𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

pair ke trading karne wale traders ke liye mukhtalif imkanaat mojood hote hain, dono lambi aur choti dairaft wala faisle kar sakte hain. Is tajziyah mein, hum potential entry points, stop loss levels, take profit levels aur is currency pair ke trading ke bare mein ghori cheezon ka jayeza lenge.
Agar traders lambi dairaft wale faisle karne wale daily timeframe par hain, to buy aur sell ke prices 171.52 upar aur 155.03 neeche hain. Yeh timeframe un logon ke liye behtareen hai jo trades ko lamba arsa ke liye rakhna pasand karte hain. Doosri taraf, H4 timeframe bhi lambi dairaft ke liye mufeed ho sakta hai. Is maamle mein, hum 171.52 par khareedne aur 163.97 ke level par bechne ki soch sakte hain.

Ghalt faisle karne wale traders hourly timeframe par potential entry points 169.53 ke prices par khareedne aur 167.28 ke prices par bechnay ke liye pehchaan sakte hain. Zaroori hai ke hum ghalt trading mein daakhil hone se pehle ghantay ka candle in levels upar ya neeche band hone ka intezaar karein. Yeh approach market ki momentum ki direction ko shara' karne mein madadgar hota hai trading ke pehli position ko shuru karne se pehlay.

Jab khareednay ka trade consider karna ho, to Stop Loss ko 168.53 par set karna chahiye, jab Take Profit level ko 172.53 par rakh sakte hain. Ulte, bechnay ke liye, Stop Loss aur Take Profit levels 168.28 aur 164.28 par set kiye ja sakte hain, mutabiq. In levels ka paalan karna zaroori hai taake trading ko mehfooz tareeqay se conduct kiya ja sake aur munafa ko zyada karne mein madad mile.

Market mein daakhil hone se pehle, muntasib sargarami accelerator oscillator indicator par signal confirm karne ki salahiyat bhi di jati hai. Buy trades ke liye, green bars dikhai dena chahiye, jo bullish momentum ko darust karte hain, jab ke laal bars bechne ke imkanaat ko darust karte hain. Accelerator oscillator jese technical indicators ka istemal kar ke traders apne faisle mein agahi hasil kar sakte hain aur unke faisle ko behtar bana sakte hain.

EURJPY pair trading mein risk ki nigrani bhi ahem hai. Sirf woh paisay se trade kiya jaana chahiye jo aap apne khoya sakte hain, aur risk management strategies jese ke stop-loss orders aur risk-to-reward ratios ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Risk ko dhang se manage karte hue, traders apne capital ko mehfooz rakh sakte hain aur market mein zyada itmina ke sath trade kar sakte hain.

Ikhtitam mein, EURJPY pair dono lambi aur ghalt dairaft wale traders ke liye mukhtalif trading imkanaat faraham karta hai. Ahem dakhilay ke points ko pehchan kar, dari mukhtif pehlu seekhne se traders apni trading strategies ko behtar bana kar apni munafa ko zyada kar sakte hain. Hamesha zimmedari se trade karna aur market ki tajzi ka agah rahna bhi zaroori hai taake aap apne faisle ko behtar bana kar apni trading mein fatah hasil kar saken.

USD/JPY pair ne guzishta Jumma ko 157.38 par bandh kiya. Aaj Raviwar hai aur market ab haftay ke break par hai. Jumma ko USD/JPY pair ne H4 chart par qawi hareef 156.41 support level ko tor kar tezi dekhai. Is ke baad keema bullish pressure ka shikar hua. Is se ek rebound hua aur keema isi level ko buy side par tor kar bullish momentum ke saath bandh hua. D1 chart ko dekhne par, USD/JPY pair ka guzishta high 160.20 par hai, jo ek ahem resistance level hai. Aane wale hafte mein keema is nishana ko test karne ke mukhtalif imkaanat hain. Agar keema Somwar ko market ke khulne ke saath revers ho jaye aur 156.41 level ko dobara sell side par tor de, to hum chart par bearish movement ka intezar kar sakte hain. Guzishta Jumma ko USD/JPY pair ne dynamic price action dikhaya. Shuru mein H4 chart par 156.41 level par barra bearish breakout tha, jo ek potential sell-off ki alamat thi. Lekin yeh level mukammal sabit hua jab market ne ek taqatwar bullish reversal ka samna kiy

