eur/usd

EUR/USD Analysis in Roman Urdu

Ab bhi kuch targets humare samne hain jo abhi tak achieve nahi hue - yeh levels hain 1.0850 aur 1.0877. Yeh levels most likely aise positions accumulate karenge jo EUR/USD ko pressure gain karne aur neeche move hone mein madad kar sakti hain. Level 1.0877 par sell karne ka idea bohot interesting hai, lekin current level aur 1.0850 se sell karna promising nahi lagta. Price 1.0880-90 ke level ke upar bhi ja sakti hai aur 1.0920 tak pahunch sakti hai, phir 1.0877 ke level ke neeche wapas aakar pair sell karne ka hint de sakti hai.

Aaj euro versus US dollar currency pair thoda sa gir gaya, lekin overall situation par iska zyada asar nahi padta, kyunki four-hour chart par hum dekhte hain ke local trend ab bhi upward hai aur channel ke lower border tak kaafi space hai. Toh EUR/USD currency pair short term mein hundredth Fibonacci level, jo ke around 1.0780 hai aur last Monday ka peak hai, tak bhi gir sakti hai. Lekin hume situation ko dekhna hoga, kyunki buy signals chhoti resistance levels se bhi appear ho sakte hain. Is case mein, main ab bhi price rise hone ki expect karunga, isliye main selling ka potential consider nahi karta. Targets ki baat karen toh hum same Fibonacci grid ko refer kar sakte hain, lekin since 161 euro ka level already reach ho chuka hai, ab hum level 200 ki processing expect kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair M15 timeframe par already ek acha signal diya hai, ab analysis karne ka waqt hai. EUR/USD price resistance se higher rise hui hai, indicating ke buyers ne market dominate kar liya hai. Current lowest EUR/USD price 1.08241 hai, jo previous lowest price 1.08216 se higher hai, yeh movement indicate karti hai ke EUR/USD price uptrend experience kar rahi hai, isliye buying opportunities dhoondne ka waqt hai. EUR/USD price ka increase abhi tak basic supply se roka gaya hai. Filhal EUR/USD price upper Bollinger band ke around move kar rahi hai, toh middle Bollinger band ki taraf down hone ka waqt hai. EUR/USD price ke significant aur consistent strengthen hone se yeh overbought ho gayi hai jo stochastic oscillator ke level 80 ke upar hone se indicate hoti hai, isliye level 20 ki taraf down hone ka waqt hai. Bollinger Bands aur Stochastic Oscillator indicators se dekh kar, EUR/USD price correction ke dauran down move karegi.

EUR/USD Pair Faces Downward Pressure Amid Strengthening US Dollar
Thursday ko, EUR/USD currency pair ne notable decline dekha, aur critical 1.0900 level ko hit kiya. Yeh downward movement broader strengthening of the US dollar ke sath coincide hui. US jobless claims data ke release ne, jo unexpected increase dikhaya, Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cut ki umeedon ko September mein bolster kiya. Iske muqabil, European Central Bank ka stance interest rates ko September mein maintain karne par uncertain hai due to conflicting economic indicators.

Market participants ab eagerly EU Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) inflation data ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain jo agle hafte aayega. Yeh data European Central Bank ke future monetary policy decisions ko determine karne mein crucial hoga, khaaskar June mein initial rate cut ke baad. Recent price action ne past three weeks mein higher highs aur higher lows ka pattern dikhaya hai, lekin ascending channel ke upper boundary ko breach karne mein failure potential bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Additionally, RSI aur Stochastic indicators ke negative readings near-term weakness ki possibility ko reinforce karte hain.

Key Levels and Technical Indicators:

- Support Level: Agar nearby support level of 1.0928 breach hota hai, to EUR/USD pair significant decline experience kar sakta hai towards the lower channel boundary at 1.0898. A decisive close below yeh level overall uptrend ko undermine karega.

- Moving Average: 50-period moving average ke neeche sharp drop at 1.0870 ek pronounced bearish reversal signal karega, jo potentially 1.0850 area ko target karega, jo ek former resistance level hai.

