𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR-USD Pair Analysis

Rozana technical analysis ke mutabiq, market ka trend uptrend hai aur yeh 1.0891 price zone tak jaa sakta hai. Yeh isliye kyunke monthly time frame mein trend ne ek lambi bullish candlestick banayi hai jo ke buy signal ka intizar kar rahi hai. Long-term price travel ka asar 100 moving average indicator pe hota hai, jo abhi bhi bullish trend mein hai.

Indicator ke slope se dekha jaaye to yeh dheere dheere upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo dikhata hai ke buyers ki purchasing power barh rahi hai. Abhi price ka safar 1.0848 position pe ruk gaya hai. Aakhri kuch dino mein market situation ne trend ko continue rakha hai jaise ke maheene ke shuru mein tha kyunke yeh Uptrend side pe chal raha tha. Price movement itna barh gaya hai ke yeh 100 period simple moving average zone se door ho raha hai, jo ke yeh sign ho sakta hai ke market ke paas Uptrend side ko continue karne ka mauka hai. Mere khayal se, ek trader ko fundamental momentum ka intizar karna chahiye taake market uptrend ko mazid barh sake.

Aakhri hafte ke aakhri dino mein prices downward correction situation mein the, lekin ab yeh barh gaye hain aur agle hafte aur bhi ooper ja sakte hain. Mustaqbil ke trading references ke liye, main suggest karta hoon ke position kholne mein jaldbazi na karein. Technically, trading plans zyada tar Buy position kholne ko pasand karte hain jab tak price 100 period simple moving average zone se ooper ho. Stochastic indicator level 80 tak barh gaya hai, jo market trend ko bullish side pe dikhata hai. Magar, aapko ehtiyaat baratni hogi kyunke ek strong increase market ko downward correction mein le ja sakta hai kuch dino ke liye pehle ke Uptrend start ho.

EUR-USD Pair Analysis
Pichle Jumme ko humne dekha ke EURUSD currency pair ka movement kaafi zyada barh gaya, lagbhag 50 pips. EURUSD currency pair ka yeh izafa isliye hua kyunke euro currency exchange rate mein kaafi mazbooti aayi jabse Eurozone Core CPI Flash Estimate ke data release hua jo 2.9% barh gaya aur Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate bhi 2.6% ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jis se EURUSD currency pair ka movement 1.08470s price tak pohanch gaya. Iske ilawa, EURUSD ka izafa US dollar exchange rate ke kamzor hone se bhi hua kyunke US Core CPE Price Index ke data release hone par 0.2% ka kamzor hua aur Chicago PMI bhi 35.5% kamzor hua, jiski wajah se US dollar exchange rate euro ke muqable mein kamzor pad gaya aur EURUSD 1.0880 ke price tak barh gaya. Aaj ke mere fundamental analysis ke mutabiq EURUSD currency pair ka movement abhi bhi EURUSD kharidne ko keh raha hai aur price 1.08800 tak barh sakti hai.

Technical analysis ke nazariye se dekha jaye to EURUSD currency pair ka movement down to 1.08200 tak correct ho sakta hai. Yeh isliye kyunke H1 time frame mein EURUSD currency pair ne Bearish engulfing candle pattern banaya hai jo ke ek mazboot signal hai EURUSD ko SELL karne ka aur price 1.08200 tak gir sakti hai. Iske ilawa, relative strength index 14 indicator bhi yeh keh raha hai ke kal EURUSD ka price 1.08800s pe overbought tha ya bohot zyada kharida gaya tha, to Monday ko EURUSD ka movement down to 1.08200s correct hone ke imkanaat hain. EURUSD SELL signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support milta hai kyunke jab EURUSD price 1.08700s pe thi to yeh SBR area (Support Become Resistance) mein thi, jis se SELLERS ka market mein enter hona mumkin hai aur yeh EURUSD ko 1.08200s ke prices tak girne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Mere technical analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya hai ke EURUSD ko 1.08200 ke price tak SELL karun.

EUR-USD Pair Analysis

Rozana technical analysis ke mutabiq, market ka trend uptrend hai aur yeh 1.0891 price zone tak jaa sakta hai. Yeh isliye kyunke monthly time frame mein trend ne ek lambi bullish candlestick banayi hai jo ke buy signal ka intizar kar rahi hai. Long-term price travel ka asar 100 moving average indicator pe hota hai, jo abhi bhi bullish trend mein hai.