Keema na sirf phir se bahal hua balkeh 156.41 level se guzar gaya aur tezi se chal kar trading session ko bullish nazar aya. D1 chart par nazar rakhne wala ahem resistance level 160.20 hai. Ye guzishta high hai aur keeme ke liye aham rukawat ka kaam karega. Agar guzishta haftay ki tezi jaari rahe, to aane wale hafte mein keema is level ko test karne ke mukhtalif imkaanat hain. Umooman, agar market Somwar ko khulne par aur keema tezi ko barqarar na rakh sake, to ek reversl ho sakta hai. Sell side par 156.41 level ko tor dena bearish traders ke liye aham signal hoga, jo ek neeche ki taraf jari trend ki alamat hai. Mukhtasar mein, USD/JPY pair ne guzishta haftay ko taqatwar bullish movement ke saath bandh kiya, 156.41 level se rebound karke 157.38 par bandh hua. Price action ishara deta hai ke pair aane wale haftay mein 160.20 resistance level ko test kar sakta hai. Lekin traders ko ihtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur kisi bhi reversl signals par nazar rakhni chahiye, khas tor par 156.41 level ke neeche break, jo bearish sentiment ki taraf palat jane ki alamat ho sakta hai. Aane wale sessions mein aqdar mand trading faislon ke liye in ahem levels ki nigrani zaroori hogi

Yeh chart USD/JPY ka 4-hour time frame dikhata hai, jo ke recent price action aur kuch technical indicators ka analysis provide kar raha hai. Chart mein candlestick pattern ke saath kuch additional indicators bhi use kiye gaye hain jo market ki direction aur potential trading opportunities ko show karte hain.

Price Action Analysis:

• Chart pe candlesticks dikhai gayi hain jo recent trading sessions ko represent kar rahi hain. Current price 138.18 ke aas paas hai.
• Price ne recent resistance level ko break kiya hai jo 137.50 ke aas paas hai, aur ab upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai.

Moving Average:

• Chart mein black line 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) hai, jo long-term trend ko indicate kar rahi hai. Price is SMA ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm kar rahi hai.

Parabolic SAR:

• Chart pe dotted lines Parabolic SAR indicator hain, jo price ke niche hain, aur yeh bullish trend ko indicate kar rahi hain.

Support and Resistance Levels:

• Chart pe horizontal lines ke through key support aur resistance levels mark kiye gaye hain.
• Support level 135.50 pe hai, jo recent lows ke kareeb hai.
• Resistance level 137.50 pe tha, jo ab break ho chuka hai aur yeh level ab support ban gaya hai.

Stochastic Oscillator:

• Chart ke neeche Stochastic Oscillator dikhai gayi hai, jo momentum indicator hai.
• Stochastic Oscillator ka reading 80 ke upar hai, jo overbought condition ko show kar rahi hai lekin abhi tak koi significant bearish crossover nahi dikhayi de rahi.

Potential Scenarios:

1. Bullish Scenario:
   • Agar price resistance level ke upar rehti hai, to upward move expected hai jo next resistance levels 139.00 aur uske baad 140.00 tak ja sakti hai.
   • Parabolic SAR aur SMA dono bullish trend ko support kar rahe hain.
2. Bearish Scenario:
   • Agar price 137.50 level ke neeche close hoti hai, to further downside move possible hai jo 135.50 tak ja sakti hai.
   • Stochastic Oscillator agar bearish crossover show karti hai to bearish momentum ko indicate karegi.

Trading Strategy:

• Long Position: Agar price 137.50 ke upar trade karti hai aur support level ko hold karti hai to long position consider kar sakte hain, stop loss 137.00 ke neeche set karen aur target 139.00 aur 140.00 ke aas paas rakhen.
• Short Position: Agar price 137.50 ke neeche close hoti hai aur bearish signals milte hain to short position consider kar sakte hain, stop loss 138.00 ke upar set karen aur target 136.00 aur 135.50 ke aas paas rakhen.

Yeh analysis market ki current situation ko dekhte hue trading opportunities ko highlight karta hai. Proper risk management aur key levels ka monitor karna trading decisions ke liye zaroori hai.

USD/JPY Price Action Dynamics


Mai abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki current price action dynamics ko evaluate kar raha hoon. Mai 15-minute chart par dollar-yen pair ka analysis kar raha hoon. Pehle decline ke bawajood, resistance 157.688 par tor diya gaya, jis se buyers ne volume gain kiya aur pair ko 159.269 resistance tak push kiya. Buyers ke volume ko stop-out karte hue pair 156.869 support tak aaya. Uske baad buyers ne dobara volume gain kiya aur pair ko wapas uski pehli high tak le gaye. Yeh growth 159.269 resistance ki taraf continue karegi.

Kal pair ne 158.17 level ko test nahi kiya, aur 157.94 se decline insignificant tha. Lekin, 158.17 se selling attractive aur reliable nahi thi, isliye maine apni delay ko aaj ke benchmark 158.40 par move kar diya. Dollar-yen, jo abhi 158.22 par hai, decline karne ki koshish kar raha hai lekin ab tak kamiyab nahi hua.
Market Conditions


Market conditions ek potential bearish trend ke liye primed hain. Signs significant price decline ki taraf point karte hain. Agar USD/JPY pair pehle se established peak point X ko surpass kar leta hai aur liquidity level ko breach karta hai, to chart par ek potential bearish movement ho sakti hai. Yeh heightened trading volumes ke sath ho sakti hai, jo significant downward trend ko accumulation area 157.21 tak le jati hai. Agar price 157.21 se drop karti hai aur 157.84 level ko surpass karne mein fail ho jati hai, to ek notable downward movement accumulation zone 156.34 ki taraf ho sakti hai.