Summary:

EUR/USD pair downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai due to several factors, including the potential for a Federal Reserve rate cut, European Central Bank ke monetary policy ke aas paas uncertainty, aur technical indicators jo potential bearish shift ko suggest karte hain. Market participants ko upcoming EU HICP inflation data ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke yeh data ECB ke future decisions ko shape karne mein pivotal role play karega.

EUR/USD Price Recap

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke current behavior ka analysis karenge. Position reverse karne ki koi jaldi nahi hai, kyun ke ek critical market participant ab bhi buying kar raha hai aur 60% se zyada log selling kar rahe hain. Yeh scenario rapidly shift hone ke chances kam hain. Naye trading week ke start mein upward trend continue rehne ki umeed hai, jo remaining buyers ko remove karne ki taraf le jayega. Daily chart ko analyze karte hue, ek sideways wedge form hoti nazar aa rahi hai jahan euro/dollar trade kar raha hai. Lower boundary par rebound karne ke baad, local minimum 1.0659 se euro/dollar pair ne ek upward movement shuru kiya, jo ek incomplete wave form kar rahi hai, kyun ke price abhi wedge ki upper boundary tak nahi pohanchi. Isliye, 1.0659 ke level se euro/dollar pair ko current levels se resistance line tak buy karna advisable hai, jo ke around 1.0959 ya 1.0969 par intersect kar rahi hai. Isliye, market ke opening se buying recommend ki jati hai.




Euro-dollar pair ko examine karne ke baad, weekly chart par ek reversal pattern nazar aa raha hai. Choti pin bar ke bawajood, yeh suggest karta hai ke pair pehle ke levels tak rise kar sakta hai, jo around 1.0628 hain. Yeh is liye hai kyun ke pair ke iss level se exceed hone ke chances kam hain jab tak naye inflation data release nahi hotay, jo ke stagnation ke end ka indication de sakte hain. Daily chart par main growth predict karta hoon 1.0973 tak, jo ke maximum level hai support par wapas aane se pehle jo ke 1.0668 par hai. Four-hour chart bhi data release se pehle ek range depict karta hai, jo potential movement out of stagnation ko indicate karta hai. Pair ne grey range mein revert kar liya hai, jo suggest karta hai ke yeh opposite range boundaries tak pohanch sakta hai.

Euro (EUR) ne hafte ki shuruat dheere dheere ki, US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf 1.0900 ke level ke niche ghoom raha tha. Yeh pur-sukoon shuruat ek masroofiyat ke baad aayi hai jo currency pair ke liye thi. Hafte ke shuru mein bade economic data releases ki kami ke bawajood, EUR/USD traders ab bhi key Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke Wednesday ko European Union (EU) aur US se release hone wala hai. Is hafte ki shuruat ki khamoshi ka matlab hai ke Monday aur Tuesday ko EUR/USD ek balanced range mein trade karne ki umeed hai, jab tak investors data ke liye position nahi le lete. Tuesday ko sirf ek aham data point hoga - US existing home sales figures for June. Lekin, EUR/USD traders ki asli nazar Wednesday par hogi, jab PMI data price movements ko drive karega. Hafte ke doosre hisse mein high-impact US economic data release hogi. Thursday ko US GDP figures for the second quarter of 2024 release hongi, jo ke US economy ki long-term health ke baare mein valuable insights provide karegi. Finally, Friday ko key US inflation data hafte ka aakhri data point hoga, jo currency markets ke liye data-packed week ko wrap up karega.




Recent pullback ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair pichle teen hafton se upward trend par hai. Yeh uptrend price chart par higher highs aur higher lows ke series se characterize hoti hai. Lekin, kuch technical indicators nazar de rahe hain ke short-term mein kamzori dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Stochastic Oscillator dono negative ho rahe hain, jo short-term pullback ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar nearby support level 1.0928 break hota hai, to EUR/USD lower border of the established ascending channel on the 4-hour chart tak gir sakta hai jo 1.0898 par hai. Agar is level ke niche decisive close hota hai to uptrend ke continuation par doubt ho sakta hai. 50-period moving average ke niche ek significant break, jo ke 1.0870 par hai, ek strong bearish signal hoga, jo EUR/USD prices ko 1.0850 area tak le ja sakta hai, jahan ek pehle ki resistance trend line maujood hai.

