aud/usd

M15 Time Frame Analysis
Hum AUD/USD currency pair ko M15 time frame par analyse kar rahe hain. Hum exponential moving averages (EMAs) ko use kar rahe hain, jin ki periods 9 aur 22 hain. Yeh tools well-known aur simple hain, jo zyada traders ko familiar hain. Dono moving averages ke intersection ke basis par, trading signals straightforward hain aur currently price level 0.66185 par hain.

Entry Points:
- Main do orders initiate karta hoon: aadha position current prices se aur dusra aadha position price rollback ke baad M5 time frame par, jahaan hume market par sell entry milti hai.
- Mera minimum take-profit ratio 1 to 3 hai. Agar trade zyada profit yield kare, to main position ko run karne deta hoon.
- Jab price ek-third profitable zone mein move karti hai, to main breakeven par shift karta hoon for a safer stance, re-ordering ki agar zarurat ho.

Stop Loss:
- Mera stop loss 21 points par set hota hai, jo maine trial and error ke through derive kiya hai. Yeh figure mujhe optimal lagti hai. Zyada minor false movements often more minor stops ko disrupt karte hain.

Hourly Time Frame Analysis
Australian dollar-US dollar pair ko hourly chart par dekha ja raha hai. Unemployment data ke release ke baad, pair decline kar rahi hai aur 0.65988 support ko break kar rahi hai. Unemployment data significant hai, kyunki job creation forecast values se exceed kar gaya aur salaries expectations ko surpass kar rahi hain, jo potential inflationary pressures ko hint karte hain.

Economic Indicators:
- Historically, wage growth ne inflation ko significantly impact kiya hai, lekin recently iska influence kam ho gaya hai.
- Inflation various sectors mein ease ho rahi hai, lekin abhi bhi high hai. Despite a slight 0.1% decrease in inflation, yeh ek minimal change hai.
- Federal Reserve ke remarks ke baad, pair drop hui jaisa expect kiya gaya tha, jo yeh reflect karta hai ke slight inflation decrease insufficient hai.

Expected Movements:
- Main expect karta hoon ke pair ek range mein move karegi aur further decline karegi towards 0.65593 support.

Conclusion

AUD/USD currency pair ki current price dynamics ko analyse karte hue, humne EMA tools aur economic indicators ka use kiya. M15 time frame par, trading signals straightforward hain aur entry points aur stop loss set hain. Hourly chart par, unemployment data aur Federal Reserve ke remarks ke basis par, pair ke movements ko assess karte hue, further decline towards 0.65593 support expect kiya ja raha hai.

Australian dollar 0.40% barh gaya jab Australian CPI release hui lekin zyada tar gain kho diya. European session mein, AUD/USD 0.6663 pe trade kar raha hai, jo din ka 0.24% upar hai
Australian inflation tezi se barh rahi hai. May mein Australia ka CPI 4.0% tak pohch gaya April ke 3.6% se, jo market ke 3.8% estimate se upar tha. Ye November 2023 ke baad se sabse zyada level hai. Mehngai economy ke har sector mein mehsoos hui, jaise ke electricity, vehicle fuel, food aur transport, energy aur food jaise volatile items ko chhor ke. Core CPI April ke 4.1% se ghatt ke 4.0% ho gaya. Ye lagatar teesra mahina hai jab headline prices barh rahi hain aur isne Reserve Bank of Australia ke agle meeting mein interest rates barhane ki chinta ko badha diya hai jo 6 August ko hogi. Organizers ne pichle do meetings mein fees barhane ka socha tha lekin fees ko wahi rakhne ka faisla kiya. Chauthi quarter ka inflation report meeting se ek hafta pehle release hoga aur RBA ke rate decision mein ek important factor hoga
Central bank ne rates 4.35% pe lagatar saat sessions ke liye rakhe hain lekin warning di hai ke agar inflation phir se kam nahi hota to wo rates barha sakte hain. Core CPI ka thoda kam hona ek achi khabar hai lekin shayad August mein rate hike ko rokne ke liye kafi nahi hoga. Disappointing inflation data dikhata hai ke devaluation abhi khatam nahi hui, shayad 2025 tak. RBA chahti hai ke inflation 2% se 3% ke target pe wapas aaye aur wo prices tab tak kam nahi karna chahenge jab tak inflation upper limit 3% ke kareeb na ho. 3rd party ad. Ye Investing.com ka koi offer ya recommendation nahi hai
Yahan kya dikhaya ja raha hai dekhein ya ad remove karein. Budh ko, Australia Melbourne Institute Inflation Expectations release karega, jo expected hai ke June mein 4.3% tak barhegi May ke 4.1% se. AUDUSD currency pair ne bearish engulfing candle form ki hai jo SELL AUDUSD ka bohot strong signal hai price 0.6640 tak. Mere observations ke mutabiq relative strength index 14 indicator, Audusd price 0.66840 pe pehle hi overbought ya zyada overbought thi to ye bohot mumkin hai ke aaj raat ko Audusd apni decline 0.6640 tak continue karegi. SELL AUDUSD signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods ka istemal bhi support karta hai kyunki jab Audusd price 0.6670 pe thi to ye SBR area mein thi is liye bohot mumkin hai ke aaj raat ko Audusd wapas 0.6640 pe correct ho jaye. Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq aaj ki audusd movement ke liye, maine faisla kiya hai ke main future mein AUDUSD ko 0.6640 tak SELL karun

