eur/usd

EUR/USD bechne ki hai. Magar, mein mojooda levels par nahi bechunga; mein intezar karunga ke price 1.0885 ya is se upar tak jaaye. Technically, yeh imkaan dikh raha hai. Agar price 1.0885 se upar jaati hai, to yeh 1.09 range tak pohanch sakti hai, jahan par strong resistance hai, jo short trades ke liye moqay faraham karta hai. Agar price 1.0860 range ko tor kar is ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh aane wale rate increase ka signal hoga. 1.0810 range par false breakout continued growth ko confirm kar sakta hai. Filhal, mein umeed karta hoon ke rate barhega aur 1.0860 range ko tor kar upar nikal jayega. Agar price 1.0880 range ko tor deti hai, to mazeed growth likely hai, aur us waqt purchases ko consider kiya ja sakta hai.
Mein 1.0945 range ka breakout bhi expect kar raha hoon, aur is ke upar consolidation buying ka signal hoga. Agar price 1.0890 ko tor kar is ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh buying opportunities ka indarajat karegi. 1.0810 range se growth barhati rahegi. Price confidentally upar gayi hai ek strong bullish impulse ke sath, aur ek full bullish candle banayi jo 1.08850 resistance level ke upar close hui. Mojooda scenario ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke upward movement continue reh sakti hai, agle objectives 1.09425 aur 1.09812 par target karte hue. In resistance levels ke qareeb, do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla, agar price in levels ke upar consolidate karti hai, to yeh 1.11393 resistance level ki taraf barh sakti hai. Is maqam par, mein trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga taake next direction ka pata chal sake. Dousra, agar reversal candle 1.09425 ya 1.09812 resistance levels ke qareeb banegi, to price downward movement resume kar sakti hai. Is surat mein, mujhe lagta hai ke price 1.08850 ya 1.07882 support levels par wapas aa sakti hai. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals dekhunga, aur upside recovery ki umeed karunga. Halanki, mazeed dour ke southern objectives ka target karna mumkin hai, magar filhal mein in ko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyunki immediate prospects nahi hain. In summary, mujhe lagta hai ke price upward move karti rahegi aur next bullish objectives ko target karegi. Wahaan se, mein market conditions ko assess karun

Euro pichlay jumay ko 1.0670 par girne ke baad comeback ki koshish kar raha hai. Is haftay ki shuruaat zyada optimistic note par hui hai, jahan investors riskier assets ko favor kar rahe hain, jo ke ek weaker US dollar aur stronger Euro ka sabab ban raha hai. Yeh positive sentiment aik quieter Tuesday session se pehle hai. Major economic data releases ki bajaye, traders policymakers ke comments ka intezar karenge taake is haftay ki direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Is haftay ke aakhir mein, key economic data release hone se cheezen garam ho jayengi. Thursday ko US GDP figures release hongi, phir German retail sales data aur latest US inflation data Friday ko aayegi. Iske ilawa, Tuesday ko US trading session ke dauran Federal Reserve officials ke multiple speeches expected hain. Unka stance market movements ko significantly influence kar sakta hai.

Monday ko kuch German economic data expectations se kam rahe, lekin broader market ke positive mood se Euro ko faida ho raha hai. Yeh optimism is anticipation se fueled hai ke European Central Bank se rate cut aa sakta hai, mumkin hai 25 basis points ka. Yeh market predictions ke sath align karta hai, jahan roughly 70% chance hai ke US Federal Reserve bhi September mein similar rate cut karegi, financial data ke mutabiq.

Magar, aaj zyada active day hone ka wada hai jab US market khulegi, American side se significant amount of economic data ke sath. Yeh data ka influx EUR/USD pair ki direction ko significantly impact kar sakta hai. Key economic indicators, jaise ke employment figures, inflation data, ya Federal Reserve officials ke statements, interest rates aur economic outlooks ke baray mein market expectations ko alter karne ki potential rakhti hain. Agar incoming US economic data stronger than expected hoti hai, toh yeh US dollar ko bolster kar sakti hai, EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dalti hui aur usay 1.0732 resistance level se door push kar sakti hai. Bar-aks, weaker-than-expected data dollar ko weaken kar sakti hai, EUR/USD ko resistance ke upar break karne aur apni upward movement ko continue karne ka impetus de sakti hai.