Pichle hafton mein is currency pair mein ek strong bullish price action dekha gaya hai, isliye koi bhi price drop better prices par buy karne ka chance ho sakta hai. Current price levels par koi selling trend nazar nahi aata.

Summary


USD/JPY pair ka 15-minute chart bullish aur bearish movements ka combination dikhata hai. Buyers ne initial decline ke baad strong resistance levels ko breach kiya aur higher highs achieve kiya. Market conditions ek bearish trend ke liye primed hain, lekin recent bullish price action ko dekhte hue, koi bhi price drop buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Isliye, closely monitor karte hue aur technical analysis ko employ karte hue trade karna best strategy hogi.

pair ke trading karne wale traders ke liye mukhtalif imkanaat mojood hote hain, dono lambi aur choti dairaft wala faisle kar sakte hain. Is tajziyah mein, hum potential entry points, stop loss levels, take profit levels aur is currency pair ke trading ke bare mein ghori cheezon ka jayeza lenge.
Agar traders lambi dairaft wale faisle karne wale daily timeframe par hain, to buy aur sell ke prices 171.52 upar aur 155.03 neeche hain. Yeh timeframe un logon ke liye behtareen hai jo trades ko lamba arsa ke liye rakhna pasand karte hain. Doosri taraf, H4 timeframe bhi lambi dairaft ke liye mufeed ho sakta hai. Is maamle mein, hum 171.52 par khareedne aur 163.97 ke level par bechne ki soch sakte hain.

Ghalt faisle karne wale traders hourly timeframe par potential entry points 169.53 ke prices par khareedne aur 167.28 ke prices par bechnay ke liye pehchaan sakte hain. Zaroori hai ke hum ghalt trading mein daakhil hone se pehle ghantay ka candle in levels upar ya neeche band hone ka intezaar karein. Yeh approach market ki momentum ki direction ko shara' karne mein madadgar hota hai trading ke pehli position ko shuru karne se pehlay.

Jab khareednay ka trade consider karna ho, to Stop Loss ko 168.53 par set karna chahiye, jab Take Profit level ko 172.53 par rakh sakte hain. Ulte, bechnay ke liye, Stop Loss aur Take Profit levels 168.28 aur 164.28 par set kiye ja sakte hain, mutabiq. In levels ka paalan karna zaroori hai taake trading ko mehfooz tareeqay se conduct kiya ja sake aur munafa ko zyada karne mein madad mile.

Market mein daakhil hone se pehle, muntasib sargarami accelerator oscillator indicator par signal confirm karne ki salahiyat bhi di jati hai. Buy trades ke liye, green bars dikhai dena chahiye, jo bullish momentum ko darust karte hain, jab ke laal bars bechne ke imkanaat ko darust karte hain. Accelerator oscillator jese technical indicators ka istemal kar ke traders apne faisle mein agahi hasil kar sakte hain aur unke faisle ko behtar bana sakte hain.

EURJPY pair trading mein risk ki nigrani bhi ahem hai. Sirf woh paisay se trade kiya jaana chahiye jo aap apne khoya sakte hain, aur risk management strategies jese ke stop-loss orders aur risk-to-reward ratios ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Risk ko dhang se manage karte hue, traders apne capital ko mehfooz rakh sakte hain aur market mein zyada itmina ke sath trade kar sakte hain.

Ikhtitam mein, EURJPY pair dono lambi aur ghalt dairaft wale traders ke liye mukhtalif trading imkanaat faraham karta hai. Ahem dakhilay ke points ko pehchan kar, dari mukhtif pehlu seekhne se traders apni trading strategies ko behtar bana kar apni munafa ko zyada kar sakte hain. Hamesha zimmedari se trade karna aur market ki tajzi ka agah rahna bhi zaroori hai taake aap apne faisle ko behtar bana kar apni trading mein fatah hasil kar saken

pair ke trading karne wale traders ke liye mukhtalif imkanaat mojood hote hain, dono lambi aur choti dairaft wala faisle kar sakte hain. Is tajziyah mein, hum potential entry points, stop loss levels, take profit levels aur is currency pair ke trading ke bare mein ghori cheezon ka jayeza lenge.
Agar traders lambi dairaft wale faisle karne wale daily timeframe par hain, to buy aur sell ke prices 171.52 upar aur 155.03 neeche hain. Yeh timeframe un logon ke liye behtareen hai jo trades ko lamba arsa ke liye rakhna pasand karte hain. Doosri taraf, H4 timeframe bhi lambi dairaft ke liye mufeed ho sakta hai. Is maamle mein, hum 171.52 par khareedne aur 163.97 ke level par bechne ki soch sakte hain.