Maazi mein, US dollar ko nuksan hua, jis ne Australian dollar (AUD) ko aik ahem boost diya. Phir bhi, AUDUSD pair trading range mein atka hua hai chaar ghantay ka chart dekhte hue aur abhi tak resistance level ko break karne mein kamiyaab nahi ho saka. Is note ki kamzori ka sabab samjha jaa sakta hai ke US mein core inflation rate mein slow down hogaya hai, jo Federal Reserve ke liye aik ahem measure hai. Ye as a sign samjha jaa sakta hai ke Fed ko shayad interest rates ko is saal ke baad kam karna parega. Aglay dafa ki umeed ke liye,
bulls ke liye rasta saaf lagta hai ke woh apni nediyon ko jaari rakh sakte hain. Unka agla target lagta hai chart par neela moving average jo ke 0.6690 ke aas paas hai. Sachai yeh hai ke record ki trading mein banaye gaye aakhri candle ne jis tarah se "query candle" yaad kiya jata hai, ko kuch analysts ne reversal ki nishani ke tor par nahi samjha. Magar, agar AUDUSD pair ne blue moving average ko paar kar liya, to bulls apne nishane ko mazeed buland kar sakte hain, 0.6714 ke baahar. Magar kuch judges ke mutabiq, is point se aage ka safar mushkil hai. Agar yeh point tak pohanch gaya, to kuch investors apni AUD positions ko bech kar profit ka lena shuru kar sakte hain ek mumkin withdrawal ka intezaar karte hue. Agar kisi selloff ke doraan, AUD ke liye pehli hifazati line support level hoga 0.6619. 0.6655 par bhi aik darmiani support level hai jo price ko mazeed girne se pehle thora sa relief pahuncha sakta hai.
Mukhtalif opinions ke mutabiq, AUDUSD pair ke liye thori umeed hai. US dollar ka kamzor hona, interest rates mein kami ke wajah se Aussie Dollar ke liye sahil pesh karta hai. Magar, kuch judges hushyari se tehreer dete hain, kehte hue ke price original outside tak pohanchne par cautious rehna chahiye aur trading opportunities wahaan se nikal sakti hain.

Understanding the AUD/USD Ka Current Price Outlook
US dollar ne kal aik zabardast hit liya, jo Australian dollar (AUD) ko aik zaroori boost diya. Magar, AUD/USD pair ab bhi chaar ghante ke chart par aik trading range mein phasa hua hai aur ab tak resistance level ko tor nahi saka. Ye kamzori note mein US ki core inflation rate ke retardation se attributed ki ja sakti hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke liye aik ahem metric hai. Ye is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke Fed ko is saal baad mein interest rates cut karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai. Aage dekhte hue, bulls ke liye raasta saaf nazar aata hai apne naya revived momentum ko continue karne ke liye. Unka agla target lagta hai ke chart par blue moving average hai, jo ke takreeban 0.6690 par hai. Kal ke trading mein jo aakhri candle form hui, jo ke "inquiry candle" thi, usay kuch analysts reversal ka sign nahi samajhte. Agar AUD/USD pair waqai blue moving average ko paar kar sakti hai, toh bulls apna target aur bhi upar laga sakte hain, aiming for current local high of 0.6714. Magar, kuch judges believe karte hain ke sustained move beyond is point se doubtful hai. Is level ko reach karna kuch profit-taking ko spark kar sakta hai, jahan investors apni AUD positions sell karenge anticipation mein ke potential pullback ho sakta hai. Agar selloff hota hai, toh AUD ke liye pehli line of defense support level par hogi jo ke 0.6619 par hai. Intermediate support level bhi hai 0.6655 par jo ke kuch temporary relief de sakta hai price ke aur niche girne se pehle.
Overall, sentiment cautiously optimistic hai AUD/USD pair ke liye. Decaying USD potential interest rate cuts ke sabab Aussie Dollar ke liye tailwinds provide karta hai. Magar, kuch judges conservative rehte hain, advising caution jab price local high ko reach karay aur suggesting selling opportunities wahan arise ho sakti hain

Is waqt, AUD/USD pair 0.6660 ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, jahan ek prevailing bearish trend hai. Halanki current sluggishness ke bawajood, main anticipate karta hoon ke AUD/USD pair mein near future mein ek significant movement ho sakta hai. Yeh movement various factors jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya market sentiment shifts se influenced ho sakti hai. Traders aur investors ko closely developments ko monitor karna chahiye taake potential opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein jo in movements se arise hoti hain.

