𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

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Kal EUR/USD Currency Pair Ka Bada Uthaan

Kal EUR/USD currency pair mein lagbhag 0.4% ka bara izafa dekha gaya, jo ke market sentiment mein badlav ko darshata hai aur yeh bhi ke investors ka risk appetite badh gaya hai. Is tabdeeli ke natije mein US Dollar par downward pressure dekhne ko mila, kyunki traders aur investors global economy ke outlook par bharosa rakh rahe hain. Euro ki is surge ko Federal Reserve ke interest rate hikes ke cycle ke khatam hone ke speculation ke sath joda ja sakta hai. Kuch market participants to aane wale waqt mein rate cuts bhi expect kar rahe hain.

Euro ki majbooti bhi Eurozone ki economic resilience ko reflect karti hai, jo ke abhi bhi persistent inflation aur sluggish growth jaise challenges ke bawajood stability dikhane lagi hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni cautious stance rakhi hai, aur future rate changes ke liye unka approach Federal Reserve ke aggressive hikes ke muqablay mein zyada measured hai.

Markets mein risk-on sentiment ka shift kuch factors ki wajah se hai, jinmein positive economic indicators, recession ke dar ke kam hone aur central banks ke dovish approach ki expectations shamil hain. Is wajah se risky assets jese equities aur high-yield bonds ki demand badh gayi hai, jabke safer currencies jese US Dollar ki demand kam hui hai.

Aage chal kar, market participants upcoming economic data releases aur central bank communications ko closely monitor karenge taake market expectations ko reinforce ya challenge kiya ja sake. Federal Reserve ke aane wale meetings aur statements USD ki direction ko determine karne mein crucial honge, kyunki kisi bhi rate cut ke indication se currency aur kamzor ho sakti hai, jo EUR/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD Exchange Rate Ka Recent Rise

EUR/USD exchange rate ka recent izafa evolving market dynamics ko highlight karta hai, jahan badhti optimism aur Federal Reserve ke shift ke expectations ne US Dollar ko softer bana diya hai. Jaise jaise yeh dynamics continue karenge, economic data, central bank policies aur market sentiment ke darmiyan interaction currency pair ke future movements ko drive karte rahenge.

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Euro Ka Bade Uthaan Aur Aane Wala Economic Calendar
Mangalwar ko euro ne ek bara izafa dekha, jo ke US dollar ke muqablay mein 0.4% ka tha. Is surge ke saath EUR/USD pair ne pehli dafa 1.1100 level ko paar kiya, jo ke December ke baad ka sab se naya high hai 2024 ke liye. Aane wale economic calendar mein kaafi aham data points hain jo market sentiment ko prabhavit kar sakte hain. Thursday ko pan-European PMI activity surveys release honge, jahan forecasts kehte hain ke manufacturing PMI stagnant rahega aur services PMI steady rahega August ke liye. Sath hi, US bhi apni PMI business activity survey publish karega, aur highly anticipated Jackson Hole economic symposium bhi shuru hone wala hai is hafte ke aakhri din.

Federal Reserve ke latest policy meeting ke minutes Wednesday ko publish honge, lekin market participants ka zyada focus un minutes par hoga jo Thursday ko release honge. Economic projections kehti hain ke US manufacturing PMI flat rahega aur services PMI ke liye downward revision ki ja sakti hai. Jackson Hole symposium investors ke liye ek focal point banne wala hai, jahan Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke Friday ke speech par zyada tawajjo di jayegi. Unki remarks market sentiment ko aane wale hafte ke liye set karengi.

EUR/USD Pair Ka Recent Surge

Euro ka recent izafa, jo ke 1.3050 level ko paar kar gaya, zyada tar US dollar ke broad-based sell-off ki wajah se hai, na ke euro-zone ki koi specific strength ki wajah se. EUR/USD pair ne past ke saat trading sessions mein se sab mein green closing dekhi hai, sirf ek session ke ilawa. Iske ilawa, pair ne crucial 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko firmly establish kar diya hai jo ke 1.0835 par hai. Is impressive rally ke bawajood, euro ka lamba consolidation period technical charts par apna asar chhod gaya hai. Ek sharp upward movement buying momentum ko reverse kar sakti hai aur price ko phir se 1.1000 level ke neeche le ja sakti hai.

