𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD currency pair iss waqt strong bullish sentiment dikha rahi hai, jo ke mukhtalif time frames par key pivot levels ke upar trade karne se zahir hoti hai. Yeh pair apne monthly pivot level 1.0827 ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo pichle mahine ke pivot 1.0764 se increase hai. Monthly pivot ke upar yeh upward movement is baat ka ishara karti hai ke Euro ke muqable mein US Dollar ke liye long-term bullish outlook hai.

Iske ilawa, EUR/USD pair weekly pivot level 1.0994 ke upar bhi trade kar rahi hai, jo pichle haftay ke pivot level 1.0860 se barh gaya hai. Weekly pivot mein yeh consistent rise yeh dikhata hai ke short term mein market sentiment positive hai, jo bullish trend ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Traders aksar weekly pivot ko market ke overall sentiment ko gauge karne ke liye use karte hain, aur is level ke upar trading mazeed gains ka signal de sakti hai.

Daily level par bhi, EUR/USD pair apne daily pivot 1.0978 ke upar position mein hai. Daily pivot intraday traders ke liye ek critical level hota hai, jo immediate market direction ke hawale se insight faraham karta hai. Is level ke upar rehna yeh dikhata hai ke short-term momentum bhi Euro ke favor mein hai, jo weekly aur monthly charts par dekhe gaye broader bullish trend ke sath align karta hai.

Yeh pivot levels technical analysis mein ahem tools hain, jo traders ko potential support aur resistance levels identify karne mein madad karte hain. Jab ek currency pair consistently apne pivot points ke upar trade kar rahi hoti hai, to yeh aksar ek strong uptrend ka signal hota hai. EUR/USD ke case mein, pair ka daily, weekly, aur monthly pivot levels ke upar trade karna yeh suggest karta hai ke market participants Euro ko favor kar rahe hain, shayad underlying economic factors ya market expectations ki wajah se jo Euro ke demand ko US Dollar ke muqable mein barha rahe hain.




Overall, EUR/USD ka yeh current trading behavior key pivot points ke upar strong bullish sentiment ka ishara hai. Traders aur investors isay yeh signal samajh sakte hain ke pair mein long positions ko favor karte rahen, aur aanewale sessions mein Euro ke Dollar ke muqable mein mazeed appreciation ki umeed kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD pair ne Monday ko aik nayi upward movement dikhayi. Yeh kehne ki zaroorat nahi ke euro ke mazeed barhne ki koi waja nahi thi. Din bhar koi secondary reports release nahi hui, aur na hi koi noteworthy speeches hui. Haan, kuch Federal Reserve ke representatives ne U.S. mein interviews diye, lekin woh bhi pichle teen hafton se lagbhag wahi baat keh rahe hain ke central bank September mein key rate ko kam karne par ghore kar sakta hai. Is liye, agar monetary policy mein easing ke naye bayanat se dollar ki girawat hui, toh market sirf kisi formal factor ka sahara le kar dollar ko sell kar raha hai, jaise pehle bhi hota raha hai. Aur agar aisa nahi hai, toh market bina kisi waja ke U.S. currency ko sell kar raha hai.

Technical nazar se dekha jaye toh upward trend abhi bhi valid hai, aur euro indefinitely barh sakta hai. Market ka sentiment clear hai - is waqt usay buy karne ke liye kisi waja ki zaroorat nahi hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell Friday ko speech dene wale hain, aur yeh baat to tay hai ke market unki speech mein dovish hints dhoondhne ki koshish karega taake dollar ko sell kiya ja sake.

Monday ko 5-minute time frame par teen trading signals form hue. Shuru mein price ne 1.1043 level ke aas paas do sell signals generate kiye, jo din ke akhir tak 1.1048 level mein tabdeel ho gaye aur phir usay surpass kar diya. Short position se profit nahi mila kyun ke market ne pair ko thoda downward correct karne mein kamiyabi hasil nahi ki. Lekin long position profitable rahi, aur price shaam tak nearest target 1.1091 tak pohanch gayi.

**Trading Tips on Tuesday:**

EUR/USD ne aik nayi upward trend form ki hai jo ke hourly time frame mein trend line se supported hai. Hum samajhte hain ke euro ne sab bullish factors ko fully factor kar liya hai, is liye hum mazeed upward movement ki umeed nahi rakhte. Magar, market phir bhi yeh dikhata hai ke woh kisi bhi report par panic selling karke dollar ko react karne ke liye tayar hai. Aur agar koi events nahi hote, toh market dollar ko sell karne ke liye tayar hai. Is liye, expectations apni jagah, lekin current technical picture ko nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye. Price ke trendline ke neechay consolidate hone ke baad pair mein girawat dekhi ja sakti hai.