Bilkul, AUD/USD pair ka current level 0.6660 ek bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai, lekin kayi catalysts substantial movement ko trigger kar sakte hain. Factors jaise ke economic reports, geopolitical tensions, ya market mood mein shifts aksar significant fluctuations ko lead karti hain. Vigilant rehna aur swiftly react karna in developments par traders aur investors ko profitable opportunities seize karne mein madad de sakta hai.

Aam tor par, AUD/USD ki current position 0.6660 ek dominant bearish sentiment ko indicate karti hai. Lekin, various factors, including economic data, geopolitical tensions, aur market sentiment mein changes, near future mein significant movements ko spark kar sakti hain. Is liye, yeh zaroori hai ke traders aur investors vigilant aur flexible rahen, tayyar rahen profitable opportunities ko seize karne ke liye jo in fluctuations ke darmiyan emerge ho sakti hain.

Recent market activity ko review karte hue, pichle Friday ko, AUD/USD pair 0.6583 level par open hui. Friday ke trading session ke doran, pair ne kaafi movements experience ki, high of 0.6613 aur low of 0.6578 tak pohonchi. Yeh fluctuations pair ki volatility aur short timeframe mein buying aur selling ke opportunities ko highlight karti hain. Given the current market conditions aur anticipated upward movement, traders ko price action ko specified entry range mein closely monitor karna chahiye. Market indicators aur global economic events par bhi nazar rakhna crucial hai jo currency movements ko impact kar sakti hain.

Aaj, AUD/USD pair poised hai ek upward move ke liye, jo traders ke liye favorable moment banata hai ke buy orders ko 0.6604 aur 0.66279 ke darmiyan consider karein. Is move ke liye projected target 0.6676 hai, aur recommendation yeh hai ke safe trading ke liye position ka aadha hissa 0.6635 par close kar dein. Market trends ko carefully analyze karke aur strategic approach ko employ karke, traders apne profit potential ko optimize kar sakte hain jabke risk ko effectively manage kar sakte hain.

AUD/USD


Australian dollar me subah ke trade me thori si behtari hui, jo apni aggressive trend ko jari rakha. 0.6650 ka level ek mazboot price magnet hai, aur currency waqatian tor par is level pe ruki hui hai. Lekin, 0.67 ka level ek significant resistance barrier hai, aur lagta hai ke market ke liye is level se upar jana mushkil hoga.

Agar Australian dollar 0.67 ka level paar kar sake, to is ka target 0.68 ho sakta hai. Pichlay 30 dinon me is range me trading mazboot rahi hai. Neeche, 0.66 ka level strong support provide karta hai, jo 50-day aur 200-day EMAs ke kareeb hai, aur market ke liye ek solid bottom provide karta hai.

Australian dollar abhi sideways trading pattern me phasa hua hai, jo ke short-term trading strategies ko zyada munasib banata hai. Bahut se traders choti price movements ko uthate hain is tight range me, aur obviously sar hilate hain. Agar market apni current range se breakout kar jaye, to ek milestone aa sakta hai, lekin filhal capital investment ko justify karna mushkil hai.

Australia ke exports pe inhasar hone ki wajah se, global economic conditions aur commodity prices jaise factors Australian dollar ke movement ko influence karte hain. Yeh complex interaction current market uncertainty aur sideways action ka sabab hai. Traders ko nimble rehna chahiye aur short-term trends pe react karna chahiye, kyun ke market me stability ke liye koi clear incentive nahi hai.

Summary me, Australian dollar ek narrow range me trade kar raha hai, 0.6650 ek key price magnet ke tor pe act kar raha hai, aur 0.67 ek important resistance level hai. 0.66 pe support hai, aur 50-day aur 200-day EMAs ne strength foundation ko reinforce kiya hai. Short-term marketing techniques, jaise ke hair massage, is situation me bohot effective ho sakti hain. Jab ke is approach se break karna major moves le sakta hai, current market conditions ka matlab hai ke ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai.

AUD/USD currency pair

Kal ke AUD/USD currency pair ki performance ne bazar ke gatiyon ka dilchasp safar dikhaya, jisme ek ruchi aur kuchh samjhane mein mushkil ek trading session tha. Shuru mein, price action mein ek oopri raftar dekhi gayi, jab price ne pichle din ke range ka naya uchitam pratibimb kiya. Is oopri utsah ne ek bullish bhavna ke jaari rehne ki sambhavna ko darshaya, jo sambhavatah sakaratmak arthik data ya bazar ki bhavna ke kaaran US dollar ke mukabale Australian dollar ki prashansa se prabhavit ho sakti hai. Lekin agami price action ne ek alag mod liya.

