Gbp/usd

Asalam-o-Alaikum dosto, GBP/USD European session mein Wednesday ko 1.2750 ke aas paas ek tang channel mein fluctuate kar raha hai. US Dollar ko risk mode mein negative shift ka mehsoos hona faida pohnchaya hai aur yeh pair traction hasil karne nahi deta. Federal Reserve seed book ko din ke baad mein jaari karegi. Agar GBP/USD 1.2760-1.2750 (Taza downtrend ka Fibonacci 78.6% retracement, ascending regression channel ka darmiyan) se neeche toot jata hai aur is area ko resistance ke tor par istemal karna shuru karta hai. Toh yeh apni slide ko 1.2700 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2675 (ascending channel ka lower limit) ki taraf barha sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistances 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2850 (ascending regression channel ka upper limit) par hain. Intehai darust, 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index ne Wednesday ko 50 ki taraf halki kamzori ko nazar andaz kiya, jo bullish momentum ki kami ko highlight karta hai. GBP/USD European trading hours mein Tuesday ko mazeed buland hua aur 1.2800 ke upar chadha. Do mahinon ke doran pehli martaba. Magar, pair ne apne daily gains ko mita diya, jabke US dollar ko US session mein upbeat data se faida hua. Wednesday ke early hours mein, GBP/USD bohot hi tang channel mein thora sa idhar udhar hua, bas 1.2750 ke ooper.

Conference Board ka consumer confidence index May mein 102.00 se April ki 97.5 se behtar hua, jabke expectations index 74.6 se 68.8 tak barh gaya. "Mazboot mazdoori ki bazar ne consumers ke mojooda haalaat ka kul jayeza behtar banaya," Conference Board ke chief economist Dana M. Patterson ne U.S. Consumer Sentiment Survey ke natayej ka tafsili jayeza lene mein kaha. Benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yields report ke baad lagbhag 2 percent barh gaye aur USD index din ke akhir mein thora sa buland hua. US economic calendar kisi bhi buland asar ka data release nahi karega. Session ke baad, Federal Reserve apna seed book jaari karegi. Investors US trading hours mein risk perception par qareebi tawajjo denay ke iqdam hain. Press time par, U.S. stock index futures din ke kareeb 0.5% se nichayi hue hain. Agar Wall Street ke main indexes red mein kholte hain aur phir bharne mein mushkil hoti hai, toh USD safe-haven flows ka faida utha sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko lower correct karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

GBPUSD

GBPUSD pair, jo ke filhal 1.2750 par priced hai, significant resistance aur support levels dikhata hai jo traders ke liye dekhna zaroori hai. Resistance level 1.2800 par hai, iska matlab agar qeemat barhti hai to is level par selling pressure ka samna ho sakta hai, jisse aage barhna mushkil hoga. Doosri taraf, support level 1.2700 par hai, yani agar qeemat girti hai to is level par buying interest mil sakta hai, jo usay mazid girne se rok sakta hai. Candlestick patterns in levels ke ird gird bohot aham hain. Misal ke taur par, agar support level ke paas bullish candlestick pattern banta hai to yeh potential price rise ki nishani ho sakti hai, jabke resistance ke paas bearish pattern ka matlab potential price drop ho sakta hai.

Kayi indicators GBPUSD ki potential movement ke baare mein insights faraham karte hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) filhal 55 par hai, jo yeh batata hai ke market na to overbought hai aur na hi oversold, is se qeemat ko dono directions mein movement ki gunjaish milti hai. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) thori si upward trend dikhata hai, jo mild bullish sentiment ka ishara hai. Bollinger Bands, jo volatility ko measure karte hain, yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat upper band ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo potential upward pressure ka ishara hai. Zigzag indicator, jo price swings ko highlight karta hai, yeh trend ko confirm karta hai recent higher highs aur higher lows mark kar ke. Iske ilawa, Demand Index, jo buying aur selling pressure ko measure karta hai, yeh balanced market ko suggest karta hai jismein koi strong bias nahi hai.



Stochastic Oscillator, jo traders ke liye ek aur aham tool hai, iska reading 70 par hai, jo potential overbought conditions ka ishara karta hai, matlab qeemat ko jald hi resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Yeh oscillator kisi security ki closing price ko ek specific period ke price range se compare karta hai. Filhal, yeh upper range ke kareeb hai, jo recent upward momentum ke slow hone ka ishara deta hai. Meanwhile, Average True Range (ATR), jo market volatility ko measure karta hai, yeh 0.0100 par hai, jo moderate volatility ko imply karta hai. Iska matlab significant price swings expected hain, magar yeh extreme nahi honge.

