𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Maliyaati markets aik mashghool haftay ki taraf rawana ho rahi hain, jahan pey aham ma'ashi deta ki taslehat Amreeka aur Europe dono main hon gi. Dollar do hafton ki kamzori ke baad mazboot hua, Amreeki Treasury yields ke barhne se pur uthra, jis se investors ma'ashi deta ke asar par nazar rakhtay hain. Inflation data ko tawajjo se dekha ja raha hai, jahan Producer Price Index (PPI) 14 May ko anjam diya jayega aur phir Consumer Price Index (CPI) 15 May ko ayega. Dosri aham Amreeki releases mein retail sales, business inventories, aur NAHB Housing Market Index, sab 15 May ko honge. Is ke ilawa, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index bhi maamooli haftay ki data ke saath nikle ga. Atlantic ke dusri simt, tawajjo Europe ki inflation aur ma'ashi jazbat par ho gi. Germany ka final inflation rate aur ZEW economic sentiment index dono Germany aur eurozone ke liye 14 May ko ta'ayyun kiya gaya hai. European Monetary Union (EMU) ko 15 May ko apna GDP growth forecast dobara dekhna hai, phir final euro zone inflation rate 17 May ko jaari hoga. Hal hil mein dollar ke mazboot hone ki wajah Amreeki Treasury yields ke barhne ko mana jata hai, jo ke dollar-denominated assets ko investors ke liye zyada kashish daar bana deta hai. Magar, bari currency pair, EUR/USD, ab bhi 1.08 darjay par ghoom rahi hai, rozana charts par aik symmetrical triangle pattern mein phansi hui hai. Yeh pattern dono raaston mein aik potential breakout ko zahir karta hai, jahan upside October lows se mehdood hai aur downside December highs se mehdood hai. 200-day EMA (exponential moving average) ab 1.0780 darjay ke as paas hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye ek aur layer of technical resistance ko jama karta hai. 14-period RSI (relative strength index) jo ke 40 aur 60 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, mazeed karobaar ke shirakat daaroon ki tajwez ki tafseelat ko aur zyada roshni daalta hai.
ECB policymakers ke darmiyan interest rates ke mustaqbil ki raah tay karna division ka samna hai. Jab ke kuch log June mein aik rate cut ki zaroorat samajhte hain, to doosray is ta'ayyun mein izafa karne ke baray mein hichkichahat izhar karte hain. Investors is mubahisay ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh EUR/USD exchange rate par shadeed asar daal sakta hai. Aane wale haftay mein, aham ma'ashi deta releases aur central bank pronouncements bazaron ko mazeed rehnumai faraham karne ki sambhavna rakhte hain.

EUR/USD D1


EUR/USD currency pair aaj kal aik ahem tabdeeli ka samna kar raha hai, jise ek ungli darichayi ki taraf ka taara keh kar nazar andaaz kiya jata hai. Ye tabdili bazar ke dynamics aur investor ke jazbat mein tabdili ka aks dikhati hai. Ye jaldi rukawat, jo achanak rukawat ya mukhalfat ko darsata hai, khas tor par ahem darja 1.0832 ke sath jumla hai. Ye level neechay ki taraf jaane wale channel ke upper boundary ke sath milta hai, is ki ahmiyat ko mazeed barhata hai. Agar pair is rukawat ko paar na kar sake, to aage aur mushkilat ka samna kar sakta hai. Agar keemat ne 1.0770 ke psychology level ko tor diya, to ye bearish momentum ki taraf tabdeel hone ka ishara ho sakta hai. Aise maamlay mein, traders aglay potential target ke tor par 1.0660 ke support level ki taraf dekh sakte hain. Ye level tareekhi tor par market ke shirkat daron ke liye aham hota hai aur ek girawat ke sorat mein ziada tawajjo ka markaz ban sakta hai. EUR/USD ab aik ahem marhala se guzar raha hai jo ek ungli darichayi ke energy shift ke sath characterized hai. Traders key levels jaise 1.0780 aur 1.0600 ko direction ke liye isharay ke liye kareebi tor par nazar andaaz kar rahe hain. Jabke foran ke manzar-e-am par unka koi yaqeeni tasawwur nahi hai, 1.0920 ke neechay girne ka ek tor ishara mazeed downside ki taraf rasta bana sakta hai jis tak 1.0500 ho.. European Central Bank inflation data ko nazar andaz nahin kar rahi hai jab ke wo buland qeemat ka muqabla karne ke liye mazeed interest rate hikes par soch rahi hai. Market ECB ko apne March ke meeting mein mazeed 50 basis point hike denay ki umeed rakhti hai.