Euro ne pichle Friday ko 1.0670 tak girne ke baad ab wapas aane ki koshish kar raha hai. Is haftay ka aaghaz zyada optimistic note par ho raha hai, investors ne riskier assets ko prefer kiya hai, jiski wajah se US dollar kamzor aur Euro mazboot ho gaya hai. Yeh positive sentiment Tuesday ke session ke liye quieter markets ka peshkash karta hai. Major economic data releases ke bajaye, traders policymakers ke comments ka intezar karenge taake is haftay ke direction ka andaza laga saken. Haftay ke aakhir mein, cheezein garam hongi jab key economic data release kiya jayega. Thursday ko US GDP figures aayengi, followed by German retail sales data aur Friday ko latest US inflation data release hogi. Iske ilawa, Tuesday ke US trading session mein multiple speeches from Federal Reserve officials expected hain. Unka stance market movements ko significant influence kar sakta hai.

Jabke kuch German economic data jo Monday ko release hui, wo expectations se miss hui, Euro ko broader market ke positive mood ka faida mil raha hai. Yeh optimism European Central Bank se anticipated rate cut ki wajah se hai, jo ke mumkin hai 25 basis points ho. Yeh market predictions ke sath align karta hai, jo ke financial data ke mutabiq roughly 70% chance hai ke US Federal Reserve bhi September mein similar rate cut karega.

Lekin, aaj jab US market open hogi, to yeh ek zyada active din hone ka wada karta hai kyunki American side se significant amount of economic data aa rahi hai. Yeh data ka influx EUR/USD pair ki direction ko significantly impact kar sakta hai. Key economic indicators, jaise ke employment figures, inflation data, ya Federal Reserve officials ke statements, interest rates aur economic outlooks ke bare mein market expectations ko alter karne ki potential rakhti hain. Agar incoming US economic data expected se zyada strong hui, to yeh US dollar ko bolster kar sakti hai, EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dal sakti hai aur shayad usay 1.0732 resistance level se door kar de. Conversely, weaker-than-expected data dollar ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo EUR/USD ko resistance ke upar break karne ka impetus de sakti hai aur upward movement ko continue kar sakti hai.

Euro ki taraf se aik wapas ki koshish ho rahi hai jab ke pichle Jumeraat ko 1.0670 tak khatarnak giravat hui thi. Is haftay ki shuruat behtar note par ho rahi hai jahan investors risky assets ko pasand kar rahe hain, jis se US dollar kamzor aur Euro mazboot ho raha hai. Ye musbat mahaul aik kam shor hotay hue Shamaat Tuesday session ke liye pehle se tayyar ho raha hai. Badi arzi arthi data releases ke bajaye, traders policymakers ke comments ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake haftay ke rukh ko samajh sakein. Haftay ke baad mein cheezon mein tez hoti ja rahi hai jahan Thursday ko US GDP figures aayenge, phir German retail sales data aur Friday ko latest US inflation data. Is ke ilawa, Tuesday ke US trading session mein Federal Reserve officials ke kai speeches ka imkaan hai. Unki stance market movements ko badi had tak asar daal sakta hai. Jab ke kuch German economic data jo Monday ko aayi, unki expectations se kam raheen, Euro bazaar ke ziyada musbat mood se faida utha raha hai. Ye umeed hai ke European Central Bank 25 basis points ke rate cut ke zariye kar sakti hai. Is ke saath saath market predictions ke mutabiq, US Federal Reserve ke bhi September mein aik mukhtalif rate cut hone ka 70% imkaan hai, jo ke financial data se zahir hai.

Lekin, aaj US market ke khulne ke saath aik zyada sakht din hone ka wada hai, jis mein American side se arzi arthi data ki bari tadad bhi hai. Yeh data influx EUR/USD pair ke rukh ko sakht asar daal sakta hai. Key economic indicators jaise ke rozgar figures, mahangai ke data, ya Federal Reserve officials ke statements, in sab ke zariye market expectations ko interest rates aur arthi outlooks ke hawale se badalna mumkin hai. Agar incoming US economic data expectations se zyada taqatwar niklay, to yeh US dollar ko mazbooti de sakta hai, jis se EUR/USD pair par neechay ki taraf dabao ayega aur 1.0732 resistance level se door kar sakta hai. Ulta agar expectations se kamzor data aaye, to dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo ke EUR/USD ko resistance ko toorna aur uske tezi ko jari rakhne ka sabab bhi de sakta hai.

