𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD

Euro ne Monday ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein 0.5% ka achanak izafa dekha. Yeh surge broader market rally ke sath coincide hua jab investors ne mukhtalif asset classes mein capital inject kiya. EUR/USD pair ne 1.1050 ke upar ek mazboot support level establish kiya aur 1.1100 ke resistance ki taraf determined push kiya. Shuru mein, US se aye kuch underwhelming economic indicators ne investors mein recession ke dar ko janam diya. Lekin, baad mein US data ke rebound ne in concerns ko kuch kam kar diya, aur market indecision ke daur mein aa gaya jab participants Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke trajectory ka intezaar kar rahe hain.

Ab market ka dhyan kuch key economic events par hai. Thursday ko EU aur US ke liye PMI data release hone wale hain, jo manufacturing aur services sector ki activity ke bare mein insights provide karega. Us din Jackson Hole Economic Symposium bhi shuru hoga, jo Federal Reserve ke September mein interest rate cut ke potential ke bare mein koi hints de sakta hai. Ek aggressive rate reduction ke expectations pichle 70% ke peak se significantly kam ho gayi hain. Halanki market abhi bhi 50 basis point cut ke low probability ko price kar raha hai, investors Fed ke projected rate path, jo "dot plots" kehlaya jata hai, mein kisi bhi adjustment ke liye vigilant hain.

EUR/USD pair ne Monday ko 1.1086 ka naya 2024 high achieve kiya, jo prevailing risk-on sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Key technical levels par resistance ka samna karte hue, pair ka upward momentum abhi bhi persistent hai, aur buying pressure prices ko 1.1000 ke upar support kar raha hai. August ke shuru se Euro ne Dollar ke muqablay mein lagbhag 3% ka izafa dekha, 1.0800 ke nazdeek 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) se rebound karte hue. Jaise jaise hafta aage badhega, market participants naye economic data aur central bankers ke statements ko analyze karenge taake future direction of interest rates aur currency valuations ke bare mein clues mil sakein.

Subah ki forecast mein, maine kuch levels highlight kiye the aur unke base par market entry ka plan banaya tha. Aaiye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyse karte hain ke kya huwa. Afsoos ki baat yeh hai ke extremely low volatility ke wajah se, jo ke 15 points ke aas-paas thi, pehle half of the day mein market entry points achieve karna mushkil ho gaya. Technical outlook ko second half of the day ke liye revise nahi kiya gaya.
**EUR/USD pe Long Positions ke Liye:**

Bilkul, Eurozone trade balance ka data euro pe koi asar nahi daal paaya, aur na hi iski umeed thi. Ab U.S. housing market reports pe dhyan shift ho raha hai. Lekin, mujhe shak hai ke yeh data release market ko significantly change karega, isliye channel ke andar hi trading ko prefer karna better hoga aur week ke end mein kuch bada expect nahi karna chahiye. Building permits aur housing starts ka data shayad market ko U.S. dollar ke liye thoda push kar sakta hai, lekin yeh unlikely hai. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index aur inflation expectations bhi zyadatar nazar andaz kiye jayenge, khaaskar jab in indicators mein koi significant changes nahi hain. Given ke technical outlook revise nahi kiya gaya, agar statistics achi nahi hoti, aur 1.0952 ke support level ke aas-paas false breakout formation hota hai, toh yeh long positions ke liye suitable condition hogi, with the expectation ke euro upar jayega aur bullish trend ko strengthen karega. Agar 1.1014 ke significant resistance level ko break kar ke upward movement hoti hai, toh pair ko strengthen kiya jaa sakta hai, aur 1.1047 tak rise ho sakta hai. Sabse door ka target 1.1076 high hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Agar EUR/USD decline karta hai aur 1.0952 ke aas-paas second half of the day mein koi activity nahi hoti, jo ke unlikely hai, sellers ko larger correction ka chance mil sakta hai aur wo active measures le sakte hain, aiming for a drop in the pair. Aise mein, main sirf 1.0916 ke next support level ke aas-paas false breakout ke baad hi consider karunga. 1.0884 se rebound par long positions open karunga, target rakhte hue upward correction of 30-35 points din ke andar.

**EUR/USD pe Short Positions ke Liye:**

Sellers itna active nahi rahe hain. Data release ke baad 1.1014 pe false breakout short positions ke liye suitable scenario provide karega, targeting a decline to the intermediate support at 1.0983. Agar is range ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, aur uske baad se neeche se retest hota hai, toh ek aur selling point mil sakta hai move towards 1.0952, jahan zyada active buying dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Sabse door ka target 1.0916 hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Is level ko test karna euro buyers ke upward trend establish karne ke plans ko thwart karega. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein weak U.S. statistics ke wajah se rise karta hai aur 1.1014 pe bearish activity nahi hoti, toh buyers naya upward trend establish karenge. Aise mein, main selling ko 1.1047 ke next resistance pe postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi action loonga, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions ko 1.1076 se rebound par turant open karunga, targeting a downward correction of 30-35 points

Mere morning forecast mein, maine 1.0926 level ko highlight kiya aur wahaan se market entry decisions karne ki plan kiya. Aayein 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain ki kya hua. 1.0926 level par decline hua, lekin wahaan false breakout formation nahi hua. Isliye, maine first half of the day mein koi trades nahi kiya. Technical picture ko slightly revise kiya gaya second half of the day ke liye.

