𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY Price Direction

Hamari guftagu ka markaz USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda price action ka tajzia hai. Humne 157.49 range mein ek breakdown dekha, jo price mein mazeed girawat ka sabab bana. Mangal ke din, exchange rate mojooda levels se gir sakta hai, kyun ke sellers ke liye 157.49 ka false breakdown mumkin hai. Ek aur false breakout 157.49 par ho sakta hai, jiske baad girawat ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. 156.59 level ka breakdown aur consolidation neeche signal dega ke ab sell karna chahiye. 158.24 level resistance ko represent karta hai, jahan se girawat agle hafte se hi shuru ho sakti hai. 156.84 ka breakdown bhi mumkin hai, jiske baad girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Support 154.49 range mein hai, aur girawat is range ke saath align ho sakti hai. Pehle 156.54 tak girawat ki umeed hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, to selling viable rahegi. Yeh level mumkin hai, aur agar price neeche fix ho jati hai, to sale ka signal milega aur mazeed girawat 153.49 tak ho sakti hai, jahan profit lena mumkin hoga.



Upward trend ab bhi nahi badla, jo higher time frames, khas tor par daily aur hourly periods mein clearly nazar aa raha hai. Week ke aakhri din, Friday ko daily candle ne resistance zone 157.69 ko tod diya, phir is mark ke neeche wapas aaya, jo price action system of candle analysis ke mutabiq ek sell pin bar banaya. Daily aur hourly periods par candle analysis patterns achi tarah se kaam karte hain; jitna lamba interval, utna zyada chance ke yeh patterns manifest hon. Mojooda surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, hum 155.73 support zone ko dobara test karne ki umeed rakhte hain, jo Bollinger indicator ki lower moving line se indicate hota hai. Wahan se hum maximum resistance zone 160.17 ki taraf move karenge, jo ek double-top pattern form karega. Yeh scenario potential fluctuations ko point out karta hai, jo traders ke liye critical levels ko dekhna aur informed decisions lena important banata hai. In patterns aur resistance levels ko observe karna strategic moves ko guide kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY Analysis

Sab ko trading ke naye din ki mubarak ho. Aaiye M30 time frame par USD/JPY pair ka tajzia karte hain. Periods 9 aur 22 ke sath fast animations mere purane aur wafadar dost hain. Signals utne hi simple aur common hain jitna ke duniya. Humare paas do moving averages hain jo ek dosre se price level 156.095 par mil rahe hain. Thoda sabr, 5 minute time frame par price rollback, aur phir hum market entry par buy karte hain. Main risk aur reward ratio ko follow karta hoon. Main 1 to 3 apply karta hoon. Jab order profitable zone mein move karta hai, main position ko breakeven par le aata hoon. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 20 points ka hota hai. Kabhi kabhi main 25 points ka bhi laga sakta hoon, lekin zyada nahi. Main wide stops lagata hoon taake market ke fakers ka shikar na banoon, jo ke market mein bhare huye hain. Is message ko parhne wale sab ko dher sari kamiyabi ki dua karta hoon!



Ab, aaiye dhekhtay hain ke aaj ka din kaisa raha. Haan, yahan formation puri tarah se chal rahi hai, aur kal ke US news release ke baad, USDJPY pair ne level 155.82 ko test kiya, jo price girawat ke sath important hai. Trading instrument ki price pehle hi is value ke north move kar chuki hai. Bullish trend ke hawale se, hum keh sakte hain ke yeh purane time price chart par visible hai, lekin jaisa ke main samajhta hoon, mojooda upward movement ka maqsad upper liquidity ko remove karna hai. Kuch aur nahi, aur USDJPY liquidity maximum formation ke upar hai aur hum cheezon ko update kar sakte hain, isliye main ab bhi yahan buy kar raha hoon, chahe kal jaisi surprises bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hain. In fact, jo bearishness hum ab dekh rahe hain is pair ke chart par, yeh ascending price channel ke bahut mushaba hai jo maine draw kiya hai, aur agar yeh channel kaam kare, to ab price barh sakti hai. Lekin, upside yeh hai ke main expected update ke baad in purchases par profit record karunga aur main is channel ko dekhna nahi chahunga kyun ke yeh channel puppet owner ne design kiya hai. Lekin yeh humein sabko ghalat rasta dikha sakta hai. Agar hum high update karte hain aur phir increased volume par price girti hai, to is scenario mein hum high update karne ke baad neeche ja sakte hain aur shayad mere picture jaisa ho.