EUR/USD 1

Aaj, pair ki price ne upward trend ke sath price channels mein trading shuru ki, jo ke do din se upward trend mein thi. Kal, aakhri upward wave ke dauran, price ne 1.0884 ke resistance level tak pahuncha aur phir correction ke liye girna shuru kar diya. Asian period ke dauran, correction sideways direction mein chalti rahi, jab price ne price channel lines tak pahuncha, jo price ko support dene lagi.

Ab price ek achi buying zone mein trade kar rahi hai, kyunke lower channel lines aur weekly level 1.0884 se support mil raha hai. Isliye, current level se buy karna aur target level 1.0929 ke niche set karna appropriate hai. Economic side se, pair ki rise US inflation numbers ke lower hone ki wajah se hui hai.




Aage dekhte hue, traders key economic indicators par nazar rakhenge jo Eurozone aur United States se aayenge, taake EUR/USD ki future direction ko samjha ja sake. Kisi bhi significant data releases, khaaskar inflation, employment, aur central bank policies se related, pair mein substantial volatility trigger kar sakti hai.

Nishkarsh ke tor par, EUR/USD ka Thursday ko strong performance, jo ke 1.0845 ke resistance ko breach kar ke 1.0897 tak ucha, current bullish sentiment ko highlight karta hai. Pair ki ability to maintain its position above the former resistance level, agla move determine karne mein crucial hogi. Market participants ko economic data ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye jo pair ke trajectory ko influence kar sakta hai, khaaskar 1.0894 ke around supply area jo further upside potential ko limit kar sakta hai.

Aaj ki Trading Session: EUR/USD Ka Uchaapan

Aaj ke trading session mein EUR/USD pair ne apni chadhai jari rakhi, jo ke US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hone ki wajah se hua. Dollar ki girawat us waqt tez ho gayi jab Federal Reserve ne agle saal interest rate cuts ke izhaar kiya, jo rate hikes ko rokne ka signal tha. Is guftagu ne investors ko US dollars rakhne se retreat karne par majboor kar diya, jo ke currency ki girawat ko asar andaz kar raha hai.

Aaj ka aham waqiya Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ka meeting hai jo 02:00 WIB ke aas-paas scheduled hai, aur is ka US dollar ke trajectory par aham asar ho sakta hai. Analysts aur traders is meeting ke outcomes ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain, kyunki ye meeting ya to current trend ko reinforce kar sakti hai ya phir reversal ka signal de sakti hai.

Technical Analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ne ek critical resistance level 0.877 ko breach kar diya hai, jo ke pehle ke 0.800 supply zone mein retracement ki predictions ko challenge kar raha hai. Ye breakout uptrend ki resilience ko darshata hai, jo further gains ki potential ko suggest karta hai. Is upward movement ko support kar raha hai Ichimoku Indicator, jahan candlestick positions consistently Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen lines, aur Kumo cloud ke upar hain. Jab tak ye indicators naye cross nahi karte, bullish stance ke sath buy position maintain karna feasible hai.




Magar, ehtiyaat zaroori hai jab pair supply area 0.6612 ke aas-paas pahunchti hai, jo ek formidable barrier ban sakta hai aur reversal trigger kar sakta hai. Investors ko zaroori hai ke wo significant resistance levels par potential trend reversals ke liye vigilant rahein. EUR/USD ka current momentum sustained uptrend ko indicate karta hai, lekin external factors jaise FOMC meeting volatility introduce kar sakte hain.

Aise fluctuations ko navigate karna balanced approach ki zaroorat hai jo technical analysis aur fundamental developments ke awareness ko combine karta hai. Indicators aur news updates dono ko monitor karna informed decision-making ke liye crucial hai. Volatility ke bawajood, strategic positioning aur thorough analysis se potential opportunities ko capitalize karna aur risks ko effectively mitigate karna zaroori hai. Information ke sath rahen, ehtiyaat barqaarar rakhen, aur EUR/USD pair ke evolving dynamics ke sath adapt karen taake trading outcomes ko optimize kiya ja sake.