EUR/USD par Long Positions Kholne Ke Liye:
Eurozone se significant statistics ki absence ke wajah se, traders ki reaction nahi hui. U.S. se upcoming statistics labor market se related hain, lekin wahaan bhi strong aur directed movements nahi honge. Expected figures mein U.S. mein initial jobless claims ki number aur wholesale inventories mein changes shamil hain. FOMC member Thomas Barkin ki speech sabse notable event hogi. Dovish statements regarding rates ke case mein, euro ko rise karne ka opportunity mil sakta hai. Lekin long positions kholne ke liye, main decline ka wait karoonga aur new support 1.0919 par false breakout ki formation ka wait karoonga, jo ki yesterday ke results par formed hua. Target hogi rise aur new resistance 1.0954 par update, jahan main euro sellers ki first appearance ko expect karta hoon. Breakout aur subsequent retest is range ko strengthen karega, pair ko 1.0985 ke area mein rise karne ka chance dega. Sabse furthest target hogi 1.1007 high, jahan main profits ko take karoonga. Agar EUR/USD decline karta hai aur second half of the day mein 1.0919 par activity nahi hoti, jo ki important technical level hai, sellers initiative ko regain karenge aur downward trend ko build karenge. Is case mein, main false breakout 1.0895 par formation ke baad hi enter karoonga. Main 1.0871 par rebound par immediately long positions kholoonga, target ke saath upward correction 30-35 points ke within day.

EUR/USD par Short Positions Kholne Ke Liye:
Sellers ne initiative ko maintain kiya, lekin woh first half of the day mein sluggish act kiya. Important U.S. statistics ki absence ke wajah se, main sellers ko market mein return karne ka expect karta hoon. 1.0954 ko defend karna false breakout ke saath, similar to what I discussed above, short positions kholne ke liye suitable scenario hogi, target ke saath decline support 1.0919 par, jo ki yesterday ke results par formed hua. Breakout aur consolidation is range ke neeche, bottom-up retest ke saath, another selling point provide karega, moving towards 1.0895 ke area, jahan main active buying interest ko expect karta hoon. Sabse furthest target hogi 1.0871 level, jahan main profits ko take karoonga. Is level ko testing euro buyers ki upward trend ko build karne ke plans ko undermine karega. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein move up karta hai aur 1.0954 par bears nahi hote, buyers initiative ko regain karne ka chance milega. Is case mein, main selling ko postpone karoonga next resistance 1.0985 par test tak. Main wahaan bhi act karoonga lekin only unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main 1.1007 par rebound par immediately short positions kholoonga, target ke saath downward correction 30-35 points ke within day

Economic calendar ka istemal karke traders apni trading plans aur strategies ko optimize kar sakte hain. High-impact events ke around trading se avoid karna ya trades ko adjust karna traders ko market risks se protect karta hai. Traders ko apne trading schedules ko economic calendar ke events ke sath align karna chahiye.
Regular updates aur accurate information economic calendar ke effectiveness ko enhance karte hain. Traders ko reliable sources se economic data aur news releases ko monitor karna chahiye aur timely updates ko analyze karna chahiye. Economic calendar ka effective use forex trading mein successful strategies develop karne mein madad karta hai.
9. Trading Psychology Ka Asar


Trading psychology forex trading mein ek crucial aspect hai jo trading decisions aur outcomes ko influence karta hai. Emotional control aur mental state trading performance ko significantly affect karte hain. Trading psychology ko samajhna aur manage karna traders ko consistent aur disciplined trading approach maintain karne mein madad karta hai.

Emotional factors jese fear, greed, aur overconfidence trading decisions ko affect kar sakte hain. Fear of loss ya greed for profit traders ko impulsive aur irrational decisions lene par majboor kar sakti hai. Effective trading psychology ke liye traders ko apne emotions ko control karna aur disciplined approach ko follow karna chahiye.

Stress management aur mental well-being bhi trading psychology ke important components hain. Stressful situations aur market volatility traders ko emotional aur psychological pressure me dal sakte hain. Traders ko stress se deal karne ke techniques jese relaxation exercises aur mental breaks ka istemal karna chahiye taake trading performance affect na ho.

Confidence aur patience trading psychology ke key elements hain. Confidence traders ko apne strategies aur decisions par believe karne mein madad karta hai. Patience traders ko market trends aur signals ko wait karne mein help karta hai. Dono qualities trading decisions ko improve karte hain aur long-term success ko ensure karte hain.

Regular self-assessment aur trading reviews bhi trading psychology ko enhance karne mein madad karte hain. Traders ko apne trading performance aur psychological state ko analyze karna chahiye aur necessary improvements ko implement karna chahiye. Trading psychology ko manage karke traders apni trading consistency aur profitability ko improve kar sakte hain.