Indicator ke slope se dekha jaaye to yeh dheere dheere upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, jo dikhata hai ke buyers ki purchasing power barh rahi hai. Abhi price ka safar 1.0848 position pe ruk gaya hai. Aakhri kuch dino mein market situation ne trend ko continue rakha hai jaise ke maheene ke shuru mein tha kyunke yeh Uptrend side pe chal raha tha. Price movement itna barh gaya hai ke yeh 100 period simple moving average zone se door ho raha hai, jo ke yeh sign ho sakta hai ke market ke paas Uptrend side ko continue karne ka mauka hai. Mere khayal se, ek trader ko fundamental momentum ka intizar karna chahiye taake market uptrend ko mazid barh sake.

Aakhri hafte ke aakhri dino mein prices downward correction situation mein the, lekin ab yeh barh gaye hain aur agle hafte aur bhi ooper ja sakte hain. Mustaqbil ke trading references ke liye, main suggest karta hoon ke position kholne mein jaldbazi na karein. Technically, trading plans zyada tar Buy position kholne ko pasand karte hain jab tak price 100 period simple moving average zone se ooper ho. Stochastic indicator level 80 tak barh gaya hai, jo market trend ko bullish side pe dikhata hai.

Asian session mein Jumma ke din, currency pair 1.0840 ke aas paas ek tight range mein **** raha. Yeh lateral performance jari rehne ki umeed hai jabke US Dollar (USD) crucial economic data releases ke intezar mein stabilize ho raha hai. In releases mein Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes aur preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data for May shamil hain.

ECB aur Fed Policy Divergence: EUR/USD par Asraat

Euro US Dollar ke muqable relative strength ko maintain kiye hue hai bawajood iske ke European Central Bank (ECB) ki future monetary policy moves ke bare mein uncertainty hai. Jabke ECB policymakers June meeting se rate-cut cycle shuru karne mein araamda hain, lekin wo isse aage ke liye kisi definitive rate path par commit karne se hichkichahat mehsoos kar rahe hain, aur data-dependent rehna pasand kar rahe hain.

US side par, Federal Reserve ki umeed hai ke June meeting mein interest rates ko steady rakhegi. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, traders September mein Fed ke 25 basis points (bps) rate cut ki 76% chance price kar rahe hain, aur saal ke aakhir tak do cuts ki umeed hai.

Technical Indicators se EUR/USD ke Liye Potential Bullish Momentum ka Ishara.

Pair 1.0840 ke aas paas tight range mein trade kar raha hai, jabke investors agle significant move ke liye naye catalysts ka intezar kar rahe hain. Euro ki stability Symmetrical Triangle breakout pattern ko daily chart par maintain karke mazid reinforce hui hai, jo ke potentially bullish outlook ko suggest karta hai.

20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ka bullish crossover 1.0790 ke aas paas Euro/USD pair ke near-term prospects ko mazid bolster kar raha hai. Yeh technical development Euro ke muqable US Dollar ke liye strengthening momentum ka ishara karta hai.

Daily timeframe mein, currency pair ne ek wazeh girawat ke baad mukhtasir si upar ki taraf movement dikhayi. Magar yeh temporary upward movement zyada dair nahi tik saka, aur pair ne apni downward trajectory ko dobara shuru kiya, jo ke point T2 par establish ki gai thi, jo 1.0855 par price hui thi. Yeh southbound trend ne critical support level 1.0816 ko taqat se tor diya, jo ke mazboot bearish momentum ko dikhata hai. Jaise hi price girti rahi, yeh eventually downtrend Moving Resistance (MR) wale area mein pahunch gayi, aur abhi tak 1.0813 ke level ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai. Yeh movement prevailing bearish sentiment ko mazid mazbooti se barqarar rakhta hai.

Is wazeh downward path ke bawajood, reversal ya upward corrective trend ke continuation ki possibility barqarar hai. Agar price 1.0816 ke support level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift ko signal kar sakta hai. Aise scenario mein, jahan price stabilize hoti hai aur 1.0816 ke upar hold karti hai, pair ke upward movement ko continue karne ki potential ho sakti hai. Is timeframe par agla significant northern target pehle ke resistance level par point par hai, jo ke 1.0855 par locate hai. Is level ke upar consolidation achieve karna aur sustain karna upward trend ke potential ko mazid reinforce karega.