Naye uchitam tak pahunchne ke baad, bazar ki dynamics mein vyapak parivartan dekha gaya. Price ko oopar badhane wala bullish utsah dheema padhne laga, jiske kaaran ek palatav hua. Yeh palatav sirf ek sadharan correction nahi tha, balki ek aspasht dakshin ki taraf ki push thi. Bechne wale dheere-dheere niyantran mein aaye aur price ko niche le gaye. Is dakshin ki chal ko aspashtata ke saath darshaya gaya, jo trading din ke ant mein bane candle mein dekha gaya.

Is natije waale daily candle ko uske aspasht prakriti se pehchana gaya, jo bazar mein anishchitata aur sankuchan ko pakadta hai. Shuru ki bullish utsah ke bawjood, palatav ne ek candle ka nirman kiya jisme thoda sa bearish fayda tha. Iska matlab hai ki jabki candle ne apne khulne se nichle star par bandh hone ka sanket diya, jo ek bearish bandh ko darshata hai, lekin farq itna pramukh nahi tha ki ek nishchit bearish trend ki suchi ki ja sake. Balki, candle ne bazar ki anishchitata ko vyakt kiya, jisme na to bailon ne aur na hi bechne wale ne ek spasht pramukhata sthapit ki.

Aur iske alawa, daily candle ka bandh hone ka samay ek aise naye bharnav kshetr ke andar tha, jo kaha ja sakta hai ki yah ek uttejit kshetra hai. Ek bharnav kshetr aam taur par ek avadhi hoti hai jahan price range ke andar jamti hai, iska matlab hai ki bazar ke participants positions jamate hain, jise ek ya do disha mein prabhedan ke liye taiyar hote hain. Candle ka bandh hone is kshetr ke andar iska ishaara deta hai ki bazar taiyar ho gaya hai, shayad mahatvapurn arthik data ya rajnaitik ghatnaon ka intezaar kar raha hai jo ek nishchit price movement ke liye protsahan pradan kar sakta hai.

Ant mein, kal ke AUD/USD trading session mein shuru ki bullish breakout ke baad ek aspasht aur sankuchit palatav tha. Din bearish fayda ke saath samapt hua, lekin ek bharnav kshetr ke andar, jo bazar ki vartaman anishchitata ko darshata hai. Niveshakon ko aane waale sessions mein is pair ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye, kyun ki is bharnav avdhi ka hal karne se mahatvapurn price movements ho sakte hain. AUD/USD bazar ke ane waale trends ka labh uthane ke liye in dynamics ko samajhna mahatvapurn hai.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ko apne hum asar karansi, khaaskar US Dollar (USD), ke muqable mein mushkilat ka samna hai. AUD/USD pair is waqt 0.6640 ke ahmiyat k rakhti support level ke ird gird hai, jo ke iski 20-day simple moving average (SMA) se defined hai. Yeh kamzori kuch factors ki wajah se hai. Pehle, Judo Bank ke Australia se preliminary PMI data ne mulk ki ma'ashi halat ka koi achha tasur nahi diya. Yeh, aur barhati hui US Treasury yields aur Standard & Poor's ke positive PMI readings ne USD ko mazid mazbooti di. Kuch achi nishaniyan Australia ki economy mein hain, magar lagataar barhati hui mehngai ne Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko possible interest rate cuts se roka hua hai jo ke AUD ko mazid mazboot kar sakti hain. Yeh monetary policy easing mein takheer RBA ko khatra mein dal rahi hai ke woh G10 central banks mein se aakhri hogi jo aisa qadam uthayegi, jo ke AUD ke gains ko rok sakti hai. AUD/USD pair aik mahine se zyada se holding pattern mein hai, aur 0.6713 ke paanch mahine ke high ko paar nahi kar payi. Neechey ki taraf, downtrend ko upward sloping 50-day EMA ne limited rakha hai.
Agar buying pressure wapas aata hai, toh yeh pair initially 0.6713 level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke iski recent trading range ka upper boundary hai. Is resistance point se upar ek strong break se yeh 0.6870 mark tak ja sakta hai, jo December 2023 ka high tha. Magar agar yeh 0.6713 se upar hold nahi kar pati, toh yeh 0.6898 double top area ko phir se test kar sakta hai jo pichle summer mein bana tha. Dosri taraf, agar yeh niche jata hai, toh initial support 0.6643 level par milegi, jo April aur May mein pehle resistance thi. Agar yeh point se downward breakout confirm hota hai, toh yeh pair 0.6590 support zone tak ja sakta hai, jo 50-day EMA ke saath coincide karta hai. Aur zyada decline hone par yeh 0.6558, jo pair ki recent trading range ka lower limit hai, par ruk sakta hai. Technical indicators kamzor hoti hui bullish momentum ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar hai magar downward trend mein hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ab bhi red bar dikha raha hai. Bullish outlook ko mazid mazboot karne ke liye, AUD/USD ko 20-day SMA ke upar firm support establish karni hogi. Aane wale dinon mein, sellers is support level ki resilience ko mazeed test kar sakte hain.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ko apne peers ke muqable mein, khas tor par US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein mushkilat ka samna hai. AUD/USD pair is waqt 0.6640 ke critical support level par hai, jo ke uski 20-day simple moving average (SMA) se defined hai. Yeh kamzori mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hai. Pehle, Judo Bank ke preliminary PMI data ne Australia ki economy ki achi tasveer nahi dikhai. Yeh, US Treasury yields ke barhne aur Standard & Poor's se positive PMI readings ke sath mil kar USD ko mazid mazboot bana rahe hain.