Subah ki forecast mein, maine kuch levels highlight kiye the aur unke base par market entry ka plan banaya tha. Aaiye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyse karte hain ke kya huwa. Afsoos ki baat yeh hai ke extremely low volatility ke wajah se, jo ke 15 points ke aas-paas thi, pehle half of the day mein market entry points achieve karna mushkil ho gaya. Technical outlook ko second half of the day ke liye revise nahi kiya gaya.
**EUR/USD pe Long Positions ke Liye:**

Bilkul, Eurozone trade balance ka data euro pe koi asar nahi daal paaya, aur na hi iski umeed thi. Ab U.S. housing market reports pe dhyan shift ho raha hai. Lekin, mujhe shak hai ke yeh data release market ko significantly change karega, isliye channel ke andar hi trading ko prefer karna better hoga aur week ke end mein kuch bada expect nahi karna chahiye. Building permits aur housing starts ka data shayad market ko U.S. dollar ke liye thoda push kar sakta hai, lekin yeh unlikely hai. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index aur inflation expectations bhi zyadatar nazar andaz kiye jayenge, khaaskar jab in indicators mein koi significant changes nahi hain. Given ke technical outlook revise nahi kiya gaya, agar statistics achi nahi hoti, aur 1.0952 ke support level ke aas-paas false breakout formation hota hai, toh yeh long positions ke liye suitable condition hogi, with the expectation ke euro upar jayega aur bullish trend ko strengthen karega. Agar 1.1014 ke significant resistance level ko break kar ke upward movement hoti hai, toh pair ko strengthen kiya jaa sakta hai, aur 1.1047 tak rise ho sakta hai. Sabse door ka target 1.1076 high hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Agar EUR/USD decline karta hai aur 1.0952 ke aas-paas second half of the day mein koi activity nahi hoti, jo ke unlikely hai, sellers ko larger correction ka chance mil sakta hai aur wo active measures le sakte hain, aiming for a drop in the pair. Aise mein, main sirf 1.0916 ke next support level ke aas-paas false breakout ke baad hi consider karunga. 1.0884 se rebound par long positions open karunga, target rakhte hue upward correction of 30-35 points din ke andar.

**EUR/USD pe Short Positions ke Liye:**

Sellers itna active nahi rahe hain. Data release ke baad 1.1014 pe false breakout short positions ke liye suitable scenario provide karega, targeting a decline to the intermediate support at 1.0983. Agar is range ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, aur uske baad se neeche se retest hota hai, toh ek aur selling point mil sakta hai move towards 1.0952, jahan zyada active buying dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Sabse door ka target 1.0916 hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Is level ko test karna euro buyers ke upward trend establish karne ke plans ko thwart karega. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein weak U.S. statistics ke wajah se rise karta hai aur 1.1014 pe bearish activity nahi hoti, toh buyers naya upward trend establish karenge. Aise mein, main selling ko 1.1047 ke next resistance pe postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi action loonga, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions ko 1.1076 se rebound par turant open karunga, targeting a downward correction of Subah ki forecast mein, maine kuch levels highlight kiye the aur unke base par market entry ka plan banaya tha. Aaiye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyse karte hain ke kya huwa. Afsoos ki baat yeh hai ke extremely low volatility ke wajah se, jo ke 15 points ke aas-paas thi, pehle half of the day mein market entry points achieve karna mushkil ho gaya. Technical outlook ko second half of the day ke liye revise nahi kiya gaya.
**EUR/USD pe Long Positions ke Liye:**

Bilkul, Eurozone trade balance ka data euro pe koi asar nahi daal paaya, aur na hi iski umeed thi. Ab U.S. housing market reports pe dhyan shift ho raha hai. Lekin, mujhe shak hai ke yeh data release market ko significantly change karega, isliye channel ke andar hi trading ko prefer karna better hoga aur week ke end mein kuch bada expect nahi karna chahiye. Building permits aur housing starts ka data shayad market ko U.S. dollar ke liye thoda push kar sakta hai, lekin yeh unlikely hai. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index aur inflation expectations bhi zyadatar nazar andaz kiye jayenge, khaaskar jab in indicators mein koi significant changes nahi hain. Given ke technical outlook revise nahi kiya gaya, agar statistics achi nahi hoti, aur 1.0952 ke support level ke aas-paas false breakout formation hota hai, toh yeh long positions ke liye suitable condition hogi, with the expectation ke euro upar jayega aur bullish trend ko strengthen karega. Agar 1.1014 ke significant resistance level ko break kar ke upward movement hoti hai, toh pair ko strengthen kiya jaa sakta hai, aur 1.1047 tak rise ho sakta hai. Sabse door ka target 1.1076 high hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Agar EUR/USD decline karta hai aur 1.0952 ke aas-paas second half of the day mein koi activity nahi hoti, jo ke unlikely hai, sellers ko larger correction ka chance mil sakta hai aur wo active measures le sakte hain, aiming for a drop in the pair. Aise mein, main sirf 1.0916 ke next support level ke aas-paas false breakout ke baad hi consider karunga. 1.0884 se rebound par long positions open karunga, target rakhte hue upward correction of 30-35 points din ke andar.