EUR/USD

Haal hi ke trading session mein, EURUSD currency pair ne ek qabil-e-zikar pattern dikhaya, jo ke ek chhota sa bullish candle ke saath band hua, jo pinbar formation ki yaad dilata hai. Mojooda moor par, qeemat 1.0769 hai, jo ke ek nazar kaafi kamzor hai. Khaas tor par, yeh level haftay ki moving average ke thodi si kamee ke neeche hai, jo ke 1.0786 par hai. Yeh qareebi panah ishaarat hai aur market mein bullish jazbaat ka pata lagata hai. Bullish dawa mein izafa ke liye, stochastic indicator oversold territory se rukh dikha raha hai, jo ke upar ki taraf le jane ki taraf ishara hai. Is mouvement ka badalna aane wale sessions mein mazeed qeemat izafa kar sakta hai, bullish outlook ko mazboot karne mein madad karta hai.


Jumeraat ke trading fa'alat par gehraai se ghor kiya jaye, din ek chhote se bearish candle ke saath samapt hua, jo ke Jumeraat ki bullish candle mein shaamil tha. Pichle bullish momentum ke andar yeh consolidation neeche girne ka jawaz hai, market jazbaat mein bullish bias ki tasdeeq ko mazboot karta hai. Mazeed, qeemat ka rukh neeche ki taraf trend line ke upar hai, jo ke mojooda bullish momentum ko zor se dikhata hai.
Yeh upar ki taraf raaste par rehna, EURUSD pair mein mazbooti ko dikhata hai, traders aur investors mein i'timaad ko mazboot karta hai. Jab hum mazeed bazaar ki maahol ke pehluo mein jhaankte hain, toh yeh zahir hota hai ke EURUSD currency pair ke liye primary raasta upar ka raha hai. Yeh barqarar upar ki raftar ko kai technical indicators aur chart patterns ke saath sath liya ja raha hai, jo ke mazeed qeemat izafa ke liye ek maqbool mahol ko dikhata hai.

Aane wale trading haftay mein agla nazariya pur umeed hai, mazeed izafa ki ummeed hai. Ek ahem level jo dekhna hai, woh Jumeraat ki unchi hai, jo ke 1.0790 par tayyar hai. Is level ka toorna mazeed upar rukh ki rah ko khol sakta hai, jahan mazeed targets 1.0812 tak ho sakte hain.

Cheez yeh hai ke bechnay ke liye, aap ko ab bhi support level ke neeche trading karna hoga, jo 1.0750 par hai, kyunki EMA200 aur EMA50 is level par 4 ghanton ke chart par maujood hain. Yeh yaad rakhna bhi zaroori hai ke agar yeh moving averages "Golden Cross" pattern banate hain to ek kharidne ka signal utpann ho sakta hai. Bilkul, mujhe yeh dekhna pasand nahi hai, kyunki yeh bilkul bechna hai, aur haalaanki bechnay abhi thode se upar is level par hain, ve peer se atak gaye hain se itwar, aur ek option hai ke main ne deals ko rok diya, lekin main ab bhi intezar kar raha hoon ke peer se neeche jaaye. Bunyadi tor par, pehla signal 1.0770 ke support ka toot jaana hoga, aur aaj EUR/USD ne poore din is level ke upar trade kiya, trading range mein 1.0790 aur 1.0770 ke darmiyan. Bechne ka rad hona jab trading 1.0790 ke upar jaata hai, phir bhi main wahan zyada izaafat ka intezar nahi karta, haalaanki main ghalat ho sakta hoon. Lekin yehaan par ek double top ya ek chhota shakal mein ek descending triangle ke form hone ka bahut bada mauqa hai.


Jodi aise hi phir rassi par mandli mandli chalti hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke agle haftay bhi yeh jodi upar aur neeche jaayegi. Aaj maine kuch apni nichli bechne band kar diye aur sirf ooper ke chhode. Abhi tak koi kharidari nahi hai. Agar jodi neeche ke targets tak jaati hai, to main wahan se kharidari kholunga. Main apni bechnay ko bhi aur neeche tak rakhoonga, mukhya target par 1.0730 aur doosre target par 1.0710. Mujhe pata nahi ke jodi kaise neeche jaayegi, lekin 1.0590 ki nishaan jodi par hai aur yeh gayab nahi hua hai, isliye main intezaar kar raha hoon ke yeh aur neeche jaaye. Aur agar jodi gira nahi, lekin phir se upar uchhal jaaye, to main bechnay ko jari rakhoonga jab tak woh upar jaati rahegi. EURUSD ke liye, haalat, pound ki tarah, bejun hai, aur hamare paas bhi 1.0780 ke area mein H1 time par tight flat hai. Aur bejun hone ka ishaara price fixation Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke andar hai. Lekin main dekh raha hoon ke daam 1.0780 ke upar bhi nahi jaata hai, yaani ke 8th figure par wapas jane ka koi iraada nahi hai, isliye 1.0780 ke level par vapas aane ka zyada mauka hai aur agar aapko bearish engulfing ke sath ek rebound milta hai, to aap 1.0723 tak bechne mein ja sakte hain, yeh maqsad itna door nahi hai, isliye Amriki log is price ko is support ke taraf dhakel sakte hain, aur agar hum iska tootne ka dekhte hain, to hum phir se 6th figure par nazar daal sakte hain.

