𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Australian Dollar Wednesday ko positive territory mein hai. European session mein AUD/USD ka trade 0.6607 par ho raha hai, jo ke din mein 0.16% zyada hai. Pehlay Australian dollar 0.6633 (0.48%) tak gaya tha, magar phir wapas aagaya. Australian employment growth achi hai magar unemployment bhi high hai. Australian employment report July ke liye ek interesting mix thi.
Is mein 58.2 hazar jobs ka izafa economy mein hua, jo ke June mein revise karke 52.2 hazar job ka izafa tha, jab ke alarming figure 20 hazar tha. Employment growth mazboot rahi. Part-time jobs mein 2.3 hazar ki kami hui, lekin full-time employment mein 60.5 hazar ka barhawa dekha gaya. Saath hi, unemployment rate 4.2% tak barh gaya, jo ke June ke 4.1% se zyada tha aur yeh market estimate bhi tha.

Yeh January 2022 se sabse zyada unemployment rate tha, magar yeh izafa labor force participation ke barhne ko reflect karta hai. Overall, performance report positive thi aur Reserve Bank ke hawkish approach ko support karti hai rate policy mein. Last week, RBA Governor Bullock ne kaha tha ke agle chay mahine mein rate cut ka koi imkaan nahi hai. Markets zyada dovish hain aur ek rate cut ka andaza laga rahe hain is saal ke aakhir tak.

Magar, markets ne November ke rate cut ke chances ko 45% se kam karke 55% kar diya hai jobs ke release ke baad. Inflation ke lehaz se, consumer prices August mein 4.5% aur July mein 4.3% tak barh gayi, jo ke April ke baad se sabse zyada hai.

Yeh release RBA ke "higher for longer" rate policy ko support karti hai jab tak inflation estimates 2% se 3% target band ke kareeb nahi aati. Agla RBA policy meeting 24 September ko hoga.

AUD/USD resistance 0.6612 par test kar raha hai. Upar 0.6628 weak resistance line hai, uske baad 0.6659 hai. Neechay support levels 0.6581 aur 0.6566 hain.

AUD/USD currency pair, jo ke ab 0.6586 par trade ho raha hai, ek pronounced bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke Australian dollar (AUD) ke value mein consistent decline ko signal kar raha hai US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein. Yeh downward trajectory kai interrelated factors ki wajah se hai, jo market ke pessimistic outlook ko contribute kar rahe hain is pair ke liye.

Is bearish trend ka primary driver diverging monetary policies hain jo Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke darmiyan hain. Fed ne U.S. mein inflation ko combat karne ke liye aggressively interest rates ko raise kiya hai, jo USD ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana raha hai jo higher yields dhoond rahe hain. Is ke baraks, RBA ne rate hikes mein zyada ehtiyaat barhati hai, domestic economic growth aur inflationary pressures ke hawalay se concerns ki wajah se. Yeh monetary policy mein divergence dono currencies ke darmiyan interest rate differential ko widen kar raha hai, jo USD ko boost de raha hai AUD ke expense par.

Global economic conditions bhi AUD ki weakness ko exacerbate kar rahi hain. Ek commodity-linked currency ke tor par, AUD global demand se sensitive hai raw materials ke liye, khaaskar China se, jo Australia ka sabse bara trading partner hai. China ki economy mein recent slowdown ke asar, jisme weaker-than-expected industrial production aur retail sales figures shaamil hain, ne Australian exports ki demand ko dampen kar diya hai, jis se AUD par pressure barhta ja raha hai. Mazeed, ongoing geopolitical tensions, khaaskar jo China aur U.S. ke darmiyan hain, uncertainty ko barhawa de rahi hain, jis se AUD kam attractive ban raha hai rising global risks ke samnay.

Iske ilawa, USD ki strength uski safe-haven currency ke tor par hai, khaaskar jab global economic uncertainty barh rahi ho. Investors USD ki taraf rujhan rakhte hain jab market volatility barhti hai, inflation, recession risks, aur geopolitical instability jese concerns ki wajah se. Yeh flight to safety mazeed pressure dalti hai AUD/USD pair par, kyun ke investors riskier assets jese ke AUD ko reduce karte hain aur stable USD ko prefer karte hain.

