𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne pichle hafte US Dollar (USD) ke against zyada ground hasil karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya, aur 0.6575 par close hua, jo ke 0.30% ki maamooli girawat hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke dawamdaar hawkish stance aur unexpected tor par mazboot Chinese inflation data ke bawajood, AUD ke liye apni recent trading range se bahar nikalna mushkil sabit hua. RBA ne inflation par nazar rakhte hue apni approach mein sakhti barqarar rakhi hai, aur agar zaroorat pari toh mazeed rate hikes ka imkaan diya hai. Governor Michelle Bullock ne Thursday ko is hawkish tone ko mazid mazboot kiya, aur bank ki inflationary pressures ke against karwai ke liye tayyari ko zor diya. Is hawkish rhetoric, aur RBA ke 2024 mein sirf 25 basis point rate cut ke forecast ke sath, AUD ki downside potential ko limited rakha hai. Isi dauran, China ki economy ne mazbooti ke asaar dikhaye jab July ka consumer price index (CPI) umeed se zyada barh gaya, jo ke saal dar saal 0.5% tak pohcha. Is data ne China, jo ke Australia ka ek aham trading partner hai, mein tez economic downturn ke hawala se pareshaniyon ko kam kar diya. Magar, AUD par is ka positive asar overall complex economic outlook ke sabab se kamzor raha.



Technically, AUD/USD pair ne 0.6600 level ke qareeb sakht resistance ka samna kiya, jo ke wo area hai jahan 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ikattha hoti hain. Yeh resistance level buyers ke liye mushkil sabit hua. Downside par, support 0.6500 ke qareeb mazboot raha. Relative Strength Index (RSI) lagbhag neutral level 49 par hover kar raha hai, jo market mein kisi waazeh directional bias ki kami ka ishara hai. Is ke bawajood, recent surge in RSI jo ke 30 se barh kar 49 tak aya, investors mein barhti hui bullish sentiment ki taraf ishara karta hai. Summary mein, AUD/USD pair RBA ki hawkish policy aur Australian aur Chinese economies ke complexities ke darmiyan ek tug-of-war mein phansa hua hai. Jahan RBA ka stance AUD ko support faraham karta hai, wahan pair ka 0.6600 resistance level se break through na kar pana Australian Dollar ke samne challenges ko highlight karta hai. Investors mazeed economic indicators aur central bank statements par qareebi nazar rakhenge taake pair ke future direction ke hawala se kuch clues mil saken.

AUD/USD ki qeemat 0.6571 ke ird gird mandla rahi hai. Aane wale waqt mein, ye pair bearish rehne ka imkaan hai. Kal, Peer ke din, sellers ka camp bazaar mein ghalib aane ka imkaan rakhta hai. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator dheere dheere gir raha hai aur pair ko bechne ke ishare de raha hai aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator pehle se neeche hai, jo pair mein mazeed girawat ki nishani hai. Lagta hai ke dono exponential moving average lines ki position abhi bhi AUD/USD ki current qeemat se upar hai magar magenta line, jo ke 20-EMA line hai, neeche ki taraf jhukna shuru ho gayi hai. Is haftay, mein yeh maan raha hoon ke yeh pair hilta rahega aur resistance level 0.6633 ko test kar sakta hai jo ke pehla resistance level hai. Buyers ka agla qeemat ka hadaf resistance level ko torna hai jo ke 0.7121 ke qeemat par hai. Iske baad AUD/USD bazaar upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai aur 0.7654 ke level ko test kar sakta hai jo ke teesra resistance level hai. Dosri taraf, agar 0.6514 support ka kamiyab test hota hai to bazaar agle support 0.6437 tak push ho sakta hai jo ke doosra support level hai. Uske baad, agar bazaar ki qeemat is level se neeche girti hai to yeh 0.6352 support tak wapas aane lagegi jo ke teesra support level hai. Parhne ka shukriya aur thumbs up. Market sentiment aur positioning data bhi AUD/USD pair mein mumkinah bari movements ke hawale se insights de sakti hain. Agar sentiment hadd se zyada bearish ho jaye aur bohat se traders short position mein hoon, to yeh ek short squeeze ke liye zameen tayar kar sakti hai jo pair mein achanak se spike la sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar market participants apni long positions US dollar mein unwind karte hain, to yeh Australian dollar ko kuch relief de sakta hai.
Halaanke AUD/USD pair is waqt bearish trend mein hai, lekin bazaar ki dheemi movement ko potential volatility ki kami na samjha jaye. Mukhtalif asraat, jaise ke economic data releases, central bank policies, global risk sentiment, aur technical levels, sab is pair mein aane wale dino mein significant movement ka hissa ban sakte hain. Traders aur investors ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur bazaar ke mumkinah shifts ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jo ke qeemat mein kafi bare utar chadhav ka sabab ban sakte hain.