EURUSD Tadbeer: Daily aur Weekly Samaye Ke Frames Par Bearish Outlook


EURUSD ke daily time frame chart par, ek mazboot trend line ka zahir trend hai, jisme har bar currency ne line ko choone par girawat ka samna kiya hai. Haal hi mein, EURUSD ne trend line ko chhua aur tajziya gahri giravat ke sath guzri, jo ek mazboot pin bar candle ko janam diya. Pichle haftay mein bhi, currency ne 26 EMA line tak pohanch kar aik upri movement dikhaya tha lekin tab se range-bound trading zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai. Haftawar waqt frame chart par bhi, EURUSD ne teis hafte pehle aik taqatwar bearish engulfing candle dikhaya, jo bearish trend ki nishani thi. Overall, dono frames par tadbeer bearish outlook ko darust karti hai. Traders ko support aur resistance levels ko monitor karne aur trend lines ko dekhne ka mashwara diya jaata hai ta ke unke trades ke liye potentialial entry aur exit points ka andaza ho sake.



Cheez yeh hai ke bechnay ke liye, aap ko ab bhi support level ke neeche trading karna hoga, jo 1.0750 par hai, kyunki EMA200 aur EMA50 is level par 4 ghanton ke chart par maujood hain. Yeh yaad rakhna bhi zaroori hai ke agar yeh moving averages "Golden Cross" pattern banate hain to ek kharidne ka signal utpann ho sakta hai. Bilkul, mujhe yeh dekhna pasand nahi hai, kyunki yeh bilkul bechna hai, aur haalaanki bechnay abhi thode se upar is level par hain, ve peer se atak gaye hain se itwar, aur ek option hai ke main ne deals ko rok diya, lekin main ab bhi intezar kar raha hoon ke peer se neeche jaaye.



Bunyadi tor par, pehla signal 1.0770 ke support ka toot jaana hoga, aur aaj EUR/USD ne poore din is level ke upar trade kiya, trading range mein 1.0790 aur 1.0770 ke darmiyan. Bechne ka rad hona jab trading 1.0790 ke upar jaata hai, phir bhi main wahan zyada izaafat ka intezar nahi karta, haalaanki main ghalat ho sakta hoon. Lekin yehaan par ek double top ya ek chhota shakal mein ek descending triangle ke form hone ka bahut bada mauqa hai.



Jodi aise hi phir rassi par mandli mandli chalti hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke agle haftay bhi yeh jodi upar aur neeche jaayegi. Aaj maine kuch apni nichli bechne band kar diye aur sirf ooper ke chhode. Abhi tak koi kharidari nahi hai. Agar jodi neeche ke targets tak jaati hai, to main wahan se kharidari kholunga. Main apni bechnay ko bhi aur neeche tak rakhoonga, mukhya target par 1.0730 aur doosre target par 1.0710. Mujhe pata nahi ke jodi kaise neeche jaayegi, lekin 1.0590 ki nishaan jodi par hai aur yeh gayab nahi hua hai, isliye main intezaar kar raha hoon ke yeh aur neeche jaaye.



Aur agar jodi gira nahi, lekin phir se upar uchhal jaaye, to main bechnay ko jari rakhoonga jab tak woh upar jaati rahegi. EURUSD ke liye, haalat, pound ki tarah, bejun hai, aur hamare paas bhi 1.0780 ke area mein H1 time par tight flat hai. Aur bejun hone ka ishaara price fixation Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke andar hai. Lekin main dekh raha hoon ke daam 1.0780 ke upar bhi nahi jaata hai, yaani ke 8th figure par wapas jane ka koi iraada nahi hai, isliye 1.0780 ke level par vapas aane ka zyada mauka hai aur agar aapko bearish engulfing ke sath ek rebound milta hai, to aap 1.0723 tak bechne mein ja sakte hain, yeh maqsat itna door nahi hai, isliye Amriki log is price ko is support ke taraf dhakel sakte hain, aur agar hum iska tootne ka dekhte hain, to hum phir se 6th figure par nazar daal sakte hain.

EURUSD currency pair ne ek qabil-e-zikar pattern dikhaya, jo ek chhota sa bullish candle ke saath band hua, jo pinbar formation ki yaad dilata hai. Mojooda moor par, qeemat 1.0769 hai, jo ek nazar kaafi kamzor hai. Khaas tor par, yeh level haftay ki moving average ke thodi si kamee ke neeche hai, jo 1.0786 par hai. Yeh qareebi panah ishaarat hai aur market mein bullish jazbaat ka pata lagata hai. Bullish dawa mein izafa ke liye, stochastic indicator oversold territory se rukh dikha raha hai, jo upar ki taraf le jane ki taraf ishara hai. Is movement ka badalna aane wale sessions mein mazeed qeemat izafa kar sakta hai, bullish outlook ko mazboot karne mein madad karta hai.