Euro 1.0670 ke chinta janak girawat ke baad aamad mein jad o jahd kar raha hai. Is haftay ki shuruat behtareen note par ho rahi hai jahan investors ziada risk wale assets ko pasand kar rahe hain, jis se dollar kamzor aur Euro mazboot ho raha hai. Is umda jazbat se pehle market ko shant Tuesday session ka intezar hai. Bari arzi maaliyat ke bajaye, traders policymakers ke raaye ko samajhne ke liye be sabri se intezar kar rahe hain. Haftay ke akhri dinon mein, muhim maaliyat ke data ke sath garam ho jayenge. Thursday ko US GDP figures anayenge, jise German retail sales data aur Friday ko latest US inflation data follow karega. Isi ke sath Tuesday ke US trading session mein Federal Reserve officials ke kai taqreerain bhi honi hain. Unka raaye market ke harkaton par bhaari asar daal sakti hai. Jabki kuch German maali data jo Monday ko saamne aaya wo ummedon se kam nikla, Euro ko mazeed behtar market ki musarrat se faida ho raha hai. Is ummid se Euro ke barhne ki jo tawanai hai, wo European Central Bank ki taraf se rate cut ke aane ki ummid se bhari hai, jo ke 25 basis points ke mutabiq hosakti hai. Yeh market ke tajaweez ke mutabiq hai, jahan financial data ke mutabiq September mein US Federal Reserve ki bhi aik mukhtalif rate cut hone ki 70% koshish hai.

EURUSD ke hourly timeframe par - Tuesday ko hum confidently kal ke descending channel breakout point ke upar hold kar rahe hain, jo ke na sirf channel resistance hai balki recent trading days ki trend line bhi hai. Iska matlab hai ke bears ne retreat kar liya despite negative Euro PMI aur Ifo indices. Iski buniyad par, main yeh assume karta hoon ke hum channel ke downtrend phase se sideways movement ki taraf transition kar rahe hain aur Friday ko US inflation ke key news ka intezar karenge. Sideways range ki upper boundary abhi 1.0770 par hai.

EUR/USD D-1

Is tafteeshi post mein, mujhe din-pratidin ka chart kholna pasand hai. Asal mein, halat wahan se meri pichli trading post se tabdeel nahi hui hai. Euro/dollar pair ab bhi ek downward price channel ke andar trade ho raha hai, jo 2024 ke shuru mein banaya gaya tha. Technically, downward price channel ke upper boundary se rebound ke baad, ek naya decline wave shuru hua hai, jo ab tak jaari hai. Is ke alawa, decline wave ka 50 percent ban chuka hai aur bears ke liye target hoga ki price aur nichle border of the channel tak gire, jiska intersection lagbhag level 1.0500 ya level 1.0450 par hoga (jo October 2023 ka local minimum hai, jise bears breakdown ke liye dobara test kar sakte hain).

Daily chart:

Click image for larger version

Name: image_7007793.png
Views: 0
Size: 31.8 KB
ID: 18440264

EUR/USD H-4

Aap forum aur trade paraye, aapko salaam!

Hum euro/dollar pair ke liye market picture ka tafteeshi jaari rakhte hain. Daily chart upar discuss kiya gaya tha, lekin ab mujhe ek lower timeframe dekhna hai. H4 chart par humare paas ab bhi ek controversial picture hai: lagta hai ke price ne southern price channel ke upper limit ko toot diya hai, lekin buyers ko descending channel se bahut door tak jane nahi diya gaya. Euro/dollar pair level 1.0714 par trade ho raha hai aur technically major ab flat trading mein move ho gaya hai aur ek sideways price channel bana hai, jisme pair trade ho raha hai. Channel ek wedge ki shakl mein hai, price dheere dheere tight ho rahi hai, aur qareebi mustaqbil mein main ek upper ya lower border ke breakdown aur ek direction mein shot ka intezar kar raha hoon. H4 chart par specifically dekh kar hume yeh samajh nahi aa raha ke pair kis direction mein jaega, lekin upar discuss kiye gaye daily chart se saaf hai ke decline jaari hai.

