𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD

Is hafte ke shuruat mein, pair ne ek notable rally dekhi aur 1.1038 ke mark ke aas-paas trading ki. Yeh euro ki upar chadhai, shifting market sentiments aur central banks ke policy signals ke beech ho rahi hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) ke officials ne potential interest rate cuts ki taraf ishara kiya hai, jisse investors ki risk appetite cautiously optimistic hai, magar Atlantic ke dono taraf se mil rahe ongoing economic signals se thodi caution bhi hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Eurozone mein, S&P Global ka preliminary composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 54.1 report kiya gaya, jo expected 53.5 se thoda upar hai magar pichle mahine ke 54.3 se neeche hai. Overall positive reading ke bawajood, Germany, jo ke Eurozone ki sab se badi economy hai, se kuch troubling signs hain. Germany mein business activity dusre consecutive month ke liye contract ho gayi hai, jo initial expectations se zyada worse hai. Iske ilawa, Euro area mein negotiated wage growth second quarter of 2024 ke liye 3.55% tak slow ho gaya hai, jab ke pehle quarter mein yeh 4.74% tha. Yeh factors European Central Bank (ECB) se is saal do aur rate cuts ke chances ko barhate hain, jo euro ke bullish momentum ko limit kar sakte hain.

Atlantic ke dusre taraf, USD Index, jo dollar ko chhay major currencies ke against measure karta hai, mein tezi se girawat dekhi gayi aur yeh around 101.00 tak aa gaya, jo ke pichle saath mahine se dekha nahi gaya. Yeh drop ek brief rebound ke baad aya jo 101.60 ke qareeb tha. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole Symposium ke recent comments ne market expectations ko aur influence kiya hai. Powell ne interest rate reductions ki zaroorat ko underscore kiya, labor market conditions aur strong job market ko support karne ki zaroorat ko highlight kiya. Unki statements ne Fed ki economic shifts ke response mein policy adjust karne ki readiness ko reinforce kiya hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Situations ko compound karte hue, oil prices mein recent surge jo Middle East mein geopolitical tensions aur Libya mein supply challenges ki wajah se hui hai, EUR/USD pair par pressure daal sakti hai, kyunki rising energy costs economic growth aur inflation expectations ko impact kar sakti hain. August ke shuruat se EUR/USD pair mein jo strong rally dekhi gayi hai, usse consolidation ka period nazar aata hai. Traders ko expect karna chahiye ke pair 1.1000-1.1200 ke range mein fluctuate karega, jab tak upcoming US economic data releases market positions ko reinforce ya challenge nahi kar deti.



Euro ne recent mein solid momentum dikhaya hai, magar is trend ki sustainability abhi bhi uncertain hai. Yeh possibility ke pair 2023 ke high 1.1276 ko near term mein test kare, abhi bhi open hai, lekin yeh largely depend karega ke critical support level 1.1044 hold karta hai ya nahi. Agar pair 1.1000 ke neeche girti hai, to further declines towards 1.0900 region bhi ho sakti hain.

EUR/USD Price Analysis

EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ko analyze karte hain. Murray levels ke mutabiq, 1.1077 support ki average strength hai aur yeh H1 maximum ke sath align karta hai, jo Friday ko baar-baar dekhne ko mila. H4 chart par yeh level ab nahi hai, aur ab nazdeek ke supports 1.1046 aur 1.1107 hain, jo price ko in marks ke beech trap kar rahe hain. Price H4 chart par descending channel mein hai, aur 1.1107 level ke just upar H4 aur daily channels ke upper boundaries intersect kar rahi hain, jo extra resistance add karti hain. Ek minor upward jump 1.1107 resistance ke paas stall ho sakti hai, uske baad hum phir se decline dekhne ki umeed karte hain. Monday ke liye EUR/USD ka primary target 1.1046 support hai; agar yeh level test kiya jaye bina breakdown ke to bhi favorable hoga, aur agar price is se zyada dip hoti hai to aur bhi behtar hoga. Naye trading week ke shuru hone par, hum 1.1016 aur 1.0985 supports ki taraf declines dekh rahe hain.



