𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Market mein trend aam tor par upar ki taraf chalta hai, jis se dikhaya jata hai ke khareedne wale ab bhi zyada hain. Agar main market ki halat ka nigrani rakhta hoon, toh lagta hai ke bullish price trend abhi bhi kaafi mazboot hai Buy position banane ke liye, kyunki candlestick ne 1.0827 area ke qareeb bounce kiya hai, jo ke meri raaye mein khareedne waleon ki taqat dekhne ke liye aik benchmark ho sakta hai. Lagta hai ke EurUsd pair ki keemat ne bullish side ki taraf rukh haasil karne ki koshish ki hai aur 100 period simple moving average line ke oopar reh sakti hai, isliye agle keemat ka safar bhi ke buyers ke saath hi rahay ga. Abhi dhaan dena wala cheez yeh hai ke peechle haftay ka nichla correction dobara ho sakta hai aur gehraai tak girne ki sambhavna hai.
Upar di gayi graph dikhata hai ke candlestick ke barhawar ne 1.0874 area tak pohanch gaya hai, joke bullish trend ke liye mauqa hai ke woh apni position ko barqarar rakhe. Stochastic indicator 5,3,3 ke mutaabiq 80 zone ko chhu gya hai, jo khareedne waleon ka control darust kar raha hai. Agar keemat is zone se oopar chadh kar chali jaye, to market ke agle kuch dino tak Uptrend side par chalne ki zyada tendency ho sakti hai.



Is ke ilawa, waise bhi current market ki surat e haal mein mazeed izafa karne ke liye kaafi mazboot hai, lekin bullish price projections ab bhi 1.0898 area ko test kar sakti hain, jo pehle mahine ka high zone tha. Khareedne waleon ka target, agle din unchay level ko test karne ki koshish kar sakte hain jab ke aur zyada unchi jaane ki opportunities bhi khul sakti hain. Main abhi tak Uptrend situation par concentrate karta hoon jab tak keemat 100 period simple moving average zone ke oopar rehti hai.

EUR/USD Keemat Ka Tahlil

Hamari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat ke asli taqreeb par mustamil hai. 1.0925 par, hum aik mushkil cluster of levels ka samna karte hain. Daily chart ka jaaiza lene par, laal nishan ke zor daar upar ka trend jo bullish jazbat ko zahir karta hai, khaaskar pichle do dino mein wazeh hai. Pichle chaar dino se dono uchayiyan aur neechayiyan mustaqil tor par barhti gayi hain, jo ke pichle hafte ki mukhya targets ko 1.0945 ke ird gird mazbooti deta hai, jo ke kal ke khabron ke sath mumkin hai. Day traders mojooda manzar mein dono rukhain samajh sakte hain. Keemat aik upar wale channel ke andar hai. Aaj, jodi ne channel ke neeche ke satha 1.0876 tak gir gir kar phir se barha. Is currency pair mein mukhalifat ka kam chance hai kyun ke trend mazboot hai. 1.0967 tak ka bara price border target karne ka moqadma hai. Lambi trade ki taraf rehna zyada munasib hai.



Baraks, is level par palat jana channel ke neeche ke had tak 1.0904 ki taraf giravat ka saabit sabit ho sakta hai. Euro-dollar kharidarein muqamiyat ko aham support levels ko imtehaan karke mukamal kiya. Magar, 1.0907 par breakout ghalat ho sakta hai. 1.0886 par mukhtalifat ahem hai, aur agar bulls ko barha hua hold mil jata hai, to jodi apna rally 1.0922/1.0964 resistance zone tak barha sakti hai, jahan mazeed upar ki sahoolat hai dosri impulse zone ke 1.0994 tak. Bears ko mushkil manzar ka samna hai, jo pair ke rukh ko girane ke liye pehli impulse zone ke neeche 1.0847 ke neeche vapas lene ki zaroorat hai - ek kaam jo abhi ke liye mushkil hai. Is liye, EUR/USD ke ird gird bari ghumashumayi hai, jahan sargarmi asooli factors ke asar mein mukhtalif keemat ke harkat ko mutasir kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair ka trading landscape us waqt bohot zyada interesting ho sakta hai jab specific price levels pe trade ho rahi ho. Aaj kal EUR/USD pair ko closely monitor kiya jaa raha hai, aur immediate resistance level jo dekha jaa raha hai wo 1.0756 ke aas paas hai. Is analysis ke basis pe, hum technical indicators ka istimaal kar ke mumkinah future movements ka andaza laga sakte hain.
Technical Indicators Overview:

1. Moving Averages
Moving averages bohot effective tools hain jo trend ko identify karne mein madad karte hain. 50-day simple moving average (SMA) aur 200-day SMA ke crossovers ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar 50-day SMA 200-day SMA ke upar cross kar jaye, to yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, 50-day SMA 1.0700 ke aas paas hai aur 200-day SMA 1.0800 ke kareeb hai. Agar price 50-day SMA ko cross kar jaye aur 200-day SMA ko test kare, to yeh strong upward momentum ka indication ho sakta hai.

2. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI momentum oscillator hai jo overbought aur oversold conditions ko indicate karta hai. RSI value agar 70 se upar jaye, to yeh overbought condition ko signify karta hai, aur 30 se neeche jaane par oversold condition hoti hai. Abhi RSI value 60 ke aas paas hai, jo thoda bullish sentiment ko show karta hai lekin yeh overbought nahi hai, isliye potential upside ke liye space hai.

3. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
MACD bhi ek important indicator hai jo price ka momentum measure karta hai. Abhi MACD line signal line ke upar hai aur positive territory mein hai, jo ki bullish trend ko support kar rahi hai. MACD histogram bhi positive hai, jo ki upward momentum ki confirmation deta hai.

4. Fibonacci Retracement:
Fibonacci retracement levels bhi kaafi useful hote hain support aur resistance levels ko identify karne ke liye. Recent high se low tak ke retracement ko dekhte hue, 38.2% retracement level 1.0720 ke aas paas hai aur 50% retracement 1.0750 ke kareeb hai. Agar price in levels ko break kare, to 61.8% retracement level 1.0780 tak ja sakta hai, jo ek important resistance level hoga.

Key Levels and Future Outlook:

- Immediate resistance: 1.0756
- Support levels: 1.0700 (psychological level) aur 1.0680 (recent low)

Agar price 1.0756 ke resistance ko break kare, to next target 1.0780 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level) ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ko break nahi kar pati, to support levels ko retest karne ke chances hain, especially 1.0700 aur 1.0680.

Fundamentals bhi technical analysis ko support karte hain. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policy decisions, economic data releases jaise ke inflation rates aur GDP growth, aur geopolitical events EUR/USD pair pe significant impact daal sakte hain.

Conclusion:

EUR/USD pair currently critical resistance level 1.0756 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI, MACD aur Fibonacci retracement levels suggest kar rahe hain ke upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar yeh resistance break ho jaye, to price higher levels ko target kar sakti hai. Lekin agar failed breakout ho, to price lower support levels ko retest kar sakti hai. Trading decisions mein in technical levels aur fundamental factors ko zarur consider karna chahiye.

EURUSD (H4 Chart) Keemat Ki Tahlil aur Tadbeer

Subah bakhair sab ko, aaj main EURUSD currency pair ki trend ka muzakra karunga. EURUSD pair ne 2024 ke darmiyan mein seetambar ke darmiyan se upar ki taraf ka trend banaya hai, jo ke bar bar ehtram kiya gaya hai aarzi trendline se. Yeh upar ka safar zyada uchaiyon aur zyada nicheyoon ke zariye numaya hai, jo mustaqil bullish jazbat ki taraf ishara dete hain. 4 ghanton ke chart ke mutabiq, haal hi mein keemat eham resistance zone mein trading kar rahi hai jo 1.08990 aur 1.09370 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke gray shaded rectangle se darust kiya gaya hai. Yeh zone pehle bhi aik rukawat ka kaam kiya hai, upar ki harkat ko rok kar aur sell-offs ko shuru kar ke.

Is ke ilawa, keemat nedir haal hi mein 1.08990 resistance ke oopar toorna ki koshish ki lekin inkar ka samna kiya, jo 1.08230 support ki taraf pullback ko le gaya. Yeh pullback barhne wale trendline aur 50-period Moving average ka aik dobara test lagta hai, jo ke agle bullish harkat ke liye mazboot buniad faraham kar sakta hai.

Meri tajziya ke mutabiq, umeed hai keemat phir se 1.0890 resistance level ko torne ki koshish karegi, agar is level ke oopar aik mukammal tor par breakout ho gaya to keemat ko supply zone ke buland tareen hisse tak le ja sakta hai jo 1.09370 se aagay bhi ja sakta hai.



Baraks, agar keemat resistance area se rebound karti hai aur 1.08230 support aur upar ki taraf jane wale trendline ko toorti hai to yeh ek potential trend reversal ya gehri correction ka ishara ho sakta hai, jis ka nishana agle support ke qareeb 1.07850 ke aas paas hoga.

Risk management ke manzar-e-am se, bullish rukh par, main mashwara dunga ke 1.08990 ke oopar ek potential breakout aur sata sust consolidation ke liye dekhein ta ke mazeed bullish tasdeeq mil sake.