Jumeraat ke trading fa'alat par gehraai se ghor kiya jaye, din ek chhote se bearish candle ke saath samapt hua, jo Jumeraat ki bullish candle mein shaamil tha.Pichle bullish momentum ke andar yeh consolidation neeche girne ka jawaz hai, market jazbaat mein bullish bias ki tasdeeq ko mazboot karta EUR/USD pair ke liye technical resistance ki ek aur layer 14-period RSI dwara jama hoti hai, jo 40 aur 60 ke darmiyan oscillate kar rahi hai, aur yeh mazeed karobaar ke shirakat daaroon ki tajwez ki tafseelat ko zyada roshni daal rahi hai.ECB policymakers ke darmiyan interest rates ke mustaqbil ki raah tay karna division ka samna hai. Kuch log June mein aik rate cut ki zaroorat samajhte hain, to doosray is ta'ayyun mein izafa karne ke baray mein hichkichahat izhar karte hain. Investors is mubahisay ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh EUR/USD exchange rate par shaded asar daal sakta hai. Aane wale haftay mein, aham ma'ashi deta releases aur central bank pronouncements bazaron ko mazeed rehnumai faraham karne ki sambhavna rakhte hain.

Maliyaati markets aik mashghool haftay ki taraf rawana ho rahi hain, jahan pey aham ma'ashi deta ki taslehat Amreeka aur Europe dono main hon gi. Dollar do hafton ki kamzori ke baad mazboot hua, Amreeki Treasury yields ke barhne se pur uthra, jis se investors ma'ashi deta ke asar par nazar rakhtay hain. Inflation data ko tawajjo se dekha ja raha hai, jahan Producer Price Index (PPI) 14 May ko anjam diya jayega aur phir Consumer Price Index (CPI) 15 May ko ayega. Dosri aham Amreeki releases mein retail sales, business inventories, aur NAHB Housing Market Index, sab 15 May ko honge. Is ke ilawa, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index bhi maamooli haftay ki data ke saath nikle ga. Atlantic ke dusri simt, tawajjo Europe ki inflation aur ma'ashi jazbat par ho gi. Germany ka final inflation rate aur ZEW economic sentiment index dono Germany aur eurozone ke liye 14 May ko ta'ayyun kiya gaya hai. European Monetary Union (EMU) ko 15 May ko apna GDP growth forecast dobara dekhna hai, phir final euro zone inflation rate 17 May ko jaari hoga. Hal hil mein dollar ke mazboot hone ki wajah Amreeki Treasury yields ke barhne ko mana jata hai, jo ke dollar-denominated assets ko investors ke liye zyada kashish daar bana deta hai. Magar, bari currency pair, EUR/USD, ab bhi 1.08 darjay par ghoom rahi hai, rozana charts par aik symmetrical triangle pattern mein phansi hui hai. Yeh pattern dono raaston mein aik potential breakout ko zahir karta hai, jahan upside October lows se mehdood hai aur downside December highs se mehdood hai. 200-day EMA (exponential moving average) ab 1.0780 darjay ke as paas hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye ek aur layer of technical resistance ko jama karta hai. 14-period RSI (relative strength index) jo ke 40 aur 60 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, mazeed karobaar ke shirakat daaroon ki tajwez ki tafseelat ko aur zyada roshni daalta hai.
ECB policymakers ke darmiyan interest rates ke mustaqbil ki raah tay karna division ka samna hai. Jab ke kuch log June mein aik rate cut ki zaroorat samajhte hain, to doosray is ta'ayyun mein izafa karne ke baray mein hichkichahat izhar karte hain. Investors is mubahisay ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh EUR/USD exchange rate par shadeed asar daal sakta hai. Aane wale haftay mein, aham ma'ashi deta releases aur central bank pronouncements bazaron ko mazeed rehnumai faraham karne ki sambhavna rakhte hain.

EUR/USD jodi pichle che mahinon se be-intiha qaim reh kar, 6 mufeed dinon tak ke liye, sidha rahi hai. Investors ko darpaish hai ke woh Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke hawale se khaufzada mudabar rahenge aur sastaai ke baray mein musa kar pata, to is halat mein main 1.0730 tak ki support ke liye intezaar kar raha hoon, jo ke khaas support hai, jo tootne se zyada tezi se giraav ka banaavat ka pehla daura shuru hoga. Jo keh ek mazboot impulse hai aur 1.0490 tak girne ka aaghaaz hai, sirf haftay ke shuru mein, is liye 1.0490 ka nishana is haftay ke liye abhi bhi maqbool hai. Naye haftay ke liye, zyada taraar mein, ager pair 1.0810 ke resistance ko toor sakta hai, us par jama ho sakta hai, to humlsal pareshaniyon ke darmiyan fas gaye hain. Jaisa ke kaafi logo ne tawaqo kiya tha, Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko be-intihaar rakha. Magar yeh faisla EUR/USD ko uske mojooda trading range se bahar nikalne mein kamyab nahi hua. Market ka mizaaj ab future mein ek interest rate kaatne ke mumkin iraade par mabni hai. Jab ke interest rate futures mein November mein ek mumkin kaat ka ishaara hai, lekin is kisam ke qadam ka yaqeeni banna abhi bhi ghair yaqeeni hai. Tawajjo ab anay waale maali data releases

