbalances unresolved rahte hain, toh market fiat alternatives, jaise ke gold aur Bitcoin, ki taraf dekh sakta hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

US Dollar Ki Mazbooti Trump Ki Election Jeet Ke Baad

Trump ki jeet ke baad USD mazboot hua aur markets ne bhi achi performance dikhayi. Trump ki trade policies, jin mein tariffs shamil hain, China ke sath tensions barha sakti hain, jo global trade dynamics ko mutasir karengi aur tech aur manufacturing sectors mein disruptions ka sabab ban sakti hain.

Halaat chahe optimistic lagte hain, magar policies ki uncertainty dono opportunities aur risks paida karti hai. Aayiye inhein tafseel se samajhte hain.

US Stocks Mein Rally
Donald Trump ki 2024 ke US presidential election mein jeet ne US stocks mein remarkable rally ko janam diya, jo unke economic policies par investors ke optimism ko reflect karta hai.

S&P 500 2.51% barh gaya, jo ek nayi record high tak pohancha, aur market ke positive outlook ko zahir karta hai. Small-cap stocks aur banks jaise key sectors ne aur bhi zyada substantial gains kiye. Russell 2000 index, jo small-cap companies ko track karta hai, takreeban 6% barha, aur S&P 500 banks index mein 10.68% ka zabardast izafa hua, jo deregulation se financial institutions ke faide ko zahir karta hai.

Tesla (Elon Musk ki lead mein) 14.75% barh gaya, jo regulations ke kam hone ki umeedon ki wajah se electric vehicle aur tech industries ke optimism ko reflect karta hai. Trump ke promises, jin mein tariffs lagana, taxes kam karna, aur regulations ghataana shamil hain, investors ko woh stocks aur sectors lene par majboor karte hain jo in policies se faida utha sakte hain.

Iske baraks, wo industries jo stricter trade barriers ki wajah se nukhsan utha sakti hain, jaise global manufacturing, ziada hit hui hain, jo Trump ke trade agenda ke risks par market ke mixed reaction ko zahir karta hai.

USD Ka Appreciated Karna
Trump ki jeet ka USD par bhi bara asar hua, jo doosri currencies ke muqablay mein achanak mazboot hua. Dollar apne char mahine ke sabse unchi level tak barh gaya, jab investors ne aise economic policies ki umeed ki jo growth aur inflation ko barhawa dein, aur interest rates ko bhi barhane ka sabab banayein.

Trump ke proposed tax cuts aur increased spending, tariffs ke sath mil kar, economic growth ko stimulate karne aur inflation ko barhane ki umeed hain. Yeh outlook Dollar ki demand ko barhata hai, jo investors ke liye kam risky asset ban jata hai.

Mexican Peso do saal ki sabse neeche level tak gir gaya, jab ke zyada tariffs ki wajah se Mexican imports par trade concerns barh gaye. Isi tarah, Euro ne 2020 ke baad ka sabse bara girawat ka samna kiya, jo US currency ki overall strength ko reflect karta hai.

JPMorgan ke chief global strategist, David Kelly, ne kaha ke inflation aur fiscal deficits ke combination ki wajah se long-term interest rates barhenge, jo USD ko mazbooti dein ge. Iska proof 10-year US treasury yield ke 4.48% tak barhne mein mila, jo char mahine ka sabse uncha level hai.

Rising Yields Aur Stock Market Ki Stability Ka Challenge
US stock market ki stability rising yields ki wajah se challenge hui. Mid-November mein S&P 500 takreeban 2% gir gaya, jo election ke baad ke kuch gains ko erase kar gaya. Stocks, jo 2024 mein 23% barhe hain, inflation aur Trump ke policies ke asraat ki wajah se headwinds ka samna kar rahe hain.

High yields equities ko kam attractive banati hain aur borrowing costs ko barhati hain.

US-China Trade War Ka Khatra
Trump ki protectionist policies, khaas tor par trade tariffs, US-China trade war ko dobara bhadka sakti hain. China ke exports rising tariffs ki wajah se nukhsan utha sakte hain, jab ke India jaise emerging economies faida utha sakte hain, "China-plus-one" strategy ke through.

Supply chain shifts ke zariye pharmaceuticals jaise sectors ko mauqa mil sakta hai. Magar short-term mein global market volatility dekhne ko milegi. USD ke mazboot hone ke sath, emerging markets isolationist policies se challenges ka samna kar sakti hain.