GBPUSD

**GBP/USD Ka Jaiza: British Pound Aur US Dollar Ka Rishta**
GBP/USD forex pair British Pound Sterling (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan exchange rate ko represent karta hai. Yeh pair duniya ke sab se zyada traded currency pairs mein shamil hai, jise "Cable" ke naam se bhi jana jata hai. British Pound duniya ki purani aur stable currencies mein se ek hai, jabke US Dollar duniya ki reserve currency aur sab se zyada traded currency hai. GBP/USD pair ko trade karne wale traders ko UK aur US ki economies ka jaiza lena hota hai, jisse dono currencies par asar hota hai.

### GBP/USD Ki Ahmiyat

GBP/USD pair ko samajhne ke liye hume UK aur US ke darmiyan economic aur political relations ka tafseel se jaiza lena hota hai. UK ki economy Europe mein ek important role ada karti hai, jabke US duniya ki sab se bari economy hai. British Pound par Bank of England (BoE) ki monetary policies aur UK ki domestic developments ka asar hota hai, jabke US Dollar par Federal Reserve (Fed) ki policies aur global market sentiment ka asar hota hai. GBP/USD pair ko trade karne ke liye, in dono currencies ke fundamentals ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai.

### GBP/USD Ko Influence Karne Wale Factors

1. **Bank of England (BoE) Policies**: GBP/USD pair par BoE ki monetary policies ka direct asar hota hai. Agar BoE interest rates barhata hai ya hawkish stance leta hai, to GBP ki demand barh sakti hai, jisse GBP/USD pair upar ja sakta hai. Conversely, agar BoE dovish stance leta hai ya interest rates kam karta hai, to GBP ki value gir sakti hai.

2. **Federal Reserve Policies**: US Dollar ki value par Federal Reserve ki monetary policies ka bohot zyada asar hota hai. Agar Fed interest rates barhata hai, to USD ki demand barhti hai, jisse GBP/USD pair neeche gir sakta hai. Agar Fed dovish stance leta hai ya interest rates kam karta hai, to USD ki value kam ho sakti hai.

3. **Economic Data**: UK aur US ke economic indicators jese GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, aur trade balances GBP/USD pair ko move karte hain. Strong economic data GBP ya USD ki demand barhata hai, jisse pair ki direction ka taayun hota hai. Weak economic data se currencies ki value gir sakti hai.

4. **Brexit Aur Political Developments**: Brexit ke baad se GBP/USD pair par UK ki political developments ka bohot zyada asar hota hai. Agar UK mein political stability hoti hai, to GBP ki demand barh sakti hai, lekin agar political uncertainty hoti hai, to GBP ki value gir sakti hai.

5. **Risk Sentiment**: GBP/USD pair ko global risk sentiment bhi influence karta hai. Jab global markets mein risk-on sentiment hota hai, to investors GBP mein invest karte hain, lekin risk-off sentiment ke dauran US Dollar ki taraf investors ka rujhan barh jata hai, kyunki USD ko safe-haven currency mana jata hai.

### GBP/USD Ki Trading

GBP/USD pair ko forex trading platforms par spot trading, futures, aur options ke zariye trade kiya jata hai. Traders technical analysis karte waqt price charts, moving averages, aur key support aur resistance levels ka jaiza lete hain. Fundamental analysis ke liye, Bank of England aur Federal Reserve ki policies, economic data, aur political developments ko closely monitor karna hota hai.

### Conclusion

GBP/USD forex market mein ek bohot important pair hai, jo British Pound aur US Dollar ke darmiyan exchange rate ko represent karta hai. Is pair mein trading karte waqt, traders ko Bank of England aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policies, economic indicators, aur global risk sentiment ka dhyan rakhna chahiye. Agar aap in factors ka sahi analysis karte hain, to GBP/USD pair mein trading opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain.

Ye mukhtasir jaiza aapko GBP/USD pair ko samajhne mein madadgar sabit hoga aur trading decisions mein rehnumai karega.

Gbp/usd
**GBP/USD Ka Overview**
GBP/USD, British Pound Sterling aur United States Dollar ka aik currency pair hai. Forex market mein yeh pair "Cable" ke naam se bhi jana jata hai. Yeh duniya ke sabse zyada traded currency pairs mein se aik hai. GBP/USD ki qeemat Britain aur United States ki economic conditions, interest rates, aur geopolitical events par depend karti hai. Yeh pair forex traders ke darmiyan bohot mashhoor hai, kyun ke ismein volatility hoti hai jo trading opportunities paida karti hai.