Agar hum Friday ki foundation ko madde nazar rakhein, to sellers ne EUR/USD ko 1.1199 high se downward momentum mein rakha, is movement ko poori tarah se tabhi realize kiya ja sakta hai jab price ko 1.1024 bearish start line ke neeche secure kar diya jaye. Magar Friday ke decline ke doran, H4 chart par bears ne volume mein thoda overshoot dekha, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke deeper descent se pehle EUR/USD ek aur bullish pullback initiate kar sakta hai 1.1116 resistance ki taraf, lekin yeh level fully likely hai ya nahi yeh uncertain hai. Agar 1.1024 support breach hota hai pullback ke baad ya directly current support se, to price apni decline ko initial impulse zone levels 1.0917 aur 1.0849 ki taraf extend kar sakti hai, aur 1.0991 support par ek pause bhi ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD Price Interpretation

EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya ek aham topic hai. Forex neural network ke technical algorithm ke mutabiq, 1.1140 ke resistance level ki taraf ek potential upward movement ka signal hai. Bulls itne strong lag rahe hain ke woh upar push karte rahe, aur yeh scenario plausible lagta hai. Yeh forecast ek clear upward trajectory ka indication deta hai, aur agar buyers current resistance range ke upar position secure kar lete hain, to humein sustained upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo buying ke forecast ko solidify karega. Lekin, agar bulls is upward momentum ko maintain nahi kar paaye, to sellers control le sakte hain. False breakout ka possibility bhi note karna zaroori hai, jo aise scenarios mein common hota hai. Jabke primary outlook successful upward move ki taraf hai, ek alternative scenario bhi consider karna chahiye. Agar buyers fail hotay hain, to sellers price ko significant support level tak neeche le jaa sakte hain, phir upside reversal dekhne ko mil sakta hai.



Four-hour time frame ko analyze karte hue, do zones of interest nazar aate hain: resistance at 1.1209 aur support at 1.1030, aur current price in levels ke beech positioned hai. EUR/USD pair abhi overbought territory mein hai, kyunki yeh lambe waqt se upward move kar raha hai. Yeh instrument 1.1030 ke support zone ko retest karega, phir ek brief upward correction ke baad medium term mein 1.0946 ki taraf downward movement continue karega. Asset ne ascending northern channel ke lower boundary se significant deviation dekha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke bearish correction zaroori hai, jo weekly hourly chart par moving average Bollinger line ke sath align ho sakta hai. Lekin, existing local upward trend jo currency pair ko consecutive months se upar le ja rahi hai, yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai.

EUR/USD Price Analysis

Euro ne Monday ke early trading mein tezi se girawat dekhi jab yeh pehle ke lows ko retest kar raha tha. Agar yeh decline yahin se continue hoti hai, to price 1.10 level tak ja sakti hai, jo ek psychologically important round number hai aur traders ka dhyan khinch sakta hai.

Lekin, agar euro yahin se majboot hota hai, to 1.11 level ke aas-paas resistance dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo past mein kai baar ek key point raha hai. Overall, market abhi indecisive lag rahi hai, clear direction ki kami hai. Yeh traders ke zyada fundamental economic indicators ka intezaar karne ki wajah se ho raha hai, khaaskar central bank meetings ke aane wale dinon mein. Federal Reserve (FOMC) aur European Central Bank (ECB) dono agle hafton mein meeting karenge, jo euro ke future direction par significant impact daal sakta hai.

Filhal, market participants yeh gauge karne ki koshish kar rahe hain ke euro ya US dollar mein koi definitive strength ya weakness hai ya nahi. Dono central banks rate-cut path par nazar aa rahe hain, jiski wajah se currencies mein koi significant movement nahi dekhne ko mil rahi. Isliye, traders ko aur choppy range-bound trading dekhne ko mil sakti hai jab tak central bank meetings se clear signals nahi milte.




Khaas taur par, Euro ek aise pattern ko hold kar raha hai jahan se yeh 1.10 ya 1.11 ki taraf move kar sakta hai, market sentiment ke badlav ke hisaab se. Filhal, uncertainty hai aur traders closely FOMC aur ECB ke signals ko dekh rahe hain jo currency pair ke direction ko clear kar sakte hain. Tab tak, aur volatility aur market noise ki ummeed rakhni chahiye.