Unho ne abhi tak EUR/USD ko neeche dabane mein hichkichahat mehsoos ki hai; shayad Amreeki session ke shuruaat mein khabron ka asar hoga, lekin yeh jodi ko oopar le bhi ja sakta hai. Main neeche ki harkat ko pasand karta hoon, lekin agar yeh uttar jaaye to mujhe hairat nahi hogi. Aaj aik ahem din hai: haftay, mahine aur bahar ka aakhri din, jo ghair mutawaqqa market harkaton ko laa sakta hai. Main behtarin ki ummed karta hoon lekin buri surat ki tayyari karta hoon. Agar EUR/USD 1.0900 ke oopar chadhta hai, to main bechta rahunga, haftay ke aane wale dinon ke bawajood. Magar, main neeche ki harkat ka intezar kar raha hoon. Aaj ke liye, agle haftay ke liye pehle se tayyari ke baghair, main 1.0770 ke mazboot support level tak girne ki umeed rakhta hoon. Mujhe samajh hai ke bears ke liye ab mushkil hai, aur aise giravat ko hasil karna mushkil hoga. Magar trading mein kuch bhi aasan nahi hota, is liye dekhte hain ke ye kaise hota hai. Abhi, EUR/USD 1.08515 par trading ho raha hai, 1.08400 ke moving average level ke oopar, jo ke market mein kharidar qaboo mein hain aur keemat ke barhne ka imkaan hai. LRMA BB indicator ke mutabiq, 1.08557 tak pohanchne ki buland imkaan hai. Magar, agar asaasi data assest par asar daalay, to keemat is se oopar bhi chadh sakti hai. Is mamlay mein, behtar keemat par bechnay ke liye short positions khulwana wazeh hai, jiska nishana qareeb 1.0894 ke qarib hai.



EUR/USD currency pair ko halaat e haal mein ki gai keemat ki harkaton ka nazar andaaz kiya ja raha hai. Jodi ko buland darjaat par rukawat ka samna karna pada, jo uske upar ki manzil ko rok karne ke saath saath 1.0894 tak ki intehai zone se rok kar le gya. Takneeki tajziya deta hai kaareh levels aur patterns jo traders ko agah faislay lene mein madad karte hain. 1.0894 target zone se palatna in levels ki ahmiyat ko kehta hai jo key reference points ke taur par istemal hotay hain. Siyasati taqat ki tasweer bhi EUR/USD ki tahlil ko shiddat mein barha deti hai. Trade tensions aur siyasi lafzo ki be-yaqeeni investor confidence ko mutassir kar sakti hain aur currency market ki zyadati ko bhadka sakti hain. Aane wale waqt mein, market ke shiraaq haazir level aur factors ko nigrani mein rakhega jo EUR/USD ke raah par asar daalte hain. Chahe takneeki rukawat levels ke zariye ho ya asaasi dastaavezo ke zariye, market ke dynamics ke baare mein maloomat hona zaroori hai jo tajwezat ko aasani se navigate karne ke liye zaroori hai. America ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ka June ke meeting mein interest rates ko stable rakhne ka intezam hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, traders 76% ke imkaan ko qaim rakh rahe hain ke Fed September mein 25 basis points rate cut karega, sath hi saal ke ikhtitam tak do cuts ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD apni taqat dikhata hai, aur Mangal ko 1.0917 tak pohanch kar chhah hafton ka buland tareen pehlu haasil karta hai, jabke amrika dollar ki kamzori aur European Central Bank ke maaliyat ke mubahise mein ghairat pazeeri ka dor hai. ECB ne kisi musattar amal ka wada nahi kiya hai, balkeh data-driven approach ko pasand kiya hai, jo 2024 mein aggressive easing ke liye market ki umeedon ko kum kar diya hai. Pehle to, investors is saal teen rate cuts ki tawaqqo kiye the, lekin Jun ki meeting ke baad, yeh tajziya ek ke saath mein kardiya gaya hai, kuch ECB officials ke dhamkiyon ke sath jo kehtay hain ke zyada dovish policies kisi ko bhi tashadud kay dabao ko dobara uttha sakti hain. Sahanaat mein, USD ki kuch kamzori ke baad, ab dollar index 104.30 tak barh gaya hai, jismein risk appetite ka ek giravat ka khaas kirdaar hai. Investors zyada ehtiyaat barata rahe hain, jabke Federal Reserve ke September mein rate cut ke shart par shart lagaane ke baad. Fed officials ne apni iraada ki ishaara ki hai ke wo muasir tareen maaliyat ko kam karne mein kisi qisam ke khaas taraqqi dekhte hain, jabke market ab umeed kar rahi hai ke Fed sif akhri quarter 2024 mein rate kam karne ka aghaz karega.



