eur/usd

Mere subah ke tajziye mein, maine 1.0701 ke level par tawajjo di aur is par trading faislon ko is par mabni kiya. Chaliye 5-minute ke chart par dekhte hain aur dekhte hain ki wahan kya hua. 1.0701 par chadhao aur ek jhooti breakout ki shakal mein ek bechne ki signal ne joda, jiske natije mein jodi ke sirf 10 points ki giravat hui, uske baad euro par dabav kam hua. Magar kharidne walon ne khud ko zahir nahi kiya. Takneeki tasawwur din ke doosre hisse ke liye thoda sa badla gaya tha. Eurozone se data aam tor par maqami muashrati asaas ki umeedon ke mutabiq tha, jo bazaron ki ghaflat ko asar andaz hua. Mazeed risk assets ke liye kisi bhi zaroorat aur koi wajah nahi hai. Din ke doosre hisse mein, 1st quarter ke GDP maqami mayaar aur Amreeki shuruati berozgaari dawayen ke data tasawwur ko badal sakte hain, jaise ke mazboot samaan ke order aur trade balance ke figures bhi.




Magar main kamiyon par amal karna pasand karta hoon aur 1.0669 ke aas paas ek jhooti breakout ke baad – jo kal ke natayej se bana hua support hai. Yeh ek munasib daakhil hone ka point banega lambay mausam ke liye 1.0704 ko update karne ke liye – jo subah mein kaamyaab tha. Is level ke thoda oopar chalne wale moving averages hain, jo farokht karne walon ko pasand karte hain, isliye is range ke oopar se niche ek breakout aur update jodi ke liye jora jayega jo jodi ko 1.0733 ki taraf uthane ki taqat dega. Sab se door maqsad 1.0761 par maximum hoga, jahan se mujhe munafa lena hoga. Is level ki imtehanat kharidne walon ko faida dene mein madadgar hogi. Agar EUR/USD mein kami aur din ke doosre hisse mein 1.0669 ke aas paas koi ghaibi ghatna, to bechne wale bazar par qabza kar lenge, is channel se bahar nikalne ka intezar karte hue. Is mamlay mein, main sirf ek jhooti breakout ke baad agla support 1.0642 ke aas paas banne par daakhil hounga. Main apne long positions ko 1.0601 se wapas karne ke liye tyar hoon din bhar ke andar 30-35 points ki taraf.

Main EUR/USD ki khabron ke mutaliq baat kar raha hoon:
furame Time™ H4
Aap ko aik khushgawar din ki mubarakbaad! Lineer regression channel ke neeche ki taraf girne ki manzil 1.06587 ke level tak pohnchne ki koshish mein bechne wale ki taqat ko numayan karti hai. Is manzil par harkat mein rukawat aayegi. Kamzori ki wajah se, khaas fluctuations ki wajah se, inko dobara bharna zaroori hoga. Channel ke nichle hisse mein bechna sochna nahi chahiye; 1.06891 tak correction ka intezar karen. Wahan se, aap ek put option ko mad e nazar kar sakte hain. Agar yeh 1.06891 ke upar mil jaaye, to bullish mood nazar aayega, jo bazar ko ooncha kar sakta hai. Is liye, bechna intezar karna hoga. Channel ka angle dikhata hai ke bear kitna neeche jana chahta hai, aur jis zyada angle ki taraf, bechne wale utne hi sakht hote hain. Aik bada angle wala channel market ki movement ki nishani hai. Mains channel ghantay ke chart par lineer regression channel hai. Main isey harkaton ko mufeed karne ke liye istemal karta hoon.




H4 ke madadgar channel, jo ab bearish tasawwur ko mukammal karta hai. Yeh channels ek hi raaste par chalte hain, to is aalaat ke liye ek bearish jazbaat bayan kiya ja sakta hai. Agar signal kam arse mein toot jata hai, to aapko 1.07367 ke level tak umeed karne ki zaroorat hai. Jahan se hum usay 1.06612 ke level tak bechne ko dobara mad e nazar kar sakte hain. Channel ke nichle hisse mein, main bechnay ke hawale se ghair janibdar hoon, jaisa ke ab mere liye knifing ki taraf hota hai. Mera trading ka usool H4 channel ke movement ke raaste mein trade karna hai, kyun ke yeh main channel hai. Junior channel par, taqatwar harkaton ke doran daakhil aur harkat ko wazeh karna acha hai jab tak correction kam se kam ho. Wahan, jab girawat hoti hai, hum is par buniyadi masail ka aadhaar banate hain. Main zyada taur par yakeen karta hoon ke hum pehle un oonche maqsadon ki taraf kaam karenge. Magar hum abhi tak downtrend ko tor ke upar trade karte hain. Lekin abhi tak, 1.0746 ke level ne sawariyon ke liye bohat mushkil sabit ho gaya hai. Ab bas intezar hai. Agar 1.0665 par breakout aur consolidation ho jaye, to keemat ko 1.0600 tak bhej diya jayega.

EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat ki tafseelat par guftugu kar rahe hain. Guzishta haftay mein, EUR/USD pair mein kisi numayan tabdeeli ka izhar nahi hua, aur yeh mustateel raha. Ibtida mein, rozana balance 1.0751 par ek mukhalif tawaqo jari thi, jo H1 resistance ke sath milta tha. Pichle haftay se, is H1 resistance ke qareeb 1.0751 tak aik pullback mumkin tha, jise mukhalif tawaqo ke sath sath karne ka irada tha. Jori ne 1.0743 tak pohanch kar neeche rawana hui, jo keh plan ke mutabiq bina kisi hairat ke huwa. Ab daily balance 1.0671 par hai, jo agar jori is level ko toorna na kar paye to ishaarat hai keh aik correction mumkin hai. Agar din ke balance 1.0671 par qaim rahe, to jori H1 resistance 1.0721 ki taraf rawana ho sakta hai. Agar is price resistance ko torne mein kamiyabi na mile, to mukhalif aur daily pivot 1.0671 ke breakdown se mukhalif ho sakti hai, jo keh 1.0571 tak girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is ke baad, mazeed 1.0511 tak aur girawat mumkin hai, jahan primary target 1.0316 hai, lekin is mein waqt aur kuch retracements shaamil honge.



Barish mukhalif bhi mumkin hai agar jori jald he daily balance 1.0671 ko toorna shuru karde. Ulta, agar jori H1 resistance 1.0721 ko paar karde, to mukhalif aur H4 resistance 1.0811 ki taraf izaafa aur mukhalif rawana ki tawaqo hai. H1 resistance 1.0721 ke breakdown ke baad, 1.0741 se mukhalif aur H1 support 1.0646 ki taraf rawana mumkin hai, jo keh H4 resistance 1.0811 ki taraf izaafa ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar H4 resistance 1.0811 mumkin na ho, to jori dobara medium-term target 1.0316 ki taraf girne ki taraf rawana ho sakti hai. Agar H4 resistance 1.0811 ko kamiyabi se toora jaaye, to mukhalif D1 resistance 1.0981 ki taraf rawana ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ke baray mein taqreer kar rahe hain. Τfed aur ECB ke interest rates mein taizi se kami ki sambhavna sirf interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ke liye jari hai aur is waqt exchange rates ka main driver hai.

Hal hil mein Euro elections aur France ke qareeb ane wale elections ke zor ka dhool utar gaya hai aur ab euro par itni manfi asar nahi ho rahi. Kal ke chart ne koi hairat angez baat nahi di kyun ke chart ab mukhtalif raqam mein keemat barqarar kar raha hai, jo US mein bunyadi growthe ko nazar andaaz karta hai. Aj ke mazhabi maeeshati data agar mazbooti se impressionable ho sakta hai, to is se volatility mein izafah kafi ho sakta hai aur 1.06 ya mukhalif 1.08 jaise ahem se maqamat ke saamne mushkil ho sakta hai.

Har hal mein, US currency ke interest rate ikhtilafat ab bhi mehfooz hai aur ye US dollar ke liye bunyadi ho sakta hai ke is ke medium term mein qeemat barh sakti hai. Dosri taraf, pair bojhil raha hai, European currency tezi se react karta hai aur mazboot reaction ke sharaait mein high bounce khel mein rehne ke imkaanat mojood hain.

Is wajah se, mujhe ab bhi apni guftagu par qaim rehne ka irada hai, aur main apne hisab se European currencies ko 1.06 ke qareeb khareedne se inkar nahi karta.

EUR/USD ne Budh ko pehle ke low 1.0665 ko test kiya, aur ab is range 1.0665-1.0720 mein qayam hai. 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) ne aakhri marhalay ke chand dinon mein latest mortality ke slow passing ko sthapit kiya hai, jo 20- aur 200-day SMAs ke darmiyan aur nuqsanat ki taraf ishara karta hai. RSI 50 ke darje se thora neeche ki taraf jaa raha hai, jabke MACD apne negative chill ko mazboot kar raha hai. 1.0600 ke paanch mahinay ke low se mukhalif hone se pehle, traders turant 1.0647 par agle support ke taraf murna chaheinge.



