𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD Price Move

EUR/USD currency pair ki price action ka analysis aur discussion karne ja rahe hain. Hamare currency pair ki situation mein intriguing scenario hai, jab price apne upward trajectory ko continue kar raha hai, local ceiling ko 1.1132 par push kar raha hai. Technical correction ab imminent lag raha hai. Is evening, US Federal Reserve minutes ki release significant impact kar sakti hai, jabki economic calendar Europe se noteworthy events nahi dikha raha hai. Isliye, hamare pair aur other major currencies holding pattern mein hain. Key factor ko pehle higher H4 time frame par analyze kiya gaya tha, jahan Fibonacci range 100-161.7 mein development dikha. Intraday pivot points horizontal dotted lines ke roop mein hain, aur 1.1165 par bounce dekhna beneficial ho sakta hai. Price Action method is scenario mein candle configuration ko analyze karne mein madad kar sakta hai.

Main indicator ko use karke current price movements ko forecast karna chahta hoon, jo moving average analysis par based hai. Currently, channel upward point kar raha hai, buyers ko sellers par dominance dikha raha hai. Kuch bearish pullbacks ke baad bhi, bulls strong hain aur bears ko control dena nahi chahte hain. Zigzag line ki direction se, opening long positions advisable hai. MACD aur RSI indicators, jo TMA signals ko refine karne mein madad karte hain, long buy zone mein hain. Main 61.7% Fibonacci level par, around 1.11704 par, apne open order ko close karna chahta hoon. Alternate scenarios ko consider karna bhi zaroori hai, sirf downturn ke liye nahi. Next trading session mein increased activity dekhne ko mil sakti hai, recent upward indications ke wajah se. EUR/USD bearish direction mein move kar raha hai, lekin 1.108 par pahunchne se pehle buy karna prudent ho sakta hai. Bearish trend continue nahi ho sakta hai, critical support level par potential reversal bullish side mein

EUR/USD 1.1130 ke qareeb taqat dikha raha hai FOMC minutes ke announcement se pehle July ki monetary policy meeting ka. Fed ne July mein interest rates ko steady rakha eighth time in a row, lekin Jerome Powell ne cuts ke discussions ko acknowledge kiya. ECB September mein policy-easing cycle ko resume karne ki expectation hai.

EUR/USD 1.1130 ke qareeb hovers kar raha hai Wednesday ki European session mein, jo is saal ka highest level hai. Major currency pair 2024 ke highs 1.1140 ko revisit karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jabki US Dollar (USD) growing optimism ke beech mein pressure mein hai Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts ke September mein.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko six major currencies ke khilaf track karta hai, fresh seven-month low ke qareeb 101.30 par hovers kar raha hai. Consistently easing United States (US) inflationary pressures aur cooling labor market conditions ne investors ko convince kiya hai ki Fed September mein interest rates ko reduce karega. Lekin traders split hain ki yeh first interest rate reduction jumbo ya gradual hoga.

CME FedWatch tool shows ki 50-basis-point (bps) interest-rate cut ki likelihood 30.5% hai. Rest expects more nuanced 25-basis-point cut. Wednesday ki session mein, investors FOMC minutes ke July policy meeting par focus karenge, jo 18:00 GMT par publish honge. July meeting mein, Fed ne key borrowing rates ko unchanged chhoda range 5.25%-5.50% mein eighth straight time. Fed ne acknowledge kiya ki scope of risks ne widened hai dual mandate (inflation aur employment) ke dono aspects mein.

Is week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki speech Friday ko Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein - jo Thursday se Saturday tak hold hogi - major event hogi, jo fresh cues provide karegi rate cuts ke September mein. July ki monetary policy announcement ke baad press conference mein, Jerome Powell ne kaha: "Agar hum inflation ko moving down more or less in line with expectations, growth remains reasonably strong, aur labor market remains consistent with current conditions, to main think ki rate cut September meeting mein table par ho sakta hai.”