AUD/USD pair ke liye yeh factors interest rate differential between Australia aur United States, GDP growth jaise economic performance indicators, employment data, trade balances, aur geopolitical events aur central bank policies ko shamil karte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) US Federal Reserve ke muqable mein zyada dovish stance adopt karta hai, to yeh Australian dollar par downward pressure ko barha sakta hai.
Traders ko doosray technical indicators aur chart patterns par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. Misal ke tor par, Relative Strength Index (RSI) insights provide kar sakta hai ke kya pair oversold hai, jo ke ek short-term reversal ya kam az kam temporary bounce ka signal de sakta hai. Support aur resistance levels bhi critical hain; agar pair ek significant support level ke kareeb aata hai, to yeh kuch buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai, jo mazid declines ko stabilize karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.
Nateejatan, AUD/USD pair ka apne 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade karna ek bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Ek potential moving average crossover yeh downward momentum ko aur reinforce kar sakta hai. Lekin, ek comprehensive analysis jo technical aur fundamental factors dono ko incorporate karti ho, zaroori hai taake pair ke future direction aur potential reversal points ko samjha ja sake.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne pichle haftay US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein apni position qaim rakhne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya, aur 0.6575 par band hui, jo ke 0.30% ka maamooli nuqsan tha. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki mutawaqiy hawkish position aur China ki unexpectedly mazboot mehngai ki data ke bawajood, AUD ko apne recent trading range se nikalna mushkil hua. RBA ne mehngai par kadi nazar rakhi hui hai, aur agar zarurat hui to mazeed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai. Governor Michelle Bullock ne Thursday ko apne hawkish lehje ko mazid mazboot karte hue kaha ke bank musalsal inflationary pressure ke khilaf action lene ke liye tayar hai. Is hawkish rhetoric, ke sath sath RBA ke sirf 2024 mein 25 basis points rate cut ke forecast ne AUD ke downside potential ko limit kar diya hai. Doosri taraf, China ki economy ne mazahmat dikhayi, kyunki July ke consumer price index (CPI) ne expectations ko paar karte hue 0.5% year-on-year izafa dikhaya. Is data ne China, jo ke Australia ka ek aham trading partner hai, ke economy mein shadid girawat ke khadshat ko door kar diya. Magar, AUD par iska positive asar mukammal nahi tha, kyunke overall economic outlook complex tha.

Technically, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6600 ke qareeb sakht muzahimat ka samna tha, jo ke 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke qareeb tha. Ye muzahimat ka level buyers ke liye cross karna mushkil sabit hua. Neeche ki taraf, support 0.6500 ke qareeb mazboot raha. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 ke neutral level ke qareeb raha, jo ke market mein kisi wazeh direction ki kami ka ishara tha. Magar, RSI ka recent surge jo 30 ke qareeb tha aur ab 49 par hai, investors ke darmiyan barhti hui bullish sentiment ki nishani hai. Kul mila kar, AUD/USD pair RBA ki hawkish policy aur Australian aur Chinese economy ki complexities ke darmiyan ek kashmakash mein phansa hua hai. Jabke RBA ka stance AUD ko support faraham kar raha hai, pair ka 0.6600 resistance level ko tor na paana Australian Dollar ke samne darpaish challenges ko highlight karta hai. Investors agle economic indicators aur central bank ke bayanaat par ghor se nazar rakhenge taake pair ke future direction ke bare mein maloomat hasil kar saken.

AUD/USD Fundamental Aur Technical Analysis


Australian dollar (AUD) ne U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein 0.01% ki halki decline dekhi, aur closing 0.6517 par hui. Ye decline pichle din ke 0.85% ke faida ke baad aayi hai, jo upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ko darshata hai. Reserve Bank of Australia ne recently interest rate cuts ka possibility rule out kar diya aur core inflation rate ke gradual decrease ki baat ki, jo recent trading sessions mein AUD ke liye challenges bana hai. Pehle, currency ke lower levels par stabilize hone aur dheere dheere recover karne ki umeed thi; lekin Monday ko international markets mein declines ne Australian dollar ko eight-month low tak push kar diya.

Tuesday subah, jab Asian trading shuru hui, AUD/USD pair recovery ke signs dikhane laga. Daily chart par, AUD/USD significantly oversold condition mein hai, jo short covering ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Agar market risk sentiment improve hota hai, to AUD/USD ke liye short-term corrective rebound expect kiya ja sakta hai. Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan ke remarks ke baad, pair ne Wednesday ko rebound kiya aur session ke doran 0.6574 ka high touch kiya. Lekin, Australian dollar ka upward momentum fade hota dikhayi de raha hai, aur trading ke end ke nazdeek considerable selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Filhal, daily chart par, AUD/USD low-range consolidation phase mein hai, jahan kuch technical indicators oversold conditions se relief indicate kar rahe hain.