Dosri taraf, latest restart market ko pehle ke level 1.0720 tak utha sakta hai, phir SMAs ke aas paas 1.0770 aur 1.0790 par test karna mumkin hai. Ahem resistance bhi 1.0800 round number se aati hai, lekin market 1.1000 ke qamyab chadhne tak manfi rahega.

EUR/USD currency pair ne aaj subah taaqat dikhaya hai, 1.0670 ke level ke upar trade kar raha hai. Market analysts aur traders iss movement ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, khaaskar halat ke roshni mein haal hi mein United States se aane wali khabron ko dekhte hue. Ye unfold hote developments jis se US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, aik scenario banane ke liye jahan EUR/USD pair ko badi taraqqi ka samna kar sakta hai.

US mein current economic landscape ki gehraiyo se pata chalta hai ke dollar kamzor hone ka potential ban sakta hai. Key economic indicators, jaise ke inflation rates, employment statistics, aur fiscal policies, tafteesh ke liye hain. Masalan, agar inflation bina Federal Reserve ke interest rates mein izafa ke ye continue hota rahe, to US dollar ki khareedari ki taqat kam ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, agar employment figures expectations ko meet nahi karte, to ye economy mein buniad mein kamiyo ka ishara de sakta hai, jo dollar ki taqat ko aur bhi asar kar sakta hai.

Iske alawa, geopolitical tensions aur trade policies bhi currency values ko influence karne mein aham role ada karte hain. Kisi bhi negative news ya uncertainties ki surat mein international trade agreements ya political stability ke mutaliq investor confidence ko impact kar sakti hai, jo USD ki fluctuations ka sabab ban sakti hai. Investors aur traders aksar aisay waqt mein Euro jaise safe-haven currencies ki taraf raghib hote hain, jo EUR/USD pair ko ooncha kar sakti hain.

Dedi gayi potential scenarios ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair tezi se badh sakta hai agar US dollar ka position badi taraah se kamzor ho jata hai. Magar, iss badhne ke liye aur pair ko 1.0830 ke level tak pohchane ke liye, kuch technical levels ko pehle peechay choorna hoga. 1.0774 level ek ahem zone ke tor par saamne aata hai. Ye level sirf ek random figure nahi hai balki yeh aksar aik significant resistance level ke tor par consider kiya jata hai jise price ko pehle se guzarna hoga kisi bhi aur urooj ke liye sambhalne ke liye.

Hafte ke akhri dinon ke market trading session mein, qeemat mein wazeh tor par bearish nazar aane laga. Yeh sorat-e-haal bearish rally pattern ke safar ki misal hai. Is qeemat girawat se yeh pata chalta hai ke bechnay walay ab market par qabza kar rahe hain aur niche ki taraf rawana jaari rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar aap isay puri tarah se nazar andaaz karna chahte hain, to hafte ki shuruat mein market ko bullish ki taraf rawana jaari rakhne ka mauqa tha, lekin peer se lekar is subah tak market trading period ke baad position 100 dinon ke simple moving average zone se guzar gayi hai. Trend ki sorat-e-haal bearish zone mein chal rahi hai ya mahinay ki trend se niche rawana kar rahi hai. Agla, qeemat ki situation ka paish-e-nazar hai ke iske nichle safar ko jaari rakhne ka mauqa ab bhi hai. Agar qeemat gir kar 0.6467 ke maqam tak pohanchti hai, to agle hafte ke market trend ka zyada imkaan hai ke woh pichle kuch dinon ki tarah bearish rahe. Agar aap market ke trend ko dekhte hain jo ab bhi girawat zone mein chal raha hai, to agle hafte ke trend ka tajziya hai ke wo nichle rawana jaari rahega. Candlestick 1.0690 ilaqe tak gir chuki hai, is liye main faisla par qaim hoon ke market mein bechnay ke hukm par tawajjo den, pichle kuch dinon ke trend ke mutabiq, aur market ki halat bhi girawat ki taraf rawana ho rahi hai.