Isliye, jab ke current bullish trend evident hai, caution zaroori hai kyunki technical corrections ki potential hai. Euro ki recent strength zyada tar dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, na ke euro-specific factors ki wajah se. Aane wale economic data aur central bank ke comments short-term price movements ko zaroor influence karenge. Lekin, market narrative ka overview Federal Reserve ke policy outlook se shape hoga, jo ke Jackson Hole symposium mein unveil

Mere morning forecast mein, maine 1.0926 level ko highlight kiya aur wahaan se market entry decisions karne ki plan kiya. Aayein 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain ki kya hua. 1.0926 level par decline hua, lekin wahaan false breakout formation nahi hua. Isliye, maine first half of the day mein koi trades nahi kiya. Technical picture ko slightly revise kiya gaya second half of the day ke liye.
EUR/USD par Long Positions Kholne Ke Liye:
Eurozone se significant statistics ki absence ke wajah se, traders ki reaction nahi hui. U.S. se upcoming statistics labor market se related hain, lekin wahaan bhi strong aur directed movements nahi honge. Expected figures mein U.S. mein initial jobless claims ki number aur wholesale inventories mein changes shamil hain. FOMC member Thomas Barkin ki speech sabse notable event hogi. Dovish statements regarding rates ke case mein, euro ko rise karne ka opportunity mil sakta hai. Lekin long positions kholne ke liye, main decline ka wait karoonga aur new support 1.0919 par false breakout ki formation ka wait karoonga, jo ki yesterday ke results par formed hua. Target hogi rise aur new resistance 1.0954 par update, jahan main euro sellers ki first appearance ko expect karta hoon. Breakout aur subsequent retest is range ko strengthen karega, pair ko 1.0985 ke area mein rise karne ka chance dega. Sabse furthest target hogi 1.1007 high, jahan main profits ko take karoonga. Agar EUR/USD decline karta hai aur second half of the day mein 1.0919 par activity nahi hoti, jo ki important technical level hai, sellers initiative ko regain karenge aur downward trend ko build karenge. Is case mein, main false breakout 1.0895 par formation ke baad hi enter karoonga. Main 1.0871 par rebound par immediately long positions kholoonga, target ke saath upward correction 30-35 points ke within day.

EUR/USD par Short Positions Kholne Ke Liye:
Sellers ne initiative ko maintain kiya, lekin woh first half of the day mein sluggish act kiya. Important U.S. statistics ki absence ke wajah se, main sellers ko market mein return karne ka expect karta hoon. 1.0954 ko defend karna false breakout ke saath, similar to what I discussed above, short positions kholne ke liye suitable scenario hogi, target ke saath decline support 1.0919 par, jo ki yesterday ke results par formed hua. Breakout aur consolidation is range ke neeche, bottom-up retest ke saath, another selling point provide karega, moving towards 1.0895 ke area, jahan main active buying interest ko expect karta hoon. Sabse furthest target hogi 1.0871 level, jahan main profits ko take karoonga. Is level ko testing euro buyers ki upward trend ko build karne ke plans ko undermine karega. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein move up karta hai aur 1.0954 par bears nahi hote, buyers initiative ko regain karne ka chance milega. Is case mein, main selling ko postpone karoonga next resistance 1.0985 par test tak. Main wahaan bhi act karoonga lekin only unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main 1.1007 par rebound par immediately short positions kholoonga, target ke saath downward correction 30-35 points ke within

Subah Bakhair, Sabko!

EUR/USD currency pair ka jo current uptrend hai, woh ab 1.1118 ke price level par roka gaya hai. Yeh level shayad isliye rok gaya hai kyunki FOMC ke representatives, Bostic aur Bullard, ki speeches aane wali hain. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke bulls ki energy ab khatam ho rahi hai, aur is wajah se pair resistance area mein trade kar raha hai.

Abhi tak, jab bhi pair is resistance level tak pohnchta hai, to yeh rukawat ka samna karta hai. Is level par rokawat ke baad, agar FOMC members apne speeches mein dollar ko support karne wali baatein karte hain, to phir hume downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Market ki movements ab FOMC ki announcements par nirbhar hain, aur yeh dekhna hoga ke speeches ke baad market ka reaction kya hota hai.

Ek aur cheez jo is waqt market ko impact kar rahi hai, woh hai oil ki girawat. Oil prices girne se dollar ko theoretically strength milni chahiye, kyunki oil ki girawat se trade balance aur inflation par asar parta hai. Jab oil ki prices girti hain, to importing countries ke liye cost kam ho jati hai aur isse unke currencies ko support milta hai. Lekin, aaj kal ke financial markets bahut dynamic hain, aur kisi bhi factor ka market par asar jaldi se badal sakta hai.

Maine apni short position abhi bhi hold kar rakhi hai, kyunki mujhe lagta hai ke abhi market mein kuch changes aane wale hain. Short positions tabhi beneficial hoti hain jab market downward movement dikhaata hai. Main kisi bhi halat mein apni losing positions ko abhi band karne ka plan nahi bana raha. Umeed hai ke market thodi correction dikhaayegi, jisse mujhe apni position ko adjust karne ka mauka milega.

Mujhe lagta hai ke current uptrend ko rokne ke liye market mein thodi volatility zaroori hai. Agar market mein koi major event ya announcement hota hai, to yeh volatility ko trigger kar sakta hai. FOMC ki speeches aur oil prices ke movements ke saath, yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke market ka general sentiment kya hai. Agar dollar ko support milta hai, to euro ke against dollar ka strength badh sakta hai, aur isse EUR/USD pair ki value gir sakti hai.