**British Pound (GBP)**

British Pound Sterling, yaani GBP, United Kingdom ki official currency hai aur yeh duniya ki purani currencies mein se ek hai. GBP UK ki economic health ka representative hai. Bank of England (BoE) ki monetary policies, interest rates, aur UK ki economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth, inflation, aur employment data GBP ki value par baray asar dalte hain. Brexit ke baad se, GBP ki value mein bohot se geopolitical events ka bhi asar dekhne ko milta hai.

**United States Dollar (USD)**

United States Dollar, yaani USD, duniya ki sabse stable aur dominant currency hai. Yeh na sirf US ki economy ki strength ko represent karta hai, balki global finance mein bhi bohot ahm role ada karta hai. US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki policies, jaise ke interest rate decisions aur inflation control measures, USD ki value par seedha asar dalti hain. Iske ilawa, US ke economic indicators, jaise ke non-farm payrolls, GDP growth, aur consumer confidence, bhi USD/GBP ki qeemat ko influence karte hain.

**GBP/USD Par International Factors Ka Asar**

GBP/USD ki qeemat par bohot se international factors ka asar hota hai. Agar UK ki economy strong ho rahi hai aur Bank of England interest rates barha raha hai, to GBP ki demand barh jati hai, jo GBP/USD ki qeemat ko upar push kar sakti hai. Waisi hi, agar US economy strong ho rahi hai aur Fed interest rates ko tight kar raha hai, to USD ki value barh jati hai, jo GBP/USD ko neeche la sakti hai. Brexit ke asraat aur US-UK trade relations bhi is pair ki qeemat par asar dalte hain.

**GBP/USD Ka Technical Analysis**

Technical analysis mein, GBP/USD ke charts ka review kiya jata hai taake future price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Fibonacci retracement, moving averages, aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jaise tools ka istemal karte hue traders potential entry aur exit points identify karte hain. Agar GBP/USD kisi significant resistance level par hai, to bohot se traders is waqt sell karne ka sochte hain, umeed karte huye ke price wahan se neeche aaye gi.

**Conclusion**

GBP/USD aik major currency pair hai jo trading ke liye bohot ziada popular hai. Is pair mein volatility hone ki wajah se trading opportunities bohot hoti hain, lekin risk bhi hota hai. Successful trading ke liye, UK aur US ki economic conditions, central bank policies, aur global market sentiments ko samajhna zaroori hai. Agar aap GBP/USD mein trade karna chahte hain, to fundamental aur technical analysis ka istamal karna bohot ahm hai taake aap informed decisions le sakein.

GBP/USD: Forex Market Price Action Techniques

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ka ongoing price assessment dekh rahay hain. Is pair ke liye, yeh wazeh hai ke 1.2799 level ko cross karne ke baad upward trend mein zyada momentum aaya hai. Filhaal, primary resistance 1.2899 par hai, lekin GBP/USD price ek critical point par hai. Waqt batayega ke yeh kis taraf jata hai. United States ke nuqsan deh fundamental data ki wajah se, bullish trend ka faida nazar aa raha hai. Ab baat yeh hai ke GBP/USD ke liye demand steady rahe, jo ke jald hi is pair ko 1.2899 mark ki taraf push kar sakti hai. Agar selling ki baat karein, toh outlook unchanged hai. Agar price 1.2799 ke neeche jata hai, toh price 1.2699 tak gir sakta hai.


Ek ascending channel form ho raha hai, jisme price filhal uske bounds ke andar hai. Aaj, pair barh raha hai aur jald hi channel ki upper limit, jo ke kareeban 1.2864 level par hai, tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin, kyun ke price ne is target ko thoda miss kiya, ek chhoti upward move abhi bhi channel ke upper boundary ki taraf hosakti hai. Is level ko hit karne ke baad, price reverse hokar channel ke lower border, shayad 1.2808 ke aas-paas, tak ja sakta hai. Agar 4-hour chart dekhein, toh wazeh hai ke bulls ne uptrend ko continue rakha hai, halan ke ek factor temporarily bullish momentum ko slow kar sakta hai. Price ab 25% resistance level, jo ke 1.2856 par hai, ke just neeche hai. Yeh woh jagah hai jahan bulls hain, aur bears control lene ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, ye mumkin nahi lagta ke bears is point par kamiyabi hasil karenge, jis se bullish direction intact rahega.