EUR/USD saal ki high 1.1140 ko approach kar raha hai FOMC minutes ke release se pehle. Major currency pair ne daily time frame par channel formation ka breakout ke baad strengthen kiya. Upward-sloping 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 1.0970 aur 1.0900 par, respectively, suggest ki broad trend bullish hai

Price Action Insights: EUR/USD
Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par ghaur karenge. ECB kal apne Monetary Policy Meeting ka report release karega. ECB aur Fed ne interest rates ko simultaneously lower karne ka faisla kiya hai taaki market disruptions ko minimize kiya ja sake. Volatility ke liye, impact 9 points se lekar 101 points tak ho sakta hai, lekin recent market reactions ke hisab se, volatility upward trend kar raha hai. Pehle meeting mein specifics ki kami thi, lekin is meeting mein zyada clarity provide ki jayegi. Humne do din ke notable intraday movements dekhe hain, jo ki volatility ko dono directions mein dikha raha hai, ultimately growth ko lead karta hai. Sellers likely pair ko current ascending channel ke upper boundary par pahunchne ka wait kar rahe hain taaki favourable price par sell kar sakein. Critical sawal ye hai, purpose kya hai, aur kaun benefit uthayega? Dollar ko bearish pressure ka samna hoga aur U.S. market open hone par weaken ho jayega.

Lekin, ye meri perspective hai, jaise ki niche chart mein dikha hai, jahan long-term sideways movement significant attention kheench raha hai. Hum euro/USD pair ki market situation analyze karte rahe hain. Daily chart ko review karne ke baad, maine ab hourly chart par focus kiya hai. Yahan, humne already sell signal receive kiya hai ascending price channel ke lower boundary 1.1119 par breakdown ke baad. Isne corrective decline ko lead kiya, aur analysis ke hisab se, euro/dollar pair 1.1114 par trading kar raha hai. Technically, pair ko further decline ho sakta hai bearish is level se, potentially 1.1079 par fall kar sakta hai, daily chart ke hisab se. Lekin, main sell karne se hesitant hoon market sentiment chart ke wajah se, jo strong bias towards selling dikha raha hai. Aisi imbalance ke sath, significant player likely price ko upward push karta rahega, corrective declines ya pullbacks ko buy karke

Analysis Update July 25, 2024
Trading Plan Pair EUR/USD

**H4 Hour**
Agar hum H4 chart ko dekhein, toh trend neeche ki taraf hai. Moving Average 50 indicator bhi yeh signal de raha hai kyunki candles zyada tar MA ke neeche hain. EUR/USD ka rally kaafi lamba raha hai, lekin price ne 1.0833 ke demand zone ko touch kiya, jahan se price pehli test mein upar gayi. Ab price dusri dafa demand zone ko test kar rahi hai. Price consolidation mode mein hai aur ab tak demand zone ko break nahi kar payi. Yeh mumkin hai ke price pehle 1.0872 ke level par ek mazboot foothold dhondhe, phir neeche breakout kare. Dusri soorat mein, price aur zyada correct ho sakti hai 1.0917 ke SBR level tak. Chhote arsay mein, EUR/USD dubara weak ho sakti hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator period 5 ke liye, jo pehle level 10 tak gir gaya tha, ab level 30 ke qareeb aa gaya hai, yeh signal de raha hai ke bullish market abhi bhi neeche correct ho raha hai. Simple Moving Average 100 indicator, jo pehle neeche ki taraf move kar raha tha, ab dheere dheere flat ho raha hai, jo yeh signal de raha hai ke bullish trend kamzor ho raha hai aur neeche jaane ka intezaar kar raha hai. Toh yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke in H4 timeframe indicators se zyada tar yeh pata chal raha hai ke market ek continuation phase mein jaane ki koshish kar raha hai, jese ke Simple Moving Average 200 indicator neeche ki taraf turn ho raha hai. Magar mujhe lagta hai ke price pehle thoda upar ki taraf correct karega, takreeban 25 se 35 pips ka range, uske baad market wapas bearish phase mein chala jayega.

**H1 Hour**
Is H1 chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke aaj ke price movements sideways hain, lekin trend jo pehle se form hua hai, usse yeh clear hai ke pehla price movement 1.0833 ke lower low pe breakout ho gaya, jo meri ek reference area hai ke agar yeh weak hota hai toh price ke neeche jaane ke imkanaat barh jaate hain. Aisa lagta hai ke price aur zyada kamzor hoga, jahan lower high 1.0872 par hai, jo nayi lower low dhond raha hai tak ke yeh downtrend pattern abhi tak valid hai. Waqti nayi lower low ka target 1.0749 par hai jo ke July ke aaghaz mein price movement ke support ka area tha.

**Trading Plan Conclusion:**
- Sell entry ke liye, current running price ko bearish engulfing supply area par price 1.0873 par sell kar sakte hain, aur stop loss ko 1.0905 par rakh sakte hain, take profit ka target 1.0750 ho sakta hai.
- Buy entry ke liye, main pending buy limit order 1.0749 par place karoon ga, stop loss 1.0710 par aur take profit 1.0830 par rakhon ga.