Euro ne ek comeback ki koshish ki hai baad ek pareshani ka dip jo ke 1.0670 par tha guzishta Jumma. Is haftay ki shuruwat mein investors ne riskier assets ko favor kiya, jis se dollar kamzor aur euro mazboot hua. Is positive sentiment se pehle se hi tezi se koshish kar rahe hain market ke lie. Economic data releases ke bajaye, traders policymakers ke comments ka intezar karenge taake haftay ki direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Haftay ke dauraan, key economic data release hone wala hai. Thursday ko US GDP figures ane wale hain, phir German retail sales data aur Friday ko latest US inflation data. Is ke ilawa, Tuesday ke US trading session mein multiple speeches Federal Reserve officials ki bhi muntazir hain. Unki stance market movements par bari asar daal sakti hai. Jab ke kuch German economic data jo Monday ko release hua, expectations ko miss kiya, euro ko broader market ke positive mood se faida ho raha hai. Is optimism ko European Central Bank ki taraf se ek rate cut ki umeed se bharpoor kiya gaya hai, jise 25 basis points tak kaamyaabi se amal karaya ja sakta hai. Market predictions ke mutabiq, US Federal Reserve ki taraf se bhi September mein ek similar rate cut hone ki lagbhag 70% chances hain, jaise ke financial data ke zariye zahir hai.

EUR/USD

Yeh pair notable decline se guzri hai jo Monday ko shuru hone wale steep correction ke baad aayi. Pair peak se trough tak 0.52% gira, jise crucial support level 1.070 ke qareeb le aaya.

Eurozone mein Political Uncertainties:

Shared currency ko political developments ne significantly impact kiya hai. Recent exit polls yeh dikhate hain ke Eurosceptic nationalists ne European Parliament elections mein substantial gains kiye hain jo Sunday ko hue. Yeh shift European integration aur policy-making ke future par ek uncertainty ka layer introduce kar raha hai, jo Euro par pressure daal raha hai.

Macron ka Snap Election Decision:

French President Emmanuel Macron ne snap elections is mahine ke akhir mein announce kiye hain. Yeh decision France mein political uncertainty ko badhata hai, jo Eurozone ki second-largest economy hai, aur Euro par confidence ko further undermine karta hai. Investors is political instability ke potential se wary hain ke yeh economic policies aur growth ko disrupt kar sakti hai.

ECB ke Inflation Concerns:

Economic factors bhi play mein hain. European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker aur Deutsche Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel ne persistent inflation ke bare mein concerns voice kiye hain, khaaskar service sector mein, jo strong wage growth se driven hai. Yeh stubborn inflation outlook suggest karta hai ke ECB ka koi bhi policy easing slow hoga, jo economic expansion ko limit kar sakta hai aur Euro par burden dal sakta hai.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Friday ka significant drop ne pair ko 1.0800 se le kar 1.0690 tak gira diya, jo 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai. Yeh level historically strong support provide karta hai, magar current market sentiment suggest karta hai ke pair shayad iske upar hold karne mein struggle kare.



Traders closely dekh rahe hain key support levels se technical rebound ke liye agle hafte. Lekin, near-term outlook bearish lag rahi hai. Agar pair current support ke neeche break karti hai, to 1.0650 level ki taraf further decline mumkin hai, kyunke downward trendline continued selling pressure ko indicate karti hai.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Price Action

EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat ka tajziya hamari guftagu ka markazi mawad hoga. Euro/dollar currency pair ki bullish correction jaisa ke intezar tha, ab mukammal ho chuki hai. Murray indicator ka istemal kar ke, correction ne regression channel ke darmiyan 1.0743 level par test karte waqt rok di thi. Yeh hamari pehli tashkhees ke mutabiq hai jahan humne is currency pair ke liye doosre technical assessment methods ka istemal kiya tha. Halat yeh hain ke chaar ghante ke stochastic ne pehle hi bataya tha ke pair overbought hai, aur ab yeh neechay murujan ki taraf murnay laga hai. Isi tarah, hum EUR/USD ke price mein kami ki umeed karte hain pehle regression channel ke neechay.