**EUR/USD pe Short Positions ke Liye:**

Sellers itna active nahi rahe hain. Data release ke baad 1.1014 pe false breakout short positions ke liye suitable scenario provide karega, targeting a decline to the intermediate support at 1.0983. Agar is range ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, aur uske baad se neeche se retest hota hai, toh ek aur selling point mil sakta hai move towards 1.0952, jahan zyada active buying dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Sabse door ka target 1.0916 hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Is level ko test karna euro buyers ke upward trend establish karne ke plans ko thwart karega. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein weak U.S. statistics ke wajah se rise karta hai aur 1.1014 pe bearish activity nahi hoti, toh buyers naya upward trend establish karenge. Aise mein, main selling ko 1.1047 ke next resistance pe postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi action loonga, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions ko 1.1076 se rebound par turant open karunga, targeting a downward correction of

EURUSD pair ka price movement abhi bhi Kumo cloud ke upar consistent hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke pair bullish condition mein hai. Is wajah se, price upar ki taraf rally karti hui psychological level 1.1100 ko successfully pass kar chuki hai. Agar koi downward correction hota hai, to price Kumo cloud ke area ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo ab dynamic support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Price minor RBS area 1.1085 ko bhi test kar sakti hai kyun ke yeh current price range ke sab se qareeb hai. Lekin jab Stochastic indicator ke parameters oversold zone mein level 20-10 tak pohunchte hain aur cross karte hain, agar price RBS area tak nahi pohunchti, to upward rally dobara se shuru ho sakti hai. Lekin ye bhi mumkin hai ke continuous upward rally ke reaction ke tor par downward correction phase ho. Agar correction phase psychological level 1.1000 ke neeche wapas aata hai, to ye mushkil lagta hai kyun ke US Dollar ka outlook kamzor ho raha hai, jabke US inflation data 2.9% tak decline hua hai.

Trading plan ke hawalay se, current trending price ko follow karna behtareen rahega ya phir bullish trend ke direction ke mutabiq kaam kiya jaye. BUY entry position tab place karni chahiye jab price neeche correct ho kar Kumo cloud area ya phir minor RBS area 1.1085 ko touch kare. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo oversold zone (level 20-10) mein enter karne ke baad cross karte hain, wo initial confirmation ke tor par use kiye jayenge taake open position prepare ki ja sake. High prices 1.1132 ko take profit target banaya ja sakta hai aur stop loss entry position se taqreeban 30-40 pips ka faasla rakhe, ya phir Risk: Reward ratio 1:2 ka istemal kiya jaye.

EUR/USD ne Monday ko aadha percent ka izafa dekha jab ke markets ne Greenback ko niche dhakel diya. Aane wali central banking summit ki wajah se investors Fedspeak ka intezar kar rahe hain. EU aur US ke PMIs is hafte ke akhir mein expected hain.

EUR/USD ne trading week ki shuruaat mein aadha percent ka izafa kiya, jab ke investors ne broad-market mein buy karna shuru kar diya. Fiber ne 1.1050 ko cross kiya aur ab 1.1100 ke handle ka retest karne ja raha hai. Haal hi mein, US data ki burayee ne investors mein US recession ka khauf barhaya, lekin recent data se thori rahat mili hai. Ab investors Federal Reserve (Fed) se rate cuts ki umeed kar rahe hain.

Hafte ke darmiyan ka waqt market ke liye thanda hai jab ke EU aur US se key PMI data ka intezar hai, aur Jackson Hole Economic Symposium bhi Thursday ko shuru hone wala hai.

Pan-EU HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures August mein barhne ki umeed hai. EU Manufacturing PMI numbers ko 45.8 se 46.0 hone ka estimate hai, jab ke Services PMI component ko 51.9 pe stable rehne ki umeed hai.

America mein, US PMI figures Thursday ko expected hain. US Manufacturing PMI August mein thora niche 49.5 pe aa sakta hai, jab ke US Services PMI numbers poora ek point gir ke 54.0 se 55.0 pe aa sakte hain.

Jackson Hole Economic Symposium Thursday ko shuru hone wala hai aur investors Fed policymakers ke koi signal ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo September mein rate cut ke imkaanaat ko izhar kar sake.

September mein double cut ke chances pehle 70% tak the lekin ab woh kaafi kam ho gaye hain. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, rate markets sirf ek chothai ka 50 bps cut ka chance de rahi hain. Halaat ke mutabiq, September mein 25 bps cut ka poora imkaan hai, aur saal ke akhir tak teen ya chaar quarter-point cuts ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD ne Monday ko 2024 ke liye ek nayi bidding high set ki, 1.1086 ko chhua jab ke markets risk-on stance mein rahe. Euro ne Greenback ke muqablay mein upar jaana jaari rakha aur 1.1000 ke handle se upar chal gaya. Bullish momentum ne key technical price handle ko reclaim nahi kiya lekin buying power abhi bhi mazboot hai jab ke pair upar chadhta ja raha hai.