Haal ka price movement upward trend ko exhibit kar raha hai, jisme mazeed door ka northern target coordinates 1.11393 par hai. Magar yeh market news aur price ke designated far northern goals par react karne par depend karega. Traders aur analysts ko 1.0816 level ke aas-paas ke price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke ek confirmed break aur consolidation ke upar yeh level pair ko 1.0855 ke resistance ko test karne ka rasta bana sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar 1.0816 ke upar hold karne mein nakami hoti hai, toh bearish trend ka dobara aghaz ho sakta hai, jo lower support levels ko dobara test kar sakta hai. Jabke pair abhi ek bearish phase mein hai, 1.0816 ke upar consolidation market dynamics ko shift kar sakti hai, jis se key resistance 1.0855 ki taraf ek possible upward correction ho sakti hai. Yeh crucial price levels ke importance ko market direction ko shape karne mein highlight karta hai.

Chaukas rahen aur tayar rahen adjust karne ke liye. Dono optimistic aur pessimistic possibilities ko wazeh taur par tolein, aur apne approach ko accordingly adjust karen. Market ke ups and downs ko handle karne ke liye hoshiyaar aur prepared rahen, aur evolving situation ke mutabiq apne plans ko tailor karen.

4-Hour Chart

Ek arse ke sideways trading aur downward tendency ke baad, price ne weekly pivot level aur ascending price channels ko break karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki. Trading is hafte ascending price channels ke andar khuli jo ke past do hafton ke price movement ko represent karti thi. Magar, aisa lagta hai ke price is hafte downside direction mein jane ki koshish karegi. Ab price weekly support level 1.0790 ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is support se agla direction tay kiya ja sakta hai. Agar price is level par support hasil karti hai aur weekly pivot level par wapas aati hai phir se neeche bounce karti hai, to yeh selling retest pattern ke success ko indicate karta hai aur downward trend ko confirm karta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price upar jati hai aur akhri price peak se upar trade karti hai, to yeh upward trend mein wapas jane ka signal hai.



Economic side par, is hafte ki trading ke start se economic calendar mein kisi bhi important aur influential releases ke na hone se EUR/USD price movements kamzor ho gayi hain. 1.0790 ke support ko break karna recently formed ascending channel se EUR/USD ka exit mana jayega, jo ke recent US inflation numbers ki kamzori se badh gaya hai. Is kamzori ne price ko 1.0895 ke resistance level ki taraf dhakel diya tha, jo ke do mahine ka sabse uncha level tha. Kul mila kar, markets ne trading week ko kuch rocky shuru kiya low liquidity trading ke darmiyan. France, Germany, Switzerland aur Canada jaise mulkon ke financial centers public holidays ki wajah se band the. Jab yeh likha ja raha tha, indices badhne lagi thi aur saari major currencies US Dollar ke khilaf +/- 0.3% range ke andar fluctuate kar rahi thi. Aaj kam economic data ke sath, focus prominent central bankers ke comments par shift ho gaya, khaaskar Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson ke. Apne colleagues ke dovish, data-driven outlook ko echo karte hue, Jefferson ne kaha ke abhi yeh kehna "bohat jaldi" hoga ke recent slowdown in disinflation process long-lasting hoga ya nahi, magar April ka lower inflation reading ek positive sign tha. Kul mila kar, wo cautiously optimistic lage ke Fed apni economy ko soft landing achieve karne ke track par tha, jahan inflation Fed ke 2% target par aati hai bina kisi significant economic slowdown ke.

EUR/USD

Is haftay, EUR/USD pair ne neechay ki taraf keemaati channels ke andar trading shuru kiya hai jo is ke movement ko pichlay do hafton mein numaya kiya hai. Qeemat haftay ki pivot level ke neechay hai, jo is haftay ke liye ek bearish trend ka ishaara deta hai. Keemat haftay ke support level 1.0790 tak gir sakti hai, jo ek upward correction ke liye waqtan-fa-waqtan support faraham kar sakta hai phir neeche ki taraf jaari rahne se pehle. Rozana ka chart dekhtay hue, pair pichli bullish lehar ke 63% Fibonacci level ke neeche trading kar raha hai, jo ek bearish raaste ki taraf moomkinah rukh ki taraf ishaara deta hai agar keemat mahana level 1.0835 par support nahi milta.

Pichlay do hafton mein, pair ek bullish trend mein tha, jis mein 4 ghantay ka chart par bullish channels ban rahi thi. Magar, aaj ki trading ne ek resistance area mein shuru kiya jo upper channel lines ke qareeb hai, jo ek bearish lehar ko janam di hai jo ab lower channel lines tak pohanch gayi hai, haftay ki pivot level ke sath milte huye. Yeh haalaat keemat ke movement ke liye do mumkinah ihtimamat pesh karti hain:

Bhadne waala: Agar haftay ki pivot level par bullish keemaati aamal ka tajurba hota hai, to keemat buland ho sakti hai.