EUR/USD Price Analysis

EUR/USD ka price pichle hafte apni mazboot chadhai se khush nahi tha, jo ke 1.0948 ke resistance level tak pohanch gaya tha, jo ke chaar mahine ka sabse high level hai. Iske baad, profit-taking selling operations ne isay 1.0875 ke support level ki taraf push kiya, aur is hafte ki shuruat mein price 1.0885 ke aas-paas settle ho gayi. Forex market ke mutabiq, US dollar ek baar phir se samna kar raha hai global stock markets ki girawat ka, jo ke China ko technology exports par naye restrictions aur global IT shutdown se related hai.

US dollar ki girawat chhoti muddat ke liye hai kyunki wo fundamental settings jo markets ko record levels tak le gayi thi, woh ab bhi intact hain. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ka agle saal US interest rates cut karne ka potential dollar par asar daal sakta hai.

Economists ka kehna hai ke PCE price index, jo food aur energy ko chhod kar calculated hota hai, June mein 0.1% barhne ki umeed hai, jo ke doosre mahine ke liye lagataar hai. Yeh annual core inflation ko is saal ki sabse slow pace par le aayega, aur Fed ke 2% target se neeche hoga. Monthly inflation report, jo personal spending aur income reading ka part hai, government ke GDP estimate ke baad aayegi. Forecasters expect kar rahe hain ke annual rate 1.9% tak pohanch jayega, jab ke pehle teen mahine 1.4% thi.

Yeh do saalon mein economic activity ka sabse slow consecutive quarter hoga, aur job aur wage growth mein bhi moderation dekha jayega, jo Fed policymakers ko easing start karne ka room dega.




US central bankers 30 aur 31 July ko milenge, aur jab interest rates cut karne ke chances low hain, investors September meeting mein quarter-point cut ko virtually locked samajh rahe hain. Traders ne changes ki estimation 90% se zyada ki hai, kyunki June ki inflation report ne headline figure ko 2.7% tak slow kar diya hai. Magar, fundamental price pressures ke acceleration se kuch policymakers shayad cautious ho sakte hain.

Daily Chart Analysis

Daily chart aur recent selling operations ke mutabiq, EUR/USD ab bhi upward correction phase mein hai, lekin agar yeh 1.0775 ke support level ki taraf move karta hai, to yeh ek strong threat banega, aur upward potential khatam ho sakta hai, aur phir umeedain wapas 1.0600 ke psychological support ki taraf chali jayengi. Dusri taraf, psychological resistance level 1.1000 bulls ki control ke liye sabse important hoga. Aaj ki trading session shant rahne ki umeed hai jab tak US economic data ke results ka reaction nahi milta.

EUR/USD Price Patterns

Discussion abhi EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior ko analyze karne par focus hai. Jo noteworthy development hai woh yeh ke digital currencies, including but not limited to USD, Federal Reserve ke control mein honge. Digital currencies ka asli potential agle saal samne aayega jab system puri tarah se functional hoga. Digital currency blocking ka idea possible hai; kabhi kabhi blocks ho sakte hain, lekin yeh koi significant issue nahi hoga. Hum anticipate karte hain ke digital money dheere dheere fiat currencies ko replace karegi, kuch saalon tak coexist karegi pehle ke digital options dominate karen. Market aaj bearish trend ke sath close ho sakta hai, lekin kal ek positive shift aa sakti hai. Main anticipate karta hoon ke din ke dauran 1.0906 tak pahunch sakta hai, jo ek sensible growth target hoga, uske baad bulls ki taraf se ek correction ho sakta hai.

Agar downward trend pakad leta hai, to humein bearish mark 1.0843 par dekhna chahiye aur shayad 1.0775 ke lower boundary ki taraf move ho sakta hai. Overall direction zyada clear hota ja raha hai, lekin market surprises hamesha possible hain, khaaskar upcoming news ke sath. Daily time frame ko dekhte hue seller ka candle buyer zone mein pohanch gaya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke ya to aaj raat ya kal hum bullish activity dekh sakte hain. Agar bears end of day se pehle volume push nahi karte, to seller ka candle weak mana jayega, aur current trend ko support karne ke liye insufficient momentum hoga. Main premature decisions lene se bachunga taake kisi ko mislead na karun, lekin bullish movement kal tak strength gain kar sakta hai. 15-minute chart par, humne thoda rebound dekha hai, aur market ya to local maximum ko approach karega ya candle body buyer zone mein enter karegi.