EUR/USD currency pair forex market mein sab se zyada dekha jane wala exchange rate hai, jo euro ki value ko US dollar ke muqablay mein represent karta hai. Haal hi mein, yeh pair lagbhag 1.0692 par trade ho raha hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Bearish trend ka matlab hai ke euro US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai, jo traders aur investors ke liye significant implications rakh sakta hai.

Kai factors hain jo EUR/USD pair ke bearish trend ko contribute kar rahe hain. Pehla, Eurozone se economic data US ke muqablay mein kamzor raha hai. Weak economic indicators, jaise ke lower-than-expected GDP growth aur major Eurozone economies jaise Germany aur France mein declining industrial production, ne euro par bojh dala hai. Is economic slowdown ne Eurozone ki economic outlook ke bare mein concerns paida kiye hain, jis ne investors ko US dollar ki relative safety ki taraf dhakel diya hai.

Doosra, European Central Bank (ECB) ne Federal Reserve ke muqablay mein zyada dovish stance maintain kiya hai. Jahan Fed inflation se ladne ke liye interest rates ko raise kar raha hai, ECB zyada ehtiyat se kam le raha hai aur economic growth ko support karne ke liye rates ko lower rakh raha hai. Monetary policy mein is divergence ne US dollar ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana diya hai, kyun ke higher interest rates typically USD denominated investments par higher returns dete hain.

Iske ilawa, geopolitical uncertainties, jaise ke Ukraine mein ongoing conflict aur Russia par economic sanctions, ne euro ke liye investor sentiment ko further dampen kiya hai. Yeh geopolitical risks ne euro mein increased volatility ko lead kiya hai, jis ne investors ko US dollar ke stability ki taraf dhakel diya hai.

EUR/USD pair ke bearish trend ke kai implications ho sakte hain. European exporters ke liye, ek kamzor euro beneficial ho sakta hai kyun ke yeh unke goods ko sasta aur international markets mein zyada competitive banata hai. Magar, consumers aur businesses ke liye jo imported goods par rely karte hain, ek kamzor euro higher costs aur inflationary pressures ko lead kar sakta hai.

Traders ke liye, bearish trend euro ke muqablay mein dollar ko short-selling ke liye opportunities present karta hai. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke economic indicators aur central bank policies ko careful monitoring kiya jaye, kyun ke kisi bhi shifts in economic conditions ya monetary policy stances EUR/USD pair ke direction ko impact kar sakti hain.

In summary, EUR/USD currency pair abhi ek bearish trend experience kar raha hai Eurozone se kamzor economic data, ECB ke dovish stance aur geopolitical uncertainties ki wajah se. Yeh trend traders aur investors ke liye significant implications rakhta hai, jo vigilant market analysis aur strategic positioning ki zaroorat ko highlight karta hai.

US ki na ummeedkan economic data ne euro ko US dollar ke muqablay mein barhawa diya. Ye tabdeeli American economy ke health ke bare mein barhti hui chinta ko darshati hai aur Federal Reserve ke zariye interest rate cuts ke tajawiz ko tez karne ke mumkinahay ko uthaati hai. Key indicators ne ek chinta janak tasawwur diya hai. June mein naukri ka izafa ummeed se kam raha, ADP data ne ye bataya ke naukriyon ki kami zyada tar kam aay ke sectors jaise hospitality aur entertainment mein hui. Initial jobless claims bhi barh gayi, aur ISM ka Services PMI do saal ke sabse niche star par chala gaya. Ye data US economy ke slow hone ka nishan hai, jo dollar ki appeal ko kam karta hai. Jab US dollar ne girawat dekhi, euro ne is mauqe ko pakda aur briefly 1.0800 level ko paar kar gaya. Ye positive jazba mixed European data se barhawa mila. Pan-EU HCOB PMI for June ne ummeed se zyada izafa dikhaya, jo manufacturing activity ki growth ko darshata hai. Lekin, Eurozone mein producer prices May mein zyada contraction dekhne ko mili. Agle kuch dinon mein US Independence Day holiday aur German factory order data currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakti hai. US markets band rahengi, jo trading activity ko patla kar sakti hai. German factory orders May mein rebound hone ki ummeed hai, jo euro ke performance ko aur prabhavit kar sakta hai.