Ghalt faisle karne wale traders hourly timeframe par potential entry points 169.53 ke prices par khareedne aur 167.28 ke prices par bechnay ke liye pehchaan sakte hain. Zaroori hai ke hum ghalt trading mein daakhil hone se pehle ghantay ka candle in levels upar ya neeche band hone ka intezaar karein. Yeh approach market ki momentum ki direction ko shara' karne mein madadgar hota hai trading ke pehli position ko shuru karne se pehlay.

Jab khareednay ka trade consider karna ho, to Stop Loss ko 168.53 par set karna chahiye, jab Take Profit level ko 172.53 par rakh sakte hain. Ulte, bechnay ke liye, Stop Loss aur Take Profit levels 168.28 aur 164.28 par set kiye ja sakte hain, mutabiq. In levels ka paalan karna zaroori hai taake trading ko mehfooz tareeqay se conduct kiya ja sake aur munafa ko zyada karne mein madad mile.

Market mein daakhil hone se pehle, muntasib sargarami accelerator oscillator indicator par signal confirm karne ki salahiyat bhi di jati hai. Buy trades ke liye, green bars dikhai dena chahiye, jo bullish momentum ko darust karte hain, jab ke laal bars bechne ke imkanaat ko darust karte hain. Accelerator oscillator jese technical indicators ka istemal kar ke traders apne faisle mein agahi hasil kar sakte hain aur unke faisle ko behtar bana sakte hain.

EURJPY pair trading mein risk ki nigrani bhi ahem hai. Sirf woh paisay se trade kiya jaana chahiye jo aap apne khoya sakte hain, aur risk management strategies jese ke stop-loss orders aur risk-to-reward ratios ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Risk ko dhang se manage karte hue, traders apne capital ko mehfooz rakh sakte hain aur market mein zyada itmina ke sath trade kar sakte hain.

Ikhtitam mein, EURJPY pair dono lambi aur ghalt dairaft wale traders ke liye mukhtalif trading imkanaat faraham karta hai. Ahem dakhilay ke points ko pehchan kar, dari mukhtif pehlu seekhne se traders apni trading strategies ko behtar bana kar apni munafa ko zyada kar sakte hain. Hamesha zimmedari se trade karna aur market ki tajzi ka agah rahna bhi zaroori hai taake aap apne faisle ko behtar bana kar apni trading mein fatah hasil kar saken

USD/JPY Ki Takniki Tahlil

Japan ka yen dobara mazboot hone ki koshish mein 156.54 level se neechay gir gaya aur uptrend signal zone mein daakhil ho gaya, jo ek barrier ke tor par kaam karta hai aur isay kamzor raaste par wapas le aata hai. Pehle, pair 155.75 area tak tezi se gir gaya, jahan isay ek ahem support mila, jo keemat ko 158.43 area tak wapas le aaya. Halankeh, yeh target area tak pohanchne mein kamyab nahi hua, jo abhi bhi kaam mein hai. Isi dauran, price chart green supra-trend zone mein wapas aagaya, jo zahir karta hai ke khareedaaron ka qabza barqarar raha.

Aaj ke takniki perspective se dekha jaye, H-4 chart par ghor se dekha jaye to hum dekhte hain ke pair ne 156.60 par mazboot support ke saath stability wapas hasil kar li hai, aur hum note karte hain ke simple moving averages positive stimulus faraham karte hain, jo keemat ko support dete hain. Yahan se, din ka trading 156.60 ke ooper rehta hai, to uptrend ab bhi valid hai jiska nishana 157.70 hai, jo ke pehli ahem position hai, aur target 158.40 hai, is baat ko dekhte hue ke mojooda upside pehli ahem target hai upside wave ka. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke agar 156.60 se neechay dobara break hone par trading consolidation hoti hai, to yeh ek nayi low ka signal dega, jiska nishana 156.00 se shuru hota hai, aur yeh decline ko 155.50 tak barhawa de sakta hai. Neeche diya gaya chart dekhein:



Keemat abhi modestly apne agle weekly high ki taraf barh rahi hai. Ahem support area test hua aur isne keemat ko range ke andar barqarar rakha, jise bounce mila, jo uptrend vector ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai. Ab, keemat 158.43 level ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai, jo ek aur resistance ban sakta hai. Agar yeh foran paar nahi hota, to keemat ko 156.54 level ke qareeb correct karna padega. Is level se retest aur subsequent rebound agle wave ka raasta banayenge, jiska nishana 160.26 aur 161.67 areas hain.

Agar support toot jata hai aur keemat 154.75 ke reversal level se neechay gir jati hai, to mojooda scenario ko cancel karne ka signal mil jaye ga.