Tuesday ko, naye traders price ke trendline ke neechay consolidate hone par girawat ki umeed kar sakte hain. Is case mein, euro 1.0888 tak gir sakta hai. Warna, pair mazeed barh kar 1.1132 tak ja sakti hai.




**5M Time Frame par key levels jo consider karne chahiye:**
1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1048, 1.1091, 1.1132, 1.1184. Tuesday ko, na Eurozone aur na hi U.S. mein koi significant fundamental ya macroeconomic events scheduled hain. EU inflation ki doosri estimate for July se market reaction provoke honay ki umeed nahi hai.

EUR/USD ki qeemat 1.1130 ke qareeb majbooti dikhati hai, FOMC ke July ki monetary policy meeting ke minutes se pehle. Fed ne July mein interest rates ko aathwein baar ke liye steady rakha, magar Jerome Powell ne cuts par guftagu ka zikar kiya.

ECB se umeed hai ke wo September mein policy-easing cycle dobara shuru karegi.

EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1130 ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo is saal ka sabse zyada level hai. Yeh major currency pair 2024 ke high points 1.1140 ko dobara dekhne ki koshish kar raha hai, jabke US Dollar (USD) Fed ke interest rate cuts ki umeed ke saath pressure mein hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki qeemat ko chhe bade currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, 101.30 ke qareeb aik naye saat-maheene low ke qareeb hai.

Aam tor par US mein inflation ki pressures aur labor market conditions ke dheere hone ki wajah se investors ko lagta hai ke Fed September mein interest rates ko kam karega. Magar traders abhi bhi split hain ke pehla interest rate reduction bada hoga ya dheere dheere. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 50-basis-point (bps) rate cut ka imkaan 30.5% hai. Baqi log 25-basis-point ka more nuanced cut expect karte hain.

Wednesday ke session mein, investors FOMC minutes par focus karenge jo July ki policy meeting ke hain, jo 18:00 GMT par release honge. July ke meeting mein, Fed ne apni key borrowing rates ko 5.25%-5.50% ke range mein unchanged rakha, aathveen baar ke liye. Fed ne yeh bhi kaha ke risks ka daira ab inflation aur employment dono pe barh gaya hai.

Is hafte, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki Friday ko Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein taqreer – jo Thursday se Saturday tak chalegi – ek major event hoga, kyunke is se September mein rate cuts ke bare mein naya nishana mil sakta hai. July ke monetary policy announcement ke baad press conference mein, Jerome Powell ne kaha: "Agar hum dekhte hain ke inflation umeed ke mutabiq niche aa raha hai, growth theek hai, aur labor market abhi ke conditions ke sath consistent hai, to phir September meeting mein rate cut table pe aa sakta hai.”

EUR/USD 1.1140 ke saal ki sabse zyada qeemat ke qareeb hai FOMC minutes ke release se pehle. Yeh major currency pair daily time frame par ek channel formation se breakout ke baad mazid majbooti dikhata hai. 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) jo 1.0970 aur 1.0900 ke qareeb hain, yeh bataate hain ke broad trend bullish hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00-80.00 ke bullish range mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo strong upside momentum ko suggest karta hai.

Euro bulls agar 1.1140 ko decisively break kar lete hain to 1.1200 ke round-level resistance ki taraf barh sakte hain. Neeche, August 15 ka low 1.0950 ek key support area hoga.

Analyzing the EUR/USD currency pair on a daily (D1) timeframe reveals a complex but intriguing scenario. Currently, the price chart indicates a notable decline from recent highs, although a prevailing strategy to anticipate further downside remains intact. The price structure has been showing upward wave sequences, yet the MACD indicator is climbing above the upper buying zone and its signal line, suggesting potential bullish momentum.

Over the past week, the EUR/USD pair demonstrated three distinct trends: an initial upward movement, followed by a decline, and a subsequent resurgence. These trends are apparent not only on the daily chart but also on lower timeframes, underscoring a clear pattern of price action. After reaching a peak, the price exited from a high accumulation zone and has been declining.

The closing price of 1.0954 established a significant horizontal support level. Although there was a rebound from this level, the strength of the recovery was unexpected. The rebound was more robust than anticipated, suggesting potential volatility or resistance. By applying the Fibonacci retracement tool to the initial wave, the price reached the 161.8% extension level, aligning with our target.

Moreover, the price has encountered resistance at 1.1138. There is potential for the price to surpass this level before initiating another downward movement. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is showing signs of being in the overbought territory and appears ready to reverse, indicating potential bearish pressure. Additionally, a bearish divergence on the CCI is evident on the four-hour chart, reinforcing the possibility of a decline. The hourly chart also reveals a bearish divergence on the MACD indicator, further supporting the expectation of downward movement.

