𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD Ke Price Activity

Humari guftagu live EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing ko samajhne ke liye hai. Market asal mein US ki arzoo dar haliyat se mutasir hai jab taza GDP figures tawaqo' se kam nikle 1.3%, tawaqo'ati 1.6% se neeche. Kuch musbat daleel ke bawajood, zyadatar manfi hain, jo zero ke rukh ka khatra barha rahe hain. Is natije mein, dollar ko farokht ke dabao ka samna karna par sakta hai. Ye zaroori hai ke Fed rate musbat rehne ke liye naqami ka samna kare, warna Powell ko ma'ashiyat ke lehaz se fikar izhar karne pad sakti hai. Agar yeh na kia gaya to mazeed dollar farokht hone ka samna kar sakta hai. Fed ka elaan se pehle, tawajjo ECB rate par thi. Tutay huay ascending channel ek ghalat rukh ki alamat dete hain. Surkhi trend line ko toorna aur 1.08 ke neeche levels ko barqarar karna downtrend ki tasdeeq ke liye ahem hai; warna, pair 1.10 ki taraf barhna jaari rakh sakta hai.





H4 Chart Par

Charts par muntaqil imkano se mukhalfat ka saboot diya gaya hai jahan resistance zones darj kiye gaye hain. Behtareen farokht ki tasdeeq in zones ko neeche se dobara test karne ki muntazir hai. Aaj, ankon ne apni manfi rukh ki raah par dobara chala gaya hai, jahan bhalu pichle din ki session ke nuqsanat ko tijarat karte hain. Neela moving average ke neeche girte hue bhi, 1.0867 support level ko toorna munasib nahi hai. Market ka nazariya mazboot hai, aur ek bullish harkat mantuqi hai. Session ke doran US job vacancy data ka ijaad chhote se uroojati durusti ka sabab bana, lekin is data par mabni lambi mojoodgi intehai mumkin hai, US ka mazboot kaam market ke darust hone ke hisaab se. Agar ankon neela moving average par laute, to bearish trend-based trade strategy mumkin ho jayegi, jisme giravat ki jari rahne ki tawaqo' hai 1.0819 support level ki taraf.

EUR/ USD Ke Price Ki Tasveer

Main EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ki harkat ke dynamics ka jaeza le raha hoon. Kal ke 1.08894 ke breakout ne matloob afzaish nahi di. Lekin, aaj ka bearish sell breakout ek giravat ka ishara deta hai, mujhe nuksan par khareedne ka position band karne ke liye majboor karta hai. Mojooda bearish sell level 1.08626 par mazeed giravat ka ishara hai, jo 1.0836 tak ya phir 1.0787 aur 1.0762 tak pohanch sakta hai. Ek bearish trend bullish trend lines ko nakara kar sakta hai, jo neeche ki taraf ke harkat ko taqwiyat deta hai. Doosri taraf, mera bullish buy level 1.0923 par hai; yahan se breakout aage ki taraf ki harkat ka ishara ho sakta hai jo resistance levels 1.0975 aur shayad 1.1077 tak pohanch sakti hai. Keemat ki nazar seema bullish lagti hai, lekin bhaaloo ke price volatility kam hai. Market mein bullish junoon hai, is liye faida ke liye girawat par khareedain. Market ab bhi bhaaloo traders ko faida de rahi hai.




Markazi Bankon Ke Hawale Se

Markazi Bankon ke mutaliq, Fed ke rates ko khatarnaak hone ki koi tawaqo nahi hai, lekin media ki batain Powell ke taqreer par market ke jazbat ko asar andaz kar sakti hain. Ekhtilaafat ke doran, ECB ne rates ko kam kiya hai, aur reports isharaat deti hain ke Europe ki maqbool maeeshati behbood ki taraf jaa rahi hai, jo rates ko kam karne ke baare mein guftaguon ko buland karti hai. Ye ghair yaqeeni market ko mutasir kar raha hai. Technical lehaaz se, humne aaj EMA20 se 1.0867 ki taraf se ek rebound dekha, jahan resistance 1.0895 par hai aur buniyadi support EMA50 (1.0852) par hai. Currency pair ab ek triangle pattern ke andar trading kar raha hai, aur haftawi ulat-phir ka imkan hai. Lekin, is ulat-phir ke sahi level ka taeed abhi tak nahi hai. Jab ke pound upri hadd tak pohanchta hai, EUR/USD ko abhi tak us hadd ki taraf movement ke liye jagah hai.