Mai upar di gayi takniki tahlil ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke agle kuch dinon tak sell trading option ko ab bhi ghor se madde nazar rakha ja sakta hai jab tak ke candlestick 100 dinon ke simple moving average zone ke neeche chal rahi hai. Agle hafte market ka tajziya hai ke wo apna nichla rawana jaari rakhega. Stochastic indicator par nazar padti hai ke yeh level 20 tak gir chuka hai, jo market ko bearish taraf rawana karne ka aik sath denay wala element hai, yani bechnay walon ki taraf se jo kuch hafton pehle shuru hua tha.

EUR/USD ke qeemat ke hawale se maloomat

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat mein utar chadhav ka tahlil kar rahe hain. Yeh pair 1.0715 par descending channel ki bullish sarhad aur 1.0701 ka psychological level tor kar agay barh gaya. Iske baad, ek mukhtasir modati wave ke doran, is tooti hui zone ki taqat mumkin thi, aur yeh ab support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, jo mirror-level effect dikhata hai. Yahan se, market wapas upward trend ki koshish kar raha hai. Sellers ka 1.0701 se neeche push karna nakam raha, jo unki kamzori aur ghair yaqiniyat ko zahir karta hai. Iske bawajood, main sales mein zyada invested hoon aur is direction mein volumes barhata ja raha hoon. 1.0851 ki taraf move ab bhi meray liye appealing aur risky hai. Magar EUR/USD pair mein koi girawat nazar nahi aa rahi. Consumer confidence index ke upbeat honay ke baad dollar ko becha gaya, halan ke yeh positivity subjective hai kyun ke data pichle indicators se bura tha, jise media ne highlight kiya.



Iss waqt, EUR/USD pair 1.0710 se neeche qaim rehne mein nakam raha, aur qareebi resistance level 1.0716 par hai. Support ab bhi 1.0671 par hai, jo descending triangle ka lower border mark karta hai. Kal Europe mein news nisbatan average hai, kisi khas event ki tawaqo nahi hai siwaye German business climate index ke ek statistic, Euro group meeting aur ECB representative ki speech. US mein, naye gharon ki sales par statistics milengi. Yeh indicator barh sakta hai, lekin pichli dafa yeh kam tha. US mein high rates ke ongoing issues gharon ki sales ko affect kar rahe hain, is liye yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke ab data kya zahir karta hai. Market mixed signals dikha raha hai, significant levels mumkin hain aur aanay wala economic data future movements ko influence kar sakta hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur broader economic context ko madde nazar rakhnay par ghoor karna chahiye jab faislay lein.

Euro (EUR) ne jumeraat ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf chand din ke liye wazeh comeback kiya, jo pehle hafte ke nuqsan ko thoda kam kar diya. Magar, is temporary uptick ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair ke liye overall sentiment ab bhi bearish hai. Daily charts par technical indicators Euro ke liye aik tashwishi tasveer dikha rahe hain. Yeh pair is waqt aik descending channel mein phansa hua hai, jo aam tor par ek downtrend ke sath hota hai. Is pessimism ko 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke 50 se neeche hover karne se aur barhawa mil raha hai, jo Euro ke liye kamzor momentum ko zahir karta hai. EUR/USD ka mustaqbil is waqt naa-muraad nazar aa raha hai. Yeh pair jald hi 1.0670 ke qareeb support ka dobara test kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level tut gaya, to yeh ek steep decline ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo Euro ko descending channel ke neeche ke kinare ke qareeb 1.0640 tak push kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar koi upside potential hai to usay significant hurdles ka samna hai. 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is waqt 1.0732 par hai, jo pehla resistance line ka kaam kar raha hai. Is hurdle ko paar karne ke baad, 1.0800 ke psychological level ka test mumkin hai, jo descending channel ke upper edge ke sath coincides karta hai.



Pichle budh ke trading session ka nazar daalain to, EUR/USD 1.0665 mark ke qareeb tha, aur 1.0665 aur 1.0720 ke darmiyan ek tang range mein tha. 20-day aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ka recent bearish crossover downtrend ko barhawa de raha hai, jo pehle 20-day aur 200-day SMAs ke death crosses ke echoing karta hai. Momentum indicator mixed signals de raha hai, jo short-term direction ki clear absence ko reflect karta hai, magar RSI jo ke 50 se thora upar hai aur consolidating negative MACD momentum, mazeed losses ka imkaan zahir kar rahe hain. Agar Euro mazeed kamzor hota hai, to yeh 1.0647 par support ka samna kar sakta hai, is se pehle ke yeh 1.0600 ka five-month low pohanchay. Magar, recent low se ek potential rebound ek rally ko spark kar sakta hai jo previous high 1.0720 tak jasakta hai. Yeh uptick phir SMAs ke cluster ke aas paas 1.0770 aur 1.0790 par challenge ho sakta hai. 1.0800 ka round number ek aur significant hurdle hai, lekin koi bhi sustained rise 1.1000 ke upar zaroori hoga ke current bearish sentiment ko waqai reverse kare.

