EUR/USD Pair Ka Jaaiza
US mein muntaqil inflation figures jo tawana khabron se mazid taqatwar hotay hain aur US markazi bank ki siyasi intizaam ka khatma jab tak tezi se barhti inflation ko roka jaye yeh sab wajohat hain jo Thursday ke trading mein EUR/USD currency pair ke qeemat ko 1.0726 support level ki taraf le gaye, jis se pehlay Europe Central Bank ki aik aham waqiya ka elan hua hai jo is hafte ke liye euro ke liye sab se ahem hai. Hafte ke ibtedai dinon mein euro/dollar ke daam mein izafa, jo 1.0885 resistance tak pohnch gaya, uske baad jab America mein inflation ka reading European Central Bank ko June mein khushkhabri na de saka to ghayab ho gaya. America mein barhtay inflation ka matalab hai ke European Central Bank US Federal Reserve se pehlay interest rates ko kam karay gi, jo ke ek siyasi mufasilta banaayegi jo euro-dollar exchange rate ko mutasir karegi.
Forex currency trading platforms ke mutabiq, US dollar ke qeemat baaqi tamam bari currencies ke muqablay mein tezi se barh gayi jab America mein inflation ne March mein 0.4% ko mahinay ke hisab se darj kiya, jis se saalana tabdeel 3.5% tak pohnch gayi, jo ke February mein 3.2% se barh gayi. Core components, "super core" aur khidmatat ne dikhaya ke ghar ki inflation par upward pressures barh rahe hain balkay ghat rahe hain, jaise ke US Federal Reserve ummeed karta tha ke yeh waqt is halat ka nahi hoga.
Forex trading ke mutabiq, market ke mashhoor currency pair ke nuqsaan baad mein barh gaye, jab ke market ne June ke siyasi meeting mein Federal Reserve interest rate cut ka ihtimal kam kar diya. Haqeeqat mein, July mein bhi rate cut ka imkaan kam hua, jab ke September sab se zyada mumkin tareekh ban gayi shuru karne ke liye. Aam tor par, futures markets dikhate hain ke investors ab saal ke aakhir tak karib 45 basis points ke cuts ki keemat ko tay karte hain, jabke sirf aik din pehle yeh figure kareeban 70 basis points tha.
Aaj ke Euro ka US dollar ke khilaaf umeed:
Jaise ke maine pehle zikar kiya tha, euro ke daam ka US dollar ke khilaaf EUR/USD level 1.0800 ke neechay hona trend ko control karne wale bears ki position ko mazboot karega. Main ne US inflation ke elaan aur US Federal Reserve Bank ke peechle meeting ke minutes ka reaction zikar kiya, bilkul sahi, dollar ke liye momentum taqatwar tha aur ab woh muqam par hai. Agla support 1.0700 hai, jo bears ki position ko mazboot karta hai, aur agar Europe Central Bank aaj apni mazbooti wala tawazun chhod deta hai, to 1.0655 aur 1.0580 ke support levels ki taraf rawan hone ke moqay ho sakte hain, jo ke tamam technical indicators ko mazboot oversold saturation levels ki taraf dhakelte hain.
Main ab bhi yeh manta hoon ke eurodollar ke liye koi bhi faida mehdood hoga aur lamba waqt tak nahi rahay ga.
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