𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD

EUR/USD ka rate 1.1200 ke qareeb barh raha hai jabke Euro mein izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai, halankeh Eurozone ki ma'ashi growth ke baare mein pareshaniyan barh rahi hain. Umeed hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) is saal ke baqi do policy meetings mein se kisi ek mein shaid interest rates ko kam karega.

US Dollar ke liye agla bara trigger Friday ko August ka core PCE inflation data hoga. EUR/USD ne Wednesday ke European session mein apni upar ki taraf ke safar ko jaari rakha, jabke major currency pair tab barha jab US Dollar (USD) pressure mein aaya. Yeh is liye tha ke investors ka risk appetite behtar hua, jab China ne apni economy ko sambhalne ke liye massive stimulus plans ka elan kiya.

China ke is stimulus ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke November mein badi rate cut ki umeed bhi US Dollar ko peeche rakh rahi hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe major currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, Wednesday ko thoda barh gaya magar phir bhi 100.20 ke saal ke low ke qareeb hai.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke 50 basis points (bps) se interest rates kam karne ki umeed 60% tak barh gayi hai, jo pichle hafte 37% thi. Fed ne September 18 ko policy easing cycle shuru kiya, jab unhone 50 bps ka aik bada rate cut kiya, kyunki unhein labor demand ke girne ki pareshani thi.

Is hafte US Dollar ke liye major trigger US core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data hoga, jo Friday ko publish hoga. Umeed hai ke underlying inflation measure 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% ho jayega.

Fed ke pasandida inflation measure se pehle, investors US Durable Goods Orders par bhi nazar rakhenge, jo Thursday ko publish honge. Umeed hai ke Durable Goods ke naye orders 2.6% tak gir jayenge, jabke pichle mahine yeh 9.8% ki behtari par the.

EUR/USD ne 1.1200 ke key resistance par barhne ka iraada rakha hai. Yeh major currency pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas strong buying interest dekhte hue tezi se recovery ki hai, jo 1.1100 par hai.

Agar yeh major currency pair Rising Channel chart pattern ke breakout ko banaye rakhti hai, to iska outlook mazboot rahega, khaaskar psychological support 1.1000 ke aas-paas.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.00 par hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke momentum kamzor ho raha hai.

Upar ki taraf, agar 1.1200 ka resistance decisively break hota hai, to yeh July 2023 ke high 1.1276 ki taraf aur izafa karega. Neeche ki taraf, 1.1000 ka psychological level aur July 17 ka high jo 1.0950 ke aas-paas hai, major support zones hain.

Technical Analysis aur Trading Plan for EUR/USD

Is waqt, EUR/USD pair mein buying push kaafi zyada hai, isliye agle trading plan ke liye main sell option par buy option ko tarjeeh deta hoon. Yeh trend dekh kar lagta hai ke abhi bhi market mein upar ki taraf chalne ki kafi potential hai. Halankeh, re-entry ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke hum price ke upar move hone ka intezar karein jab tak yeh 1.1125 ke resistance zone ko todta hai. Yeh ek critical level hai, aur agar price isse break karta hai to yeh bullish momentum ko mazid taqat de sakta hai.

Jab candlestick is resistance level ke upar close hoti hai aur isay support level bana leti hai, to yeh bullish trend ki continuation ka mazboot nishani hoti hai. Is wajah se, 1.1125 ka level mere liye ek important milestone hai. Agar price is level ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to iske baad trading opportunities khulengi.
BUY Entry Zone


BUY entry zone ke liye, main price level 1.1136 par position kholne ki soch raha hoon. Yeh level aisa hai jahan mujhe lagta hai ke buying momentum phir se active ho sakta hai. Is level par entry lene ke baad, pehla target 1.1183 ke area mein rakhunga. Yeh level bhi kaafi significant hai aur yahan tak pohanchne par mujhe yeh dekhna hoga ke market ka reaction kya hota hai.