Main apne analysis ke basis par keh sakta hoon ke abhi market mein thoda patience zaroori hai. Har position ko open karne se pehle market ka detailed analysis karna chahiye, aur kisi bhi position ko adjust karne se pehle market ke response ka intezar karna chahiye. Main apni positions ko carefully monitor kar raha hoon aur market ke changes ke hisaab se adjust karne ki koshish kar raha hoon.

Agar market FOMC speeches ke baad downward movement dikhaati hai, to main apni short position ko profit ke saath exit karne ka plan karunga. Lekin agar market speeches ke baad bhi bullish trend dikhaati hai, to mujhe apni position ko re-evaluate karna padega. Yeh zaroori hai ke trading decisions ko market ke real-time data ke basis par banaya jaye, aur kisi bhi major announcement ke baad position ko adjust karne ka plan ho.

In conclusion, EUR/USD ka current uptrend 1.1118 ke resistance level par roka gaya hai. Market ke response ko dekhna hoga, khas kar FOMC speeches ke baad, aur oil prices ke movements ko bhi monitor karna padega. Main abhi bhi apni short position ko hold kar raha hoon, aur market ke correction ki umeed kar raha hoon. Sabko trading mein achi luck aur munafa ki dua.

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EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis

EUR/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein ek nayi upward trend banayi hai, jo hourly time frame par trend line se zahir hoti hai. Iska matlab hai ke euro ne US dollar ke muqable mein kuch strength hasil ki hai, jisse higher lows aur higher highs ka silsila shuru hua hai, jo aam tor par short-term mein bullish market sentiment ko darshata hai.

Lekin is upward movement ke bawajood, broader context ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Lagta hai ke euro ne apni recent gains ke liye zaroori bullish factors ko already price mein shamil kar liya hai. Yeh factors Eurozone se aayi positive economic data, European financial markets ki stability, ya US economy ka weaker performance ho sakte hain. Agar yeh sab factors already price mein reflect ho chuke hain, to euro ke liye upward trajectory ko continue karna mushkil ho sakta hai bina kisi naye, significant catalysts ke.

Is situation mein, EUR/USD pair ke liye hourly chart par established trend line se aage sustain upward movement ka hona mushkil lagta hai. Jo current upward momentum hai, wo shayad short-lived ho sakta hai, aur pair ko key psychological ya technical levels ke nazdeek resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Euro ke liye higher resistance levels ko convincingly break karna tabhi mumkin hoga jab Eurozone mein additional positive developments ya US dollar ka further weakening ho.

Bari aur broader 24-hour time frame dekhne par, EUR/USD pair ek flat phase mein hai, jo 1.06 aur 1.10 ke range ke beech fluctuate kar raha hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke ek lambi period ke dauran strong directional movement ki kami hai, aur currency pair in bounds ke beech oscillate kar raha hai jab market participants Atlantic ke dono sides se mixed signals ko weigh kar rahe hain.

1.06-1.10 range consolidation ka period darshata hai, jahan na to bulls aur na hi bears ne definitive upper hand hasil kiya hai. Euro ka previous bullish momentum lagta hai ke stalled ho gaya hai, aur market naye data ya geopolitical developments ka intezar kar rahi hai jo direction provide kar sake. Isliye, traders ko is range ke andar continued choppy trading ki ummeed rakhni chahiye, jahan short-term spikes upper ya lower boundaries ko test kar sakti hain, lekin ultimately mean ki taraf revert ho sakti hain.

In summary, jab EUR/USD hourly time frame par kuch bullish signs dikhata hai, broader picture yeh darshata hai ke sustained upward movement ki kami hai. Currency pair 24-hour chart par 1.06-1.10 range ke andar rehne ke liye probable hai, jab tak ke koi unexpected developments nahi aati jo euro ya dollar ke haqq mein balance ko tip kar sake.

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EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis: D1 Period

EUR/USD currency pair ke D1 chart ka tajziya karte hain. Yeh wave structure ek uptrend bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Pichle hafte ke movements kaafi clear the. Teen mukharrar movements thi, pehle ek izafa, phir kami, aur phir se izafa. Yeh movement sirf is timeframe par nahi balki lower timeframes par bhi wazeh thi. Price ne accumulation zone ko high se break kiya, phir peak se gir gaya, jo ke samajh mein aane wali baat thi. Iske ilawa, US se mid-week mein positive indicators ke sath news aayi, jo ke US dollar ke liye achi thi aur is wajah se price gir gayi.

Ek clearly defined horizontal support level tha jo closing prices par 1.0954 ke aas paas tha. Naturally, is level se bounce hua, lekin mujhe itna strong bounce anticipate nahi kiya tha. Mujhe laga tha ke yeh chhota hoga aur hum thoda stuck ho jayenge. Ab price high ko break kar chuki hai, shayad momentum ke saath thoda aur aage barhenge. CCI indicator overbought zone mein bend ho raha hai, jo bearish divergence ka indication de raha hai. Price ne high ko exceed kar diya hai aur ab shayad corrective decline ka samna karna pade.