Euro currency ne mazboot kadam uthaya hai, apne peechlay do mahinon ke buland tareen pehlu 1.0917 ko waapas hasil kiya hai. Is level ke ek qataar tor se oopar jaane se, ye mazeed buland ho sakta hai, mukhtalif March 21st ki unchiyon tak pohanchne ka mumkinar pehlu 1.0951 ya phir 1.1000 ke psychological barrier ko torne ka bhi imkaan hai. Magar agar exchange rate 200-day Exponential Moving Average 1.0803 ke neeche gir jaye, to yeh ek neeche ki taraf ki sahih correction ka aghaz kar sakta hai. Anay wale key economic data ke azaad hone se Eurozone aur US dono se aham asarat ki umeed hai currency pair ki performance par. Euro ki mojooda taqat, Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern se tor phor se barhne ka ishaara deta hai, lekin Relative Strength Index indicator main ek mumkin temporary rukawat ke ishaaraat hain.

EUR/USD Price Recap

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ki haqeeqat mein waqtan-fa-waqt ke dynamics ko nazdeek se dekhte hain. Jabke hamari raaye mil jati hai, main ek daily nazar kaari ikhtiyaar karta hoon, tumse mukhtalif. Hal hi mein hum April ki farokht zone ya resistance area mein hain. Aaj humara tawajjo yeh sabit karne par hai ke kal ka zahiran tor phor asar-dar tha ya nahi. Is farokht level par do hafton se zyada ka dairay madda bina breakthrough ya bounce ke humein ek bearish rukh ka tajziya karna par sakta hai.

EUR/USD ke daily chart par, aaj ka pullback kal ke bullish candle ke baad, sath hi musbat taraqqi na-mufeed mazdoori bazar ke statistics ke bawajood, mojudah bullish sentiment ki dalil hai. 1.0900 ke oopar band hone se bullish stance ko tasdeeq kar di jayegi. Kal ki bandish April ke daily resistance zone ke oopar hone ka ishaara diya hai ke upar ki sambhavna hai, aaj ke band hone ke intezaar mein. Magar, jab hum is zone ke andar hain, to uncertainty bohot zyada hai - ke yeh asal breakthrough hai ya nahi.



Haal hi mein ki bullish trend ke bawajood, aaj ka harkat ek mumkin bearish tabdeeli ki ishaara deta hai. Hum mazeed taraqqi ke aghaaz ya mukhtalif manazir ka wazeh honay ka intezar karte hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, moving averages aur technical indicators se active buying opportunities ka ishaara diya ja raha hai, jo ke sales ke bawajood cautious approach ke liye keh raha hai. Aaj ka ahem news shamil hain US mazdoori bazar ke data aur haftawar ke US crude oil inventories ka izdaad. Intihaai important news eurozone se mumkin nahi hai. Yeh ishaarat ek sambhav buying opportunity tak 1.0900 ke resistance level aur selling tak 1.0864 ke support level ki taraf. In factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, aaj ek bullish harkat sambhav hai. Yeh humara trading plan hai aaj ke liye. Bazaar agle trading hours mein volatile harkat ke liye tayyar lag raha hai.

EUR/USD Keemat Kaam

Humari guftagu live EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat ko samajhne par mabni hai. Market sachmuch mein Ameriki ma'ashi kami ke saath nigrani rakhti hai jabke haal hi mein GDP figures tawaqo se kam nikle, 1.3% ke muqablay mein 1.6% se nichle. Kuch musbat data ke bawajood, zyadatar munfasil rahi hai, jo ke zero ke qareeb girne ka khatra utha rahi hai. Is natije mein, dollar ko farokht dabaav ka saamna hai. Fed rate ko musbat banaye rakhna muhim hai taake Powell ko ma'ashi bareekiyon ke baray mein fikron ka izhar karne ki zarurat na pade. Agar aisa na ho to aur dollar farokht ho sakta hai. Fed ki announcement se pehle, tawajjo ECB rate par thi. Tooti hui uthati hue channel ek jhooti harkat ka ishara hai. Surkhi rang ki trend line ko tor kar aur 1.08 ke levels ko hasil karna, niche ke trend ki tasdeeq ke liye ahem hai; warna, pair 1.10 ki taraf barhta reh sakta hai.