EUR/USD: Key Patterns and Signals

EUR/USD currency pair ki price movements ka analysis karte hain. Filhal, EUR/USD pair Tenkan-Sen aur Kijun-Sen lines ke beech move kar raha hai Ichimoku indicator par. Pichle aath saalon mein, pair ne is range mein fluctuate kiya hai, aur lagta hai ke agle kuch dinon mein bearish cross dekhne ko mil sakta hai. H1 chart par, price Kijun-Sen line ke neeche trading kar rahi hai, jo agle candlesticks par ek potential cross-shift ka indicator hai. H4 time frame par, price ek critical support zone ke upar thi jo lagbhag 1.0999 hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai, to ek gehra bearish move ka signal mil sakta hai. Yeh analysis suggest karta hai ke target 1.0776 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, lekin yeh speculative hai. Agar price 1.1074 se niche girti hai, to support zone ke andar deeper move ho sakta hai, jahan targets 1.0959 se 1.1014 ke beech ho sakte hain.




Technical Analysis and Outlook

Bias abhi bhi buyers ke taraf hai kyun ke EUR/USD ne ek contracting triangle pattern se breakout kiya hai, jo 1.1274 high test karne ka stage set karta hai. Immediate objectives aur price action ke baare mein, M30 se H1 time frames par recent dip ke bawajood 1.1074 se neeche downward trend confirm nahi hua hai, kyunki price is level ke neeche sustain nahi hui—sirf candle wicks 1.1074 ke aas-paas chhodi hain multiple attempts ke baad. Monday ka price action hafte ke pehle half ke liye crucial hoga. Friday ko euro/dollar pair 1.1124–1.1149 range ke upar push karne mein struggle kar raha tha despite significant attempts. Yeh typical end-of-week trading dynamics ko indicate karta hai, kyunki Friday par week ke close ke wajah se adjustments reflect hoti hain, aur euro ka current level utna high nahi hai. Mixed U.S. economic data ne pair ke direction ko aur ambiguous bana diya. Lekin, price 1.1074–1.1104 support range ke neeche gir gayi hai.

Current Developments in EUR/USD Prices

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action ka analysis karenge. Main dheere-dheere U.S. dollar ke significant weakening ko dekh raha hoon, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke dollar apni decline se pehle ek aakhri surge de sakta hai. Kya aapne socha hai ke agar price 1.1025 par release hoti hai to ek unstoppable bear run shuru ho sakti hai? Hafte ke pehle half mein, euro ko ECB meeting ka pressure face karna par sakta hai, khas kar jab interest rate cut ki umeed hai aur price ne ab tak respond nahi kiya. U.S. inflation data bhi is par kafi asar dalegi. Jab aap fundamentals par focus nahi kar rahe honge, yeh analysis agle 1.4 hafton ke liye important hogi, 17 September se shuru hoti hai. Trade karte waqt achi strategy banana zaroori hai, lekin Fed aur ECB policies mein changes bhi equally important hain. Main is pair ke price drop ki umeed kar raha hoon, kam se kam mere target 1.0859 tak.




Buying and Selling Insights

Filhal buying sirf mid-term outlook ko dekhte hue attractive lagti hai, jahan 8th figure ke aas-paas averaging ka potential hai. Intraday kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Agar aap European market trends ke sath align hain, to 1.1069-1.1089 ki evening range kuch guidance de sakti hai. Ye range itni high nahi ho sakti, lekin news ke baad dekhne layak hai. Is range ke upar buying sense banati hai; neeche selling preferable hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye, main bhi maanta hoon ke selling zyada appropriate lagti hai, kyunki H1 aur H4 charts par technical indicators bearish hain, jo Friday ke residual movement ko suggest karte hain. Monday ko price ko significantly drive karne ke liye solid foundation ki kami hai, isliye technical analysis zyada prevail kar sakti hai. Opening par main 1.0165 ke aas-paas level ko dekh raha hoon, aur 1.1024 ko short-term target ke roop mein consider kar raha hoon, jo quick ho sakta hai. Haan, technically level 10 tak bhi pohanch sakte hain.