Lower timeframe M30-H1 par, hum mirror level ki formation dekh sakte hain jahan support resistance mein tabdeel ho sakta hai aur niche ki taraf kaam kar sakte hain, jisse possible descending correction ka ek hissa capture kiya ja sake. Iske ilawa, price ne ek reversal pattern bana liya hai - ek ascending wedge ke andar jahan yeh filhal rehta hai. Yeh ek additional indication hai ke price foran upar nahi jaayegi aur shayad downtrend mein reversal jaldi ho sakta hai. Lekin, pattern kaafi clear hai aur achha kaam kar sakta hai.

Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi significant news events nahi hain jo dekhne layak ho.

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EUR/USD D-1 Analysis

EUR/USD currency pair ke D1 chart ko dekhte hain aaj. Wave structure upar ki taraf move kar raha hai aur MACD indicator bhi upper limit area aur signal line ke upar growth dikha raha hai. Pichle hafte ka action kaafi wazeh tha: pehle izafa, phir kami aur phir se izafa. Yeh movements sirf is waqt ke dauran nahi balki chhote timeframes par bhi clearly nazar aaye. Price ne cumulative area ka maximum value exceed kiya aur phir us maximum value se gir gayi, jo ke ek obvious baat thi.

Haal hi mein US se jo news aayi thi, usne dollar aur stones ko ghoomaya. 1.0954 par closing price ke hisaab se ek clear support level hai. Yeh support level se upward rebound hua, lekin mujhe itna strong rebound expect nahi tha. Mujhe lagta tha ke yeh rebound chhota hoga aur hum thoda trap ho sakte hain. Ab price ne highest level ko exceed kar diya hai, shayad hum thoda inertia dekhen.

CCI indicator overheated area mein bent ho raha hai aur bearish divergence ka signal de raha hai. Price ne maximum value exceed kar liya hai aur humein short-term mein correction ki ummeed hai. Lower timeframes par, mirror levels ko observe kar sakte hain jahan support resistance mein tabdeel ho sakta hai aur yeh expected part ko capture karne ka ek acha mauka ho sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, price ne ek reversal pattern bana liya hai - yeh pattern abhi apni position mein hai. Yeh ek additional sign hai ke price itni jaldi upar nahi jaayegi aur upward trend ka reversal bhi jaldi ho sakta hai. Lekin, pattern abhi bhi clear hai aur achha kaam kar sakta hai.

Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi significant news events nahi hain jo dekhne layak ho.

Currency pair EUR/USD - aaiye D1 period ke chart par nazar daalte hain. Wave structure apna order upar ki taraf bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein apni signal line ke upar growth dikha raha hai. Pichlay haftay ke movements kaafi clear thay. Teen clear movements dekhnay ko milein: pehle growth, phir fall, aur phir dobara se growth. Aur yeh tamaam movements na sirf is period par, balki chhotay periods par bhi achi tarah se dikhai diye. Yeh movements accumulation zone ke maximum se bahar chale gaye, maximum se gire, aur yeh bhi wazeh tha ke kyon, kyon ke hafte ke darmiyan USA ki news aayi jahan indicators American dollar ke liye favorable sabit hue, aur price patthar ki tarah neeche gir gayi.
Aik clearly expressed horizontal support level 1.0954 par closing prices par bana tha. Yeh wazeh tha ke wahan se aik upward rebound hua, magar mujhe umeed nahi thi ke yeh itna ziada strong hoga, main sochta tha ke yeh chhota hoga aur hum wahin phans jayenge. Ab lagta hai ke price shayad top ke paar jaana chahti hai, aur is mein bohot kam faasla bacha hai. Sath hi, CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein bend kar raha hai aur is par bearish divergence nazar aa raha hai. Agar price maximum ke paar chale jati hai, to ye mumkin hai ke wahan se aik correctional decline ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Wahan M30-H1 ke chhote period mein aap mirror level ke formation ka dekh sakte hain, jahan support resistance mein tabdeel ho jaye aur downward correction ke expectation mein kaam kiya jaye.

Is ke ilawa, yahan yeh bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke price ne aik reversal figure banaya hai - aik ascending wedge ke andar, jahan yeh abhi mojood hai. Yeh aik additional sign hai ke price ko ek dum se bohot upar nahi le jaya ja sakta, aur shayad jaldi hi aik downward trend mein reversal ho jaye. Phir bhi, yeh figure bohot khubsurat hai aur achi tarah se kaam kar sakti hai. Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi aisi news nahi hai jis par aapko dhyaan dena zaroori ho

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EUR/USD Currency Pair Ka Strong Rebound

EUR/USD currency pair ne aik strong rebound show kiya hai, jo ke 1.1000 se neeche levels se upar aayi hai. Thori dair ke liye 1.0950 se upar test karne ke baad, is pair ne apni recovery mein resilience aur strength dikhayi hai. Yeh upward movement bohot significant hai kyunke yeh pair ki ability ko highlight karti hai ke woh ongoing market pressures ke bawajood higher push kar sakti hai.