Agar yeh area bhi tod diya gaya to main doosra BUY trading level 1.1192 par intezar karunga. Yeh do targets isliye rakhe gaye hain kyunki market ke fluctuations ke doran hamesha flexibility zaroori hoti hai. Har trade mein stop loss (SL) lagbhag 35 pips ka rakha jayega. Yeh isliye hai taake kisi bhi sudden price movement se loss minimize ho sake.
Market ki Current Condition


General taur par, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD ki price movements abhi bhi bullish rahengi. Market ki jo current condition hai, usmein buying momentum kaafi strong hai. Agar hum market ke historical data ko dekhein to yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan move karta hai. Is liye, agar Euro thoda decline karta hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ke level par hoga.
4-Hour Chart Analysis


Agar hum 4-hour chart par nazar daalein, to wahan bhi bulls apne positions ko banaye rakh rahe hain aur upward movement ka potential hai. Technical indicators is trend mein kisi bhi foran rukawat ka ishara nahi dete. Price 1.1068 par 25% support level ke thoda upar hai aur 1/1 angle ke upar bhi hai, jo general upward trend ko darshata hai. Lekin, yeh bull market mein kuch kamzori bhi dikhata hai, jo hamesha traders ko cautious rehne ki salahiyat deta hai.

Peer ko, Euro ne North American trading mein halka sa rebound dekha jabke Asian session ke doran isne khaas nuqsan uthaya. 1.11 ka level short-term charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Tareekh ki roshni mein, EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan harkat karta hai, isliye agar Euro mein kami jaari rahti hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ka level hoga.
1.10 ka mark pehle ek ahm support area ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche chala gaya, to yeh ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hoti hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, yeh pair choppy aur sideways action ka shikar hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par dhyan dena chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se asar انداز hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive bana deti hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke marahil se guzar rahe hain, jo market dynamics ko aur bhi pechida banata hai.

Is environment mein, Euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan ek saaf long-term winner tay karna mushkil hai. Isliye, ek zyada strategic approach yeh ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ka andaza lagaya jaye aur isay doosri currency pairs par lagoo kiya jaye. Misal ke tor par, agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein taqatwar hota raha, to dollar ko kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna behtar ho sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye, yeh zyada munasib hoga ke isay short-term chart analysis ke liye dekha jaye, dekhte hue market ki volatility aur price level ke utar-chadhav.

Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjo deni chahiye. Yeh levels ahm support aur resistance points hain aur yeh short-term trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Market ki in key levels

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD

EUR/USD ka rate 1.1200 ke qareeb barh raha hai jabke Euro mein izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai, halankeh Eurozone ki ma'ashi growth ke baare mein pareshaniyan barh rahi hain. Umeed hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) is saal ke baqi do policy meetings mein se kisi ek mein shaid interest rates ko kam karega.

US Dollar ke liye agla bara trigger Friday ko August ka core PCE inflation data hoga. EUR/USD ne Wednesday ke European session mein apni upar ki taraf ke safar ko jaari rakha, jabke major currency pair tab barha jab US Dollar (USD) pressure mein aaya. Yeh is liye tha ke investors ka risk appetite behtar hua, jab China ne apni economy ko sambhalne ke liye massive stimulus plans ka elan kiya.

China ke is stimulus ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke November mein badi rate cut ki umeed bhi US Dollar ko peeche rakh rahi hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe major currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, Wednesday ko thoda barh gaya magar phir bhi 100.20 ke saal ke low ke qareeb hai.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke 50 basis points (bps) se interest rates kam karne ki umeed 60% tak barh gayi hai, jo pichle hafte 37% thi. Fed ne September 18 ko policy easing cycle shuru kiya, jab unhone 50 bps ka aik bada rate cut kiya, kyunki unhein labor demand ke girne ki pareshani thi.

Is hafte US Dollar ke liye major trigger US core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data hoga, jo Friday ko publish hoga. Umeed hai ke underlying inflation measure 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% ho jayega.

Fed ke pasandida inflation measure se pehle, investors US Durable Goods Orders par bhi nazar rakhenge, jo Thursday ko publish honge. Umeed hai ke Durable Goods ke naye orders 2.6% tak gir jayenge, jabke pichle mahine yeh 9.8% ki behtari par the.

EUR/USD ne 1.1200 ke key resistance par barhne ka iraada rakha hai. Yeh major currency pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas strong buying interest dekhte hue tezi se recovery ki hai, jo 1.1100 par hai.

Agar yeh major currency pair Rising Channel chart pattern ke breakout ko banaye rakhti hai, to iska outlook mazboot rahega, khaaskar psychological support 1.1000 ke aas-paas.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.00 par hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke momentum kamzor ho raha hai.