T E C H N I C A L A N A L Y S I S - U S D / J P Y

Hello, forum community ke sab logon ko salam. Meri latest post analysis mein aapka khush aamdeed hai. Research yeh batati hai ke USD/JPY pair abhi 157.44 par fluctuate kar raha hai. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, US Dollar Index ki kamzori dobara bearish exponent ke control mein hai aur 106.00 resistance level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Technical indicators ke mutabiq, yeh pair 180.98 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin, aaj price gir bhi sakti hai. Humein European session ke shuru mein USD/JPY charts ko dekhna hoga. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.8707 par hai aur yeh indicator humein batata hai ke market uptrend mein hai lekin agle kuch dinon mein neeche move karega. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator 7.34181 par move kar raha hai aur high volume bar display kar raha hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 20 periods ki exponential moving average aur 50 periods ki exponential moving average ke upar hai jo bullish signal show karta hai.



Yahan hum dekh sakte hain ke kuch minor support aur resistance areas hain jinko hum entries banane ke liye use kar sakte hain. Market rise primary resistance level 160.09 ko hit karega. Agar aap buy karte hain, to hum price range ko 170.98 ke liye target kar sakte hain, aur teesra target 180.98 ke price range par ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, USD/JPY ke liye primary support level 140.50 hai. Agar yeh baad mein sell hota hai, to hum 124.83 ke price par target kar sakte hain jo ke 2nd level of support hai. Iske baad hum assume kar sakte hain ke price teesre resistance level 102.30 ki taraf dobara attempt karega aur shayad isay test bhi kare. Is tarah, technical nazriye se, best way to profit yeh hai ke trend ke sath short positions open ki jayein.

Chart mein use kiye gaye indicators:
- MACD indicator
- RSI indicator period 14
- 50-day exponential moving average color Orange
- 20-day exponential moving average color Magenta

USD/JPY Ka Halya Tajziya

Kal ke trading session mein, market bullish raha jab tak ke price channels ki middle lines touch na ho gayi. Us ke baad price gir gaya aur phir se red channel ke neeche close hua. Agar hum pichle do hafton ke price movement ko dekhein, to humein maloom hota hai ke red channel price ke liye ek strong resistance hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, price monthly pivot level ke upar aur rising red channel ke andar trade kar raha tha, lekin phir price gir gaya aur dono break ho gaye. Us ke baad, price ne blue channel line se support liya aur wapas upar gaya, monthly pivot level ke upar settle ho gaya.

Lekin, price ab bhi fluctuate kar raha hai kyun ke red channel line se resistance face kar raha hai aur jab bhi decline hota hai, monthly pivot level se support mil raha hai. Is liye, agle haftay ke doran expected price movement kuch is tarah hogi:

1. Seedha upar jane ki koshish, kyun ke price agle haftay ke doran red channel ke andar ek trading day close karne ke baad ek upward trend mein samjha ja sakta hai.
2. Dusra imkaan yeh hai ke price monthly pivot level tak gire aur wapas upar bounce kare.

Agle haftay ke doran pair ko trade karne ke liye kuch mukhtalif levels par focus kar sakte hain:

1. Agar price red channel line ko touch karke wapas neeche bounce kare, to aap sell kar sakte hain.
2. Agar price monthly pivot level tak gir kar wapas upar bounce kare, to aap buy kar sakte hain.
3. Agar price monthly resistance level 159.57 ke upar stabilize ho jaye, to bhi aap buy kar sakte hain.





USD/JPY currency pair is mahine mein notable bullish trend dikha raha hai. March ke trading sessions se, price consistently upar move kar rahi hai, aur pichle haftay 157.48 ke level tak pohonch gayi. Yeh persistent upward movement market mein strong buying interest ko highlight karta hai. Haliya dynamics ko dekhte hue, price gains ka potential significant hai. Daily trend bullish hai, aur ane wale dino mein price apni upward trajectory ko maintain karne ki umeed hai—a trend jo ke 2024 ke shuru se progress mein hai.