Salam, EUR/USD ne Peer ko 1.0880 se phir se rebound kiya jab Federal Reserve ke afraad ke comments ne behtar market flows par asar dala. Aam market Fed ki taraf se rate cut ke ishaaron ka be sabri se intezar kar raha hai, lekin central planners naye inflation ke sakht manzar ke saath umeedon ko kam kar rahe hain jo Fed ke rate moves par rukawat daalti hai. Technically, EUR/USD pair bullish hai. Daily chart pair ko sabhi moving averages ke oopar aage badhte hue dikhata hai, 20 simple moving average tezi se peeche aata hai jisse ek aur upar ki daur ke liye support milta hai, khaaskar agar pair 1.0900 range ko todati hai. Ek saath, technical indicators overbought levels ke qareeb hain, halan ke bina mukhtalif taqat ke saath. Relative Strength Index halka sa nichla ho raha hai, jisse kharidari dabao kam hone ka ishaara hota hai. 4-hour chart ek neutral technical stance pesh karta hai. EUR/USD abhi apne 20 SMA ke aaspaas ghoom raha hai, jo bullish taqat ko khota ja raha hai lekin abhi bhi shumali taraf ja raha hai. Lambay moving averages upar ja rahe hain, halan ke lagbhag 100 pips neeche, ahmiyat ko khota ja rahe hain. Aakhir mein, technical indicators apne midlines ke aaspaas phans gaye hain, jo Wall Street ke band hone se pehle tijarati dilchaspi mein kami ka aks dikhate hain. EUR/USD ne Peer ko kisi khaas action nahi dekha, din ke zyadatar hisse mein 1.0860 mark ke aaspaas ghooma. Europe mein chutti thi aur U.S. macroeconomic calendar mein kisi naye data ki kami thi jo shor machaane wale trading din mein aur bhi sunsaan bana diya. Investors Federal Reserve ke afraad ke comments mein clues talash kar rahe the, jin ke paas U.S. ke haal ki inflation ke aakhri tabdeelion par mukhtalif raye thi.Amooman, Fed ke afraad future actions ke mutalliq ehtiyaat barqarar rakhte rahe, kyun ke unhe abhi bhi lagta hai ke inflation control se door hai. Europe Mangal ko kuch minor figures ke saath lautega. Germany April producer price index ko shaaya karayega, jise -3.2% YoY ki umeed hai, pehle -2.9% se. Is ke ilawa, Eurozone March current account ko jaari karega, jo mowafiq surat mein €30.2 billion ka surplus dikhata hai. EU March ke trade balance ko bhi shaaya karega, jab ke U.S. session mein ek aur batch of Fed speakers honge. Ek saath, Asian shares hafta ki shuruaat mein barh gaye, jo U.S. indices mein ek mazid mojooda shuruaat ka nateeja diya. Halan ke, darmiyan-e-sayaa Dopehar mein Dow Jones Industrial Average tezi se neeche gaya, jabke S&P 500 aur Nasdaq Composite ne mukhtalif hisson par qabzaa kiya. Aakhir mein, wazeh hai ke U.S. dollar ne halki tone maintain ki, halan ke sarkari bond yields mein ek mamooli izafa hua.

Asalam-o-Alaikum. Options ke hawale se, mujhe order accumulation ke areas ko kis tarah se tameer karna hai, is baare mein kuch maloom nahi hai, lekin aam tor par mujhe statistical tajziyat se guzarish mili hai ke option levels strong levels par chart ke mutabiq hote hain. Aur jaise ke kehte hain: "Agar koi farq nahi hai, to phir zyada kyun chukain?" Agar aap un mazboot levels ko un oonchi nisf se dekhte hain, to bechne walon ko ek faal medium-term harkat ki taraqqi ke liye 1.26738 ke darja ko torhna aur is par qabza karna zaroori hai, ye un ascendng structure ka acha tod hai aur jari giravat ka ishara hai. 1.25087 ke darja ko nishana ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Khareedne walon ke liye, ek aagay ki harkat ki taraqqi ke liye, unko phir se 1.28 ke darja par khud ko mazbooti se qaim karna hoga, jab tak ke yeh kisi tarah se unke samne na aajaye.





EURUSD M5 pair:

1- Euro 5 minute ke chart par bands ke markazi ilaqe mein hai, aur bands khud ek tang horizontal position mein hain. Humein is surat mein keemat mein izafa ya kami ke liye ek naya signal hasil karne ke liye, bandon mein se kisi ek ke baahar se naye exit ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir dekhein ke band kya khul rahe hain ya nahi.

