Gbp/usd

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD ki price 13 August se 4-hour chart par decline kar rahi hai. Iske ilawa, Ichimoku indicator aur bear's 50-day moving average bhi downward trend ka ishara de rahe hain, jo ke sellers ke haq mein ja raha hai, kiyon ke GBP/USD mein tezi se girawat dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Jumeraat ke trade mein, GBP/USD apne 50-day moving average jo ke 1.2780 par tha, ke neeche chali gayi, aur Wednesday ke growth ko rok diya. Abhi GBP/USD 1.2820 par trade kar rahi hai, jo ke intraday mein positive sentiment ko zahir karta hai aur DXY ke kamzor hone ka signal hai. Technical tor par, 1.2830 ka level qareebi lower support hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, to zyada sellers attract honge aur price 1.2770 se neeche gir sakti hai, phir 1.2790 tak girawat dekhi ja sakti hai. Agar GBP/USD pair wapas 1.2850 aur 50-day moving average line tak pohnchti hai, to price 1.2830-50 tak tezih se barh sakti hai aur ye movement positive territory mein ja sakti hai. Uske baad, GBP/USD ko May ka high 1.2865 tak confirm karna padega.





Hourly Chart Analysis

1-hour chart par, buyers kaafi wazan se 1.2810 ke aas paas maujood hain. Agla resistance level 1.2845 par adjust ho jayega iske baad. Lekin sellers ka pressure 1.2835 demand range se ziada hai. GBP/USD 1.2810 barrier ko paar kar sakti hai, lekin downward trend ka convergence 1.2860 aur 1.2880 ke darmiyan hoga, jahan 1.2795 ka lowest level bears ke liye aik critical test banega. Aaj dollar ke hawale se high-impact news bhi hai, jis se dollar pairs mein high volatility ki umeed hai. Traders is report ka intezar karenge aur bade daaw lagayenge. Technical analysis ke hawale se, 50-day moving average line abhi 1.2825 range ke ooper hai. Agar ye pair 1.2865 resistance ke ooper break karti hai, to zaroori hoga ke hourly candle 1.2885-1.2910 range ke ooper close ho, taake bulls ko attract kiya ja sake.

Haal hi mein ek support line banaai gayi hai jo consistently apni effectiveness zahir karti rahi hai, jo ke ab tak ke price action mein apni ahmiyat ko mazid mazboot karti hai. Ye target ab easily hasil kiya ja sakta hai, aur trading session ke aghaz ke sath mujhe umeed hai ke price upar ki taraf move karegi aur 1.2680 tak pohnchegi. Magar ye bhi mumkin hai ke price dobara se support line se takraaye, jo ke market ke liye ek mazboot buniyad sabit hui hai.

Agar upward trend ko mazid momentum chahiye, to price ko 1.2760 ke high se upar break karna hoga. Agar ye level successfully cross kar liya gaya, to buyers ke liye price channel khul jaye ga aur wo 1.2580 aur 1.2805 ke upper range ko target kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD pair par dekha jaye to isne haftay ko ek bearish candle ke sath close kiya hai, lekin 1.2678 ke crucial support level ke neeche break nahi kar saka. Is ka matlab ye hai ke aglay hafte mein aur bearish attempts hosakti hain, lekin pehle ek chhoti upward correction aasakti hai.






Abhi ke liye indicator ne daily chart par ek buy signal generate kiya hai, lekin ye signal ab tak activate nahi hua. Price growth horizontal resistance ke 1.0684 level par ruk gayi hai, jo ke upar ki taraf aur move karne mein rukawat sabit ho rahi hai. Despite the potential for rise, main abhi sell position lene se hichkichata hoon kiyun ke divergence ka samna hai.