Australia ki economy mein kuch positive signs ke bawajood, barhti hui mehngai ki wajah se Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate cuts ke potential par rok lagayi hui hai jo AUD ko mazboot bana sakti thi. Monetary policy easing mein takheer RBA ko G10 central banks mein se aakhri hone ke risk par dal rahi hai, jo ke AUD ke gains ko rok sakti hai. AUD/USD pair pichle ek mahine se holding pattern mein hai, 0.6713 ke five-month high ko cross karne mein nakam hai. Neeche ki taraf, downtrend upward sloping 50-day EMA se limited lagta hai.

Agar buying pressure wapas aaye, to pair shuru mein 0.6713 level ko target kar sakti hai, jo ke iski recent trading range ka upper boundary hai. Is resistance point ke upar ek decisive break pair ko 0.6870 mark ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo December 2023 ka high tha. Lekin, agar 0.6713 ke upar hold na kar sake, to pair 0.6898 ke double top area ko dobara test kar sakti hai jo pichle summer mein form hua tha. Dosri taraf, agar reversal lower ho jaye to pair initial support 0.6643 level par dhoondh sakti hai, jo April aur May mein resistance ka kaam kar chuka hai. Is point se downward breakout confirm hone par pair 0.6590 support zone ko expose kar sakti hai, jo 50-day EMA ke sath coincide karta hai. Mazid girawat 0.6558 par ruk sakti hai, jo pair ki recent trading range ka lower limit hai.

Technical indicators waning bullish momentum ka ishara de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 50 ke upar hai magar niche ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jab ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) red bar dikhata hai. Bullish outlook ko solidify karne ke liye, AUD/USD ko 20-day SMA ke upar firm support establish karna zaroori hai. Anay wale dino mein, sellers is support level ki resilience ko mazid test karne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

Australian Dollar (AUD) apne peer currencies ke muqable mein, khaaskar US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein mushkilaat ka samna kar raha hai. AUD/USD pair is waqt apne ahem support level 0.6640 ke qareeb hai, jo ke apne 20-day simple moving average (SMA) se defined hai. Is ki kamzori ke peeche kuch asbab hain. Pehla, Judo Bank se Australia ka preliminary PMI data mulk ki ma'ashi sehat ka accha manzar pesh nahi kar raha. Is ke saath, barhati hui US Treasury yields aur Standard & Poor's ke positive PMI readings ne USD ko mazboot bana diya hai. Australia ki ma'ashi surat-e-haal mein kuch positive nishaniyan hone ke bawajood, muskila tor par high inflation figures Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko potential interest rate cuts se rok rahe hain jo AUD ko mazboot kar sakte hain. Ye monetary policy easing mein takheer RBA ko G10 central banks mein se aakhri hone ke khatre mein daal rahi hai, jo AUD ki gains ko hinder kar sakta hai. AUD/USD pair ko aik maheene se zyada se holding pattern mein dekha ja raha hai, jo ke five-month high 0.6713 ko paar nahi kar paya hai. Neeche ki taraf, downtrend ko upward sloping 50-d ne limited rakha hai.
Agar buying pressure wapas aata hai, toh ye pair pehle 0.6713 level ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke is ke recent trading range ka upper boundary hai. Is resistance point ke upar ek tehqiqi break is ko 0.6870 mark ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke December 2023 ka high tha. Magar, agar ye 0.6713 ke upar hold nahi kar pata, toh ye dobara 0.6898 double top area jo pichle summer mein bana tha, ko retest kar sakta hai. Is ke bar'aks, ek reversal niche ko initial support 0.6643 level pe dhondh sakta hai, jo ke April aur May mein resistance ka kaam kar chuka hai. Is point se confirmed downward breakout pair ko 0.6590 support zone expose kar sakta hai, jo ke 50-day EMA ke sath coincide karta hai. Mazid girawat 0.6558 pe rok sakti hai, jo ke pair ke recent trading range ka lower limit hai. Technical indicators bullish momentum ke waning ki hint de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se upar hai magar niche ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jab ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) red bar dikha raha hai. Bullish outlook ko solidify karne ke liye, AUD/USD ko 20-day SMA ke upar firm support establish karna zaroori hai. Aane wale dino mein, sellers further is support level ki resilience test kar sakte hain.