USD/JPY Buy Opportunity

Aaj US banks ka chutti ka din hai, isi wajah se mein aahista movement ki umeed kar raha hoon lekin baaqi tamaam banks kaam kar rahe hain. Kal ke US session ke baad humne USA dollar index mein kamzori dekhi aur aaj mein USD/JPY ka H1 chart dekh raha hoon. Fundamentally, mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke US dollar index apni major pairs ke muqable mein mazboot rahega lekin kuch dinon ke liye retracement ki wajah se hum US dollar index mein kamzori bhi dekh sakte hain. Yeh baat note karni chahiye ke market ab bhi pound ko favor kar raha hai aur dollar ko pasand nahi kar raha. Aakhri do U.S. inflation reports, jinhone sirf 0.1% ki chhoti se slow down dikhayi, dollar ko girne par majboor kar diya. Is dauran, jab British inflation April mein lagbhag 1% giri, to pound mazboot raha. Market khabron ki asliyat aur unke wussy asraat ko ignore kar raha hai. Har trader samajhta hai ke inflation ka target levels ke qareeb aana matlab hai ke Bank of England monetary policy ko ease kar sakta hai. Isi tarah, har trader samajhta hai ke agar U.S. inflation 3.4% se 3.3% tak kam hoti hai, to yeh Federal Reserve ko apni pehli rate cut ke qareeb nahi laata.

Aaj meri USD/JPY ki tahlil supply aur demand zone par mabni hai jo mujhe wazeh nazar aa rahi hai, isi wajah se mein entry signal share kar raha hoon.
Hourly time frame chart par USD/JPY ne 158.26 ki high price banayi aur uske baad USD/JPY ne is price se neechay move kiya aur ab tak is price ko test nahi kiya. Kal USD/JPY ne recent high ke upar break kiya aur ek demand zone area banaya jo 157.47 aur 157.14 ke darmiyan hai aur demand zone area ke upar USD/JPY ne already ek liquidity support trend line banayi hai jo breakout sellers ke liye fake stop loss hunt ka sabab ban sakti hai



Is liye overall yeh acha idea hai ke USD/JPY ko near-term hourly demand zone area ko test karne ka intezar karein aur us zone se USD/JPY ko buy karna acha idea ho sakta hai stop loss demand zone area ke neechay aur target recent untouched high 158.26 ke qareeb ho jo USD/JPY buyers ke liye acha long-term target hai.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis:

USD/JPY ki price pehle 157.60 ke support level se neechay gayi, lekin phir wapas aayi, jo ek temporary recovery ko darshata hai. Is rebound ke bawajood, price ab ruk gayi hai aur 157.93 ke critical level ko test kar rahi hai. Yeh level bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh future movements ke liye ek key indicator hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ka overall major trend downward hai. Yeh bearish sentiment broader market conditions aur recent price actions se saabit hota hai.

Haal ke market sentiment mein considerable selling pressure nazar aati hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke traders aur investors USD/JPY ko sell karne mein zyada interested hain. Yeh sentiment us waqt tak barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai, jab tak price crucial support zones ke upar maintain nahi karti. Agar price 157.67-157.79 ke crucial support level se neechay break karti hai, toh further selling pressure ke chances bohot zyada hain.

Yeh support range bohot pivotal hai kyun ke iske neeche ka breach ek stronger continuation of the long-term downtrend ka signal de sakti hai. Traders ko is range ke aas paas ke price actions ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh market ke agle moves ke liye critical insights provide karega. Agar yeh breakout hota hai, toh yeh long-term downtrend ke continuation ko indicate karega, aur selling pressure USD/JPY prices par barh jaayega. Yeh scenario traders ko apni short positions ko increase karne ka strong signal dega, jahan anticipated decline ko capitalize kiya ja sake.





Additional support levels, jo 157.67-157.79 ke range se beyond hain, par bhi nazar rakhni hogi taake samajh sakein ke price kaahan stabilize kar sakti hai agar downtrend continue hota hai. Key levels, jo watch karne honge, unmein 157.50 aur shayad usse bhi neechay ke levels include hain, depending on selling pressure ki intensity. Agar yeh critical support levels ke neeche sustained break hota hai, toh bearish trend ko aur zyada momentum milega. Yeh overall negative outlook ko reinforce karega USD/JPY ke medium to long term mein.

Conversely, agar price 157.67-157.79 ke support range ke upar hold kar leti hai aur convincingly bounce back hoti hai, toh yeh selling pressure se temporary respite ko suggest kar sakta hai. Lekin current market dynamics aur sentiment ko dekhte hue, yeh scenario bearish continuation ke muqable mein kam chances rakhta hai.

D1 chart par USD/JPY ki significant movements ko dekha ja sakta hai jaise hi week shuru hota hai, jahan price currently critical support levels ko test kar rahi hai. Major trend ab bhi downward hai, market mein considerable selling pressure evident hai. 157.67-157.79 ke support range se neeche ka break long-term downtrend ke continuation ko signal karega, aur USD/JPY prices par selling pressure ko aur barhaye ga. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions lein aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karein.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY Pair

4-Hour Chart

USD/JPY ki price abhi ek strong resistance area ke qareeb hai, jahan price 158.52 ke weekly level ka saamna kar rahi hai, jo ke red channel ki upper line ke mutabiq hai. Iss hafte ke dauran, price ne weekly pivot level 157.12 aur price channels ki middle lines ke support ke saath trading shuru ki hai. Isliye, price ka behavior iss current resistance area ke saath agle trend ka taayun karega. Agar price is resistance ko break kar ke uske upar stabilize ho jaati hai, toh yeh signal hai ke iss hafte mein aur zyada rise hoga.