2- AO indicator zero mark ke qareeb hai aur hamein koi khaas ishara nahi deta. Behter hai ke hum ek active izafa ya kami ke sath intezaar karen, jo humein is izafa ke rukh ki taraf price movement ke baare mein baat karne ki ijaazat dega.

3- Khareedne ke liye dakhilah level 1.08793 se shuru kiya ja sakta hai; keemat mein izafa ke liye 1.08867 ke darja tak ki umeed hai.

4- Farokht 1.08690 ke darja par rakh sakte hain, keemat mein giravat ka intezar 1.08621 tak pohanch sakta hai.

EUR/USD Takneeki Jaiza

Dusra maheena pehle set kiye gaye un bulandiyon ko torne ki koshish karne ke bawajood, keemat is maheenay banaye gaye ek keemat channel ke andar hee hai. Yeh istiqamat, sath hee neela channel dekha gaya do maheenon ke keemat ka bewakoof, keemat ke barhne ke trend ka potential dikhata hai, jo ke investors ke liye ek itminan ka bais hai. Jab keemat ko is maheenay ke pehle dino mehwar pivot ke darja 1.820 se mukhalfat ka samna hua, toh yeh gir gai aur phir phir se chadh gayi, mahine ka pivot aur girte hue surk channel tor diya. Yeh aik dafa phir se is ilaake ko test karne gayi; yakeenan, ek keemat ka nichla hissa bana, aur keemat phir se chadh gayi. Aaj neele channel aur mahiney ke mukhalfat ke darja 1.0890 ko tor karne ke baad, keemat ka mukhtalif mukhlifin ke darja 1.880 tak barhne ka izafa hai kyunki aaj keemat ne neele channel ko tor diya hai.





4 ghantay ka chart ke mutabiq, keemat ne bhi ek urdu trend dikhaya, jab keemat nafees keemat channels ke andar trading karte hue, haftawar pivot ke darja 1.0810 ke upar, aur nafees keemat channels ke andar trading shuru ki. Keemat ne darust tarah se trading ki, jab keemat haftawar ke mukhalfat ke darja 1.0835 tak chadh gayi, phir us darje ko tor diya, gir gaya, aur phir wapas aaya aur phir se usay tor diya. Market mein keemat ke rawayyaat ke jari rahne ke saath, market ke rawayyaat ka jari rahne ke saath. Jesa ke hum pehle bhi point out kiye gaye hain, keemat ne mukhalfat tak pohnch gayi, phir bounce kiya, aur phir mukhalfat ilaake mein wapas aayi ek koshish mein ise torne ke liye. Keemat ke channels ke upar chadhne ke baad 1.0910 tak barhaw hai, kyunki keemat ne unke upar barqarar hone ka izhar kiya hai, kyunki keemat ne unke upar tor diya hai.

Meri subah ki tajwez mein, maine 1.0861 ke darje par tawajjo dilai aur is par buniyadi bazaar mein daira ki faisley karnay ka irada kiya. Chalain, 5 minute ka chart dekhtay hain aur samajhtay hain ke wahan kya hua. Eurozone se kamzor data aur jodi kay girnay ke bawajood, hum 1.0861 ke imtehan tak nahi pohanch saktay thay. Aham US statistics aur kal ECB ki meeting ke samnay kam volatility munasib lag rahi thi. Dinn ke doosray hissay ke liye takneeki tasveer baqi rehti hai.

EUR/USD par lambi hawale darwazay kholnay ke liye:
Jaisa ke din ke doosray hissay mein dekha gaya, kai Eurozone kay mukhtalif mulkon ki khidmati sector ki fa'aliyat ka kamzor data euro ko uski izaafi barhaw mein barkarar rakhnay nahi diya. Qareeb anay wale ahem US statistics ke madday say, jodiyon par dabaav kay rehnay ka imkaan hai. ADP rozgar tabdeel, ISM Khidmati PMI, aur mufassil PMI, jismein imalati shobay ka data shamil hai, ka intezar hai. Mazboot statistics 1.0861 ilaqay ki mukhtalif tor par girnay ki muntazir hai. Magar sirf wahan ek jhooti tor par bhrunh hone ka tajwez hoga jo lambay hawalay ki dafaqat ko mukhtalif banay ga, jo EUR/USD ko 1.0887 ke darajay tak wapas layega, bas neeche jo harek raqam hai, jisey bechne waley ko ta'aeed hai. 1.0887 ke upar se neeche todh kar barhne ka amal, ghayrat mand PMI statistics ke darmiyan, jo haftay ki shurwat mein imalati fa'aliyat ke figures ke mutabiq hoga, jori ko mazboot karega aik jhataka 1.0915 tak hawaalay. Sab se duur ka matloob aik naya mahina darja 1.0942 hoga, jahan se main fa'ida uthaonga. Agar EUR/USD mein girawat ho aur dinn ke doosray hissay mein 1.0861 ke aas paas koi fa'al nahi hoti, toh trading zyada lambay tarafon mein jari rahegi, jo euro par baray dabao ka sabab banay ga aur pair ki girawat ko lekar aega. Is surat mein, main sirf ek jhooti tor par shamil hounga aglay support 1.0838 ke ird gird. Main neeche se 1.0813 par wapis aane par foran lambi hawale ki jagah kholne ka irada karta hoon, jahan ki madday se din ke andar 30-35 point ka ek upri sudhar muntazir hai.