Neechay ki taraf: Agar keemat keemaati channels aur haftay ki pivot level se guzar jaata hai, to keemat mazeed girne ki sambhavna hai. Japan Bank aur European Central Bank ki mukhtalif monetary policies, jismein Japan ki arzi sefaat ki madad ke liye ek halka karne wali policy hai aur European Central Bank jo mahangai ka mukabla karne ke liye ek tang karna wali policy apna rahi hai, is upward trend mein mazeed shamil hain. Abhi keemat ke qareebi resistance levels currency pair ke liye 1.0810, 1.0790, aur 1.0780 hain.

pair ki qeemat ka rawaya dekha jaraha hai. H1 flag pattern se ooncha taraqqi hone ka imkan hai, lekin hume samajhna hoga ke iski conditions kya hongi aur kab EUR/USD girte hue rahenge. Iske liye, hame haftawar option contract ko dobara dekhna hoga, kyun ke aaj CME se naye data mila hai jo kuch tabdeeliyan dikha raha hai. Mool liquidity contract par 1.0833 par thi haftawar balance ke mukhya hisaab se. Is liquidity premium ke mutabiq, range 1.0805-1.0847 hai, upar 1.0869 tak aur neeche 1.0797-1.0783 tak ke expansions ke saath, agar qeemat 1.0866 ke upar fix hoti hai, toh yeh upar OI had ki update ko 1.0932 tak allow kar sakti hai, jabke agar 1.0839 ke neeche rehti hai toh yeh nisbatan girawat ki taraf le jaayegi 1.0808-1.0797 aur neeche ke contract had tak jo 1.0785 hai, aur baad mein shayad 1.0732 tak pohanch sakti Main gehri girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon, khaas tor par EUR/USD pair ko 1.0761-1.0744 ke support zone tak kamzor hone ka intezaar hai. Agar 65-70 points ka upar ki taraf correction hota hai, toh ek bechna wala position mein dakhil hona 70 points ka stop loss aur 280 points ka munafa hadaf achi taur par lagta hai. Ye kuch gumrahi khayalat hain lekin agar market is plan ko follow kare toh yeh haqiqat ban sakte hain. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq, hum ne April ke daily resistance zone ke neeche ek haftay se zyada kaarobar kiya hai bina ise tora. Dono Fibonacci levels aur takneeki tajziya dikhate hain ke upar ki correction khatam ho chuki hai, aur qeemat ne re-zone ko upar tak pohanch liya hai. Yeh bullish trend ka ikhtitam signal karta hai, sirf ek badi girawat ke rukh par chalne ke liye, jise main mazid mazbooti se hone ki umeed rakhta hoon. Abhi ke liye, main bearish rukh mein 61.8% ka minimum target muntazir hoon, lekin yeh meri raaye hai.



The EUR/USD pair continues to exhibit dynamic price action, presenting both buying and selling opportunities based on key support and resistance levels. While the current momentum suggests further growth towards the resistance level of 1.09217, traders must remain vigilant for any potential reversals or shifts in market sentiment. Adapting to changing conditions and closely monitoring price movements are crucial for successful trading in this environment

EUR/USD pair ki agay ki movement ke bare mein baat karunga. EUR/USD pair ne apna kamzor girawat jari rakha aur 61.8% (1.0837) correction level ke neeche se consolidate kiya. Magar, girawat lambi waqt tak nahi rahi, aur Thursday ko, pair euro ke favor mein badal gaya, is level ke upar consolidate kiya. Is tarah, uroojat movement 1.0892 tak ka 76.4% Fibonacci level ki taraf jaari ho sakta hai, aur ascending trend channel ab bhi trader sentiment ko "bullish" taur par nazar aata hai. Is tarah, "bullish" trend ban chuka hai, jisme bullish traders rozana hamla kar rahe hain. Main is trend ko kaafi ghair mustaqil samajhta hoon aur samajhta hoon ke ye sirf kuch waqt tak jari rahega. Magar, taraqqi mein izafa ek mahine se jaari raha hai, aur bear pair ko channel ke neeche bhi nahi le gaye. Isliye, "bullish" trend khatam hone ki koi nishani nahi hai. Thursday ke maaloomat ka background bullish traders ko naye hamle shuru karne ki ijaazat di. Jerman aur Eurozone ke khidmat aur tijarat ke sectors ke business activity indices traders ke tawaqqat se behtar thay, jo euro mein naye izafa ka aghaz kiya. Main sab figures ko nahein bataonga, kyunki unka asal maqsad ek hi cheez hai - maaloomat tawakkaat se zyada behtar thi. Magar, overall trader activity bohot kam hai. Ye lagbhag har chart par qabil tawaja hai, jo dikhata hai ke zyadatar traders aglay kya karein iss ke baare mein ghair yaqeeni hain. Na to Lagarde ke taqreerat aur na he economic data isko wazeh karne mein madad karte hain. Bear market se koi muttasil nazar nahi aata, jabke bullish traders sirf tab hamle karte hain jab koi wajah hoti hai. Aur rozana koi wajah nahi hoti