Hamara current focus GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ko evaluate karna hai. Daily hourly chart per GBP/USD ki current situation kafi nazuk hai, kyun ke asset aise resistance zones ke qareeb hai jo historically is pair ko bearish direction mein dhakel dete hain. Jo log aaj ke bullish trend ka faida uthane se reh gaye hain, wo khud ko dair se samajh rahe honge, kyun ke ab yeh scenario kafi risky hai. Yeh instrument pull back kar sakta hai, jisse aaj ki daily candle Bollinger Band ke moving average ke false breakout mein tabdeel ho sakti hai, jo asset ke average price range ko reflect karta hai. Kal ke din mein aaj ki anomalous candle ka correction ho sakta hai, jo ke aksar kal ki candle ke upper tail ke sath align hota hai. Yeh 80% retracement ka sabab ban sakta hai Fibonacci scale par, aur 1.2799 level ko bearish trend-based correction ke liye prime zone banata hai potential further growth se pehle.

Pound shayad is growth ko drive na kare, bawajood GBP/USD ke upward movement ke. Broader market sentiment ziada focus kar raha hai US dollar ko sell karne par. Ek critical observation jo mein aksar consider karta hoon, woh yeh hai ke agar trading ke liye koi benchmark—jaise ke rebound after the first test of a level—likely na ho, aur price apne aap ko correct kar le movement resume karne se pehle, to wo benchmark apni reliability kho deta hai. Price acchi hai. Yehhi kuch GBP/USD ke sath aaj hua. Maine sell entry level 1.2813 par identify kiya tha, lekin pair ne pehle 1.28115 ka local maximum chhoya phir decline kar ke 1.2777 tak pohanch gaya. Is move ne poora pullback suggest kiya, jo ke zigzag pattern ke liye stage set kar raha tha bullish direction mein, jo confirm hua top ka break hone se 1.28115 par.

GBP / USD Technical Analysis:

Thursday ke Asian trading session mein, currency pair apni haal ki mazeed izafay par qaim hai, taqreeban 1.3095 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai. Ye harkat yeh darust karti hai ke pair ek uth'te hue channel mein hai, jo ke uske price actions mein ek bullish trend ki taraf ishara karta hai. Abhi GBP/USD 1.3090 ke aas paas hai, aur ahem 1.3100 psychological threshold ko paar karne ki umeed hai. Haal ki siyasi taraqqiyan ne Donald Trump ke liye market ki umeedon ko barha diya hai. Jab US President Joe Biden ne Vice President Kamala Harris ko aane wali elections ke liye support diya, to investors ka yeh khayal hai ke agar Trump jeet gaya to ye trade restrictions ko barha sakti hain, jo ke inflation ko bhi barha sakti hai. Ye manzar US Dollar Index (DXY) par asar daal chuka hai, jo dollar ki qeemat ko chhe mukhya currencies ke ek basket ke khilaf track karta hai. Shuru mein girne ke baad, DXY ne takreeban 104.40 tak phir se uthar liya hai. Magar ye khauf hai ke Federal Reserve apne September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ki speculation, US Dollar ke mazeed izafay ko rokne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai.
GBP / USD H4 Chart:



UK ya US se koi ahem economic data release na hone ki wajah se gbp/usd zyada tar USD ke dynamics se mutasir hoga. Market ka tawajjo US siyasi taraqqiyat par mabni rehne ka imkan hai, jo ke zyada risk sentiment ko mutasir karega aur is tarah dollar ki qeemat par asar daalega. Magar is ke bawajood, mojooda bunyadi manzar lagta hai ke bullish traders ko faida hoga, jo GBP/USD pair mein mazeed izafay ke imkanat ko mazboot karega. Agar pair 1.3100 level ko tor deta hai to ye ascending channel ke upper boundary ko test kar sakta hai. Is level ke qayam se oopar ka harka pair ko saalana unchaai par le ja sakta hai, jo ke pehli martaba 17 July ko record ki gayi 1.3044 ke qareeb tha. 1.3100 ke oopar ka breach GBP/USD ko 1.3150 ilaqa ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD H1 Chart

Friday ki early European session mein, GBP/USD ne kaafi zabardast strength dikhayi, aur trade 1.3105 ke aas-paas ho rahi thi. Ye movement British Pound ke US Dollar ke muqable mein mazid positive outlook ko reflect kar rahi hai, jo ke kai key factors ki wajah se hai. British Pound ki recent strength ko mazid mazboot economic data ki wajah se explain kiya jaa sakta hai. UK's August PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) ka pehla reading expectations se behtar raha, jo ke ek strong economic performance ko signal karta hai. PMI data, jo ke manufacturing aur services sectors ke business sentiment ka survey karta hai, economic health ke hawale se kaafi important insights provide karta hai. Higher-than-expected PMI ye suggest karta hai ke UK economy mazid resilient hai, jis ki wajah se economic slowdown ka dar kam ho gaya hai.

