eur/usd

Technical Analysis of the EURUSD Pair

4-Hour Chart



Price ko phir se buy karne ka mauka mil raha hai, kyun ke yeh kuch ghanton pehle weekly level 1.0788 ke upar settle ho gaya. Is haftay ke dauran pair ka price behavior bullish raha, kyun ke yeh upward price gap ke sath open hua, jo price ne close karne ke liye fall kiya, phir upward rebound karke weekly pivot level ke sath ek bottom form kiya.

Upward trend ki strength ka doosra indication tab mila jab price channels broke hue aur 1.0751 level se rebound kiya, phir se top par return kar gaya jab broken channels ki lines se support mili. Ab, jab price 1.0788 level ko break kar chuka hai, yeh upward wave ke liye 1.0831 level par prepare kar raha hai.

Aaj aur kal pair par trading advice yeh hai ke current level se 1.0831 level tak buy karein aur stop loss level 1.0788 ke neeche set karein.

Economic Side

Investors ne US Federal Reserve ke aakhri meeting ke minutes ka content interact karne ke baad, EUR/USD price ko higher move hone ka mauka mila jahan gains 1.0820 resistance level tak extend hue, jo teen hafton ka highest level tha, Thursday ke trading ke shuruaat mein 1.0780 level ke aas paas settle hone se pehle.

US Federal Reserve ne June 2024 mein federal funds ke target range ko 5.25%-5.50% par steady rakha, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha. US policymakers ko nahi lagta ke interest rates ko lower karna appropriate hoga jab tak inflation ko sustainably 2% ki taraf move karte hue zyada confidence nahi milta. Waisay, dot plot se dikhata hai ke policymakers is saal sirf ek rate cut dekh rahe hain aur 2025 mein chaar. March mein, Fed 2024 mein teen cuts aur 2025 mein bhi teen cuts dekh raha tha.

EUR/USD Forecast

Monday ko hum ne dekha ke EUR/USD currency pair mein kaafi gehri decline hui. Tuesday ko EUR/USD apni decline continue kar saka, magar Monday jaisa deep nahi tha kyun ke yeh movement sirf 1.0720 tak pohanchi, uske baad phir se rise karna shuru kar diya. Yeh increase isliye hui kyun ke candle demand area 1.0710 par penetrate nahi kar saki. Is wajah se, opening ke time par iski position kal se higher thi kyun ke EUR/USD dheere dheere rise karna shuru kar chuka hai. Ab EUR/USD ka position 1.0750 par trade ho raha hai.

Agar h1 timeframe se analyze karein, to correction ke baad EUR/USD ab rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Do consecutive din EUR/USD decrease hota raha. Magar, kyun ke candle demand area 1.0710 par pass nahi kar saki, EUR/USD ne apni decline zyada deep nahi ki. Ab EUR/USD strengthening condition mein hai. Jab tak pehle wala demand area break nahi hota, EUR/USD ke rise hone ke chances kaafi zyada hain. Yeh possible hai ke resistance 1.0770 par upar ki taraf penetrate ho jaye. Agar yeh hota hai, to yeh certain hai ke increase aur bhi zyada hogi. Iske ilawa, main ne dekha ke correction fulfill ho chuki hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka use karke analyze karein, to h1 timeframe par candle ki position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Yeh tab se ho raha hai jab se EUR/USD increase hona shuru hua. Intersection jo hua, yeh indicate karta hai ke Wednesday ko bhi EUR/USD ke increase hone ke chances hain. Plus, candle ne Kumo cloud ko bhi penetrate kar liya, jo matlab hai ke bullish pressure aur strong hoga.

Stochastic indicator se yeh idea milta hai ke condition overbought hai. Yeh line se sabit hota hai jo level 80 ko touch kar chuki hai. Halanki EUR/USD ne thoda hi upar gaya, condition buying se saturated ho chuki hai. Mujhe vigilant rehna padega kyun ke EUR/USD decline experience kar sakta hai iske baad. Lower area mein, abhi bhi demand hai jo touch nahi hui, jo ke EUR/USD ko fall karne ki cause ban sakti hai, magar mujhe yakeen hai ke yeh decline support area 1.0682 ko penetrate nahi karegi.