Aaj ek bohot hi ahem waqiya hai jo European currency ke liye hai, ECB ki meeting ke doran refinancing rate ko 4.25% se kam karke 3.65% ki ummeed hai. Halankeh hafte ke aakhir mein experts ka kehna tha ke refinancing rate sirf 4% tak kam kiya jaayega. Ab experts keh rahe hain ke inflation rate ki ahmiyat kam hone aur economic growth ki dheemay raftar ke madde nazar, ECB ko monetary policy ko lambi lambhi qadam se tabdeel karne ka mauka mil raha hai.

Aab EUR/USD pair ko daily chart par dekhte hain. Kuch dino se quotes kaafi kam activity dikhati rahi hain, aur current trading range ke neeche rehti hain, jabke kuch uncertainty bhi barqarar hai. Yahan par downward slope bhi nazar aa raha hai, jo downward movement ke prospects ko dikhata hai. Red moving average zone ka rehna bhi is baat ko support karta hai ke upward correction ke chances hain, jo 1.1039 ko resist karne ke liye madadgar ho sakti hai.

Main current levels se buying ko risky samajhta hoon, isliye main is market me rukunga. Selling tab consider karunga jab market 1.0989 ke niche breakout aur daily candle close kare. Agar mera 1.0989 ka breakout ka tajwez sahi sabit hota hai, to main market me enter karunga aur 1.0939 aur 1.0867 levels ko target banaunga. Ek reversal signal tab samjha jayega jab market cloud indicator ke upar se breakup kare. Golden cross ka formation bhi ek buying signal ho sakta hai, lekin is cloud ke asar se phir se break ho sakta hai.

Ab is market ke halaat ko samajhne ke liye, pehle to yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke current economic situation aur ECB ki monetary policy kaise kaam kar rahi hai. ECB ki policy decisions market par seedha asar dalti hain, aur jab ECB refinancing rate ko adjust karti hai, to iska seedha asar currency pairs par hota hai. Aaj ke event ke baad agar refinancing rate me kami hoti hai, to EUR/USD pair me bhi kuch changes dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

Jab ECB rate ko 3.65% tak kam karne ka faisla karegi, to is se market ko yeh indication milega ke ECB inflation control aur economic growth ko balance karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Is reduction se investor confidence bhi barh sakti hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh reduction jitni expected nahi hoti, to market reaction bhi mukhtalif ho sakta hai.

Ab technical analysis ki baat karte hain. Daily chart par agar EUR/USD pair ne 1.0989 ke level ko break kiya aur daily candle is ke neeche close hui, to is se downward trend ko support mil sakta hai. Aise mein, 1.0939 aur 1.0867 levels pe target set karke selling strategy ko follow kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin agar market cloud indicator ke upar se break karta hai aur golden cross banata hai, to buying signal bhi mil sakta hai, jo market ke direction ko change kar sakta hai.

Final thoughts ye hain ke market ki movements aur technical signals ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Market ke reaction aur technical indicators ke hisaab se hi trading decisions lena chahiye. Yeh approach risk management ko bhi ensure karega aur aapko market trends ke mutabiq timely decisions lene me madad karega.

EUR/USD H1 Market Analysis

Sham bakhair forum ke sabhi members ko. Aaj raat ka achha mausam mujhe EUR/USD currency pair ke movement ka analysis karne ke liye inspire kar raha hai. Mere observations ke mutabiq, EUR/USD trend filhal downward ya bearish direction mein hai, aur price 1.10200 tak gir sakti hai. Is analysis ke liye, maine fundamental aur technical dono analysis ka istemal kiya hai, taake agle steps plan kiye ja sakein. EUR/USD pair ke girne ki sambhavana hai aur price 1.10200 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh girawat Euro ke exchange rate ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jise Sentic Confidence Sentiment ke -15.4 aur Eurozone GDP ke 0.1% se girne se explain kiya ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar ka exchange rate majboot hua hai, jo average hourly employee earnings ke 0.1% ke izafa aur is mahine US unemployment rate ke 4% tak girne ki wajah se hai.