Jahan price ke barhne ki gunjaish hai, wahan har upward movement ko resistance ka samna hoga, khaaskar descending trendline ke aas paas. Anticipated correction ka fayda uthaya ja sakta hai jab price is descending resistance line ki taraf move kare, lekin traders ko reversals ya consolidation phases ke hawale se hoshiyaar rehna chahiye. In sab dynamics ko dekhte hue, market mein ehtiyaat se kaam lena zaroori hai, khaaskar jab resistance levels aur market trend ka taluq ho.

sab dosto ko salam

GBP/USD H4 Analysis

GBP/USD (British Pound - US Dollar) ke H4 chart par technical analysis ke liye Heiken Ashi candlesticks aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke combination ka istemal kiya gaya hai. Yeh analysis market mein clear bullish sentiment ko darshata hai. Heiken Ashi candle indicator jo ke current market forces ko dikhata hai, charts par noise ko smooth out karta hai, jo technical analysis ko asaan aur trading decisions ko zyada accurate banata hai. TMA channel indicator (red, blue, aur yellow colors ki lines) support aur resistance lines ko twice-smoothed moving averages ke base par banata hai aur instrument ke current movement boundaries ko achi tarah dikhata hai. RSI basement indicator bhi Heiken Ashi ke sath achi performance dikhata hai aur yeh applicable hai.

Chart par dekha jaye to candles blue hue hain, jo buyers ki priority ko indicate karta hai. Price lower channel boundary (red dashed line) ko cross kar gayi, minimum point se bounce hui, channel mein wapas aayi, aur middle line (yellow dashed line) ki taraf move kar rahi hai. RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm karta hai, kyun ke iska curve upar ki taraf move kar raha hai aur overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai. Isliye, hum ek long position open kar rahe hain with the target of reaching at least the upper channel boundary (blue dashed line) jo ke price level 1.32969 par hai. Phir, position ko breakeven par le jaa kar further profit growth ka intezar karenge.

Friday European Session Analysis: GBP/USD

Friday ko European session ke dauran, GBP/USD pair apne upward momentum ko barqarar rakhta hai aur teen hafton mein apne highest level ke qareeb, yani 1.2900 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Agar koi significant data releases nahi hoti, to risk ka ehsaas pair ke behavior ko shaam ko influence kar sakta hai.

Thursday ko, US government ne Initial Jobless Claims mein 7,000 ki weekly kami dikhayi, jo ke 227,000 tak pohnch gayi. Is ke ilawa, retail sales July mein 1% se barh gayi, jo ke market ke 0.3% growth ke prediction se upar thi. Positive data releases ne USD ko support diya aur GBP/USD pair ko 1.2800 ke aas-paas niche le aayi.

Lekin, Thursday ko Wall Street ke opening bell ke baad, risk flows ne financial markets ko grab kar liya; iske nateeje mein GBP/USD ne momentum recover kiya aur din ke akhir mein upar close hua.

US economic calendar mein University of Michigan ka preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index August ke liye shamil hoga, sath hi July ke housing starts aur building permits ke data bhi aayenge. Investors in numbers ko ignore karke perceived risk par zyada focus kar sakte hain.

US stock index futures publication ke waqt 0.3% se 0.15% tak upar the. Wall Street par positive start se USD ko nuksan ho sakta hai aur GBP/USD exchange rate ko upar le ja sakta hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke weekend ke nazdeek aate hi profit-taking aur weekend movements ke wajah se intermarket correlations kam ho sakti hain.





Technical Analysis

1.2950 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement) aur 1.3000 (psychological level, static level) ke pehle, 1.2900 (sab se recent downturn ka Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) immediate resistance ke tor par samjha jata hai.

Niche ki taraf pehli support 1.2850–1.2840 (200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur Fibonacci 50% retracement) ke aas-paas hai. Ye 1.2800 (100-period SMA aur Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) aur 1.2760 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) ke pehle hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD ne is haftay ke shuru mein ek saal ke high 1.3188 se corrective decline continue kiya hai. Friday ko, pair ne doosre consecutive din ke liye niche aaya. US session ke dauran 1.3231 ke naye saal ke high tak short-term rebound ke bawajood, yeh uptick limited bearish conviction aur subsequent USD selling ke sath aaya.

GBP/USD Ko Strong UK Economic Data Ke Bawajood Challenges Ka Samna

British Pound UK GDP growth ke support se barh gaya hai, jo May mein 0.4% se upar gayi. Yeh positive economic indicator pair ke losses ko kam karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Traders UK monthly Retail Sales data ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo market ko aage ke liye guidance de sakta hai. Federal Open Market Committee ke kuch prominent members ke speeches bhi North American session mein USD demand ko influence kar sakti hain aur short-term trading opportunities provide kar sakti hain. In sab factors ke bawajood, pair chaar hafton mein apne pehle weekly losses record karne ke raaste par hai.