Aaj ki analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke EUR/USD currency pair ke rise hone ke chances hain kyun ke candle demand area 1.0714 par pohanch chuki hai. Jab tak demand area penetrate nahi hota, yeh likely hai ke EUR/USD ke decline continue karne mein mushkil hogi. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain wo sirf sell positions open karne par focus karein. Aap take profit target nearest resistance 1.0840 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss support 1.0703 par rakh sakte hain.

Subah Bakhair
Kal buyers ne Euro ko deep consolidation area mein jane nahi diya, aur initiative ko seize karte hue price ko sideways se upar nikalne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Medium-term upward movement develop karne ke liye, unhein level 1.07755 ko break aur consolidate karna padega. Agar woh isme kamyab ho jate hain, to price growth 1.08517 tak expect ki ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, sellers ko level 1.07091 ko break aur consolidate karna hoga downward movement ko develop karne ke liye. Agar woh isme kamyab hote hain, to agla target 1.06843 ka mark hoga.

Pair EURUSD H4:

1 - Euro 4-hour chart par bands ke central area mein hai, yahan se movement kisi bhi direction mein continue ho sakti hai. Humein price rise ya fall ka naya signal milne ke liye upper ya lower band ke active approach ka wait karna hoga. Band ke touch ke baad, dekhna hoga ke bands outward open hoti hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti. Fractals ke nazriye se dekhein, to price growth ka target nearest fractal upwards hai, iska breakout aur consolidation price ko June 13 ke fractal 1.08156 ki taraf move karne dega. Price decline ka target nearest fractal downwards hai. Iska breakout aur consolidation June 28 ke fractal 1.06843 ki taraf raasta khol dega.



2 - AO indicator positive area mein nayi increase form karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar hum active acceleration aur nayi maximum formation dekhte hain, to humein price growth ka stronger signal milega. Agar zero ke through transition aur negative zone mein active increase form hoti hai, to quotes ke drop ka signal milega.

EUR-USD Pair Ka Overview

US session mein achanak pressure mehsoos hua jab price ne 1.0769 ke resistance area ko break karne ki koshish ki. Yeh buyers ke liye ek setback tha kyun ke EMA 633 H1 cross karne ke bawajood price higher move nahi kar saki. Ab bearish candle EMA mein enter ho gayi hai aur price aaj ke market opening area ki taraf slide karti nazar aa rahi hai. Agar pressure barqarar raha aur EMA 200, jo daily open aur nearest support 1.0709 ke darmiyan hai, break ho gaya, to price dubara downtrend phase mein enter ho sakti hai aur possible weakness dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, EURUSD currency pair aaj bhi 1.07820 ke price ki taraf move kar raha hai. Yeh isliye ke H1 time frame mein EURUSD currency pair ne bullish wrapped candle form ki hai jo ke EURUSD ko aaj 1.07820 ke price par buy karne ka bohot strong signal hai. Lekin humein yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke aaj EURUSD mein downward correction ho sakti hai kyun ke RSI 14 indicator ke observations yeh suggest karte hain ke EURUSD 1.07700 par overbought hai ya RSI 14 indicator ne upper limit 70 cross kar li hai, to EURUSD ko aaj dopahar ke baad 10-40 pips ke darmiyan deep downward correction ka saamna karna pad sakta hai. SELL EURUSD signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods ka use karke bhi support karta hai kyun ke jab EURUSD price 1.07700 par gir gayi thi to yeh SBR area mein thi, yani support become resistance, to yeh bohot possible hai ke EURUSD aaj 1.07400 par wapas aa sakti hai.



Aaj ki EURUSD currency pair ki movement ko dekhte hue aur meri technical analysis ke base par, maine faisla kiya hai ke aaj 1.07400 ke price par EURUSD ko sell karoon.

EUR/USD Pair Ka Behavior

EUR/USD pair ka behavior in levels ke aas paas traders ke liye bohot ahamiyat rakhta hai. Yeh support aur resistance levels—1.0717, 1.0742, 1.0741, 1.0716, aur 1.0735—pair ke agle movements ko determine karne mein crucial hain. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh valuable insights dete hain potential buying aur selling opportunities ke liye.