EUR/USD par choti hawale darwazay kholne ke liye:
Sellers ko bazaar ka nigrani phir se hasil karne ka moqa hai, lekin iske liye acha US statistics ki zaroorat hai. Behtar hai ke hum subah ke mukhalfat 1.0887 ke darajay par aur uthanay aur jhooti tor par intezar karen, jo aik kamzor US khidmati sector report ke baad ho sakta hai. Sirf yehi naye short positions ke liye ek daakhil darja faraham karega jise euro ki girawat aur 1.0861 ke aas paas ki imtehan ko dohraayegi. Is had tak aur wapas is daire ke neeche aur seedha honay ki imtehan se doosra point milega jahan se main 1.0838 minimum ki taraf ko pounchne ka tawajo kar raha hoon. Sab se duur ka matloob 1.0813 ka minimum hoga, jahan se main faida uthaonga. Agar EUR/USD ka dinn ke doos

EUR/USD Takneeki Jaiza

Aaj ke dauran qeemat nay ek naya satha ehal kiya hai, aur yeh neela channel line chart par hai, sath hi 1.0780 ka support level bhi, jo ke anay wale arsay mein keemat mein izaafi uthaao ke liye madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Aaj ke trading ne uthne waale suraj ke movement ko darust karte hue lal channel mein hoti rahi, jo ke Jumeraat se aaj tak ki keemat ki harekatein darust karti hai. Lekin trading ke khulne ka amal haftay ka support level 1.0790 aur rozaana ka pivot level 1.0735 ke darmiyan hua, jis se keemat kai ghanton tak asal mein kahein aik jagah mojood rahi, jab tak keemat ne uthne waale channel se bahar nikaal diya aur pivot level ko tor diya, jis se keemat kai ghanton tak kahein mojood rahi. Keemat yahan se barhegi kyunke yeh neela channel line ek satha aakay do ghanton se trading kar rahi hai. Jab keemat haftay ke pivot level ke neeche bechnay waale ilaqa mein aur neechay jhokte hue channels mein trading karti hai, to yeh wazeh hai ke 4 ghanton ka chart aik ghante ka chart ka khilaf hai, jahan channels ke darmiyan ka darmiyan ka satha ab keemat ko peechay rok raha hai, jis ka matlab yeh hai ke yeh keemat haftay ke pivot level ke neeche farokht ke liye mojood hogi.






EUR/USD jodi par trading ke liye

4 ghanton aur 1 ghante ke charts ke darmiyan mukhalif signals hone ke bawajood, ek zyada wazeh aur durust trading mauqa ka intezar karna aqalmandana hai. Hamari tajziya ke rahnumai se hosla afzai hoga ke aap zyada agah aur tehqiqi faraiz le sakenge. Agar keemat mustaqbil mein haftay ke pivot level ke oopar chali gayi, to yahan ek munafa ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Aise moqa par, aaj ke sab se kam trading ke daam ke neeche farokht ke tajziya ko shamil karna munafa deh hosakta hai, agar keemat un daamon ke neeche gir jaye.

Uperward trend Tuesday ko barkarar raha. Humne ghari ka time frame bewajaah kam kiya taake ek aur chal ek maheenay pehle shuru hui, ko poora dikhaya ja sake. Ahem baat yeh hai ke EUR/USD do martaba ooncha channel ke neeche qaim ho gaya, aur dono martaba humne jodha girne ka bhi koi nishaan nahi dekha. Yeh nihayat jama uchaal hai lekin bar bar palat jaata hai. Uchaal bohot chhote hote hain, jaise ke baad mein aane waali khamiyan bhi. Jodi mukhtalif raahon mein chalti hai, lekin yeh hua jab volatiliyat kam hai. Isliye, shuru karte waqt naye logon ko waqtan fa-waqtan mukhtalif tarah ke harkat ki samajh leni chahiye.