Lekin Murray indicator ke mutabiq, bears ke zariye mazeed pressure ki umeed hai, jo ke 1.0682 mark ke qareeb 2/8 reversal level ko target kar rahay hain. Is ke ilawa, yeh bears ke liye teesra inteha hai ke yeh level torne ki koshish kar rahay hain, jo ke market pattern ka izhar kar sakta hai, aur aik breakdown ka sabab bhi ho sakta hai.

Bilkul sahi, yeh manzar asar par hai ke fundamentals US dollar ke faidah mein hon. Agar aisa ho, to hume zahir ho sakta hai ke neechay ki taraf aik wazeh movement dekhein. Agar na ho, to pair mojooda positions par wapas aa sakta hai, jis se Murray reversal level 1.0682 aur regression channel ke darmiyan 1.0743 ke beech mein sideways movement ka nateeja ho sakta hai. Yeh pattern ishara karta hai ke agar asal bunyadiyat be-tabdeel rehti hain, to aik range-bound market ka imkan hai.

Maujooda technical indicators aur market patterns mutasir karte hain ke EUR/USD pair mein mazeed kami ke imkanat hain, jahan 1.0682 aur 1.0743 critical levels agle qadam mein faisla karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Traders ko in levels ko tawajjo se dekhna chahiye ta ke possible breakouts ya reversals par nazar rakh saken, market sentiment aur iqtisadi bunyadiyat ke tabdeel hone par munhasir.

Subha bakhair sabko! Chart M15 ke mutabiq, linear regression channel oopar ki taraf jhuk raha hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke khareedne walay 1.07143 ke darj tak pohanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Ab yahan khareedne ka mouqa hai. Lekin behtar hai ke khareedne se pehle linear regression channel H1 bhi oopar ki taraf jhukne ka intezar kiya jaye. Main 1.06898 ke channel ke nichle border se khareedne ka soch raha hoon, lekin main un bechne walon ka bhi nigran karoonga jo 1.06898 ke nichle jaa kar mazboot ho jayen. Agar yeh hua toh main khareedne se rok jaoonga, kyun ke H1 trend ke mutabiq sales jari rehne ki bulandi hai. Agar bull 1.07197 ke level ke upar jam ho sakta hai, toh phir main khareedna jari rakhunga. Market ki jazbaati halat khareedne walay ke favor mein mukhalif jaa rahi hai.

Chart ko samajhne aur data ki tashreeh karne ke baad, mujhe samajh aata hai ke market ab mojooda mein mazboot bearish trend mein hai. Is par paisa kamane ke liye, mujhe us waqt ka intezar karna hoga jab price 1.07197 ke upper border tak pohanch jaye aur neeche jaane ka shuru kar de. Jaise hi main aisa mauqa dekhoon, main maal ki taraf bechnay ka mauqa talash karunga jis ki taraf 1.06658 ke level tak ja sakta hai. Agar price target level ko tode, toh yeh sales ke jari rehne ke liye mazboot saboot ho sakta hai. Lekin yaad rakhiye ke is ke baad ek oopri correction bhi ho sakti hai, isliye market ko nigran mein rakhna zaroori hai aur bullon ki mumkin jawabi karwai ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Samajhna zaroori hai ke agar bull 1.07197 ke level ko paar kar de, toh yeh market mein bullish interest ka nishan ho sakta hai, jo ke maamla ki dobara tashkeel aur sales ki mansookhi ka sabab ho sakta hai. Is liye hamesha market ke haalaat mein tabdeeliyon ko nigran karna zaroori hai aur agar market ki surat-e-haal mein tabdeeli ho jaye to apna plan badalne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

EUR/USD D-1

Is analytical post mein main rozana ka chart kholna chahta hoon. Asal mein, yahan par halat tabdeel nahi hue hain jab se meri pehli trading post ki gayi thi. Euro/dollar pair ab bhi aik neeche ki taraf price channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo ke 2024 ke shuru mein bana tha. Technically, neeche ki taraf price channel ke upper boundary se bounce ke baad, aik naye wave ki taraf girawat shuru hui hai, jo ke is waqt tak jaari hai. Is ke saath saath, girawat ke 50 percent tajarbat ho chuke hain aur bears ke liye maqsad aik mazeed girawat hai price channel ke neeche ki taraf, jis ke intersection ke aas paas level 1.0500 ya phir level 1.0450 par hoga (jo ke October 2023 ka aik local minimum hai, jise bears tajarbat ke liye dobara test kar sakte hain).