Upar ki taraf, agar 1.1200 ka resistance decisively break hota hai, to yeh July 2023 ke high 1.1276 ki taraf aur izafa karega. Neeche ki taraf, 1.1000 ka psychological level aur July 17 ka high jo 1.0950 ke aas-paas hai, major support zones hain.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD
Peer ko, Euro ne North American trading mein halka sa rebound dekha jabke Asian session ke doran isne khaas nuqsan uthaya. 1.11 ka level short-term charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Tareekh ki roshni mein, EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan harkat karta hai, isliye agar Euro mein kami jaari rahti hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ka level hoga.
1.10 ka mark pehle ek ahm support area ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche chala gaya, to yeh ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hoti hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, yeh pair choppy aur sideways action ka shikar hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par dhyan dena chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se asar انداز hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive bana deti hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke marahil se guzar rahe hain, jo market dynamics ko aur bhi pechida banata hai.
Is environment mein, Euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan ek saaf long-term winner tay karna mushkil hai. Isliye, ek zyada strategic approach yeh ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ka andaza lagaya jaye aur isay doosri currency pairs par lagoo kiya jaye. Misal ke tor par, agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein taqatwar hota raha, to dollar ko kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna behtar ho sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye, yeh zyada munasib hoga ke isay short-term chart analysis ke liye dekha jaye, dekhte hue market ki volatility aur price level ke utar-chadhav.
Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjo deni chahiye. Yeh levels ahm support aur resistance points hain aur yeh short-term trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Market ki in key levels par sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions se barh jati hai. Jab ECB aur Federal Reserve apne easing measures jaari rakhte hain, to yeh pair zyada volatility ka shikar hoga, jo short-term trades ko long-term positions se zyada faida mand banata hai. Traders ko hamesha ehtiyaat aur chust rehna chahiye, technical analysis par tawajjo dete hue is waqt ke market environment ko behtar taur par navigate karne ke

Euro ne North American trading mein halka sa rebound dekha jabke Asian session ke doran isne khaas nuqsan uthaya. 1.11 ka level short-term charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Tareekh ki roshni mein, EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan harkat karta hai, isliye agar Euro mein kami jaari rahti hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ka level hoga.
1.10 ka mark pehle ek ahm support area ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche chala gaya, to yeh ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hoti hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, yeh pair choppy aur sideways action ka shikar hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par dhyan dena chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se asar انداز hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive bana deti hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke marahil se guzar rahe hain, jo market dynamics ko aur bhi pechida banata hai.

Is environment mein, Euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan ek saaf long-term winner tay karna mushkil hai. Isliye, ek zyada strategic approach yeh ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ka andaza lagaya jaye aur isay doosri currency pairs par lagoo kiya jaye. Misal ke tor par, agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein taqatwar hota raha, to dollar ko kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna behtar ho sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye, yeh zyada munasib hoga ke isay short-term chart analysis ke liye dekha jaye, dekhte hue market ki volatility aur price level ke utar-chadhav.

Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjo deni chahiye. Yeh levels ahm support aur resistance points hain aur yeh short-term trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Market ki in key levels par sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions se barh jati hai. Jab ECB aur Federal Reserve apne easing measures jaari rakhte hain, to yeh pair zyada volatility ka shikar hoga, jo short-term trades ko long-term positions se zyada faida mand banata hai. Traders ko hamesha ehtiyaat aur chust rehna chahiye, technical analysis par tawajjo dete hue is waqt ke market environment ko behtar taur par navigate karne ke liye

EUR/USD ke D1 timeframe ke mutabiq, hum dekh saktay hain ke is waqt price daily resistance level 1.12001 ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Aaj EUR/USD pair ke liye ek faislay ka waqt hai; is waqt price upper line 1.1201 par hai jo ke daily resistance zone hai. Agar ye zone break ho jata hai, toh pura trend change ho sakta hai. Mere manual marking ke mutabiq, bullish trend 1.1201 ke upar shuru hota hai, yaani agar ye zone break ho jata hai toh upper side ka move shuru ho jayega. Main ye nahi keh sakta ke ye zone bulls ko rokega ya nahi; is waqt behtari yeh hogi ke hum breakthrough ya rebound ko dekh kar faisla karain.
Doosri taraf, agar hum stochastic indicator ko dekhein, toh is se bhi yeh lagta hai ke mazeed rise ka chance hai, lekin is ke liye buyers ko mentioned resistance level ko breakout karna hoga. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke iss hafte ke aakhir mein, jab month close hoga, bulls apni position ko fix karain aur humein ek downward pullback nazar aaye. Lekin yeh sirf mera khayal hai; aap bhi apni raye comments mein share kar saktay hain. Aaj ke liye itna hi.