Asian market mein Tuesday ko (May 21) AUDUSD thoda upar gaya jab Westpac Consumer Confidence Index release hui. Yeh index May mein 0.3% month-on-month giri, jo April mein 2.4% decline ke muqablay mein kam thi, aur yeh teen mahine tak lagataar declines ka silsila tha, lekin sabse modest pace ke sath. Magar, jab U.S. dollar index rebound hua, Australian dollar ne downward turn liya aur 0.6646 ka chaar din ka low hit kiya.

Australian dollar ko support milne ka imkaan hai kyunki Asian country ne ek wide package announce kiya hai taake apne struggling property markets ko support kare, including easing mortgage rules aur local governments ko unsold homes kharidne ka urge kiya. Yeh sentiment ko Australian markets mein boost de sakta hai kyunki dono mulk close trading partners hain.

Dollar steady trade kar raha tha amid the absence of top economic data from the United States. Rising U.S. Treasury yields ne dollar ko support provide kiya. Federal Reserve abhi bhi inflation aur iss saal ke interest rate cuts ke possibility pe cautious hai.

Reserve Bank of Australia ki May meeting ke minutes Tuesday ko release hue jo dikhate hain ke central bank ne interest rates raise karne ka consider kiya tha. Overall rhetoric hawkish hai aur Australian dollar ko support provide karta hai.

Reserve Bank of Australia ne meeting ke minutes mein kaha ke rising inflation risks ke wajah se interest rates raise karne ka consider kiya gaya tha, lekin aakhir mein stay on hold decide kiya, taake "excessive fine-tuning" of policy se bacha ja sake. Reserve Bank of Australia ko lagta hai ke agar inflation forecasts bohot optimistic hain, toh interest rates raise karna zaroori ho sakta hai.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS


Australian dollar Tuesday ko around 0.6660 trade kar raha tha. Australian aur US daily charts ek ascending triangle pattern dikhate hain. Furthermore, 14-day RSI bullish sentiment dikhata hai aur 50 mark se upar hai.





4o

Central bank ne 4.35% rate ko saat musalsal sessions tak barqarar rakha hai lekin agah kiya hai ke agar inflation mein kami nahi aayi to wo rate ko barha sakte hain. Core CPI mein halki si kami achi khabar hai, lekin August mein rate hike ko rokne ke liye yeh kafi nahi ho sakti. Inflation data ka mayusi ka izhar karke yeh batata hai ke devaluation 2025 tak jari reh sakti hai. RBA chahti hai ke inflation 2% se 3% ke target range mein wapas aaye aur prices ko neeche nahi layegi jab tak inflation 3% ke upper limit ke kareeb nahi hota.
Budh ko Australia Melbourne Institute inflation expectations release karega, jo May ke 4.1% se barh kar June mein 4.3% hone ki umeed hai. AUDUSD currency pair ne bearish engulfing candle banayi, jo AUDUSD ko 0.6640 par bechne ka mazboot ishara hai. Meri observations ke mutabiq, Relative Strength Index 14 indicator ne dikhaya ke AUDUSD ka price 0.66840 par already overbought tha, to isliye yeh mumkin hai ke raat ko AUDUSD ka girawat jari rahega aur 0.6640 tak pohonchega. SELL AUDUSD signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods support kar rahe hain, kyunki jab AUDUSD price 0.6670 par thi, to wo SBR area mein thi, isliye mumkin hai ke raat ko AUDUSD wapas 0.6640 tak correct karegi.

Aaj ke AUDUSD movement ke liye meri technical analysis ke buniyad par, maine faisla kiya hai ke aane wale waqt mein AUDUSD ko 0.6640 par bechoon. AUD/USD pair 0.6583 level par open hui. Jumme ke trading session ke dauran, pair ne mukhtalif movements experience ki, jisme high 0.6613 aur low 0.6578 tha. Yeh fluctuations pair ki volatility aur khareed aur bechne ke short timeframe mein mokay ko highlight karte hain. Mojuda market conditions aur anticipated upward movement ko dekhte hue, traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye specified entry range ke andar. Market indicators aur global economic events par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo currency movements ko impact kar sakte hain.

AUD/USD pair aaj upward move ke liye tayyar hai, jo traders ke liye 0.6604 aur 0.66279 ke darmiyan buy orders kholne ka moqa mohaiya kar raha hai. Is move ka projected target 0.6676 hai, aur safe trading ke liye 0.6635 par position ka aadha hissa band karne ki recommendation hai. Market trends ko dekhte hue aur strategic approach ko istemal karke, traders apni potential profit ko optimize kar sakte hain aur risk ko effectively manage kar sakte hain.