August ke shuruaat se EUR/USD ne lagbhag 3% ka izafa dekha hai, jab ke pair ne 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke near 1.0800 ke swing low ke baad upar ka safar shuru kiya.

Daily chart par EUR/USD ki price action ka ghor se mutaala karne par yeh samajh aata hai ke bulls apne advance mein mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain. Jab quotes ne 1.0959 ke resistance level ka ek jhoot moot ka breakthrough kiya, to wo wapis aaye aur sideways movement mein chale gaye. Yeh cheez southern direction mein lambi muddat ke liye rollback ke prospects ko barhawa deti hai, jo ke pehle support level 1.0861 tak ja sakti hai, ya phir us se bhi neeche support level 1.0763 tak gir sakti hai. Aise halat mein, northern scenario ko main sirf ek alternative ke tor par dekhta hoon, aur mera nazariya sirf tabhi badle ga agar daily candle 1.0959 ke level ke upar close kar jaye.
US dollar ka girna in dinon ek behtareen discussion ka mawzu hai, aur is ka sabab Federal Reserve ke refinancing rate mein potential cut ke expectations hain. Analysts ne pichlay trading week mein is mawzu par barh chadh kar baat ki, aur ye aglay hafte tak bhi akhbarat mein chaaya rehne ka imkaan hai. Isi wajah se, main agle haftay American statistics ko bare ghor se dekhne wala hoon, khas taur par wo data jo inflation ke hawale se hai. Ye data yeh andaza lagane mein madad de sakta hai ke Federal Reserve September mein refinancing rate ke mutaliq kya faisla kare ga.

Agar quotes 1.0927 ke level ke upar confidently consolidate ho jati hain aur blue moving average ka breakout hota hai, to is situation mein main apna nazariya badloon ga aur market ko upward trend ke tor par khelne ka sochoon ga. Mera target phir current local maximum level 1.1008 ho ga. Lekin, ye sirf tab hoga jab market mein yeh conditions puri hoti hain. Aksar market mein aise moments aate hain jo expectation ke mutabiq nahi hote, is liye hamesha alternative scenarios ka dhyaan rakhna chahiye

EUR/USD currency pair ne Monday ko European trading session ke doran 1.0900 ke critical support level ke upar narrow trading range maintain kiya. Jab investors Federal Reserve ke September ke interest rate cut ke potential magnitude ka pata lagane ke liye crucial economic data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, major currency pairs indecisiveness ka shikar hain. Agle US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, jo Wednesday ko release hone wali hai, inflationary pressures ka key indicator ban chuki hai. Economists ka kehna hai ke headline aur core inflation dono mein modest increase dekhne ko milega. Magar annualized figures mein deceleration expected hai, jo Fed rate cut ke expectations ko reinforce karta hai. Market consensus September mein rate reduction ki taraf lean kar raha hai, lekin cut ki extent abhi bhi uncertain hai. Pehle to 50 basis points ki substantial reduction ki expectations thi, lekin recent economic data aur Fed officials ke comments ne in expectations ko kam kar diya hai, aur 25 basis points ki choti reduction ko zyada likely suggest kiya hai.
EUR/USD H1 time frame chart par pair ne noticeable downward trajectory maintain kiya hai, jo ke various market forces ke complex interplay se shape hui hai. Yeh decline sirf technical patterns ka natija nahi hai, balki yeh fundamental economic conditions se gehra taluq rakhti hai jo traders ke decisions ko influence kar rahi hain. EUR/USD par continuous downward pressure kuch key factors ki wajah se hai, jisme Eurozone aur United States ki economic landscape, dono regions ke beech interest rate differentials, aur global financial markets mein prevailing sentiment shamil hain. H1 time frame chart EUR/USD ka yeh fundamental influences ko reflect karta hai, jisme clear downward trend dikhayi deti hai jo broader macroeconomic context ke sath align karta hai.

EUR/USD ka pair filhal strong short-term growth potential dikhata hai, aur medium-term signals bhi samne aa sakte hain jo ek sustained long-term trend ki raah khol sakte hain. Jahan pair ek key peak ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, buyers favorable position mein hain aur recent price action ka faida utha rahe hain. Halankeh current price level high hai, yeh absolute maximum nahi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke abhi bhi further upside movement ki gunjaish hai.
Pichle hafte, EUR/USD pair ne ek significant weekly triangle pattern ko break kiya, jo ek technical formation hai jo aksar price ke breakout se associated hota hai. Yeh breakout ek upward movement ka signal hai, jo dikhata hai ke buyers market par control hasil kar rahe hain. Is breakout ke saath, pair ne further gains ke liye promising opportunities khol di hain, kyunke abhi unke raaste mein koi immediate restrictions nahi hain. Market ab aisi position mein hai jahan buyers asani se price ko upar le ja sakte hain.