EUR/USD Market Update

EUR/USD ne ek aham increase dekha hai aur 1.0845 ka resistance level break kar diya hai. Jab yeh resistance todha gaya, to pair ne tezi se 1.0897 tak pahunch gaya, jo ke lagbhag 60 pips ki aham chadhai hai.

EUR/USD ka yeh increase market ke liye bohot zaroori hai, jo 1.0894 ke aas-paas ke supply area ke ird-gird focus kar raha hai. Yeh movement yeh indicate karti hai ke market participants is supply zone tak pahunchna chahte hain, jahan sellers market mein enter kar sakte hain, jo further gains ko rok sakta hai. 1.0845 ke resistance ka successful breach aur 1.0897 tak ki chadhai EUR/USD mein strong bullish momentum ko dikhata hai.

Filhal, price action yeh suggest karti hai ke EUR/USD ne ek naye trading range mein entry le li hai, jahan purana resistance level 1.0845 ab support level ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar pair is level ke upar apni position maintain kar sakti hai, to further gains ke liye raasta khul sakta hai. Lekin, 1.0894 ke paas hona indicate karta hai ke selling pressure badh sakta hai, jo consolidation phase ya potential pullback ko janam de sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, traders Eurozone aur United States ke key economic indicators par nazar rakhenge taake EUR/USD ke future trajectory ka assessment kiya ja sake. Kisi bhi significant data release, khaaskar inflation, employment, aur central bank policies ke bare mein, pair mein volatility ko janam de sakti hai.

Summary ke tor par, EUR/USD ka Thursday ko 1.0845 resistance ko break karke 1.0897 tak pahunchna, current bullish sentiment ki ahmiyat ko highlight karta hai. Purane resistance ke upar position maintain karna agle steps ko determine karne ke liye crucial hoga. Market participants ko kisi bhi economic data par nazar rakhni chahiye jo pair ko influence kar sakti hai, khaaskar 1.0894 ke aas-paas ke supply area ke madde nazar.

EUR/USD mein uncertainty Friday tak barqarar reh sakti hai. Lekin, euro-dollar ka bearish pullback abhi complete nahi hua hai. Daily bearish pin bar technical correction ke khatam hone ka signal deti hai H-4 timeframe par. Isliye, agle dinon mein, euro-dollar pair mein ek aur downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo daily resistance zone ko reach kar sakti hai April mein.

Aaj, pair ne mukhtalif directions mein trade kiya. Dollar kamzor nazar aaya jab Powell ka speech shuru hua. Yeh temporary lure ho sakta hai ya ek genuine bullish move ka signal ho sakta hai, kyunki yeh bearish reversal patterns ko dismiss karne ki potential ko hint karta hai. Lekin, yeh sirf meri raay hai. Jaise-jaise US market react karega, hum dekh sakte hain ki situation kaise balance hoti hai. Reverse bullish pin bar ki tendency hai, lekin yeh pakka nahi kaha ja sakta ke yeh din ke end tak barkarar rahegi. Yeh analysis market ki speculative nature aur aane wale financial data ki anticipation ko reflect karta hai. Traders ko dono directions mein movement par nazar rakhni chahiye, lekin current indicators suggest karte hain ke bearish trend zyada pronounced nazar aata hai.

EUR/USD Analysis on the H1 Timeframe

EUR/USD pair ko H1 timeframe par analyze karne se kuch interesting dynamics samne aati hain jo ke recent economic data aur technical indicators se influenced hain. Pehle, jab pair 1.0945 ke resistance level ke nazdeek pohoch raha tha, unemployment data release ke baad notable upward movement dekhne ko mili. Yeh data, jo dollar ke liye zyada supportive nahi thi, ek mixed economic picture ko indicate karta hai: unemployment rate mein izafa aur naye jobs ka decent number create hona, lekin wages mein kami. Yeh combination labor market mein potential slowdown ka signal hai, jo Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke speculation ko barhawa de raha hai, aur market expectations ke mutabiq September mein rate cut ki umeed 70% se zyada hai.