AUD/USD Ka Technical Analysis


Short term mein, jab tak koi major news developments ya stimulus nahi aati, AUD/USD narrow-range consolidation continue karne ki umeed hai. Anticipated fluctuation range 0.6440 aur 0.6580 ke beech rehne ki sambhavana hai.

Is waqt, AUD/USD pair prevailing market conditions ke response mein consolidate kar raha hai. Technical indicators jese ke RSI aur MACD ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai, jo pair ki current trajectory ko support karte hain. Agar market sentiment aur global economic factors stable rahte hain, to ye consolidation range barqarar rehne ki sambhavana hai.

Traders ko caution barqarar rakhni chahiye aur kisi bhi significant news ya economic data releases ke liye alert rehna chahiye jo AUD/USD pair ke movements ko influence kar sakte hain. Market risk sentiment mein sudden change fluctuation range ko alter kar sakta hai, jo substantial price movements ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Summary mein, given current market conditions aur technical indicators, AUD/USD pair short term mein narrow-range consolidation continue karne ki umeed hai. Lekin, traders ko market dynamics aur global events ke basis par updates aur shifts ko continuously monitor karna chahiye.

moving average ko traders aksar trend ki direction aur potential reversal points ko pehchaan ne ke liye istemaal karte hain. Jo fact ke price is average se neeche hai, yeh batata hai ke bearish momentum abhi tak mazboot hai aur sellers control mein hain. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke chhoti timeframe par price ne 134-period moving average ke ooper close kiya hai, jo ke broader downtrend mein ek mumkin correction ki taraf ishara karta hai. Yeh divergence chhoti aur lambi timeframes ke darmiyan aik temporary pullback ya consolidation phase ko zahir kar sakta hai, na ke complete trend reversal ko. Traders isey apni positions ko dobara jaanchne ka mauqa samajh sakte hain, jahan short positions mein jo log hain, wo shayad profits lock karne ya stop-loss orders adjust karne ki soch rahe hon.
Summary mein, AUD/USD ka joṛa iss waqt ek complex surat-e-haal mein hai jahan technical indicators aur economic data mixed signals de rahe hain. Australia mein ta'meerat ke darkhawast mein ahem kami economic weakness ko zahir karti hai, jo aam tor par AUD ko neeche pressure karta hai. Magar joṛa ki upward move ki koshish aur key moving averages ke ird gird price action ek nuanced picture ko zahir karta hai. Given the prevailing downtrend on the hourly chart aur 134-period moving average ke relative price action ko dekhte hue, ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Sellers ko 0.6531 ke support level ko qareebi se dekhna chahiye, jabke koi bhi significant break short-term resistance ke uper ek corrective phase ko imply kar sakta hai na ke full trend reversal ko
AUD/USD ka trend kai economic variables ko reflect karta hai. Pehle, Australia aur United States ke recent economic data ne significant impacts show kiye hain. Australia mein, unemployment rates, consumer sentiment, aur retail sales jese indicators iska misaal hain. Halankeh unemployment figures mazboot rahe hain, rising interest rates aur inflationary concerns ki wajah se consumer confidence kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo Australian dollar ko affect kar sakti hai.
Dusri taraf, US dollar economy mein mazboot raha hai, jise non-farm payrolls aur retail sales figures jese solid economic indicators ka support mila hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy bhi critical hai. Fed ke recent indications tight monetary policy ko maintain karne ka commitment zahir karte hain inflation ke samne, jo US dollar ki strength ko support karte hain.
Geopolitical aur confidence-related issues bhi AUD/USD ke trend ko impact karte hain. Misal ke taur par, US aur China ke darmiyan tensions Australia ki economy ko indirectly affect karte hain, given ke iska China ke sath significant trade relationship hai. Agar US-China relations mein negative changes aati hain, to yeh risk-off sentiment ko trigger kar sakti hain markets mein, jise investors safe assets jaise US dollar mein refuge lene ko majboor ho sakte hain.
Potential future movements ke hawale se, AUD/CAD pair par kuch further insights consider karni chahiye. Pair filhal ek critical support level ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support level break hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ka continuation zahir kar sakta hai, jo further declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Iske bar’aks, agar pair is support level ke upar rehti hai aur rebound shuru karti