Is bullish movement ke liye ek key target 9% level of the weekly Fibonacci retracement hai. Yeh target current price se sirf 50 pips ke faasle par hai, jo short-term mein achieve karna mumkin hai. Current market momentum ko dekhte hue, price ka is level tak pahunchna expected hai bina kisi significant resistance ke. Lekin, is target ko hit karne ke baad, ek pullback ho sakta hai, jo strong upward movements ke baad aam hota hai.

Pullback ka potential negative development ke taur par nahi dekhna chahiye, balki market ke natural ebb and flow ka hissa samajhna chahiye. Fibonacci level tak pahunchne ke baad ek retracement bullish trend ko join karne walon ke liye ek behtar entry point provide kar sakta hai, kyunke overall market sentiment positive hai

Assalamu Alaikum dear main ummid karta hun aap sab khairiyat se Honge aur Achcha kam kar rahe Honge Ham Ko is market Mein inter hone ke liye ek acche mind ke sath kam karna chahie Agar Ham ismein Apna mind open karke Koi kam vagaira Karte Hain To Humko ismein Achcha Kam Karne Ko Dil Karta Hai Agar Ham ismein apne aap ko mayus karke ismein kam karte hain to hamare Se Koi Kam Nahin Hoga ismein Kam karna Ek bahut hi Achcha hai Hamen ismein time Dena chahie Jitna Ham time Denge Hamen utna Hi ismein Kam Karne Se fayda Hoga aur ham Agar ismein thread karne se pahle Hamen post ko acchi Tarah Se read karna chahie Agar Ham post ko acchi Tarah se padh Lenge To Ham uska jawab De Sakenge isliye Ham Aaj isEUR/USD higher highs aur higher lows ka pattern dikhata raha hai, lekin 4-hour chart pe ascending channel ki upper boundary ko break nahi kar saka, jo kuch potential bearish momentum ko suggest kar raha hai. Negative readings on RSI aur Stochastic indicators bhi near-term weakness ki possibility ko reinforce karte hai Agar nearby support level 1.0928 breach hota hai, to EUR/USD pair ek aur significant decline dekh sakta hai towards the lower channel boundary at 1.0898. Agar yeh level decisively close hota hai, to overall uptrend undermine ho jayega. Iske ilawa, agar price 50-period moving average at 1.0870 se neeche sharply girti hai, to yeh ek more pronounced bearish reversal signal karegi, jo potentially 1.0850 area, jo pehle ek resistance level tha, tak target karegi Overall, EUR/USD pair ko downward pressure face karna pad raha hai due to multiple factors, including potential for a Fed rate cut, uncertainty around ECB's monetary policy, aur technical indicators

Euro ne Tuesday ke trading session ke dauran apni upward momentum ko continue rakha, aur is waqt Jackson Hole Symposium ke intezar ka silsila bhi chal raha hai jo is haftay ke aakhir mein hone wala hai. Hum jab 1.11 level ke qareeb pohnch rahe hain, to kai traders is par nazar rakhe hue hain, kyunke yeh level pichle do saalon se kaafi significant raha hai.
Ab sabse bada sawaal yeh hai ke kya euro is upward trajectory ko barqarar rakh sakta hai? Agar euro ne 1.11 level ko decisively break kiya, to yeh ek significant uptrend ko trigger kar sakta hai, aur agla target 1.1250 level ke qareeb ho sakta hai, jo ke pehle bhi notable activity ka shikaar raha hai. Market ab ek possible bottom-rounding pattern bana raha hai, jo ek strong upward move ka indication ho sakta hai. Magar, main is risk rally ke sustainability ko le kar abhi bhi skeptical hoon.

Filhal, daily candle kisi bhi direction mein strong pressure nahi dikhati, jo cautious market sentiment ko reflect karti hai. Pichle session mein US dollar kamzor hua, jo ke "risk-on" sentiment aur yeh expectations ke chalte tha ke Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell shayad zyada accommodative policy ki taraf jayein. Yeh sawal utha raha hai ke kya market overbought ho sakta hai. Sach mein, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 4-hour chart par dikhata hai ke Euro overbought hai aur daily chart par bhi overbought territory mein enter kar raha hai.

In conditions ke tehat, near-term mein downside ka hona mumkin lagta hai, halankeh longer-term outlook abhi bhi bullish hai. Wednesday ko Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke minutes release hone wale hain, jo kuch volatility create kar sakte hain, khas taur par agar content market ke expectations se kam dovish stance dikhata hai. Wall Street Federal Reserve par rate cut karne ke liye pressure daal raha hai, aur historically Fed ne aksar market expectations ko match kiya hai. Hum dekhenge ke aane wale dinon mein yeh dynamic kaise develop hoti hai