Technical analysis bhi bearish outlook ko support kar raha hai AUD/USD pair ke liye. Currency pair key moving averages ke neechay trade kar raha hai, jo strong bearish momentum ko indicate kar raha hai. 50-day moving average ne 200-day moving average ke neechay cross kiya hai, jo ke “death cross” form kar raha hai, ek bearish signal jo aam tor par mazeed declines ke pehle aata hai. Mazeed, Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold levels ke kareeb hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke chahay short-term bounce ho sakta hai, lekin overall trend downward hi rahega.

Nateejatan, AUD/USD currency pair ka current bearish trend, monetary policy divergence, weaker global economic conditions, aur USD ki safe-haven appeal ke combination se drive ho raha hai, jo market ke negative outlook ko contribute karte hain.

AUD/USD Price Movement ke Insights
Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing ki live evaluation ke sath align karti hai. Us din Australian dollar mein izafa dekhne ko mila, jab ke price ek range mein trade hui jo mere range-bound trading ke prediction ke mutabiq thi. Jumma ke din, price ne na support ko test kiya aur na hi resistance ko, jo mere range trading forecast ko support karta hai. Aaj bhi mera strategy wahi hai: range ke andar trading. Resistance se sell karo aur support se buy karo. Ab pair ne resistance ko test kar liya hai, aur main ab expect kar raha hoon ke price support level 0.6669 ki taraf sell ki taraf move kare. Agar price aaj 0.6611 se upar chali jaye, to main growth expect karta hoon towards resistance at 0.6649.

Aksar, agar price 0.6611 ke neechay close hoti hai, to main decline dekhta hoon towards support at 0.6669. Jab ke ab buy karna mumkin hai, yeh ek temporary move ho sakti hai. In insights ko madde nazar rakhte hue trading mein kamiyabi hasil karne ke liye consider karo.

Yeh currency pair khas tor par active trading ke liye interesting hai, khaaskar long side par. Filhal, entry point 0.6608 par itna acha nahi hai. Behtar hoga ke limit orders ko lower levels par set kiya jaye. Do sabse lowest identified support levels 0.6565 aur 0.6564 par hain. Yeh levels optimal buying opportunities ko represent karte hain. Stop order ko kareeb mein rakhna chahiye, takriban 0.6562 par, taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake. Sabse attractive profit-taking level resistance 0.6625 par hai. Thoda momentum mein izafa hai; Australian dollar (AUD) ko 0.6601 ke upar break karna hoga taake mazeed gains target kar sake towards 0.6661. Support ke lehaz se, AUD/USD pair ne nearest support level 0.6576 ko test kiya hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jo ke pair ko ascending channel ke lower boundary 0.6561 ke kareeb le ja sakta hai, jiske baad pullback level 0.6471 par ho sakta hai.

Australian dollar Wednesday ke trading session mein thodi si upar neeche hoti rahi, jo market ke agle direction par uncertainty ko reflect karta hai. 0.6650 ka level ek important resistance area ban gaya hai, aur yeh dekhna koi hairani ki baat nahi hai ke is area se pullback ho raha hai, khaaskar jab US ka financial news release bhi zyada garam tha. Australian dollar ne recent rally ke bawajood, is point par pehle bhi girawat dekhi hai, jo iski importance ko highlight karta hai.

Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, Australian dollar ka appreciation continue karna mumkin hai, lekin yeh weak aur unpredictable hoga. Aggressive price action traders ko galat side par rakh sakti hai, jo navigation ko mushkil bana deti hai. Behtar yeh hai ke jab tak broader fluctuation momentum nahi khona, tab tak kisi intervention ka sochna na karein, kyunki full-year schedule ek messy aur volatile trading schedule ko indicate karta hai.

Australian dollar ko affect karne wale factors ko dekhte hue, yeh change sense banata hai. Currency Asia, global economic growth aur commodity markets se highly correlated hai, jo ab uncertainty ka saamna kar rahe hain, isliye meri position Australian dollar par neutral hai aur main particular position lene ki bajaye dekhna prefer karta hoon.

Summary mein, Australian dollar ek mushkil phase se guzra hai jahan large resistance aur support levels play ho rahe hain. Broader global trends ke zariye driven, currency apni volatile trajectory continue kar sakti hai. Traders ko patience aur caution zaroori hai jab aise uncertain circumstances mein Australian dollar ke saath deal kar rahe hoon. Mera khayal hai ke price upar jane continue karegi, 0.6650 ke resistance level ko break karne ke target ke saath.