Technical hurdles aur aage ke gains ki potential. Euro ko 1.0788 level aur 200-day moving average par technical resistance ka samna hai. Is zone ke upar decisive break hone se October 2023 ke uptrend line ke 1.0955 tak ki tez chadhai ki raah khul sakti hai. In conclusion, euro kai factors ka faida utha raha hai: US dollar ki kamzori, jo ke slowing US economy aur Fed se accommodative monetary policy ke tajawiz se hai. Lekin, technical resistance levels aur dono US aur Europe mein aane wale economic releases crucial honge, ye dekhne ke liye ke euro ke gains sustain ho sakte hain ya nahi.

### امریکی معیشت کے مایوس کن اعداد و شمار کی وجہ سے یورو کا امریکی ڈالر کے مقابلے میں اضافہ

امریکی معیشت کے مایوس کن اعداد و شمار نے یورو کے مقابلے میں امریکی ڈالر میں اضافے کو جنم دیا ہے۔ اس تبدیلی نے امریکی معیشت کی صحت کے بارے میں بڑھتی ہوئی تشویشات کو ظاہر کیا ہے اور فیڈرل ریزرو کی جانب سے تیزی سے سود کی شرحوں میں کمی کے امکان کو بھی ظاہر کیا ہے۔ اہم اشاروں نے ایک تشویشناک تصویر پیش کی ہے۔ جون میں نوکریوں کی بڑھوتری توقعات سے کم رہی، جس میں ADP کے اعداد و شمار نے نچلے درجے کی تنخواہوں والے شعبوں جیسے ہوٹل اور تفریح میں ملازمت کے نقصانات کا انکشاف کیا۔ ابتدائی بے روزگاری کے دعوے بھی بڑھے، اور آئی ایس ایم کے سروسز پی ایم آئی دو سال کی کم ترین سطح پر پہنچ گئے۔ یہ ڈیٹا امریکی معیشت میں ممکنہ سست روی کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے، جس سے ڈالر کی کشش کم ہوتی ہے۔ امریکی ڈالر کی کمزوری کے ساتھ، یورو نے موقع سے فائدہ اٹھایا اور مختصر وقت کے لئے 1.0800 کی سطح سے تجاوز کیا۔ اس مثبت جذبات کو مخلوط یورپی ڈیٹا نے بھی تقویت دی۔ جون کے لئے پین ای یو ایچ سی او بی پی ایم آئی توقعات سے زیادہ رہا، جو مینوفیکچرنگ سرگرمی میں مسلسل بڑھوتری کی نشاندہی کرتا ہے۔ تاہم، یورو زون میں مئی کے دوران پروڈیوسر کی قیمتیں توقع سے زیادہ گراوٹ کا شکار ہوئیں۔ آنے والی امریکی یومِ آزادی کی تعطیل اور جرمن فیکٹری آرڈر کے ڈیٹا آنے والے دنوں میں کرنسی جوڑے پر اثر انداز ہو سکتے ہیں۔ امریکی مارکیٹیں بند رہیں گی، جس سے تجارت کی سرگرمی کم ہو سکتی ہے۔ جرمن فیکٹری آرڈر مئی میں بہتری کی توقع ہے، جو یورو کی کارکردگی کو مزید متاثر کر سکتا ہے۔
### تکنیکی رکاوٹیں اور مزید اضافے کا امکان
یورو کو 1.0788 کی سطح اور 200 دن کی موونگ ایوریج پر تکنیکی مزاحمت کا سامنا ہے۔ اس زون سے ایک فیصلہ کن بریک اوپر کی جانب اکتوبر 2023 کی اپ ٹرینڈ لائن کے قریب 1.0955 کی طرف تیزی سے اضافہ کے لیے راستہ ہموار کر سکتا ہے۔ مجموعی طور پر، یورو امریکی معیشت میں ممکنہ سست روی کی وجہ سے امریکی ڈالر کی کمزوری، اور فیڈ کی جانب سے نرمی پر مبنی مالیاتی پالیسی کے امکانات سے فائدہ اٹھا رہا ہے۔ تاہم، تکنیکی مزاحمت کی سطح اور امریکہ اور یورپ میں آنے والی معاشی اشاعتیں یہ طے کرنے میں اہم ہوں گی کہ آیا یورو کے اضافے کو برقرار رکھا جا سکتا ہے۔

**EUR/USD, H4**

Yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke aane wale dinon mein markets relatively weak rahengi kai wajahon se. In mein se sabse barhi wajah Independence Day celebrations hain jo US mein hain. Thursday ko. Aur, Wednesday ke UK parliamentary elections aur Friday ke aane wale jobs report bhi cautious atmosphere mein apna hissa daal rahe hain jabke traders euro ke agle move ko assess karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Broader perspective se dekha jaye, euro majors ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha tha: 1.07, 1.08, aur 1.09. Yeh points hot spots ban chuke hain aur market ke recent actions ka zyada tar hissa yahin par hai. Agar recent swing low ke neechay break hota hai, to yeh 1.06 level par wapas aa sakta hai. Magar, filhal traders short-term back-and-forth trading mein masroof lagte hain.