Today's economic calendar is relatively light, with the main focus being the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes scheduled for later in the evening. However, as these minutes are unlikely to include significant changes to interest rates, their impact might be minimal compared to rate decisions.

In summary, the combination of technical indicators, price action, and recent trends suggests an increased probability of a downward movement for the EUR/USD pair. The extent of the potential decline remains to be seen, but current analysis supports a cautious bearish outlook. Traders should remain vigilant for further developments and be prepared for potential shifts in momentum based on upcoming economic data and market reactions.

### EUR/USD Price Analysis aur Forecast

Filhal, EUR/USD currency pair mein kafi zyada price movement ho rahi hai, aur market mein sellers ka raaj hai. Yeh halat kai traders ke liye bearish outlook paida kar rahi hai. Magar agar price upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai, toh yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke yeh sirf key levels se rebound nahi hai, balke in levels ko break karne ka potential hai. Khaaskar, price ab 1.1135 aur 1.1278 ke key resistance levels ko target kar rahi hai, jo ke growth targets hain, resistance points nahi.

Agar uptrend ka scenario hai, toh pair 1.1135 tak ja sakti hai aur shayad 1.1278 tak bhi extend ho sakti hai. Yeh levels upward trajectory mein milestones hain, obstacles nahi. Agar price 1.1108 se upar nikalti hai, toh yeh uptrend ka continuation indicate karega, aur shayad agla resistance level 1.1230 tak pahunch sakta hai. Lekin, current market sentiment ko dekhte hue, yeh scenario kam lagta hai.

Pehle, expectation thi ke price 1.1135 tak badegi aur phir bullish correction dekhne ko milegi. Lekin ab lagta hai ke market shayad further gains ke liye positioning kar rahi hai, aur naye sellers ko attract kar sakti hai jo price ko kuch aur points upar le jaa sakte hain. Agar 1.1278 break hota hai, toh yeh significant rally ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo daily chart par ascending channel ki upper boundary tak pahunch sakta hai. Is bullish scenario ke liye kuch extraordinary global events ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, given the current market conditions.

Uptrend ke bawajood, daily chart par ek critical resistance level hai 1.1108. Yeh level, jo ke stop reversal 7/8 ke naam se jana jata hai, pehle December 27 ko downward turn ka sabab bana tha. 1.1108 par resistance ab bhi ek pivotal point hai, aur isko break karne ki shakhsiyat par shak hai. Agar price is resistance ko paar nahi karti, toh yeh reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai aur support level 1.0986 tak decline ho sakta hai, jo rotation reversal 6/8 ke naam se jaana jata hai.

Summary yeh hai ke EUR/USD ka uptrend filhal barqarar hai, lekin market ka critical levels jaise 1.1108 ko break karna bohot zaroori hai. Agar yeh resistance break nahi hota, toh downward correction support levels ki taraf ho sakti hai. Traders ko kisi bhi market changes ya global developments ke signs ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye jo in dynamics ko influence kar sakte hain.

Euro dollar pair (EUR/USD) ki technical analysis ke hawale se, US Federal Reserve ke aakhri meeting ke minutes ke elan se pehle, EUR/USD ka price apni recent gains ko 1.1130 ke resistance level ke aas paas barqarar rakha hua hai, jo 2024 mein is currency pair ka highest level hai. Yeh gains US dollar ke mukable major currencies ke khilaaf girawat ke bawajood aaye hain. Lekin, stock trading platforms ke mutabiq… European stock indices apni early gains ko barqarar na rakh sakay aur Tuesday ko neeche close hue, apne recent gains ko rokate hue lekin global stock sell-off se broad recovery ko barqarar rakha. Markets recession ke khatar aur future credit costs ke asar ko gauge karte rahe.

Eurozone ka Stoxx 50 index 0.3% gir kar 4856 par close hua, aur Stoxx 600 index, jo sab European shares ko include karta hai, 0.5% gir kar 512 par close hua, energy aur metals producers ke weight ke sabab se. Eurozone ke bade naam UniCredit, Nordea aur Santander sab 2.3% se lekar 1% tak gir gaye. Energy producers bhi tezi se gir gaye, jahan TotalEnergies aur ENI 1.5% aur 1% kam hue.

Data ke hawale se, German producer prices ek saal se zyada ke lowest level par aa gaye hain year-on-year basis par, jo kam hoti hui base effects ke chalte hai.