Trump Ki Tax Cuts Aur Inflation Ka Asar
Trump ki higher tariffs, lower taxes, aur tighter immigration controls policies inflation ko barha sakti hain. Tax cuts growth ko support kar sakte hain, magar rising inflation aur tariffs consumer purchasing power ko $78 billion tak kam kar sakte hain.

National Retail Federation ke mutabiq, tariffs households ko har saal $2,600 ka kharcha dalenge. GDP growth bhi slow hone ki umeed hai, economists ke mutabiq tariffs aur stricter immigration policies ke asraat se growth 2028 tak 3-6% kam ho sakti hai.

Markets Mein Optimism
Trump ki November 6 ki jeet ne US financial markets mein optimism ko janam diya. Tax cuts aur deregulation ke anticipated policies ne US equities ko boost kiya.

S&P 500 mein 1% aur Russell 2000 mein 2% izafa dekhne ko mila, jo small caps aur mid-caps ko faida pohanchane wali policies ka asar zahir karta hai.



Dollar Index (DXY) bullish momentum par hai, aur $107.121 par trade kar raha hai. $106.96 ke pivot point ke upar trade karna critical hai. Resistance levels $107.50 aur $108.07 hain, jab ke support $106.35 aur $105.79 par hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold ki Qeemat Fed Meeting se Pehle Barh Rahi Hai

Gold ki qeemat European trade me Monday ko barh gayi, aur pichlay 3 dinon me pehli dafa faida dekha gaya. Is ka sabab US dollar ka apni asal qeemat se neeche ana tha jo ke Federal Reserve ki aakhri policy meeting ke hawale se tha. Yeh umeed hai ke Fed 2024 me teesri dafa interest rate kam karega.

Price Analysis
Gold ki qeemat Monday ko 0.5% barh kar $2662 per ounce hui, jabke session-low $2643 raha.

• Pichlay Friday ko gold ki qeemat me 1.25% ki kami hui thi, jo 5-hafton ki unchi qeematon $2726 se profit-taking ki wajah se hui.
• Last week gold ki qeemat 0.6% barhi thi, jo ke pichlay 3 hafton me pehla weekly faida tha. Is ki wajah safe haven demand aur China me improved actual demand ki umeed thi.

Dollar Position
Dollar index Monday ko 0.2% gir gaya, aur 2-week high $107.19 se neeche aa gaya.

Kamzor dollar ke natijay me gold futures jo ke dollar-denominated hain, unki demand barhti hai, kyunke doosri currencies ke holders ke liye gold sasta ho jata hai.

Fed ki Policy Meeting
Federal Reserve is hafte apni policy meeting karega, aur ye umeed hai ke 25 basis points yaani 0.25% interest rate kam karega.

FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, is cut ki 97% umeed hai.
Investors ab US services aur manufacturing data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo aaj aayega, taake US economy ki flexibility ka pata lag sake.

SPDR Gold Trust
SPDR Gold Trust ke gold holdings Friday ko 4.6 tons gir kar 863.90 tons tak pohanch gayi, jo ke 9 September ke baad sabse kam hai.

Dollar ki Mazid Details
US Dollar Index, Composite PMI ke improvement ke bawajood kuch neeche gir gaya.

November me Composite PMI 54.9 tha jo ke December me barh kar 56.6 ho gaya.
Dollar Index ne resistance level $107.10 - $107.30 ke upar jane ki koshish ki lekin momentum lose kar gaya aur ab $108.90 ke qareeb hai.
Agar Dollar Index $106.75 ke neeche settle hota hai, to agla target $106.42 (50 MA) hoga.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

U.S. Dollar Retreats From Yearly Highs

US Dollar ne Friday ko European trade mein apni do saal ki highest level se thoda peeche hote hue major currencies ke muqablay mein girawat dekhi, jo ke profit-taking ke sabab thi. Yeh decline ke bawajood, dollar abhi bhi teesri consecutive weekly profit ki taraf ja raha hai, jo Federal Reserve ke bullish policy meeting ke baad hai.
Fed Ki Meeting Ke Baad Dollar Ki Soorat
Fed ki meeting ke baad, January mein interest rate cut ke chances kam ho gaye hain, aur ab investors US personal spending data ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo aaj ke din release hona hai.

Dollar Index Ki Halat
Dollar index 0.35% neeche gir kar 108.10 par aa gaya, jo ke November 2022 ke baad sab se ucha level 108.54 se thoda kam hai. Thursday ko yeh index 0.2% barha tha, jo ke teesri consecutive profit thi, aur is barhi hui value ki wajah US GDP aur unemployment claims ke achay data the.