Jo log EUR/USD ke movements se capitalize karna chahte hain, unke liye in support aur resistance levels ka dynamics samajhna bohot zaroori hai. 1.0717-1.0742 range ka resistance yeh indicate karta hai ke koi bhi upward movement significant hurdles ka samna kar sakta hai. Sellers is points par zyada aggressive ho sakte hain, jis se price ko higher move karna mushkil ho jata hai. Yeh levels critical hain kyun ke yeh potential reversals ya aise areas indicate karte hain jahan selling pressure barh sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, 1.0716 aur 1.0735 ke support levels potential buy zones provide karte hain. Yeh levels safety nets ke taur par kaam karte hain, jahan price stability pa sakti hai aur further declines ko rok sakti hai. In support zones ko samajhna un traders ke liye essential hai jo buy orders place karne ka plan kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh identify karte hain jahan price rebound ya decline ko rok sakta hai. Price ka behavior in support levels ke aas paas market ki strength aur potential turning points ke clues de sakta hai.

Support aur resistance levels ka interplay bohot se trading strategies ki basis banata hai. For instance, agar price resistance level ke qareeb aata hai aur break through nahi kar pata, to yeh traders ke liye selling ya profits lene ka signal ho sakta hai. Conversely, agar price support level ke qareeb aata hai aur hold karta hai, to yeh buying ka mauka ho sakta hai, anticipating a rebound. Traders in levels ko use karte hain informed decisions lene aur apna risk effectively manage karne ke liye.

EUR/USD ke recent performance ne in levels ki importance ko highlight kiya hai. Pair ka daily high tak rise aur phir correction phase potential volatility ko underscore karta hai. Aise movements suggest karte hain ke traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko adapt karna chahiye based on how the price behaves around these key levels. Support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna traders ko possible price movements anticipate karne aur apni trades ko accordingly plan karne mein madad deta hai.

Is ke ilawa, broader market context aur koi bhi underlying economic factors jo EUR/USD pair ko influence karte hain, samajhna bhi essential hai. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab pair ke price movements ko impact kar sakte hain. Traders ko is information ko apni technical analysis ke sath integrate karna chahiye support aur resistance levels ka comprehensive trading strategy develop karne ke liye.



EUR/USD pair ka behavior key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas pivotal hai traders ke liye. Yeh levels potential market movements ke insights provide karte hain aur traders ko entry aur exit points identify karne mein madad dete hain. In levels ko closely monitor karke aur unke dynamics ko samajh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, risk ko manage kar sakte hain, aur market opportunities ko capitalize kar sakte hain. Support aur resistance ka interplay forex market mein effective trading strategies ki foundation banata hai, aur in levels se attuned rehna crucial hai EUR/USD pair ke fluctuations ko navigate karne ke liye.

EUR/USD Pair Ka Taaza Halat

EUR/USD pair ne US trading session mein aik noticeable izafa dekha, jis mein pair ne daily high 1.0756 tak pohancha. Magar jab 1.0749-1.0734 level par pohancha, prices ne aik correction phase shuru kiya. EUR/USD pair ki yeh upward movement market ke fluctuations aur trading strategies ke context mein aik significant development hai.

Dusray haath, EUR/USD pair ki recovery ko buying adjustment ke taur par dekha ja raha hai. Yeh ishara deta hai ke EUR/USD ke halqi izafay ko sambhala nahi ja sakta, aur mazeed upward movement ko 1.0717-1.0742 range ke qareeb strong resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Is range ke andar, hum umeed kar sakte hain ke selling pressure mein izafa ho sakta hai, khaas kar ke 1.0741 level ke aas paas, jo ke aik critical resistance point ka kaam karega.

1.0716 mark ne direct giravat se roknay ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai, jo ke aik support level hai jo further drops ko rok sakta hai. Yeh level traders ke liye significant hai jo buy orders place karne ki soch rahe hain, kyun ke yeh downward trend ke khilaf aik buffer provide karta hai. Magar agar price foran 1.0753-1.0736 level se neeche gir jaye, to yeh aik significant decline ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo ke 1.0735 support mark ko challenge kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair ke behavior ke aas paas yeh levels traders ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain. Mentioned support aur resistance levels—1.0717, 1.0742, 1.0741, 1.0716, aur 1.0735—pair ke agle movements ko determine karne mein pivotal hain. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh potential buying aur selling opportunities ke insights provide karte hain.