Market Movements Ka Tajziya: EUR/USD

Hum iss waqt EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ke rawaiyyay ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Kal ke trading session ke baad, market bearish candle ke sath band hui, jo ek lambi lower shadow se mark hui. Hourly chart par sales targets ubharte nazar aaye hain. Pehla target, Fibonacci grid ke 161.9 level par, 1.0625 hai. Dosra target, 261.9 level par, 1.0551 hai. Teesra target, 423.7 level par, 1.0427 hai. In mein se sirf pehla target 1.0625 par sabse zyada mumkin nazar aata hai. Magar, agar qeemat 1.0747 ke resistance ko paar kar jati hai, to yeh sales targets invalid ho jayenge, aur naye buy targets mumkin ho jayenge. EUR/USD market ke tajziya ko jari rakhte hue, hum ab lower time frame par nazar daal rahe hain, jabke pehle hum daily chart ko discuss kar chuke hain. H4 chart par sorat-e-haal ab bhi ghair wazeh hai. Jabke qeemat bearish price channel ki upper boundary ko tor chuki hai, buyers abhi tak descending channel se zyada push nahi kar paaye.



Is waqt, EUR/USD pair 1.0715 par trading kar rahi hai. Technically, yeh pair ab flat trading par shift ho chuki hai, jo sideways price channel banati hai jo wedge ke mushabah hai. Yeh gradual price compression ko zahir karta hai, jo ke kisi bhi direction mein imminent breakout ko suggest karta hai. Halan ke H4 chart clear direction nahi deta, daily chart ek continued decline ko suggest karta hai. In tafseelat ka tajziya karte hue, humein market forces ka ek complex interplay dekhne ko milta hai jo EUR/USD pair ke mustaqbil ke trajectory ko shape kar raha hai. Traders ko potential breakout signals par nazar rakhni chahiye jo ek significant move ko indicate karte hain. Market behavior ka yeh nuanced understanding informed trading decisions lene ke liye nihayat ahem hai.

EUR/USD ne budh ko aik sust downward movement jari rakhi aur din ke aakhir mein qeemat teesri dafa 1.0678 ke level ke qareeb pohanch gayi. Pehli bounce ke baad se yeh pair ek flat phase mein hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke pair ek sideways channel mein trading kar rahi hai. Iska upper boundary 1.0726 ke level ke mutabiq nahi hai; yeh thora upar hai. Is liye, 1.0678 ke level se teesri rebound ek naya upward movement trigger kar sakta hai within the sideways channel. Doosri taraf, agar yeh sideways channel ke neeche close karta hai, to yeh flat ke khatam hone ka ishara ho ga aur euro ke mazeed girne ka imkaan hai.

Sada baat yeh hai ke hum samajhte hain ke euro kisi na kisi tareeke se girta rahe ga. Qeemat kaafi arsay se corrective phase se guzar rahi hai, magar global downward trend ab bhi barqarar hai. Is liye, hum euro ke girne ki tawaqo karte hain jab tak yeh global trend doosri taraf na mujh jaaye. Kal macroeconomic aur fundamental background maujood nahi thi, jo low volatility ko explain karta hai. Magar, low volatility kuch mahino se trading ka integral hissa ban gayi hai.

Pair ne sirf ek signal form kiya 5-minute timeframe par - ek buy signal. Yeh signal kaafi kamzor aur itna inaccurate tha ke hum trading ka mashwara nahi denge. Bas ek reminder, bounce ki surat mein rebound precise hona chahiye. Agar yeh nahi hai, to signal ki strength kam ho jati hai. Mazeed, qeemat teesri dafa 1.0678 ke level ke qareeb aayi, is liye is level ko breach karne ka zyada chance hai. Kisi bhi surat mein, qeemat intended direction mein 10 pips bhi move nahi kar saki.