4 ghanton ka chart dekhte hue, pair ne "wedge" pattern ke upar consolidate kiya aur 50.0% Fibonacci level tak (1.0862) izafa kiya. Euro ke taraqqi ka aakhri hissa thoda mushkil nazar aata hai, isliye main iski jari rehne par ghaafil hoon. Magar, girawat ka intizaar hai, jiska signals mojood nahi hain. Aaj bhi koi qareebi divergences nahi dekhay gaye hain. Uroojat process agle corrective level 61.8% - 1.0959 ki taraf jaari ho sakti hai. Euro ke khilaf ek hi factor hai, jo ke RSI indicator ka overbought (above +80) hone ka hai.

M-30 Minutes Timeframe Ki Tafseel
Hum euro/dollar pair ke liye adha ghanta ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain keh jab bhi pehle, jab neeche ki taraf se 1.0790 ke low se rebound mila, to mukhtalif neeche ki taraf ki movements se ek mukhlis upward price channel bana aur jismein pair taqreeban 1.0848 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur technically yeh yeh dikhata hai keh woh pehle shuru hone wale tajwez ki correctional wave ki jari rahi. Bears ke liye maqsood ek support line ke niche girna hai, jiska takrao lagbhag 1.0835 ke darje par hoga. Agar support line tooti, to major uttar ke correctional channel ko tod sakta hai aur ek mukhlis downtrend mein waapis ja sakta hai.

Bulls Ke Liye Intehai Asarat

Market ke halaat aur technical indicators ke tajwez ko dekhte hue, hum dekh rahe hain ke euro/dollar pair abhi tak bullish momentum mein hai. Haal hi mein 1.0790 ke low se mukhtalif neeche ki movements ke baad, major ne ek mazboot rebound dikhaya hai aur uttar ki taraf mod gaya hai, ek bharosa dilane wale upward price channel banate hue, jismein pair 1.0848 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Ye bullish movement, major ke bulls ko aasani se support kar rahi hai, aur agle waqt tak upward trend jaari rahega.

Bears Ke Liye Manfi Asarat

Agar support line, jo ke takrao lagbhag 1.0835 ke darje par hai, tooti, to yeh major ke liye ek critical point hoga. Agar yeh support line tooti, to major uttar ke correctional channel ko tor sakta hai aur ek mazboot downtrend mein wapas chala jaega. Is surat mein, bears ko support line ke takrao ko dhyaan se dekhna chahiye aur trading strategies ko uske mutabiq adjust karna chahiye.

Trading Strategies aur Conclusion

Trading strategies banate waqt, traders ko market ke halaat aur prevailing trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue kaam karna chahiye. Agar support line tooti aur major downtrend mein wapas chala gaya, to bears ko selling opportunities dhoondhne chahiye, jabki agar support line barkarar rehti hai aur major upward trend mein rukawat nahi aati hai, to bulls ko buying opportunities ka intezar karna chahiye. Har halat mein, risk management ka khas khayal rakhna zaroori hai aur traders ko apni trading positions ko samjhdari se manage karna chahiye. Iske alawa, market ke prevailing conditions aur indicators ko mukhtalif timeframes par dekhte hue trading strategies ko adapt karna bhi zaroori hai.

Nateeja

M-30 minutes timeframe outlook ke mutabiq, euro/dollar pair abhi tak bullish momentum mein hai, lekin support line ke takrao par dhyan dena zaroori hai. Agar support line tooti, to major uttar ke correctional channel ko tor sakta hai aur ek mazboot downtrend mein wapas chala jaega. Traders ko market ke halaat ko madde nazar rakhte hue apni trading strategies ko adjust karna chahiye aur risk management ka khas khayal rakhna chahiye.