Jo log EUR/USD ke movements se faida uthana chahte hain, unke liye in support aur resistance levels ke dynamics ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai. 1.0717-1.0742 ke resistance level se yeh suggest hota hai ke koi bhi upward movement significant hurdles ka samna kar sakta hai, aur sellers in points par zyada aggressive ho sakte hain. Ulta, 1.0716 aur 1.0735 ke support levels potential buy zones offer karte hain, jahan price stability pa sakti hai aur further declines ko roka ja sakta hai.



EUR/USD pairs critical price movements exhibit kar rahe hain jin par traders ko carefully consider karna chahiye. EUR/USD ki rise to daily high ke baad followed by correction phase potential volatility ko indicate karta hai, jabke EUR/USD ki recovery aur subsequent resistance levels market entry aur exit ke liye key points highlight karte hain. In levels ko monitor karna traders ko valuable insights provide karega aur unhe informed trading decisions lene mein madad karega. In dynamics ko samajhna forex market mein navigate karne aur trading strategies maximize karne ke liye crucial hai.

EUR/USD Ka Haalat Aur Mazbootiya

Assalam-o-Alaikum doston, kaise hain aap sab? EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko churning mode mein guzara, jab ke pair 1.075 ke qareeb chakkar lagata raha aur momentum dhoondhta raha. Jumma ko US ki ahem labour data jaari hoga, aur European Union ki economic data trading week ke baaki dinon mein scattered hoga. Agar bears control mein aa gaye to EUR/USD June ke 1.0666 (June 26) aur phir May ke 1.0649 (May 1) ko dobara test kar sakta hai, aur akhir mein 2024 ke high 1.0601 (April 16) tak pohanch sakta hai.

Dusray haath, agar taqat barh jaye to pair ko 200-day SMA at 1.0791 aur phir weekly high 1.0852 (June 12) aur June ke peak 1.0916 (June 4) ko dobara dekhne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Is level ke breakout se March ke peak 1.0981 (March 8) aur phir weekly high 1.0998 (January 11) aur psychological 1.1000 mark bhi focus mein aa sakta hai. Ab tak 4-hour chart mein initial bullish attempt mein momentum ki kami nazar aati hai. Initial resistance level 1.0776 hai, jo ke 1.0794 ke baad aata hai. Initial support 1.0666 par hai, phir 1.0649 aur 1.0601. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56 ke aas paas hai.

Thora sa US dollar mein giravat ne USD Index ko Tuesday ko 105.80 ke qareeb trade karne par majboor kiya, jis ne is hafte tak bullish mood ko jari rakha. Is halki increase ne EUR/USD ko bhi 1.0730-1.0740 band mein trading mein qaim rakha, jab ke investors ne June 30 ko French election ke natijay digest karte rahe, sath hi sath ECB Forum mein President Christine Lagarde aur Chair Jerome Powell ke policy debate ko bhi samjha.



Is silsile mein Lagarde ne ye kaha ke eurozone ne apne deflationary raste par bohot taraqqi ki hai, lekin economic growth ke outlook ke baray mein uncertainty baqi hai. Jabke Powell ne ye ishara diya ke Fed ko interest rate cut ki sochne se pehle mazeed data ki zaroorat hai, jis mein yeh confirm karna hai ke halqi inflation readings waqai price pressures ko reflect kar rahi hain ya nahi.

Hello. Haan, aap bilkul theek keh rahe the kal subah jab aap ne kaha ke euro unchanged tha, aur waqai mein aisa hi tha. Jab news aayi to sellers ne koshish ki ke price niche giraayein, lekin buyers ne buying kar ke price ko trading ke aakhir mein upar push kar diya. Ab dekhna ye hai ke agle hafte buyers price ko aur upar push karenge ya nahi. Qareebi bullish target ab 1.08517 ka level hai. Agar buyers is level ko breakout ke baad sustain kar lein, to hum expect kar sakte hain ke price 1.09010 level ki taraf move karegi.