(AUD/USD) ne aaj ek significant downward impulse ka samna kiya, jo ke price ko 0.6349 ke support level tak le aaya. Magar, bulls ne jaldi se regroup karte hue initiative ko wapas le liya aur pair ko rebound karte hue 0.6460 tak le gaye. Is recovery ke bawajood, bears ab bhi persistent hain aur market par dobara control hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Unki kamiyabi ka daromadar future market developments par hai, magar overall trend bearish hai jo ke bears ke haq mein hai aur wo price ko dobara neeche push kar sakte hain. Yeh possible hai ke price phir se 0.6399 ke support level ko retest kare, wahan se consolidate ho aur apne downward journey ko 0.6349 ke level tak continue kare, jo ke aaj already note kiya gaya tha. Daily chart par ek bearish candle form hui hai jo ke bohat lambi downward wick rakhti hai, jo ke strong selling pressure ko indicate karta hai.
Federal Reserve ke decisions global markets par bohot zyada asar daalte hain. Traders aur investors Fed ke signals ko closely monitor karte hain, khaaskar US interest rates ke changes ke baare mein. Agar Fed interest rates ko barhata hai, to USD mazboot hota hai kyunki higher rates foreign investment ko attract karte hain jo better returns ke liye search karte hain. Iske baraks, agar rate cuts ya dovish stance ki umeed hoti hai, to USD kamzor ho sakta hai kyunki investors lower returns anticipate karte hain. Abhi ke market sentiment se lagta hai ke Fed ke agle moves ko lekar uncertainty hai, jo USD/JPY exchange rate mein volatility ka sabab ban rahi hai.
AUD/USD pair ka behaviour technical indicators suggest karte hain ke current trend downward hai, aur price ko 0.6531 ke support level ke neeche consolidate karte hue bechna zyada suitable hai. Agar price 0.6636 ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to buying ka scenario consider kiya ja sakta hai. Overall, trading strategy ko hourly chart aur technical indicators ke analysis ke sath align karte hue, 0.6561 ke current level se upward movement ki expectation hai aur resistance 0.6689 ke taraf badhne ki ummed hai.
AUD/USD pair mein significant movement ka potential hai in coming days. Kai factors ismein contribute kar sakte hain. Pehle, koi unexpected economic data releases, chahe Australia ya United States se, market sentiment ko quickly shift kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, better-than-expected employment data from Australia ya commodity prices mein sudden change Australian dollar ko boost de sakta hai.

AUD/USD currency pair continues to show a steady downward trend. MACD indicator pe bearish divergence aur ek reversal figure, specifically ek ascending wedge, dikhai de raha hai. Haal hi mein, price mein kaafi kami hui, jisme US dollar ki strength nazar aayi. Is girawat ke dauran, pehle ke waves ke bottoms par bana hua ascending support line tod diya gaya, jo 2024 ke liye sabse kam update ke saath coincide karta hai. Magar, market ne jaldi se recovery dikhayi, aur prices ne rebound kiya, pichle din ki girawat ka ek bada hissa wapas le liya. Isse ek false breakout bana aur uske baad growth formation hua. Wave structure lagta hai ke zyada downward hai, MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche decrease ho raha hai.
**Indicators aur Market Sentiment**

Downward indicators ke bawajood, ek bullish divergence signal bhi ek aur indicator, CCI, par nazar aata hai. Yeh puri reversal ki guarantee nahi deta, lekin yeh upward move ki potential suggest karta hai towards resistance level 0.6577, jahan main filhal further downside nahi dekh raha. Kal ki daily candle bhi ek characteristic hammer ya pin bar formation ke saath close hui, jo potential reversal ka indication hai.

Magar, growth thoda questionable hai due to allied pairs jaise EUR/USD aur GBP/USD ke downward pressure ke karan. Agar yeh pairs bhi rise kar rahe hote, to buying mein zyada confidence hota. Filhal, yeh pairs decline kar rahe hain, jo AUD/USD pair mein growth ke liye challenge create kar raha hai. Mere assessment ke mutabiq, sellers aur buyers ke chances balanced hain, aur traders short-term periods mein corresponding formations dekh kar kisi bhi direction mein operate kar sakte hain.