European Central Bank ke recent rate cuts ne pehle hi speculation ko janam diya hai ke kya Federal Reserve bhi yehi raasta ikhtiyar karega. Aane wala jobs report market ke liye aik key indicator hoga, jo yeh affect karega ke Federal Reserve apni policy ko adjust kar sakta hai ya nahi. In key issues par tawajju dena zaroori hai kyun ke inka Euro ke travel par significant impact hai. Maujooda scenario ko dekhte hue, trading short-term options tak limited rah sakti hai, jo is market mein summer trading plans ke typical hai.

Summary mein, Euro relatively volatile hai, aur US aur UK ke important events aane wale dinon mein market ko calm kar sakte hain. Key support aur resistance levels se affected traders ko short-term momentum par focus karna chahiye, aur naye guidance ke liye action report par close eye rakhni chahiye taake caution aur strategy exploitation ki ja sakay.

Price action method ko maine is currency pair ke liye bohot detail mein analyse kiya, focusing on the H4 time frame. Yahan, main bearish engulfing candle configuration ki formation ko demonstrate kar raha hoon. Ek provocative move 1.0769 tak follow hua, aur price anticipated algorithm ko follow karne lagi. Aaj, humne 59 points ka precise development dekha, jo mere nazdeek aik significant result hai. Kuch minutes mein, statistical data US dollar par likely open vacancies in the labour market ko reveal karega, aur thori dair baad Federal Reserve ke head ka speech hoga. European currency ke liye sirf aik news thi: "German consumer price index," jo ke significant changes nahi dikhaya.

EUR/USD pair likely potential movement ko labour market statistics aur Federal Reserve commentary se influenced kar sakta hai. Jab ke bearish trend possible hai, current signals less restricted trading level ki taraf shift suggest karte hain. Traders ko key data releases aur market reactions ko aane wale dinon mein dekhna chahiye, jo ke pair ki direction ko shape karenge.

EURUSD

Agar aap dekhein ke bearish trend pattern kaise rahe hain pichle kuch waqt se, jahan bearish movements ka dominance ek aham trend pattern bana raha hai jahan lower highs aur lower lows nazar aate hain, to mere khayal se EURUSD ki halat MA 200 ko break kar sakti hai aur bearish direction indicator ban sakti hai, ya phir ek sell entry moment bhi ban sakti hai jab ek significant bearish movement MA 200 ko break kare.

Demand area jo ke 1.1029 par tha, wo retracement area banne mein nakam raha kyun ke kal, Tuesday ko jab EURUSD gira, to ye area bhi gir gaya. Support area mein morning star candle ke aane ke bawajood, EURUSD ko upar nahi le ja sakti thi. H1 support ko 1.1029 ke price par penetrate karne se, EURUSD aur bhi zyada gir sakta hai. Ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq, candle ki position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke trend ka bearish hona dikhata hai. Halankeh upar ke signs kehti hain ke EURUSD gir sakta hai, lekin is Wednesday ko meri prediction yeh hai ke wo actually upar jayega kyun ke upper area mein abhi bhi supply maujood hai jo ke bilkul bhi nahi chhuyi gayi, jo ke 1.1120 ke aas-paas hai. Upar ke analysis ko dekhte hue, agar candle MA 200 ko penetrate karti hai to agla movement girne ki taraf hoga, lekin agar ye penetrate nahi hoti to movement dobara upar chala jayega. Kyun ke main abhi bhi predict karta hoon ke GBPUSD upar jayega, isliye main recommend karta hoon ke aap sirf buy positions kholne par focus karein.