AUD/USD ka trend maeeshat ke kai imwaazib factors ki misaal hai. Sab se pehle, haal hi mein Australia aur United States se aane wale maeeshati data ne ahem asraat dikhaye hain. Australia mein rozeedar, consumer sentiment, aur retail sales ke haalat aik misaal hai. Jaise ke rozeedar adad mazboot rahe hain, to consumer confidence mein interest rates ke barhne aur mahangai ke shubhat ke baisat se kamzor nishanaat nazar aaye hain. Is se Australian dollar ke liye aik mutasir ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar maeeshat mein mazboot raha hai, jis par solid maeeshati indicators jaise ke non-farm payrolls aur retail sales ke numbers ne imdaad ki hai. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke taqaze bhi ahem hote hain. Fed ke faislay ne interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ya barhane ka faisla US dollar ke qeemat par asar andaz hota hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne inflation ke muqablay mein tight monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ka ishara diya hai, jo US dollar ki mazbooti ko support karta hai. Siyasi aur aitmadiyat ke masail bhi AUD/USD ke trend par asar andaz hote hain. Misal ke taur par, US aur China ke darmiyan tanazaat Australia ke maeeshat par ghair-e-direct asar andaz hote hain, kyun ke Australia ka China ke saath trade ka bohat ahem taluq hai. Agar US-China relations mein koi bhi manfi tabdeeliyan aayen, to market mein risk-off jazbaat uthte hain, jis se investors US jaise safe assets ki taraf ruju karte hain. AUD/CAD pair ke potential future movements ke liye mazeed insights deta hai. Haal hi mein pair ek critical support level ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support level break ho jaye, to yeh bearish trend ko continue karne ka ishara hosakta hai, jis se mazeed girawat hosakti hai. Mukhalif taur par, agar pair is support level ke upar rahe aur rebound shuru kare, to yeh ek reversal aur significant upward movement ka ishara ho sakta hai.



AUD/USD ke trend par asar andaz hote hain. Misal ke taur par, US aur China ke darmiyan tanazaat Australia ke maeeshat par ghair-e-direct asar andaz hote hain, kyun ke Australia ka China ke saath trade ka bohat ahem taluq hai. Agar US-China relations mein koi bhi manfi tabdeeliyan aayen, to market mein risk-off jazbaat uthte hain, jis se investors US jaise safe assets ki taraf ruju karte hain. AUD/CAD pair ke potential future movements ke liye mazeed insights deta hai. Haal hi mein pair ek critical support level ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support level break ho jaye, to yeh bearish trend ko continue karne ka ishara hosakta hai, jis se mazeed girawat hosakti hai. Mukhalif taur par, agar pair is support level ke upar rahe aur rebound shuru kare, to yeh ek reversal aur significant upward movement ka ishara ho sakta hai. Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka istemal trend reversals ya continuations ke potential ke liye karte hain. Maslan, agar RSI indicate karta hai ke pair oversold territory mein hai, to yeh ishara ho sakta hai ke ek rebound qaree

AUD/USD pair ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein achi gains dekhi. Yeh strength USD ki kamzori ke wajah se mili, jo pichle haftay ke data ke baad barh gayi thi. Yeh data Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish expectations ko fuel kar raha tha, jo pehle se USD ko affect kar raha tha. Is pair ne January ke shuru se sabse zyada level ko reach kiya, jo Australian Dollar ki strength ko reflect karta hai. Magar, Aussie Dollar ke liye aage ke gains ka potential kuch had tak limited hai, kyunki pichle haftay ke mazboot data aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki hawkish stance bhi barqarar hai.
AUD/USD ka price 0.6571 ke aas-paas hai. Aane wale waqt mein, is pair ke bearish hone ke chances hain. Kal, Monday ko, sellers ke paas market ko dominate karne ka potential hai. Saath hi, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator dheere-dheere decrease ho raha hai jo sell signals de raha hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi pehle se kam hai, jo pair mein aur girawat ka indicate karta hai. Lagta hai ke do exponential moving average lines ki positions abhi bhi current price ke upar hain, magar magenta line jo 20-EMA line hai, ne niche ki taraf bend hona shuru kar diya hai.
Is hafte, meri soch hai ke yeh pair move karta rahega aur 0.6633 ke resistance level ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke initial resistance level hai. Buyers ka agla price target yeh hoga ke resistance level ko todna jo ke 0.7121 ke price level par hai. Uske baad,



AUD/USD market upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai aur 0.7654 level ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 3rd resistance level hai. Dusri taraf, agar 0.6514 support ka successful test hota hai, to market agle support level 0.6437 ki taraf move karega jo ke second support level hai. Agar market price is level ke niche break hoti hai, to yeh 0.6352 support ki taraf pull back kar sakti hai, jo ke 3rd support level hai.
Akhir mein, yeh zaroori hai ke central bank communications ke impact ko bhi madad nazar rakha jaye. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke monetary policy, interest rates, aur economic forecasts ke hawalay se aane walay statements market sentiment ko buhat zyada shape kar sakte hain. Agar RBA potential rate hikes ka ishara karti hai ya economy ke hawalay se optimism zahir karti hai, to yeh Australian dollar ki strength ko enhance kar sakta hai.
Is waqt
AUD/USD pair ek trading range mein hai, jahan market mein indecision hai. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke wo is range-bound movement ko closely monitor karein aur technical indicators aur key levels par nazar rakhte hue apne trading decisions lein. Market sentiment, speculative activity, aur RBA ke communications ko samajhna bhi future price movements ko predict karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. In sab factors ko samajhne se traders ko mazid informed aur profitable decisions lene mein madad milegi.