EUR/USD tab upar ja sakta hai agar eurozone PMI data jo is haftay expected hai, ek behtar economy ka confirmation de, HSBC ke mutabiq. “Agar pichla haftah US aur UK ke liye bada data week tha, to is haftay eurozone ke liye bada data week hai,” Clyde Wardle, HSBC ke senior emerging markets FX strategist ne kaha. Eurozone ke PMI jo Thursday ko aane wale hain, UK aur US ke saath, woh bhi important honge.”

US dollar ka side bhi equally important hai, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke speech par Friday ko kaafi dhyan diya jayega. “Powell ki umeed hai ke September mein rate cut announce karenge apne Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium ke speech mein. Yields kam hui hain aur US dollar gir raha hai shuruat mein is haftay kyunke traders yeh maan rahe hain ke Fed chairman ek continued shift ko acknowledge karenge jo US economy ke khatar ke balance ka hai, jo restrictive policy settings ko ab appropriate nahi samajhta, aur ek imminent easing decision ke darwaze ko kholta hai,” analysts ne kaha.

Lekin, agar Powell ki baaton se market disappointed hoti hai, to US dollar rebound kar sakta hai. Powell ko US central bank ko zyada aggressive easing path par le jana mushkil hai bina sustained evidence ke renewed growth aur employment ke, aur investors apni expectations se disappointed ho sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair, jo ke filhal 1.11168 par trade kar raha hai, ek bearish trend ka shikar hai. Yeh trend dheere dheere girta hua nazar aa raha hai, jo ke market ke broader sentiments ko reflect karta hai jo mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors se influence ho raha hai. Is dheere movement ke bawajood, kuch reasons hain jo ke is pair ke liye significant shift ki ummeed dila rahe hain agle kuch dinon mein.

### Current Bearish Trend Ka Analysis

EUR/USD pair ka bearish trend kuch factors ki wajah se hai, jinmein European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke darmiyan monetary policies ka farq, economic data releases, aur geopolitical uncertainties shamil hain. ECB apni monetary tightening ko lekar cautious raha hai, jabke Fed inflation ko control karne ke liye interest rates ko aggressively barha raha hai. Is divergence ke natije mein U.S. dollar mazid majboot ho gaya hai, jo euro par downward pressure daal raha hai.

Recent economic data Eurozone se mixed aayi hai, jahan kuch indicators resilience dikhate hain jabke doosre slowing growth ko indicate karte hain. Eurozone mein inflation ab bhi ek concern hai, aur ECB ke cautious stance ne euro ko itna support nahi diya. Wahi, U.S. economy ne apni strength dikhayi hai, khaaskar labor market mein, jo dollar ko aur zyada strong bana raha hai.

### Big Movement Ke Potential Triggers

Halanki current bearish trend hai, lekin kuch potential triggers hain jo EUR/USD pair mein significant movement laa sakte hain:

1. **ECB Policy Changes**: Agar ECB inflationary pressures ke response mein zyada hawkish stance apnata hai, toh yeh euro ki fortunes ko reverse kar sakta hai. Agar ECB zyada aggressive rate hikes ka indication deta hai, toh yeh euro ko boost kar sakta hai aur pair mein sharp movement de sakta hai.

2. **U.S. Economic Data**: U.S. se aane wale key economic data releases, jese ke non-farm payrolls, inflation reports, aur GDP figures, dollar ki strength ko impact kar sakte hain. Agar data expectations se kam aata hai, toh dollar ki depreciation ho sakti hai aur EUR/USD pair mein izafa ho sakta hai.

3. **Geopolitical Events**: Ongoing geopolitical tensions, jaise ke Russia-Ukraine conflict, currency markets mein volatility create kar sakti hain. Agar yeh tensions barh jaati hain, toh yeh euro aur dollar dono ko impact kar sakta hai.

4. **Market Sentiment**: Market sentiment tez speed se shift ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar global economy mein unexpected developments hoti hain. Agar investors risk environment mein koi change mehsoos karte hain, toh yeh currency markets mein positions ko rebalancing kar sakta hai aur EUR/USD pair mein significant movement drive kar sakta hai.

### Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD pair key support levels ke kareeb aa raha hai. Agar yeh levels breach ho jaati hain, toh further downside ka imkaan hai. Lekin, agar pair in support levels par support find kar leti hai aur in levels ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh reversal ka indication ho sakta hai.

Traders aur investors 1.1100 level par nazar rakhenge, jo historically strong support zone raha hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh further declines ka door khul sakta hai, shayad 1.1000 level tak. Lekin, agar pair is support se bounce karti hai, toh yeh recovery ka start ho sakta hai.

### Conclusion

Jabke EUR/USD pair filhal bearish trend mein hai aur dheere dheere move kar raha hai, kuch factors hain jo agle dinon mein significant movement laa sakte hain. Traders ko ECB ke policy announcements, U.S. economic data, aur kisi bhi geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market sentiment ko impact kar sakti hain. Additionally, key technical levels ko monitor karna crucial hoga pair ke agle move ko determine karne ke liye.

