EUR/USD Dollar ke hawale se bullish sentiments dheere dheere kamzor ho rahe hain jabke American economy thandi ho rahi hai. Pehle quarter mein, USA ka GDP growth sirf 1.6% tha, jo expected 2.3% se kam hai. Iske ilawa, April ke retail sales mein koi growth nahi hui. Ye sab uss waqt ho raha hai jab general aur core CPI index dono hi slow ho rahe hain. Jumme ko, May ke liye inflation ka report aayega. Iss hafte ke liye koi important reports schedule nahi hain. European currency ke liye inflation report ab itni zaroori nahi hai kyunke inflation pehle hi 2.4% par aa gayi hai aur lagta hai ke ye niche hi jayegi. Haan, ye zaroori nahi ke indicator har mahine decrease ho, ye kabhi kabhi badh bhi sakta hai aur phir kam ho sakta hai. Magar ab koi expect nahi kar raha ke inflation barh jaayegi. Indicator ka decrease karna sirf already mushkil situation ko aur bura banayega. Haal hi mein, Philip Lane ne kaha ke regulator ke liye accha hoga ke rate ko waqt par kam kar diya jaye. Unka maanna hai ke June ek munasib mahina hai monetary policy ko ease karne ke liye shuru karne ka. ECB abhi bhi dovish hai, jo European currency ke demand ko kam karna chahiye.
Jumme ko, price pure din badhta raha. Na support test hua aur na resistance, isliye Monday ko maine range ke andar trading ko prioritize kiya. Maine anticipate kiya ke price 1.08646 aur 1.08010 ke range mein trade karegi. Dusre alfaz mein, resistance se bechna aur support se kharidna recommend kiya. Jab tak resistance break nahi hota, selling relevant hai. Aaj ke din, price 1.08646 ke level se niche trade kar raha hai, isliye kal ke liye decline ko prioritize karunga.
Wednesday ke information background ne phir bear traders ko unki marzi ke mutabiq support nahi diya. Filhal, European currency moderately decline ho raha hai, magar jaldi ECB meeting ke results aayenge, aur ECB President Christine Lagarde bhi aadhe ghante mein speech karengi. Rate cut pehle se hi EUR/USD pair mein price ho chuka hai, magar ye mumkin hai ke aaj regulator monetary policy ko soften na kare. Main is option ko rule out nahi kar sakta. Agar aaj rates nahi kam hue, toh bull traders phir se offensive par chale jayenge. Agar Christine Lagarde "hawkish" rhetoric apnati hain, toh ye euro ko bhi support karega. Aur "hawkish" rhetoric kya ho sakti hai? Lagarde keh sakti hain ke agla rate cut jaldi nahi hoga aur inflation decline ke continuity ko ensure karna zaroori hai.
Jumme ko, price pure din badhta raha. Na support test hua aur na resistance, isliye Monday ko maine range ke andar trading ko prioritize kiya. Maine anticipate kiya ke price 1.08646 aur 1.08010 ke range mein trade karegi. Dusre alfaz mein, resistance se bechna aur support se kharidna recommend kiya. Jab tak resistance break nahi hota, selling relevant hai. Aaj ke din, price 1.08646 ke level se niche trade kar raha hai, isliye kal ke liye decline ko prioritize karunga.
Wednesday ke information background ne phir bear traders ko unki marzi ke mutabiq support nahi diya. Filhal, European currency moderately decline ho raha hai, magar jaldi ECB meeting ke results aayenge, aur ECB President Christine Lagarde bhi aadhe ghante mein speech karengi. Rate cut pehle se hi EUR/USD pair mein price ho chuka hai, magar ye mumkin hai ke aaj regulator monetary policy ko soften na kare. Main is option ko rule out nahi kar sakta. Agar aaj rates nahi kam hue, toh bull traders phir se offensive par chale jayenge. Agar Christine Lagarde "hawkish" rhetoric apnati hain, toh ye euro ko bhi support karega. Aur "hawkish" rhetoric kya ho sakti hai? Lagarde keh sakti hain ke agla rate cut jaldi nahi hoga aur inflation decline ke continuity ko ensure karna zaroori hai.
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