par mudaawil ho rahi hai. Is Thursday ko, sab nigaahen April ke European Manufacturing PMI data par hongi, jahan kisi bhi hairat angez baat ki umeed nahi hai. Magar Jumma ko hone waale US non-farm payrolls data ka ikhtiyaar ek ahem market ke asraat ke tor par muntazir hai. Muashiyat daarane aalaag ki taqreebat mein martab ki kami ki umeed hai mdarsata hai, khas tor par ahem darja 1.0832 ke sath jumla hai. Ye level neechay ki taraf jaane wale channel ke upper boundary ke sath milta hai, is ki ahmiyat ko mazeed barhata hai. Agar pair is rukawat ko paar na kar sake, to aage aur mushkilat ka samna kar sakta hai. Agar keemat ne 1.0770 ke psychology level ko tor diya, to ye bearish momentum ki taraf tabdeel hone ka ishara ho sakta hai. Aise maamlay mein, traders aglay potential target ke tor par 1.0660 ke support level ki taraf dekh sakte hain. Ye level tareekhi tor par market ke shirkat daron ke liye aham hota hai aur ek girawat ke sorat mein ziada tawajjo ka markaz ban sakta hai. EUR/USD ab aik ahem marhala se guzar raha hai jo ek ungli darichayi ke energy shift ke sath characterized hai. Traders key levels jaise 1.0780 aur 1.0600 ko direction ke liye isharay kearch ke muqable mein, haal hi mein layoffs trends ki wajah se revisions

EUR USD Ki Technical Analysis:
EURUSD ne EMA50 ko neeche se asani se phir se oopar tak dhakel liya, jo is harkat se kam az kam EURUSD ke liye ek tasawwur deti hai ke bullish trend mein wapas jane ka mauqa ab bhi ho sakta hai. Jahan, agar ham kuch din pehle par tawajjo dein, to asal mein kuch din pehle TF daily par EMA50 ko guzarne ki koshish hui thi, lekin kai koshishon se wazeh hai ke sabhi nakamiyon mein se kisi ne bhi nakaam nahi hua aur istead mein sirf ek kaafi lambi upper tail chhod gaya. jo haqeeqat mein ulta sign deta hai jo EURUSD ko phir se bechnay ki ijazat deta hai.



Bhavishya mein, kuch bhi ho sakta hai, jahan EURUSD ka mukhya nishana is hafte ke liye beshak ahem ilaqe mein dobara daakhil hona hai, haan, agar sach kaha jaye to Jumma ka daily mombati ab wapas se clearly phir se bearish position mein dikh raha hai, haan, agar ye bhi kaha jaye ke mombati ka jism abhi chhota hai aur abhi tak ek bearish mombati kaha ja sakta hai bhi nahi, to phir bhi EURUSD ko kam az kam ek movement banane ka mauqa hai jo zyada bullish hai jisme ek ideal nishana hai 1,080. H4 Timeframe Chhote time frame par H4 par jaari rakhne se, jahan agar ham kal par tawajjo dein to asal mein EURUSD ke liye ek aur taqatwar bearish harkat banane ka mauqa tha, jahan agar ham dekhein to asal mein ek EMA50 ke neeche H4 mombati ka ikhtitam hua, haan, lekin jaise dikhaya gaya hum sab jaante hain ke bohot jaldi market asal mein ek taqatwar bullish harkat bana raha hai, haan, haqeeqat mein, abhi ke liye, is uthaal puthaal se ye bhi lag raha hai ke EURUSD abhi taqatwar resistance ilaqa ko guzarne ki koshish kar raha hai jo 1,079 ilaqa ke aas paas hai, na? Agar ye ahem ilaqa guzar jaye to phir EURUSD ke liye phir se zyada bullish harkat ka mauqa hai jo ke haqeeqat mein bhi ho sakti hai, haan, agar abhi ke liye kam az kam EURUSD mein wo kharid-darain bohot saavdhan rehna chahiye ta ke palatne ke mumkin mouqay ka samna kya ho, kyunki oscillator ek baar phir H4 par abhi ke liye oversold position mein dakhil ho gaya hai.