Trading tips for Thursday:
Hourly chart par, EUR/USD ek local downward trend form kar rahi hai, magar pair is waqt ek correction se guzar rahi hai aur ek sideways channel mein trading kar rahi hai. Hum ab bhi quote ke levels 1.0600, 1.0450, aur hatta ke 1.0200 tak girne ki tawaqo karte hain. Magar, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke qeemat foran in targets tak nahi pohanchay gi; yeh medium-term objectives hain. Misal ke taur par, pair ek aur week ke liye corrective phase se guzar sakta hai, kyun ke qeemat ne teesri koshish ke bawajood 1.0678 ke level ko breach nahi kiya. Hum medium-term mein euro ke barhne ki koi wajah nahi dekhte.

Thursday ko, traders downward movement ki tawaqo kar sakte hain agar qeemat 1.0678 ke level ko breach kar le. Magar, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke EUR/USD kamzor aur erratic movements dikha sakta hai.



5M chart par key levels 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981 hain. Aaj, European Union mein koi noteworthy events nahi hain. US docket mein reports hogi first quarter ke GDP ka final estimate, durable goods orders, aur initial jobless claims. Jaise ke kehte hain, "any port in the storm."

EUR/USD Pair Ka Technical Tajziya
4-Hour Chart

Is haftay ke liye humein EUR/USD pair mein bearish trend ki tawaqo hai, kyun ke qeemat ne daily chart par price channels ko tor diya hai. 4-hour chart par, qeemat is haftay descending price channels ke andar aur weekly pivot level ke neeche trading kar rahi hai, jo ke is haftay ke doran girawat ka signal deta hai.

Woh levels jin par focus kar ke selling mein enter kiya ja sakta hai, yeh hain:

1. Woh current level jahan qeemat price channels ke middle lines se resistance face kar rahi hai.
2. Weekly pivot level tak qeemat ka barhna aur phir neeche ki taraf bounce hona bhi selling ka mauqa deta hai.
3. Teesra level for sale tab hoga jab qeemat weekly resistance level 1.0814 tak pohanche aur neeche ki taraf bounce ho.

Economic side par, European elections ke baad euro ki qeemat pressure mein rahi, jab French President Macron ne European vote mein right-wing National Rally party se haar ke baad early parliamentary elections ka call dia. HSBC Bank ke mutabiq, France ke budget deficit par concerns barh rahe hain jabke Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire ne warning di hai ke agar National Rally apna economic program jari rakhti hai to France ko debt crisis ka samna karna par sakta hai. Unho ne kaha, "Euro ke liye political concerns barqarar rehne ke imkaan hain aur market mein is move ke fade hone ki koi bhookh nazar nahi aati. Hum EUR/USD ko sell karne ki open trade idea maintain karte hain, jiska target 1.0550 hai."

Agar qeemat daily level ko paar kar jati hai aur thoda higher internal level par halt hoti hai, to yeh point bhi potential entry for shorts ke tor par consider kiya ja sakta hai. Critical factor yahan stop loss level hai. Trend zyada tar downward hi hai. Halanke ek pullback mumkin hai, technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh 1.0639-1.0600 quote range se emerge hona chahiye, jo ke ek corrective pullback ko zahir karta hai. Is liye, bearish trading abhi advisable hai.



Fundamental analysis bhi EUR/USD pair mein decline ko dikhata hai, eurozone ki economic health significantly United States se peechay hai, jo sell-off ko support karta hai. Forex market participants mein bhi bearish trend wazeh hai. 4-hour scale par, RSI indicator lower 50/70 range mein movement dikhata hai, jo traders mein prevalent downward sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Alligator indicator ke mutabiq, MA moving lines downward trend kar rahi hain. Is liye, recommendations sirf sales ke liye hi hain.

Bilkul! Yahan ek roman urdu mein likhi gayi EUR/USD ka pair review:

Doosray din ke liye yuro ka dollar ke muqablay mein (EUR/USD) qeemat barh rahi hai, aur likhtay waqt 1.0744 ke level ke ird gird mustahkam hai. Ye wapas aana do sessions ki girawat ke baad hua hai, jab investors naye iqtisadi data aur monetary policy umeedon ka jaiza le rahe hain French legislative elections ke pehle round se pehle jo 30 June ko hone wala hai. Iqtisadi calendar data ke hawalay se... German Ifo Institute ke business survey ne June ke mahine ke liye business sentiment mein ghair mutawaqqa girawat dikhayi. Mahangayi ke hawalay se, ahem iqtisadiyat jaise ke France, Spain, aur Italy ke preliminary data is hafte shai honge.