Theoretically, sellers ko 1.07978 level ko sustain karna hoga. Agar aisa hota hai, to hum expect kar sakte hain ke price 1.07771 level tak gir sakti hai.


1-4 hour chart par, EUR pair abhi tak upper band ke parallel move kar raha hai. Ye non-classical signal kal realize hua tha. Dekhte hain ke agle hafte ye signal kaisa rehta hai. Agar hum upper band ki taraf active approach dekhte hain aur band bahar ki taraf khul rahi ho, to humein ek strong bullish signal milega. Fractals ke hawale se dekhein to price increase ka target qareebi upside fractal hai. Iska breakout aur consolidation price ko 1.09010 level ke fractal tak le ja sakta hai jo ke 7 June se hai. Ek possible bearish target qareebi downside fractal hai. Iska breakout aur consolidation isse 3 July se 1.07354 level ke fractal tak girne dega. Zero ki taraf move karte hue, humein ek strong bullish signal milega. Positive territory mein naya momentum price increase ka signal dega.

Currency pair ne Asian session mein Friday ko thodi si uptick dekhi, jo ke is hafte ke high se thoda neeche thi jo kal achieve hui thi. Spot prices mid-1.0820s ke upar defensive stance mein hain, lekin downside risks kam hain US Dollar (USD) ke muted movement ki wajah se

Federal Reserve ke policymakers is saal sirf ek interest rate cut advocate kar rahe hain, kyun ke recent data suggest karta hai ke inflation dheere dheere 2% target ki taraf ja rahi hai. May ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) report zyadatar expected se zyada cooling dikhata hai, jo ke Fed ke liye thodi si relief hai. Lekin, officials consistent declines dekhna chahte hain inflation mein ek lambe period tak pehle ke broader policy normalization process initiate karte.

Jab hum EU economic data ke kam phase aur US market closure ke beech mein hain midweek holiday ke liye, EUR/USD pair relatively calm market environment mein upar ki taraf drift kar rahi hai. Market sentiment positive hai, aur investors zyadatar Federal Reserve (Fed) ke cautious tones ko disregard kar rahe hain.


Technically, pair ko immediate resistance level 1.0853 par cross karna ek significant challenge hai. Agar pair is barrier ko break kar leti hai, to yeh potential shift in momentum signal kar sakti hai. Dosri taraf, support EUR/USD ke liye around 1.0637 anticipate kiya ja raha hai, jo ke upward-sloping trendline se originate ho raha hai October 3, 2023 ke low of 1.0447 aur horizontal support dekhi gayi thi April 16 low of approximately 1.0600 par.

Primary support level jo pair ke liye watch karna chahiye wo 1.0687 hai, jo June 17 low se correspond karta hai. Agar pair is level se neeche girti hai, to next critical support jo monitor karna chahiye wo 1.0666 hai, jo ke lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands mark karta hai. A further decline 1.0611 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke April 19 low reflect karta hai.

Jummah ko, early trading hours mein, pair 1.0835 ke qareeb thoda soft note par trade hui. Yeh modest decline mainly Greenback ki slight recovery ki wajah se thi, jis ne major pair ko neeche khicha. Traders ne cautious stance adopt kiya critical economic data release hone se pehle, jo Eurozone aur US se expected thi, including Eurozone ka Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation data aur US Retail Sales data.


Expectations hain ke US Retail Sales May mein 0.2% month-over-month rise karegi. Agar actual data expectations se kam hoti hai, to yeh US Dollar par significant pressure daal sakti hai. Weaker-than-expected Retail Sales report investor confidence enhance karegi ongoing disinflation process mein, potentially market sentiment ko influence karegi. Filhal, US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki value ko measure karta hai against a basket of six major currencies, apne intraday gains give up kar chuki hai aur around 105.30 tak gir chuki hai. Weak retail data further market expectations ko prompt kar sakti hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) is saal interest rates do dafa cut kare.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September meeting se interest rates decline hone ki probability barh rahi hai, aur additional rate cuts November ya December mein ho sakti hain. Conversely, robust Retail Sales data US Dollar ki strength ko bolster karegi, leading traders to reduce bets on rate cuts for September, thus potentially altering the market dynamics.