H4 chart par, indicators mein ek rukh ki tasdeeq ki gayi hai jisme resistance zones ko nishan lagaya gaya hai. Farokht ki tasdeeq un zones ki dobara check se nichle taraf intezar mein hai. Aaj, quotes apni neeche ki manzil ko dobara hasil karte hain, jahan bears ne kal ke session ke nuqsan ko kuch cover kar liya hai. Blue moving average ke neeche girne ke bawajood, 1.0867 ke support level ko torhna mumkin nahi hai. Market ka manzar mazboot hai, aur bullish harkat mantooq hai. Session ke doran US job vacancy data ke izdaad ne thori taizzi se oopri tasleem ka silsila shuru kiya, lekin is data par mabni lamba faasla mumkin hai, US mazdoori bazar ki taqat ke zor par mohtaj hai. Agar quotes blue moving average par laut aayein, to ek bearish trend-based trade strategy mumkin hogi, jisey 1.0819 ke support level ki taraf girne ka intezar hoga.

Maaliyat ke market ne Tuesday ko ehsaas mein tabdeeli dekhi, jo ke euro ko US dollar ke khilaaf significant had tak neechay le gayi. Ye kami aai jab mazeed tarraqi pasand Ameriki ma'ashi data ne umeedon ko dobara paida kiya ke mazboot US ma'ashi ko le kar investors ko dollar ki taraf mudabbir banane laga. Ye data tezi se thamne ki koi nishan nahi dikha, jo ke kuch logon ko yakeen dilata hai ke Federal Reserve asal taur par tajwez ki tarah taizi se interest rates ko kam karna band kar sakta hai. Halankeh ek rate cut ka intezar ab bhi hai, magar waqt ka andaza barh gaya hai aur September ke muqablay mein November mein kami ka zyada imkaan hai. Interest rate ke umeedon mein tabdeeli ne euro aur dollar ke darmiyan faasla barhaya, euro par neechay dabao daal diya. Agar anay wale non-farm payroll data jo ke Jum'at ko aane wala hai, US mazdoori market mein mustaqil taaqat ki dikhawaish dekhai tou ye kami ko mazeed barha sakta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq May mein 190,000 jobs shamil ho sakti hain, jo ke pichle maheenay se izafa hoga.



Chunanche, Tuesday ke nuqsanat ke bawajood, euro thora sa ooncha rehta hai muqablay mein is saal ke darmiyan ke kamm par. Technically, currency ab aik consolidation zone mein phansa hai, jahan kuch ahem levels ko dekha jata hai. Agar euro taraqqi nahi dikha sakti, tou ye mazeed gir sakti hai, mukhtalif technical support level ke qareeb pohanch sakti hai jo 1.0797 ke aas paas hai. Magar agar musbat taraqqi nazar aaye, tou euro ko wapas 1.0900 ke resistance level ki taraf chadhai ka moqa mil sakta hai. Agar us level ko taein kar liya jaye, tou ye trend mein tabdeeli ka ishara hoga aur aik mumkinah chadhai ka darwaza khol dega 1.0940 aur mazeed oonchi manzilen tak. Bunyadi tor par, euro ka muqaddar anay wale US jobs data aur Federal Reserve ke future interest rate faislay par mabni hai. Aik mazboot US jobs report ke saath der se rate cut euro ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai, jabkeh aik kamzor jobs report ya jaldi se expected rate cut waqt ke muqablay mein is waqt ki hali girawat ko palatne ke liye zaroori ho sakta hai.

Euro (EUR) aik daira-e-ghair yaqeeni dor ka samna kar raha hai jabke investors Eurozone aur United States dono se ahem miqdaar mein mehngaai ke data ka intizaar kar rahe hain. Is haftay ke pehle din Euro (EUR) ne mukhtalif rates ke daira mein 1.0900 ke qareeb aik do mah ka uncha chand reh gain. Magar ab EUR/USD joda 1.0910 ke qareeb jam gaya hai.

Rate Cut Ki Umeedon Mein Tabdeeli:

Tawajju ab anay wale mehngaai reports ki taraf maeel hai, khaaskar Eurozone ke May ke pehlay Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur United States ke April ke core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) ki taraf. Ye is dauraan aata hai jab US investors Federal Reserve (Fed) ke maaliyat ki rahnumai ke mutaliq samajhna chahte hain.

Pehle aggressive rate cuts ki umeedon mein mazeed tabdeeli aai hai. December mein markets ne 2024 mein tez rate cuts ki umeed ki thi, jinme se pehla March mein hona tha. Aaj, September mein rate cut ke imkaan ka darib 50% hai, jabkeh is saal do rate cuts ki umeedain ghat chuki hain.