Moving Average indicator ko Daily time window par dekhte huay, yeh nazar aata hai ke price ya candle abhi bhi MA 50 Red area ke upar hai, jo ke 1.1016-1.1017 ke aas paas hai, aur is ka faasla kal ke trading ke baad aur barh gaya hai. Buyers ne kal ke trading mein apna pura control dikhaya aur price ko upar bullish move karne par majboor kiya. Ek strong bullish candlestick ka ban'na is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke EUR/USD market pair ka bullish trend mazeed barh sakta hai, aur price strong seller supply resistance area 1.1233-1.1235 tak ja sakti hai jo ke abhi tak buyers ne test nahi kiya. Yeh area bullish buyers ka primary target ho sakta hai aaj ke trading ke doran.

Wednesday ke trading session mein, jab European market khulne wali thi, buyers ne phir se market mein entry ki aur prices ko apne control mein rakha. Bullish buyer ka agla target yeh ho sakta hai ke price ko seller resistance area 1.1205-1.1207 tak le jaye. Agar yeh area breakout ho jata hai, toh EUR/USD pair ki price mazeed bullish ho kar 1.1283-1.1285 tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar breakout nahi hota, toh sellers ke paas price ko neeche laane ka mauqa hoga.

EUR-USD H4 Time Frame
Is waqt ka jo upward price trend ka silsila hai, jab ye weekly low area se door move kar raha hai, ye confirm karta hai ke buyers market ko control karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jab ke pehle sellers is mein kamiyab nahi ho sake ke prices ko neeche dhakel sakain aur pehle ke bearish trend ko follow karain, jisme sabse qareebi support level ko target karna tha. Magar agar ye support level paar ho jaye, to mumkin hai ke price is se bhi neeche jaaye aur neeche ke ek aur strong support level ko hit kare.

Akharat mein, ek price strengthening ka dynamic dekha gaya jo qareebi resistance level 1.1182 se aage badh gaya aur 1.1246 area mein ek naya resistance level ban gaya, ye ek mazboot daleel hai ke buyers is waqt waqai mein market ko control kar rahe hain. Phir, agar hum H4 time frame chart ko dekhein to pehle ka price increase last week ke high area ko cross kar gaya aur buyers ne foran is momentum ka faida uthaya ke price ko aur upar dhakel sakein. 5.3.3 stochastic indicator ab bhi ek price increase ka signal dikhata hai.

Is waqt, price ek resistance area mein hai jo jald support ban sakta hai aur candlestick upar move kar rahi hai. Ye buyers ki market mein dominance ko zahir karta hai, aur zyadah imkan hai ke price resistance level ko break kare aur bullish trend ke silsile ko barqarar rakhe. Agar ye level successfully cross ho gaya to price ke aur upar move karne ke chances hain towards bullish target level. Is technical analysis ki buniyad par, EURUSD currency pair ke liye trading plan mein bullish trend ko follow karna ek achi option ho sakti hai jo ke qabil-e-ghor hai.

**EURUSD Market Mein Trading Options "BUY"**

Meri rai mein, jo technical analysis samjhayi gayi hai, uske mutabiq, market ka trend abhi bhi ek kaafi bara buying push lene ka moqa rakhta hai. To agle trading plan ke liye main buy option ko prefer karta hoon, magar behtar hoga ke hum price ko breakout karte hue dekhein jab tak ke ye resistance zone 1.1182 ko paar nahi kar leta. Agar candlestick successful resistance level ke upar jati hai aur usay support banati hai, to ye market mein bullish trend ke silsile ka mazid continuation ka waazeh signal hoga.

Purchase entry zone ke liye, main price ko 1.1202 par place karunga, pehla target 1.1252 area mein hoga aur agar ye area breakout hota hai to doosri purchase trading level par intezar karunga jo ke 1.1283 ka price hoga, har entry ke liye 40 pips ka SL distance rakhoonga.