Technical Indicators aur Market Sentiment

Recent movement ka aik important technical indicator hai EUR/USD ka 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hona, jo ke filhaal 1.0826 par hai. 200-day EMA traders aur analysts ke liye aik crucial benchmark hai, jo long-term bullish aur bearish trends ke beech ka dividing line banata hai. Is level ko surpass karna aik strong bullish signal hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD pair short-term upward momentum ke phase mein enter kar raha hai. 200-day EMA ke upar movement market sentiment mein shift ko reflect karta hai, jo traders ko bullish trend se engage karne ke liye attract karta hai.

Momentum Ko Evaluate Karna Relative Strength Index (RSI) Ke Sath

Relative Strength Index (RSI) EUR/USD pair ke momentum ko evaluate karne ke liye ek zaroori tool hai. Filhaal, RSI 60 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pair overbought territory mein nahi hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi extend hone ki potential rakhta hai bina kisi imminent reversal ke risk ke. RSI ka 60 ke aas-paas hona strong buying momentum ko signify karta hai, jo traders ko upward trend ke continuation par confidence deta hai.

Volume Analysis Jo Bullish Outlook Ko Support Karta Hai

Volume analysis bhi EUR/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko support karta hai. Recent trading volumes ne upward movement ke dauran rise kiya hai, jo strong market participation aur current trend ka backing signal karta hai. Higher trading volumes aksar significant price movements se pehle hota hai, jo overall bullish trend ko credibility deta hai. Yeh solid market participation ki foundation bullish signals ki reliability ko enhance karti hai.

Potential Correction aur Next Support Levels

Aisa lagta hai ke bearish correction movement 1.0892 RBS (Resistance-turned-Breakout-Support) area ko retest karne ki koshish kar sakti hai aur baad mein 1.0869 tak pohnch sakti hai. 1.0862 se 1.0892 tak ke RBS levels bullish price action ke liye aik acha foothold ho sakte hain taake bullish trend continue ho sake. Pending buy limit orders is price level range ke aas-paas rakhe ja sakte hain, jahan TP1 (Take Profit 1) ke liye 1.0950 par supply area ko target kiya ja sakta hai, aur TP2 ke liye weekly highest price limit 1.1008 ko test kiya ja sakta hai.

Risk Management aur Selling Plans

Buying plan ke liye, risk loss limit ko 200-day MA (Moving Average) ke just neeche, lagbhag 1.0820 par rakha ja sakta hai. Sales plan ke do options hain:

1. Short-Term Sell Entry: Yeh strategy supply area 1.0950 par bearish rejection ka intezar karegi, jo bearish correction movement ke continuation ke saath aligned hai.
2. Long-Term Sales Plan: Yeh consider kiya ja sakta hai agar trend bearish phase mein enter kare, ideally 1.0777 tak decline dekhe jo 200-day MA ke neeche hai. Lekin, sellers ko pehle support 1.0900 ke neeche breakout ko solidify karna hoga; warna, is level par bullish rejection bearish scenario ko later on thwart kar sakta hai.

Abhi instant sell position kholna risky lagta hai, kyunke pair 1.0900 level ke aas-paas fake out kar sakta hai, jo bullish movement ko aur push kar sakta hai.

Summary

Analysis yeh dikhata hai ke EUR/USD pair ke liye bullish sentiment hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke halankeh corrections ho sakti hain, overall trend upward hai. Specific strategies buying aur selling plans ke liye outline ki gayi hain.

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Currency Pair EUR/USD Ka Decline Aur Technical Analysis

Currency pair EUR/USD ne is haftay ke shuru mein mid-1.1045 range se apni girawat ko gehra kar diya hai, jo ke chaar maine se sabse ucha level tha. Is haftay ke Monday ko bhi yeh downward movement continue rahi, jahan pair ne do din se lagataar selling pressure ka samna kiya. Is wajah se spot prices ek nazdeek chaar haftay ke low par slip ho gayi hain, jo ke Asian trading session ke doran 1.1050 ke aas-paas settle hui hain.

ECB Ka Interest Rate Cuts Ka Ishara, Euro Par Pressure:

European Central Bank (ECB) ke recent developments ne Euro ki performance ko influence kiya hai. ECB ke Vice President Luis de Guindos ne September mein interest rate cut ka ishara diya hai, yeh suggest karte hue ke mazeed data available hote hi monetary policy ka thorough reassessment hoga. Is ke ilawa, ECB ki President Christine Lagarde ne pichle hafte yeh bhi kaha ke September mein rate cuts ab bhi “wide open” hain, inflationary pressures ke kam hone ki wajah se. Yeh ummeedain ke aage rate reductions honge, Euro par additional downward pressure dal sakti hain.