Fundamental analysis ke base par, trader ne EUR/USD pair ko 1.10200 par bechne ka faisla kiya hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq bhi, EUR/USD pair ka girna 1.10200 tak expected hai, jaisa ke H1 time frame par bearish candle engulfing pattern se zahir hota hai. Lekin, trader ko yeh bhi umeed hai ke EUR/USD mein ek potential upward correction aa sakti hai, kyunki RSI 14 indicator ke mutabiq pair oversold hai 1.10330 ke price level par. Yeh upward correction SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke istemal se bhi support hoti hai, kyunki current EUR/USD price RBS (Resistance Become Support) area mein aa chuki hai, jo buyers ko attract kar sakta hai. EUR/USD exchange rate ke base par, maine is currency pair ko 1.10560 tak kharidne ka faisla kiya hai.

EUR/USD D1 Analysis Chart

Hello, colleague! Hum last week se nahi mile, umeed hai tumhara Friday acha gaya hoga.

Aaj hum daily chart par wave technique ka analysis karenge:

- Lagta hai ke decline ke liye ek acha bid laga hai: Friday ko price ne hamari mazboot support - level 1.1100 ko touch kiya. Aaj hum ne is se kaafi confident push kiya aur southern direction ki taraf aur aage barh gaye. Matlab, theory ke hisaab se - hum keh sakte hain ke do moving averages ke sath pattern ka kaam shuru ho gaya hai, jahan MA18 ab resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai aur hum MA100 tak girne ki koshish karenge - jo level 1.0865 par support ki tarah kaam karta hai.

- Main yeh bhi note karunga ke lagta hai ke head and shoulders figure ki similarity aur method ka use karke space ko work out karne ki koshish ho rahi hai. Isse poori tarah confirm karne ke liye - price ko strong local support ke neeche consolidate karna padega - yeh level 1.1045 hai.

Lekin, kehna yeh bhi zaroori hai ke overall background abhi bhi bahut bullish lag raha hai. Ichimoku cloud filhal bullish colors mein hai, aur forecast perspective mein yeh south ki taraf move kar raha hai, apne volumes ko aur bhi pump kar raha hai. Bulls ne apni upward movement ko continue kiya hai aur four-hour chart par current trading range ke upper limit tak pahunch gaye hain, jabke indicators Southern rollback ki prospect show kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, aaj ke US labor market ke strong statistics US dollar ko support kar sakte hain.




In conditions mein, main abhi bhi downward movement ki ummeed kar raha hoon, isliye agar blue moving average se rebound hota hai, toh main decrease ke liye play karunga, aur support level 1.1085 ke work out hone ka intezar karunga. Iska breakout bears ko aur niche le ja sakta hai, jahan red moving average ya support level 1.1014 ko test kiya ja sakta hai. Kal ke preliminary data ne non-farm payrolls mein negative change dikhaya, lekin aam tor par government data aur ADP data mein kaafi farq hota hai, hum American session ke opening par publish hone wale statistics ka intezar kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD Price Activity

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke established bullish trend lines ko bhi madde nazar rakhein, jo ke decline par breach ho sakti hain, aur isse downward price movement ko support mil sakta hai. Agar yeh zigzag pattern continue karta hai, toh 1.0969 ke neeche girna mumkin hai. Yeh mark mere liye agle hafte aur shayad uske baad bhi important hoga. Mujhe lagta hai ke 1.0969 ke breakdown ke baad zyada significant decline ho sakti hai, jo early 9th figure ki taraf ja sakti hai. Ideally, main EUR/USD ko 1.0779 par dekhna pasand karunga. Lekin is level tak pohanchne se pehle kuch support points hain, jaise 1.0889 aur 1.0829. Yeh supports pair ko 1.0779 tak girne se rok sakte hain. Agar price is level tak pahunchti hai, toh yeh channel ki formation ko complete kar sakta hai, jo bearish movement ka final target hoga. Uske baad, channel ke liye long-term goals ke sath buying ek strategic move ho sakta hai.