Fundi nazar se, jodi ka abhi bhi uchchalan ke liye koi wajah nahi hai kyunki European Central Bank jumeraat ko mukhya dar ko kam karegi. Makro-iqtisadi hawala uchchalan ki taraf hamla karta hai, kyunke saalon se US ne mayoosi bhari reports dikha rahi hain. Phir bhi, hum yakeen nahi karte ke makro-iqtisadi bunyadiyat se zyada ahem hai.





Wednesday ko trading tips:

Ghanta ke chart par, uchchalan ka correct khara hai. Hum abhi bhi yeh mante hain ke euro darmiani mor par girna chahiye, kyunke overall trend neeche rehta hai. Lekin, bazaar dollar kyun nahi kharid raha hai iski koi wajah nahi hai aur keemat uchaal channel se bhi baahar nahi nikal sakti. Agar keemat uchaal channel ke neeche jam ho jaaye, toh ek naya neeche chal shuru ho sakta hai.

Wednesday ko, naye logon ko jodi ki umeed hai barhna, kyunke US mazdoori ke maamlaat aur karobar ki gatividhiyon par reports jaari karega. Buland ehtimal hai ke yeh reports kamzor honge, jo dollar mein naye giravat ko uthayega. Warna, dollar thoda aur mazboot ho sakta hai.

5 minute ke chart par ahem darje hain: 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981. Aaj, Eurozone mein May ke services PMI aur producer price index par secndari data jaari kiya jayega. US docket mein ahem reports shamil honge ISM services PMI aur ADP ke private sector mein rozgaar ke tabadlay ke baray mein.

EURUSD H1

Tajziya - EURUSD. Is aala ke liye, mojooda qeemat 1.08847 0-1.08587 aur 50-1.08871 ke darmiyan ilaqa mein waqia hai. Is ilaqa mein hamare paas do bohot ahem leval hain 23.6-1.08721 aur 38.2-1.08804. Inki ahmiyat unki durusti mein hai. In ke qareeb pahunchnay par, rihaayi par kaam karna munasib hai. Agar hum is ilaqa se bahar nikalne ka tajziya karen 50-1.08871 ke leval ke oopar, to hamein teen maqsood ke leval milte hain 61.8-1.08938, 76.4-1.09021, 123.6-1.09289. In levalon tak pahunchnay par, kuch hisson ko theek kar dena munasib hai. Keemat ka giravat jaari rakhne ka tajziya -38.2 aur -61.8 (1.08370-1.08236) ke levalon tak le jayega, jo bikriyon ke maamlaat mein maqsood honge. Ye grid kal ke bunyad par banaya gaya hai. Agar hum ilaqa aur mojooda qeemat 1.08847 ka moqarar karte hain, to bikriyan ab zyada darust hain. Is tarah, zyada volatile hone par, hum aasani se -61.8 ke leval ko kaam kar sakte hain, jo keemat 1.08236 ke mutabiq hai.





EURUSD H4

Friday ke mahol high 1.0881 ko update karne ke sath, 1.0885 ka mukhalif leval bhi usi mombatti se toota. Icing on the cake tha May 16 ko muqami HIGH 1.0894 ka tod. Chart par koi aur rukawat nahi hai. Ek waapis chal sambhav hai aur main isay 1.0860 ilaqa tak tasawwur karta hoon. Haqeeqat yeh hai ke kal H4 ke adhe se faida uthaya gaya tha. Yeh 1.0903 par tha. Lekin ab ek ooncha darja ka qarza rozana waqt par - 1.0862 aagaya hai. Technical hawale se, isay bhi utha lena munasib hoga. Iske alawa, us ilaqa mein giravat naye banaye gaye short-term shumal rukh ko bigar nahi degi. Qareebi support leval jo isay rok sakta hai, woh 1.0835 par waqai hai.