US Dollar Index Ka Political Uncertainty Ke Darmiyan Retreat:

Atlantic ke doosre taraf, DXY, jo ke Greenback ki strength ko chhay major currencies ke against measure karta hai, ne 102.10 ke weekly high se retreat kiya hai. Yeh decline Donald Trump ke political future ke hawale se badh gayi umeedain ke bawajood hai, jab ek assassination attempt ke baad political uncertainty barh gayi. Is waqt, Democrats ne Vice President Kamala Harris ko Republicans ke khilaf apni campaign ke lead ke liye nominate kiya hai.

H1 Chart Technical Indicators Jo Continued Bearish Trend Aur Key Support Levels Ko Suggest Kar Rahe Hain:

Pair H1 chart par bearish trend dikhata raha hai, jo ke crucial 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi negative territory mein hai, jo ke 50 midline ke neeche hai. Yeh technical indicators collectively yeh indicate karte hain ke pair ka downward movement continue rehne ki sambhavnayein hain.

Initial Support Levels Aur Potential Decline:

Pair ka initial support level 1.1040 par hai, jo ke Bollinger Band ke lower boundary ke sath coincide karta hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh 1.1000 psychological threshold ki taraf decline ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar selling pressure is point ke neeche continue hota hai, to yeh 1.0735 tak drop ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo ke July 3 ko reach hua low tha.

In sab factors ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD ke bearish trend ko samajhna zaroori hai aur iske technical indicators ke madad se aage ki trading strategies plan karna behtar hoga.

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EUR/USD Ka 0.5% Ka Izafa Aur Greenback Ki Kami

EUR/USD currency pair ne Monday ko 0.5% ka izafa kiya, jab markets ne Greenback ko neeche dhakelna shuru kiya. Aane wale bade central banking summit ne investors ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke bayanat ka intezaar karne par majboor kar diya hai. EU aur US ke PMI figures bhi is haftay ke aakhir mein announce hone wale hain.

EUR/USD Ka Monday Ko Rall

EUR/USD ne Monday ko trading week ke shuruat mein 0.5% ka izafa kiya, jab investors ne broad-market buy buttons par phir se dhyan diya. Euro ne 1.1050 ke upar majbooti se trade kiya aur ab 1.1100 ke retest ki taraf barh raha hai. Hal hi mein kuch kharab US data ne investor ki chinta ko barhawa diya tha ke shayad US mein recession aane wala hai, lekin baad mein aaye behtar US data ne investor ki chinta ko kam kar diya. Ab investors Fed se rate cuts ke isharaat ka intezaar kar rahe hain.

Midweek Market Activity

Midweek mein markets khaamoshi ka samna kar rahe hain, jab tak key PMI data EU aur US se nahi aa jaati. Saath hi, is saal ka Jackson Hole Economic Symposium bhi shuru ho raha hai. Yeh teen cheezen Thursday se markets par asar dal sakti hain.

Pan-EU HCOB PMI Figures

Pan-EU HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ke figures August mein thode upar aane ki umeed hai. EU MoM Manufacturing PMI numbers 45.8 se barh kar 46.0 hone ki umeed hai, jabke Services PMI component 51.9 par barqarar rehne ki umeed hai.

US PMI Figures

Atlantic ke paar, US PMI figures Thursday ko kam hone ki umeed hai. August mein US Manufacturing PMI thoda kam hote hue 49.5 se 49.6 tak aane ki umeed hai, jabke US Services PMI numbers 55.0 se gir kar 54.0 hone ki umeed hai.

Jackson Hole Economic Symposium

Jackson Hole Economic Symposium jo ke Thursday se shuru ho raha hai, investors ko Fed ke policymakers se September mein rate cuts ki sambhavnayein dekhne ko milengi.

Rate Cut Expectations

Recent mein September mein double cut ke bets kaafi kam ho gaye hain jo ke do haftay pehle 70% tak pohoch gaye the. CME’s FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, rate markets ab September 18 ko 50 bps cut ke sirf ek paanch chance ko price kar rahe hain. Overall, markets ab bhi September mein 25 bps cut ko fully price kar chuki hain, aur saal ke aakhir tak teen ya chaar quarter-point cuts ki ummeed hai.

EUR/USD Price Forecast

EUR/USD ne Monday ko 2024 ke liye nayi bidding high set ki, jab markets risk-on stance mein the. Euro Greenback ke khilaf bina rukawat ke barh raha hai aur 1.1000 ke upar firmly trade kar raha hai, bidders Euro ko 1.1100 ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Bullish momentum ne key technical price handle ko reclaim karne mein kami dekhi, lekin buying power ab bhi strong hai aur pair barh raha hai.