Koi bhi sustained buying above intraday high of 1.0843 rally trigger kar sakti hai towards crucial resistance at 1.0870 region. Yeh level significant hai kyun ke yeh confluence represent karta hai upper boundary of the Bollinger Band aur ek psychological resistance point ka. Is barrier ke decisive break se raasta pave hoga towards 1.0853, jo June 12 ko observed high thi.



4-hour chart indicate karta hai ke EUR/USD pair bearish outlook maintain kar rahi hai kyun ke yeh key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Yeh downward momentum further support karta hai Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke bearish territory mein near 43.0 hai.

Daily time frame chart par kuch trading dinon ke liye price activity moving average lines ke neeche thi, jiski wajah se trend bearish tha. Magar, kyunki price thori hi kam hui thi, mujhe koi significant bearish activity nazar nahi aayi. Is hafte EURUSD ne overall bullish direction mein move kiya, aur is wajah se Wednesday ko moving average lines ke upar chali gayi aur trend ka direction change hogaya. Trend change hone ke bawajood, mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke price steadily rise kar rahi hai. RSI indicator, jo ke 59 ka value show kar raha hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke agle dinon mein price growth kaafi mumkin hai. Trend change hone ke baad, traders ki madad ke liye maine next several resistance levels attached diagram mein indicate kiye hain.



Pichle hafte zyada purchasers nahi the, magar weekly time frame chart par EURUSD ne bullish movement start ki thi trend line se, jaise ke maine attached diagram mein show kiya hai. Yeh buyers ke liye positive indication tha. Is hafte significant buyer momentum ki wajah se EURUSD moving average lines ke upar cross ki aur trend ka direction change hogaya. Is hafte RSI indicator ne bhi midpoint ke upar cross kiya, aur weekly chart par jo robust bullish candle form ho rahi hai, yeh suggest karti hai ke agle dinon mein buyers ka momentum barhega. Is time frame chart par next three profound resistance levels hain 1.0982, 1.1140, aur 1.1275.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD currency pair ne recent trading sessions mein significant movement dikhaya hai, jo daily aur 30-minute charts par strong sell signals ka izhar karta hai. Technical analysis karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke H4 chart par euro/dollar pair pehle ascending price channel ke andar trade kar raha tha. Lekin jab price ne 1.0880 level par channel ke nichle had se guzar gaya, to ye upward trend khatre mein aaya. Is breakout ne bazaar ke jazbaat ko bullish se bearish ki taraf badal diya. Breakout ke baad, pair ne 1.0860 level tak girawat mehsoos ki, jo ke ek potential downward trend ka pehla nishan tha.
Is girawat ke baad, price ne rebound ka tajruba kiya aur 1.0890 level tak retest ki koshish ki, lekin price is resistance ko torhne mein nakam rahi, jis se rebound aur girawat ka silsila jaari raha. Maujooda doran, H4 chart par EUR/USD pair ek naye downward price channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo ek qaim bearish trend ko darust karta hai.

EUR/USD

Daily chart ki analysis bhi 30-minute chart par dekhi gayi bearish nazar ko tasdeeq karti hai. Dono timeframes strong sell signals dikhate hain, jo ke downward momentum ki ahmiyat ko izhar karte hain. Traders ko kisi bhi temporary corrective growths par cautious rehna chahiye, kyunke ye chand pal ke liye mehsoos hongi aur resistance ke saath milengi. EUR/USD pair ke liye technical indicators aur chart patterns strong sell signal dene mein muttehid hain.
Ascending channel ke nichle had se guzar jaane, 1.0880 level par retest ke nakami, aur downward channel ke andar trade karna, sab is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke girawat jaari rahegi. Jab market 1.0880 level ki taraf correct karega, to resistance ka saamna hoga, jo ek rebound aur bearish trend ka silsila jaari rakhega. Traders ko in technical signals ko trading decisions mein shamil karte waqt ghoor karna chahiye, aur short-lived corrective growths ke mauqay ko dekh kar short positions ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Multiple timeframes par signals ke milne se bearish outlook mazboot hoti hai, jo maujooda market environment mein sell positions ko pehle tarjeeh dene ka hoshiyar faisla banata hai