Aaj ki taaza EUR/USD Takniki Tajziya

Euro (EUR) ne aaj subah Asia mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf apni jagah barqarar rakhi, jisay ek tang range mein trading dekha gaya jo ke kal ke band hone ke qareebi qeemat ke qareeb thi. Euro ki qeemat mein pehle thori girawat thi, lekin Asian session ke ikhtitami doran American Dollar ne apni kuch gehrayaft wapas li. Iska matlub hai ke Euro ne peechle haftay ke uchayiyo tak wapas aagaya hai. Aaj mazid taraqqi yafta mukhtalif maqoolat ke liye waqat ka intezaar hai, khaaskar US ki taraf se. Jab Europe din bhar mukhtalif data points jaari karti hai, to asal tawajju American session par muntazim hoti hai. Karobarion ko khush amdeedat ke maamlay mein America ki khufiya sector mein rozi roti ke lehaz se figures intezar hain. Yeh data American maeeshat ka kul haiwan ka ahem nishan hai. Dosra ahem release jo dekhnay ke liye hai, woh 5:00 PM Eastern Time par aane wala Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) hai. Yeh index service sector mein karobar ki sakhtat ka andaaza lagata hai, jo ke America ki maeeshat ka bara hissa hai.





Maujooda market sentiment ke mutabiq, din ke pehle hisse mein EUR/USD jor-tor ke izafay ki ek mumkin tajwez hai. Magar overall tawaqo yeh hai ke Euro apni neeche ki raah par wapas aayega. Dekhne wala aham mor 1.0925 leval hai. Agar EUR/USD pair 1.0925 ke neeche gir gaya, to Euro ko bechnay ka mauqa hota hai jis ka nishaan 1.0835 ya phir 1.0775 tak hai. Yeh strategy Euro ki girawat ke jaari rehne par faida uthati hai. Doosri taraf, agar Euro tawaqo se mukhalif hota hai aur chadhne lagta hai, 1.0925 resistance level ko paar kar ke aur is ke aas paas qaim reh kar, to yeh darwaza khol sakta hai ek chadhao ki taraf 1.0965 ya phir 1.0975 tak. Yeh surat-e-haal Euro ki mazeed qadron ke intezaar mein Euro khareedne ki ummeed par mabni hai.

Euro/USD ka Taza Jaiza
H4 waqt frame par:-
Subah bakhair, saathi!

Main aap se ittefaq nahi kar sakta. 1.3% ki maqamiati grow rate ko kamzori ke tor par bayan karna mushkil hai, khaaskar European economy ke grow rate ke mawafiq. Beshak, America ki economy thori thori ruk gayi hai, lekin ye sab so-called data agle quarter ke natijon ke sath tabdeel ho sakti hai. Main bhi dosre American economic indicators se ittefaq nahi karta. Ziyada tar economic indicators 50 ke oopar hain aur maqamiati izafa ko zahir karte hain, aur rozgar ka bazaar apne uchch tajurbaat par hai. Aaj, America ke Services PMI bohot behtar aya, jo ke 54.8 hai, pichle mahine se upar aur sector mein taaqatwar izafa ko zahir karta hai. Kul mila kar, Americans ne acha kiya, aur American dollar kamzor hone ka koi sabab nahi hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve ne is saal November tak refinancing rate ko kam se kam banaye rakhne ki raaye ka elaan kiya hai.




Char ghanton ki chart par, abhi tak kuch gumaan hai. Euro/USD ke prices yellow moving average ke qareeb trading jaari hai aur mojooda position se, woh ooncha ya neecha ja sakta hai. Magar mujhe sab se zyada mumkin scenario ko ek keemat ka pullback samajhta hoon, isliye agar yellow moving average ke neeche lautne ka mauqa milta hai, to main ek pullback ki tawaqo karta hoon jo 1.0815 support level tak pohanchne ka bounce ka intezaar karta hai. Trading session ke doran, EUR/USD jodi ka daily chart ek bearish candle dikhata hai jismein aik chhota body hai. Janoob ka dabaav mazboot raha. Ye candle uptrend mein pullback ko jaari rakhte hue dekha ja sakta hai aur European single currency ke further potential growth ke liye ek nishani hai US dollar ke muqablay mein. Mere trading plans mein, main aage ki taraf tawajjo jari rakhta hoon.