Summary yeh hai ke current environment caution ka suggest karta hai, lekin EUR/USD pair mein big movement ka potential nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Yeh movement upside ya downside ki taraf hoga, yeh depend karega ke upar zikar kiye gaye factors kaise evolve hote hain. Isliye, informed rehna aur naye developments par react karne ke liye prepared rehna key hoga is currency pair ki expected volatility ko navigate karne ke liye.

EUR/USD pair ne Monday ko nayi upward movement dikhayi. Yeh kehna zaroori nahi ke Euro ke barhney ki koi khas wajah thi. Pore din koi secondary reports release nahi hui, aur na hi koi noteworthy speeches hui. Haan, kuch Federal Reserve ke representatives ne U.S. mein interviews diye, magar unhone lagbhag wahi baat ki jo pichlay teen hafton se keh rahe hain: central bank September mein shayad key rate ko kam karne ka soch raha hai. Agar easing monetary policy ke naye bayanaat ne dollar ke girne ka sabab banaya, toh market sirf kisi bhi formal factor ka sahara le raha hai dollar bechne ke liye, jese ke pehle bhi hota raha hai. Agar aisa nahi hai, toh market bina kisi wajah ke U.S. currency bech raha hai.

Technical nazriye se dekha jaye toh upward trend ab bhi valid hai, aur Euro lagatar barh sakta hai. Market ka sentiment saaf hai—isse filhal kisi bhi reason ki zaroorat nahi hai buy karne ke liye. Fed Chair Jerome Powell Friday ko baat karenge, aur koi shak nahi ke market unki speech mein dovish hints dhondhne ki koshish karega takay dollar ko bech sake. Monday ko 5-minute time frame mein teen trading signals bane. Pehlay, price ne 1.1043 level ke qareeb do sell signals generate kiye, jo din ke aakhir mein 1.1048 level mein tabdeel ho gaye aur phir surpass ho gaye. Short position se profit nahi mila kyunke market pair ko thora sa downward correct karne mein nakam raha. Long position profitable rahi, aur price ne shaam ke qareeb 1.1091 ka nearest target achieve kar liya.



Tuesday ke liye trading tips:
EUR/USD ne hourly time frame mein ek naya upward trend banaya hai jo trend line se supported hai. Hum samajhte hain ke Euro ne sab bullish factors ko pura factor in kar liya hai, isliye hum mazeed upward movement ki umeed nahi karte. Lekin market phir bhi tayar hai ke kisi bhi report par panic selling kare aur dollar ko beche. Aur agar koi events na ho, toh market phir bhi dollar bechne ko tayar hai. Isliye, umeedon ko ek taraf rakhtay huay, current technical picture ko nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye. Pair mein decline tab aasakta hai jab price trendline ke neechay consolidate kar jaye.

Tuesday ko, naye traders anticipate kar sakte hain ke agar price trendline ke neechay consolidate kar gayi toh Euro 1.0888 tak gir sakta hai. Warna, pair barhna jari reh sakta hai jiska target 1.1132 hoga.

5M time frame mein consider karne wale key levels hain: 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1048, 1.1091, 1.1132, 1.1184. Tuesday ko, na Eurozone aur na hi U.S. mein koi significant fundamental ya macroeconomic events scheduled hain. EU inflation ke July ke liye second estimate ka market par koi khaas asar hone ki umeed nahi.

Aaj haftay ke darmiyan, hum ek baar phir EURUSD currency pair ka D1 period price chart ka tajziya karte hain. Main abhi bhi apni plan pe qaim hoon ke price decline karne wali hai. Filhal, wave structure apne upward order ko bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein upar ki taraf barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Pichlay haftay ke movements kaafi clear the. Teen mukhiyar movements thi, pehle growth, phir decline, aur phir se growth. Aur yeh sab movement levels ke base par kaafi clearly nazar aa rahi thi, na sirf is period par balki lower timeframes par bhi. Maximums accumulation zone se bahar nikal rahe the, aur peak se girawat bhi samajh mein aa rahi thi. Ek clearly defined horizontal support level closing prices ke hisaab se 1.0954 par banaya gaya tha. Naturally, wahan se ek bounce hua, lekin mujhe nahi lagta tha ke itna strong hoga, maine socha tha ke yeh chhota hoga aur hum stuck ho jayenge. Agar hum pehle wave par Fibonacci target grid overlay karen, to yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke price ne 161.8 level tak reach kar liya hai, target hit ho gaya. Price ne resistance level 1.1138 tak bhi pahunch gayi hai, hum shayad isse thoda sa zyada bhi jaayen, aur phir decline dekhne ko mil sakti hai. CCI indicator overbought zone mein bend ho raha hai aur usse nikalne ko hai, is indicator par bearish divergence bhi hai, lekin lower four-hour timeframe par. Aur hourly timeframe par MACD indicator par bhi bearish divergence hai. Yeh sab factors, support level aur target hit hone ke basis par, decline ke baray mein zyada probability ko indicate karte hain. Aaj zyada news nahi hai, sirf shaam ko - Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes hai. Lekin yeh news interest rate changes ke bina hai, isliye zyada important nahi lagti. Agar rate changes hoti, to baat alag hoti. Short mein, main long-awaited descent ki ummeed rakhta hoon, kaafi ho gaya.