**Economic Calendar aur Market News**

Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi crucial news nahi hai, jo traders ko unki techniques ke mutabiq operate karne ki suvidha deti hai bina kisi unexpected movement ke risk ke. AUD/USD se related news data ka analysis karna zaroori hai. Economic indicators, geopolitical developments, aur other relevant news currency pair ke movement ko significant impact kar sakte hain, bullish trends ko reinforce kar sakte hain ya naye challenges present kar sakte hain. In updates ke saath informed aur responsive rahkar, buyers market shifts ka fayda utha sakte hain aur risks ko minimize kar sakte hain.

**Future Market Outlook**

Mujhe umeed hai ke market agle dino mein buyers ke liye favorable rahegi. Recent uptick aur short-term gains traders ke liye ek solid strategy present karti hai taake pichle mahine ke losses recover kiye ja sakein. Main expect karta hoon ke aane wale data is recovery process mein pivotal role play karega, buyers ko pehle ke setbacks ko overcome karne ke liye zaroori momentum provide karega.

Jaise hamesha, vigilant aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai, strategies ko nayi information ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Overall, current market environment AUD/USD buyers ke liye ek promising opportunity present karta hai, provided careful analysis aur strategic planning approach liya jaye.

Thursday ki European session mein, yeh pair 0.6571 ke qareeb range-bound hi raha. Pair sideways trade kar raha hai jabke investors U.S. ka June ka Consumer data release hone ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke aaj thodi dair baad schedule hai. Yeh ek aham economic indicator hai, kyunki yeh yeh bataye ga ke Federal Reserve (Fed) kab interest rates kam karna shuru kar sakta hai.
AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:


CPI data ka intezar isliye bhi aham hai kyunki yeh Fed ki monetary policy ke bare mein expectations ko influence karega. Market sentiment filhal mazboot hai, aur kaafi investors yeh samajh rahe hain ke Fed apne September meeting mein rate cut kar sakta hai, kyunki U.S. labor market mein kuch bhetri dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Iske ilawa, S&P 500 futures ne European trading hours ke dauran kuch gains show kiye hain, jabke U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki performance ko six major currencies ke muqable mein measure karta hai, 105.00 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai.

Yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) shayad global rate-cutting trend mein dair se shamil ho. RBA se ummed hai ke wo apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko is saal ke baqi hissay ke liye current levels par qaim rakhega, kyunki strong consumer spending ki wajah se disinflation ka trend reverse ho raha hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:


Thursday ke din tak yeh pair do dinon ki losing streak ka shikar hai, magar overall market outlook optimistic lag raha hai. Yeh positive sentiment pair ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) mein deep positive territory mein hone se supported hai. Daily chart analysis yeh batata hai ke AUD/USD pair ek ascending channel ke andar consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ko mazid taqat de raha hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI 50 level ke upar hai, jo ke ongoing bullish momentum ko underline karta hai.

Agar yeh pair apne current level ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh 0.6510 ke qareeb support ko test kar sakta hai. January ke baad se near-highs tak pohnchne ke bawajood, pair ke last week ke performance ne bullish outlook ki taraf ishara diya hai, halan ke kuch buyers apna profit le rahe hain. Key bullish targets 0.6600 aur 0.6650 par set hain, jabke notable support levels jo dekhne chahiyein wo 0.6670, 0.6655, aur 0.6633 hain.

Current Analysis of AUD/USD Market
Aaj ki analysis mein hum AUD/USD market ke current price behavior par focus karenge. Market is waqt mix signals de rahi hai, kuch indicators uptrend ka ishara kar rahe hain jabkay doosray downtrend ko suggest kar rahe hain. Filhal, AUD/USD ka price $0.6643 aur $0.6616 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar raha hai. Kyunkay USD index aaj barh raha hai, is baat ke imkaan hain ke AUD/USD bhi upward trend karega. Abhi ke liye, bulls ne AUD/USD market mein apni domination barqarar rakhi hui hai.

Price Action aur Trend Insights

AUD/USD ka chart dekhne par ye maloom hota hai ke ek bullish candle form ho rahi hai. Current momentum indicators yeh dikhate hain ke bullish forces control mein hain. Khaaskar, Relative Strength Index (RSI) upar ki taraf point kar raha hai aur 50 level se upar mazid stable ho gaya hai. Sath hi, late trading mein USD ki growth ke saath Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ne AUD/USD prices mein izafa ka response dete huye ek aham divergence form kiya hai.