Monday ko slump se uthne ke baad, AUD/USD mein izafa hona shuru ho gaya. Us waqt izafa kaafi zyada tha kyunki currency pair 160 pips tak move kiya. Buyers ka pressure itna strong tha ke candle ki tail kaafi lambi thi. Tuesday ko AUD/USD sirf thoda sa barh paya, aur 0.6541 tak pohncha. Shayad yeh is wajah se hua ke candle apne qareeb ke resistance ko penetrate nahi kar paayi, isliye movement phir se niche chali gayi. Phir AUD/USD turant 0.6479 par gir gaya. Lekin American session ke dauran, AUD/USD phir se barh gaya. Ab AUD/USD ka position 0.6525 par trade ho raha hai.

H1 timeframe se analyze karne par, candle abhi bhi resistance area 0.6539 par block hai. Barhne ke liye, is area ko penetrate karna zaroori hai. Agar nahi hota, to AUD/USD phir se niche ja sakta hai. Support area mein candle tail ka hona is baat ka ishara hai ke future mein movement zyada tar upward ho sakta hai. Candle tail ka upward pressure dikhata hai ke buyers mazboot ho rahe hain. Jab tak demand area 0.6538 par nahi toot'ta, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD barhne ki achi chance hain. Main ne dekha nahi ke correction puri tarah se complete hui hai kyunki AUD/USD mein decline dekha gaya hai.

Ichimoku indicator ki madad se analyze karne par, candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, halanke kal AUD/USD thoda gir gaya tha. Is position ka matlab hai ke Ichimoku indicator AUD/USD ko barhne mein madad kar raha hai. Agar kumo ke upar ho, to AUD/USD ka barhna asaan hota hai. Resistance area abhi tak nahi tooti, isliye AUD/USD phir se gir sakta hai. Yeh tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke intersect hone ka bhi sabab ban sakta hai.

Aaj ki analysis ka natija yeh hai ke AUD/USD ke paas phir se barhne ka chance hai kyunki candle demand area 0.6360 ko penetrate nahi kar paayi. Jab tak demand area nahi tooti, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD barhne ka bada chance hai. Ichimoku indicator bhi barhne ko support karta hai kyunki candle tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Isliye, jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain unhe buy positions par focus karna chahiye. Take profit target ko qareeb ke resistance 0.6609 par rakhein aur stop loss ko support 0.6332 par rakhein.




Stochastic indicator bhi yeh show karta hai ke AUD/USD overbought hai. Yeh is wajah se hai ke pichle kuch dino mein AUD/USD barhna shuru ho gaya hai. Filhal, stochastic indicator ne decline ka signal nahi diya kyunki line abhi bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Aise position mein, AUD/USD thoda niche move kar sakta hai, lekin yeh sirf short time ke liye hoga.

AUD/USD Analysis Updates
07 August 2024





AUD/USD ka price movement kuch arsay ke doran ka dikhata hai, jisme support ka range 0.64814 ke level ke aas paas aur resistance 0.65495 ke level ke aas paas hai. Is chart mein yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price ne 0.65495 ke resistance level ko kai martaba test kiya, lekin usay break nahi kar paya. Yeh dikhata hai ke yeh level ek strong area hai aur trading analysis mein is par dhyan dena zaroori hai.

Dusri taraf, 0.64814 ka support level bhi kai dafa test hua hai, aur price har dafa jab bhi is level ke qareeb aaya ya isay touch kiya, wapas upar chala gaya. Yeh dikhata hai ke is support level ke aas paas buying interest kaafi strong hai. Support aur resistance levels ke clear hone ke bawajood, traders range trading strategy ka faida utha sakte hain, yaani support level ke aas paas buy karna aur resistance level ke aas paas sell karna.

Magar yeh yaad rakhnay wali baat hai ke forex market bohot dynamic hota hai aur support aur resistance levels kisi bhi waqt break ho sakte hain. Is liye, aapko hamesha breakout ke imkaanat ke liye hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, chahe wo upar ki taraf ho ya neeche ki taraf. Agar price resistance level 0.65495 ko break kar leta hai, to yeh mumkin hai ke price barh kar aglay resistance level 0.66025 ke area tak pohnch jaye, jise chart mein blue zone se mark kiya gaya hai. Is ke bar'aks, agar price support level 0.64814 ko break kar leta hai, to yeh mumkin hai ke price gir kar ek naya neeche wala support level talash kare.