H4 Chart Analysis

H4 chart par bullish buy level significantly gir gaya aur shayad Thursday (05.09.2024) ko break hua. Bullish level 1.10984 par break hua, jahan maine buy kiya. Expected minimum growth 1.11484 tak girna tha, aur resistance levels par zyada substantial rise ki potential thi, jaise 1.11829, 1.13469, aur 1.13858. Price ne already 1.11484 tak reach kar liya, isliye maine H4 chart par apni position close kar di, lekin bullish momentum abhi bhi dominant lag raha hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke growth resume ho sakti hai aur higher price levels target kiye ja sakte hain. Lekin agar bearish sell level 1.10309 par hai, toh main selling par switch karunga, with a minimum expected decline to the support level at 1.09779. Iske ilawa, aur bhi gehra drop support levels 1.08909 aur 1.08649 tak ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD Pair Ka Haal

EUR/USD pair ne haal hi mein kaafi fluctuations dekhe hain, khaaskar pichle haftay ke aakhir mein, jab sellers ne control barqarar rakha kyunki bulls 1.1123-1.1120 ke resistance ko break nahi kar paaye. Is failure ne bears ko market par dominance de diya, jo ke price ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Naye haftay mein bhi bearish momentum barqarar hai, aur technical indicators future movements ke liye additional insight dete hain.

Daily Moving Average (MA) ko dekhte hain, to price MA 50 red zone (lagbhag 1.0953-1.0950) ke upar hai. Magar, price ke is upward distance ko maintain karne ke bawajood, sellers ki dominance—jo bearish Pin Bar candlestick formation se zahir hoti hai—aur bhi bearish movement ka strong opportunity suggest karti hai. Sellers ka primary target MA 50 red area hoga, aur agar yeh level reach hota hai, to broader selloff trigger ho sakta hai.

Support aur resistance ki baat karte hain, to 4-hour chart par Euro Bollinger Bands ke central area mein hai, aur bands inward curl kar rahi hain, jo ek tightening range ko indicate karta hai. Yeh breakout ke imminent hone ka indication hai, magar direction tab tak uncertain hai jab tak price upper ya lower bands ko test nahi karti. Price 1.1063 ke aas-paas support pa gayi hai, jo ek crucial level hai aur recent bearish pressure ke bawajood firm hai. Lekin, aaj ke liye US dollar ki continued dominance ke saath, bears ka agla target 1.0993 ho sakta hai. Agar yeh support level break hota hai, to deeper declines possible hain.

Dusri taraf, agar pair 1.1063 ke upar hold karta hai, to bullish reversal ki potential hai, jiska initial target 1.103 ke break karna hoga. Yeh area ek important psychological aur technical level hai. Agar price is level ko break karti hai, to bulls control regain kar sakte hain aur pair agle resistance zone ke taraf move kar sakta hai jo 1.1123 ke aas-paas hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) ko dekhte hain, to indicator positive zone mein fade ho raha hai, lekin agar yeh negative territory mein cross karta hai, to yeh further downward movement ka strong signal hoga. Market phir deeper bearish continuation ke signs dekhegi, jo confirm hoga agar AO negative zone mein barhta rahe.

Agar AO positive zone mein bounce karta hai, to yeh potential reversal aur quotes ke rise ka signal ho sakta hai. Fractals bhi key areas mein form ho rahe hain. Ek naya downward fractal ban gaya hai, aur iska breakout September 4th fractal at 1.10390 ki taraf move ka signal de sakta hai. Is waqt, nearest upward fractal current price se door hai, jo short term mein upward momentum ki kami ko indicate karta hai. Bullish case ko support karne ke liye closer fractal formation zaroori hogi.




EUR/USD pair ab uncertainty ke period se guzar raha hai. Short term mein bears control mein hain, jo key resistance levels aur technical indicators like MA aur AO se support mil raha hai. Lekin, price ko 1.1063 support zone ke neeche break karna hoga taake continued bearish movement confirm ho sake. Agar yeh level break nahi hota, to bulls ke liye opportunities khul sakti hain, aur 1.103 tak ka move buyers ke liye key turning point ho sakta hai.

Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par reactions dekhni chahiye, saath hi fractals aur momentum indicators mein potential developments ko bhi monitor karna chahiye, taake pair ke agle directional move ka idea mil sake.