Summary

EUR/USD ne August ke shuruat se bottom-to-top lagbhag 3% ka izafa kiya hai, jab pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke paas swing low ke baad north ki taraf move kiya. Markets ab bhi bullish trend ko dekhte hue aage ke developments ka intezaar kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD Analysis Update

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ko phir se dekhte hain - D1 period ke chart par. Main ab bhi apne plan par barqarar hoon jo decline ke liye hai. Jab ke wave structure upar ki taraf order bana raha hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein aur apni signal line ke upar barh raha hai. Pichle haftay ke movements kaafi clear the. Teen distinct movements thiin: pehle growth, phir girawat, aur phir se growth. Ye movements sirf is period pe nahi, balki lower timeframes par bhi clearly visible thiin. Price ne accumulation zone ke maximum ko cross kiya, phir us maximum se gir gaya, jo ke samajh aata hai kyun, kyunki haftay ke darmiyan US se positive news aayi, jisse American dollar ko faida hua aur price ne tezi se girawat dekhi. Ek clearly defined horizontal support level 1.0954 par ban gaya tha, jo closing prices par based tha. Is level se upward rebound toh hua, lekin mujhe itni strong rebound ki ummeed nahi thi. Mujhe laga tha ke rebound chhota hoga aur hum stuck ho jayenge. Ab price ne upar ke top ko cross kar diya hai, shayad hum thodi aur inertia ke saath aage barh jaayein.

Technical Indicators:

CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein bend kar raha hai aur bearish divergence bhi visible hai. Price ne maximum ko cross kar diya hai aur ab correctional decline ki umeed hai. Shorter period M30-H1 par aap mirror level ki formation dekh sakte hain, jahan support resistance mein tabdeel ho raha hai aur neeche work kar raha hai, isse downward correction ka ek hissa capture kiya ja sakta hai.

Reversal Figure:

Iske ilawa, aap dekh sakte hain ke price ne ek reversal figure form kiya hai - ek ascending wedge jisme price ab mojood hai. Ye ek additional sign hai ke price itni tezi se upar nahi ja sakti aur shayad ek downward trend ka reversal bhi jaldi ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, ye figure kaafi achi hai aur accha kaam kar sakti hai, lekin agar price iske upar nikalti bhi hai, toh mujhe lagta hai ye ek fake-out ho sakta hai aur price mein collapse aa sakta hai.

Eurozone CPI Data:

Eurozone ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) bhi jaldi release hone wala hai - jo ke decline ka start ho sakta hai. Ye data market ko aur zyada clarity dega aur downward movement ko confirm kar sakta hai.

Summary:

EUR/USD ke analysis se lagta hai ke short-term mein price ka decline continue ho sakta hai. MACD indicator aur CCI bearish signals de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi downward correction ka indication de rahe hain. Agar price ascending wedge ke pattern ko follow karti hai, toh hum upward movement ka ek final phase dekh sakte hain, jo ke uske baad downward trend mein convert ho sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, market CPI data ka intezaar kar rahi hai jo ke decline ko confirm kar sakta hai aur price ko lower levels tak le ja sakta hai.

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EUR/USD Analysis: Bullish Sentiment Prevails

EUR/USD currency pair ab ek strong bullish sentiment dikhata hai, jo ke different time frames par key pivot levels ke upar trading behavior se sabit hota hai. Yeh pair ab monthly pivot level 1.0827 ke upar trading kar raha hai, jo ke pichle mahine ke pivot level 1.0764 se zyada hai. Yeh upward movement monthly pivot ke upar ke indicator hai ke Euro ka long-term bullish outlook hai US Dollar ke muqablay mein.

Weekly Pivot Levels:

Iske ilawa, EUR/USD weekly pivot level 1.0994 ke upar bhi trading kar raha hai, jo ke pichle haftay ke pivot level 1.0860 se upar hai. Weekly pivot level ka yeh consistent rise market sentiment ke positive honay ko darshata hai short term mein, jo ke bullish trend ko reinforce karta hai. Traders aksar weekly pivot ka istemal market ke overall sentiment ko gauge karne ke liye karte hain, aur is level ke upar trading karna aage ke gains ka signal ho sakta hai.

Daily Pivot Analysis:

Daily level par bhi EUR/USD pair daily pivot 1.0978 ke upar positioned hai. Yeh daily pivot intraday traders ke liye ek critical level hota hai, jo immediate market direction ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Is level ke upar hone ka matlab hai ke short-term momentum bhi Euro ke haf mein hai, jo weekly aur monthly charts par observed broader bullish trend ke saath align karta hai.

Technical Analysis with Pivot Levels:

Pivot levels technical analysis ke essential tools hain, jo traders ko potential support aur resistance levels identify karne mein madad dete hain. Jab currency pair consistently apne pivot points ke upar trade karta hai, toh yeh aam tor par strong uptrend ko signal karta hai. EUR/USD ke case mein, daily, weekly, aur monthly pivot levels ke upar trading ka alignment yeh darshata hai ke market participants Euro ko favor kar rahe hain, shayad underlying economic factors ya market expectations ke wajah se jo demand ko Euro ke liye push kar rahe hain, Dollar ke muqablay mein.

Summary:

Overall, EUR/USD ke trading behavior ka yeh current scenario key pivot points ke upar trading karna ek strong bullish sentiment ko darshata hai. Traders aur investors isse long positions ko favor karne ka signal interpret kar sakte hain, aur agle sessions mein Euro ke Dollar ke muqablay mein further appreciation ki ummeed rakh sakte hain. Agar yeh bullish trend continue karta hai, toh yeh EUR/USD ke upar additional gains ko support kar sakta hai, jo ke market dynamics aur upcoming economic indicators ke basis par further clarity provide kar sakta hai.