AUD-USD Pair Forecast

Slump se uthne ke baad, AUD-USD ne Monday ko barhna shuru kiya. Us waqt izafa kaafi zyada tha, kyunki yeh currency pair takreeban 160 pips move karne mein kamiyab raha. Buyers ka pressure itna strong tha ke candle tail bohot lambi thi. Tuesday ko, AUD-USD sirf thoda sa barh saka. Us waqt AUD-USD sirf 0.6541 tak pohnch paya. Shayad yeh isliye hua kyunki candle apne qareeb ke resistance ko abhi tak tor nahi payi, jis wajah se movement phir se niche chali gayi. Phir AUD-USD foran 0.6479 par gir gaya. Magar, American session ke dauran, AUD-USD phir se barh gaya. Ab AUD-USD ka position 0.6525 par trade ho raha hai.

Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, to candle abhi bhi 0.6539 ke resistance par block hai. Barhne ke liye zaroori hai ke is area ko tor diya jaye. Agar yeh nahi hota, to AUD-USD phir se niche ja sakta hai. Support area mein candle tail ka nazar ana yeh batata hai ke future mein movement zyada tar upar ki taraf ho sakta hai. Candle tail ka pressure upar ki taraf hone ka matlab yeh hai ke buyers ab mazboot ho rahe hain. Jab tak demand area 0.6538 par tor nahi hota, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD-USD ke barhne ke chances abhi bhi bohot zyada hain. Main ne abhi tak yeh nahi dekha ke correction puri tarah se complete hui hai kyunki AUD-USD mein decline dekha gaya hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ke zariye analyze kiya jaye, to candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, halanke kal AUD-USD kuch pips gir gaya tha. Is position ka matlab yeh hai ke Ichimoku indicator AUD-USD ke barhne ko mazid support karta hai. Aksar agar yeh kumo ke upar ho, to AUD-USD ka barhna zyada asaan hota hai. Lekin resistance area abhi tak tor nahi gaya, isliye AUD-USD phir se gir sakta hai. Is wajah se tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines phir se intersect kar sakti hain.

Wahin, stochastic indicator yeh dikhata hai ke AUD-USD ki halat overbought hai. Yeh isliye hua ke pichle kuch dino mein AUD-USD barhna shuru ho gaya hai. Filhal, stochastic indicator ne decline ka signal nahi diya kyunki line abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Aise position mein, AUD-USD thoda neeche move kar sakta hai, lekin yeh sirf thore waqt ke liye hoga.





Aaj ki analysis ka natija yeh hai ke AUD-USD ke paas phir se barhne ka chance hai kyunki candle abhi tak 0.6360 ke demand area ko tor nahi paayi. Jab tak demand area tor nahi hota, main ab bhi is baat ka yaqeen rakhta hoon ke AUD-USD ke barhne ke chances bohot zyada hain. Saath hi, Ichimoku indicator bhi barhne ko support karta hai kyunki candle position already tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Is liye, main apne doston ko jo is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, yeh recommend karta hoon ke sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target qareeb ke resistance 0.6609 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko support 0.6332 par rakh sakte hain.

AUD/USD Price Movement
Hum AUD/USD currency pair ki real-time price movement ko samajhnay par focus kar rahe hain. AUD/USD ne trading week ko 0.6575 ke qareeb close kiya, apni bullish correction ko jaari rakha. Moving averages ne ek sideways trend suggest kiya, jo ke market mein uncertainty ko zahir karta hai. Prices ne haal hi mein 0.6601 ke level se dip kiya, jo ke sellers ke pressure ko reflect karta hai aur mumkin hai ke mazeed girawat ka ishara hai. Aane wale hafte mein bearish correction ho sakta hai jo 0.6511 ke qareeb support ko test kare. Iske baad, hum rebound dekh sakte hain jahan AUD/USD foreign exchange market mein 0.6651 ke target ke liye aim kar sakta hai. Magar agar yeh pair significant drop ka shikar hota hai aur 0.6501 ke niche close karta hai, to mazeed girawat ka intezar karna paray ga jo mumkin hai ke 0.6421 ke level tak pohanch jaye. Jumme ke din pair ne selling pressure dekha. Daily chart mein prolonged sideways movement dekhi ja sakti hai, jo yeh sawal uthati hai ke downward trend Monday ko bhi jaari rahega ya koi alternative scenario unfold hoga.