Abhi pair apne upper range ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai, aur H4 timeframe ke hisaab se overbought conditions hain. Phir bhi, reversal ke signs abhi tak nazar nahi aa rahe, jo short term mein bullish momentum ke continued hone ka indication hai. Pair ke paas abhi bhi momentum ho sakta hai 1.0945 level tak pohanchne ka, lekin baad mein decline hona mushkil nahi hai. Historical patterns ko dekhte hue, H4 timeframe par upper ranges se corrections aam hoti hain.

Weekly timeframe ko dekhte hue, pehle ke upward movements ke bina significant pullbacks ke, agle 2-3 hafton mein northward movement ki further potential nazar aati hai, jo shayad 1.1075 level tak jaa sakti hai. Aise movement sellers ko surprise de sakti hai, jo short positions mein hain aur significant losses ka samna kar sakte hain. Itni robust increase ke baad, traders shayad pair ko short karne ka soch sakte hain taake deep correction ka faida utha sakein, jo daily timeframe par trend reversal ka signal bhi de sakti hai.




Conclusion: Short-term bullish sentiment prevail kar raha hai aur targets 1.0945 aur usse aage bhi ho sakte hain, lekin overbought conditions aur broader economic indicators ke madde nazar, near future mein corrections ya reversals ke liye caution zaroori hai. Traders ko key levels aur aane wale economic data releases ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake evolving market dynamics ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Hamara guftagu abhi EUR/USD currency pair ke price assessment par hai. Aaj meri strategy yeh thi ke 1.0851 level par rebound ka intezar karun, lekin price 5 points aur niche chali gayi. Iske bawajood, humein ek aise level par pohanchna tha jo main anticipate nahi kar raha tha. Ab jab hum yahan hain, consider karein buying ka. Agla step yeh hai ke ek bullish signal ka intezar karein. Iske liye American session ka dekhna bohot zaroori hai. Hum pehle hi 1.0897 mark ko touch kar chuke hain, jahan downward momentum kam ho sakta hai. Lekin H1 ab tak bullish move nahi dikha raha, hum shayad 1.0897 se zigzag decline dekh sakte hain. Agar hum 1.0897 par pohanch jate hain, yeh suggest karta hai ke ek correction phase aane wala hai, jo humein 1.0911 aur 1.0941 price levels ki taraf le jayega.

Humne ek decline dekhi bina local highs form kiye, jo ke pure accumulation ka indication hai pehle ek further impulse move ke. Aakhri impulse downward tha, jo sellers ke liye ek classic setup hai. Hum 1.0841 par pohanch gaye hain, aur chahe ek pullback ke through ya directly, target hai 1.0821. 1.0841 ka break hona bohot zaroori hai, lekin yeh level shayad rahe. Agar 1.0821 par ek false breakdown hota hai, main consider karunga buying ka taake ek position secure kar sakun above 1.0841. By Thursday, hum dekh sakte hain ke 1.0821 dobara test hoga aur ek rebound ya consolidation above 1.0841. Key targets hain 1.0841 aur 1.0821. Jab buy trades complete ho jayen taake above 1.0841 secure ho sakein, selling complete consider ki jayegi. Kal USA se news events ka din hai, to aggressive moves ke chances hain, aur precautionary trading approaches ko consider karna hoga.