Maliyaati markets aik mashghool haftay ki taraf rawana ho rahi hain, jahan pey aham ma'ashi deta ki taslehat Amreeka aur Europe dono main hon gi. Dollar do hafton ki kamzori ke baad mazboot hua, Amreeki Treasury yields ke barhne se pur uthra, jis se investors ma'ashi deta ke asar par nazar rakhtay hain. Inflation data ko tawajjo se dekha ja raha hai, jahan Producer Price Index (PPI) 14 May ko anjam diya jayega aur phir Consumer Price Index (CPI) 15 May ko ayega. Dosri aham Amreeki releases mein retail sales, business inventories, aur NAHB Housing Market Index, sab 15 May ko honge. Is ke ilawa, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index bhi maamooli haftay ki data ke saath nikle ga. Atlantic ke dusri simt, tawajjo Europe ki inflation aur ma'ashi jazbat par ho gi. Germany ka final inflation rate aur ZEW economic sentiment index dono Germany aur eurozone ke liye 14 May ko ta'ayyun kiya gaya hai. European Monetary Union (EMU) ko 15 May ko apna GDP growth forecast dobara dekhna hai, phir final euro zone inflation rate 17 May ko jaari hoga. Hal hil mein dollar ke mazboot hone ki wajah Amreeki Treasury yields ke barhne ko mana jata hai, jo ke dollar-denominated assets ko investors ke liye zyada kashish daar bana deta hai. Magar, bari currency pair, EUR/USD, ab bhi 1.08 darjay par ghoom rahi hai, rozana charts par aik symmetrical triangle pattern mein phansi hui hai. Yeh pattern dono raaston mein aik potential breakout ko zahir karta hai, jahan upside October lows se mehdood hai aur downside December highs se mehdood hai. 200-day EMA (exponential moving average) ab 1.0780 darjay ke as paas hai, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye ek aur layer of technical resistance ko jama karta hai. 14-period RSI (relative strength index) jo ke 40 aur 60 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, mazeed karobaar ke shirakat daaroon ki tajwez ki tafseelat ko aur zyada roshni daalta hai.
ECB policymakers ke darmiyan interest rates ke mustaqbil ki raah tay karna division ka samna hai. Jab ke kuch log June mein aik rate cut ki zaroorat samajhte hain, to doosray is ta'ayyun mein izafa karne ke baray mein hichkichahat izhar karte hain. Investors is mubahisay ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, kyunke yeh EUR/USD exchange rate par shadeed asar daal sakta hai. Aane wale haftay mein, aham ma'ashi deta releases aur central bank pronouncements bazaron ko mazeed rehnumai faraham karne ki sambhavna rakhte hain.

Maliye ke bazaar ab ek masroof haftay ke liye tayar ho rahe hain jahan America aur Europe dono mein ahem maqami maali data jaari honge. Dollar do hafton ki kami ke baad mazboot hua, America ke Treasury yields ke barhne se ubharte hue. Sarmayakaron ko tanqeedi ma'loomat ko qareeb se dekhne ka intezar hai, jahan Producer Price Index (PPI) 14 May ko aur Consumer Price Index (CPI) 15 May ko jaari honge. Doosre ahem America ke izharat mein retail sales, business inventories aur NAHB Housing Market Index, sab 15 May ko honge. Is ke ilawa, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index maamooli haftawaray maaloomat ke sath bahar aayega. Samandar ke doosri taraf, tawajjo European tanqeedi ke or maamoolat ki taraf hogi. Germany ke final tanqeedi darjaat aur ZEW economic sentiment index dono Germany aur eurozone ke liye 14 May ko schedule hain. European Monetary Union (EMU) ko 15 May ko apne GDP growth forecast ki tajdeed ki umeed hai, jise 17 May ko final euro zone inflation rate ke ikhtitam ke saath jaari kiya jayega.



Haal ki dollar ki mazbooti ko America ke Treasury yields ke barhne ki wajah se kiya ja sakta hai, jo sarmayakaron ke liye dollar par mabni assests ko zyada kashish karne wale banate hain. Magar, bara currency pair, EUR/USD, ab bhi 1.08 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, daily charts par ek symmetric triangle pattern mein phansa hua hai. Ye pattern kisi bhi rukh mein potential breakout ko zahir karta hai, jahan upar ki had tak October ke kam honay wale aur neeche ki had tak December ke unchayi se mehdood hai. 200-day EMA (exponential moving average) abhi 1.0780 ke aas paas hai, EUR/USD pair ke liye ek aur technical rukawat ka darja hai. 14-period RSI (relative strength index) jo 40 aur 60 ke darmiyan harkat kar raha hai, ye bazar ke shirkatdaron mein tawajjo ki inteshar ko mazeed numaindah karta hai. ECB policymakers interest rates ke mustaqbil ke rukh par mufassil hain. Jab kuch log maante hain ke June mein ek dar rate kaatna zaroori hai, to doosre is se age ki easing cycle ko barhane se mayaari qadam uthane mein sust hain. Sarmayakar is mubahisa ko qareeb se dekh rahe hain, kyunke ye EUR/USD exchange rate par asar daal sakta hai. Aane wale haftay mein ahem maali maalumat ke ikhtitami izharat aur markazi bank ke ilaanat bazaar ko mazeed raasta dikhane ke liye mukhtasir farahmi faraham kar sakti hain.

Jab dunya bhar ke maali manzar mein tabdili jaari rehti hai, to Euro aur US Dollar jaise bade currencies ke darmiyan ka khail traders ke liye puri duniya mein ek markazi point ban jata hai. Haal hi mein, EUR/USD pair ne zor daar maaloomat ke saath America se nikalne wale mazboot data ke peechay sabit qadam rakha hai. Greenback ki dobala hui shakhsiyat ke bawajood, Euro ne apni pehchan ko ahem 1.0770 ke mark par barqarar rakha hai, jo ke 0.10% ki zyada hai.