Major Trend Direction

Meri analysis se ye sabit hota hai ke major price trend upward hai, kyunkay ye pair 20 aur 50 moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai. Is position ke saath ye resistance zones ko test karne ke qabil ho sakta hai. AUD/USD ke liye initial resistance level $0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar ye initial resistance toot jaye, toh next bullish target $0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar price $0.7121 ke upar close karti hai, toh ye mazid barh kar $0.7543 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke teesri resistance level ke tor par dekhi ja rahi hai.

Support Levels aur Bearish Targets

Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ke liye initial support level kareeb $0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar ye support level toot jaye, toh next bearish target $0.6593 ho sakta hai. Agar price $0.6593 ke neeche close karti hai, toh ye mazid gir kar $0.5843 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke teesri support level ke tor par identify ki gayi hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur support aur resistance areas par tawajju deni chahiye jahan market ka direction change ho sakta hai.

Market Sentiment in the Asian Session

Friday ke Asian market session ke dauran, aisa lagta hai ke price ab bhi buyers ke control mein hai, jo ke bullish opportunities ki talash mein hain. Objective yeh hai ke rise karen aur seller ki resistance area $0.6638-$0.6640 ko test karen. Is area ko penetrate karna zaroori hai taake ek higher bullish trajectory ke liye raasta khule, jiska agla target seller ki supply resistance kareeb $0.6695-$0.6700 par hai, jo ab tak sellers ne maintain kar rakha hai

Jumma ki subha trading session mein, Australian dollar ne halki si recovery dikhai, phir se ek baar familiar resistance ke qareeb jaane ki koshish karte hue. 0.6650 ka position baray hi dafa ek ahem chain sabit hua hai, isliye yeh koi hairat ki baat nahi ke is point par currency ko thodi mushkil ka samna ho raha hai. Yaad rahe ke Australian dollar khaas tor par unpredictable raha hai, lekin pichle ek do saal mein ek achi tarah se defined range mein bandh raha hai. Yeh range, takriban 400 points ki chowraai rakhti hai, jise kabhi kabhi break kiya gaya hai, lekin overall yeh barqarar rahi hai kaafi price oscillations ke bawajood.
Is waqt, currency is range ke darmiyan ke qareeb hai. Halanki is waqt ki candlestick mein halki si positivity nazar aa rahi hai, lekin 0.6650 level par maujood resistance ki wajah se situation abhi bhi kaafi neutral hai. Agar Australian dollar is resistance ko cross kar leta hai, to phir yeh 0.6750 ka target bana sakta hai. Lekin yeh kamyaabi shayad tabhi mumkin ho jab broader market mein "risk-on" sentiment ho.

Zyada mumkin hai ke Australian dollar apne 50-day aur 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) ke aaspas oscillate karta rahe. Yeh pointers recent price action mein ahem rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke currency abhi bhi ek clear direction talash kar rahi hai.

Kum se kum is waqt, AUD/USD pair ek holding pattern mein hai. Traders aur investors key events ya data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ek breakout ke liye zaroori impetus provide kar sakein. Jab tak aise developments nahi hoti, Australian dollar shayad $0.6655 mark ke qareeb hi hover karta rahe.

Is waqt, strong support 0.6550 position par mil sakta hai, aur uske baad 0.6450 position par bhi kuch support nazar aa sakta hai. Kul mila kar, Australian dollar apni established range mein hi rehne ke liye tayaar lagta hai, jahan koi bhi significant movement broader market dynamics aur risk sentiment par mabni hoga. Dealers ko ab in crucial levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki yeh hi tay kareinge ke currency ka agla move kya hoga

AUD/USD (Australian Dollar / US Dollar). Paisay banane ke liye, humain yeh currency pair/instrument ko H1 time frame par forecast karna chahiye. Is maqsad ke liye, chalo best entry point dhoondte hain taake accha munafa hosakay. Ghalat faislay se bachne ke liye (kharidna ya bechna), pehlay 4-hour time frame par chart kholo aur current trend check karo. Hum samajhtay hain ke aaj ka market humein long transactions ka accha mauqa de raha hai, kyun ke buyers ki strength filhaal zyada hai aur sellers is soorat-e-haal ko badal nahi paa rahe.
Agla qadam yeh hai ke hum HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators apne analysis mein istemal karain. Hama aur RSI trend indicators dono yeh dikhate hain ke H1 time frame par market bullish mode mein hai - dono indicators neela aur hara hain, jo ke buyers ki current strength ko reflect karte hain. Is liye, hum puri confidence ke saath ek buy deal kholte hain. Magnetic level indicator ko apni position exit karne ke liye use karain. Filhaal, ideal level jo consider karna chahiye woh 0.658944 hai. Phir, chart par price movement ki nature ko observe karte hue, hum faisla karain ke position ko market mein rakhna hai ya jo munafa kamaya hai usay fix karna hai.