EUR/USD Ke Ahm Nuqte

Aaj EUR/USD market sellers ke haf mein ja raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Price ne pehle hi 1.1061 level ko touch kar liya hai, aur aage bhi decline ka potential hai. Yeh decline correction process ka hissa ho sakta hai kyunki EUR/USD market pehle se consistently upar ja raha tha. Is market concept ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke EUR/USD market aage bhi neeche ja sakta hai aur 1.1032 level ko break kar sakta hai. Washington session mein market activity barh sakti hai, aur price 1.1032 level ko hit kar sakti hai. Is hisaab se, trading preferences ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai.




Trading Overview

Is market concept ke mutabiq, EUR/USD market apni downward trajectory ko continue karne ka imkaan hai aur shayad 1.1032 level ko bhi break kar de. Yeh level sellers ke liye ek potential target hai, aur agar yeh break hota hai, to bearish activity tez ho sakti hai. Khaaskar Washington session, jo ke zyada volatility aur market movement ke liye jaana jaata hai, price ko is key level ki taraf aur push kar sakti hai. Technical factors aur market sentiment ke combination se lagta hai ke downside pressure session ke doran barqarar rahega. Traders ko apni trading preferences ko is bearish trend ke sath align karna zaroori hai. Market ke lower move ke sath selling opportunities mil sakti hain, magar risk management bhi zaroori hai, khaaskar jab price key support levels jaise 1.1032 ke qareeb ho. Washington session ke doran news aur economic events ko monitor karna bhi ahm hai, kyunki kisi bhi ghafal development se market ka behavior influence ho sakta hai. Isliye, EUR/USD market ab sellers ke haf mein hai aur 1.1032 level ke break ka potential nazar aa raha hai. Aaj ke market ko successfully navigate karne ke liye trading preferences ko is bearish trend ke sath align karna essential hai.

EUR/USD Ke Haal Ke Halaat

EUR/USD currency pair Monday ke Asian session mein 1.1090 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, pichle session ke losses se recover karne ki koshish mein. Lekin, EUR/USD ke upar ke potential ko limit kiya ja sakta hai latest Eurozone inflation data ki wajah se, jo ECB ke agle policy meeting mein rate cut ki umeed ko barhata hai. Headline inflation 2% ke qareeb hai aur long-term inflation expectations bhi is level ke aas-paas barqarar hain, jo ECB ko apni monetary policy ko aage bhi ease karne ka strong justification deti hain. Pichle hafte mixed Eurozone GDP data ne bhi rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhaya hai. Dusri taraf, Friday ko release hui US economic data ne September meeting mein Federal Reserve ke sharp rate cut ke chances ko shak mein daal diya hai. US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ne report kiya ke August mein nonfarm payrolls (NFP) ne 142,000 jobs add kiye, jo ke estimates se zyada hai aur revised downward figure 89,000 se behtar hai. Is ke sath, unemployment rate bhi expected 4.2% tak gir gaya hai.




CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market ka pura expectation hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein kam se kam 25 basis points ka rate cut karega. 50 basis points ka rate cut ka imkaan thoda kam hoke 29.0% ho gaya hai, jabke ek haftah pehle yeh 30.0% tha. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsby ne indicate kiya hai ke Fed officials ab broad market sentiment ke sath align ho rahe hain jo potential rate adjustment ke hawale se hai. Euro ne 13 mahine ke high 1.1200 se teen din ke losses ke baad recover kiya hai. Price ab 20-day simple moving average (SMA) aur 1.1050 area ke support ke qareeb hai, jabke technical oscillators thoda improvement show kar rahe hain. Stochastic oversold zone mein upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur RSI 50 level ke upar hai. Agar market apni bullish structure ko barqarar rakhti hai aur 1.1050 level ke upar rehti hai, to yeh pehle ke high 1.1200 ko challenge kar sakti hai. Bulls July 2023 ke peak 1.1275 ko bhi surpass kar sakte hain. Agar market aur neeche girti hai, to yeh 1.0870 level tak ja sakti hai, aur 200-day moving average ko 1.0850 pe test kar sakti hai.

EUR/USD Trading Analysis

Friday ko EUR/USD market pair par sellers ka control raha, jo buyers ki bullish movement ko rok kar prices ko control mein rakhne mein kamiyab rahe. Sellers ne 1.1123-1.1120 ke resistance area ko barqarar rakha, jis se bullish pressure fail ho gaya aur sellers ne bearish pressure laga kar prices ko neeche girane ka control hasil kar liya.