Is se market expectations bhi shift hui hain regarding future monetary policy by the Bank of England (BoE). Stronger PMI data ka BoE ki monetary policy pe asar hai. Pehle yeh speculation thi ke BoE economic challenges ke response mein rates cut karega. Lekin ab upbeat PMI figures ne in expectations ko push back kar diya hai. Investors aur analysts ab ye assess kar rahe hain ke rate cut ki probability abhi kam hai, jo ke Pound ki appreciation mein contribute kar rahi hai. Market ka revised outlook on BoE policy trajectory GBP/USD ko support provide kar raha hai.

Friday ki early European trading mein, GBP/USD 1.3097 pe trade kar rahi thi, 0.10% ki increase ke sath, interesting territory mein 1.3105 ke qareeb chhatte consecutive din ke liye. Dollar overall apni ground lose kar raha hai, jab buyers confident hain ke Federal Reserve apne forthcoming September meeting mein economic policy ko loosen karna shuru karega. Jackson Hole conference ka main event Friday ko hoga jahan Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell aur Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ke speeches ka intezaar hai, jo ke mazid roshni dal sakti hain monetary policy ke trajectory pe.






July 30-31 ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke minutes ke mutabiq, zyadatar Fed policymakers ne agle month mein lower rates ka demand support kiya. Jab Federal Reserve ka chairman Jerome Powell Friday ko Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein speech karega, sab log uski taraf dekh rahe honge. Ek notable 13-month peak 1.3130 se pehle hua tha.

Chalo, GBP/USD currency pair ka chart analyze karte hain. Is trading week mein GBP/USD pair ne zabardast gains show kiye hain. Buyers ne kamyabi se apni positions secure kar li hain July ke previous high ke upar, jo mazid upward movement ki potential ko zahir karta hai. Halaanki current price action mein bearish retracement ka possibility hai, lekin abhi tak koi significant bearish trend ka sign nahi mila. Pair apni upward journey continue kar raha hai, ek resistance level ko break kar ke ab higher level pe trade kar raha hai. Market indicators, jaise ke CPI aur Awesome Oscillator, mixed signals provide kar rahe hain. CPI downward trend mein hai lekin Oscillator buy signal dikhata hai. Overall, current analysis GBP/USD pair ke liye bullish sentiment ko suggest kar raha hai.






Agle din mein GBP/USD currency pair mein kuch tabdilion ka imkan hai. Services ke mutaliq news available hai, lekin yeh zyada comprehensive nahi hai. Economic calendar mein activity hai, aur prevailing trend stable lagta hai, is liye filhal kisi significant concern ki zarurat nahi hai. Aaj ke liye 1.3076-1.3088 ka range ek reasonable target serve karna chahiye. Kyunke hum isolated conditions mein kaam nahi kar rahe, is liye expect kiya ja sakta hai ke zyadatar din established protocols ko follow karte hue guzrega. Main abhi reversal ko anticipate karne ka bhi eager nahi hoon, kyunke highs steady hain, chahe dheere dheere hi sahi. Yeh highs notable taur pe annual hain, jabke pichle saal ka peak 31st figure ke target zone mein tha, aur lagta hai ke hum is point tak is liye nahi pohnchay ke bas usi ko retrace kar lein. Yehi meri exact analysis hai, aur aap mere analysis ke sath trade kar ke achay munafa kama sakte hain.

GBPUSD currency pair ne kal ki trading session mein kaafi significant bullish movement dikhayi. Is movement ka ek important indication woh crossover tha jo EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke darmiyan hua, jo bearish trend se bullish trend mein shift ka signal deta hai. Is ke ilawa, pair ne ek important resistance level 1.28123 ko break kiya, jo pehle price movement ka upper limit tha. Is breakout ka matlab hai ke buying pressure itna strong hai ke usne price ko is level ke upar push kar diya, jo ab ek naye support ka kaam kar sakta hai. Aise significant resistance levels ka breakout aksar mazid strong movement ke sath hota hai, jo ke is case mein bullish direction mein hai.