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke real-time price action ko evaluate kar rahe hain. Haal hi ke news ke mutabiq, agle hafta kaafi eventful hoga. Sabse badi fikar ye hai ke momentum mein behtari nazar nahi aa rahi, jaise pichle hafta ke GDP data se, jo ke high anticipation ke bawajood koi significant movement nahi la saka. Kam az kam US mein interest rate announcement hoga, jo market activity generate karna chahiye. Monday ko statistics kam hain, lekin Tuesday ko ek potential catalyst mil sakta hai. Aham sawal ye hai ke rate decision se pehle koi significant movement hogi ya nahi. Fresh capital market mein enter karni chahiye taake opportunities create hoon, lekin funds wapas agle hafta ke liye aa sakte hain. Chart ko analyze karte hue, lagta hai ke upcoming rate decision ko consider karna zaroori hai. Recent rebound jo local minimum se hua hai EUR/USD pair mein, woh ek artificial price drag hai aur ideally downward correct hona chahiye, ya to current levels se ya phir ek brief upward move ke baad, kyun ke is channel mein pattern growth ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

1.0879 ke niche break karna rate announcement se pehle illogical lagta hai. Lekin pair kaafi had tak flat range mein confined rahegi, thoda expand hokar, downward impulse ke bounds ke andar. Agle hafta ke liye expected range 1.0928-1.0911 ke top aur 1.0789-1.0771 ke bottom ke beech hai, critical level around 1.0848 hai jo hafta bhar frequent activity dekhta raha. Agar is hafta koi significant news nahi aayi, to trading is level se consider ki ja sakti hai, lower end pe buying aur higher end pe selling. Lekin range ke edges se trading risky ho sakti hai, potential spreads agle hafta expected hain. Prudently focus 1.0848 level par karni chahiye aur situation ko accordingly assess karna chahiye. Sales ke hawale se, direction ke baare mein uncertainty hai.

Jumay ko Asian trading session mein Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein apni upward trajectory ko barqarar rakha. Currency pair lagbhag 1.0860 par trade ho raha tha, jo ke pichlay din ke gains par build kar raha tha jab yeh do haftay ke low 1.0825 se rebound kar gaya tha. Yeh upward movement ziada tar kamzor hotay US dollar ki wajah se hai. Market participants ehtiyaat barat rahe hain agle crucial US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index release ke liye jo June ka hai. Recent economic data, jismein strong GDP figures aur robust PMI shamil hain, ne Federal Reserve ke significant interest rate cuts ke expectations ko temper kiya hai, magar substantial dollar gains ka potential ab bhi limited hai.
Doosri taraf, Euro ko European Central Bank (ECB) ke anticipated monetary policy path ki wajah se headwinds ka saamna hai. ECB se expect kiya ja raha hai ke is saal economic growth ko stimulate karne ke liye multiple rate cuts implement karega jab inflation pressures barqarar hain. Is outlook ne Eurozone investor sentiment ko dampen kiya hai. Iske ilawa, Eurozone se aane wale economic indicators mixed rahe hain. Jahan region ka composite PMI continued growth show karta hai, wahin Germany, jo ke bloc ka largest economy hai, ne apne composite PMI mein unexpected decline experience kiya. Yeh divergence Eurozone economy ke challenges ko highlight karta hai.




Technically, EUR/USD ne ek correction undergo ki hai jab yeh four-month high tak pohoncha. Pair ab crucial support aur resistance levels ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Agar 50- aur 200-day simple moving averages ke niche ek sustained break hota hai to yeh further downside potential ko signal kar sakta hai, jahan support levels 1.0793 aur 1.0711 par hain. Doosri taraf, agar yeh 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0874 ke upar ek decisive move karta hai to yeh previous highs ke retest aur potentially beyond ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai.

In conclusion, Euro ke recent gains ziada tar kamzor hotay US dollar ki wajah se hain, jabke Eurozone ka economic outlook aur ECB ka monetary policy stance challenges pose karte hain. Agle US PCE price index ka release EUR/USD pair ke short-term trajectory ko determine karne mein ek critical factor hoga.

News EUR/USD
Time Frame™ H4

ab ko mera salam! 4-hour timeframe ke price chart analysis ke mutabiq, hum dekhte hain ke linear regression channel ka positive slope hai, jo market mein buyers ke dominant influence ko zahir karta hai. Yeh buying opportunities create kar sakta hai, lekin buying decision lene ke liye aapko intezar karna chahiye jab tak upper H4 timeframe ka linear regression channel bhi upwards move karna shuru na karde. Main 1.08444 level se buying ke possibility ko dekh raha hoon, magar main sellers ke dynamics ko qareebi se monitor karunga, jo is level ke niche price ko lower kar sakte hain. Agar aisa hota hai aur price 1.08444 ke niche stabilize ho jati hai, to yeh upper H4 timeframe par selling trend ke continuation ko zahir kar sakta hai. Is surat mein, main buying decision ko tab tak postpone karunga jab tak market sentiment ka change buyers ki taraf confirm na ho jaye aur price 1.08592 level ke upar fix na ho jaye.