Agar buying pressure wapas aata hai, to pair initially 0.6713 level ko target kar sakta hai, jo iski recent trading range ka upper boundary hai. Is resistance point ke upar ka decisive break pair ko 0.6870 mark tak le ja sakta hai, jo December 2023 ka high tha. Agar 0.6713 ke upar hold karne mein nakam hota hai, to yeh 0.6898 double top area ko retest kar sakta hai jo last summer mein bana tha. Ulti taraf, agar reversal lower hoti hai, to pair pehli support 0.6643 level par dhoond sakta hai, jo April aur May ke dauran resistance ka kaam karta tha. Is point se downward breakout pair ko 0.6590 support zone tak le ja sakta hai, jo 50-day EMA ke sath coincide karta hai. Mazeed declines 0.6558 par rok sakte hain, jo pair ki recent trading range ka lower limit hai. Technical indicators bullish momentum ko kamzor dikhate hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se upar hai lekin downwards trend mein hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) red bar display kar raha hai. Bullish outlook ko solidify karne ke liye, AUD/USD ko 20-day SMA ke upar mazboot support establish karna hoga. Aane wale dinon mein, sellers is support level ki resilience ko aur test karne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

Aap ne jo chart share kiya hai, usmein AUD/USD ka daily candlestick chart hai. Yeh chart humein Australian Dollar (AUD) aur US Dollar (USD) ke exchange rate ke mutabiq market trends aur indicators ka pata deta hai. Aayiye is chart ko detail mein dekhte hain.

Candlestick Analysis: Chart par candlesticks use ki gayi hain jo daily price movements ko show kar rahi hain. Green candlesticks ka matlab hai ke closing price opening price se zyada hai (bullish trend), jabke red candlesticks ka matlab hai ke closing price opening price se kam hai (bearish trend). Aap dekh sakte hain ke March se lekar mid-April tak AUD/USD mein ek decline nazar aaya, lekin uske baad market ne recovery show ki.

Moving Average: Chart par ek red line bhi nazar aa rahi hai jo Moving Average (MA) hai. Yeh average price ko smooth karke overall trend ko show karti hai. MA ke niche price movement se bearish trend ka pata chalta hai, jabke MA ke upar price movement se bullish trend ka pata chalta hai. Is chart mein MA ka slope kaafi flat hai jo ke range-bound market ya sideways trend ko indicate karta hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): Chart ke neeche RSI indicator bhi show ho raha hai. Yeh indicator price momentum ko measure karta hai aur 30 aur 70 ke levels important hote hain. RSI agar 30 se neeche ho to oversold condition aur agar 70 se upar ho to overbought condition show karta hai. Is chart mein RSI ka value 51.69 hai jo ke neutral zone mein hai, iska matlab hai ke market mein koi strong bullish ya bearish momentum nahi hai.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): RSI ke neeche MACD indicator bhi show ho raha hai. MACD ke do lines aur ek histogram hota hai jo trend direction aur strength ko show karta hai. Is chart mein MACD ka value 0.00099 hai, jo ke bohot close hai zero ke, iska matlab hai ke market mein koi clear trend nazar nahi aa raha.

Volumes: Candlesticks ke neeche volume bars bhi show ho rahi hain. Volume humein batata hai ke kitni trading activity ho rahi hai. High volume ka matlab hai ke zyada trading ho rahi hai, jo ke strong market move ko support karti hai.

Summary: Yeh chart show karta hai ke AUD/USD abhi ek range-bound phase mein hai jahan koi clear trend nazar nahi aa raha. RSI aur MACD dono neutral zone mein hain, aur Moving Average bhi kaafi flat hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke market participants abhi direction ka wait kar rahe hain aur koi strong move aane ka intezar hai. Trading karte waqt yeh indicators zaroor madadgar ho sakte hain taake aap better decision le saken.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD currency pair, jo ke Australian Dollar (AUD) aur US Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan exchange rate ko represent karta hai, filhal 0.6676 par hai. Agar hum current trend ko dekhein, to market mein bearish tendencies nazar aa rahi hain. Yeh indicate karta hai ke AUD ki value USD ke muqablay mein kam ho rahi hai.

Bearish trend ka matlab hai ke prices gir rahi hain, jo forex trading ke context mein yeh batata hai ke Australian Dollar ki value kam ho rahi hai USD ke muqablay mein. Bohot se factors is trend ko contribute kar sakte hain. Economic indicators jaise ke inflation rates, employment data, GDP growth, aur central bank policies Australia aur United States dono mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Iske ilawa, global market sentiment, geopolitical events, aur commodity prices (especially since Australia ek major exporter hai commodities ka, jaise ke iron ore aur coal) bhi exchange rate par significant asar daal sakte hain.

0.6676 ke current rate par, AUD/USD pair aise level par trade kar rahi hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke investors ka zyada confidence USD mein hai as compared to AUD. US economy, jo ke stability aur strength ke liye mashhoor hai, aksar uncertainty ke daur mein investors ko attract karti hai, jis se USD strong ho jata hai. Dusri taraf, agar Australia mein koi economic challenges ya uncertainties hain to AUD weak ho sakta hai.