Munafa max karne ke liye, hum trailing stop (sliding stop order, trailing) add kar sakte hain, jo pehle larger positions close karega aur phir remaining ones ko break-even par le aayega. Basement indicator bundles lows par accha performance dikha rahe hain. As a correction, mujhe poori confidence hai ke ab upar ka rukh hoga. Market sentiment bhi ek aur critical factor hai jo AUD/USD pair mein significant movements ko drive kar sakta hai. Sentiment mukhtalif factors se influence hota hai, jaise economic data, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies. Traders ki perceptions aur in factors par reactions se swift aur substantial movements ho sakti hain.

Agar market yeh samajhti hai ke Australian economy US economy ke muqable mein zyada strong ho rahi hai, to Australian dollar ki demand barh sakti hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko upar le ja sakta hai. Bar'aks, agar market global uncertainties ki wajah se zyada risk-averse ho jati hai, to USD ko safe-haven currency ka status mil sakta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ko neeche khench sakta hai. Is liye, market sentiment ko mukhtalif indicators aur news sources ke zariye monitor karna zaroori hai taake currency pair mein potential movements ko anticipate kiya ja sake.

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Aaj, maine is currency pair ke liye ek aur chaar-ghante ka schedule propose kiya hai, jo ke ek khaas exotic mood ke saath hai. Yahan wave structure ek structured neutral nature rakhta hai. MACD indicator apni signal line ke upper area se upar barh raha hai. Ab tak, jo uncertain characters maujood hain, wo ek narrow triangle mein hain. Jab number kam hone ke liye kafi factors mojood ho jayenge, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh decompose hoga. Girawat ka imkan zyada hai, lekin yeh sab New Zealand Reserve Bank ke interest rates ke faisle par mabni hai. New Zealand mein US dollar ke tezi se girne ki wajah se yeh quarter tak kam ho gaya hai. Kamzori ke baad, price triangle se resistance level 1.1034 tak upar chala gaya. Yeh umeed hai ke iska support level 1.0969 tak barh jayega. Yeh bhi rebound hua, aur price phir se resistance level 1.1034 par hai. Jaise ke deewar par ball, price yahan barh gaya hai. Yeh lagta hai ke yeh beech mein atak gaya hai. Market itna neutral hai, aur yeh income na to sellers ke liye munasib hai aur na hi buyers ke liye. Agar iska top already resistance ka support kar raha hai, toh aap entrance ko consider kar sakte hain by moving M5 ke choti amount se aur wahan mirror level dekh sakte hain jahan resistance support mein tabdeel hota hai. Yahan, price apne highest maximum 1.1138 tak barh sakta hai. Agar support level 1.0969 par sales merge ho jaati hain, toh agle test ko resistance ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, by buying, aap apni youth mein M5 par switch kar sakte hain aur wahan four-hour level ke qareebi resistance ko badalne dekh sakte hain. Yahan, girawat 1.0842 area tak ho sakti hai.

Australian dollar ne guzishta trading haftay apni girawat ko jaari rakha aur local levels ko significant tor par update kiya, trading karte hue 0.6368 level se neeche sharp shock move mein. Magar, is level par price ko ek significant support mila, jisne mazid growth ke liye koshishon ko rok diya, aur sab pehle ke losses ko win back karne par majboor kar diya aur price ko apni initial position par wapas le aya. Is doran, price chart ne super-trend green zone mein move karna shuru kar diya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke buyers apni activity rokh rahe hain.

AUD/USD prices ne Thursday ko mazeed support hasil kiya aur US retail sales data, jo ke expected se behtar tha, yeh dikhata hai ke US economy recession se ubhar rahi hai. AUD/USD 0.6630 tak barh gaya compared to pichle din ke close 0.6530 se. Thursday ko price 0.6710 ke high se girkar trading low 0.6520 tak chala gaya. Data ne market expectations ko, jo ke ek hafta se zyada se thi ke US economy recession ki taraf ja rahi hai, galat sabit kar diya. Retail sales July mein 1.00% barh gayi, jo pichle 0.2% se zyada thi aur consensus 0.3% se bhi behtar thi.