North American trading mein halka sa rebound dekha jabke Asian session ke doran isne khaas nuqsan uthaya. 1.11 ka level short-term charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Tareekh ki roshni mein, EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan harkat karta hai, isliye agar Euro mein kami jaari rahti hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ka level hoga.
1.10 ka mark pehle ek ahm support area ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche chala gaya, to yeh ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hoti hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, yeh pair choppy aur sideways action ka shikar hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par dhyan dena chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se asar انداز hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive bana deti hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke marahil se guzar rahe hain, jo market dynamics ko aur bhi pechida banata hai.

Is environment mein, Euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan ek saaf long-term winner tay karna mushkil hai. Isliye, ek zyada strategic approach yeh ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ka andaza lagaya jaye aur isay doosri currency pairs par lagoo kiya jaye. Misal ke tor par, agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein taqatwar hota raha, to dollar ko kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna behtar ho sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye, yeh zyada munasib hoga ke isay short-term chart analysis ke liye dekha jaye, dekhte hue market ki volatility aur price level ke utar-chadhav.

Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjo deni chahiye. Yeh levels ahm support aur resistance points hain aur yeh short-term trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Market ki in key levels par sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions se barh jati hai. Jab ECB aur Federal Reserve apne easing measures jaari rakhte hain, to yeh pair zyada volatility ka shikar hoga, jo short-term tr

EUR/USD Daily Chart

Pair apni latest trading session mein relatively steady raha, aur guzishta 24 ghanton mein zyada tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi. Traders ka ab focus baday events par hai, jese ke US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data ka release. Is wajah se pair mein ek modest uptick dekha gaya. Market participants pehle yeh umeed kar rahe the ke pichlay haftay ke US economic data se yeh wazeh hoga ke Federal Reserve (Fed) is mahine ke akhri mein 50-basis-point ka aggressive rate cut karega ya phir 25-basis-point cut ke sath hi rahega. Lekin abhi tak yeh sawal hal nahi ho saka, aur abhi ke market pricing choti cut ke favor mein hai, jo ke DXY ko kuch support de raha hai.

Friday ke European trading hours ke dauran, pair 1.1160 mark se upar chala gaya lekin apna upward momentum qaim nahi rakh saka. Crucial resistance level 1.1200 ko break karne mein nakam raha, jo yeh signal de raha hai ke Euro bulls ki momentum kamzor ho rahi hai. Near-term outlook shared currency ke liye uncertain ho gaya hai, kyun ke pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche drop kar gaya hai, jo ab takreeban 1.1069 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh technical development yeh dikhata hai ke EUR/USD apne recent gains ko qaim rakhne mein mushkilat ka samna kar sakta hai.

Price behavior ko dekh kar lagta hai ke EUR/USD aage barhne se katra raha hai. Is area mein ek wazeh accumulation pattern ban gaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke price ko current maximum se upar push karne mein dilchaspi mein kami hai. Agar yeh baat durust hai aur current sideways channel ka upper boundary likely nahi hai, to focus neechey ke levels par ho sakta hai. Is soorat mein market neechey ki taraf move kar sakti hai, aur price neechey ja kar liquidity ko capture karne ki koshish karegi jo ke 1.1120 ke aas paas accumulated hai. Agar meri assumptions theek hain, to EUR/USD pair bearish trend follow karte hue neechey ki taraf move kar sakta hai, us level tak jahan significant amounts of money accumulate ho rahi hai, yaani 1.1120 ke aas paas. Market ka reaction dekhna akhir din tak insight de sakta hai aglay steps ke liye, lekin agar koi significant movement nahi hoti, to hasty decisions lene se bachna zaroori hoga.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD

EUR/USD ka rate 1.1200 ke qareeb barh raha hai jabke Euro mein izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai, halankeh Eurozone ki ma'ashi growth ke baare mein pareshaniyan barh rahi hain. Umeed hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) is saal ke baqi do policy meetings mein se kisi ek mein shaid interest rates ko kam karega.

US Dollar ke liye agla bara trigger Friday ko August ka core PCE inflation data hoga. EUR/USD ne Wednesday ke European session mein apni upar ki taraf ke safar ko jaari rakha, jabke major currency pair tab barha jab US Dollar (USD) pressure mein aaya. Yeh is liye tha ke investors ka risk appetite behtar hua, jab China ne apni economy ko sambhalne ke liye massive stimulus plans ka elan kiya.