ECB Ka Ehtiyaati Taur Par Approach:

European Central Bank (ECB) bhi rate cuts ke hawalay se ehtiyaat bhari stance apna rahi hai. Jabke June mein aik rate cut ka amm intizaar hai, lekin is ki miqdaar aur raftar wazeh nahi hai. ECB governing council member Klaas Knot ne updated economic data ke mutabiq dhaarasti ka rukh ka aqeeda izhar kiya. Unho ne kaha ke ab tak ke mukhtalif mehngai mein izafay aur sanat ke data ke haalaat ke baare mein ab tak ke behtar hone par dhaarasti ke liye tajziya ki zaroorat hai.

EUR/USD Ka Technical Outlook:



EUR/USD joda aik ahem muddar par baitha hai. Ye 1.0900 ke resistance level ko dobara pakarne mein na kaamyaab hone ke baad 200-day EMA par 1.0848 ke qareeb doba gaya hai. Jabke year-to-date iski kami -2.15% hai, Euro 1.8% up hai April ke swing low 1.0600 ke muqablay mein. Mazeed iska, ye joda tamaam short-to-long-term EMAs ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo kuch makhfi taqat ki nishani hai.

EUR/USD (Euro to US Dollar) ne 1.0871 resistance level ko cross kiya hai, jo ke potential uptrend ka signal hai. Ye currency pair forex market mein bahut mashhoor hai aur isme trading volume bhi bohot zyada hota hai. Is resistance level ka cross hona traders ke liye significant event hai, aur ye market sentiment aur economic indicators ke bhi kafi kuch batata hai. Resistance levels trading mein un price points ko kehte hain jahan pe price ko upward movement mein rukawat aati hai. Jab price in levels ko cross karta hai, to isko often bullish signal samjha jata hai, matlab price aur upar ja sakti hai. 1.0871 level ko cross karna is baat ka indication hai ke buyers zyada active hain aur unka control market mein barh raha hai.nIs uptrend ke peeche kuch fundamental reasons ho sakte hain. Eurozone aur US economies ke economic data ko analyze karna zaroori hai. Agar Eurozone ki economy mein positive indicators hain, jaise ke GDP growth, low unemployment, ya phir ECB (European Central Bank) ki dovish policies, to ye Euro ko strengthen kar sakti hain. Dusri taraf, agar US economy mein kuch negative indicators hain, jaise ke slow GDP growth, high unemployment, ya phir Federal Reserve ki hawkish policies, to ye Dollar ko weaken kar sakti hain. Technically bhi, EUR/USD ka 1.0871 ko cross karna technical analysts ke liye bullish indicator hai. Moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jaise indicators ko bhi check karna chahiye. Agar ye indicators bhi bullish signal de rahe hain, to uptrend aur strong ho sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi is uptrend mein role play karta hai. Agar traders aur investors ko lagta hai ke Euro appreciate karega, to wo buying pressure create karte hain, jo ke price ko upar le jata hai. Political factors bhi significant role play kar sakte hain. Eurozone ya US mein koi political stability ya instability bhi currency pairs ko impact karti hai. Aagey ke prospects ko analyze karte hue, ye dekha jana chahiye ke kya ye breakout sustainable hai. Agar price 1.0871 ke upar hold karti hai aur higher highs aur higher lows banati hai, to ye confirmation hoga ke uptrend continue rahega. Lekin, agar price wapas niche aati hai aur 1.0871 ke neeche close hoti hai, to ye false breakout bhi ho sakta hai.nRisk management bhi trading mein zaroori hai. Agar aap EUR/USD mein trade kar rahe hain, to stop-loss aur take-profit levels define karna chahiye, taake market ke unexpected moves se bacha ja sake. In conclusion, EUR/USD ka 1.0871 resistance level ko cross karna potential uptrend ka signal hai, jo market sentiment, economic indicators, aur technical analysis se support hota hai. Lekin, ye zaroori hai ke traders is breakout ko cautiously follow karein aur proper risk management strategies ko implement karein.

EUR/USD apni taqat DXY ke khilaf dikha raha hai aur mangalwar ko 1.0917 ki chhe hafton ki unchi tak pohnch gaya. Ye barhao ek kamzor hone wale USD aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke maaliyat ke mansubon ke ird gird barhti huee lai hai.

Market Ne 2024 Ke Liye Rate Cut Ki Umeedain Ghatadi:

ECB ne mumkinah interest rate cuts ke shiddat par khamosh rahi hai. Siyasat dan apne faislon ko data-driven taur par le rahe hain aur kisi pehle muqarrar raste ka ahwal ikhtiyar nahi kar rahe. Ye rukh bazar ki umeedain bhi kamzor kar raha hai ke 2024 mein shiddat se easing hogi. Pehle to, investors ne is saal teen rate cuts ki umeed ki thi, lekin jun ke baad ye tasawwur sirf ek tak kam hua hai. Ye tabdeel ECB ke kuch afkaar ke mutabiq hai jo ke zyada naramana policies se mehngai ke dabaav ko phir se barha sakti hain.