Main 4-hour chart par market data analyze kar raha hoon. Iss waqt, main market mein ek strong bearish trend dekh raha hoon. Mera plan yeh hai ke jab price channel ke upper border par 1.08592 tak pohonch jaye, to main asset ko 1.08101 level tak sell karne ka mauka dekhoon. Agar price profitable level ko break kar deti hai, to yeh ek signal hoga ke downward journey continue kare. Magar mujhe maloom hai ke iske baad ek upward correction bhi ho sakti hai, is liye market ko monitor karna aur bulls ke possible reaction ke liye tayar rehna zaroori hai. Main apna plan tabdeel karne ke liye hamesha tayar hoon agar market situation tabdeel hoti hai, kyunki yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke agar 1.08592 level bulls ke through break ho jata hai, to yeh market mein bullish interest ka sign ho sakta hai, jo situation ko dobara evaluate karne aur sales ko cancel karne ka taqaza kar sakta hai. Main hamesha changing market situation ko follow karta hoon aur agar zarurat ho to apna plan tabdeel karne ke liye tayar hoon. Aakhir mein, mera goal maximum profit hasil karna hai, aur iske liye main market ke kisi bhi change ke liye adapt karne ke liye tayar hoon.

EUR/USD ne Thursday ko ek narrow range mein trade continue kiya. Kal do significant reports release hone ke bawajood, volatility mein koi izafa nahi hua, aur market participants ka trading mein interest kam tha. Ek aur important point yeh hai ke U.S. GDP 2.8% se grow hua, jo ke 2.0-2.5% ke forecasts aur pehle quarter ki 1.4% figure se zyada hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke U.S. economy ab bhi strong hai. Doosri baat yeh hai ke Federal Reserve rates ko peak par rakhe ga bina recession ka darr rakhe. Magar favorable conditions ke bawajood, U.S. dollar appreciate nahi kar saka. June mein durable goods orders report ne market ko disappoint kiya, jo -6.6% pe tha, jo ke forecasts se kaafi worse tha. Lekin kaunsa indicator zyada important hai? Puri economy ka state ya sirf durable goods ki sales?
Humne 5-minute timeframe mein koi trading signals bhi mark nahi kiye. Chart clearly dikhata hai ke price zyada tar din 1.0838 aur 1.0856 ke levels ke beech spend hui. In levels ke beech trading meaningless thi. Price ke is range ke upar ya neeche settle hone ke baad bhi trades open karna sense nahi banata tha, kyunki current volatility se ek solid movement ki umeed nahi thi, aur Stop Losses ko opposite level ke paray set karna padta. Risk/reward ratio initially hi bekaar tha.

Trading tips for Friday:
Hourly timeframe mein, EUR/USD ascending channel ke neeche settle hua, jo ek nayi local downward trend ko start karne ki ijazat deta hai. Hum samajhte hain ke euro ne tamam bullish factors ko fully factor kar liya hai, toh ek significant correction zaroori hai. Lekin, movements ka nature best 24-hour timeframe mein dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh wahi flat range hai 1.0650 aur 1.1000 ke beech. Kal dollar ne apni upward movement continue karne ka ek great opportunity miss ki. Volatility ab bhi low hai.

Friday ko, novice traders 1.0838-1.0856 area se dobara trading karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Aaj kuch important events hone hain, lekin kal humne dekha ke important events zaroori nahi ke strong movements ko lead karein. Hum expect karte hain ke quotes kisi point par upwards move karein, uske baad decline resume ho sakta hai.

5M timeframe pe key levels jo consider karne hain wo hain: 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981. Eurozone mein Friday ko koi significant events planned nahi hain, jabke U.S. personal income aur expenditure, personal consumption expenditures price index, aur Michigan consumer sentiment index ke less critical reports release karega.