Abhi ke liye, GBPUSD latest high 1.287266 ke aas-paas stuck hai, aur correction ke signs dikhana shuru kar raha hai. Yeh correction price movement ka ek natural hissa hoti hai, jahan market aksar recently broken support ya resistance levels ko retest karta hai, is se pehle ke woh apne main trend ke direction mein move kare. Is context mein, correction ko ek mauqa samjha ja sakta hai market mein enter hone ka, zyada calculated risks ke sath. Trading strategies ke liye, yeh recommend kiya jata hai ke mazid correction ka intezaar karein aur dekhein ke price important levels ke aas-paas kaise behave karta hai. Agar price correct hoti hai aur ek higher low banati hai, tou zyadatar yeh EMA 50 ke aas-paas ya phir 1.28123 ke level pe ho sakti hai.






Agle future ke liye, shayad GBPUSD ka main focus yeh ho ke wapis 1.30 ke important area ko reach kare, lekin itna bara movement tabhi mumkin hai jab USD mazid weak ho. Main ho sakta hai ke dobara sell ki opportunity dekhoon, 1.290 ke area mein sell limit ka faida uthatay hue, ya phir main tab sell karoon jab GBPUSD pair mid BB ko dobara neeche cross kar sake, chahe price aur mid BB ke darmiyan abhi bhi faasla ho. Filhal, SL ke liye main shayad 1.295 ka faida uthaoon aur TP ko 1.275 ke area mein chase karoon, halaan ke mujhe abhi tak yeh confirm nahi hai ke yeh movement is week mein hoga ya nahi.

GBP/USD H4 Chart

Hamari focus abhi GBP/USD currency pair ke price ke current behavior par hai. Is trading week mein GBP/USD currency pair ne kaafi impressive growth dikhayi hai. Aaj aisa lagta hai ke buyers ne kamiyabi se apni positions 1.30428 ke local high ke upar secure ki hain, jo pichli dafa 16 July ko record hua tha. Is ke ilawa, aaj ke session mein long position holders ne agla level 1.310 GBP/USD ko test kiya hai. Northern wave mein naye peak ne yeh hint diya ke sellers ab bearish retracement ke liye base establish karna shuru kar sakte hain. Lekin, ab tak chart par koi significant bearish move ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Pair apna ascent continue karta raha, aur 1.3049 ke resistance level ko break kar ke ab 1.3085 par trade kar raha hai. CPI sell zone mein downward trend kar raha hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (A/O) buy signal dikha raha hai, aur pair pichle din ke trading range ke upar positioned hai.

Ab hamari guftagu ka markaz GBP/USD currency pair ke current price action ka evaluation hai. Aaj ke din main zyadatar bulls ke sath align hota ja raha hoon, khaaskar jab ke recent correction kaafi solid thi. Bulls dheere dheere apna momentum wapas gain kar rahe hain, aur phir se bullish move kar rahe hain. Lekin, 1.3127 se 1.3113-1.3138 ke darmiyan ka crucial range shayad kal hi dekhne ko mile. Services ke hawale se news bhi hai, lekin yeh zyada strong nahi lagti. Economic calendar khali nahi hai, aur trend steady hai. Isliye abhi tak kisi badi fikr ki zarurat nahi hai. Filhal, 1.3076-1.3088 ka range aaj ke liye kaafi hona chahiye. Hum koi vacuum mein operate nahi kar rahe, isliye expect kiya ja sakta hai ke zyadatar din protocols follow karte hue guzrega. Main abhi reversal ko jaldi anticipate karne mein nahi hoon, kyunke highs steady hain, chahe dheere dheere ho rahe hain. Yeh highs notable taur par annual hain, aur pichle saal ka peak 31st figure ke target zone mein tha, aur yeh lagta nahi ke hum is point tak sirf is liye pohnche hain ke usay exactly retrace kar dein.