Filhal, price movement sideways phase mein dakhil hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke consolidation period ko indicate karti hai. Is apparent pause ke bawajood, USD/JPY currency pair ka market trend mazbooti se upward hi hai. Yeh consolidation phase aksar market ko momentum gather karne ka moqa deti hai taake naye highs ko break karne ki koshish ki ja sake. Aisi phase ko significant market moves ka precursor bhi samjha ja sakta hai, jahan sideways movement future price action ke liye staging ground ke tor par kaam karti hai.

USD/JPY Market Analysis

USD/JPY market mein kal ka din turbulent raha, jahan buyers apne losses ko recoup karne mein nakam rahe, jiski wajah se price lagbhag 155.26 tak gir gayi. Yeh momentum shift ko sellers ke haq mein dikhaata hai, jo ke USD/JPY par buy order ko selling se zyada faidemand banaata hai. Lekin, ane wale US Unemployment rate aur GDP data buyers ke liye ek lifeline provide kar sakte hain, jo price ko 155.65 mark ke upar aur hatta ke 156.00 tak le ja sakte hain. Yeh buyers ke liye ek significant turnaround ko signify karega, jo unhein market par dobara control hasil karne mein madad dega. Expected volatility ke madde nazar, traders ko apni strategies mein flexibility rakhni chahiye.

Kal USD/JPY buyers ke fully recover na karne, sirf 155.26 tak pahunchne ne sellers ki strength ko highlight kiya. Filhal, USD/JPY par buy order lagana behtar hai selling ke muqablay mein. Forthcoming US Unemployment rate aur GDP data buyers ko 155.65 threshold ko cross karne mein madad de sakte hain. USD/JPY market mein agle chand ghanton mein mazeed intrigue dekhi ja sakti hai.





Aane wale US Unemployment rate aur GDP data market par significant asar daal sakte hain. Agar yeh data points favorable hain, to yeh buyers ko zaroori boost provide kar sakte hain jo price ko 155.65 zone ke upar push kar sakte hain. Yeh buyers ke liye ek significant milestone hoga, jo unhein market par dobara control hasil karne aur hatta ke price ko 156.00 zone ke upar le jaane mein madad de sakta hai. Is scenario mein, USD/JPY par buy order ek wise decision hoga, jo traders ko potential upside ko capitalize karne aur profit kamaane ka mauka dega.

Kul mila kar, market ane wale dino mein volatile rehne ki umeed hai, aur traders ko apni strategies ko accordingly adapt karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Kal ke trading session mein buyers 155.26 zone tak pahunch paye jo ke sellers ki power ko dikhaata hai. USD/JPY par buy order sell position se behtar hai. Overall, US Unemployment rate aur GDP buyers ko 155.65 zone ko cross karne mein madad de sakte hain. Dekhte hain USD/JPY market mein agle ghanton mein kya hota hai.

USD/JPY Market Analysis

Jumeraat (June 14) ko USD/JPY late trading mein 0.17% barh kar 157.29 par pohanch gaya. Is se pehle yeh 158.26 tak pohancha, jo April 29 ke baad se sabse zyada tha. Guzishta Jumeraat, Bank of Japan ne faiz dar ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya aur heran kun tor par yeh bhi kaha ke wo temporarily hukoomati bonds ko mojooda rate par khareedta rahega. July policy meeting mein bond purchase reduction plan ki tafseelat ka elan karne ka irada hai.

Bank of Japan ke dovish move ne yen par depreciation ka pressure barhaya. Lekin phir, Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke central bank "nazdiqi se" kamzor yen ka asar inflation par dekh raha hai, aur yeh bhi kaha ke July mein economic data ke madde nazar faiz dar barhane ka imkaan hai. Unki is taqreer ne yen ke girawat ko thoda kam kiya. Bank of Japan abhi bhi ek accommodative policy ko barqarar rakhta hai, aur bunyadi factors se yen abhi bhi kamzori mein phansa hua hai.




Technical Analysis

Technically, daily level chart par, USD/JPY ne dobara Bollinger Band channel ki middle line ko touch kiya hai, aur technical indicators equilibrium line ke qareeb hain, jo itna wazeh nahi hai. Iske ilawa, 20-day moving average ne 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko cross kar liya hai, jo ek bullish signal hai, jise "golden cross" kaha jata hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke short-term trend long-term trend se zyada strong hai, jo bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai.