Hum samajhte hain ke qareebi muddat mein recovery ki gunjaish hai, lekin ye shallow hogi kyunke French elections se pehle yuro dabao mein rehne ka imkaan hai. Is hafte ki trading ke aghaz se, euro ki qeemat dollar ke muqablay mein wapas aayi hai, aur hum qareebi muddat mein izafa dekhne ki umeed karte hain pach weekly girawat ke baad. Recent girawat ka silsila exchange rate par wasee pressure dikhata hai, isi liye hum samjhte hain ke strength ke periods short-lived honge, matlab ke jo log US dollars kharidne ka soch rahe hain unhein samajhdari se kaam lena chahiye.

Haqeeqat mein, aane wale dino mein kuch strength aa sakti hai, hamara sochna hai. Neeche diya gaya chart dikhata hai ke 100-day moving average 1.0663 par hai, jo 1.08 tak wapas aane ki buniyad bana sakta hai qareebi nigaah mein. Lekin humein ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga, kyunke hum do positive weekly closes dekhne ke baad hi 2024 ke highs par wapas aane ka kahenge.

Overall trend neeche hi rehne ka imkaan hai, rebound shallow rehne ke saath.

French elections aur Europe bhar mein far-right parties ke uthne par barh jaane wali uncertainty, aur recent crude oil prices ka izafa, sab euro ko affect karte hain, EUR/USD pair ka outlook bearish banate hue short-term mein. Eurozone data ki kamzori aur French elections ki uncertainty ke wajood ke saath, mujhe hairat nahi hogi agar EUR/USD short-term outlook mein girta rahe. Yeh ab 1.07 ke neeche ek nayi ceiling bana sakta hai. Isne pehle broken support levels jaise ke 1.0750 aur 1.0790 ko successfully defend kiya hai. Doosri taraf, 1.0500 ka psychological support bears ke trend par aur zyada control ke liye ek ahem destination bana rahega.

United States of America par nazar dalte hue, stock market ka izafa US dollar ke liye ek mazboot support sabit hua hai kyunke global investors is outperformance ko gain karne ke liye dekh rahe hain. Aane wale dino aur hafton mein further stock market gains dollar ko offensive par rakh sakti hai, forecasters ke mutabiq. Week ka main data release Friday ka core PCE inflation release hai, jo Fed ke decision-making process mein ek key input hai.

Markets ko umeed hai ke Federal Reserve is saal ke aakhir mein US interest rates cut karegi. Agar ye umeedain fade ho jaati hain, dollar ki qeemat barh sakti hai. Lekin data ko expectations ko exceed karna chahiye. Is ko madde nazar rakhte hue, core PCE rate 0.1% monthly aur 2.6% yearly basis par umeed ki ja rahi hai. May mein, dollar ka 0.1% monthly barhne ka umeed thi, jo ke 0.2 se neeche thi.

Agar ye expectations ko exceed karta hai, hum umeed karte hain ke US dollar apne highest level par week ka ikhtetam karega, aur EUR/USD week ka ikhtetam apne lowest levels par karega jo mid-April se nahi dekhe gaye (1.06).

EUR/USD Ka Tajziya - Update

Time frame H4:-
Bears ne dobara initiative le kar EUR/USD ke exchange rates ko current trading range ke lower end par le aaye hain 4-hour chart par, bravo! Shab bakhair Sasha aur acha trade!

Aaj, US dollar ki demand barh gayi, dollar market mein upar gaya, European currency ke khilaf bhi, aur natija yeh nikla ke EUR/USD prices wapas red moving average par agayi 4-hour chart par lekin gir nahi pai. Yeh rebound aur upward trend ke resumption ka imkaan zahir karti hai, jo resistance level 1.0701 ko determine karegi, aur is level ko torhna ek aur bullish war ke aghaz ko confirm karega jo trend ke upper limit ko target karte hue trading range ko 1.0750 tak le jayegi. Fundamental standpoint se, yeh decline ajeeb lagta hai, kyun ke new home sales mein sharp decline ek aur factor hai jo Fed par pressure daal raha hai, jo refinancing rates cut karne ke chances ko November se pehle barhata hai. Mortgage rates mein sharp increase ne United States mein new home sales mein significant decline ka sabab bana, aur mortgage rates ka refinancing se direct taluq hone ki wajah se, aise economic blow ko Federal Reserve System nazar andaz nahi karega.



Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke current trends mein fail na hona, aur ek option hai ke weekly triangle ke borders par pullback mile, jo ke 1.0640 par hai, aur wahan se ek simple correction ke sath reversal aur is number se exit. Yahan, hum current levels se sales pick karenge, lekin kuch din baad. Main buying ke bare mein nahi soch raha, kyun ke situation dikhati hai ke euro girta rahega. Ab, mujhe sales ka ek interesting level milne ka intezar hai.