Nateejah

Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq EURUSD MA 200 ke asar ko dekhte hue, bullish movement ka MA 200 ke sath response ek interesting direction indicator ban sakta hai, lekin prediction ke hawale se main zyada is baat ko dekhta hoon ke break ka response kaisa hoga, isliye sell option EURUSD ke liye attractive lagti hai MA 200 ke break hone ya significant bearish movement ke neeche hone ka intezar karte hue. Ye moment bullish se bearish trend ka reversal confirm karega aur aage ke zyada significant bearish movement ko trigger karne ki potential rakhta hai, jiska bearish target horizontal line support level 1.0949 ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD: Aham Patterns aur Signals

Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ke analysis ke hawale se hai. Market abhi intizaar kar raha hai ke Fed ke interest rates mein kya tabdeeli aati hai, jab ke kal aane wala Consumer Price Index (CPI) report bhi tawajjo ka markaz hai. Is release ke baad significant movement ki umeed hai. EUR/USD Fed ke faislay tak stagnant nahi rahega. Aap European Central Bank (ECB) ki meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe honge jo ke Thursday ko hone wali hai, ye bhi kaafi relevant hai. Maine forecast calendar ka jaiza liya aur mujhe yeh dekh kar hairani hui ke rate mein 0.6 basis points ki reduction ka plan hai, jisse rate 4.25% se 3.64% par aa jayega. Agar yeh forecast sahi sabit hoti hai, to EUR/USD mein downward movement kum ho sakta hai. Lekin abhi bhi risk hai ke reduction thodi chhoti ho, shayad 0.5 ya 0.2 points tak. Aise case mein EUR/USD mazid taqat hasil kar sakta hai. ECB ki taraf se aisi rate cut dollar ko mazid mazbooti de sakti hai jab ke EUR/USD kamzor ho sakta hai.




Hourly Time Frame Analysis

Agar hum hourly time frame dekhein, to lagta hai ke market mein buying ka sochna munasib hoga. Price abhi bhi 200 moving average ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ke continuation ka signal hai. Kal EUR/USD pair apne daily open se upar chala gaya tha aur din ke akhir mein higher close kiya. Price ne upper Bollinger Band ko bhi touch kiya, jo ke bullish momentum ka indication hai aur growth ke barqarar rehne ki zyada umeed hai. EUR/USD ne 1.1026 ko test kiya, aur potential hai ke price mazid 1.1011 tak gir sakta hai. Agar resistance level 1.1031 break hota hai, to bullish correction shuru ho sakta hai, jo ke weekly growth ka indication hoga. Agar yeh level break nahi hota, to hum ek strong bearish movement dekh sakte hain. Bullish target 1.1081 tak ja sakta hai. Aaj ke Asian session mein hum thoda pullback ya flat movement dekh sakte hain. Agar price flat area mein upar rehti hai, to future growth ka indication ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD Market ka Gahra Jaiza

Hamari tajziya EUR/USD currency pair ki mojooda price performance ka jaiza leta hai. Market is waqt ek pullback correction dekh raha hai jo ke overall bullish trend ke andar hai, aur price movements ahista ahista adjust ho rahi hain. Ek aham level 1.10084 is progression ke raaste mein rukaawat bana hua hai. Tareekhi tor par, ye level ek significant resistance point raha hai, aur is par price ka strong reaction expected hai. Halankeh abhi tak price ne is level ko break nahi kiya, lekin lagta hai ke wo is qareeb hai. Aaj EUR/USD ke liye ek challenging situation hai, jahan latest statistics sellers ki taqat ko highlight kar rahe hain. Lagta hai ke pair neeche 1.0938 level tak move karega, lekin is se pehle usay 1.0981 mark ko breach karna hoga. Kuch uncertainty ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke downward trend ko jari rakhne ka ek mauqa hai. Agar price 1.0981 ko breach karti hai, to yeh 1.0898 tak decline kar sakti hai bearish direction mein.



Is waqt, pair relatively narrow range mein move kar raha hai. Kal ka range 57 points tha, jo ke is currency pair ke liye aam baat hai. Lekin aaj market ziada subdued hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke significant breakout ka chance kam hai. Iss situation ko dekhte hue, main EUR/USD par koi action lene mein dair kar raha hoon jab tak ziada reliable signs nazar nahi aate. Mera pehla buy order 1.1048 par abhi bhi active hai, lekin ab main averaging options ko dekh raha hoon. Abhi buying ka koi khaas faida nahi lagta, isliye main filhal wait kar raha hoon. Main price ke 1.088 level ko test karne ka intezar kar raha hoon, uske baad main ek aur long position open karne ka soch sakta hoon. Lekin, shayad test ke foran baad main buy na karoon, kyun ke main ziada specific aur reliable entry point ka intezar karunga. Halankeh ek upward movement mumkin hai, lekin chances kam hain. Agar price rise bhi karti hai, to yeh 1.1070 level se aage nahi jaayegi.