Aaj aur kal ke liye trading advice yeh hai ke sirf buying opportunities par focus karein, kyunke current level aur mid-channel lines ke level se agar price girti hai toh yeh buying ke liye available hai.

Economic side se dekha jaye toh, investors ab bhi Bank of Japan ki monetary policy expectations ko evaluate kar rahe hain uske recent faisle ke roshni mein. Pichle hafte, Bank of Japan ne interest rates ko unchanged rakha jaisa ke wide expected tha, aur kaha ke woh Japanese government bond purchases ka current pace maintain rakhega.






Lekin, BOJ ne yeh bhi add kiya ke woh apne next policy meeting in July mein bond-buying program ko scale back karne ka plan release karega. Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne yeh bhi warn kiya ke currency movements economy aur prices par significant impact rakhte hain, jo ke pehle ke comments se mukhtalif hai ke ek weak yen inflation par significant impact nahi rakhta.

Currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq, Japanese yen ki value sharply gir gayi aur apne lowest levels ke qareeb aa gayi teen decades mein, iss faisle ke baad, lekin un losses ko reduce kar liya jab market participants ne bond purchases ke expected reduction aur currency mein further intervention ke possibility par focus shift kiya.

USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

USD/JPY currency pair ke bohot se important resistance aur support levels hain jinhe traders ko ghair mehdood taur par dekhna chahiye. Filhal, high resistance level 157.13 par hai, aur ek aur significant resistance 155.76 par hai. Yeh levels strong barriers sabit hue hain jahan sellers ne price ko upar jaane se roka hai.

Iss surat-e-haal ke madde nazar, yeh mumkin hai ke price mazid strong ho kar nayi supply area ke qareeb 155.298 par chale, jo ek aur resistance level hai. Agar price yahan pohonchti hai, toh sellers koshish kar sakte hain ke price ko wapas niche dhakelain, jo ke ek critical level hoga potential reversals ke liye.

Support side par, low support level 157.20 par hai, jabke high support level 156.81 par hai. Yeh support levels pehle bhi downward movements ko rokne mein kaamiyab rahe hain, jahan buyers ne step in kar ke further declines ko roka aur control wapas hasil kiya. In support levels ke ird gird activity future price direction ko samajhne ke liye crucial hogi.

Ek aur possibility bhi hai ke USD/JPY price mazid weak ho kar nayi demand area ke qareeb 156.31 par chale, jo ek aur important support level hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke price 156.53 level ko dobara test kar sakti hai, jahan main resistance area hai.

Traders ko dekhna chahiye ke price in key levels par kaise react karti hai. Agar price strong ho kar 155.298 resistance area ki taraf barhti hai, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke sellers control mein rehte hain aur price ko niche dhakel sakte hain ya nahi. Dusri taraf, agar price weak ho kar 156.31 support area ke qareeb aati hai, toh buyers activity ko monitor karna essential hoga taake dekha ja sake ke wo is level ko defend kar sakte hain aur price ko wapas upar dhakelne ke liye push kar sakte hain ya nahi.

In resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan interaction valuable insights provide karega market sentiment aur USD/JPY pair ke potential future movements ke bare mein. Misal ke taur par, agar price high resistance level 157.13 ko test karti hai aur break through nahi kar pati, toh yeh strong selling pressure ko indicate karega jo ke reversal towards lower levels ko lead kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar buyers effectively 156.31 support area ko defend kar pate hain, toh yeh bullish reversal ko signal karega, price ko wapas higher resistance levels ki taraf push karta hua.

USD/JPY Mein Munafa Ka Imkaan

Hamara aaj ka discussion USD/JPY currency pair ke price action par mabni hai. USD/JPY pair ne trading ko 157.35 par band kiya. Mera target pichle hafte 158.07 tha, jise yeh briefly surpass kar gaya tha pehle ke Friday ko collapse kar jaaye. Is liye, 158.07 ko dobara target karna zaroori nahi hai, halaan ke yeh mumkin hai. Aam tor par, 158.07 se sell positions open ki ja sakti hain jiska aim 153.46 hoga. Agar USD/JPY pair market opening se foran 156.54 - 157.07 zone se neeche girta hai, toh yeh girawat ko tez karega aur kisi bhi rise ko 158.07 tak nakam kar dega. Filhal, yeh 157.56 ke lower low se upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish direction ko confirm karta hai. 157.72 level ko side channel ke andar break karna zaroori hai taake price growth mazid ho. Yeh currency channel ko upper limits tak khol dega, jo ke 157.88 ya us se bhi upar ho sakta hai. Buyers ki strength ka confirmation yeh hoga ke yeh broken range ke upar consolidation ho.