Daily Timeframe Ki Tafseel
Hum daily chart kholte hain, to aam technical tasveer ke ilawa, hum teen bulandiyon ko dekhte hain jo 1.1140, 1.0980 aur aakhri bulandi 1.0890 ke darajon par hain. Is tarah, hum teen bulandiyan dekhte hain, har ek pichle se kam. Yeh humein kya batata hai?! Ek mazboot neeche ki taraf ki trend ke baare mein, jo kehta hai ke aap euro/dollar pair ko lambi lehaaz se bech sakte hain. Iske alawa, jo neeche ki price channel hai, jismein major trade ho raha hai, woh bhi maqbool hai, aur haal hi mein humne teen koshishen dekhi hain ke resistance line ko todne ke liye aur teen dafa rebound bhi dekhe hain. In tamaam factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, market ke khulne se pehle hi aap euro/dollar pair mein bech sakte hain aur medium-term trading ke lehaaz se 1.0848 se 1.0800 ke darajon tak euro/dollar pair ko bech sakte hain.

Bears Ke Liye Manfi Asarat

Market ke halaat aur technical indicators ke tajwez ko dekhte hue, hum dekh rahe hain ke euro/dollar pair abhi tak downtrend mein hai. Har ek bulandi pichli se kam hai, jisse yeh saaf ho jata hai ke euro/dollar pair mein neeche ki taraf ka trend hai. Isi tarah, neeche ki taraf ki price channel bhi maqbool hai, jismein major trade ho raha hai, aur haal hi mein humne teen koshishen dekhi hain ke resistance line ko todne ke liye aur teen dafa rebound bhi dekhe hain. In tamaam factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko medium-term trading perspective mein euro/dollar pair ko bechna behtar option ho sakta hai.

Trading Strategies aur Conclusion

Market ke prevailing conditions aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko apni trading strategies ko banate waqt euro/dollar pair ko bechne ki strategy ko ghor se sochna chahiye. Bears ko euro/dollar pair ko bechne ke liye acha mouqa hai, jabki bulls ko market ke prevailing trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue apne trading positions ko manage karna chahiye. Har halat mein, risk management ka khas khayal rakhna zaroori hai aur traders ko apni trading positions ko samjhdari se handle karna chahiye.

Nateeja

EUR/USD trading discussion ke mutabiq, euro/dollar pair abhi tak downtrend mein hai, aur bears ko euro/dollar pair ko bechne ka acha mouqa hai, jismein 1.0848 se 1.0800 ke darajon tak ja kar profitable trades ki sambhavna hai. Traders ko market ke prevailing conditions aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue apni trading strategies ko adjust karna chahiye aur risk management ka khas khayal rakhna chahiye.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S EUR/USD
Asalam-o-Alaikum, umeed hai aaj hum sab ko zyada se zyada munafa hasil hoga aur hamesha sehatmand halat mein rehne ke liye apna khaas khayal rakhen. EUR/USD 1.0820 ke dauran trade kar raha hai jab yeh likha gaya. Is time frame se dekha jaye to kal ke market movement mein qeemat mein izafa hua. Mukhtalif factors ki wajah se overall trend bullish hai kyun ke USD kamzor ho raha hai aur yeh cheez movement par asar daal rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne oopar ki taraf ka trend zari rakha hai, jo ke abhi bhi bullish area mein hai aur 50 neutral mark ke oopar ghoom raha hai. Usi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator -0.123 par hai jo ke positive volume bar ke neeche hai. 50-day exponential moving average market resistance ke neeche band ho gaya hai. 20-day exponential moving average bhi market resistance ke neeche hai.

EUR/USD ke liye asli resistance level 1.1256 par hai. Market ka bullish stand asal aur doosri resistances ko 1.1802 aur 1.2357 ko khatam kar sakta hai. Uske baad, mujhe umeed hai ke keemat apni unchaai ko dobara hasil karegi aur 1.2357 level ki taraf barhegi jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Dusri taraf, EUR/USD ke liye asal aur bohot ahem support level 1.0622 par hai. Market ke girawat asal support line ko 1.0076 par guzar jayegi aur agle maqami had tak pohanchegi jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Umeed hai ke keemat aaj yeh levels tak na pohanchegi. Pair ke mazeed dynamics ke liye, kal ke movement ko predict karna mushkil hai kyun ke volatility bohot mukhtalif ho sakti hai.