China ke is stimulus ke ilawa, Federal Reserve (Fed) ke November mein badi rate cut ki umeed bhi US Dollar ko peeche rakh rahi hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe major currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, Wednesday ko thoda barh gaya magar phir bhi 100.20 ke saal ke low ke qareeb hai.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke 50 basis points (bps) se interest rates kam karne ki umeed 60% tak barh gayi hai, jo pichle hafte 37% thi. Fed ne September 18 ko policy easing cycle shuru kiya, jab unhone 50 bps ka aik bada rate cut kiya, kyunki unhein labor demand ke girne ki pareshani thi.

Is hafte US Dollar ke liye major trigger US core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data hoga, jo Friday ko publish hoga. Umeed hai ke underlying inflation measure 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% ho jayega.

Fed ke pasandida inflation measure se pehle, investors US Durable Goods Orders par bhi nazar rakhenge, jo Thursday ko publish honge. Umeed hai ke Durable Goods ke naye orders 2.6% tak gir jayenge, jabke pichle mahine yeh 9.8% ki behtari par the.

EUR/USD ne 1.1200 ke key resistance par barhne ka iraada rakha hai. Yeh major currency pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas strong buying interest dekhte hue tezi se recovery ki hai, jo 1.1100 par hai.

Agar yeh major currency pair Rising Channel chart pattern ke breakout ko banaye rakhti hai, to iska outlook mazboot rahega, khaaskar psychological support 1.1000 ke aas-paas.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.00 par hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke momentum kamzor ho raha hai.

Upar ki taraf, agar 1.1200 ka resistance decisively break hota hai, to yeh July 2023 ke high 1.1276 ki taraf aur izafa karega. Neeche ki taraf, 1.1000 ka psychological level aur July 17 ka high jo 1.0950 ke aas-paas hai, major support zones hain.

EUR/USD daily chart par pair apni latest trading session mein kaafi had tak stable raha, aur guzishta 24 ghanton mein zyada tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi. Ab traders apna dihan aane wale ahm events par markooz kar rahe hain, jaise ke US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data ka izhara. Iss wajah se pair mein halka sa izafa dekha gaya hai. Market mein pehle umeed thi ke guzishta haftay ka US economic data wazeh karega ke Federal Reserve (Fed) iss maheene ke akhir mein zyada aggressive 50-basis-point rate cut karega ya phir chhoti 25-basis-point cut tak mehdood rahega. Lekin yeh masla abhi tak hal nahi ho saka hai, aur market mein pricing ab bhi chhoti cut ki taraf jhuki hui hai, jo DXY ko kuch support de rahi hai. Jumme ke din European trading hours ke dauran, pair 1.1160 mark ke upar chadh gaya tha, lekin apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam raha. Pair crucial resistance level 1.1200 ko torne mein nakam raha, jo ke Euro bulls ke liye shayad kamzori ka ishara hai. Short-term mein yeh shared currency ke liye uncertainty hai, kyun ke pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo filhal 1.1069 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh technical development is baat ka ishara karti hai ke EUR/USD apne recent gains ko barqarar rakhne mein muskilat ka samna kar sakta hai.

Iss trading instrument, EUR/USD, ki price ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke price ko mazeed upar le jane mein reluctance hai. Ek wazeh accumulation pattern is area mein ban gaya hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke current maximum ke upar price push karne mein zyada dilchaspi nahi hai. Agar yeh baat durust hai, aur current sideways channel ke upper boundary tak pohanchna mumkin nahi lagta, to focus neeche ke levels ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Aisi surat mein, market neeche ki taraf jaa sakta hai, aur price ko current levels ke neeche liquidity capture karne ke liye dhakel sakta hai. Agar meri assumptions sahi hain, to EUR/USD pair zyada bearish trend follow kar sakti hai, aur price ko neeche le jaate hue 1.1120 ke aas paas significant accumulation area tak le ja sakti hai. Aaj ke din ke akhir tak market ke andaz ka intizar karna mazeed insight de sakta hai, lekin agar koi khaas movement nazar na aaye, to jaldi mein koi faisla lena durust nahi hoga.