**EUR/USD Price Movement**

Hamari focus ab EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior par hai. Mere hisaab se, ab sellers majority mein hain aur unko bearish forecast ki zaroorat hai, lekin agar pair upar ki taraf ja rahi hai, toh iska matlab yeh nahi ke wahan kuch rokna hai. Zyada precise, yeh levels se rebound ke liye nahi hai, balki inka breakdown ke liye hai. 1.1135 aur phir 1.1278. Uptrend mein, yeh growth targets hain, resistance levels nahi hain. Resistance levels sirf downtrend mein hote hain. Is hafte ka movement na sirf 1.1135 tak pahunch sakta hai, balki 1.1278 tak bhi ja sakta hai, aur wahan se correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. 1.1278 par, H1 chart se main ascending channel ka upper border touch ho sakta hai, lekin yeh growth dynamics par bhi depend karega. Agar 1.1108 ke upar break kar le, toh hum upward trend ko continue consider karenge towards the next resistance of 1.1230 (8/8), lekin yeh abhi mushkil lag raha hai.



Main abhi bhi chhote channel ko dekh raha tha. Main 1.1135 tak growth ka intezaar kar raha tha, aur wahan bullish side par ek correction dekhi. Lekin ab mujhe lagta hai ke next batch of sellers upar ki taraf le jaane ke liye intezaar kar rahe hain. 1.1278 ka breakdown aam taur par ascending channel ke upper limit par growth ke prospects ko kholta hai D1 chart par. Lekin aise growth ke liye kuch extraordinary hona zaroori hai duniya mein. Uptrend abhi bhi force mein hai, lekin mere khayal se yeh critical barrier par hai daily chart of EUR/USD par 1.1108 (stop reversal 7/8), jahan se last time, zyada precise December 27 last year ko, ek downward turn mila tha. Mujhe shak hai ke is resistance ko break karna possible hoga, toh main expect karta hoon ke 1.1108 par reversal hoga aur phir current support 1.0986 (rotation reversal 6/8) ki taraf decline dekhne ko milega, jaise ke niche chart mein dikhaya gaya hai.

Bilkul Monday ki tarah, Tuesday ko bhi EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat barhti rahi. Bohat hi zyada buyer pressure EUR/USD ko aage barhne mein madad de raha hai. Is liye, aaj EUR/USD ki trading pehle se bohot zyada uchi shuru hui. Tuesday ko candle 1.1086 se 1.1129 tak barh gayi, jo ke 56 pips ka izafa hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke h1 resistance 1.1086 ko tod diya gaya hai, jo ke EUR/USD ka trend abhi bhi bullish hai. Umeed hai ke aage bhi izafa ho sakta hai.

Agar h1 timeframe se dekha jaye, to candle abhi 1.1122 ke supply area mein hai. Jab tak ye area nahi toota, EUR/USD ke girne ka bhi imkaan hai. Lekin agar candle isko todti hai, to EUR/USD ka izafa aur zyada ho sakta hai. Filhal, mujhe koi reversal pattern nahi nazar aayi, isliye izafa ka chance girne se zyada hai, chahe candle supply area mein hi atki hui hai. Aisa lagta hai ke EUR/USD ka agla target upper supply area ko touch karna hai, jo ke 1.1239 ke qareeb hai.

Ichimoku indicator ke hisaab se, jab tak candle Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, tab tak movement zyada tar up hai. Pichle do din se movement barhti rahi hai aur ab tak Ichimoku indicator ne koi decrease ka signal nahi diya hai kyunki koi naye intersections nahi hue. Iska matlab hai ke ye indicator EUR/USD ke izafe ko support kar raha hai.

Stochastic indicator yeh dikhata hai ke EUR/USD overbought state mein hai. Yeh line 80 level ko cross kar chuki hai. Asal mein, last Monday bhi yahi halat thi, lekin movement ne girne ki bajaye izafa hi kiya. Filhal, line ka direction ab bhi upar hai.