Dusri taraf, USD ne ek kamzor muddat ke baad sahara dhoondh liya hai. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne 104.30 tak pohncha, jise risk appetite mein kami ne barhaya hai. Investors ehtiyaati se barh rahe hain jabke September mein ek rate cut ki umeedain thand par gayi hain Federal Reserve (Fed) se. Fed ke afkaar ke mutabiq, woh tab tak current interest rates ko barqarar rakheinge jab tak mehngai ko neeche lana mein wazeh taraqqi na dekhein. Ab bazar ko umeed hai ke Fed sirf 2024 ke aakhri hisse mein rate ko kum karne ka aghaaz karega.

D1 Chart EUR/USD Do Mah Ki Unchi Ki Taraf Dekhta Hai, Ahem Levels Dekhne Ke Liye:

Joda do mah ki unchi 1.0917 ko dobara pakar sakta hai. Is level ke qatai tor par tor phoregi to ye mazeed barh sakti hai March 21st ki unchi 1.0951 aur 1.1000 ki nafsiyati rukawat tak. Magar, 200-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) 1.0803 par neeche girna aik neeche ki taraf ka tajwez de sakta hai.



Eurozone aur US dono se aane wale ahem maaliyat ke data ka release joda ko asar daalne wala hai. Euro ki mojooda taqat, aik Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern se nikalne ki, mazeed izafi faida ke liye iska zahoorat hai. Magar, RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator tezi mein rukawat ka ishara de raha hai.

EUR/USD 1.0920 ke qareeb ek intahai lafz mein hai, jismein mangalwar ko aik dafa se ziada unchi pe chadhne ke baad aaya hai. Ye intizar aur dekhte jao tareeqa Eurozone aur United States dono se aane wale ahem data releases ke pehle ki taraf hai.

ECB Rate Cut Mansoobe Ghair Wazeh Hain

European Central Bank (ECB) ke maaliyat ke mansoobe EUR/USD ke harkat ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Halankeh ECB ko mehngai ke khilaaf larai mein interest rates ko kum karne ka aam intezam hone ki umeed hai, lekin ye kum karny ki shiddat aur tezi ka intezam wazeh nahi hai. ECB policymakers data-driven taur par qareeb raste ko ikhtiyar kar rahe hain, future rate adjustments ke liye pehle se mutabaadil raste par ahad nahi karte. Ye ihtiyaat bhara rawiya 2024 ke doran shadeed easing ke bazar ki umeedain kum kar raha hai.

US Ki Maali Taqat Rate Cut Ke Iraaday Ko Mehdood Karta Hai

Samundar Paar, mazboot US ki maali tajwez aur Federal Reserve ke afkaar ke hawkish comments Euro ki raftar par asar dal rahe hain. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ne hal hi mein inflation par shadeed taraqqi ke zarurat ko kiya jata hai ke pehle rate cuts ko shamil karne se pehle. Unhon ne bhi rate hikes ko agar inflation sabit ho gayi to door par rehne ka darwaza khol diya hai. Ye Fed guidance ka tabadla neechay ki taraf US rate cuts ke liye investors ke umeedain ko kum kar diya hai.

EUR/USD Ke Liye Breakout Ya Breakdown Ka Mauqa Hai?

Aik taqatwar nikaal, chadhate hue triangle pattern ka upper had, sath hi aik zehni rukawat ke level 1.0950 ke paar ja sakti hai, jo Euro ko 1.0970 aur teen mah ki unchi tak pohncha sakti hai.



Mukhtalif, chadhate hue triangle ka neechla had aur 1.0800 support level ko tor dena, aik neeche ki correction ko trigger kar sakta hai, jise shayad 1.0700 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD ke Bunyadi Asool

Jab Tuesday ko Asian session shuru hua, Euro/dollar mein ek dharne ki taraf ka manzar dekha gaya, jo 1.0860 ke qareeb pohanch gaya. Ye harkat kuch had tak tezi se barh rahe US Dollar (USD) ke sabab se aayi, jo khas tor par emerging risk aversion sentiment ke asar mein aaya. Is sentiment ka sabab Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ke hawkish comments mein taluq diya ja sakta hai, jinhone rate barhne ki mumkinah sambhavnaat par ishara kiya aur disinflationary process ke hawale se shak kiya. Aise bemarqiyan ne market mein kuch darja ke andar ki koshish ko mutasir kiya, jo investor sentiment ko asar andaz hoti hai.