Filhal, 158.00 ka level aik bhari pressure constitute karta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to USD/JPY ke barhne ki umeed hai. Abhi ke liye, neechay strong support 155.00 ke qareeb hai.

USDJPY Market Analysis

157.55 ke price test ke waqt, MACD indicator zero mark se bas neeche move kar raha tha, jo dollar bechne ka entry point confirm karta hai. Natija ye nikla ke USD/JPY pair 50 pips neeche chala gaya. Guzishta haftay ke data aur Bank of Japan ke interest rate faislay ne yen par pressure barqarar rakha hai. Lekin, haal hi mein US data traders ke liye utna acha nahi tha, is liye dollar bulls abhi tak local highs ko tor nahi sake. Is subah, pair sideways trade karega, isliye mein upward trend ke tez taraqqi ki umeed nahi karta. Behtar yeh hoga ke pair ke corrections ka faida uthaya jaye aur trend ke progress ke liye niche ke levels par act kiya jaye. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par zyada rely karunga.

Buy Signals

Scenario No. 1:* Mein aaj USD/JPY ko khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price green line par 157.72 ka entry point touch karega, aur growth ka target 158.67 hoga, jo chart par moti green line se show kiya gaya hai. 158.67 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karke short positions open karunga, aur wahan se 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect karunga. Aaj USD/JPY ke growth ko bullish market banane ke continuation mein count kar sakte hain. Khareedne se pehle, ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur bas rise kar raha hai.





Scenario No. 2:* Mein aaj USD/JPY ko tab bhi khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 157.12 ka do martaba consecutive tests hote hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ka upward reversal laayega. Hum 157.72 aur 158.67 ke opposite levels tak growth expect kar sakte hain.

Sell Signals

*Scenario No. 1:* Mein aaj USD/JPY ko tab bechne ka plan bana raha hoon jab red line par 157.12 ka level test hoga, jo price ko tezi se neeche le jaayega. Sellers ke liye key target 156.27 hoga, jahan mein short positions exit karke long ones open karunga, aur wahan se 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein expect karunga. Agar price din ke high ke qareeb settle hone mein nakam hoti hai to USD/JPY par pressure wapas aasakta hai. Bechne se pehle, ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur bas decline kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2:* Mein aaj USD/JPY ko tab bhi bechne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 157.72 ke price ka do martaba consecutive tests hote hain jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ka downward reversal laayega. Hum 157.12 aur 156.27 ke opposite levels tak decline expect kar sakte hain.

Price Action Unveiled: USD/JPY

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke current price movements ka analysis kar rahe hain. Is chart par, maine us zone ko mark kiya hai jahan USD/JPY ki estimated liquidity shayad top par thi aur phir last price movement ke upar jaane se remove ho gayi thi. Agar top liquidity poori tarah se is upward price move ke zariye remove ho gayi, to price ko aur upar le jaana faida mand nahi hoga, kyunki yeh interest attract nahi karega. Aise mein, ek bearish scenario unfold ho sakta hai, jahan is pair ki cost market khulne ke baad gir sakti hai. Agar hum 157.62 accumulation tak growth dekhte hain aur phir 156.86 level tak move hota hai, to humein 157.21 accumulation ko closely monitor karna hoga, jo hum 156.86 se reach kar sakte hain. Agar hum 156.86 se 157.21 tak rise karte hain aur USD/JPY is level ko surpass karne mein nakam rehta hai, to price 156.09 level tak gir sakta hai jahan accumulated volumes hain.



Expected Movement

Decline likely continue karega 157.69 ke false breakdown ke baad, mainly kyunki growth ek bearish divergence formation ke dauran hui thi. 158.24 ka false breakout possible hai; agar aisa hota hai, to fall wapas shuru ho jayega. Aaj humne 158.29 ka false breakout dekha, jo ek sell opportunity signal karta hai. Agar price current range 158.14 se girta hai, to hum 155.69 range ko target kar sakte hain. Ek minor correction expected hai, followed by further decline. H4 chart par yen ka analysis karte hue, hum ek top-three pattern form karenge, uske baad decline continue hoga. Yeh favorable conditions suggest karta hai ek downward shift ke liye current rate se. Aakhir mein, hum shayad 155.69 range tak pahunchenge, jahan support present hai. Upward momentum pehle hi ho chuka hai, followed by continued decline. Resistance 158.19 range mein hai, decline wahan se continue hoga.