EUR/USD pair apte hafte ke bilkul aaghaz se decline shuru karegi, bawajood iske ke price rebound hui hai channel ke upper border se, aur theory ke mutabiq neeche ki taraf girna chahiye channel ki neeche wali boundary tak jo tumne draw ki thi. Phir bhi, mujhe umeed hai ke pair grow karegi, kyun ke signal sirf H1 par bana tha, aur yeh ek do din tak operation mein reh sakta hai. Monday ke din ke end tak pair sirf H1 par overloaded hogi, uske baad rollback hoga. Lekin agar EUR/USD pair apne support aur reference point 1.1100 ke neeche consolidate kar leti hai, jahan yeh filhal khadi hai, to hum 1.1065 tak girawat ko dekh sakte hain, aur yeh pair ko H1 par south ki taraf le jayega. Signal ke minimum ko work out karte hue, pair 4-hour chart ke already overloaded hone ki wajah se reversal shuru karegi, aur phir hum girawat ka intezar karenge.

Agar hum 4-hour chart par nazar daalein, to wahan bhi bulls apne positions ko banaye rakh rahe hain aur upward movement ka potential hai. Technical indicators is trend mein kisi bhi foran rukawat ka ishara nahi dete. Price 1.1068 par 25% support level ke thoda upar hai aur 1/1 angle ke upar bhi hai, jo general upward trend ko darshata hai. Lekin, yeh bull market mein kuch kamzori bhi dikhata hai, jo hamesha traders ko cautious rehne ki salahiyat deta hai.
Is waqt market ka trend bullish hai, lekin hamesha yeh zaroori hota hai ke kisi bhi potential reversal ya bearish trend ke liye tayar rahein. Technical analysis ke zariye, traders ko yeh samajhna hoga ke market kis taraf ja raha hai aur kis level par unhein entry aur exit karna hai.
Economic Indicators ka Asar


Economic indicators bhi is market ki movement par asar daal rahe hain. Eurozone ki economic data, jo business activity aur growth prospects ko darshata hai, kabhi kabhi market ke direction ko tay karta hai. Jaise ke abhi, Eurozone mein business activity September mein na ummed ke mutabiq ghat gayi. Yeh masail services aur manufacturing sectors mein dekhne ko mil rahe hain, jo ke growth prospects ko khatar mein dalte hain.

Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), jo S&P Global ne tayyar kiya, 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo February ke baad pehli baar contraction ko darshata hai. Yeh kami kamzor demand aur Germany aur France jese bade economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se hui hai. Is wajah se market mein speculation barh gaya hai ke European Central Bank shayad apne policy easing ke liye kuch kadam utha sakta hai.
Trading Strategy


Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/USD mein bullish momentum abhi bhi bana rahega. Yeh zaroori hai ke traders technical analysis ke zariye key levels par focus karein aur market ke trends ko dhyan se samjhein. Agar price 1.1125 ke resistance level ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh bullish trend ko mazboot karega. Is point par entry lene se yeh umeed hai ke price 1.1183 aur 1.1192 ke targets tak pohanch sakta hai

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**EUR/USD M5 Chart**

Daily timeframe mein naya trading hafta girawat ke sath shuru hua, lekin ye ab tak trend reversal ka ishaara nahi deta. Chaliye D1 period chart par nazar daalte hain - EUR/USD currency pair. Wave structure ab bhi upar ki taraf ban raha hai, aur MACD indicator kharidari ke upper zone mein hai. Pichle trading hafte mein market mulitdirectional raha, lekin aakhir mein kharidaaron ka haath tha. Ek girawat ki koshish hui aur horizontal support level 1.1111 ke neeche band karne ki koshish hui, lekin price wahan nahi tik sakti aur sirf ek spike chhodi. Us din se wahaan se kharidari hui. Shayad, price pichle August ka maximum update karne ja rahi hai aur iski poori sambhavana hai kyunki price un peak ke nazdeek hai. Agar ye maximum ke paar nikalti hai, to price zyada door nahi jaegi kyunki is surat mein MACD indicator par bearish divergence banegi, aur shayad dusre CCI indicator par bhi. Ye ab upper overheating zone mein hai. Kya maximum ke paar nikalne ka mauqa milega ya nahi, general haalaton ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke nazdeek mustaqbil mein price neechay ki taraf chalegi jo ke daily waves ke lower bottoms par bana hai. Aur agar ye line nahi tikti, to phir se main horizontal support level 1.1010 tak girawat ka intezaar hai, jahan se price haal hi mein upar gayi thi jab ye chhuyi. Ye current September ka minimum hai. Ek door ka target level 1.0955 hai, ye sirf daily nahi balki weekly bhi hai, mujhe nazdeek ke mustaqbil mein price is se neeche nahi nazar aata. Bilkul, pehle ye maximum ke paar le ja sakte hain, lekin agar ye hota hai, to mere khayal se ye sirf behtar prices dene ka mauqa hoga taake behtar prices par becha ja sake. Aam news package 16-45 Moscow waqt par: US Manufacturing PMI, US Composite PMI from S&P Global, US Services PMI.