Daily chart:

Name: image_7007793.png

EUR/USD H-4

Achi din, forum ke saathi aur traders!

Hum euro/dollar pair ke liye bazaar ki tasveer ka tajarba jaari rakhte hain. Daily chart ko upar discuss kiya gaya tha, lekin ab main ek kam time frame dekhna chahta hoon. Chart H4 par abhi bhi ek mubahisah manzar hai: lagta hai ke price ne neeche ki taraf price channel ke upper limit ko tor diya hai, lekin buyers ko descending channel ke bohat door tak jane nahi diya gaya. Euro/dollar pair level 1.0714 par trade ho raha hai aur technically ab major flat trading par move ho chuka hai aur aik sideways price channel ko shakl di hai jisme pair trade kar raha hai. Channel ek wedge ki shakl mein hai, price dheere dheere tight ho raha hai, aur qareebi mustaqbil mein main ummeed karta hoon ke channel ke upper ya lower boundary ko tor kar aik taraf ki taraf phaink aayega. H4 chart ke base par specifically pair ke agle rukh ka pata nahi lagaya ja sakta, lekin upar discuss kiye gaye daily chart se wazeh hota hai ke girawat jari hai.

aya trading hafta shuru ho gaya hai aur hum phir se period D1 ke chart par nazar daalenge - EURUSD currency pair ka. Pichle haftay ke doran Jumma tak, keemat maximum tak pohanch chuki thi, jahan takreen aur talaqat ki mukhtalif qism ke jhaale ban rahe thay, yahan wahan ja rahi thi, yeh tasveer din ke andar chhotay arse mein dekhi ja sakti hai. Sab kuch Jumma ko hal ho gaya. Aham khabron ka aik silsila America mein aya aur keemat tezi se buland ho gayi. Is khabar se America mein keemat tezi se buland ho gayi, lekin sirf American dollar hi nahi, yeh market ke poore shuay mein mazid mazboot ho gaya. America ke non-agricultural sector mein munsif logon ki tadad mein tabdeeli aayi aur woh peshgiyon se bilkul behtar sabit hui, jo American currency ko mazbooti dene ke liye acha hai. Lekin doosra indicator, be-rozgar ki dar, mukhalif taur par barh gayi, jo dollar ke liye manfi hai. Yeh lagta hai ke yeh khabrein aapas mein tawazun banana chahiye thi, lekin kisi wajah se dollar mazid mazboot ho gaya. Shayad is wajah se ke aik technical tasveer thi zyadatar asli aalaaton ke liye. Yahan tak ke jaldi girne ki nishaaniyan bhi thien, aur sab se pehle, yeh bearish divergence ke mojoodgi thi jo MACD aur CCI indicators mein istemal hoti hai. Lambe arse tak keemat ne neeche nahi jana chahti thi aur phir sab kuch khabron par hua. Hal hi mein keemat ne neeche ki taraf aik price gap ke sath kholi, mujhe kehna chahiye ke yeh gaps lambi muddat se nahi thay, aam tor par woh jagah par kholta thi jahan hafta band hota tha, lekin yahan woh khaas zyada bara nahi tha, lekin neeche ki taraf ka gap girte raha. Mustaqbil mein keemat aik oonchi hui rekha tak pohanch sakti hai jo neeche se guzarti hai. Lekin aik neeche ki taraf qareebi mojoodgi ko barhane ke baad lena chahiye; yeh keemat banne wala gap band karne aur 1.0800 ke resistance level ko test karne ka buland ihtimal

EUR/USD /H1

Salam. Asian session mein, khareedne wale apni positions ko Monday close par rakhe hue hain, chhoti si gap ke bawajood jo ab khatam ho gaya hai. Aaj ke market par nazar dalte hue, nazdeeki EUR/USD daily H1 timeframe chart ka support level lag raha hai 1.0691 ke aas paas. Is point se, do potential scenarios hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke support level par ek reversal candle banega, jo ke price mein ek upward movement la sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, toh price ka imkan hai ke resistance level ki taraf badhe. Agar price is resistance level ke upar stable rahti hai, toh most likely aage bhi is point ke baad aur resistance challenges ka saamna karegi. Muhtasir mein, traders ab apni positions hold kar rahe hain aur support level par nigaah rakhi hui hai. Market ke reactions ke mutabiq, price ya toh upar ki taraf rebound kar sakti hai ya phir aage aur resistance challenges ka saamna karegi.