Daily time frame mein Moving Average indicator ka use karte hue dekha gaya ke price ya candle ab bhi MA 50 Red area (1.0953-1.0950) ke upar hai, lekin sellers ke end-of-week trading mein dominance aur bearish Pin Bar candlestick formation ke saath, sellers ko aaj bhi trading par control barqarar rakhne ka mauka milta hai, jiska agla bearish target MA 50 Red area ki taraf hai.

Monday ko Asian session se lekar European session tak trading mein, lagta hai ke price ab bhi sellers ke control mein hai jo buyers ko pichay chhod kar bearish movement shuru kar rahe hain. Sab se nazdeek target buyers ke support area 1.1081-1.1080 ko test karna hai, jo agar strongly penetrate ho gaya to bearish opportunity ka deeper level khul sakta hai, agla target buyers ke demand support area 1.1047-1.1045 ke paas hoga.




Conclusion:

Agar price sellers ke resistance area ko successfully penetrate kar leti hai, to buy trading options ki ja sakti hai. Pending buy stop order ko 1.1092-1.1095 ke area par place karen aur TP area 1.1123-1.1125 rakhen.

Agar price buyers ke support area ko successfully penetrate kar leti hai, to sell trading options bhi ki ja sakti hai. Pending sell stop order ko 1.1082-1.1080 ke area par place karen aur TP area 1.1045-1.1043 rakhen.

EUR/USD Pair Analysis: Friday’s Movement and Monday’s Outlook

Friday ko EUR/USD pair ne ek typical movement dikhayi. Price puri European trading session ke dauran stagnant rahi, aur phir U.S. session ke shuru hone par ek emotional outburst dekhne ko mila. Is waqt U.S. ne NonFarm Payrolls, unemployment levels, aur average earnings reports publish kiye. In reports ko seedha interpret karna mushkil hai kyunki unemployment rate ghata, lekin forecast ke andar; NonFarms ka number forecast se thoda kam tha, magar pehle ke value se zyada; wages tez hui, jo Federal Reserve ke aggressive monetary policy easing ke chances ko kuch kam karta hai. Market ne in data ko "conditionally positive" samjha, aur dollar thoda utha. Lekin, ye reports dollar ke liye koi notable prospects nahi deti. Labor market aur unemployment data ab bhi desired level par nahi hain, jo Fed ko key rate kam karne par majboor kar sakti hain. Market ne ye "once or twice" already price in kar rakha hai, lekin phir bhi ek zyada aggressive monetary policy easing ki ummeed rakhti hai.

Friday ko 5-minute time frame par shuru mein ek flat movement thi, uske baad turbulence aayi. U.S. trading session ke dauran, novice traders sirf 1.1132 ke level ke aas-paas do sell signals par kaam kar sakte the, kyunki ye sabse accurate the. Lekin, macroeconomic background ka impact itna strong tha ke 1.1132 level ko cross kiya gaya. 1.1091 ke level ke aas-paas chaar trading signals bane, lekin sab inaccurate aur contradictory the.

Monday Ke Liye Trading Strategy:

Hourly time frame mein EUR/USD pair ne ascending trend line ke neeche consolidate kiya hai aur pehli baar ek downward trend form karne ka mauka hai jo logical aur sab factors aur analysis ke sath consistent hai. Afsoos, illogical dollar sales downward correction ke baad jaldi resume ho sakti hain, kyunki kisi ko nahi pata market kitni der tak Fed ki monetary policy easing ko price in karta rahega, jo abhi shuru nahi hui. Market ne Fed ke future rate cuts ko almost price in kar rakha hai, aur U.S. macroeconomic data aksar disappoint karte hain.





Monday ko novice traders kisi bhi direction mein movements expect kar sakte hain. Halankeh downtrend ab bhi barqarar hai, latest U.S. labor market data disappoint karne wale rahe hain.

5-minute time frame ke key levels hain: 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1048, 1.1091, 1.1132, 1.1191, 1.1275-1.1292. Monday ko Eurozone aur U.S. ke liye koi significant events ya reports scheduled nahi hain. Isliye, volatility low ho sakti hai aur movements predominantly flat rah sakti hain.