Chaliye Monday ke liye technical analysis mein ghushtay hain. Moving averages sell ko indicate karti hain; technical indicators buy ko suggest karte hain, jis se ek neutral outlook samne aata hai. Yeh technical analysis pair ke liye sideways movement ki hint karta hai. Pair ke liye essential news releases mein Australian Business Confidence Index shamil hai, jiska forecast neutral hai, aur significant U.S. news bhi neutral forecast hui hai. Is ki buniyad par, sideways movement ki umeed hai, jahan 0.6551 ke support level tak potential sales aur 0.6601 ke resistance level tak possible buy trades ho sakti hain. Pair ke liye ek sideways trajectory ke zyada chances hain. Monday ke awal ke siwa, AUD/USD pair poore hafte upward move karta raha, jahan pullbacks aur breakouts ke sath progress dekhi gayi. Monday ko 0.6350 ka support level mumkin tha, jabke Jumme tak price 0.6606 ke resistance level tak pahunch gayi—week ke dauran 250 points se zyada ka izafa

Australian Dollar (AUD) pichlay haftay US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein zyada barhawa nahi le saka aur 0.6575 par close hua, jo ke 0.30% ka halkasa decline tha. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki mazid sakht monetary policy aur China ke unexpected tor par strong inflation data ke bawajood, AUD apni recent trading range se nikalne mein mushkilat ka shikar raha. RBA ne inflation par nazar rakhte hue, mazeed rate hikes ka ishara diya hai agar zaroorat pari. Governor Michelle Bullock ne Thursday ko is sakhti ka dobara izhar kiya aur kaha ke bank tayar hai inflationary pressures ka muqabla karne ke liye. Is sakht approach aur RBA ke 2024 mein sirf 25 basis point ki rate cut ki forecast ne AUD ke downside ko limited rakha hai. Wahan doosri taraf, China ki economy mein July ka consumer price index (CPI) expectations se zyada barh gaya, jo ke year-on-year 0.5% barhawa tha. Is data ne China, jo ke Australia ka aik aham trading partner hai, ke economic downturn ke concerns ko kam kiya. Lekin AUD par is ka positive asar limited raha economic outlook ki complexity ki wajah se. Technical tor par, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6600 level ke qareeb sakht resistance ka samna hai, jahan 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) converge hotay hain. Ye resistance level buyers ke liye mushkil sabit ho raha hai. Downside par, support 0.6500 mark par mazboot hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 ke qareeb neutral level par hai, jo market mein clear directional bias ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Magar recent surge RSI mein jo 30 se 49 tak gaya hai, ye investors ke darmiyan barhti hui bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Khulasay mein, AUD/USD pair RBA ki sakht policy aur Australian aur Chinese economies ki complexities ke darmiyan phans gaya hai. Jahan RBA ka stance AUD ke liye support faraham karta hai, wahin pair ka 0.6600 resistance level ko cross na kar pana Australian Dollar ke samne mushkilat ko highlight karta hai. Investors mazeed economic indicators aur central bank statements ka intezar karenge taake pair ke future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake

AUD/USD pair ne DXY ke muqable mein significant momentum hasil kar liya hai, aur ab comfortably 0.6500 level se ooper trade kar raha hai. Ye bullish trend mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hai, jin mein robust domestic economic data, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke potential rate hike ki umeed, aur US Dollar ki kamzori shamil hain.
AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Market mein is waqt yeh possibility ziada price ki ja rahi hai ke RBA aane wale mahino mein rate hike kare. Strong retail sales data is view ko mazid mazboot karta hai, jo AUD ko ek higher-yielding currency ke tor par mazid attractive banata hai. Lekin yeh yad rakhna zaroori hai ke RBA ke policy decisions kai mukhtalif factors se mutasir hote hain, aur rate hike ka koi waada nahi hai.

AUD ki qeemat mein izafa US Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se bhi supported hai. Yeh combination of factors, jin mein Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance mein kam aggression ki umeed shamil hai, greenback ki decline ka sabab bani hai. Is ne pair ke mazid mazboot hone ke liye ek favorable environment create kar diya hai.

Strong Retail Sales Boost AUD Optimism:

AUD ki strength ka ek key catalyst May mein better-than-expected retail sales data ka release hai. Yeh positive economic indicator speculation ko fuel kar raha hai ke RBA August mein rate hike kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Judo Bank ka Australia Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) jo ke June mein thoda improvement dikhata hai, ne bhi Australian Dollar ko support kiya hai.

Four-Hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 0.6655 ek key resistance level hai, jabke 0.6700 ka psychological level aglay target ke tor par serve kar raha hai. Neeche ki taraf, support channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 0.6650 aur 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) pe 0.6577 pe mil sakta hai.