Economic calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq... Standard & Poor's Global ne kaha ke Eurozone economy ke Purchasing Managers' Index survey ne dikhaya ke "economic recovery ne saal ke doosre quarter ke end par ek setback ka saamna kiya." Composite PMI reading 50.8 par thi, jo ke May ke 52.2 se kam thi aur consensus estimate 52.5 se neeche thi. Manufacturing sector contraction territory mein rehta raha 45.6 par (Umeed: 47.9, Pehle: 47.3). Services economy ko drive karte rahe, expansion 52.6 par thi (Umeed: 53.5, Pehle: 53.2).

European Central Bank ke policy ke future ke baare mein... aik naye inflationary shocks ke khatre ka samna karne ki wajah se, Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel ke mutabiq European Central Bank ko interest rates par flexible rehna chahiye. "Hum naye price shocks se dhamkaye jaa sakte hain," Schnabel ne Kiel, Germany mein Sunday ko awards ceremony mein kaha. "Isliye hum alert hain aur pehle se ek fixed price path par commit nahi hain, lekin hum data par bharosa karte hain."

EUR/USD currency pair foreign exchange (forex) market mein sab se zyada dekhi jaane wali exchange rates mein se ek hai. Yeh pair euro ke maamle mein US dollar ke muqable kee qeemat ko darshaata hai. Ab tak, yeh pair 1.0692 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ko darshaata hai. Ek bearish trend yeh darshaata hai ke euro dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai, jo traders aur investors ke liye ahem asraat rakh sakta hai.

EUR/USD pair market participants ke liye bari tawajju ka markaz hai kyunki euro aur US dollar dono ki taqatwar tijarati ahmiyat hai. Euro Eurozone ka qanooni currency hai, jismein 19 European Union (EU) ke 27 members shaamil hain. Yeh duniya mein dusri sab se zyada tijarat ki jaane wali currency hai, US dollar ke baad. Doosri taraf, US dollar duniya ka pehla reserve currency hai aur zyadatar aantarrashtri transactions mein istemaal hota hai.

Kai factors EUR aur US dollar ke darmiyaan exchange rate par asar daal sakte hain. Yeh include karte hain economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth rates, inflation rates, aur rozgar ke figures. Misal ke taur par, agar Eurozone taqatwar economic growth report karti hai, to yeh euro ko dollar ke muqable mein qeemat badha sakti hai. Ulte agar US taqatwar economic growth report karti hai, to dollar euro ke muqable mein taqatwar ho sakta hai.

Maujooda waqt mein EUR/USD pair ka bearish trend yeh darshaata hai ke euro dollar ke muqable mein qeemat haar raha hai. Yeh trend mukhtalif factors se hosakta hai. Aik mumkin wajah Eurozone ki economic performance hai muqablay mein United States se. Agar US ki economy Eurozone economy se behtar kar rahi hai, to investors euro ke bajaye US dollars ko pasand kar sakte hain, jo euro ke depreciation ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Maujooda 1.0692 ke level ke liye EUR/USD pair yeh darshaata hai ke ek euro lagbhag 1.0692 US dollars ke barabar hai. Yeh exchange rate forex market ke dynamic nature ke bajaaye continuously fluctuations ke subject hai. Traders aur investors in fluctuations ko tezi se monitor karte hain taake woh currencies kharidne ya bechne ke liye sahi faislay kar sakein.

Ikhtitami tor par, EUR/USD currency pair euro aur US dollar ke relative taaqat ka ahem hisaab hai. Maujooda bearish trend, jahan pair 1.0692 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, yeh darshaata hai ke euro dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Iss exchange rate par asar dalne wale factors ko samajhna, jaise ke economic performance, central bank policies, aur geopolitical risks, forex market mein shaamil kisi bhi shakhs ke liye zaroori hai. Jab taqteeti arziyaan jari rahein, EUR/USD pair traders aur investors ke liye aik key focus banaye rahega jo forex market ke complexities ko samajhne ki koshish karte hain.