Euro (EUR) apni kal ki izafayi se mazeed izafa kar raha hai, ab mojooda waqt mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf 1.0900 ke qareeb trading kar raha hai. Yeh izafa is waqt ka hai jab USD ke kamzor honay ke nishanat ne pata chalne par aaya ke America ki maeeshat mein tezi kam ho rahi hai. Aane wale data ke mutabiq Federal Reserve 2024 mein baad mein interest rates ko kum kar sakta hai, jis se US Treasury yields girayenge aur dollar ko nuqsaan hoga. Dollar ke is kamzori ne EUR/USD jori ko aik izafa diya hai. Magar, Euro ki izafa ki potential seemit lagti hai. Karobarion ki tawaqo yeh hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) ki baithak ko budh ko intezar kiya jaye ga. Jaise ke wasee taur par tawaqo ki jati hai, ECB ko 25 basis points ke hisaab se daromad kam karne ki umeed hai, jo 2016 se pehli aisi kam hai. Yeh faisla, sath hi updated maeeshati tadabeer, bazaar mein qareebi nigaah se dekha jayega. Is ke ilawa, ECB President Lagarde ki tafseeli guftagu ke doran munasib inflation ke bais barhaye gaye tax cuts ka jayeza lena Euro ko mazeed mazbooti de sakta hai.





ECB ki baithak ke baad, bazaar ki tawajju rehnumai ke liye jumma ko aham US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report par muntazim hogi. Mazboot US jobs data Fed ka agla kadam ke baray mein tawaqoat ko mutassir kar sakta hai aur mumkinah taur par USD ke liye taza support faraham kar sakta hai. Is doran, maeeshati data ki aaj ki azaim warziyan, jis mein ADP report aur ISM Services PMI shamil hain, EUR/USD ke liye short-term trading ke mouqe peda kar sakti hain. Takniki indicators jaise ke RSI aur MACD isharat dete hain ke qareebi doran market mojooda rahega. Magar agar EUR/USD apni harkat ko barqarar rakh sake aur 1.0900 ke resistance level ko paar kar sake, to ek mazeed bullish trend samne aa sakta hai, jis se pair ko 1.0940 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. 200- aur 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) jin ke qareeb 1.0785 aur 1.0770 hain, sath hi 1.0800 ka support level, agar prices anay wale sessions mein trading range ke oopar na nikal saki, to naye sessions mein imkaanat ko dobara neeche le jayenge.

EUR/USD H-1 Timeframe Tahlil:

Main ek ghantay ke chart par euro aur dollar ke jode ko dekh raha hoon. Jode ne gray range ke oopar jaake, jisme woh kafi arsay se trading kar raha tha, se guzar gaya. Main maan leta hoon ke woh isi range mein trading jaari rakhega, lekin latest tanflation ke data ne dikhaya ke tanflation stagnated hai, is se yeh samajh aaya ke jode range mein trading jaari rakhega. Phir maine ye samjha ke woh range mein laut gaya hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke girawat mazeed support 1.08216 tak chalayegi. Agar humein 1.0885 range ka breakout milta hai aur is ke upar jam jata hai, to ye ek khareedne ka signal hoga. Mumkin hai ke 1.0915 range ko toorna aur us ke upar jam jana, to ye rate ka izafa ka nishan hoga. Jab 1.0858 range ka ghalat breakout ban jata hai, to uske baad izafa jari rahega. Abhi ke liye, mujhe ummeed hai ke rate izafa jari rakhega aur 1.0915 range se bahar nikal jayega. Agar breakout aur is ke upar jam jana hoga, to izafa mazeed jari rahega. Mumkin hai ke 1.0890 range ko toora jaye, is surat mein izafa aur bhi jari rahega. Choti neeche ki taraf tajaweez ke baad, izafa jari rahega. 1.0915 range tootne ke baad, izafa jari rahega aur aap khareedari kar sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, mujhe bhi 1.0945 range ka breakout ka intezar hai, aur agar hum is ke upar jam jate hain, to ye ek khareedne ka signal hoga. Agar aap 1.0915 ko toorna aur is ke upar jam jate hain, to ye ek khareedne ke liye aur jaari hone ka nishan hoga.