EUR/USD ke Bunyadiyat:

Be inteha umeedon ke saath, EUR/USD traders key US maali maalumat ke ikhtitami izharat ka intezar karte hain, jo ke Fed ke mahaz inflation ke khilaf jang ke ek bunyadi hissah hain. Peshgoiyan ek mustaqil 0.3% ke reading ki karte hain, jab ke saalana inflation dar pehle mahine ke 2.8% se thori si ghat kar 2.6% tak aa sakti hai. Ye mumkin mushkil ke ishaarat hai ek dhire dhire keemati dabao ka thanda hona, jo ke bazaar ke jazbat par asar daal sakta hai aur mustaqbil ke trading strategies ko murattab kar sakta hai.



Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Currency pair ne 1.0730 ke aas paas kuch araam paaya hai, lekin 1.0776 ke mazboot tor par paar nahi kar paana umeedon se bharpoor bull traders ke liye siyaah jhandiyan buland kar raha hai. Agar rozana bandish sakht tor par is se neeche rahegi, to saalana kamzor low 1.0600 ke darwazay par dubara ja sakti hai. Is nokte ko paar karne se pehle, ek ahem support zone 1.0447 par toot sakta hai, jo pehli baar October 2023 mein dekha gaya tha.

Upar ki taraf, spot ke daam ko 1.0700 ke upar barqarar rakhna bullish momentum ke liye zaroori hai. Is level ke paar hone se rasta saaf ho sakta hai ek nafsiyati had 1.0800 ki taraf, jo ke 50 aur 200-day moving averages (DMA) ke ekta zone ke saath banega.

Euro US Dollar ke khilaf jaddojehad kar raha hai, jis ka daam Jumma ke early European trading ke doran taqreeban 1.0775 ke aas paas hai. Ye kamzori iske baad aai hai jab Federal Reserve ke afraad ke nagawar comments ne Dollar ke liye tawanai ko barha diya. Aaj ke baad, US May ke consumer confidence index ko jaari karega, jo thora sa kam honay ka imkaan hai. Bara tasveer dekhte hue, EUR/USD pair ne December 2023 ke darmiyan se ek neeche ki rukh ikhtiyar kiya hai. Ye rozana ka chart dikhata hai, jo pair ko ek ghatein hui channel ke andar trade karte hue dikhata hai. Magar, kuch isharaat hain ke ek potential bounce ke imkaanat mojood hain. 24-day Relative Power Index (RSI) abhi 55 ke aas paas udhar hai, jo ke ishara karta hai ke Euro abhi tak oversold nahi hai aur iske liye kuch faida ho sakta hai. Euro ke liye pehla bara rukawat 1.0790-1.0800 zone hai. Ye ilaqa 100-day moving average aur downtrend channel ka upper line dono ko darust karta hai. Agar Euro is rukawat ko tor sakta hai, to agla target April 9th ka bulandai 1.0885 ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, March 21st ka bulandai (1.0943), March 8th ka bulandai (1.0981), aur nafsiyati darja 1.1000 bhi khilaf aasakti hai.



Niche, technical tasveer dikhata hai ke Euro dono 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke dono neeche ki taraf mudi hui hain. Ye ishara karta hai ke overall trend ab bhi bearish hai. Magar, haal hi mein bulls ki taraf se keemat ko buland karne ki koshishen bhi hui hain, khaaskar Jumma aur Peer ke doran. Is ke ilawa, Euro ka relative long position apne short position ke muqable mein nisbatan bara hai. Kisi bhi rukh mein ek ahem harkat (kareeb 1%) lambi dour ke momentum mein tabdeeli ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Agar Euro 1.0850 ke upar chadh jaaye, to ye 1.1050 ki taraf ek tezi ke darwaze ko khol sakta hai, shayad mazeed bhi. Mutawazi, agar 1.0650 ke neeche gir jaaye, to nayi farokht ki dabao ko dobara janam diya ja sakta hai, jo Euro ko 1.05 ilaqa tak dobara ghata sakta hai. Qareebi tour par, fori support level 1.0724 par hai, jo May 9th ka kamzor darja hai. Agar Euro is point ke neeche jaaye, to agla downside target May 2nd ka kamzor darja 1.0650 ho sakta hai, is ke ilawa April 16th ka kamzor darja 1.0600. Tawiil ke tor par 1.0600 ke neeche ka tayand tor sakta hai ke Euro 1.0500 darja tak gire, jo ke ek naya multi-year low darja hoga.

EUR-USD PAIR TAHQIQ

Barah-e-karam EURUSD ke bazaar ki situation par tawajjo dein, kal ke trading mein aisa laga ke kharid-darain ne EURUSD bazaar ko qaboo kiya aur EURUSD ke daam ko buland karne mein madad ki, lekin zyada taqat ke saath nahi ya koi trend pattern nahi dikha jo EURUSD bazaar mein ho sakta hai, maine H1 timeframe par nazar daali aur kal ke trading se mapping jari rakha kyunki meri raa'ey ke mutabiq EURUSD bazaar ka manzar zyada tabdeel nahi hua kyunki na to kharid-darain ka bara hosla hai aur na he bechne walon ka.