Euro 1.0670 ke darkhwast karne ke baad ek comeback ki koshish kar raha hai. Is hafte ki shuruaat mein investors ne riskier assets ko pasand kiya, jisse US dollar kamzor hua aur Euro mazboot. Market mein yeh muskurahat pehle se zyada hai jab ke Tuesday session mein koi badi economic data release nahi hai. Market watchers policymakers ke comments ka intezar karenge taake haftay ke rukh ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Haftay ke darmiyan, ahem economic data bhi jaari honge. Thursday ko US GDP figures aane waale hain, jo German retail sales data aur akhri US inflation data ke saath aayenge. Mazeed, Tuesday ke US trading session mein Federal Reserve officials ki multiple speeches ki umeed hai. Unka rukh market movements ko gehra asar daal sakta hai. Agar kuch German economic data Monday ko expectations ko miss kar gaya, to Euro ko mazeed taraqqi ki taraf jaate hue dekhne ko mil raha hai. Yeh umeed se taalluqat hai ke European Central Bank 25 basis points ke zarye rate cut kar sakta hai. Yeh market ke tajziyaat ke mutabiq hai, jisme September mein US Federal Reserve se mukhtalif rate cuts ke 70% chances hain, jaise ke financial data se zahir hai. Magar, aaj US market opening ke saath zyada active din hone ki umeed hai, jisme American side se aane waale ahem economic data honge. Yeh data EUR/USD pair ke rukh par bada asar daal sakta hai. Ahem economic indicators, jaise employment figures, inflation data, ya Federal Reserve officials ke statements, interest rates aur economic outlooks ke mutalliq market ki expectations badal sakte hain. Agar incoming US economic data expectations se zyada mazboot hua, to US dollar ko barkarar kar sakta hai, jisse EUR/USD pair par neeche ki taraf dabaav aayega aur shayad woh 1.0732 resistance level se door ho jayega. Bilkul, agr incoming data expectations se kamzor hua, to dollar kamzor hoga, jisse EUR/USD ko resistance ko toorna aur apni upward movement jaari rakhne ke liye josh mil sakta hai.

EUR/USD D-1

Is tajziyyati post mein, mein rozana ka chart kholna chahta hoon. Asal mein, haalat wahan se tabdeel nahi hui hai mera peechle trading post se. Euro/dollar pair ab bhi downward price channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo 2024 ke shuruaat mein bana tha. Takneekan, downward price channel ke upper boundary se qayam se baad, aik naya wave of decline shuru hua hai, jo is waqt tak jaari hai. Mazeed, 50 percent of the decline wave ban chuka hai aur bears ka maqsood mazeed girawat ke liye hoga lower border of the channel ki taraf, jis se shuru mein takriban 1.0500 ya 1.0450 ke level ke takraav me aayega (October 2023 se local minimum, jise bears break down ke liye dobara test kar sakte hain).

Daily chart:





EUR/USD H-4

Achha din, forum aur trade ke sameed haazir!

Hum euro/dollar pair ke liye market ki tasveeri tabaraq karte rahenge. Daily chart upar discuss kiya gaya tha, lekin ab main ek lower timeframe dekhna chahta hoon. Chart H4 par abhi bhi ek tanazur karne wala manzar hai: lagta hai price ne southern price channel ka upper limit tor diya hai, lekin kareedaron ko niche ke descending channel ke bahar nahi jaane diya gaya. Euro/dollar pair ab 1.0714 ke level par trade kar raha hai aur takneekan major ab flat trading mein chala gaya hai aur ek sideways price channel banaya gaya hai jisme pair trade kar raha hai. Channel ek wedge ki shakal mein hai, price dheere dheere tight ho raha hai, aur qareeb ane waqt main ek upper ya lower border of channel ka tor phor aur ek disha mein ek shot ummeed hai. Yeh mumkin nahi hai keval H4 chart par dekhtay hue pair kahan jayega, lekin upar discuss kiye gaye daily chart se humein mukammal girawat ka pata chalta hai.