Aaj ka tajziya USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke asar par mabni hai. Aaj, USD/JPY currency pair ne ek naye haftay ka kam marka darja kiya. Rozana ki mom candle bechne walon ka faida de rahi hai, jo agle trading session mein ek naye kam ko mukhtalif banane ki sambhavna hai. Char ghantay ka chart dekhnay par, jodi ne ek downtrend mein hai, jo ke Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko darust karata hai. Isliye, chhote positions munasib ho sakti hain. Iske alawa, Stochastic indicator neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. wazeh hai. Ahem support level 156.80 par hai, jo ke short-term buying ka moqaa faraham karta hai agar price is level tak retrace hoti hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pehla target 156.46 high par hai. Agar ye range break hoti hai, to raasta significant level 156.04 tak khulta hai, jo pehle notable bearish movement dekh chuka hai.
Agar price critical range 155.92 ko breach karti hai, to ek potential reversal short position ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo ke buyers’ zone 154.45 tak impulse le ja sakta hai. USD/JPY ne ek substantial correction undergo ki hai extended ascent ke baad. Jaisay ke anticipate kiya gaya tha, ye correction 300-800 points par mushtamil thi. Pair ne 300 points retrace kiye, jo ke 154.32–154.65 imbalance zone tak pahuche aur phir rebound hua
Aaj ke session mein, jodi ne apni giravat jaari rakhi, teesra support level par 154.95 ke neeche stabilise ho gayi. Ek intraday giravat ke liye reference point classic pivot level hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke keemat ke giravat abhi ke star se 154.27 ke support level tak jaari rahegi. Agar keemat is point ke neeche mazboot hoti hai, to yeh ek naye giravat ka jhatka de sakti hai, jo jodi ko aur bearish karega 152.18 ke aas paas ke support area tak. Ulta agar bulls wapas aaye, to resistance level 157.84 mojooda chart ke iss hisse ko nirdeshit karega.

Jab main wave analysis mein mahir nahi hoon, to mojooda nichle impulse se 157.78 buland se, D1 chart par bearon ka target doosre impulse zone par 154.28 ho sakta hai. Market ka rukh is haftay ke darmiyan ke fundamentals par nirbhar karega. Agar bearish trend ke baray mein bari time frames ke mutabiq agle pullback ke baad mukhtalif ho raha hai, to dollar-yen pair apni giravat ko doosre zone ke neeche ke had tak barha sakta hai 153.74. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY quotes pehle impulse zone par wapas aate hain 155.55 par, to bearish pullback mukammal samjha ja sakta hai, aur yen phir se upar ki taraf ja sakti hai. Chhotay term mein, pehle zone ke neeche ki had 155.08 ke market ke reaction ko expectations ko adjust karne ke liye ahem samjha jayega. USD/JPY jodi bearish momentum ko dikhata hai, jahan mukhya support aur resistance levels uski movement ko nirdeshit karte hain.

Ye chart USD/JPY ka 4-hour time frame hai jo price action, moving averages, aur kuch technical indicators ko dikhata hai. Is chart ka review detail mein karte hain:
Chart Overview:

1. Price Action:
   • Current price 157.204 par hai.
   • Price ne consolidation phase mein enter kiya hai jahan horizontal movement dikhayi de rahi hai.
   • Price range 156.070 se 158.770 ke beech mein trade kar rahi hai.
2. Moving Averages:
   • Chart par do moving averages hain, 50-period aur 200-period.
   • 50-period moving average ne 200-period moving average ko cross kiya hai, jo ek bullish crossover hai.
   • Price in moving averages ke aas paas move kar rahi hai, jo support aur resistance ka kaam kar rahi hain.
3. Indicators:
   • RSI (Relative Strength Index):
     • RSI value 55.88 hai, jo neutral zone mein hai (30-70 range).
     • RSI ne recently upper bound ko touch kiya hai lekin wapas neeche aa gaya hai.
   • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
     • MACD line 0.1024 aur Signal line 0.1514 par hain.
     • MACD ne bullish crossover dikhaya hai lekin abhi thoda neutral territory mein hai.

Technical Analysis in Roman Urdu:


Is chart ko dekh kar lagta hai ke USD/JPY ek consolidation phase mein hai. Price abhi moving averages ke beech mein move kar rahi hai jo ek tight range ko indicate karta hai.