Is decline ka ek key factor yeh hai ke market ne Federal Reserve ke September policy meeting ke liye interest rate cut ko fully price kiya hua hai. Is expectation ne US Treasury bond yields ko low rakha hai, jo USD selling pressure ko barhata hai. Saath hi, August mein Bank of England ke interest rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko kuch support provide kar rahi hai.






Recent High Ke Baad Key Support Aur Resistance Levels

Pair ne recently 29-month high 1.3231 tak pohncha, lekin iski upward trajectory dheemi ho gayi hai aur yeh 20-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3136 ki taraf retreat kar raha hai. Agar downward trend continue hota hai, to pair ko further pressure face karna pad sakta hai aur yeh 50-day EMA 1.3104 tak decline kar sakta hai. Phir bhi, price agar long-term moving average ke upar rehti hai, to 1.3000 level se bullish recovery ka potential outcome ho sakta hai, khas taur par jab 7-day EMA 1.3168 tak barh raha hai.

Immediate Support Aur Resistance Levels

Filhal, immediate support 7-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level 1.3168 par milta hai, aur additional support ascending channel ke higher boundary ke aas-paas 1.3200 par hai. Agar is level ke upar sustained break hota hai, to GBP/USD pair ko 1.3230 ke throwback resistance zone ki taraf drive kiya ja sakta hai.

GBPUSD pair, jo ke filhal 1.2750 par priced hai, significant resistance aur support levels dikhata hai jo traders ke liye dekhna zaroori hai. Resistance level 1.2800 par hai, iska matlab agar qeemat barhti hai to is level par selling pressure ka samna ho sakta hai, jisse aage barhna mushkil hoga. Doosri taraf, support level 1.2700 par hai, yani agar qeemat girti hai to is level par buying interest mil sakta hai, jo usay mazid girne se rok sakta hai. Candlestick patterns in levels ke ird gird bohot aham hain. Misal ke taur par, agar support level ke paas bullish candlestick pattern banta hai to yeh potential price rise ki nishani ho sakti hai, jabke resistance ke paas bearish pattern ka matlab potential price drop ho sakta hai.

Kayi indicators GBPUSD ki potential movement ke baare mein insights faraham karte hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) filhal 55 par hai, jo yeh batata hai ke market na to overbought hai aur na hi oversold, is se qeemat ko dono directions mein movement ki gunjaish milti hai. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) thori si upward trend dikhata hai, jo mild bullish sentiment ka ishara hai. Bollinger Bands, jo volatility ko measure karte hain, yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat upper band ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo potential upward pressure ka ishara hai. Zigzag indicator, jo price swings ko highlight karta hai, yeh trend ko confirm karta hai recent higher highs aur higher lows mark kar ke. Iske ilawa, Demand Index, jo buying aur selling pressure ko measure karta hai, yeh balanced market ko suggest karta hai jismein koi strong bias nahi hai.



Stochastic Oscillator, jo traders ke liye ek aur aham tool hai, iska reading 70 par hai, jo potential overbought conditions ka ishara karta hai, matlab qeemat ko jald hi resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Yeh oscillator kisi security ki closing price ko ek specific period ke price range se compare karta hai. Filhal, yeh upper range ke kareeb hai, jo recent upward momentum ke slow hone ka ishara deta hai. Meanwhile, Average True Range (ATR), jo market volatility ko measure karta hai, yeh 0.0100 par hai, jo moderate volatility ko imply karta hai. Iska matlab significant price swings expected hain, magar yeh extreme nahi