* Agar hum AUDUSD currency pair ko 1-hour trading time frame pe dekhen, to abhi yeh overbought condition mein hai, khaaskar agar hum Fibonacci Retracement tool se measure karein jo traders trend ko measure karne ke liye istemal karte hain. Yahaan 161.8 level trading ka peak hai is hafte ki trading mein, isliye aane wali trading mein price corrective ka potential hai. Trend follow karne wale traders ke liye, buy option sabse relevant trading option ho sakta hai AUDUSD currency pair ke current state ke liye. Lekin agar hum Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator period 14 ko dekhen, jo exponential method se close kiya gaya hai, to RSI 14 indicator ka band ya curve abhi extreme buy condition mein hai.

* AUDUSD currency pair ke aane wale trading activities ke liye decline ka potential kaafi wide open hai, considering ke agar RSI 14 ka band level 70 (bullish trend limit level) ko break kar sake, to hum upcoming trade mein sell option kar sakte hain. Trading advice jo main aaj ke meeting mein convey karna chahta hoon, wo yeh hai ke agar resistance area level jo 0.6670 - 0.6680 ke beech hai, successfully break out ho jata hai formed candlestick pattern ke zariye, to hum buy order kar sakte hain AUDUSD currency pair pe.

* Jab ke trend ke counter trading option AUDUSD currency pair pe tab kiya ja sakta hai jab price resistance area level 0.6670 - 0.6680 ko break nahi kar pati. Dusri trading options ke liye, hum pending buy limit order use kar sakte hain RBS area (Resistance Become Support) mein jo ke 0.6630 - 0.6640 ke beech ban gaya hai, jahan support area level pehle resistance area tha jo bullish trend candlestick pattern ke zariye break out hua tha. Shayad yahi sab kuch hai jo main Ciptoroso pe review ke liye convey karna chahta hoon, ummeed hai yeh sab hum sab ke liye useful hoga.

* Abhi ke liye yeh review sirf ek trading plan ya step hai, kyunki market abhi off condition mein hai isliye market open hone ke baad increase aur decrease dono ka potential ho sakta hai. Aur filhal Middle Eastern countries aur Eastern European countries mein geopolitical conditions bhi badh rahi hain, isliye unexpected price movements ho sakte hain. Niche AUDUSD pair ka H1 timeframe trading chart ka picture hai jo main convey karna chahta hoon.

AUD/NZD currency pair ke H-4 (four-hour) chart par aaj ki analysis ek nuanced market environment ka zikar karti hai. Is waqt ki wave structure neutral lagti hai, bina kisi strong directional bias ke. MACD indicator upper threshold ke upar hai, jo bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai, lekin yeh narrow consolidation triangle pattern ke saath tempered hai.

Market ki indecision ko dekhte hue, ek possible decline ka imkaan hai, lekin iske liye New Zealand Reserve Bank ke interest rate decisions bhi influence karenge. Haal ki development mein, US dollar ka significant weakening dekha gaya hai, jiski wajah se New Zealand dollar mein bhi lagbhag quarter ka reduction hua hai. Is wajah se, price triangle pattern se bahar nikli aur 1.1034 ke resistance level ko test kiya hai.

Filhal, price is resistance level ke aas-paas oscillate kar rahi hai, jisse yeh lagta hai ke price resistance (1.1034) aur support (1.0969) ke beech trapped hai. Market ka neutral stance trading direction ko clear karna mushkil bana raha hai. Traders ko is situation mein caution aur careful monitoring ki zaroorat hai, bina immediate action ke.

Agar price resistance level 1.1034 ke aas-paas consolidate karti hai aur breakout ya support shift ka confirmation milta hai, to ek potential buying opportunity ban sakti hai. Aise mein, chhote time frame jese ke M5 (5-minute) par switch karna behtar hoga, taake reliable entry signal mil sake. Agar breakout successful hota hai, to price next resistance target 1.1138 ki taraf ja sakti hai.