Pichli raat buyer candlestick ko nahi upar kar sakha kyunki ek neechi correction hui jisse market ne girawat jari rakhi. Aaj price ab bhi thodi neechi hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke buyer ab bhi price ko upar le jane ki koshish kar sakta hai. Choti time frame chart, jaise 4-hour timeframe par dekhne par, price ne simple moving average zone of period 100 ko subah tak cross kiya. Pichle hafte ki trading period se lekar ab tak, USD/CAD market mein bohot hi stable bullish journey hai, iska matlab hai ke ek bullish candlestick bani hai jo ye dikhati hai ke buyers ka control sellers ke muqable mein zyada hai. Is waqt hum ab bhi ek ideal area dhoondhne ki tayyari kar sakte hain taake Buy position khol sakein. Buyers ki ability ke sath price ko opening position se door le jana, ye valid signal dene ka mauqa hoga agar price resistance area 1.1145 ko cross kar le. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle kuch dinon mein bullish side ki taraf journey ho sakti hai agar hum daily time frame se dekhte hain kyunki yeh lagta hai ke trend stable hai. Toh main sirf EUR/USD market mein Buy position kholne ka mauqa dhoondhne par concentrate kar raha hoon. Price mein izafa aaj raat tak bhi dekha ja sakta hai.

Peer ko, Euro ne North American trading mein halka sa rebound dekha jabke Asian session ke doran isne khaas nuqsan uthaya. 1.11 ka level short-term charts par mazboot support faraham kar raha hai, jo market ke liye ek ahm psychological zone hai. Tareekh ki roshni mein, EUR/USD aksar bade round numbers ke darmiyan harkat karta hai, isliye agar Euro mein kami jaari rahti hai, to agla logical target 1.10 ka level hoga.
1.10 ka mark pehle ek ahm support area ke tor par kaam kar chuka hai, aur agar Euro is level ke neeche chala gaya, to yeh ek mazboot bottom banne ki nishani ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar market recover hoti hai, to 1.12 ka level resistance ke tor par kaam karega. Filhal, yeh pair choppy aur sideways action ka shikar hai, isliye traders ko in key round numbers par dhyan dena chahiye jab market inke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is pair ki technical nature, jo high liquidity aur strong options market se asar انداز hai, in levels ko khaas tor par sensitive bana deti hai. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur U.S. Federal Reserve dono monetary easing ke marahil se guzar rahe hain, jo market dynamics ko aur bhi pechida banata hai.

Is environment mein, Euro aur U.S. dollar ke darmiyan ek saaf long-term winner tay karna mushkil hai. Isliye, ek zyada strategic approach yeh ho sakti hai ke U.S. dollar ki taqat ka andaza lagaya jaye aur isay doosri currency pairs par lagoo kiya jaye. Misal ke tor par, agar dollar Euro ke muqablay mein taqatwar hota raha, to dollar ko kisi tez chalne wali ya exotic currency ke khilaf trade karna behtar ho sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ke liye, yeh zyada munasib hoga ke isay short-term chart analysis ke liye dekha jaye, dekhte hue market ki volatility aur price level ke utar-chadhav.

Eurozone aur U.S. economies mein uncertainties ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko EUR/USD pair mein 1.10 aur 1.12 levels par khaas tawajjo deni chahiye. Yeh levels ahm support aur resistance points hain aur yeh short-term trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Market ki in key levels par sensitivity central bank policies aur global economic conditions se barh jati hai. Jab ECB aur Federal Reserve apne easing measures jaari rakhte hain, to yeh pair zyada volatility ka shikar hoga, jo short-term trades ko long-term positions se zyada faida mand banata hai. Traders ko hamesha ehtiyaat aur chust rehna chahiye, technical analysis par tawajjo dete hue is waqt ke market environment ko behtar taur par navigate karne ke liye.