Weekly Trades
Dollar index iss waqt hafte mein 1.1% upar hai, aur teesri consecutive weekly profit ki taraf ja raha hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke dollar ki strength continue hai, lekin profit-taking ka trend bhi hai.

Federal Reserve Ki Policy
Federal Reserve ne aaj apne interest rates ko 25 basis points kam karte hue 4.5% tak la diya hai, jo ke December 2022 ke baad sab se kam hai. Yeh teesra rate cut tha is saal. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ne 11-1 ke vote se 0.25% rate cut ko approve kiya, jo ke 4.25% aur 4.5% ke beech mein hoga.

Fed ne kaha ke US economy steady growth dikhati hai aur labor market bhi improve ho raha hai, jabke unemployment rate low hai. Fed ne inflation ko control karne mein progress ko bhi acknowledge kiya, lekin inflation ko abhi bhi “kuch high” kaha hai.

Fed ne September se 100 basis points ka rate cut kiya hai. Ab Fed ka plan hai ke 2025 mein sirf do rate cuts ho, jo har ek 25 basis points ke honge, aur 2026 mein bhi do rate cuts honge. Aakhir kar, yeh rate cuts neutral rate tak pohanchne ke liye honge, jo ke 3% ke around hoga.

FOMC ne apni GDP growth outlook ko 2.5% tak raise kiya hai, jo September ke estimate se 0.5% zyada hai, lekin agle saal is growth ka rate 1.8% tak slow ho sakta hai. FOMC ne apne unemployment outlook ko 4.2% tak reduce kiya hai, lekin inflation outlook ko thoda upar kiya hai, jo ab 2.4% hai, aur core inflation 2.8% tak pohanch gaya hai.

Jerome Powell Ka Statement
Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne Wednesday ko kaha ke policymakers ko inflation ko control karne mein zyada progress dekhna hoga, is liye woh agle saal aur rate hikes ke liye cautious hain.

US Rates
Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, January mein 0.25% rate cut hone ka chance ab 20% se gir kar sirf 8% reh gaya hai. Iska matlab hai ke Fed ab interest rates ko kam karne ke bajaye stability ko zyada prioritize karega.

US Dollar Ki Retreat
US Dollar index ab apne yearly high se thoda peeche hai. Yeh retreat PCE Price Index report ke reaction ke wajah se hai. Report ke mutabiq, PCE Price Index November mein 0.1% barh gaya, jo ke analyst ke 0.2% ke estimate se kam tha. Core PCE Price Index bhi 0.1% barha, jo ke 0.2% ke analyst estimate se neeche tha.



Agar US Dollar index 107.80 ke level ke neeche settle karta hai, toh yeh nearest support ki taraf girne ki taraf jayega, jo ke 107.10 se 107.30 ke range mein hai.

Dollar ki Strength aur Market Expectations
Yeh sab indicators aur data points dollar ki strength ko dikhate hain, lekin abhi bhi market mein uncertainty hai. Investors ki nazar ab US personal spending data par hai, jo dollar ki value ko influence karega. Agar data achha aata hai, toh dollar ki demand barh sakti hai aur yeh apne highs tak wapis ja sakta hai. Lekin agar data weak hota hai, toh dollar mein additional retreat dekha ja sakta hai.

Is tarah, US dollar ki future movements ab market sentiments aur Federal Reserve ke policy decisions par depend karengi.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

US Dollar Qeemat Mein Kami Ke Sath Stable Raha Aramday Trading Ke Darmiyan

US dollar zyada tar major rivals ke muqable mein thoda neeche aaya aramday trading ke doran, jab Wall Street Christmas holiday ke baad wapas aayi, lekin duniya ke kuch markets abhi bhi band thay.

Investors ab New Year holiday ki tayari kar rahe hain, jo unke investment portfolios ki reorganization ka sabab ban sakti hai aur kuch assets ke liquidation ka bhi imkaan hai.

US Data Aur Dollar Ka Asar
Pehle ke US data ne dikhaya ke pichle hafte unemployment claims ek hazar kam hoke 219 hazar par aa gayi, jabke analysts ne 223 hazar ka andaza lagaya tha.

Trading ke doran, dollar index 17:29 GMT tak 0.1% gir kar 108.3 par aa gaya, jiska session-high 108.3 aur low 108.1 raha.

Loonie (Canadian Dollar)
Canadian dollar apne US counterpart ke muqable mein 0.1% gir kar 17:40 GMT tak 0.6939 par aa gaya.