Dusay taraf, agar price support level 1.0969 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh further downward movement ko signal kar sakta hai. Traders ko phir resistance testing dekhni chahiye aur potential selling opportunities consider karni chahiye. Is scenario mein price 1.0842 ke support area ki taraf gir sakti hai.

Total mein, market ki current neutrality careful observation aur strategic planning ki zaroorat hai, kyunki price key levels aur aane wale interest rate decisions ke hisaab se upward aur downward movements dono ka imkaan hai.

Technical Analysis of AUD/USD

Australian dollar ne pichle trading week mein apni girawat ko jaari rakha aur local levels ko khaas taur par update kiya, trading karte hue 0.6368 ke level ke just neeche ek tez shock move ke saath. Lekin, is level par price ne significant support ka samna kiya, jo further growth ki koshishon ko rokte hue, price ko pehle ke losses ko recover karne aur apne initial position par wapas le aaya. Is ke sath hi, price chart super-trend green zone ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers ki activity kam ho rahi hai.

AUD/USD prices ko Thursday ko additional support mila aur behtar-than-expected US retail sales data ne yeh dikhaya ke US economy recession se nikal rahi hai. AUD/USD 0.6630 tak barh gaya jo pichle din ke close 0.6530 ke mukable mein tha. Price ne Thursday ko 0.6710 ka high se 0.6520 tak trading low tak girawat dekhi. Data ne market ki ek haftay se zyada ki expectations ko defy kiya ke US economy recession ki taraf ja rahi hai. Retail sales July mein 1.00% barh gayi, jo pehle ke 0.2% se zyada hai aur 0.3% ke consensus ko beat kiya.

Pair thoda higher trade kar raha hai week ke shuruat ke muqablay mein ek weekly low ke baad. Key resistance area ko test aur assess kiya gaya neeche ki taraf, jo downside vector ki importance ko indicate karta hai. Downward continuation ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko 0.6573 ke level ke neeche consolidate karna hoga, jahan main resistance zone ki border hai. Ek successful retest aur subsequent rebound down ek aur negative continuation ko create karega jiska target area 0.6433 aur 0.6368 hoga.

Agar resistance break hota hai aur price reversal level 0.6635 ko todti hai, to current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milega.

European Session ke dauran AUD/USD ka Hal


Thursday ki European session mein, yeh pair 0.6571 ke qareeb range-bound hi raha. Pair sideways trade kar raha hai jabke investors U.S. ka June ka Consumer data release hone ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke aaj thodi dair baad schedule hai. Yeh ek aham economic indicator hai, kyunki yeh yeh bataye ga ke Federal Reserve (Fed) kab interest rates kam karna shuru kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:


CPI data ka intezar isliye bhi aham hai kyunki yeh Fed ki monetary policy ke bare mein expectations ko influence karega. Market sentiment filhal mazboot hai, aur kaafi investors yeh samajh rahe hain ke Fed apne September meeting mein rate cut kar sakta hai, kyunki U.S. labor market mein kuch bhetri dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Iske ilawa, S&P 500 futures ne European trading hours ke dauran kuch gains show kiye hain, jabke U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki performance ko six major currencies ke muqable mein measure karta hai, 105.00 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai.

Yeh speculation barh rahi hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) shayad global rate-cutting trend mein dair se shamil ho. RBA se ummed hai ke wo apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko is saal ke baqi hissay ke liye current levels par qaim rakhega, kyunki strong consumer spending ki wajah se disinflation ka trend reverse ho raha hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:


Thursday ke din tak yeh pair do dinon ki losing streak ka shikar hai, magar overall market outlook optimistic lag raha hai. Yeh positive sentiment pair ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) mein deep positive territory mein hone se supported hai. Daily chart analysis yeh batata hai ke AUD/USD pair ek ascending channel ke andar consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ko mazid taqat de raha hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI 50 level ke upar hai, jo ke ongoing bullish momentum ko underline karta hai.

Agar yeh pair apne current level ke neeche break karta hai, toh yeh 0.6510 ke qareeb support ko test kar sakta hai. January ke baad se near-highs tak pohnchne ke bawajood, pair ke last week ke performance ne bullish outlook ki taraf ishara diya hai, halan ke kuch buyers apna profit le rahe hain. Key bullish targets 0.6600 aur 0.6650 par set hain, jabke notable support levels jo dekhne chahiyein wo 0.6670, 0.6655, aur 0.6633 hain.