Key Levels:

• Resistance Level (158.770): Agar price upar ki taraf move karti hai to yeh resistance level ek significant hurdle hoga.
• Support Level (156.070): Neeche ki taraf support level, agar price girti hai to yeh ek strong support provide kar sakta hai.

Moving Averages Analysis:

• 50-period moving average ne 200-period moving average ko cross kiya hai jo bullish signal hai.
• Price moving averages ke paas trade kar rahi hai, jo short-term support aur resistance ka kaam kar rahi hain.

RSI Analysis:

• RSI value 55.88 hai jo neutral territory ko indicate karta hai.
• RSI ne upper bound ko touch karke wapas neeche aaya hai, jo indicate karta hai ke price shayad sideways move kare.

MACD Analysis:

• MACD ne bullish crossover show kiya hai jo buying momentum ko indicate karta hai lekin abhi neutral zone mein hai.
• MACD aur Signal line dono zero ke aas paas hain, jo indicate karta hai ke market mein abhi strong trend missing hai.

Conclusion:

• Bullish Scenario: Agar price 158.770 resistance ko break karti hai aur upar move karti hai to yeh bullish signal hoga aur price aur upar ja sakti hai.
• Bearish Scenario: Agar price 156.070 support ko break karti hai aur neeche move karti hai to yeh bearish signal hoga aur price aur neeche ja sakti hai.

Traders ko is range-bound market mein careful rehna chahiye aur proper risk management ka istimaal karna chahiye. Ye analysis apke trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai lekin hamesha yad rahe ke trading mein risk hota hai aur proper research aur risk management zaroori hai.

USD/JPY M-15 Analysis:

Good afternoon un tamaam logon ko jo is forum thread ko parh rahe hain aur trading shuru kar rahe hain. Yeh USD/JPY pair ka M15 timeframe par analysis hai. Hum apne charts par well-known moving averages plot karte hain. Main interval 9 aur 22 par exponentials use karna pasand karta hoon. Yeh tool simple hai, lekin effective hai. Signals ke liye hum apna dimaag zyada nahi uljhayenge. Hum price mark 158.869 par signals ke intersection ko use karenge. Main market mein entry bhi isi tarah karta hoon. Jab slips cross kar lein, toh main five-minute timeframe par ek chhota pullback ka intezar karta hoon. Uske baad hum market ke mutabiq buy karte hain. Risk ek zabardast cheez hai, lekin sirf tab jab yeh reasonable ho. Main hamesha 1:3 ka risk-reward ratio follow karta hoon. Agar market zyada offer kare, toh main zyada bhi le leta hoon, lekin 1:3 minimum hai. Apni trading mein main 20 points ka fixed stop orders use karta hoon. Yeh most market conditions ke liye best option hai. Mera analysis yahin khatam hota hai. Umeed hai yeh aap ke liye useful tha. Shukriya!

USD/JPY H-4 Analysis:

USD/JPY currency pair ki current situation ko four-hour chart ke framework mein dekhte hue, ab hum yaqeen ke sath keh sakte hain ke bulls ne bears ki defenses break kar di hain, halan ke is mein kafi waqt laga. Jab USD/JPY last time 158 figure par pohanchi thi, toh Bank of Japan ne currency market mein intervene kiya tha aur bulls ko kafi der tak neeche push kiya tha. Abhi, aisi koi reaction nahi hui aur USD/JPY price sirf 158 par nahi gayi, balki usse upar chali gayi hai aur 159 ko bhi cross kar liya hai. Ab pair 159.02 par trade kar rahi hai, jo ke Moore Regression Channel 3/8 ke neeche ke level 158.59 se upar hai, jo resistance se support ban gaya hai, aur isko moving average line 14th period se support mila hai. Iska matlab hai ke hum agle resistance area ki taraf continuation expect karte hain, jo ke regression channel ke middle mein 159.38 par hai. Ab hum thoda downside rollback expect kar sakte hain, lekin most likely yeh regression channel ke neeche level se neeche nahi jayega, aur yeh decline bhi chart par correction nahi lagta balki price wave movement kehlaya ja sakta hai.