EUR/USD Analysis Forecast

EUR/USD currency pair trading week ko apne growth development ke framework ke andar level 1.0840 ke kareeb finish kar raha hai. Moving averages yeh indicate kar rahi hain ke bullish trend maujood hai. Prices ne signal lines ke darmiyan ka area upar ki taraf break kar diya hai, jo buyers ka pressure aur rate growth ke potential continuation ko dikhata hai. Agle hafte humein ek decline ka development aur level 1.0800 ke kareeb support area ko test karne ki koshish ki ummed karni chahiye. Phir, ek upward rebound aur EUR/USD quotes ke rise ke continuation ki taraf area 1.0860 se upar ka target dekhne ko milega. Growth option ka cancellation uss waqt hoga jab EUR/USD pair ki quotes drop karengi aur level 1.0800 ko breakout karengi. Yeh support area ka breakout aur currency pair ke fall ka continuation ko indicate karega aur area level 1.0742 se neeche jayega. Rate growth Monday se continue hoga. Agar buyers 1.0850 ke range ko break karne mein kaamyaab ho gaye aur uss se upar remain kiya, toh yeh buy ka signal hoga. Agar price level 1.0800 tak fall karti hai, toh wahan se rate ko grow karne ka plan hoga. Agar local maximum 1.0850 ka range break hota hai, toh growth aage continue ho sakta hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke level 1.0850 break ho, phir yeh buy ka signal hoga. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke hum 1.0851 ke mark se upar break karain aur consolidate ho jayein, toh yeh medium term mein further growth ka confirmation hoga. Stochastic ke mutabiq, humein ek aur downward correction mil sakti hai, kyunki hum overbought range mein hain aur correction ke baad growth continue hogi.

EURUSD

Sab ko bohat achha mood ho! M15 chart par linear regression channel neechay ki taraf hai, jo market mein sellers ki bartari ko zahir karta hai. Market ka movement southern direction mein hai aur 1.10126 ke level ki taraf ja raha hai. Jab yeh level achieve ho jata hai, to ek upward correction mumkin hai, kyun ke is chart par channel ki volatility adjust hogi. Yeh behtar hoga ke channel ke lower border ke qareeb sales na ki jayein, balki intezar karein ke price upper part of the channel 1.10417 tak wapas aaye. Is se losses kam hone mein madad milegi. Channel ka angle market mein sellers ki taqat ko zahir karta hai; jitna zyada steep hoga, utna hi strong movement hoga. Agar slope halka hai, to sales formation ke initial stage mein hoti hain.

Hourly chart par bhi linear regression channel neeche ki taraf hai, jo ke sellers ki taqat ko dikhata hai. Hourly chart ka channel main hai aur M15 ka auxiliary. Dono charts par channels ka direction southern hai. Aise mein, shorts dhoondna zyada behtar hai, kyun ke agar aap buy karte hain, to aap movement ke against ja rahe hain, jo ke zyadatar loss dene ka sabab banta hai, na ke profit. Agar 1.10417 ka level buyer ko rokta nahi hai, to zyadatar movement continue karegi. Bulls upar ke part of the channel tak grow karein ge jo ke 1.11145 ka level hai, aur yeh jagah sales ke liye kaafi interesting hogi. Yahan se sales ko dekhna zaroori hoga, kyun ke hourly chart par ek rollback hoga. Is ke baad bears apni activity dikhayenge aur movement channel ke lower part 1.10145 tak ho gi. Channel ki volatility select hogi aur sales ka intezar hoga jab tak bulls apni movement ka kuch hissa wapas nahi le lete.