GBP/USD H1 Chart



Doosri taraf Atlantic ke, Federal Reserve ke Governor Collins ke comments USD dynamics ko influence kar rahe hain. Collins ne suggest kiya hai ke inflation mein progress dekh kar ab Fed ke liye rate cuts ka waqt qareeb aa gaya hai. Yeh stance Fed ki future monetary policy ke hawale se ehtiyaat ke sath optimistic approach ko reflect karta hai. Agar Fed rate cut ka faisla karta hai, to yeh USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jis se Pound investors ke liye zyada attractive ho jayega. Fed ke rate cuts ki anticipation broader market sentiment ke sath align karti hai jo ke ane wale waqt mein Fed se zyada dovish monetary policy stance expect kar raha hai. UK ke economic data aur Fed ke possible policy moves ke darmiyan yeh dynamic environment GBP/USD ke liye ban raha hai. Positive economic indicators UK se Pound ke hawale se confidence ko boost kar rahe hain, jabke Fed ke rate cuts ki expectations USD par downward pressure daal rahi hain. Yeh combination GBP/USD ki current strength mein contribute kar raha hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, GBP/USD 1.3105 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ek critical support aur resistance level ko indicate karta hai. Agar pair apni strength maintain karta hai, to yeh significant resistance levels ko break kar ke mazid upar ja sakta hai. Traders ghor se dekh rahe hain ke koi bhi mazeed economic data releases ya central bank ke comments jo currency pair ke trajectory ko impact kar sakte hain.






Bollinger band's average line yeh indicate karti hai ke price 1.2632 level ko reach kar sakti hai. Yeh price ko upward trend channel ki lower boundary ke qareeb la sakta hai, jo ke trend ka ek thorough aur balanced correction allow karega. Pichle do hafton mein, asset upar ki taraf surge karta raha hai, aur ab overbought territory mein hai, jo ke trend mein pause ka sabab ban sakti hai aur ek potential reversal towards bearish correction ko induce kar sakta hai. GBPUSD currency pair ke liye outlook abhi bhi buyers ke haq mein hai. Buyers ne na sirf pehle breached resistance level 1.3008 ke upar positions secure ki hain, jo ab support ban gaya hai, balke unhon ne price ko aur mazid upar push kiya hai. H1 chart par, price ne successfully previously broken resistance level 1.3008 ko retest kiya hai, jo likely bullish trend ka ishara deta hai. Agar price horizontal line 1.3008 ke neeche girti hai, to downward correction ho sakti hai. Yeh correction support level 1.2939 tak extend ho sakti hai, jo ke buy positions ke liye ek potential entry point ho sakta hai. Filhal, daily candle abhi bhi form ho rahi hai, aur bulls koshish kar rahe hain ke ise bullish candle mein tabdeel kar dein. Ab tak, unhon ne sirf price ko opening level 1.3029 tak push kiya hai, lekin bears mazeed upward movement ko rok rahe hain.

Friday ke New York trading session mein, GBP/USD pair ne apni position key resistance level 1.3231 ke qareeb barqarar rakhi, US Dollar ke khilaf. Halka sa upward movement ke bawajood, pair tight range 1.3230 se 1.3150 ke darmiyan hi raha. Yeh stability us waqt samne aayi jab USD ne notable strength dikhayi, jo ke Donald Trump ke upcoming US presidential elections mein jeetne ke hawale se speculation barhne ki wajah se hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki performance ko chhey bade currencies ke khilaf measure karta hai, taqreeban 100.51 tak barh gaya.

Market participants ko ane wale economic data aur political developments par nazar rakhni hogi jo pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Key data releases ke saath aur political speculation ke chalte, pair ki movement dynamic aur closely watched rehne ki umeed hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Trading week ka aghaz thanda raha, kyunke economic data ki kami ki wajah se markets mein sukoon tha. Guzishta haftay, traders ne mid-tier US Existing Home Sales Change for June ko digest kiya. Wahiin, GBP/USD investors eagerly July ke UK Manufacturing aur Services PMI reports ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo thoda sa uptick dikhane ki umeed hai. MoM Services PMI ka 52.5 tak barhne ka project kiya ja raha hai jo pichlay maheenay ke 52.1 se zyada hai.

Is ke ilawa, wage growth ka slow down ho raha hai, jo ke service sector mein inflation ko influence karta hai, is se Bank of England (BoE) se rate cuts ki umeedain barh gayi hain. Wage growth ke slowdown ke bawajood, yeh abhi bhi us level se ooper hai jo ke BoE officials ka rate cuts ka confidence significantly reduce karne ke liye zaroori hai.






Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

GBP/USD ne 1.3231 ka yearly peak touch kiya, magar us ke baad ek sharp bearish candle ne pair ko 1.3300 se niche push kiya, 1.3240 mark aur eventually 1.3250 ke qareeb. Jabke momentum indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), bullish outlook suggest karte hain, recent downtrend dikhata hai ke sellers ab control mein aa rahe hain, RSI ka slope downward hai.

Spot price relatively stable raha, aur 1.3200 level ke upar hover karta raha. Pichle hafte ke USD buying ke late surge ke bawajood, markets ne pause le liya. Pair is waqt intraday technical support level 1.3225 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Traders intezaar kar rahe hain important economic data ka jo United States aur Europe dono se anay wala hai.