Aussie (Australian Dollar)
Australian dollar apne US counterpart ke muqable mein 0.3% gir kar 17:40 GMT tak 0.622 par trade kar raha tha.

US Dollar Index (DXY) – Technical Analysis
Dollar Index (DXY) 108.145 par trade kar raha hai, jo 0.06% barh kar apni bullish momentum ko 107.93 ke pivot point ke upar barqarar rakhta hai.



4-hour chart ek upward channel highlight karta hai, jo continued positive bias ko signal karta hai. 50-day EMA 108.05 par near-term support provide karta hai, jabke 200-day EMA 107.29 broader trend ko support karta hai.

Resistance Levels:

• Immediate resistance 108.54 par hai, jo aur barhne ke liye 108.90 tak ka potential dikhata hai.

Support Levels:

• Downside support levels 107.60 aur 107.18 par hain. Agar dollar 107.93 ke neeche break kare, to momentum sharply bearish ho sakti hai.

Traders ko 108.54 resistance ko monitor karna chahiye taake extended bullish moves ke liye confirmation mile aur 107.93 pivot ko closely dekhna chahiye taake kisi downside risks ka pata lagaya ja sake.

US Dollar Aur Gold Ki Halat
US Dollar Index (DXY) Thursday ko 0.06% barh kar 108.14 par raha, jo labor market ki resilience ko zahir karta hai, jabke gold $2,633 per ounce par steady raha, sirf 0.03% ki girawat ke sath.

Friday Ke Important Reports:

Goods Trade Balance (-$101.3B ka forecast)
Prelim Wholesale Inventories (0.1% ka forecast)
Yeh numbers market ke direction ko asar andaz karenge aur dollar ki strength aur gold ke safe-haven demand ke hawale se expectations ko shape karenge.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

US Dollar Negative Zone Mein Hai US Yields Ke Neeche Girne Ki Wajah Se

US dollar Monday ko European trade mein apne mukhalif currencies ke against neeche gira aur teesre din tak negative zone mein raha. Ye girawat US 10-year treasury yields ke taper off hone ki wajah se hui.
Ab investors important US data ka intezar kar rahe hain, saath hi Fed policymakers ke remarks ka bhi, takay 2025 ke US interest rates ke future ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Index Ka Hal
Dollar index aaj 0.2% gir kar 107.79 tak aaya, jab ke session-high 108.14 tha.
Friday ko index 0.1% neeche gaya, profit-taking ki wajah se ye doosri girawat thi.
Pichle hafte index 0.2% barha, aur ye choutha consecutive weekly profit tha, kyun ke 2025 mein Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko stable rakhne ke chances barh rahe hain.

US Yields
US 10-year treasury yields Monday ko 0.8% kam hui, jo seven-month high se neeche gir gayi, aur is wajah se greenback par pressure pada.
Ye girawat important US housing data ke release se pehle hui.

US Rates
Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, January mein 0.25% US interest rate cut ke chances 11% hain, aur investors crucial US labor data ke intezar mein hain jo agle hafte release hoga.

Analysts ka kehna hai ke greenback 2024 ko ek positive note par close karega, halaan ke iss saal dollar weakness ki forecasts mukammal ghalat sabit hui hain.

2025 mein dollar ko move karne wale major factors mein Donald Trump ki tariff aur economic stimulus policies shamil hain, aur Federal Reserve ka bullish monetary policy stance bhi ek important role ada karega.

USDX Technical Analysis
Aaj traders ne Pending Home Sales report ka bhi jaiza liya. Report ke mutabiq November mein Pending Home Sales 2.2% month-over-month barhi, jo analysts ke forecast (+0.7%) se zyada thi.

Year-over-year basis par Pending Home Sales 6.9% barhi.

Chicago PMI November ke 40.2 se gir kar December mein 36.9 par aagaya, jab ke analysts ne 42.5 tak izafa hone ki umeed ki thi.

US Dollar Index 108.20 ke qareeb raha jab traders ne better-than-expected Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index report par react kiya. Technical taur par, Dollar Index 108.30 – 108.50 ke resistance level ke neeche hi phansa raha.

Gold $2600 ke qareeb wapas aaya kyun ke traders ka focus strong US dollar par tha. Treasury yields ke girne ke bawajood gold markets ko support nahi mila.

SP500 ne session lows se rebound ki koshish ki jab Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index report release hui. Badi tasveer mein dekha jaye toh SP500 abhi bhi profit-taking ki wajah se pressure mein hai.