EUR USD Forum Tahlil, Tashkeel




EURUSD jodi ki keemat ka rukh ab bhi apna upar ki taraf ka safar barqarar rakhta hai, do Moving Average lines ke upar barqarar rehkar. Mojooda keemat ka range resistance 1.0913 aur support 1.0862 ke darmiyan hai. Kal keemat ne jisay EMA 50 ke aas paas jamata hai, usne ek neeche ki taraf tajaweez ka samna kiya jise support par imtehaan kiya gaya. Magar keemat ne oopar uth kar bounce kiya aur doji candlestick pattern se nashriyat ka signal mila. Haalaanki, ISM Services PMI US data report ke natayej jo kaafi umeed afreen hain, wo US Dollar currency ke husool ka manzar mazboot kar sakti hai. Asal mein, jab bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bana, to usne 1.0862 support ke neeche apni girawat ko jaari nahi rakha. Agar keemat do Moving Average lines ke upar barqarar rehti hai jo ke bullish trend ko nishaandahi karte hain, to 1.0913 par resistance ko imtehaan karne ka imkaan hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke nazarie mein, ye uptrend momentum ko dikhane mein ghair yaqeeni nazar aata hai. Haalaanki histogram level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai, lekin volume nahi badh raha hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic indicator ek upar ki taraf ka safar ko support nahi karta kyun ke parameters jo ke overbought zone mein dakhil ho rahe hain 90 - 80 level par, wo overbought point ko nishaandah karte hain. Is ke ilawa, New York session ke qabal ECB monetary policy ke baray mein darust hoga jo ke interest rates ke lehaz se hoga. Misal ke tor par, agar keemat resistance 1.0913 ke khilaf aik ghalat tor par toot jati hai aur wo parameters jo overbought zone ko cross kar rahe hain, to keemat ko neeche ki taraf theek kiya ja sakta hai. Agar ECB ki monetary policy apna benchmark interest rate ko 25 bps kam karta hai to girawat bhi bohot ahem ho sakti hai support 1.0862 ke neeche.

Position entry setup:

Tajaweez trading options mein ek counter trend strategy istemal karna chahiye haalaanki trend ka rukh ab bhi bullish hai. SELL entry position resistance 1.0913 ke aas paas rakhna chahiye jo ke abhi tak naye hai kyun ke is par keemat ne kisi bhi tarah se chhua nahi hai. Tasdeeq ke liye Stochastic indicator parameter ka intezar karein jo overbought zone ko cross karke level 80 ke neeche chale jaye. AO indicator ka histogram kam se kam negative area ke neeche downtrend momentum ko dikhata hai. Take profit support 1.0862 par ya thodi si neeche SMA 200 ke neeche rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko 40 - 50 pips ke faslay par resistance 1.0913 ke upar lena chahiye.

Kal EUR/USD ke pair mein kuch naye movement dekha gaya. Mujhe lag raha tha ki yeh pair significant development dikhayega aur 1.0871 ke resistance level tak pohnch jayega, lekin aisa nahi hua. Pehle, hum dekhte hain ki kal ki trading session mein kya hua. Kal ke trading session mein, EUR/USD mein jo movement dekha gaya woh thoda unexpected tha. Market participants ne thoda cautious approach apnaya, shayad kisi external economic data ya political developments ki wajah se. Global markets mein uncertainty aur volatility ka asar bhi forex markets pe pada. Jo traders higher volatility ki umeed kar rahe the, unko disappointment mili jab EUR/USD pair range-bound raha. Maine socha tha ki 1.0871 ka resistance level break ho jayega, kyunki recent trends aur technical indicators yeh suggest kar rahe the. Indicators jaise ki Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Averages bhi bullish trend ko support kar rahe the. Lekin, market ne is expectation ko meet nahi kiya. Shuruaat mein, price action bullish tha aur EUR/USD pair ne upward movement dikhaya. Lekin mid-session tak, selling pressure badh gaya aur pair ne apni gains lose kar di. Fundamental factors bhi kuch hath tak is unexpected movement ke liye zimmedar ho sakte hain. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve ke statements aur policies ka bhi kaafi asar padta hai EUR/USD pair par. ECB ne recent mein kuch dovish comments diye the jo Euro ke liye negative sentiment create kar sakte hain. Saath hi, US economic data strong aaya, jo USD ke liye supportive tha. Iss wajah se, USD ne strength gain ki aur Euro pe pressure bada. Additionally, geopolitical factors aur international trade developments bhi forex market sentiment ko influence karte hain. Yeh bhi possible hai ki kuch traders ne apne positions ko unwind kiya ho ya phir profit booking ki gayi ho, jis wajah se EUR/USD pair apne resistance level ko breach nahi kar paya. Agar hum technical analysis ki baat karein, toh 1.0871 ka resistance level kaafi strong hai. Multiple attempts ke baad bhi, pair is level ko cross nahi kar paya, jo ki ek significant hurdle dikhata hai. Yadi price action is level ke aas-paas consolidate karta hai, toh future mein breakout ka possibility reh sakti hai. Lekin, agar pair is level ko breach nahi kar pata, toh downside risk bhi badh sakta hai. Aane wale sessions mein, traders ko ECB aur Federal Reserve ke future statements aur economic indicators pe nazar rakhni hogi. Yeh factors significantly impact karenge EUR/USD ke price movements ko. Proper risk management aur updated market analysis ke saath hi, traders apne trading decisions ko effectively plan kar sakte hain.