Despite current bearish trend, kuch expectations hain ke AUD/USD pair agle kuch dinon mein significant movement dekh sakta hai. Kai potential catalysts is movement ko drive kar sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar Australia ka economic data behtar hota hai, jaise ke stronger employment numbers ya higher-than-expected GDP growth, to yeh AUD ko boost de sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, central bank actions bhi critical factor hain. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) in US ka monetary policies ke zariye apni currencies par bohot zyada influence hota hai. Agar RBA ek zyada hawkish stance adopt karti hai, signaling potential rate hikes, to yeh AUD ko strong kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar Fed ek dovish outlook indicate karti hai, suggesting potential rate cuts, to yeh USD ko weak kar sakta hai, jis se AUD/USD pair benefit karega.

Ek aur aspect jo consider karna chahiye wo hai global economic environment. Trade relations, khaaskar US aur China ke darmiyan, AUD/USD exchange rate par bhi asar daal sakti hain. Australia ke China ke sath strong trade ties hain, aur agar US-China trade relations mein positive developments hoti hain, to yeh indirectly AUD ko benefit de sakti hain by boosting Australia’s export prospects. Conversely, agar in relations mein deterioration hoti hai, to yeh AUD ko nuqsan pohncha sakti hai.

Commodity prices, khaaskar un Australian exports ke jaise ke iron ore, coal, aur natural gas, bhi crucial hain. Rising commodity prices generally Australian Dollar ko support karti hain, kyunki yeh trade balance aur economic outlook for Australia ko improve karti hain. Is liye, commodity market trends ko monitor karna AUD/USD pair ki movements ko anticipate karne ke liye zaroori hai.

Nateejatan, jabke AUD/USD filhal bearish trend experience kar rahi hai aur exchange rate 0.6676 par hai, kai factors hain jo ke near future mein significant movements ko lead kar sakte hain. Economic data releases, central bank policies, global trade relations, aur commodity prices sab critical elements hain jo watch karni chahiye. Traders aur investors ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur in developments se khabardaar rehna chahiye, kyunki yeh valuable insights provide kar sakti hain into the future direction of AUD/USD currency pair. Forex market inherently volatile hai, aur macroeconomic environment ke bare mein informed rehna well-informed trading decisions banane ke liye key hai.

Daily time frame mein AUDUSD pair ka analysis

AUDUSD pair, jo Monday ko trade hui thi, fir se sellers ke zariye dominate hui. Sellers ne buyers ki bullish efforts ko resistance area 0.6710-0.6705 par rok diya, jo ke strengthen ho gaya tha sellers ke zariye. Sellers ne stronger selling pressure apply karke price ko wapas bearish move ki taraf push kar diya.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator use karke monitor kiya gaya toh yeh dekha gaya ke price ko sellers ne Upper Bollinger Bands area se nicha kar diya bearish move ke sath, jis se price sellers ke zariye dominate ho gayi. Khaskar jab sellers ne trade close karke ek strong bearish candlestick form ki aur yeh indication di ke AUDUSD pair ka market abhi bhi potential rakhta hai deeper bearish move ka, target kam az kam Middle Bollinger Bands area tak le jane ka jo ke 0.6600-0.6595 par hai. Lekin agar sellers Middle Bollinger Bands area ko breakout karne mein na kamyab rahe, toh price sirf ek correction ke taur par fall karegi aur phir se bounce back kar ke bullish move kar sakti hai future mein.

Tuesday afternoon ke trading mein buyers ke efforts ko dobara dekha gaya jo ke bullish momentum ko maintain karne ke liye price ko wapas upar le jane ka plan kar rahe the after holding back bearish sellers support area 0.6655-0.6650 par. Iss se buyers ko mauka mila ke price ko bullish move mein wapas le aayen, target ke sath ke dobara seller resistance area 0.6710-0.6705 ko retest karein jo ke penetrate karna zaroori hai agar price ko aur bhi upar le jana hai agle target seller supply resistance area 0.6750-0.6760 tak.

RSI indicator bhi yeh dikhata hai ke price jo ke pehle level 63 area par thi, woh ab level 59 area ki taraf move hui hai, indicating ke selling pressure jo ke sellers ne kiya, abhi bhi kaafi strong hai aur RSI level 25 area tak pohanchne ka mauka rakhta hai aaj ki trading mein.

Nateeja:

Sell entries tab karni chahiye agar seller support area 0.6655-0.6650 ko penetrate karne mein kamyab ho jate hain, TP area 0.6620-0.6610 par.

Buy entry tab karni chahiye agar buyer resistance area ko break karne mein kamyab hote hain by placing a pending buy-stop order at the price 0.6715-0.6720, TP target 0.6750-0.6760 par.