Euro ne Monday ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein 0.5% ka achanak izafa dekha. Yeh surge broader market rally ke sath coincide hua jab investors ne mukhtalif asset classes mein capital inject kiya. EUR/USD pair ne 1.1050 ke upar ek mazboot support level establish kiya aur 1.1100 ke resistance ki taraf determined push kiya. Shuru mein, US se aye kuch underwhelming economic indicators ne investors mein recession ke dar ko janam diya. Lekin, baad mein US data ke rebound ne in concerns ko kuch kam kar diya, aur market indecision ke daur mein aa gaya jab participants Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke trajectory ka intezaar kar rahe hain.
Ab market ka dhyan kuch key economic events par hai. Thursday ko EU aur US ke liye PMI data release hone wale hain, jo manufacturing aur services sector ki activity ke bare mein insights provide karega. Us din Jackson Hole Economic Symposium bhi shuru hoga, jo Federal Reserve ke September mein interest rate cut ke potential ke bare mein koi hints de sakta hai. Ek aggressive rate reduction ke expectations pichle 70% ke peak se significantly kam ho gayi hain. Halanki market abhi bhi 50 basis point cut ke low probability ko price kar raha hai, investors Fed ke projected rate path, jo "dot plots" kehlaya jata hai, mein kisi bhi adjustment ke liye vigilant hain.

EUR/USD pair ne Monday ko 1.1086 ka naya 2024 high achieve kiya, jo prevailing risk-on sentiment ko reflect karta hai. Key technical levels par resistance ka samna karte hue, pair ka upward momentum abhi bhi persistent hai, aur buying pressure prices ko 1.1000 ke upar support kar raha hai. August ke shuru se Euro ne Dollar ke muqablay mein lagbhag 3% ka izafa dekha, 1.0800 ke nazdeek 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) se rebound karte hue. Jaise jaise hafta aage badhega, market participants naye economic data aur central bankers ke statements ko analyze karenge taake future direction of interest rates aur currency valuations ke bare mein clues mil sakein

EUR/USD currency pair ne haali mein ek nayi upward trend form ki hai, jo ke hourly time frame par trend line ke zariye indicate hoti hai. Is se yeh pata chalta hai ke euro ne U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein kuch strength hasil ki hai, jo ke higher lows aur higher highs ke series ki wajah se hai. Yeh aam tor par short-term bullish market sentiment ko signal karta hai.
Lekin, is upward movement ke bawajood, broader context ko dekhna zaroori hai. Euro ne ab tak apni zyadatar bullish factors ko price in kar liya hai, ya shayad sabhi ko kar chuka hai, jo ke uski recent gains ka sabab bante hain. Yeh factors Eurozone se aane wale positive economic data, European financial markets mein stability, ya U.S. economy ke weaker-than-expected performance par mabni ho sakte hain. In factors ke already price mein shamil hone ki wajah se, euro ke upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhne ke liye naye, significant catalysts ki zaroorat ho sakti hai.

Is scenario mein, yeh unlikely lagta hai ke EUR/USD pair established trend line se ooper ek sustained upward movement experience karega. Current upward momentum shayad zyada der tak na chal sake, aur pair ko key psychological ya technical levels ke qareeb resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Agar Eurozone mein aur positive developments na aayein ya U.S. dollar mazeed weak na ho, to euro ke liye higher resistance levels ko convincingly break karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

Aur jab hum broader 24-hour time frame par dekhein, to EUR/USD pair abhi bhi ek flat phase mein hai, jo 1.06 aur 1.10 ke range mein fluctuate kar raha hai. Yeh longer period mein strong directional movement ki kami ko indicate karta hai, jahan currency pair in bounds ke andar oscillate kar raha hai jab market participants dono taraf se mixed signals ko weigh kar rahe hain

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

EUR/USD 1.1150-1.1200 ke darmiyan test kar sakta hai pehle ke shayad upar se ruk jaye

Dollar Index mein aik tezi se girawat dekhne mein aa rahi hai aur agar yeh 101 se neechay girta hai to yeh 100.5-99.5 tak ja sakta hai medium term mein. Euro 1.11 se upar chala gaya hai aur 1.1150/75-1.12 ko test kar sakta hai pehle ke yeh upar se ruk jaye. USDJPY aur EURJPY 145 aur 160/158 se upar hold kar sakte hain aur medium term mein upar ja sakte hain. Pound aur Aussie ke liye 0.6775/0.6850 aur 1.30/3050 par ahm resistances hain jahan se girawat ho sakti hai. USDCNY 7.18-7.12 ke darmiyan volatile reh sakta hai jahan 7.12 tak girawat ho sakti hai. EURINR ne 93 ke resistance ko paar kar liya hai aur agar yeh 93.50 se upar break karta hai to yeh qareebi waqt mein 94 tak ja sakta hai. USDINR ne 83.75 ko test kiya lekin wahan se waapis upar chala gaya, jaisa ke hum ne pehle se andaza lagaya tha. Agar yeh 83.75 se neechay break karta hai to 83.70/60 ka level saamne aa sakta hai. Warna, yeh waapis 83.90/84.00 ki taraf ja sakta hai.