EUR/USD pair ka price 1.0837 tak pohanch sakta hai, lekin ismein uncertainty aur volatility bhi hoti hai. Traders ko market ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur up-to-date rehna chahiye economic indicators, central bank decisions, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment ke saath.
Jab tak market is channel mein trade kar raha hai, investors key support aur resistance levels par focus rakhte rahenge. Price ka behavior in levels par future market direction ke bare mein important signals provide karega. Agar price eventually channel ki upper boundary ko break karke uske upar sustain kar sakti hai, toh yeh ek naya bullish phase signal kar sakti hai. Conversely, agar price established support levels ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh ek potential downturn indicate kar sakti hai. Filhal, price channel ke andar consistency aur blue channel mein additional support levels investors ke liye ek reassuring backdrop provide kar rahe hain.

Aaj intraday bullish momentum kaafi strong hai aur price confidently narrowing levels ke beech trade kar rahi hai. Jahan bullish trend reverse ho sakta hai, woh abhi clear nahi hai. Magar, ek key point hai 1.0788 level par, jahan 30-minute chart bullish trend se reversal ke signs dikhana shuru karega. Yeh possible hai ke wahan se price ko wapas push kiya jaye. Filhal, jaise aap dekh sakte hain, upward movement abhi bhi place mein hai, lekin main buying ke liye inclined nahi hoon kyunki correction nahi aayi. Main wait karunga correction ka, aur phir aglay steps ka faisla karunga.

Medium-term basis par scheme bullish hai, support shift ho gaya hai 1.0640 par, jo ab yeh matlab hai ke 1.0640 ka breakout bullish trend ki qismat ka faisla karega. Jab tak price 1.0640 ke upar hai, medium-term bullish trend intact rahega. Ab hume intraday correction ka wait karna hoga taake further bullish movement mein participate kar sakein. Naturally, correction ke dauran hum ensure karenge ke support level breach na ho. Uske baad hi hum buying ke entry point dhoondenge.



Wednesday ki trading ke dauran, is currency pair ki price ne strong upward movement dekha, jo technical analysis aur current trend momentum se supported tha. Wednesday ko release hui news ne euro ki rise ko fuel kiya, kyunki sare US indicators expectations se worse aaye, jiski wajah se price growth ka rate markets mein barh gaya, jo din ke dauran visible tha. Magar, sirf euro hi US dollar ke muqablay mein strengthen nahi hua, balke dollar almost poore market spectrum mein weaken ho gaya.

Wave structure ne upward pattern form karna shuru kiya, MACD indicator overbought zone mein aur apni signal line ke upar grow kar raha hai. Rapid increase ke baad, corrective pullback downwards hua, aur kal upward movement resume hui, jo aaj previous high ko phir se break kar chuki hai. Iske sath hi, MACD indicator par bearish divergence form hui - ek strong sell signal. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh signal work karega aur pehle support level 1.0807 par decline hoga, phir iske breakthrough ke baad 1.0770 tak aur possibly rising trendline ke neeche ja sakta hai. D1 timeframe par CCI indicator overbought zone se neeche move karna chahta hai.



Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par main news package release hoga: US Average Hourly Earnings, US Non-Farm Employment Change, US Labor Force Participation Rate, US Private Non-Farm Payrolls, aur US Unemployment Rate. 18:00 par - US Federal Reserve Report on Monetary Policy.