GBP/JPY ka currency pair is haftay mein khaamosh hai, zyada data releases nahi ho rahi hain. Investors ko UK aur Japan se aglay haftay significant economic reports ka intezar hai. Pair 200.00 aur 199.00 JPY mark ke darmiyan fluctuation kar raha hai. Thodi stability ke bawajood, Japanese Yen (jisko "Guppy" kaha jata hai) is saal kafi weak hua hai, losses 11% se zyada hain. Is haftay UK aur Japan se economic data releases underwhelming rahin. Lekin investors Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke statements par tawajju de rahe hain. BOJ apni quantitative easing aur bond-buying programs ko unwind karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Magar Japan mein inflation wapas anay ka khauf bank ko apni dovish monetary policy stance barqarar rakhne par majboor kar raha hai. Weak Japanese Yen ko slowdown in global interest rate cuts ne negative impact kiya hai jo ke aksar major central banks ne adopt kiya hai. Agle hafte ke shuru mein, Japan ke first-quarter GDP figures expect kiye ja rahe hain, jahan forecasts hain ke contraction ho ga around 0.5% compared to the prior quarter. Isi tarah, UK bhi naya labor market data Tuesday ko release kar raha hai, jahan expectations hain significant job loss ka around 177,000 in the three months leading up to April.


Ye resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan interaction market sentiment aur future movements ke hawale se valuable insights provide karega. Misal ke taur par, agar price high resistance level 157.13 ko test karta hai aur uspe breakthrough karne mein nakam rehta hai, toh yeh strong selling pressure indicate kar sakta hai jo shayad ek reversal ki taraf le jaaye lower levels ki taraf. Doosri taraf, agar buyers effectively 156.31 support area ko defend karte hain, toh yeh aik bullish reversal signal kar sakta hai, price ko wapas upar ki taraf push karte hue higher resistance levels ki taraf.

Overall, in key levels ko samajhna aur inke ird gird price action ko monitor karna traders ke liye critical hoga. Yeh unhein zyada informed decisions lene mein madad karega aur mumkin market movements ko anticipate karne mein, is tarah USD/JPY currency pair ke liye apni trading strategies ko behtar bana sakte hain upcoming sessions mein

Aaj ka tajziya USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke asar par mabni hai. Aaj, USD/JPY currency pair ne ek naye haftay ka kam marka darja kiya. Rozana ki mom candle bechne walon ka faida de rahi hai, jo agle trading session mein ek naye kam ko mukhtalif banane ki sambhavna hai. Char ghantay ka chart dekhnay par, jodi ne ek downtrend mein hai, jo ke Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko darust karata hai. Isliye, chhote positions munasib ho sakti hain. Iske alawa, Stochastic indicator neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. wazeh hai. Ahem support level 156.80 par hai, jo ke short-term buying ka moqaa faraham karta hai agar price is level tak retrace hoti hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to pehla target 156.46 high par hai. Agar ye range break hoti hai, to raasta significant level 156.04 tak khulta hai, jo pehle notable bearish movement dekh chuka hai.
Agar price critical range 155.92 ko breach karti hai, to ek potential reversal short position ki taraf ho sakta hai, jo ke buyers’ zone 154.45 tak impulse le ja sakta hai. USD/JPY ne ek substantial correction undergo ki hai extended ascent ke baad. Jaisay ke anticipate kiya gaya tha, ye correction 300-800 points par mushtamil thi. Pair ne 300 points retrace kiye, jo ke 154.32–154.65 imbalance zone tak pahuche aur phir rebound hua
Aaj ke session mein, jodi ne apni giravat jaari rakhi, teesra support level par 154.95 ke neeche stabilise ho gayi. Ek intraday giravat ke liye reference point classic pivot level hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke keemat ke giravat abhi ke star se 154.27 ke support level tak jaari rahegi. Agar keemat is point ke neeche mazboot hoti hai, to yeh ek naye giravat ka jhatka de sakti hai, jo jodi ko aur bearish karega 152.18 ke aas paas ke support area tak. Ulta agar bulls wapas aaye, to resistance level 157.84 mojooda chart ke iss hisse ko nirdeshit karega.