EUR/USD currency pair

Euro (EUR) ne Friday ko apni gains ko hold karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya, aur Asian session mein 1.0690 USD ke aas-paas hover karta raha. Daily charts par technical indicators EUR/USD pair ke liye ek bearish picture paint karte hain. Currency pair ek descending channel mein phansa hua hai, jo aksar ek downtrend ke sath associated hota hai. Bearish sentiment ko mazid barhane wala ek aur factor 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka 50 se neeche hona hai, jo yeh signify karta hai ke EUR/USD is waqt 1.0760 aur 1.0670 ke darmiyan consolidation zone mein trapped hai.

Agar RSI 50 ki taraf rise kare, to yeh Euro par downward pressure ke kamzor hone ka indication de sakta hai. Euro ke liye immediate test likely lower end of the consolidation range at 1.0670 hoga, jo ke ek support level ke sath bhi coincide karta hai. Agar yeh level decisively break hota hai, to downtrend solidify ho jayegi aur EUR/USD ko descending channel ke lower limit near 1.0620 tak push kar sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar Euro kuch traction gain karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to uska pehla resistance 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hoga jo ke is waqt 1.0728 par positioned hai. Is hurdle ko overcome karne ke baad pair 1.0760 ke upper end of the consolidation range ko challenge kar sakta hai. Agar is point ke upar breakout hota hai, to upper limit of the descending channel around 1.0780, followed by the psychological resistance level of 1.0800, ko test kar sakta hai.




Agar hum peechle dinon ki baat karein, to EUR/USD ne Budh ke din pichhle low 1.0665 ke qareeb touch kiya aur us waqt se 1.0665 aur 1.0720 ke darmiyan tight trading band mein qaid ho gaya hai. Haal hi mein 20-day aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke darmiyan bearish crossover hua hai, jo pehle bhi 20-day/200-day SMAs ke darmiyan death crosses ke similar bearish signals ko reflect karta tha. Momentum indicator abhi mixed signals display kar raha hai, jo short-term direction ki kami ko darshata hai. Jabki RSI thoda sa 50 ke upar hover kar raha hai, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apna negative momentum consolidate kar raha hai. Agar Euro aur girta hai, to agla potential support level 1.0647 par hai, uske baad a critical five-month low of 1.0600 aata hai.

Price Action Analysis: EUR/USD

Aaj humari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par hogi. Pehle, chart ne bullish absorption dikhayi thi, jo kuch uljhan paida kar gayi thi. Halanke aaj price decline hui, yeh itni significant nahi thi. 7th figure ke neeche consolidation na hone ke imkaanat kam hain, jo thoda maiyusi ka sabab hai kyun ke targets thode neeche hain. Aaj dollar ko kuch support mila. Iske bawajood, mera outlook bearish hi hai. Main already 1.0741 se thoda upar sales mein hoon aur maine deal ko no loss par move kar diya hai. Lekin, phir bhi mujhe profitable take dekhne ki khwahish hai.

Ab, aao hum EUR/USD pair ka hourly chart dekhte hain. Aaj ke quotations ka decline ek downward correction tha jo shayad ab khatam ho gaya hai. Meri forecast upward movement ko dikhati hai. Qareebi target resistance level 1.0768 hai. Agar bulls is level ko torh sakte hain, to hum 1.0794 tak growth dekh sakte hain.

Conservative traders ke liye, main recommend karta hoon ke 1.0730 se upar buy consider karein. Agar price MA 46 moving average se exceed kar jaye to buying priority mein rehni chahiye. Is level tak pullback buying ki relevance ko kam kar dega. Daily chart par Bollinger Bands steady decline dikhate hain, jahan price range narrowing hai, jo short term mein trading direction mein sharp change ko reflect karta hai. MACD grow kar raha hai, jo ek relatively strong buy signal deta hai aur histogram signal line ke upar hai. Stochastic bhi upward move kar raha hai lekin apne maximum levels ke qareeb hai, jo ultra-short term mein single currency ke overbought hone ka risk highlight karta hai.



Akhir mein, jab market complex hai, analysis potential upward movement ke opportunities suggest karta hai. Traders ko technical indicators aur market conditions ko dekhte hue informed decisions leni chahiye. Market behavior ka ye detailed approach successful trading ke liye zaroori hai.