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EUR/USD Analysis: Weekly Pivot Level and Market Sentiment

EUR/USD currency pair ab weekly pivot level 1.0994 ke upar positioned hai, jo ke pichle hafte ke pivot level 1.0860 se upar hai. Yeh upward movement short-term mein positive sentiment ko highlight karta hai. Weekly pivot level ka upar hona market mein sustained bullish momentum ko darshata hai. Pivot levels traders ke liye critical technical indicators hain, jo alag-alag timeframes par overall market trends ko determine karne mein madad dete hain.

Weekly pivot level ka 1.0860 se 1.0994 tak rise euro ke liye U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein ek improving outlook ko reflect karta hai. Traders aam tor par is increase ko market ke upward trend ka signal samajhte hain, jahan potential support levels higher prices par establish ho rahe hain. Yeh suggest karta hai ke market participants zyada willing hain euros ko kharidne aur dollars ko bechne ke liye, shayad economic data jo Eurozone ke haf mein hai ya U.S. dollar ke liye kam confidence ke wajah se.

Pivot level ka consistent rise yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke agar pair mein koi retracement ya correction hoti hai, toh yeh support 1.0860 ke aas-paas previous pivot level ke upar milega, na ke isse significantly neeche. Pivot level ek psychological benchmark ke tor par kaam karta hai dono buyers aur sellers ke liye. Jab market is level ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh aam tor par buyer-dominated environment ko reflect karta hai, jo further upward momentum ko contribute karta hai.

Market Sentiment and Euro Strength

Pivot level ke increasing trend yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke broader market sentiment euro ki strength ke sath align kar raha hai. Yeh factors jaise favorable interest rate differentials, economic performance, ya geopolitical stability Europe mein, U.S. ke muqablay mein, ke wajah se ho sakta hai.

Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, toh EUR/USD pair ke upar rising weekly pivot level ka position ongoing bullish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Market participants isse positive signal ke tor par dekhne ke qabil hain, jo additional buying activity ko encourage kar sakta hai. Yeh trend continue ho sakta hai agar underlying economic aur geopolitical conditions Eurozone ke liye favorable rahengi.

Conclusion

Toh, EUR/USD pair ka rising weekly pivot level ke upar hona short-term mein bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Market participants isse ek positive signal ke tor par dekh rahe hain, jo further buying activity ko encourage kar sakta hai. Market sentiment euro ki strength ke haf mein lean kar rahi hai U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein. Agar underlying economic aur geopolitical conditions Eurozone ke liye favorable rahi, toh yeh trend banay rahne ke chances hain.

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EUR/USD Price Action Breakdown

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ki current appraisal par baat karenge. Main EUR/USD pair ke liye U.S. session ke khatam hone aur Asian session ke shuru hone ka intezar kar raha tha, lekin growth Asian market mein bhi jaari rahi. 1.1051-71 point ke aas-paas main slowdown aur reversal ki ummeed kar raha tha. Lekin jab maine longer candlesticks ka jaiza liya, to yeh lagta hai ke hum 13 figures tak push kar sakte hain. Ideal situation yeh hai ke pehle rollback dekhein, lekin yeh pata lagana mushkil hai ke price kahan settle hogi. Iske bawajood, growth strong hai. Volume ke hisaab se 1.0936 tak correction mumkin hai, lekin candlesticks kuch aur hi kehti hain. Ab main kal ke U.S. session ka intezar kar raha hoon. Mahina shayad growth ke sath band hoga, shaayad shadow ke sath, lekin abhi ke liye buy trades mein enter karna samajhdari lagti hai. U.S. fundamentals itne strong nahi hain, EU economy ke muqablay mein.

Daily Scale Analysis

Daily scale par, euro-dollar buyers ab bhi upward trend ko drive kar rahe hain, jiska pehla impulse zone target 1.1110 hai. Dekha jaye to, pichle high 1.1140 se downward fan ka last angle aaj tha, aur yeh bullish extreme hone ke chances hain. EUR/USD pair aaj apne highs par close hone ke liye tayar hai, aur trading ke end se pehle bearish pullback ki koi ummeed nahi hai. Filhal, sirf observation karna hi theek hai. Daily chart par sabse nearest significant support level 1.0916 hai, lekin mujhe is level tak jaldi girne ka ehsaas nahi hota. Upward movement yeh darshata hai ke buyers ab bhi sellers par dominant hain. Chhoti-moti pullbacks ke bawajood, bulls control mein hain aur bears ko apne lead ko relinquish karne ka mann nahi hai. Zigzag line confirm karti hai ke long positions open karna abhi bhi wise hai. MACD aur RSI indicators, jo main signals ko complement karne ke liye use karta hoon, long-buy zone ki taraf indicate kar rahe hain.