GBP/JPY currency pair ne European trading session ke dauran ek rally dekhi, jismein price takreeban 187.90 tak pohanch gayi. Yeh upward movement us waqt hui jab Japan mein public holiday ke waja se trading kam thi. Market participants UK ke economic data ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jismein employment figures aur consumer inflation data shamil hain, jo is haftay release honge. Yeh reports UK economy ki health ke baray mein valuable insights dengi aur shayad Bank of England ki monetary policy ko bhi influence karein. Halanki central bank ne June mein interest rates ko 2% target par maintain kiya tha, wage growth aur inflation ke asar par concerns abhi bhi mojood hain.
Chand factors ke bawajood GBP/JPY ka




upside potential limit ho sakta hai. Pehla, Bank of Japan ke taraf se interest rates ko future mein barhane ki willingness yen par downward pressure daal sakti hai, jo pair ke upward momentum ko rok sakti hai. Dosra, Middle East mein badhti hui geopolitical tensions, especially Israeli-Palestinian conflict, investors ko safe-haven assets jaise yen ki taraf dhakel sakti hain, jo GBP/JPY ke advance mein rukawat ban sakti hain. Technically dekha jaye to GBP/JPY pair ne recent decline ke baad recovery ke signs dikhaye hain. Momentum indicators improve ho rahe hain, ADX ke mutabiq downtrend kamzor ho raha hai aur RSI apni midpoint ki taraf ja raha hai. Stochastic indicator ne bhi apni moving average ke upar break kiya hai aur oversold zone se nikal gaya hai, jo ongoing uptrend ko support karta hai. Agar yeh bullish sentiment barqarar rehti hai, to GBP/JPY pair shayad March 31, 2004 ka high 189.61 breach karne ki koshish kare. Lekin significant resistance expect ki ja rahi hai around 192.57-193.60 zone, jo July 21, 2005 ka low, 100-day simple moving average, aur ek key Fibonacci retracement level ko shamil karti hai. Summary mein, GBP/JPY pair ne economic data expectations, monetary policy divergence, aur geopolitical risks ke complex interplay ke darmiyan rebound dikhaya hai. Halanki pair ne recovery ke signs dikhaye hain, lekin significant challenges aur resistance levels abhi bhi raasta roke hue hain

GBP/USD

Jo kuch mein H4 timeframe chart par GBP/USD currency pair ke hawale se dekh raha hoon, woh yeh hai ke pichlay teen hafton se pair ne wapas bearish path par move karna shuru kiya hai. Market ke is haftay ke analysis ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke price ab tak consistently downward trend mein hai aur 1.2671 ke price range tak gir chuki hai. Guzishta maheenay, yeh pair bullish trend ko continue karne mein nakam lag rahi thi, lekin aakhri chand dinon mein trend ne bearish path par move karna shuru kiya. In conditions ko dekhte hue yeh natija nikalta hai ke aglay market trend mein girawat ka silsila jaari reh sakta hai aur price girne ke imkanaat hain. Sellers ka potential hai ke price ko neeche press karte rahain aur price level range 1.2650 tak ya is se bhi neeche test karne ka aim karain. Kal raat ki bearish movement ke lamba rehne ki umeed hai kyunke aaj bhi market mein consolidation phase chal raha hai.





Aaj ke halat:

Aaj ke liye pair ke conditions mein ziada tabdeeli nahi aayi hai. Key role 1.2680 ka support level play kar sakta hai. Agar yeh support 1.2680 break hota hai, to pair neeche ke impulse ko 1.2570 tak continue kar sakta hai. Yahaan se shayad ek rollback start ho aur phir se price 1.2447 tak neeche jaaye, lekin is haftay yeh movement ke poori hone ke imkaanaat kam hain. Agar support level 1.2680 break nahi hota aur price is ke neeche consolidate nahi karti, to wapas growth ka chance hai resistance level 1.2750 tak. Agar yeh resistance break hota hai, to yeh ek naya impulse banane ka moka day sakta hai jo ke 1.2860 tak le jaaye, jisse upward trend ka restoration 1.3065 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Lekin is haftay aise growth ke imkaanaat kam hain. Dusra breakthrough 1.2860 ka ho sakta hai agar yeh resistance level 1.2750 break hota hai. Magar aapko is hafte 1.300 se zyada ka expect nahi karna chahiye, maximum 1.2970 tak jaane ka chance hai, aur us resistance tak bhi chances ziada nahi hain.