To aaj ke analysis ka nateeja ye hai ke EUR/USD currency pair ab bhi barh sakta hai kyunki candle ne h1 resistance 1.1085 ko tod diya hai aur Ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq candle ab bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Isliye, main ye recommend karta hoon ke aap sirf buy position par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target nearest resistance 1.1239 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko support 1.1064 par.

EUR/USD Analysis

Hello doston, ummeed hai aap sab khair makdam hain. EUR/USD ne Monday ko 0.5% ka izafa dekha jab investors ne naye trading hafte ki shuruat ki aur market me broad buying ka trend dekha. EUR/USD ne 1.1050 ke upar majbooti dikhayi aur ab 1.1100 ke level ko dobara test karne ke liye ja raha hai. Aage, EUR/USD apni 2024 ki high level 1.1083 (August 19) ko test karega aur phir December 2023 ki high level 1.1139 tak pohnchne ki koshish karega.

Niche ki taraf, agla target 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 1.0842 hai, phir weekly low 1.0777 (August 1) aur June ke low 1.0666 (June 26) hain, jo 1.0649 (May) ke low se pehle aayenge. Badi picture ko dekhte hue, pair ko apni upward trend ko continue rakhna chahiye, agar yeh 200-day SMA ke upar rahe. Ab tak, four-hour chart par positive bias ka kafi izafa dekha gaya hai.

Initial resistance level 1.1083 hai, jo 1.1132 se pehle aata hai. Dusri taraf, immediate support 1.0949 par hai aur 200-SMA 1.0888 se pehle 1.0881 tak hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77 ke upar chala gaya hai. EUR/USD ne hafte ke shuruat mein dusre din bhi apni gains ko extend kiya aur 2024 ki nayi highs 1.1080 ke aas-paas pahunch gaya, jo ke US dollar ki kamzori ke wajah se hua.

US dollar ne apni retreat ko tez kar diya aur key support level 102.00 ke niche chala gaya, jo US Dollar Index ke hisaab se ek naye multi-month low ko reflect karta hai. Investors Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein soft cycle ke decision ka intezar kar rahe hain. CPI release ke baad, Fed se half-point rate cut ki expectations thodi kam ho gayi hain, aur ab chhoti rate cut ke hone ka zyada imkaan hai.

Outlook bhi behtareen US fundamentals ke results se support mila hai. Rate cuts ki baat karte hue, CME Group ka FedWatch tool 25 basis points ki rate cut ke imkaan ko 77% ke aas-paas rakhta hai. Jab ke European Central Bank ne kuch nahi kaha, Fed policymakers ki umeed hai ke September meeting ke kareeb apne views share karenge. Minneapolis Fed President Neil Kashkari ne yeh suggest kiya hai ke September mein Fed rate cut ki possibility reasonable hai, kyunki labor market ke kamzor hone ki sambhavana barh rahi hai.

Hourly chart par indicators neechay ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin filhal pair middle Bollinger Band ko neeche se test kar raha hai is consolidation phase ke dauran. Aane wala direction depend karega is baat par ke yeh level break hota hai ya yeh se rebound karta hai. Main ziyada is taraf mayl hoon ke break hogi aur further decline hoga, lekin main test ke natayij ka intezar karunga.

Four-hour chart par bhi indicators mazeed decline ka ishara de rahe hain, halaan ke kuch basement indicators par bullish divergences hain. Bollinger Band expand ho rahi hai jese jese pair decline kar raha hai, jo ke downward momentum ke continuation ki probability ko batata hai. Is liye, main sales ko primary strategy ke tor par prioritize kar raha hoon, aur is trend ke continuation ko confirm karne ke liye clearer signals ka intezar karunga.

Agar pair hourly chart par middle Bollinger Band se neeche break karta hai, toh yeh ek strong downward move ka signal ho sakta hai, jo overall bearish outlook ko four-hour chart par align karega. Halaankeh kuch lower indicators par bullish divergences hain, primary strategy selling opportunities par focus karna hai, aur mazeed bearish momentum ka intezar hai.

In key levels aur indicators ko monitor karna bohot zaroori hoga taake trading ke agle steps ka tayyun kiya ja sake. Bollinger Bands ke ilawa, doosray technical indicators, jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages, ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai, jo pair ke potential movements ke baray mein mazeed insights de sakte hain.

Filhaal, RSI dono hourly aur four-hour charts par yeh batata hai ke pair abhi oversold nahi hai, jo mazeed declines ke liye room chorh raha hai. Sath hi, Moving Averages is tarah align ho rahe hain jo bearish trend ko support karte hain, jahan shorter-term averages longer-term averages ke neeche cross kar rahe hain.

Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair ki recent movements downward trend ke continuation ko suggest kar rahi hain. Pair abhi consolidate kar raha hai, aur middle Bollinger Band ko neeche se test kar raha hai. Agar hourly chart par yeh level se neeche breakout hota hai, toh further declines confirm ho sakte hain, jo expanding Bollinger Bands aur four-hour chart par bearish indicators ke saath align karte hain. Halaankeh kuch lower indicators par bullish divergences hain, primary strategy selling opportunities par focus karna hai, aur mazeed bearish momentum ka intezar hai. In key levels aur indicators ko monitor karna trading ke agle steps ka tayyun karne mein bohot important hoga.

Foreign exchange market, khaskar EUR/USD currency pair, complex dynamics se guzar raha hai, jo economic aur political factors ki mix se shape ho raha hai. EUR/USD exchange rate mein recent movements ke peechhe key drivers mein se ek yeh hai ki U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) soon interest rates cut kar sakta hai. Yeh expectation Euro ko U.S. Dollar ke against significant support de raha hai, lekin France mein political uncertainty Eurozone ki economic stability ko potential risks pose kar raha hai.

Market participants Fed se signals ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, growing consensus ke saath ki central bank September mein rate cuts initiate kar sakta hai. Yeh shift sentiment softer U.S. economic data se due hai, including slower job growth, declining inflationary pressures, aur concerns about current economic expansion ki sustainability.

Investors ab possibility ko pricing kar rahe hain ki Fed monetary policy ko ease kar sakta hai economic growth ko sustain karne ke liye aur potential recession ko prevent karne ke liye. Lower U.S. interest rates ki anticipation U.S. Dollar ko weaken karta hai, kyunki lower rates dollar-denominated assets par returns ko reduce karta hai, unhe investors ke liye less attractive bana deta hai.

Consequently, Euro ne is dynamic se benefit kiya hai, kyunki investors higher-yielding aur more stable alternatives seek kar rahe hain. EUR/USD pair ne positive bias dekha hai, Euro recent trading sessions mein Dollar ke against ground gaining kar raha hai.

Lekin Euro ki strength France mein rising political uncertainty se tempered ho rahi hai, Eurozone ki largest economies mein se ek. French government ko significant challenges ka saamna hai, including widespread protests aur strikes, particularly proposed pension reforms ke response mein. Yeh domestic issues ne economic disruption ki possibility ko spark kiya hai, jo Eurozone ke liye broader implications ho sakti hai.

France mein political situation Euro ki outlook ko complex bana raha hai. Fed ki potential rate cuts support de rahi hai, lekin French political tensions ki escalation investor confidence ko undermine kar sakti hai. Yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye delicate balancing act create karta hai, traders Fed policy ke supportive effects ko political instability ke risks se weigh kar rahe hain

Hello! Umeed hai aap theek honge. Do din ke trading holiday ke baad, Monday ko phir se forex market mein wapas aa gaye hain. Maine Monday ko thoda miss kiya kyunki mere paas pichle haftay se ek open position thi, aur is haftay is par kuch clarity ki umeed hai. Sab moving averages current price se kaafi upar hain, jo bearish outlook ko reinforce karte hain. EUR/USD ke liye support level 1.0845 par hai. Agar yeh is mark se neeche girta hai, toh exchange rate 1.0968 area ko test kar sakta hai aur phir 1.0868 level, jo ke long-term support hai, ko bhi test kar sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar euro/dollar consolidate karta hai aur increase hota hai, toh yeh pehle 1.0758 ko touch kar sakta hai aur phir 1.0954 area tak pahunch sakta hai. Indicators aur moving averages yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke price agle support level ki taraf jaa rahi hai. Technically, market ko neeche ki taraf push kiya jaa raha hai, aur agla buying opportunity shayad 1.0870 ke support level par mil sakti hai. 100 moving average market resistance ke upar close hui hai, aur 50-day moving average bhi market resistance ke upar close hui hai.

Abhi ke liye RSI indicator 200 par hai, jo 50 se 100 ke range mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market abhi bhi downtrend mein hai. Agar price support level 1.0884 par pahunchti hai, toh yeh ek potential buying opportunity present kar sakta hai, bas ye samajh lena zaroori hai ke support hold karta hai aur indicators reversal ke signs dikhate hain. Lekin, koi bhi faisla lene se pehle indicators aur market conditions mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ka dehaan rakhna zaroori hai. Lekin, EUR/USD abhi demand area mein phansa hua hai, jo ke ek rise ka sabab ban sakta hai. EUR/USD kaafi neeche gir chuka hai, aur ho sakta hai ke ab ek bullish trend ki taraf reversal ka waqt ho.