US Treasury yields apne intermediate support se neechay gir gaye hain. Yeh humari bearish raaye ko barqarar rakhta hai. Yields yahan se aur gir sakte hain. German yields bhi humari umeed ke mutabiq gir rahi hain. Raaye bearish hai aur aur girawat ke liye jagah hai. 10Yr GoI ne range ke neechay break kiya lekin yeh sustain nahi kar saka. Sideways range waqarar rehne ke imkaanaat hain. Bias bearish hai ke range ke neechay aik sustained break ho aur future mein girawat ho.

Dow Jones aur Nikkei gir gaye hain jab ke unke respective resistances hold kar rahe hain aur yeh yahan se aur gir sakte hain. DAX thora sa neechay aaya hai lekin shayad yeh 18200 par support le aur qareebi waqt mein bullish raaye barqarar rahe. Nifty qareebi waqt ke liye bullish hai. Shanghai aur zyada gir gaya hai aur yeh 2800 tak neeche aa sakta hai.

Crude prices girti ja rahi hain lekin aik ahm support aa raha hai, jo agar hold karta hai to medium term mein bounce back produce ho sakta hai. Gold, Silver aur Copper neeche aa sakte hain jab tak yeh 2600, 30.00 aur 4.25-4.22 ke neeche hain. Natural gas qareebi waqt ke liye range bound lagta hai.

Elliott Wave analysis ke mutabiq EUR/USD impulsive rally favor kar raha hai bull side

Short term Elliott Wave view EUR/USD mein yeh suggest kar raha hai ke pair aik bullish sequence banane ke qareeb hai. 12.28.2023 ke peechle high 1.1139 par break ke saath, yeh aglay leg ke upar jaane ka imkaan hai. Qareebi waqt mein, 6.26.2024 ke low se rally 5 waves ke impulsive structure mein unfold ho rahi hai. 6.26.2024 ke low se upar, wave 1 1.0948 par khatam hui aur wave 2 ka pullback 1.0777 par khatam hua. Pair tab se wave 3 mein upar ja raha hai jo ke aik aur impulsive structure mein subdivide hota hai. Wave 2 ke baad se, wave ((i)) 1.1 par khatam hui aur wave ((ii)) ka pullback 1.088 par khatam hua.




Pair wave ((iii)) mein waapis upar chala gaya hai. Wave ((ii)) se upar, wave i 1.1047 par khatam hui aur wave ii ka pullback 1.0948 par khatam hua. Wave iii jald khatam hone ke imkaanaat hain, aur pair phir wave iv mein pullback karega taake cycle ko 8.15.2024 ke low mein 3, 7, 11 swings mein correct kare before yeh phir se upar jaye wave v of (i) mein. Qareebi waqt mein, jab tak 1.088 low par pivot intact rehta hai, expect karte hain ke dips buyers ko milen 3, 7, ya 11 swing mein aur further upside ho. 12.28.2023 ke high par 1.1139 par break ke saath, aur important ke 7.17.2023 ke high 1.1275 se upar, yeh bullish sequence aur bullish trend ko confirm karega.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bullish Trends aur Key Indicators

EUR/USD currency pair abhi robust bullish trend ko showcase kar raha hai, jo traders aur investors ke liye forex market mein upward momentum par capitalize karne ke liye appealing prospect hai. Technical examination se kuch key factors ko pata chalta hai jo is positive outlook mein contribute kar rahe hain.

Strong Bullish Rebound

EUR/USD pair ne recently levels below 1.1000 se significant rebound experience kiya hai. Brief test above 1.0950 ke baad, pair ne resilience aur strength ko demonstrate kiya hai. Yeh upward movement crucial hai, kyunki yeh pair ki ability ko highlight karta hai recover karne aur higher push karne ke, even potential market pressures ke face mein.

Break Above 200-Day EMA

200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) pair ki movement above ek notable technical indicator hai, jo 1.0826 par hai. 200-day EMA traders aur analysts ke liye long-term bullish aur bearish trends ke beech key dividing line hai. Is level ko surpass karne se significant bullish signal milta hai, suggesting ki EUR/USD pair strong short-term upward momentum ki phase mein enter ho raha hai. Yeh crossover 200-day EMA ke above market sentiment mein shift ko indicate karta hai, traders ko bullish trend par capitalize karne ke liye attract karta hai.

Favorable Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Relative Strength Index (RSI) pair ki momentum ko assess karne ke liye another critical tool hai. Currently, RSI 60 ke around hai, jo overbought territory mein nahi hai. Yeh suggests ki bullish trend ko extend karne ke liye room hai, immediate risk ke bagair reversal ke. 60 ke around reading buying momentum ko strong dikhaata hai, traders ko upward trend ko continue karne ke confidence deta hai.

Increased Trading Volumes

Volume analysis EUR/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Recent trading volumes ne upward movement ke during increase dekha hai, strong market participation aur current trend ke support ko indicating. High trading volumes often significant price movements ke precede karte hain, ongoing bullish trend ko credibility deta hai. Yeh solid base market participation upward momentum ki strength ko underscores karta hai aur bullish signals ki reliability ko enhance karta hai