Euro is waqt foreign exchange market mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Hal hi mein yeh 1.0689 level se neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke aik aham nuqta hai jis ne analyst aur traders ka dhyan khicha hai. Yeh harkat euro ke liye potential volatility ka ishara de rahi hai aur uske mustaqbil ke bare mein kafi atkalain lagayi ja rahi hain
Halaanke euro filhal 1.0670 ke key support level se ooper hai, lekin market dynamics yeh batate hain ke yeh support humesha nahi rahega. Yeh level isliye aham hai kyun ke yeh traders aur investors ke liye aik psychological threshold ko represent karta hai. Isko breach karna sentiment mein tabadli ka ishara de sakta hai aur euro ke ziada girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai
Kai factors euro ke precarious position mein hissa le rahe hain. Pehle, Eurozone se aane wale economic data mixed hain, kuch mulk recovery dikhate hain jab ke doosre ab bhi struggle kar rahe hain. Yeh uneven economic performance Eurozone economy ki overall health aur euro ki strength ke bare mein uncertainty paida karta hai
Iske ilawa, doosri major currencies, khaaskar US dollar, ki relative strength bhi aik aham consideration hai. US dollar ne haal hi mein positive economic data aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate hikes ke expectations ki wajah se relative strength dikhai hai. Strong dollar ka matlab aksar weak euro hota hai, kyun ke yeh dono currencies aksar inversely correlated hoti hain
Short term mein, technical analysis yeh suggest karti hai ke euro ko aur downside risks ka samna ho sakta hai. Traders support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur doosre technical indicators ko closely monitor karte hain taake potential price movements ko gauge kar saken. Agar euro 1.0670 support level se ooper rehne mein nakam hota hai, toh yeh further selling pressure ko prompt kar sakta hai, jo ke ziada pronounced decline ki taraf le ja sakta hai
Lekin yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke currency markets inherently unpredictable hain, aur economic, political, aur psychological factors ke complex interplay se mutasir hote hain. Jab ke euro ka current outlook challenging lag raha hai, unexpected developments hamesha landscape ko badal sakti hain. Misal ke taur par, Eurozone se positive economic data, geopolitical tensions ka resolution, ya central bank policies mein shift euro ke liye support provide kar sakti hain aur iske downward trend ko reverse kar sakti hain
Khulasa yeh hai ke euro is waqt aik precarious position mein hai, 1.0689 level se neeche gir chuka hai aur further declines ka imkaan hai. Jab ke key support level 1.0670 ab tak breach nahi hua, market conditions yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh threshold qareebi mustaqbil mein test ho sakta hai. Investors aur traders economic indicators, geopolitical developments, aur central bank actions ko closely watch karenge taake euro ke next moves ko gauge kar saken. Jaise ke hamesha, foreign exchange market aik dynamic aur unpredictable environment rehta hai, jahan fortunes kai factors ke base par rapidly change ho sakti hain

USD/CAD ANALYSIS 07 JULY 2024

Haftawar chart ke mutabiq, pichle kuch hafto mein trading period mein is USD/CAD bazaar ka mosam bearish trend ke saath chal raha hai, kal bhi yehi halat thi kyunki sellers ki taraf se bechnay ka pressure tha jo qeemat ko niche laa sakta hai aur bearish trend jaari rakh sakta hai. Saabit hota hai ki pichle mahine ki qeemat lagbhag 1.3772 thi lekin is haftay yeh 1.3601 tak gir sakti hai, agar sellers ka asar stable reh sakta hai, to qeemat Downtrend ki taraf chalne ka mauka mil sakta hai taake mahine ke trend ko market bearish taraf mein rally karne ka mauka mil sake.

Agley haftay ke analysis ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ki yahaan bearish mauka hai, agar sellers mazid taqat ke saath phir se aate hain, to aage ke liye main market price trend ko Downtrend taraf jaari rakhne ka purwaqar karta hoon kyunki pichle dino mein qeemat ko dabane ki koshishen ho rahi hain. Ab tak, market abhi tak 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai. Agar aap technical direction ko dekhna chahte hain jo develop ho raha hai, to model abhi tak bearish trend ki taraf tend kar raha hai, haftay ke ant tak market ki halat upar ki correction zone ke saath run kar rahi hai takreeban 1.3652 tak pahunchne ka.

Bearish trend ki rehnumai ke mutabiq, agla niche ka mauka tajwez kiya ja sakta hai agar qeemat 1.3807 price zone se guzar jaati hai. Dikhai deta hai ke sellers abhi bhi qeemat ko nichay le jana chahte hain kyunki pichle haftay mein bhi qeemat bearish thi. Isliye, main mashwara deta hoon ke zyada focus kiya jaaye current downward trend par. Meri nazron mein, Sell position kholne ka area mawazna kiya ja sakta hai agar qeemat lagbhag 1.3616 tak gir jaati hai. Aane wale projections ke mutabiq candlestick ke baare mein, bearish trend jaari rakhne ka mauka ho sakta hai. Next week ka market focus opportunities dhundhne par hoga Sell position kholne ke liye.