Jab main wave analysis mein mahir nahi hoon, to mojooda nichle impulse se 157.78 buland se, D1 chart par bearon ka target doosre impulse zone par 154.28 ho sakta hai. Market ka rukh is haftay ke darmiyan ke fundamentals par nirbhar karega. Agar bearish trend ke baray mein bari time frames ke mutabiq agle pullback ke baad mukhtalif ho raha hai, to dollar-yen pair apni giravat ko doosre zone ke neeche ke had tak barha sakta hai 153.74. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY quotes pehle impulse zone par wapas aate hain 155.55 par, to bearish pullback mukammal samjha ja sakta hai, aur yen phir se upar ki taraf ja sakti hai. Chhotay term mein, pehle zone ke neeche ki had 155.08 ke market ke reaction ko expectations ko adjust karne ke liye ahem samjha jayega. USD/JPY jodi bearish momentum ko dikhata hai, jahan mukhya support aur resistance levels uski movement ko nirdeshit karte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair is abhi kuch din se ruk gaya hai, pehle ke kuch dinon mein barh gaya tha. Yeh ab 157.00 ke aas paas hai, jo ke April ke akhir mein jo high levels thay, unse kafi neeche hai. US Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance hai interest rates par, magar is saal ke akhir tak rate cuts ki umeed hai kyunke inflation kam ho rahi hai, is wajah se dollar mein utni interest nahi rahi. Is wajah se USD/JPY pair ke upar pressure hai. Ek aur cheez jo USD/JPY ke barh ne ko rok rahi hai wo hai Japanese authorities ka intervention ka chance, jo dollar ko kamzor aur yen ko mazboot kar sakti hai. Magar isko US Treasury yields ke barhne se balance ho raha hai, jo dollar mein investors ko attract karte hain. Saath hi, Bank of Japan ki dovish monetary policy, jo interest rates ko low rakhti hai, yen ko itna attractive investment nahi banati aur iski appreciation ki potential ko limit karti hai.






Aage jaake, analysts ko lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair apna upward trend continue karegi. Koi bhi short-term dips ko buying opportunities ke tor pe dekha jayega, khas taur pe jab market ka focus upcoming US economic data releases par hoga, jaise ke retail sales aur industrial production. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke members ke speeches bhi pair ko direction dene mein madad karengi. Bank of Japan ki policy meeting minutes bhi Wednesday ko dekhe jayenge. Technical indicators mixed signals bhej rahe hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) potential rise towards neutrality ko suggest kar raha hai, jabke Stochastic indicator downward trend ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Yeh inconsistency kuch underlying market tension ko reflect karti hai. Agar pair 157.70 ko decisively cross kar le, to 159.13, jo ek key Fibonacci extension level hai, test kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level surpass kar le, to 160.00 ka round number significant resistance pose kar sakta hai, kyunke market ne pehle bhi is level par close karne mein struggle kiya hai.

USD/JPY ka main resistance level 157.37 hai. Buyers ka agla price target yeh hai ke wo untested resistance 157.64 level ko tod dein. Agar yeh successful ho jaye, toh USD/JPY pair apni bullish movement ko agle resistance level 1.5123 ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, main support zone 0.9689 par hai, aur secondary zone 157.47 par hai. Agar price girti hai, toh yeh support levels ko tod sakti hai. Uske baad, pair 157.20 aur 156.84 ke support levels ke neeche ja sakti hai. Is hafte yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke jab price is weaker support area ko test karegi toh kya reaction hoga. Aaj, main closely market ko monitor karunga taake dekhu ke price action kaise hota hai jab yeh support levels ko breach karne ki koshish karti hai. Agar support 157.47 par hold nahi karta, toh yeh ek further decline ka signal de sakta hai agle key support zone 157.20-156.84 ki taraf. Yeh zone critical hai, kyunke agar yeh break ho jata hai toh bearish trend confirm ho sakta hai, jo further downside movement ko lead karega.

Magar, agar price 157.47 ke support se bounce karti hai, toh yeh potential rebound indicate kar sakti hai, jisme buyers control regain karenge aur price ko wapas main resistance 157.37 ki taraf push karenge. Agar price yeh resistance todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ko strengthen karega aur 157.64 ki taraf move ka stage set karega.





USD/JPY pair ek pivotal point par hai, jahan significant support aur resistance levels play mein hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur ready hona chahiye action lene ke liye, based on ke price in critical zones ke saath kaise interact karti hai. Yeh hafte market sentiment aur direction ke liye telling hoga USD/JPY pair ke liye.