Chart mein istemal kiye gaye indicators:

MACD indicator:
RSI indicator period 14:
50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

Daily Timeframe Analysis:
Din Bhar Timeframe Par Tehqeeq

Currency pair ne ek bade giravat ke baad ek chhote se upar ke taajurbat ko mehsoos kiya. Magar, yeh waqtan-fa-waqtan upar ki movement short-lived thi, jabki pair apna neeche ka rasta dobara apna chalu karta hai, jo T2 point par sthapit kiya gaya tha, jiska daam 1.0855 tha. Yeh dakshini raasta mizaaj ek qatai tor par aham support level 1.0816 ke through nikaal gaya, jo ek mazboot bearish momentum ko darust karta hai. Jab keemat girne lagi, to aakhir mein woh area tak pohanch gayi jise niche ki ore chalne waala raasta Moving Resistance (MR) kehte hain, aur ab 1.0813 ke ird gird trade ho rahi hai. Yeh movement market mein mojooda bearish jazbaat ko mazboot karta hai. Is wazeh neeche ke raste ke bawajood, ek ulte ka mauka ya upar ka theek karne wale trend ka jari rehna mumkin hai. Agar keemat 1.0816 ke support level ke oopar mazbooti se jaama ho jaati hai, to yeh market ke jazbaat mein tabdeeli ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Aise manzar mein, jahan keemat stable ho jaati hai aur 1.0816 ke oopar qaim rehti hai, to pair ka upar ki taraf chalne ka mauka ho sakta hai. Is timeframe par agla ahem shumali maqsood woh pehle ki resistance level hai jo T2 point par hai, jiska daam 1.0855 hai. Is level ke oopar jaama aur qaim rehna ek mazeed uparward trend ke liye mauqa barhaega.

Maujooda keemat ka movement ek upar ki raftar ko darust karta hai, jismein 1.11393 ke coordinates par ek mazeed door tak ke maqsood hain. Magar, yeh market ke khabron par aur keemat ke farq ko kaise samjhti hai is par depend karta hai. Traders aur analysts ko 1.0816 ke aspaas keemat ka action tawajjo se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke is level ke oopar sahi tor par break aur jamawar hona pair ko 1.0855 ki resistance ko test karne ka raasta banwaega. Umeed hai ke 1.0816 ke oopar qaim rehna pair ko ek bhadakta hua trend ke liye mauqa denge, lekin 1.0816 ke oopar na rehna bearish trend ka dobara chalu ho jaane ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jisse neeche ke support levels dobara test ho sakte hain. Jab keemat abhi ek bearish phase mein hai, to 1.0816 ke oopar jamawar hona market ke dynamics ko badal sakta hai, aur mumkin upward correction ke liye mukhya resistance 1.0855 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Yeh sangeen daamo ki ahmiyat ko samajhne mein madad karta hai jo future market ki manzil ko shakal dete hain.

Hosla aur Mayoosi ke Imkaanat

Zarurat hai tawajjo se dekhte rahne ki aur tayar rahne ki. Umeed aur mayoosi ke dono imkaanat ko dhyaan se wazeh karen, apni tajwezat ko zaroorat ke mutabiq mutaarif karen. Market ke mumkin farqon aur giravaton ko handle karne ke liye hoshiyaar rahen, apne plans ko badalte rahen aur halat ke mutabiq apne approaches ko sanwara karen.

EUR/USD: Federal Reserve Ki Tafseeli Raye Ke Asraat
Salam, EUR/USD ne Peer ko 1.0880 se phir se rebound kiya jab Federal Reserve ke afraad ke comments ne behtar market flows par asar dala. Aam market Fed ki taraf se rate cut ke ishaaron ka be sabri se intezar kar raha hai, lekin central planners naye inflation ke sakht manzar ke saath umeedon ko kam kar rahe hain jo Fed ke rate moves par rukawat daalti hai. Technically, EUR/USD pair bullish hai. Daily chart pair ko sabhi moving averages ke oopar aage badhte hue dikhata hai, 20 simple moving average tezi se peeche aata hai jisse ek aur upar ki daur ke liye support milta hai, khaaskar agar pair 1.0900 range ko todati hai. Ek saath, technical indicators overbought levels ke qareeb hain, halan ke bina mukhtalif taqat ke saath. Relative Strength Index halka sa nichla ho raha hai, jisse kharidari dabao kam hone ka ishaara hota hai. 4-hour chart ek neutral technical stance pesh karta hai. EUR/USD abhi apne 20 SMA ke aaspaas ghoom raha hai, jo bullish taqat ko khota ja raha hai lekin abhi bhi shumali taraf ja raha hai. Lambay moving averages upar ja rahe hain, halan ke lagbhag 100 pips neeche, ahmiyat ko khota ja rahe hain. Aakhir mein, technical indicators apne midlines ke aaspaas phans gaye hain, jo Wall Street ke band hone se pehle tijarati dilchaspi mein kami ka aks dikhate hain. EUR/USD ne Peer ko kisi khaas action nahi dekha, din ke zyadatar hisse mein 1.0860 mark ke aaspaas ghooma. Europe mein chutti thi aur U.S. macroeconomic calendar mein kisi naye data ki kami thi jo shor machaane wale trading din mein aur bhi sunsaan bana diya. Investors Federal Reserve ke afraad ke comments mein clues talash kar rahe the, jin ke paas U.S. ke haal ki inflation ke aakhri tabdeelion par mukhtalif raye thi.