Thursday ki European session mein AUD/USD pair 0.6571 ke qareeb range-bound hai. Pair sideways trade kar raha hai, kyunki investors U.S. ke June ke Consumer data ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo aaj baad mein expected hai. Yeh aham economic indicator is liye crucial hai kyunki yeh is baat ka pata lagane mein madad karega ke Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rates kab kam karna shuru kar sakta hai.
AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

CPI data ka intezar is liye bhi significant hai kyunki yeh Fed ki monetary policy ke hawalay se expectations ko shape karega. Market sentiment is waqt mazboot hai, aur bohat se investors yeh samajh rahe hain ke September ke meeting mein Fed rate cut kar sakta hai, khas tor pe U.S. labor market ke conditions ke bais. S&P 500 futures ne bhi European trading hours ke doran kuch gains dikhaye hain, jabke U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki performance ko six major currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, 105.00 mark ke qareeb hai.

Yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) shayad global rate-cutting trend mein shamil hone mein dair kare. RBA expected hai ke apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko is saal ke baqi hisay ke liye current levels pe barqarar rakhe, yeh robust consumer spending ki wajah se reversed disinflation trend ke bais hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Thursday ke din tak, pair do din ke losing streak ka shikar hai, lekin overall market outlook optimistic hai. Yeh positive sentiment pair ke performance se supported hai, jo Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) mein deep positive territory mein hai. Daily chart analysis yeh dikhata hai ke AUD/USD pair ek ascending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai, jo bullish bias ko reinforce kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day RSI 50 level ke ooper hai, jo ongoing bullish momentum ko zahir karta

AUD/USD Par Asar Dalne Wale Key Factors

RBA Ki Monetary Policy Ka Maqam: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka 4.35% par cash rate ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla, mehngai se niptne ki commitment ko darshata hai aur Australian dollar ko support karta hai. Aain waqton mein rate hikes ki sambhavnayein hain, jo RBA ki policy ki taraf bazar ki umeedon ke saath milkar, AUD ko USD ke muqablay mein aur majboot kar sakti hain.

China Ke Iqtesadi Data: China se aane wala mazboot CPI inflation data Australia aur China ke darmiyan ikhtiyaqi rishton par aitmad barhata hai, kyunki Australia apni commodity exports ka aik bohot bada hissa China ko faraham karta hai. Ye positive data AUD ke liye aik catalyst ban jata hai, jo trade dynamics ke bare mein optimism ko darshata hai.

Geopolitical Khatar: Halaanki haal mein tansiyon mein kami aayi hai, magar Middle East mein geopolitical uncertainties bohat se zaroori khatarat paida karti hain. Tansiyon mein izafa market sentiment ko safe-haven assets jaise USD ki taraf shift kar sakta hai, jo AUD par neecheki dabao daal sakta hai.

US Economic Indicators: USD ki taaqat ko mazboot economic indicators aur Federal Reserve ki hawkish stance se taqat milti hai. Rate cuts ki sambhavnayein bazar mein speculation ko janam deti hain, magar Fed ki aelaan kiya gaya commitment rates ko barqarar rakhne par, USD ko doosri currencies, jaise AUD ke muqablay mein support karta hai.

Technical Analysis:

Price Action: AUD/USD ka jorha ab ek rising channel mein trading kar raha hai aur Simple Moving Average (SMA) se upar hai, jo uptrend ka ishara hai. Lekin, market participants ko khas ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyunki Relative Strength Index (RSI) selling zone mein hai, jo pullback ka potential darshata hai.

Critical Levels:

• Resistance: Is jorhay ko 0.6572 par resistance ka saamna hai. Is level ko todne se aage ke faayde ki sambhavnayein khulte hain.
• Support: Agar price ne lower lows bana liye aur key support levels ko breach kiya, to ye bullish outlook ko invalidate kar sakta hai aur potential reversal ka ishara de sakta hai.

Recommendations:

1. Economic Data Monitored Rakhna: Australia aur US se aanewale economic releases par nazar rakhein, khaas taur par inflation data, employment figures, aur RBA ya Federal Reserve se koi updates.
2. Geopolitical Developments Par Nazar: Aise geopolitical events se agah rahiye jo market sentiment ko asar daal sakte hain aur volatility la sakte hain. Tansiyon mein izafa se USD ka taqat barh sakta hai.
3. Technical Indicators Par Tawajjo: Key technical levels, RSI readings, aur price action par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Resistance ko todna aik buying opportunity ban sakta hai, jab ke gains ko barqarar na rakhne par cautious approach lena pada sakta hai.
4. Risk Management: Behtreen risk management strategies lagu karein, jaise stop-loss orders, taake unforeseen price movements se bacha ja sake, jo macroeconomic ya geopolitical events se nikal sakte hain.

Khulasay ke tor par, jab ke AUD ke liye kuch supportive factors hain, lekin kuch significant khatarat bhi hain jo AUD/USD ke upar jaane wale raaste par asar daal sakti hain. Fundamental aur technical pehluon ko madde nazar rakhte hue balanced approach ikhtiyaar karna is currency pair ko asar daari se samajhne ke liye bohot zaroori hai.