Aaj Europe mein news background hai, aur ECB meeting ka intezar EUR/USD par pressure dal raha hai. Yeh to zahir hai ke rate ko kam kiya jayega aur yeh ECB ka is saal doosra rate cut hoga. Isliye, pehle ki tarah, main bears ka move expect karta hoon. Agar yeh movement jaari rahta hai, to zaroori hoga ke 1.0994 ka level break kiya jaye. Is tarah se, northerners ko EUR/USD par is move mein shikast ho sakti hai, aur aisa lagta hai ke wo southerners ko 1.0951 tak pohchnay se nahi rok paayenge. Abhi hum locally move kar rahe hain, halan ke situation jaldi jaldi badal rahi hai. Global level par, yeh clear hai ke hum kis taraf ja rahe hain.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

EUR/USD ne 1.1100 support ko todne ke baad apne losses barhaye hain, jab ke ECB se umeed hai ke wo 12 September ko 25 bps ka rate cut announce karega. Wall Street ne Monday ko session green mein close kiya, jo ke is baat ki taraf ishara hai ke risk appetite upbeat hai, ek aise haftay ke pehle, jahan United States (US) mein inflation data release hone wala hai. Daryaft se, zyada tar analysts yeh andaza lagate hain ke ECB 25 basis points ka rate cut karega.

BBH ke analysts ke mutabiq, ECB apni cautious easing guidance ko barqarar rakhega, ke “ye policy ko zarurat ke mutabiq restrict karega jab tak zaroori ho," aur data-dependant rahega.

ECB se umeed hai ke wo apni economic projections unveil karega, jisme economic growth aur inflation ke hawale se downward revision shamil hogi. Money market traders ab bhi 50 se 75 basis points ke cuts ko saal ke aakhir tak price kar rahe hain.

Data ke hawale se, Eurozone (EU) economic docket mein Tuesday ko German Inflation data shamil hoga, aur Friday ko EU ki Industrial Production ka data release hoga.

New York Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations US mein 3% threshold par anchored hain. Hafte ke aghaz mein, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke mutabiq, August ke liye CPI Fed ke 2% goal ke qareeb girne ki umeed hai.

Agar CPI neeche jata hai, to Federal Reserve ke 50 basis points ke rate cut ka chance barhta hai. Warna, gradual monetary policy adjustments abhi tak price mein shamil hain.

CME FedWatch Tool dikhata hai ke 25 bps rate cut ka chance 70% hai, jab ke 50 bps rate cut ka chance 30% hai.



Technical Standpoint:

Technical lehaz se, EUR/USD neutral se upward bias dikhata hai, lekin agar September 3 ka low 1.1026 ke neeche clear break hota hai, to mazeed downside ka rasta khul sakta hai. Aham support levels jaise ke 1.1000 ka mark expose ho sakta hai, uske baad 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.0958 par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair confluence of 100 aur 200-DMAs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 1.0867/58 ke qareeb hain, uske baad August 1 ka swing low 1.0777 tak ja sakta hai.

Bullish resumption ke liye, buyers ko pair ko September 9 ka high 1.1091 ke upar lift karna hoga.

EUR/USD

EurUsd market pair par trading Monday ko sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila, jin hon ne buyers ko bullish resistance ka muqabla karne ka mauqa nahi diya. Sellers ne bade market mein enter karke price ko neeche push kiya, jo ke 1.1090-1.1088 ke seller's resistance area se door le gaya, isse bullish rate phir se fail ho gaya aur sellers ne bearish pressure barhaya, jis se price kaafi gehra neeche gir gaya.

Daily time frame par Moving Average indicator ko dekhte hue, price ya candle ab bhi MA 50 Red area 1.0960-1.0958 ke upar hai aur yeh distance kam hoti ja rahi hai, jo ke yeh batata hai ke EurUsd market pair mein jo price weakening hui hai, usay market se ab bhi support mil raha hai. Candles ab bhi bearish candlesticks se dominated hain, jo sellers ko price ko neeche le jaane ka zyada mauqa dete hain, aur is hafte MA 50 Red area tak price girne ke chances hain.

Tuesday ko Asian market session se European session tak trading mein, price lagta hai ke buyers ke dominance mein hai jo bearish sellers ke pace ko block karne mein successful hain. Buyers apne dynamic support area ko strengthen kar rahe hain aur bullish correction ka target kam se kam seller's resistance area 1.1070-1.1073 ki taraf hai. Agar buyers is area ko penetrate kar lete hain, to higher bullish opportunity khul sakti hai, jiska next target seller's Supply resistance area 1.1112-1.1115 hoga.




Nateejah:

Buy trading options tab ki ja sakti hain agar price seller's resistance area ko successfully penetrate karti hai, iske liye pending buy stop order 1.1070-1.1073 par place kiya jaye aur TP area 1.1112-1.1115 par ho.

Sell trading options tab ki ja sakti hain agar price buyer's support area ko successfully penetrate karti hai, iske liye pending sell stop order 1.1015-1.1013 par place kiya jaye aur TP area 1.0955-1.0953 par ho.