Mukammal Tafseeli Raye Ke Asraat

Amooman, Fed ke afraad future actions ke mutalliq ehtiyaat barqarar rakhte rahe, kyun ke unhe abhi bhi lagta hai ke inflation control se door hai. Europe Mangal ko kuch minor figures ke saath lautega. Germany April producer price index ko shaaya karayega, jise -3.2% YoY ki umeed hai, pehle -2.9% se. Is ke ilawa, Eurozone March current account ko jaari karega, jo mowafiq surat mein €30.2 billion ka surplus dikhata hai. EU March ke trade balance ko bhi shaaya karega, jab ke U.S. session mein ek aur batch of Fed speakers honge. Ek saath, Asian shares hafta ki shuruaat mein barh gaye, jo U.S. indices mein ek mazid mojooda shuruaat ka nateeja diya. Halan ke, darmiyan-e-sayaa Dopehar mein Dow Jones Industrial Average tezi se neeche gaya, jabke S&P 500 aur Nasdaq Composite ne mukhtalif hisson par qabzaa kiya. Aakhir mein, wazeh hai ke U.S. dollar ne halki tone maintain ki, halan ke sarkari bond yields mein ek mamooli izafa hua.

EUR/USD: Euro Weakness, Dollar Defense

Salam, EUR/USD Friday ke European trading hours mein kamzor rehta hai lekin 1.0800 ko bachata hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur Eurozone aur US ke inflation data ke pehle pair par fresh bets lagane se bachna chahiye. Mazeed kamzori EUR/USD ko 1.0787 ke 200-day SMA tak le ja sakti hai pehle 1.0649 May low (May 1). 2024 low 1.0601 (April 16) aur November 2023 low 1.0516 (November 1). Ek baar jab ye zone saaf ho jata hai, to pair weekly low 1.0495 (October 13, 2023), 2023 low 1.0448 (October 3) aur 1.0400 round milestone ko target kar sakta hai. Agar bulls ko control milta hai, to EUR/USD May high 1.0894 (May 16), March peak 1.0981 (March 8) aur weekly peak 1.0998 (January 11) ko dobara visit kar sakta hai, sab se pehle kuch ahem 1.1000 tak pohanchne se pehle. Ab tak, 4-hour chart mein taqatwar rebound nazar aata hai. 55-SMA 1.0845 par agle upside barrier ka kaam karta hai, phir 1.0894 aur 1.0942. Dakshin ki taraf dekhte hue, pehle 1.0788 aata hai, phir 1.0766 aur 200-SMA 1.0760. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar chadha hai. US dollar muqabla kar raha hai, risk se bachne wale space ko zarooratmand oxygen faraham kar raha hai aur EUR/USD ne sub-1.0800 zone ke neeche girne ke baad rukh badalne ki dhamki di hai.

Pair ne do mukhtalif daily declines ko uthaya jabke har tarf se greenback mein tez downtrend aur curve ke mukhtalif hisso mein US yields mein tezi se kami aai. Ek saath, Federal Reserve ke imdad se dovish stance ko lamba waqt tak barqarar rakhne ki tawajjo ko Federal Reserve ke afraad ke haal ki dovish comments ne mustahkam kiya hai. CME Group ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Nov. 7 meeting tak interest rate ko kam karne ki sambhavna 64% ke qareeb hai. European Central Bank ke liye higher May inflation data Germany mein June mein rate cut ke umeedon ko kam karne wale mahoul se pehle, wider eurozone ke flash CPI release ke pehle.