Gbp/usd
Asalam-o-Alaikum dosto, GBP/USD European session mein Wednesday ko 1.2750 ke aas paas ek tang channel mein fluctuate kar raha hai. US Dollar ko risk mode mein negative shift ka mehsoos hona faida pohnchaya hai aur yeh pair traction hasil karne nahi deta. Federal Reserve seed book ko din ke baad mein jaari karegi. Agar GBP/USD 1.2760-1.2750 (Taza downtrend ka Fibonacci 78.6% retracement, ascending regression channel ka darmiyan) se neeche toot jata hai aur is area ko resistance ke tor par istemal karna shuru karta hai. Toh yeh apni slide ko 1.2700 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2675 (ascending channel ka lower limit) ki taraf barha sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistances 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2850 (ascending regression channel ka upper limit) par hain. Intehai darust, 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index ne Wednesday ko 50 ki taraf halki kamzori ko nazar andaz kiya, jo bullish momentum ki kami ko highlight karta hai. GBP/USD European trading hours mein Tuesday ko mazeed buland hua aur 1.2800 ke upar chadha. Do mahinon ke doran pehli martaba. Magar, pair ne apne daily gains ko mita diya, jabke US dollar ko US session mein upbeat data se faida hua. Wednesday ke early hours mein, GBP/USD bohot hi tang channel mein thora sa idhar udhar hua, bas 1.2750 ke ooper.

Conference Board ka consumer confidence index May mein 102.00 se April ki 97.5 se behtar hua, jabke expectations index 74.6 se 68.8 tak barh gaya. "Mazboot mazdoori ki bazar ne consumers ke mojooda haalaat ka kul jayeza behtar banaya," Conference Board ke chief economist Dana M. Patterson ne U.S. Consumer Sentiment Survey ke natayej ka tafsili jayeza lene mein kaha. Benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yields report ke baad lagbhag 2 percent barh gaye aur USD index din ke akhir mein thora sa buland hua. US economic calendar kisi bhi buland asar ka data release nahi karega. Session ke baad, Federal Reserve apna seed book jaari karegi. Investors US trading hours mein risk perception par qareebi tawajjo denay ke iqdam hain. Press time par, U.S. stock index futures din ke kareeb 0.5% se nichayi hue hain. Agar Wall Street ke main indexes red mein kholte hain aur phir bharne mein mushkil hoti hai, toh USD safe-haven flows ka faida utha sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko lower correct karne par majboor kar sakta hai

Gbp/usd
Asalam-o-Alaikum dosto, GBP/USD European session mein Wednesday ko 1.2750 ke aas paas ek tang channel mein fluctuate kar raha hai. US Dollar ko risk mode mein negative shift ka mehsoos hona faida pohnchaya hai aur yeh pair traction hasil karne nahi deta. Federal Reserve seed book ko din ke baad mein jaari karegi. Agar GBP/USD 1.2760-1.2750 (Taza downtrend ka Fibonacci 78.6% retracement, ascending regression channel ka darmiyan) se neeche toot jata hai aur is area ko resistance ke tor par istemal karna shuru karta hai. Toh yeh apni slide ko 1.2700 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2675 (ascending channel ka lower limit) ki taraf barha sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistances 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2850 (ascending regression channel ka upper limit) par hain. Intehai darust, 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index ne Wednesday ko 50 ki taraf halki kamzori ko nazar andaz kiya, jo bullish momentum ki kami ko highlight karta hai. GBP/USD European trading hours mein Tuesday ko mazeed buland hua aur 1.2800 ke upar chadha. Do mahinon ke doran pehli martaba. Magar, pair ne apne daily gains ko mita diya, jabke US dollar ko US session mein upbeat data se faida hua. Wednesday ke early hours mein, GBP/USD bohot hi tang channel mein thora sa idhar udhar hua, bas 1.2750 ke ooper.

Conference Board ka consumer confidence index May mein 102.00 se April ki 97.5 se behtar hua, jabke expectations index 74.6 se 68.8 tak barh gaya. "Mazboot mazdoori ki bazar ne consumers ke mojooda haalaat ka kul jayeza behtar banaya," Conference Board ke chief economist Dana M. Patterson ne U.S. Consumer Sentiment Survey ke natayej ka tafsili jayeza lene mein kaha. Benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yields report ke baad lagbhag 2 percent barh gaye aur USD index din ke akhir mein thora sa buland hua. US economic calendar kisi bhi buland asar ka data release nahi karega. Session ke baad, Federal Reserve apna seed book jaari karegi. Investors US trading hours mein risk perception par qareebi tawajjo denay ke iqdam hain. Press time par, U.S. stock index futures din ke kareeb 0.5% se nichayi hue hain. Agar Wall Street ke main indexes red mein kholte hain aur phir bharne mein mushkil hoti hai, toh USD safe-haven flows ka faida utha sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko lower correct karne par majboor kar sakta hai