H1 timeframe se dekha gaya ke EURUSD ka movement ab bhi MA100 indicator ke aas paas hai, is liye behtar hai ke main intezar karne ki salahiyat den, jab taqat ke strong ishaarat ka formation ho raha hai ya phir jab ke ek bara zor nazar aata hai aur EURUSD ke daam ko buland karta hai, meri nazar mein dono kharid-darain aur bechne walon ke liye ek he bada mauqa hai is liye dono ko entry signal ke tor par follow kiya ja sakta hai jab taqat ka bara saboot zahir ho.



Thursday ko EURUSD bohot buland tha kyunki currency pair mein kareeb 60 pips ke izafay ka samna hua. Pehle, EURUSD ka movement neeche janay ki taraf raha, lekin jab mombati 1.0730 ke daam tak pohanch gayi aur wo ilaqa guzarne mein nakaam sabit hua, to phir movement phir se buland ho gaya. Intahai halat mein eurusd ki apni he trade 1.0780 par hai. Shartein abhi bhi mazboot hain. Upar di gayi tasveer se dekha gaya ke mombati abhi tak MA 50 aur MA 200 ko guzar nahi sakti. Shayad wahan inkaar ho jo ke daam ko phir se girane mein madad kar sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar ye tor diya jaye, to izafa shayad phir jaari rahe. Aaj ke liye, main yeh keh raha hoon ke Eurusd apne trend ko jaari rakhega jo abhi tak bearish hai kyunki daam 1.0785 ke supply ilaqa ko guzar nahi sakte hain. Is liye, main apne dosto ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain unhe sirf chhote positions par tawajjo dena ki salahiyat deta hoon. Jaise hamesha, nishana qareebi support par 1.0720 ke daam par hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne apne haftawaray time frame chart par dilchasp keemat ke amal ki dynamics ka izhar kiya hai, jo khaas tor par ek symmetrical triangle pattern se kirdar hai. Is symmetrical triangle pattern, jo ke saath sath di gayi tasveer mein dikhaya gaya hai, traders aur analysts dono ke liye dilchaspi ka markazi manzar pesh karta hai. Chart ko qareeb se jaanchte hue, yeh wazeh ho jata hai ke EUR/USD ke keemat ke amal is symmetrical triangle formation ke hudood mein mehdood hain. Yeh consolidation phase, mil rahe trend lines ke darmiyan milne par mabni, bazaar mein ikhtiyarat ka dor shumar hota hai, jahan na to bull aur na he bear qawi taur par istehkaam darust kar sakte hain.

Is pattern ko ahem darja ka ek aur tabqa madda hai ke iska hamwar hota hai moving average lines ke saath. Pichle kai hafton se, keemat ne in moving average lines ko ikhtiyar karne ka rujhan dikhaya hai, inka ahem darja barhate hue ke wo potenshal support aur resistance levels ke tor par ahem hain. Jab symmetrical triangle pattern barhta hai, to aik dilchasp guftagu samne aati hai: upper aur lower trend lines ke darmiyan ka fasla ba tasalsul kam hota ja raha hai. Ye phenomenon pattern ke andar volatility mein kami ka aghaaz darust karta hai, jo ke qareebi breakout ka agaaz ho sakta hai.

Jab aisa breakout hota hai, to amooman yeh tawaqo kiya jata hai ke EUR/USD aik direction mein faisla karne ka samna karega. Yeh directional bias, jo bazaar ki jazbaat aur bunyadi factors ki aakhri juzwi shuraat se munsalik hota hai, momentum mein aik naya tabdeeli ka sabab ban sakta hai. Traders aur investors is symmetrical triangle pattern ka hal ka besabri se intezar karte hain, kyun ke is mein munafa dene wale trading mauqe pesh karta hai. Ke breakout kis taraf se jata hai, yeh bade taur par mukhtalif factors par munhasir hoga, jin mein maali maalumat ki riliz, markazi bank policies, geopolitical developments, aur overall market ki jazbaat shamil hain.



Ikhtitam mein, EUR/USD ke haftawaray chart par symmetrical triangle formation traders aur analysts ke liye dilchasp manzar pesh karta hai. Moving average lines ke sath unka hamwar hona aur trend lines ke gradual milap ke saath, stage set hai aik faisla sheri ki taraf ki taraf ke liye jo ke aane wale hafton mein currency pair ki rukh ko khas tor par mutasir kar sakta hai. Traders ko awaz par qaim aur mustawrad rehne ki salahiyat di jati hai taa ke bazaar ki tabdeeli shirakat karti hui shirakat hote hue, jahan wo apne aap ko is pattern se paida hone wale trading mauqe se faida uthane ke liye muqarrar karte hain.