DXY, jo 6 bade currencies ke muqable mein USD ki keemat ka peecha karti hai, apni qeemat ko qayam rakhta hai, halankeh 104.20 ki taraf gir gaya hai. Investor ke liye Fed ki muwajat ki umeed kaafi khatam ho chuki hai, jaisa ke CME FedWatch tool ne ishara diya hai, jo ab September mein Fed ki mojooda policy stance ko 50% ke qareeb qeemat deta hai, jab ke sirf ek hafta pehle ye 35% ke qareeb tha.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

EUR/USD apne maqbool jamgahat zones ke andar khud ko paata hai. Magar is ke andar Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) indicator mein chhupi ek chhipi bullish divergence hai, jo pair ke liye upar ki taraf momentum ki sambhavnaat ka ishara deta hai. Khas tor par, 200-hour Exponential Moving Average jo 1.0803 par hai wo kharidar ke liye aik trampoline ka kaam kar sakta hai, jo pair ko upar utha sakta hai.



In umeed afroz signals ke bawajood, EUR/USD ke liye musibatein aasman mein qarar le chuki hain. 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0832 par hai wo qeematon par aik magnetic kashish ka markaz banata hai, neeche ki dabao ki khatra hai. Is ke ilawa, daily candlestick patterns ko darmiyani zameen ki taraf dafa hone ka ishara hai, jo market ke shirkat daron mein shak-o-shuba ki sargoshi karta hai. Daily MACD bhi is directionless lehaz ko dartaal deta hai, jisse pair ke rukh par shak ki aur uncertainty barh jati hai.

EUR/USD ne peer ko izafa jari rakha. Pair ne ek aur adha mah tak chalne ke baad 1.0804 aur 1.0888 ke darmiyan ek flat range mein qayam rakha aur, jaise hum dekh sakte hain, is ne nichle taraf durust ho jane ka koi imkan nahi diya. Is liye, US dollar apni ghair mantqi girawat ko barqarar rakhta hai. Kal, makro-imiadi mahol ne euro ko support diya aur dollar ke khilaf kaam kiya. Jabke S&P ki business activity indices America, Germany, aur European Union mein neutral rahe, to US ISM Manufacturing PMI market ki tawaqoat se bohot zyada kam nikla, jis ne dollar ko farokht kar diya, jo ab tak jari hai. Kal, hum ne zikar kiya tha ke market kisi bhi makro data ko dollar ke khilaf ta'vil kar sakta hai. To hum in ahem reports ke bare mein kya keh sakte hain agar woh forcast se bohot zyada kam darjat pe nikle? Khair, market ke pas dollar ko farokht karne ke siwa koi option nahi hai. Is tarah, izafa jari hai, aur dollar girte jata hai. 5-minute timeframe par kafi trading signals the. Shuru mein, traders ne 1.0856 ke qareeb short positions khol sakte the, magar pair sirf kuch hi waqt ke liye gir gaya. 1.0838 ke qareeb buy signal ne yeh zahir kiya ke short positions ko band kiya jaye, aur traders ko long positions kholni chahiye. Is ke baad, pair upar ki taraf chala gaya, aur traders long positions ko faida lene ke liye 1.0888-1.0896 ke ilaqe mein jaa sakte the, aik level jo ke qeemat ne paar kar diya. Is tarah, takneekein ke lehaz se, naye shuruaatgar long positions band nahi kar sakte the kyunke pair lagbhag barhta hi gaya...

Mukhtasar tajarbaat ko le kar kuch trading tips:

Ghanton ke chart par, bullish correction barqarar hai. Hum yeh abhi bhi samajhte hain ke euro darmiyan mein darmiyan kam hona chahiye, kyunke overall trend neechay ki taraf hai. Magar, market dollar ko kharidne se inkar kar raha hai ajeeb se wajahon ki wajah se aur qeemat taizi se charhne ka koi imkan nahi de sakti. Yeh sahih tarah se nichay ki taraf bhi durust ho nahi sakti. Agar qeemat ascending channel ke niche jakar mazboot ho jaye, toh aik naya downward trend ban sakta hai.

Mazeed, naye shuruaatgar long positions mein rah sakte hain agar qeemat 1.0888-1.0896 ke range ke upar mazboot ho jaye. Din bhar mein, pair thoda sa pichhla sakta hai, magar ab tak humein uptrend ka khatma hone ki koi nishani nahi nazar aati.



5-minute chart par mukhtalif ahem levels hain 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981. Aaj, Jerman unemployment aur unemployment claims ke baray mein reports jaari karega, jabke US docket mein April mein job openings ke baare mein zyada ya kam ahem JOLTs report shaamil hoga.