Dusri taraf, 157.55 se reversal ka imkaan hai jo ke minimum 176.50 tak ja sakta hai liquidity collect karne ya market direction ko poori tarah se shift karne ke liye. Sell position ke liye ideal entry yeh hogi ke price curve 157.64 support level se neeche gir jaaye. Yeh 157.56 ke minimum se upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish trend ko reaffirm karta hai. Side channel ke andar 156.61 level ko break karna zaroori hai taake is growth ko sustain kiya ja sake. Yeh currency channel ko upper limits tak push karega, jo ke 158.38 ya us se bhi upar ho sakta hai. Buyers ki strength ka confirmation likely yeh hoga ke broken range ke upar consolidation ho. Dusri taraf, 157.46 se reversal direction towards minimum 156.78 tak develop ho sakta hai liquidity collect karne ya market ko poori tarah se reverse karne ke liye. Sell position ke liye optimal entry tab hogi jab price curve 156.94 support level se neeche dip kar jaaye.

Bank of Japan Ka Policy Faisla

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni June 13-14 meeting mein koi khaas policy tabdeeli nahi ki, aur is baat ko reaffirm kiya ke disapproved overnight calls ko 0.0%-0.1% ke aas paas rehne denge, jo ke unhone apni March budget planning meeting mein faisla kiya tha.

Budget statement mein yeh bhi kaha gaya hai ke board apni bond purchases ko July 31 meeting ke baad kam kar dega. Meeting ke baad ek press conference mein, Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke officials is process mein ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain, lekin changes ka scale "bara" ho sakta hai.

Humara yeh maanna hai ke ek aur monetary policy normalization samne aa raha hai. Halaanki, dheemi economic growth, inflation, aur wage growth ko dekhte hue, hum yeh samajhte hain ke BoJ ko policy accuracy mein dheemi approach apnani chahiye.





Humari rai yeh hai ke BoJ October tak wait karega agla policy rate hike issue karne ke liye, jahan hum 15 bps ka izafa unsecured overnight calls mein 0.15%-0.25% tak umeed karte hain. Hum yeh bhi umeed karte hain ke BoJ April 2025 announcement tak 25 bps rate hike issue karne ke liye wait karega. Humara yeh bhi maanna hai ke BoJ apni bond purchases ko dheere dheere kam karega, aur yeh move hum samajhte hain ke policy increases ke waqt se ilaqa hoga. Hum yeh dekhte hain ke BoJ bond purchases ko 1 trillion yen tak kam kar dega, jo ke Q3-2024 ke baqi hisse mein July se shuru hota hai, aur yeh 5 trillion yen ke aas paas ki girawat ko confirm karta hai. Uske baad hum Q4-2024 mein 4 billion yen ki acceleration, Q1-2025 mein 3 billion yen ki slowdown, aur Q2-2025 ke baad se 2 billion yen ki acceleration dekhte hain.

Technical Analysis for USD/JPY on 4-Hour Time Chart

Main trend neeche ki taraf hai, jo top 160.20 se shuru hoti hai aur 151.85 tak jaati hai. Uske baad pair ne retracement banane ke liye rise kiya aur 78 Fibonacci tak pohanch gaya. Hum yeh umeed karte hain ke pair neeche girayega aur bottom 151.87 ko break karke naya bottom hit karega.

Keemat ka 157.55 ke imtehan is waqt hua jab MACD indicator sirf zero mark se neeche jaane laga tha, jo dollar ko bechnay ka daakhil nishaan tasdeeq kar raha tha. Is natijay mein USD/JPY pair 50 pips neeche gaya. Pichle haftay ke data aur Bank of Japan ke interest rate faislay ne yen par dabao jari rakha hai. Lekin haal hi mein US ke data traders ke liye itna dilchasp nahin raha, is liye dollar ke bull current local highs ko toor nahin sakte. Aaj subah, yeh pair zahir hai ki sideways trade karega, is liye qareebi mustaqbil mein oonchi raftaar ke tezi ki tawaqo na ki jaaye. Behtar hai ke pair ke islaahat ka faida uthaya jaaye aur trend ke taraqqi ke intezar mein jumla ho. Rozana ke maamlay mein, main scenario No. 1 aur 2 par zyada bharosa rakhunga.
Kharidari Signals Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY kharidna chahta hoon jab keemat chart par sabz line se dikhaye gaye 157.72 ke dakhil nishaan par pohanchay. Iske baad 158.67 ke thicker sabz line par growth ki taraf rujoo karta hoon. 158.67 ke ilaqe mein, main lambi positions se bahir nikalne ka irada hai aur us ke opposite direction mein chhoti positions kholne ka irada hai, umid hai ke us level se 30-35 pips ke mukhalif rukh ki taraf aagahi ho. Aaj USD/JPY ke barhne ki tawaqo ki jaa sakti hai bullish market ke jariye. Kharidne se pehle, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero mark se oopar ho aur sirf is se oopar se izaafa karne laga ho.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj bhi USD/JPY kharidna chahta hoon agar keemat do mazid 157.12 ke imtehanon ke baad aati hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Is se pair ke neeche ke potential ko mehdood kia jaa sakta hai aur market ka ulta ho sakta hai. Hum us ummid par hain ke keemat 157.72 aur 158.67 ke mukhalif levels tak barh sakti hai.

Farokht Signals Scenario No. 1: Aaj main USD/JPY bechna chahta hoon sirf 157.12 ke imtehan ke baad jo keemat chart par laal line se dikhayi gayi hai, jo keemat ki tezi mein tezi layegi. Bechne walon ke liye mukhtalif tareekh hai 156.27, jahan main chhoti positions se bahir nikalunga aur us ke mukhalif rukh ki taraf se 20-25 pips ke mukhalif rukh ki tawaqo hai. Agar keemat din ke unchi qareeb rehne mein kamiyab na ho, toh USD/JPY par dabao wapas aa sakta hai. Farokht karne se pehle, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur sirf is se neeche se izaafa karne laga ho.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj bhi USD/JPY bechna chahta hoon agar keemat do mazid 157.72 ke imtehan ke baad aati hai jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Is se pair ke oopar ke potential ko mehdood kia jaa sakta hai aur market ka neeche ho sakta hai. Hum us ummid par hain ke 157.12 aur 156.27 ke mukhalif levels tak gir sakte hain.

USD/JPY Ka Tajaiza

mara aaj ka tajaiza USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda pricing behavior par hai. Hamare qareebi mushahide ke mutabiq, yeh currency pair ab ek aham marhala par hai. Hamari analysis yeh batati hai ke mojooda levels se girawat ka imkaan hai. Yeh paish goi mukhtalif market indicators aur mojooda economic halat ke tafsili jaizay par mabni hai.

Pichle chand hafton mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne range-bound behavior dikhaya hai, jo support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan mutaghayyar raha hai. Magar, recent market trends yeh izhar karte hain ke yeh pair ab neeche ki taraf rukh karne wala hai. Yeh girawat currency pair ko critical 155.39 range ke neeche le ja sakti hai, jo market dynamics mein ek aham tabdeeli ka nishan hoga, aur yeh USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish trend ko izhar karegi.

Is anticipated decline ke pichay kai factors hain. Pehla, macroeconomic environment ka kirdar hai. U.S. dollar mukhtalif economic indicators ke zair e asar hai, jin mein inflation rates, Federal Reserve ke interest rate faislay, aur overall market sentiment shamil hain. America mein inflationary pressures ne tighter monetary policy expectations ko janam diya hai, jo traditionally dollar ko support karti hai. Magar, recent data yeh suggest karta hai ke inflation moderate ho sakti hai, jo Federal Reserve ki softer stance ko le kar aa sakti hai, aur is se dollar kamzor ho sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, Japanese yen ne resilience ke asar dikhaye hain. Bank of Japan ki monetary policy, jo doosri central banks ke muqable mein zyada dovish rahi hai, ab dheere dheere shift ho rahi hai. Yeh indications hain ke Bank of Japan apni policy ko tighten karne par ghoor kar raha hai taake inflationary pressures se nimta ja sake. Aisi koi bhi harkat yen ko dollar ke muqable mein mazboot karegi, jo USD/JPY currency pair ki girawat mein izafa karegi.





Technical analysis bhi impending decline ka izhar karti hai. USD/JPY pair ne 155.39 level ke ird gird mazboot resistance ka samna kiya hai. Multiple attempts ke bawajood is level ko breach karne mein nakam raha hai, jo bullish momentum ki kami ko dikhata hai. Mazeed, mukhtalif technical indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), bearish signals dikhate hain. RSI overbought territory ke aas paas hai, jo ek potential reversal ka izhar hai. Saath hi, MACD ne bearish crossover dikhaya hai, jo neeche ki taraf movement ke imkaan ko barhata hai.

Market sentiment bhi USD/JPY pair ko mutasir karne wala ek aham factor hai. Global economic uncertainties, jaise ke geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, aur COVID-19 pandemic ke asraat, investors ki risk appetite ko mutaghayyar karte hain. Aise uncertainties safe-haven currencies jaise yen ko favor karti hain, jo USD/JPY pair par downward pressure dalti hain.

Nateejatan, hamari analysis yeh suggest karti hai ke USD/JPY currency pair mojooda levels se neeche ki taraf rukh karne wali hai, aur 155.39 range ko break karne ka imkaan hai. Yeh expectation macroeconomic factors, technical indicators, aur market sentiment ke combination par mabni hai. Hamesha ki tarah, traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur mukhtalif scenarios ko madde nazar rakhte hue trading decisions lene chahiye. Foreign exchange market buhat dynamic hai, aur unforeseen events hamesha expected course of action ko badal sakti hain. Magar, mojooda analysis ek comprehensive view provide karti hai jo informed trading strategies ko guide kar sakti hai for USD/JPY currency pair.